age-standardized incidence rate

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    黄病毒对全球健康构成持续威胁,然而,它们在全球范围内的负担和趋势仍然缺乏量化。我们的目标是评估全球,区域,和三种常见黄病毒感染的国家发病率(登革热,黄热病,和寨卡)从2011年到2021年。
    从全球疾病负担中检索了204个国家和地区三种常见黄病毒感染的数量和发病率数据,受伤,和风险因素研究(GBD)2021年。估算的年度百分比变化(EAPC)分别用于量化2011-2016年,2016-2019年和2019-2021年的时间趋势。
    在2021年,全球估计有59,220,428人被感染,包括58,964,185例登革热病例,86509例黄热病,寨卡病毒感染169,734例。从2011年至2016年,全球三种常见黄病毒感染的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)每年平均增加5.08%(95%CI4.12至6.05),而从2016年至2019年,每年平均减少-8.37%(95%CI-12.46至-4.08)。ASIR在2019-2021年期间保持稳定,全球三种常见黄病毒感染的平均变化为0.69%(95%CI-0.96至2.37)。区域,三种常见的黄病毒感染的负担主要集中在中等收入地区,比如南亚,东南亚,热带拉丁美洲。此外,在国家一级,SDI水平和ASI之间存在倒置的“U”关系。值得注意的是,在全球范围内,感染病例的平均年龄有所增加,特别是在高收入地区。
    黄病毒感染是全球范围内日益增加的公共卫生问题,发病率有相当大的地区和人口差异。政策制定者和医疗保健提供者必须对COVID-19和其他环境因素对黄病毒感染风险的影响保持警惕,并为未来可能的疫情爆发做好准备。
    UNASSIGNED: Flavivirus pose a continued threat to global health, yet their worldwide burden and trends remain poorly quantified. We aimed to evaluate the global, regional, and national incidence of three common flavivirus infections (Dengue, yellow fever, and Zika) from 2011 to 2021.
    UNASSIGNED: Data on the number and rate of incidence for the three common flavivirus infection in 204 countries and territories were retrieved from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021. The estimated annual percent change (EAPC) was calculated to quantify the temporal trend during 2011-2016, 2016-2019, and 2019-2021, respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: In 2021, an estimated 59,220,428 individuals were infected globally, comprising 58,964,185 cases of dengue, 86,509 cases of yellow fever, and 169,734 cases of Zika virus infection. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of the three common flavivirus infections increased by an annual average of 5.08% (95% CI 4.12 to 6.05) globally from 2011 to 2016, whereas decreased by an annual average of -8.37% (95% CI -12.46 to -4.08) per year between 2016 to 2019. The ASIR remained stable during 2019-2021, with an average change of 0.69% (95% CI -0.96 to 2.37) per year globally for the three common flavivirus infections. Regionally, the burden of the three common flavivirus infections was primarily concentrated in those regions with middle income, such as South Asia, Southeast Asia, and Tropical Latin America. Additionally, at the country level, there was an inverted \"U\" relationship between the SDI level and the ASI. Notably, an increase in the average age of infected cases has been observed worldwide, particularly in higher-income regions.
    UNASSIGNED: Flavivirus infections are an expanding public health concern worldwide, with considerable regional and demographic variation in the incidence. Policymakers and healthcare providers must stay vigilant regarding the impact of COVID-19 and other environmental factors on the risk of flavivirus infection and be prepared for potential future outbreaks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:囊性包虫病(CE)是一种被忽视的热带寄生虫病,会引起巨大的疾病,世界范围内的社会和经济负担;然而,对全球发病率知之甚少,到目前为止,CE的死亡率和残疾调整寿命年(DALYs)。这项研究旨在收集有关全球的最新数据,1990年至2019年CE造成的区域和国家疾病负担,并预测未来10年的趋势。
    方法:我们测量了全球,区域和国家发病率,根据2019年全球疾病负担研究(GBD2019)数据,1990年至2019年的CE死亡率和DALYs,我们研究了社会经济发展水平与CE疾病负担之间的相关性。此外,CE造成的疾病负担预计从2020年到2030年。
    结果:CE的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)从1990年的2.65/105[95%UI:(1.87/105至3.7/105)]降低到2019年的2.6/105[95%UI:(1.72/105至3.79/105)](EAPC=-0.18%)。死亡人数,DALYs,从1990年到2019年,CE导致的年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)和年龄标准化DALY率均呈下降趋势。2019年,女性的CE疾病负担高于男性。根据社会人口统计学指数(SDI),各地区的CEASMR存在显着差异,在高SDI地区,估计CE负担较低。从2020年到2030年,CE的全球ASIR预计将下降;然而,ASMR和年龄标准化的DALY率预计将上升。
    结论:全球CE负担仍然很高,建议将更多的卫生资源分配给低SDI地区,55~65岁的女性和老年人减少CE的疾病负担。
    BACKGROUND: Cystic echinococcosis (CE) is a neglected tropical parasitic disease that poses huge disease, social and economic burdens worldwide; however, there has been little knowledge on the global morbidity, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of CE until now. This study aimed to collect the most up-to-date data about the global, regional and national disease burden due to CE from 1990 to 2019 and to project trends in the next 10 years.
