age-standardized incidence rate

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这是第一项介绍多发性骨髓瘤(MM)总体描述性流行病学的研究,包括发病率,死亡率,和患病率,2010年至2018年,韩国基于全国医疗保险覆盖率和死亡率统计数据。2010年至2018年MM的发生率来自全国范围的医疗索赔数据,死亡率数据来自韩国国家统计局。评估了MM患者的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)和死亡率(ASMR)以及每年的一年和五年生存率。2010年至2018年,韩国有10,835例年龄≥20岁的MM患者。2010年ASIR为2.42/10万,2018年增至2.71/10万,年百分比变化(APC)为1.86%(95%CI=0.74-2.99%,P=0.005)。虽然这种趋势在女性中很明显,在男性中没有统计学意义。ASMR随时间没有显著变化。此外,2010年至2018年诊断为MM的患者的中位生存时间为3.36年.值得注意的是,患者的一年生存率从2010年的65.3%提高至2017年的76.2%.最后,接受新型治疗药物的MM患者比例,如蛋白酶体抑制剂或免疫调节药物,一线治疗从2010年的37.7%增加到2018年的97.8%.韩国MM的ASIR和患病率在2010年至2018年期间有所增加,尤其是在女性中,MM患者的生存率有所提高。
    This is the first study presenting the overall descriptive epidemiology of multiple myeloma (MM), including incidence, mortality rate, and prevalence, in South Korea between 2010 and 2018 based on nationwide medical insurance coverage and mortality statistics data. The incidence of MM between 2010 and 2018 was obtained from nationwide medical claims data, and mortality data were obtained from the Korea National Statistical Office. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and mortality rate (ASMR) and one- and five-year survival rates of patients with MM each year were estimated. There were 10,835 patients with MM aged ≥ 20 years in South Korea between 2010 and 2018. The ASIR was 2.42/100,000 in 2010 and increased to 2.71/100,000 in 2018, with an annual percent change (APC) of 1.86% (95% CI = 0.74-2.99%, P = 0.005). While this trend was significant in women, it was not statistically significant in men. The ASMR did not significantly change over time. Furthermore, the median survival time of patients with MM diagnosed between 2010 and 2018 was 3.36 years. Notably, the one-year survival rate of patients was increased from 65.3% in 2010 to 76.2% in 2017. Finally, the proportion of patients with MM who received novel therapeutic agents, such as proteasome inhibitors or immunomodulatory drugs, as first-line treatment increased from 37.7% in 2010 to 97.8% in 2018. The ASIR and prevalence of MM in South Korea increased between 2010 and 2018, especially in women and the survival rate of patients with MM has increased.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED: This research aims to update knowledge on the regional and national sickness burden attributable to cystic echinococcosis (CE) from 1990 to 2019, as well as epidemiology and disease control, with a particular emphasis on the People\'s Central Asian Regions.
    UNASSIGNED: We calculated the morbidity, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years at the global, regional, and national levels for CE in all central Asian countries from 1990 to 2019, and we analyzed the association between GDP per capita and the disease burden of CE.
    UNASSIGNED: In 2019, the three greatest numbers of CE cases were recorded in Kazakhstan [23986; 95% uncertainty interval (UI); 19796; 28908]; Uzbekistan (41079; 18351; 76048); and Tajikistan (10887; 4891; 20170) among all 9 countries. The three countries with the greatest ASIR of CE were estimated to be Kazakhstan (127.56; 95% UI: 105.34-153.8), Uzbekistan (123.53; 95% UI: 58.65-219.16), and Tajikistan (121.88; 58.57-213.93). Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan had the biggest increases (125%, 97%, and 83%, respectively) in the number of incident cases of CE, whereas Georgia, Kazakhstan, and Armenia saw the largest decreases (45%, 8%, and 3%, respectively).
