disability-adjusted life years

残疾调整寿命年
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:真菌性皮肤病是世界范围内分布不均的常见皮肤病。
    目的:本研究旨在分析全球真菌性皮肤病负担的时空趋势,区域,从1990年到2021年的全国水平。
    方法:根据从2021年全球疾病负担研究(GBD)获得的数据,我们描述了事件案例,普遍的情况下,残疾调整生命年数(DALYs),按性别分列的1990年和2021年真菌性皮肤病的相应年龄标准化率(ASR),年龄,社会人口指数(SDI),21个GBD地区,204个国家和地区。我们使用Joinpoint回归分析来评估1990年至2021年真菌性皮肤病负担的时间趋势。采用Spearman秩检验分析疾病负担与潜在因素的关系。
    结果:从1990年到2021年,事件案例,普遍的情况下,全球真菌性皮肤病的DALYs增加了67.93%,67.73%,和66.77%,分别。全球范围内,年龄标准化发病率(ASIR),年龄标准化患病率(ASPR),2021年真菌性皮肤病的年龄标准化DALYs比率(ASDR)为每100,000人口21668.40(95%UI:19601.19-23729.17),每100,000人口7789.55(95%UI:7059.28-8583.54),和每100,000人口43.39(95%UI:17.79-89.10),分别。在1990年至2021年之间,ASIR,ASPR,真菌性皮肤病的ASDR略有增加,AAPC为11.71%(95%置信区间[CI]:11.03%-12.39%),19.24%(95%CI:18.12%-20.36%),和20.25%(95%CI:19.33%-21.18%),分别。男性比女性经历了更高的真菌皮肤病负担。事件案例,普遍的情况下,真菌性皮肤病的DALYs在5-9岁时最高,而ASR在老年人中最高。在国家一级,在尼日利亚观察到最高的ASR,埃塞俄比亚,马里。总的来说,SDI与ASR呈负相关,而全球陆地-海洋温度指数(GLOTI)与真菌性皮肤病的负担显着正相关。
    结论:在1990年至2021年之间,真菌性皮肤病的全球负担有所增加,在世界范围内造成很高的疾病负担,特别是在欠发达地区和儿童和老人等弱势群体中。随着全球变暖和人口老龄化,未来真菌性皮肤病的负担可能会继续增加。应采取有针对性的具体措施来解决这些差异和真菌性皮肤病的持续负担。
    BACKGROUND: Fungal skin diseases are common skin diseases with a heterogeneous distribution worldwide.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyse the spatiotemporal trends in the burden of fungal skin diseases at global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2021.
    METHODS: Based on the data obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021, we described the incident cases, prevalent cases, number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and corresponding age-standardised rates (ASRs) for fungal skin diseases in 1990 and 2021 by sex, age, socio-demographic index (SDI), 21 GBD regions, and 204 countries and territories. We used Joinpoint regression analysis to assess the temporal trends in burden of fungal skin diseases during 1990 to 2021. Spearman\'s rank test was used to analyse the relationship between disease burden and potential factors.
    RESULTS: From 1990 to 2021, the incident cases, prevalent cases, and DALYs for fungal skin diseases worldwide increased by 67.93%, 67.73%, and 66.77%, respectively. Globally, the age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardised prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardised DALYs rate (ASDR) for fungal skin diseases in 2021 were 21668.40 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 19601.19-23729.17), 7789.55 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 7059.28-8583.54), and 43.39 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 17.79-89.10), respectively. Between 1990 and 2021, the ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR for fungal skin diseases have modestly increased, with AAPC of 11.71% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.03%-12.39%), 19.24% (95% CI: 18.12%-20.36%), and 20.25% (95% CI: 19.33%-21.18%), respectively. Males experienced a higher burden of fungal skin diseases than females. The incident cases, prevalent cases, and DALYs for fungal skin diseases were highest at the age of 5-9, while the ASRs were highest among the elderly. At national level, the highest ASRs were observed in Nigeria, Ethiopia, and Mali. Overall, SDI was negatively correlated with the ASRs, whereas Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index (GLOTI) was remarkably positively correlated with the burden of fungal skin diseases.