    METHODS: We measured the global, regional and national morbidity, mortality and DALYs of CE from 1990 to 2019 based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) data, and we examined the correlation between socioeconomic development levels and the disease burden of CE. In addition, the disease burden due to CE was projected from 2020 to 2030.
    RESULTS: The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of CE reduced from 2.65/105 [95% UI: (1.87/105 to 3.7/105)] in 1990 to 2.6/105 [95% UI: (1.72/105 to 3.79/105)] in 2019 (EAPC = -0.18%). The number of deaths, DALYs, age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized DALY rate due to CE all showed a tendency to decline from 1990 to 2019. A higher disease burden of CE was measured in women than in men in 2019. There was a significant difference in the ASMR of CE by region according to the socio-demographic index (SDI), and lower burdens of CE were estimated in high-SDI regions. The global ASIR of CE is projected to decline from 2020 to 2030; however, the ASMR and age-standardized DALY rate are projected to rise.
    CONCLUSIONS: The global burden of CE remains high, and it is recommended that more health resources are allocated to low-SDI regions, women and the elderly aged 55 to 65 years to reduce the disease burden of CE.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    丙型肝炎导致的肝癌(LCDHC)是全球癌症相关死亡的主要原因之一,LCDHC的负担正在增加。我们旨在报告LCDHC在全球的负担,区域,从1990年到2019年,204个国家的国家水平,按病因分层,性别,年龄,和社会人口指数。
    LCDHC的数据来自全球疾病负担,受伤,和2019年风险因素(GBD)研究。数字和年龄标准化死亡率,发病率,通过对GBD2019研究的建模数据进行系统分析,估计了每100,000人口的残疾调整生命年(DALY)率。使用年度百分比变化评估了LCDHC负担的趋势。
    全球,2019年,新增病例为152225例,141810人死亡,和2,878,024由于LCDHC的DALYs。从1990年到2019年,发病率、死亡率,DALY病例增加80.68%,67.50%,和37.20%,分别。然而,年龄标准化发病率,死亡率,在此期间,DALY率呈下降趋势。2019年,LCDHC的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)最高的是高收入亚太地区,北非和中东,和中亚。在区域一级,蒙古,埃及,2019年,日本的ASIRs最高的三个。LCDHC在男性中的发病率较高,并且随着年龄的增长而增加,2019年女性95岁以上年龄组和男性85-89岁年龄组发病率最高。在区域和国家层面,LCDHC的年龄标准化率与社会人口统计学指数值之间存在非线性关联。
    尽管LCDHC的年龄标准化比率有所下降,事故案件的绝对数量,死亡,DALY增加了,表明LCDHC仍然是一个重大的全球负担。此外,LCDHC的负担在地理上有所不同。男性和老年人的LCDHC负担较高。我们的发现为LCDHC的全球负担趋势提供了见解。政策制定者应建立适当的方法,以实现到2030年消除HCV的目标,并减轻LCDHC的负担。
    UNASSIGNED: Liver cancer due to hepatitis C (LCDHC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related deaths worldwide, and the burden of LCDHC is increasing. We aimed to report the burden of LCDHC at the global, regional, and national levels in 204 countries from 1990 to 2019, stratified by etiology, sex, age, and Sociodemographic Index.
    UNASSIGNED: Data on LCDHC were available from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) study 2019. Numbers and age-standardized mortality, incidence, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates per 100,000 population were estimated through a systematic analysis of modeled data from the GBD 2019 study. The trends in the LCDHC burden were assessed using the annual percentage change.