    UNASSIGNED: To reduce the illness burden caused by CE, our findings may help public health professionals and policymakers design cost-benefit initiatives. To lessen the impact of CE on society, it is suggested that more money be given to the region\'s most endemic nations. Echinococcosis, cystic, negative health effects, life-years lost due to disability, rate of occurrence as a function of age, rate of death as a function of age.
    UNASSIGNED: Bu araştırma, 1990’dan 2019’a kadar kistik ekinokokkoza (CE) atfedilebilecek bölgesel ve ulusal hastalık yükünün yanı sıra epidemiyoloji ve hastalık kontrolüne ilişkin bilgileri, özellikle Halkın Orta Asya Bölgeleri’ne vurgu yaparak güncellemeyi amaçlamaktadır.
    UNASSIGNED: 1990’dan 2019’a kadar tüm Orta Asya ülkelerinde CE için küresel, bölgesel ve ulusal düzeyde morbidite, mortalite ve engelliliğe göre düzeltilmiş yaşam yıllarını hesapladık ve kişi başına GSYİH ile CE’nin hastalık yükü arasındaki ilişkiyi analiz ettik.
    UNASSIGNED: 2019 yılında en fazla sayıda CE olgusu Kazakistan’da kaydedildi [23986; %95 belirsizlik aralığı (Üİ); 19796; 28908]; Özbekistan (41079; 18351; 76048); ve Tacikistan (10887; 4891; 20170) 9 ülke arasında yer alıyor. CE’nin en büyük ASIR’sine sahip üç ülkenin Kazakistan (127,56; %95 UI: 105,34-153,8), Özbekistan (123,53; %95 UI: 58,65-219,16) ve Tacikistan (121,88; 58,57-213,93) olduğu tahmin edilmektedir. Kırgızistan, Tacikistan ve Özbekistan CE olgularının sayısında en büyük artışları yaşarken (sırasıyla %125, %97 ve %83), Gürcistan, Kazakistan ve Ermenistan ise en büyük düşüşleri (%45, %8, %8 gördü ve sırasıyla %3).
    UNASSIGNED: CE’nin neden olduğu hastalık yükünü azaltmak için bulgularımız halk sağlığı profesyonellerinin ve politika yapıcıların maliyet-fayda girişimlerini tasarlamasına yardımcı olabilir. CE’nin toplum üzerindeki etkisini azaltmak için bölgenin endemik ülkelerine daha fazla para verilmesi öneriliyor. Ekinokokkoz, kistik, olumsuz sağlık etkileri, engellilik nedeniyle kaybedilen yaşam yılı, yaşın bir fonksiyonu olarak ortaya çıkma oranı, yaşın bir fonksiyonu olarak ölüm oranıdır.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景和目的:白血病,以白细胞产生异常为特征,表现出来自体细胞突变的克隆起源。全球范围内,它在2020年的癌症发病率中排名第15位,在发展中国家的患病率更高。在墨西哥,它是第九大最常见的癌症。区域登记册对于了解其流行病学至关重要。本研究旨在分析墨西哥Bajio地区三级医院中白血病的患病率和年龄标准化发病率。材料与方法:分析2008-2018年白血病病例,这项研究纳入了535份医疗记录.患病率,分布,并根据性别和年龄组确定不同类型和亚型白血病的年龄特异性发病率。结果:总体而言,65.79%为淋巴细胞白血病,33.64%的骨髓性白血病,和0.56%的单核细胞白血病。没有发现显著的性别差异,但观察到了特定年龄的模式。白血病按年龄分布显示出明显的相关性。淋巴细胞白血病在儿科人群中占主导地位,特别是急性淋巴细胞白血病,而髓细胞性白血病向成年转移。显示特定年龄的发病率模式,首先,淋巴细胞白血病是儿科最常见的白血病,第二,从儿童年龄的急性淋巴细胞白血病到成年后期的髓系白血病发病率有一个转变,强调细微差别的流行病学动态。结论:急性白血病病例在我们的研究人群中发病率较高,在儿科和成年期人群中发病率很高,尤其是急性淋巴细胞白血病,在儿科组中显示(<18岁)153.8年龄标准化的发病率,而在成年人口中,年龄标准化率为59.84.在特定年龄的分析中,我们发现儿童群体(5-9岁)受急性淋巴细胞白血病影响最大,而在成年人口中,成年早期组(15-29岁)是受影响最严重的年龄组.相比之下,慢性粒细胞白血病影响成人和儿童人群,而慢性淋巴细胞白血病和单核细胞白血病是成年人独有的。这项研究强调了定制诊断的必要性,治疗,和基于年龄的预防策略,为Bajio地区的白血病流行病学提供有价值的见解。