    CONCLUSIONS: Between 1990 and 2021, the global burden of fungal skin diseases has increased, causing a high disease burden worldwide, particularly in underdeveloped regions and among vulnerable population such as children and the elderly. With global warming and aging of the population, the burden of fungal skin diseases may continue to increase in the future. Targeted and specific measures should be taken to address these disparities and the ongoing burden of fungal skin diseases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:偏头痛,广泛的神经系统疾病,大大影响生活质量,特别是青少年和年轻人。虽然影响很大,关于年轻人口统计学中偏头痛负担的全球综合研究仍然很少。我们的研究试图阐明全球患病率,发病率,利用全球疾病负担(GBD)2021研究的数据,从1990年到2021年15-39岁年龄组与偏头痛相关的残疾调整寿命年(DALYs)。
    方法:我们的综合研究分析了GBD2021报告中的偏头痛数据,检查患病率,发病率,在32年的时间里,有204个国家和地区的DALY。我们按年龄对信息进行分层,性别,Year,地理区域,和社会人口指数(SDI)。为了评估这些指标的时间趋势,我们采用了估计的年度百分比变化(EAPC)计算。
    结果:在1990年至2021年之间,全球15-39岁人群中偏头痛的患病率大幅增加。到2021年,估计报告了5.938亿例病例,比1990年的4.256亿例增加了39.52%。全球趋势显示年龄标准化患病率增加,发病率,这一时期偏头痛的死亡率。EAPC对所有三个指标均为阳性:ASPR为0.09,0.03对于ASIR,和0.09的DALY率。SDI中等的地区报告的流行病例绝对数量最高,事件案例,和2021年的DALY。然而,高SDI地区显示出总体上最高的发病率。在全球范围内,偏头痛患病率在35-39岁年龄组达到峰值.值得注意的是,在所有年龄类别中,女性比率始终超过男性比率.
    结论:从1990年到2021年,偏头痛对年轻人和年轻人的全球影响已大大增加,这表明SDI地区之间存在显着差异。国家,年龄组,和性别。这种不断升级的负担需要有针对性的干预措施和公共卫生举措,尤其是在受偏头痛影响严重的地区和人群中。
    BACKGROUND: Migraine, a widespread neurological condition, substantially affects the quality of life, particularly for adolescents and young adults. While its impact is significant, there remains a paucity of comprehensive global research on the burden of migraine in younger demographics. Our study sought to elucidate the global prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with migraine in the 15-39 age group from 1990 to 2021, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study.
    METHODS: Our comprehensive study analyzed migraine data from the GBD 2021 report, examining the prevalence, incidence, and DALYs across 204 countries and territories over a 32-year span. We stratified the information by age, sex, year, geographical region, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). To evaluate temporal trends in these metrics, we employed the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) calculation.
    RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2021, the worldwide prevalence of migraine among 15-39 year-olds increased substantially. By 2021, an estimated 593.8 million cases were reported, representing a 39.52% rise from 425.6 million cases in 1990. Global trends showed increases in age-standardized prevalence rate, incidence rate, and DALY rate for migraine during this period. The EAPC were positive for all three metrics: 0.09 for ASPR, 0.03 for ASIR, and 0.09 for DALY rate. Regions with medium SDI reported the highest absolute numbers of prevalent cases, incident cases, and DALYs in 2021. However, high SDI regions demonstrated the most elevated rates overall. Across the globe, migraine prevalence peaked in the 35-39 age group. Notably, female rates consistently exceeded male rates across all age categories.
    CONCLUSIONS: The global impact of migraine on youths and young adults has grown considerably from 1990 to 2021, revealing notable variations across SDI regions, countries, age groups, and sexes. This escalating burden necessitates targeted interventions and public health initiatives, especially in areas and populations disproportionately affected by migraine.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    确定按性别和国家划分的臭氧相关慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)负担的长期时空趋势,并探索潜在的驱动因素。
    我们从2019年全球疾病负担中检索了与臭氧相关的COPD死亡和残疾调整生命年(DALY)的数据。我们使用年龄标准化率(ASR)的自然对数与日历年的线性回归来检查ASR的趋势,并使用面板回归来确定与趋势相关的国家/地区因素。
    在1990年至2019年期间,全球由臭氧引起的COPD死亡人数在男性中从117,114人增加到208,342人,在女性中从90,265人增加到156,880人。尽管臭氧相关COPD死亡和DALY的ASR在全球范围内有所下降,他们在中低社会人口指数(SDI)地区有所增加,女性的崛起速度更快。平均最高温度升高与较高的臭氧可归因于COPD的负荷有关,而更多的绿色空间与更低的负担相关。
    在中低SDI地区需要更多的努力,尤其是对女性来说,以减少臭氧可归因于COPD的国家间不平等。全球变暖可能会加剧这种负担。扩大绿色空间可以减轻负担。
    UNASSIGNED: To identify the long-term spatiotemporal trend of ozone-related chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) burden by sex and country and to explore potential drivers.