    UNASSIGNED: Globally, in 2019, there were 152,225 new cases, 141,810 deaths, and 2,878,024 DALYs due to LCDHC. From 1990 to 2019, the number of incidences, mortality, and DALY cases increased by 80.68%, 67.50%, and 37.20%, respectively. However, the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALY rate had a decreasing trend during this period. In 2019, the highest age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) of LCDHC were found in high-income Asia Pacific, North Africa and the Middle East, and Central Asia. At the regional level, Mongolia, Egypt, and Japan had the three highest ASIRs in 2019. The incidence rates of LCDHC were higher in men and increased with age, with a peak incidence in the 95+ age group for women and the 85-89 age group for men in 2019. A nonlinear association was found between the age-standardized rates of LCDHC and sociodemographic index values at the regional and national levels.
    UNASSIGNED: Although the age-standardized rates of LCDHC have decreased, the absolute numbers of incident cases, deaths, and DALYs have increased, indicating that LCDHC remains a significant global burden. In addition, the burden of LCDHC varies geographically. Male and older adult/s individuals have a higher burden of LCDHC. Our findings provide insight into the global burden trend of LCDHC. Policymakers should establish appropriate methods to achieve the HCV elimination target by 2030 and reducing the burden of LCDHC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:高血压与慢性肾脏病(CKD)之间的复杂关系对预防高血压相关CKD提出了全球性挑战。本研究的目的是分析年龄,性别,地区差异,高血压相关CKD疾病负担的演变趋势。我们的目标是估计发病率和死亡率的时空变化趋势,考虑到社会人口指数(SDI),有效地制定卫生战略。
    方法:年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)和死亡率(ASDR)来自GBD2019。趋势分析采用Joinpoint回归对1990年至2019年的ASR进行。进行空间自相关分析以获得空间模式。使用Pearson相关性分析估计SDI与高血压引起的CKD负担之间的关联。
    结果:由于高血压相关CKD导致的全球ASIR和ASDR分别为19.45(95%CI,17.85至21.09)和5.88(95%CI,4.95至6.82)。2019年,与1990年相比分别增加了17.89%和13.29%。老年人群和男性ASIR和ASDR最高。高SDI地区的ASIR最高,而低SDI地区经历了最高的ASDR。Joinpoint回归发现,全球ASIR和ASDR均呈增长趋势,在中高SDI地区观察到最高的增长,分别。SDI与ASIR呈正相关,但与ASIR的年平均百分比变化(AAPC)呈V型负相关。空间自相关分析为ASDR和ASIR的AAPC提供了显着的正空间自相关,从1990年到2019年。
    结论:结果达到了目标,并证明高血压相关CKD的全球负担不断上升。老化等因素,性别,在设计控制措施和开发医疗保健系统时,应考虑区域差异,以有效解决这一复杂状况的负担。
    The intricate relationship between hypertension and chronic kidney disease (CKD) presents a global challenge for prevention of hypertension-related CKD. This study\'s objective is to analyze age, gender, regional disparities, and evolving trends in the disease burden of hypertension-related CKD. We aim to estimate changing spatial and temporal trends in incidence and mortality rates, considering the socio-demographic index (SDI), to inform health strategies effectively.
    Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and death rates (ASDR) were collected from the GBD 2019. Trend analysis was conducted by Joinpoint regression of ASRs from 1990 to 2019. Spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed to obtain spatial patterns. The association between SDI and burden of CKD due to hypertension was estimated using a Pearson correlation analysis.
    The global ASIR and ASDR due to hypertension-related CKD were 19.45 (95% CI, 17.85 to 21.09) and 5.88 (95% CI, 4.95 to 6.82) per 100 K population in 2019, representing increases of 17.89% and 13.29% compared to 1990, respectively. The elderly population and males were found the highest ASIR and ASDR. The high SDI region had the highest ASIRs, while low SDI regions experienced the highest ASDRs. Joinpoint regression found both global ASIR and ASDR showed increasing trends, with the highest increases observed in middle- and high-SDI regions, respectively. The SDI exhibited a positive association with ASIRs but displayed an inverse V-shaped correlation with the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of ASIRs. Spatial autocorrelation analysis revel significant positive spatial autocorrelation for the AAPC of ASDRs and ASIRs, from 1990 to 2019.