    Background and Objectives: Leukemia, characterized by abnormal leukocyte production, exhibits clonal origin from somatic mutations. Globally, it ranked 15th in cancer incidence in 2020, with higher prevalence in developing countries. In Mexico, it was the ninth most frequent cancer. Regional registries are vital for understanding its epidemiology. This study aims to analyze the prevalence and age-standardized incidence rates of leukemias in a tertiary care hospital in the Mexican Bajio region. Materials and Methods: Leukemia cases from 2008-2018 were analyzed, and 535 medical records were included in this study. The prevalence, distribution, and age-specific incidence rate of different types and subtypes of leukemia were determined according to sex and age groups. Results: Overall, 65.79% consisted of lymphocytic leukemia, 33.64% of myeloid leukemia, and 0.56% of monocytic leukemia. No significant sex-based differences were found, but age-specific patterns were observed. Leukemia distribution by age revealed significant associations. Lymphocytic leukemia dominated in the pediatric population, particularly acute lymphocytic leukemia, while myeloid leukemia shifted towards adulthood. Age-specific incidence patterns showed, first, that lymphocytic leukemia is the most common leukemia in pediatric ages, and second, there is a shift from acute lymphocytic leukemia dominance in pediatric ages to myeloid leukemia incidence in late adulthood, emphasizing nuanced epidemiological dynamics. Conclusions: Acute leukemia cases occurred with high prevalence in our study population, with a high incidence in pediatric and adulthood populations, especially for acute lymphocytic leukemia, showing a (<18 years) 153.8 age-standardized incidence rate in the pediatric group, while in the adult population, the age-standardized rate was 59.84. In the age-specific analysis, we found that the childhood group (5-9 years) were the most affected by acute lymphocytic leukemia in the pediatric population, while in the adult population, the early-adulthood group (15-29 years) were the most affected age group. In contrast, chronic myeloid leukemia affected both adults and the pediatric populations, while chronic lymphocytic leukemia and monocytic leukemia were exclusive to adults. The study underscores the need for tailored diagnostic, treatment, and preventive strategies based on age, contributing valuable insights into the leukemia epidemiology of the Bajio region.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:囊性包虫病(CE)是一种被忽视的热带寄生虫病,会引起巨大的疾病,世界范围内的社会和经济负担;然而,对全球发病率知之甚少,到目前为止,CE的死亡率和残疾调整寿命年(DALYs)。这项研究旨在收集有关全球的最新数据,1990年至2019年CE造成的区域和国家疾病负担,并预测未来10年的趋势。
    方法:我们测量了全球,区域和国家发病率,根据2019年全球疾病负担研究(GBD2019)数据,1990年至2019年的CE死亡率和DALYs,我们研究了社会经济发展水平与CE疾病负担之间的相关性。此外,CE造成的疾病负担预计从2020年到2030年。
    结果:CE的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)从1990年的2.65/105[95%UI:(1.87/105至3.7/105)]降低到2019年的2.6/105[95%UI:(1.72/105至3.79/105)](EAPC=-0.18%)。死亡人数,DALYs,从1990年到2019年,CE导致的年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)和年龄标准化DALY率均呈下降趋势。2019年,女性的CE疾病负担高于男性。根据社会人口统计学指数(SDI),各地区的CEASMR存在显着差异,在高SDI地区,估计CE负担较低。从2020年到2030年,CE的全球ASIR预计将下降;然而,ASMR和年龄标准化的DALY率预计将上升。
    结论:全球CE负担仍然很高,建议将更多的卫生资源分配给低SDI地区,55~65岁的女性和老年人减少CE的疾病负担。
    BACKGROUND: Cystic echinococcosis (CE) is a neglected tropical parasitic disease that poses huge disease, social and economic burdens worldwide; however, there has been little knowledge on the global morbidity, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of CE until now. This study aimed to collect the most up-to-date data about the global, regional and national disease burden due to CE from 1990 to 2019 and to project trends in the next 10 years.