    UNASSIGNED: We retrieved data of ozone-related COPD death and disability adjusted life year (DALY) from the Global Burden of Disease 2019. We used a linear regression of natural logarithms of age-standardized rates (ASRs) with calendar year to examine the trends in ASRs and a panel regression to identify country-level factors associated with the trends.
    UNASSIGNED: Global ozone-attributable COPD deaths increased from 117,114 to 208,342 among men and from 90,265 to 156,880 among women between 1990 and 2019. Although ASRs of ozone-related COPD death and DALY declined globally, they increased in low and low-middle Socio-demographic Index (SDI) regions, with faster rise in women. Elevated average maximum temperature was associated with higher ozone-attributable COPD burden, while more green space was associated with lower burden.
    UNASSIGNED: More efforts are needed in low and low-middle SDI regions, particularly for women, to diminish inter-country inequality in ozone-attributable COPD. Global warming may exacerbate the burden. Expanding green space may mitigate the burden.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Purpose: Identifying the burden of disease related to plastic and reconstructive surgery in Canada will provide timely population-based data, inform policy, and generate support for research funding. Methods and Patients: Data on the burden of disease (ie, prevalence, incidence, mortality, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life years [DALYs]), were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 results tool for all available and relevant plastic surgery diseases. The economic burden of disease in Canadian dollars was calculated based on prior studies. Data are presented as either rates (per 100 000) or counts with the associated uncertainty interval. Results: In 2019, plastic surgery related conditions in Canada had an overall age-standardized DALY rate of 556 per 100 000 [463-664]. Of these conditions, breast cancer was responsible for approximately 50% of the overall burden of disease, with an age-standardized DALY rate of 268 per 100 000 [244-294] followed by squamous cell carcinoma (66 per 100 000 [45-94]) and thermal burns (61 per 100 000 [46-82]). Age-standardized incidence rates were highest for cellulitis (2654 per 100 000 [2502-2812]). Breast cancer had the highest age-standardized cost of care of all plastic surgery related diseases, at $5.1 billion, approximately half of the total age-standardized cost of $10.6 billion for included plastic surgery diseases. Conclusion: Plastic and reconstructive surgery related diseases, particularly breast cancer, thermal burns, and malignant melanoma, are responsible for a high burden of disease and significant cost to the Canadian healthcare system. These results will help guide national healthcare policy and should provide support to directing funding and research efforts toward impactful diseases facing the Canadian healthcare system.