    Results met the objectives, and demonstrated a rising global burden of hypertension-related CKD. Factors such as aging, gender, and regional variations should be considered when designing control measures and developing healthcare systems to effectively address the burden of this complex condition.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED:本研究旨在评估1990年至2019年全球结直肠癌(CRC)趋势和相关风险因素,并更好地制定政策和分配资源。
    未经验证:CRC上的数据,包括发病率,死亡率和残疾调整寿命年(DALY)率,摘自2019年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究。计算估计的年度百分比变化(EAPC)以评估发病率的时间趋势,死亡率和DALY。贝叶斯年龄周期队列模型(BAPC)用于预测未来的CRC负担。
    UNASSIGNED:2019年,全球共报告了217万例CRC病例,比1990年增加157%。在高社会人口指数(SDI)地区,年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)呈下降趋势,而50岁以下的人口比例有增加的趋势。尽管死亡人数和DALY人数有所增加,年龄标准化死亡率(ASDR)和年龄标准化死亡率下降.在SDI中部地区,CRC负担增长最快,尤其是在东亚,其次是低SDI地区。此外,牛奶摄入量,高BMI和高空腹血糖在CRC发病中的作用越来越重要。到2044年,全球预测的病例和死亡人数继续增加。男性和女性的ASIR都有上升的趋势。
    未经评估:在发达地区,儿童权利委员会的负担继续减轻,而发展中地区的CRC负担变得越来越严重。总的来说,在不久的将来,儿童权利委员会的负担将会上升。因此,应实施合理的资源分配和预防政策。发展中国家需要更多的关注。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to evaluate the global colorectal cancer(CRC) trend and the relevant risk factors from 1990 to 2019 and for better policymaking and resource allocation.
    UNASSIGNED: Data on CRC, including incidence, mortality and disability adjusted life year (DALY) rates, were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to assess the temporal trend of incidence, mortality and DALYs. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model(BAPC) was used to predict the future burden of CRC.
    UNASSIGNED: In 2019, a total of 2.17 million CRC cases were reported worldwide, a 157% increase from 1990. In high-social demographic index (SDI) regions, the trend of age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR) tended to decrease, while the proportion of people under 50 years of age tended to increase. Although the number of deaths and DALYs increased, the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and age-standardized DALY rate decreased. The CRC burden was growing fastest in middle-SDI regions, especially in East Asia, followed by low SDI regions. In addition, the milk intake, High-BMI and high fasting plasma glucose play a more important role in on CRC. The predicted cases and deaths in global continued to increase to 2044. And there is an upward trend in ASIR for both men and women.
    UNASSIGNED: In developed regions, the CRC burden continues to decrease, while the CRC burden become more and more severe in developing regions. Overall, the burden of CRC will rising in the near future. Therefore, reasonable resource allocation and prevention policies should be implemented. Developing countries needs more attention.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Dengue is the most prevalent and rapidly spreading mosquito-borne viral disease. We present the global, regional, and national burden of dengue from 1990 to 2019 based on the findings from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injures, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019).
    METHODS: Based upon GBD 2019 dengue data on age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate, this study estimates and presents annual percentage change (EAPC) to quantify trends over time to assess potential correlates of increased dengue activity such as global travel, and warming.
    RESULTS: Globally from 1990 to 2019, dengue incident cases, deaths and DALYs gradually increased. Those under 5, once accounting for the largest portion of deaths and DALYs in 1990, were eclipsed by those 15-49 years old in 2019. Age standardized incidence (ASIR: EAPC 3.16, 95%CI: 2.90-3.43), death (ASDR: EAPC 5.42, 95%CI: 2.64-8.28), and DALY rates (EAPC 2.31, 95%CI: 2.00-2.62) accelerated most among high-middle and high socio-demographic index (SDI) regions. Southeast Asia and South Asia had most of the dengue incident cases, deaths and DALYs, but East Asia had the fastest rise in ASIR (EAPC 4.57, 95%CI: 4.31, 4.82), while Tropical Latin America led in ASDR (EAPC 11.32, 95%CI: 9.11, 13.58) and age-standardized DALYs rate (EAPC 4.13, 95%CI: 2.98, 5.29). SDI showed consistent bell shape relationship with ASIR, ASDR and age-standardized DALYs rate. Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index and air passenger travel metrics were found to be remarkably positively correlated with dengue burden.