    METHODS: We measured the global, regional and national morbidity, mortality and DALYs of CE from 1990 to 2019 based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) data, and we examined the correlation between socioeconomic development levels and the disease burden of CE. In addition, the disease burden due to CE was projected from 2020 to 2030.
    RESULTS: The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of CE reduced from 2.65/105 [95% UI: (1.87/105 to 3.7/105)] in 1990 to 2.6/105 [95% UI: (1.72/105 to 3.79/105)] in 2019 (EAPC = -0.18%). The number of deaths, DALYs, age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized DALY rate due to CE all showed a tendency to decline from 1990 to 2019. A higher disease burden of CE was measured in women than in men in 2019. There was a significant difference in the ASMR of CE by region according to the socio-demographic index (SDI), and lower burdens of CE were estimated in high-SDI regions. The global ASIR of CE is projected to decline from 2020 to 2030; however, the ASMR and age-standardized DALY rate are projected to rise.
    CONCLUSIONS: The global burden of CE remains high, and it is recommended that more health resources are allocated to low-SDI regions, women and the elderly aged 55 to 65 years to reduce the disease burden of CE.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    丙型肝炎导致的肝癌(LCDHC)是全球癌症相关死亡的主要原因之一,LCDHC的负担正在增加。我们旨在报告LCDHC在全球的负担,区域,从1990年到2019年,204个国家的国家水平,按病因分层,性别,年龄,和社会人口指数。
    LCDHC的数据来自全球疾病负担,受伤,和2019年风险因素(GBD)研究。数字和年龄标准化死亡率,发病率,通过对GBD2019研究的建模数据进行系统分析,估计了每100,000人口的残疾调整生命年(DALY)率。使用年度百分比变化评估了LCDHC负担的趋势。
    全球,2019年,新增病例为152225例,141810人死亡,和2,878,024由于LCDHC的DALYs。从1990年到2019年,发病率、死亡率,DALY病例增加80.68%,67.50%,和37.20%,分别。然而,年龄标准化发病率,死亡率,在此期间,DALY率呈下降趋势。2019年,LCDHC的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)最高的是高收入亚太地区,北非和中东,和中亚。在区域一级,蒙古,埃及,2019年,日本的ASIRs最高的三个。LCDHC在男性中的发病率较高,并且随着年龄的增长而增加,2019年女性95岁以上年龄组和男性85-89岁年龄组发病率最高。在区域和国家层面,LCDHC的年龄标准化率与社会人口统计学指数值之间存在非线性关联。
    尽管LCDHC的年龄标准化比率有所下降,事故案件的绝对数量,死亡,DALY增加了,表明LCDHC仍然是一个重大的全球负担。此外,LCDHC的负担在地理上有所不同。男性和老年人的LCDHC负担较高。我们的发现为LCDHC的全球负担趋势提供了见解。政策制定者应建立适当的方法,以实现到2030年消除HCV的目标,并减轻LCDHC的负担。
    UNASSIGNED: Liver cancer due to hepatitis C (LCDHC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related deaths worldwide, and the burden of LCDHC is increasing. We aimed to report the burden of LCDHC at the global, regional, and national levels in 204 countries from 1990 to 2019, stratified by etiology, sex, age, and Sociodemographic Index.