    Objectif: L’identification de la morbidité des maladies liées à la chirurgie plastique et reconstructrice au Canada fournira des données en temps opportun reposant sur la population, permettra de renseigner les politiques et générer un soutien pour le financement de la recherche. Méthodes et patients: Des données sur la morbidité des maladies (c.-à-d. prévalence, incidence, mortalité, années de vie perdues [YLL], années vécues avec une invalidité [YLD], et années de vie corrigées pour l’invalidité [AVCI ou DALY]) ont été extraites de l’outil de résultats sur la morbidité mondiale des maladies 2019 pour toutes les affections disponibles et pertinentes pour la chirurgie plastique. Le poids économique de la maladie en dollars canadiens (CAD) a été calculé sur la base d’études antérieures. Les données sont présentées sous forme de taux (pour 100 000) ou de nombres avec les intervalles d’incertitude (IdI) associés. Résultats: En 2019, les troubles liés à la chirurgie plastique au Canada avaient un taux d’AVCI global standardisé pour l’âge de 556 pour 100 000 (463-664). Parmi ces affections, le cancer du sein était responsable d’environ 50% du fardeau global de la maladie avec un taux d’AVCI standardisé pour l’âge de 268 pour 100 000 (244-294) suivi du cancer épidermoïde (carcinome à cellules squameuses) (66 pour 100 000 [45-94]) et des brûlures thermiques (61 pour 100 000 [46-82]). Les incidences standardisées pour l’âge étaient les plus élevées pour la cellulite (2 654 pour 100 000 [2 502-2 812]). Le cancer du sein avait le coût des traitements standardisé pour l’âge le plus élevé de toutes les maladies liées à la chirurgie plastique, avec 5,1 milliards de dollars, soit environ la moitié des dépenses totales standardisées pour l’âge de 10,6 milliards de dollars pour les maladies incluses liées à la chirurgie plastique. Conclusion: Les maladies liées à la chirurgie plastique et reconstructrive, et plus particulièrement le cancer du sein, les brûlures thermiques et le mélanome malin, sont responsables d’une importante morbidité et de coûts significatifs pour le système de santé canadien. Ces résultats aideront à guider la politique nationale de soins de santé et devraient fournir un soutien pour orienter le financement et les efforts de recherche vers des maladies ayant les plus grandes répercussions sur le système de soins de santé canadien. Mots-clés: chirurgie plastique, morbidité, années de vie corrigées pour l’invalidité, fardeau global de la maladie, coût des soins, morbidité de la maladie.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:这项研究的目的是使用欧洲传染病负担(BCoDE)方法来估计西班牙某些可免疫预防的传染病的负担,以及侧重于国家免疫计划和潜在的新纳入。
    方法:BCoDE方法依赖于基于发病率和病原体的方法,通过残疾调整生命年(DALY)估算来计算疾病负担。它考虑了通过结果树与感染相关的短期和长期后遗症。BCoDE工具包被用来用西班牙特有的发病率估计来填充这些树,并为四种感染开发了从头结果树(带状疱疹,轮状病毒,呼吸道合胞病毒[RSV],和水痘)不在工具包内。根据西班牙流行病学监测网络的数据估计年龄/性别特定发生率;从最低基本数据集收集住院率和死亡率。进行了文献综述以设计从头模型并获得其余参数。方法论,假设,数据输入和结果由一组流行病学和疾病建模专家验证,免疫接种和公共卫生政策。
    结果:疾病总负担为163.54年DALYs/100,000人口。在选定的12种疾病中,呼吸道感染约占总负担的90%.流感表现出最高的负担,110.00DALYs/100,000人口,其次是侵袭性肺炎球菌病和RSV,25.20和10.57DALYs/100,000人口,分别。带状疱疹,侵袭性脑膜炎球菌病,侵袭性流感嗜血杆菌感染和乙型肝炎病毒感染排名较低,各少于10DALYs/100,000人口,而其余感染的负担有限(<1DALY/100,000人群)。在老年人(≥60岁)和<5岁的儿童中观察到更高的疾病负担,流感是主要原因。在<1岁的婴儿中,RSV是最大的负担。
    结论:与BCoDE研究一致,这项分析的结果表明,在西班牙,可免疫预防的呼吸道感染的负担持续很高,第一次,突出显示由于RSV导致的大量DALY。这些估计为指导预防策略和做出公共卫生决策提供了基础,以优先考虑干预措施和分配西班牙的医疗保健资源。
    BACKGROUND: The objective of this study is to estimate the burden of selected immunization-preventable infectious diseases in Spain using the Burden of Communicable Diseases in Europe (BCoDE) methodology, as well as focusing on the national immunization programme and potential new inclusions.
    METHODS: The BCoDE methodology relies on an incidence and pathogen-based approach to calculate disease burden via disability-adjusted life year (DALY) estimates. It considers short and long-term sequelae associated to an infection via outcome trees. The BCoDE toolkit was used to populate those trees with Spanish-specific incidence estimates, and de novo outcome trees were developed for four infections (herpes zoster, rotavirus, respiratory syncytial virus [RSV], and varicella) not covered by the toolkit. Age/sex specific incidences were estimated based on data from the Spanish Network of Epidemiological Surveillance; hospitalisation and mortality rates were collected from the Minimum Basic Data Set. A literature review was performed to design the de novo models and obtain the rest of the parameters. The methodology, assumptions, data inputs and results were validated by a group of experts in epidemiology and disease modelling, immunization and public health policy.