    CONCLUSIONS: The burden of dengue has become heavier from 1990 to 2019, amidst the three decades of urbanization, warming climates and increased human mobility in much of the world. Southeast Asia and South Asia remain regions of concern, especially in conjunction with the Americas swift rise in dengue burden.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:尽管几十年来环境卫生和个人卫生措施的改进和疫苗的引进,甲型肝炎已在全球范围内多次爆发。我们使用来自全球疾病负担(GBD)研究的数据来量化全球甲型肝炎负担,区域和国家层面。
    方法:年度事件病例,死亡,年龄标准化发病率(ASIRs),1990年至2019年间甲型肝炎的年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)来自GBD2019研究。病例和死亡的百分比变化,并计算ASIR和ASMR的估计年度百分比变化(EAPC)以量化其时间趋势。
    结果:全球甲型肝炎事件病例从1990年的1.3954亿增加到2019年的1.5894亿,增加了13.90%。甲型肝炎的ASIR保持稳定(EAPC=0.00,95%CI-0.01至0.01),而ASMR在1990年至2019年期间下降(EAPC=-4.63,95%CI-4.94至-4.32)。在低(EAPC=0.09,95%CI0.04至0.14)和中低(EAPC=0.04,95%CI0.03至0.06)社会人口指数(SDI)地区,ASIR增加。对于GBD地区,在高收入亚太地区检测到ASIR的最显著增长(EAPC=0.53,95%CI0.41至0.66),大洋洲(EAPC=0.31,95%CI0.25至0.36),和澳大拉西亚(EAPC=0.28,95%CI0.13至0.44)。在SDI值≥0.7的国家和地区,ASIR的EAPC与SDI值呈正相关(ρ=-0.310,p<0.001)。
    结论:有一个不利的趋势,甲型肝炎仍在高流行地区待发,而在低流行地区出现。这些强调需要有针对性和具体的战略来消除甲型肝炎,如卫生措施和全面的甲型肝炎监测和疫苗接种计划
    OBJECTIVE: Despite decades of improved sanitation and hygiene measures and vaccine introduction, hepatitis A has been spread through numerous outbreaks globally. We used data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study to quantify hepatitis A burden at the global, regional and national levels.
    METHODS: Annual incident cases, deaths, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of hepatitis A between 1990 and 2019 were derived from the GBD study 2019. Percentage changes of cases and deaths, and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) of ASIRs and ASMRs were calculated to quantify their temporal trends.
    RESULTS: Global hepatitis A incident cases increased by 13.90% from 139.54 million in 1990 to 158.94 million in 2019. ASIR of hepatitis A remained stable (EAPC = 0.00, 95% CI -0.01 to 0.01), whereas ASMR decreased (EAPC = -4.63, 95% CI -4.94 to -4.32) between 1990 and 2019. ASIR increased in low (EAPC = 0.09, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.14) and low-middle (EAPC = 0.04, 95% CI 0.03 to 0.06) socio-demographic index (SDI) regions. For GBD regions, the most significant increases of ASIR were detected in high-income Asia Pacific (EAPC = 0.53, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.66), Oceania (EAPC = 0.31, 95% CI 0.25 to 0.36), and Australasia (EAPC = 0.28, 95% CI 0.13 to 0.44). EAPC of ASIR was positively associated with SDI value in countries and territories with SDI value ≥ 0.7 (ρ = -0.310, p < 0.001).
    CONCLUSIONS: There is an unfavorable trend that hepatitis A is still pending in hyperendemic regions and is emerging in low endemic regions. These highlight the need of targeted and specific strategies to eliminate hepatitis A, such as sanitation measures and a comprehensive plan for surveillance and vaccination against hepatitis A.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Data on kidney cancer burden are valuable for health-related policy making.
    OBJECTIVE: To report the results of the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study on global kidney cancer burden estimates grouped by gender, age, region, country or territory, and sociodemographic index (SDI) from 1990 to 2017.
    METHODS: This study is based on the Global Burden of Disease database.
    UNASSIGNED: We report here detailed estimates and temporal trends of the burden estimates of kidney cancer from 1990 to 2017, stratified by gender and age, in 195 countries and territories. We further evaluated the relationship between these estimates and the SDI, a composite indicator of income per person, years of education, and fertility as a measurement of the socioeconomic level of a country/region. The percentage change and estimated annual percentage change of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were calculated to quantify temporal trends.
    CONCLUSIONS: Globally, age-standardized incidence rates, age-standardized death rates, and DALYs of kidney cancer in males exhibited an increase of 0.387%/yr, 0.345%/yr, and 0.046%/yr, respectively, from 1990 to 2017. This trend was mainly due to the increase in middle and low-middle SDI quintile countries. However, in females, decreasing trends of -0.324%/yr, -0.330%/yr, and -0.669%/yr, respectively, were observed. These trends were mainly due to the decrease in high, high-middle, and middle SDI quintile countries. Study limitations included differences in data collection practices, coding systems, and quality of data sources.
    CONCLUSIONS: The burden estimate pattern of kidney cancer trends varies widely between genders and throughout the world. Low-middle and middle SDI quintile countries face the highest burden estimates, especially for males. Efforts to increase health care investment are needed in these countries.
    UNASSIGNED: The global burden estimate of kidney cancer trends increased in males; however, it decreased in females.
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