    UNASSIGNED: Data on LCDHC were available from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) study 2019. Numbers and age-standardized mortality, incidence, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates per 100,000 population were estimated through a systematic analysis of modeled data from the GBD 2019 study. The trends in the LCDHC burden were assessed using the annual percentage change.
    UNASSIGNED: Globally, in 2019, there were 152,225 new cases, 141,810 deaths, and 2,878,024 DALYs due to LCDHC. From 1990 to 2019, the number of incidences, mortality, and DALY cases increased by 80.68%, 67.50%, and 37.20%, respectively. However, the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALY rate had a decreasing trend during this period. In 2019, the highest age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) of LCDHC were found in high-income Asia Pacific, North Africa and the Middle East, and Central Asia. At the regional level, Mongolia, Egypt, and Japan had the three highest ASIRs in 2019. The incidence rates of LCDHC were higher in men and increased with age, with a peak incidence in the 95+ age group for women and the 85-89 age group for men in 2019. A nonlinear association was found between the age-standardized rates of LCDHC and sociodemographic index values at the regional and national levels.
    UNASSIGNED: Although the age-standardized rates of LCDHC have decreased, the absolute numbers of incident cases, deaths, and DALYs have increased, indicating that LCDHC remains a significant global burden. In addition, the burden of LCDHC varies geographically. Male and older adult/s individuals have a higher burden of LCDHC. Our findings provide insight into the global burden trend of LCDHC. Policymakers should establish appropriate methods to achieve the HCV elimination target by 2030 and reducing the burden of LCDHC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:高血压与慢性肾脏病(CKD)之间的复杂关系对预防高血压相关CKD提出了全球性挑战。本研究的目的是分析年龄,性别,地区差异,高血压相关CKD疾病负担的演变趋势。我们的目标是估计发病率和死亡率的时空变化趋势,考虑到社会人口指数(SDI),有效地制定卫生战略。
    方法:年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)和死亡率(ASDR)来自GBD2019。趋势分析采用Joinpoint回归对1990年至2019年的ASR进行。进行空间自相关分析以获得空间模式。使用Pearson相关性分析估计SDI与高血压引起的CKD负担之间的关联。
    结果:由于高血压相关CKD导致的全球ASIR和ASDR分别为19.45(95%CI,17.85至21.09)和5.88(95%CI,4.95至6.82)。2019年,与1990年相比分别增加了17.89%和13.29%。老年人群和男性ASIR和ASDR最高。高SDI地区的ASIR最高,而低SDI地区经历了最高的ASDR。Joinpoint回归发现,全球ASIR和ASDR均呈增长趋势,在中高SDI地区观察到最高的增长,分别。SDI与ASIR呈正相关,但与ASIR的年平均百分比变化(AAPC)呈V型负相关。空间自相关分析为ASDR和ASIR的AAPC提供了显着的正空间自相关,从1990年到2019年。
    结论:结果达到了目标,并证明高血压相关CKD的全球负担不断上升。老化等因素,性别,在设计控制措施和开发医疗保健系统时,应考虑区域差异,以有效解决这一复杂状况的负担。
    The intricate relationship between hypertension and chronic kidney disease (CKD) presents a global challenge for prevention of hypertension-related CKD. This study\'s objective is to analyze age, gender, regional disparities, and evolving trends in the disease burden of hypertension-related CKD. We aim to estimate changing spatial and temporal trends in incidence and mortality rates, considering the socio-demographic index (SDI), to inform health strategies effectively.
    Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and death rates (ASDR) were collected from the GBD 2019. Trend analysis was conducted by Joinpoint regression of ASRs from 1990 to 2019. Spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed to obtain spatial patterns. The association between SDI and burden of CKD due to hypertension was estimated using a Pearson correlation analysis.
    The global ASIR and ASDR due to hypertension-related CKD were 19.45 (95% CI, 17.85 to 21.09) and 5.88 (95% CI, 4.95 to 6.82) per 100 K population in 2019, representing increases of 17.89% and 13.29% compared to 1990, respectively. The elderly population and males were found the highest ASIR and ASDR. The high SDI region had the highest ASIRs, while low SDI regions experienced the highest ASDRs. Joinpoint regression found both global ASIR and ASDR showed increasing trends, with the highest increases observed in middle- and high-SDI regions, respectively. The SDI exhibited a positive association with ASIRs but displayed an inverse V-shaped correlation with the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of ASIRs. Spatial autocorrelation analysis revel significant positive spatial autocorrelation for the AAPC of ASDRs and ASIRs, from 1990 to 2019.
    Results met the objectives, and demonstrated a rising global burden of hypertension-related CKD. Factors such as aging, gender, and regional variations should be considered when designing control measures and developing healthcare systems to effectively address the burden of this complex condition.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:这项横断面队列研究按年龄评估了食管癌风险的不平等,科威特的性与出生:1980-2019年。
    方法:使用科威特国家癌症注册中心的食道癌发病率数据,科威特相关人口数据和世界标准人口作为参考,计算总体和亚组的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)(每100,000人年).事件食管癌病例数过度分散,结构零点过多,因此,使用多变量零膨胀负二项(ZINB)模型进行分析。
    结果:食管癌的总体ASIR为10.51(95%CI:6.62-14.41)。多变量ZINB模型显示,与年轻年龄类别(<30岁)相比,较高年龄组的个体显示出显着(p<0.001)增加的食管癌发展趋势。此外,与非科威特居民相比,在研究期间,科威特国民显著(p<0.001)更有可能发生食道癌.此外,与1980-84年相比,在2015-19年之前的后续阶段,ASIR稳步显著下降(p<0.005)。
    结论:科威特的食管癌发病率很高,从1980年到2019年持续下降。老年人(年龄≥60岁)和,科威特国民患食道癌的风险很高。在这种情况下和其他类似情况下,有针对性的教育干预可以最大程度地减少高危人群的食道癌发病率。未来的研究可能会考虑评估这种干预措施。
    BACKGROUND: This cross-sectional cohort study assessed the inequalities in oesophageal carcinoma risk by age, sex and nativity in Kuwait: 1980-2019.
    METHODS: Using oesophageal cancer incidence data from the Kuwait National Cancer Registry, relevant Kuwaiti population data and World Standard Population as a reference, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) (per 100,000 person-years) overall and by subcohorts were computed. The incident oesophageal cancer cases count was overdispersed with excessive structural zeros, therefore, it was analyzed using multivariable zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) model.
    RESULTS: Overall ASIR of oesophageal cancer was 10.51 (95% CI:  6.62-14.41). The multivariable ZINB model showed that compared with the younger age category (< 30 years), the individuals in higher age groups showed a significant (p < 0.001) increasing tendency to develop the oesophageal cancer.  Furthermore, compared with the non-Kuwaiti residents, the Kuwaiti nationals were significantly (p < 0.001) more likely to develop oesophageal cancer during the study period. Moreover, compared with 1980-84 period, ASIRs steadily and significantly  (p < 0.005) declined in subsequent periods till 2015-19.
    CONCLUSIONS: A high incidence of oesophageal cancer was recorded in Kuwait, which consistently declined from 1980 to 2019. Older adults (aged ≥ 60 years) and, Kuwaiti nationals were at high risk of oesophageal cancer. Focused educational intervention may minimize oesophageal cancer incidence in high-risk groups in this and other similar settings. Future studies may contemplate to evaluate such an intervention.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:本研究的目的是调查韩国全国手机订阅率与全国脑肿瘤发病率之间的关系。全国手机订阅率被用作RF-EMR暴露评估的代理。
    方法:统计了1985年至2019年每100人的手机订阅数据,国际电信联盟(ITU)。使用国家癌症中心运营的韩国中央癌症登记处提供的1999年至2018年的脑肿瘤发病率数据。
    结果:在韩国,认购率从1991年的每100人0人增加到2000年的每100人57人。2009年的订阅率为每100人97人,2019年为每100人135人。对于10年之前的手机订阅率与每100,000的ASIR之间的相关系数,在3个良性脑肿瘤中报告了具有统计学意义的正相关系数(国际疾病分类,ICD-10代码,D32,D33和D32.0)和3种恶性脑肿瘤(ICD-10代码,C71.0、C71.1和C71.2)。恶性脑肿瘤中具有统计学意义的正相关系数为C71.0的0.75(95%CI0.46-0.90)至C71.1的0.85(95%CI0.63-0.93)。
    结论:考虑到RF-EMR暴露的主要途径是通过大脑的额颞侧(双耳的位置),可以理解额叶(C71.1)和颞叶(C71.2)中具有统计学意义的正相关系数。最近的队列和大人群国际研究的统计学意义上微不足道的结果以及许多先前病例对照研究的对比结果可能表明,在生态研究设计中,很难确定一个因素是疾病的决定因素。
    The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between the nationwide cell phone subscription rate and the nationwide incidence of brain tumors in South Korea. The nationwide cell phone subscription rate was used as a proxy for the RF-EMR exposure assessment.
    The data for cell phone subscriptions per 100 persons from 1985 to 2019 were found in the Statistics, International Telecom Union (ITU). The brain tumor incidence data from 1999 to 2018 provided by the South Korea Central Cancer Registry operated by the National Cancer Center were used.
    In South Korea, the subscription rate increased from 0 per 100 persons in 1991 to 57 per 100 persons in 2000. The subscription rate became 97 per 100 persons in 2009 and 135 per 100 persons in 2019. For the correlation coefficient between cell phone subscription rate before 10 years and ASIR per 100,000, a positive correlation coefficient with a statistical significance was reported in 3 benign brain tumors (International Classification of Diseases, ICD-10 code, D32, D33, and D32.0) and in 3 malignant brain tumors (ICD-10 code, C71.0, C71.1, and C71.2). Positive correlation coefficients with a statistical significance in malignant brain tumors ranged from 0.75 (95% CI 0.46-0.90) for C71.0 to 0.85 (95% CI 0.63-0.93) for C71.1.
    In consideration of the fact that the main route for RF-EMR exposure has been through the frontotemporal side of the brain (the location of both ears), the positive correlation coefficient with a statistical significance in the frontal lobe (C71.1) and temporal lobe (C71.2) can be understood. Statistically insignificant results from recent cohort and large population international studies and contrasting results from many previous case-control studies could indicate a difficulty in identifying a factor as a determinant of a disease in ecological study design.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED:本研究旨在评估1990年至2019年全球结直肠癌(CRC)趋势和相关风险因素,并更好地制定政策和分配资源。
    未经验证:CRC上的数据,包括发病率,死亡率和残疾调整寿命年(DALY)率,摘自2019年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究。计算估计的年度百分比变化(EAPC)以评估发病率的时间趋势,死亡率和DALY。贝叶斯年龄周期队列模型(BAPC)用于预测未来的CRC负担。
    UNASSIGNED:2019年,全球共报告了217万例CRC病例,比1990年增加157%。在高社会人口指数(SDI)地区,年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)呈下降趋势,而50岁以下的人口比例有增加的趋势。尽管死亡人数和DALY人数有所增加,年龄标准化死亡率(ASDR)和年龄标准化死亡率下降.在SDI中部地区,CRC负担增长最快,尤其是在东亚,其次是低SDI地区。此外,牛奶摄入量,高BMI和高空腹血糖在CRC发病中的作用越来越重要。到2044年,全球预测的病例和死亡人数继续增加。男性和女性的ASIR都有上升的趋势。
    未经评估:在发达地区,儿童权利委员会的负担继续减轻,而发展中地区的CRC负担变得越来越严重。总的来说,在不久的将来,儿童权利委员会的负担将会上升。因此,应实施合理的资源分配和预防政策。发展中国家需要更多的关注。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to evaluate the global colorectal cancer(CRC) trend and the relevant risk factors from 1990 to 2019 and for better policymaking and resource allocation.
    UNASSIGNED: Data on CRC, including incidence, mortality and disability adjusted life year (DALY) rates, were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to assess the temporal trend of incidence, mortality and DALYs. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model(BAPC) was used to predict the future burden of CRC.
    UNASSIGNED: In 2019, a total of 2.17 million CRC cases were reported worldwide, a 157% increase from 1990. In high-social demographic index (SDI) regions, the trend of age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR) tended to decrease, while the proportion of people under 50 years of age tended to increase. Although the number of deaths and DALYs increased, the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and age-standardized DALY rate decreased. The CRC burden was growing fastest in middle-SDI regions, especially in East Asia, followed by low SDI regions. In addition, the milk intake, High-BMI and high fasting plasma glucose play a more important role in on CRC. The predicted cases and deaths in global continued to increase to 2044. And there is an upward trend in ASIR for both men and women.
    UNASSIGNED: In developed regions, the CRC burden continues to decrease, while the CRC burden become more and more severe in developing regions. Overall, the burden of CRC will rising in the near future. Therefore, reasonable resource allocation and prevention policies should be implemented. Developing countries needs more attention.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:全面分析肝细胞癌(HCC)的发病率趋势对于规划公共卫生计划很重要。我们旨在分析韩国肝癌发病率超过10年的趋势,并预测2028年的发病率。
    方法:来自2008年至2018年新诊断HCC患者的数据来自韩国国家健康保险服务数据库。计算年龄标准化发病率(ASRs)以比较HCC发病率。使用泊松回归模型来预测HCC的未来发病率。
    结果:平均粗发病率(CR)为每100,000人年22.4,2008年至2018年,平均ASR为每10万人年17.6。在过去的十年中,所有年龄段的HCC发病率的CR(从23.9到21.2/100,000人年)和ASR(从21.9到14.3/100,000人年)下降。除了老年人。年龄≥80岁患者的ASR显着增加(从70.0增加到160.2/100,000人年;平均每年百分比变化,+9.00%;P<0.001)。估计的CR(17.9每100,000人年)和ASR(9.7每100,000人年)的HCC发病率在2028年下降,但是2028年≥80岁的HCC患者人数将比2008年的HCC患者人数多四倍(从521到2,055),2028年占所有HCC患者的21.3%。
    结论:过去10年来,韩国HCC的ASR逐渐下降,但是号码,CR,年龄≥80岁的患者ASR升高。
    A comprehensive analysis of trends in the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is important for planning public health initiatives. We aimed to analyze the trends in HCC incidence in South Korea over 10 years and to predict the incidence for the year 2028.
    Data from patients with newly diagnosed HCC between 2008 and 2018 were obtained from Korean National Health Insurance Service database. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) were calculated to compare HCC incidence. A poisson regression model was used to predict the future incidence of HCC.
    The average crude incidence rate (CR) was 22.4 per 100,000 person-years, and the average ASR was 17.6 per 100,000 person-years between 2008 and 2018. The CR (from 23.9 to 21.2 per 100,000 person-years) and ASR (from 21.9 to 14.3 per 100,000 person-years) of HCC incidence decreased during the past ten years in all age groups, except in the elderly. The ASR of patients aged ≥80 years increased significantly (from 70.0 to 160.2/100,000 person-years; average annual percent change, +9.00%; P<0.001). The estimated CR (17.9 per 100,000 person-years) and ASR (9.7 per 100,000 person-years) of HCC incidence in 2028 was declined, but the number of HCC patients aged ≥80 years in 2028 will be quadruple greater than the number of HCC patients in 2008 (from 521 to 2,055), comprising 21.3% of all HCC patients in 2028.
    The ASRs of HCC in Korea have gradually declined over the past 10 years, but the number, CR, and ASR are increasing in patients aged ≥80 years.
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