    RESULTS: The total burden of disease amounted to 163.54 annual DALYs/100,000 population. Among the selected twelve diseases, respiratory infections represented around 90% of the total burden. Influenza exhibited the highest burden, with 110.00 DALYs/100,000 population, followed by invasive pneumococcal disease and RSV, with 25.20 and 10.57 DALYs/100,000 population, respectively. Herpes zoster, invasive meningococcal disease, invasive Haemophilus influenza infection and hepatitis B virus infection ranked lower with fewer than 10 DALYs/100,000 population each, while the rest of the infections had a limited burden (< 1 DALY/100,000 population). A higher burden of disease was observed in the elderly (≥ 60 years) and children < 5 years, with influenza being the main cause. In infants < 1 year, RSV represented the greatest burden.
    CONCLUSIONS: Aligned with the BCoDE study, the results of this analysis show a persisting high burden of immunization-preventable respiratory infections in Spain and, for the first time, highlight a high number of DALYs due to RSV. These estimates provide a basis to guide prevention strategies and make public health decisions to prioritise interventions and allocate healthcare resources in Spain.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在使用全球疾病负担(GBD)研究2019年的数据,量化60岁及以上成年人高糖饮料(SSB)的全球心血管疾病(CVD)负担。
    我们提取了有关CVD死亡率的数据,残疾调整寿命年(DALYs),以及来自GBD2019研究的60岁及以上人群的风险因素暴露。使用年龄-时期-队列模型来估计死亡率和DALY率的总体年度百分比变化(净漂移,每年%),1990年至2019年各年龄组的死亡率和死亡率(局部漂移,每年%),校正周期偏差(年龄效应)的纵向特定年龄比率,以及1990年至2019年各年龄组的死亡率和戴利率(局部漂移,%/年)。和周期/队列相对风险(周期/队列效应)。
    在1990年至2019年期间,由于高SSB摄入量而导致的全球年龄标准化CVD死亡率(ASMR)和残疾调整寿命年(DALY)下降。高SDI地区的降幅更大。ASMR从19.5降至13/100,000(估计年度百分比变化(EAPC):-1.46%),ASDR从345.8降至220.6/100,000(EAPC:-1.66%)。年龄时期队列分析显示,CVD死亡和DALYs随年龄呈指数增长,在85-89年达到顶峰。经期影响表明,自1999年以来,CVD死亡率和DALY率下降,特别是在SDI较高的地区。队列效应表明,在1900年至1959年间出生的连续几代人中,风险持续下降。预测表明,到2045年,全球将继续下降,但在SDI较低的地区下降速度较慢。
    总而言之,这项对由高SSB摄入量引起的老年人全球CVD负担的综合评估突出了重大成就,但也突出了需要关注的持续领域.有利的死亡率下降和DALY率趋势反映了在人口增长和老龄化期间CVD控制的实质性进展。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to quantify the global cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden attributable to diet high in sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB) among adults aged 60 years and older using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019.
    UNASSIGNED: We extracted data on CVD mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and risk-factor exposures from the GBD 2019 study for people aged 60 and older. Age-period-cohort models were used to estimate the overall annual percentage change in mortality and DALY rate (net drift, % per year), mortality and DALY rate for each age group from 1990 to 2019 (local drift, % per year), longitudinal age-specific rate corrected for period bias (age effect), and mortality and Daly rate for each age group from 1990 to 2019 (local drift, % per year). And period/cohort relative risk (period/cohort effect).
    UNASSIGNED: Between 1990 and 2019, global age-standardized CVD mortality (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) rates attributable to high SSB intake decreased, with larger reductions in high-SDI regions. ASMR declined from 19.5 to 13 per 100,000 (estimated annual percentage change (EAPC): -1.46%) and ASDR declined from 345.8 to 220.6 per 100,000 (EAPC: -1.66%). Age-period-cohort analysis showed CVD deaths and DALYs increased exponentially with age, peaking at 85-89 years. Period effects indicated declining CVD mortality and DALY rates since 1999, especially in higher-SDI regions. Cohort effects demonstrated consistent risk declines across successive generations born between 1900 and 1959. Predictions suggest continuing decreases through 2045 globally, but slower declines in lower-SDI regions.
    UNASSIGNED: In conclusion, this comprehensive assessment of global CVD burden among older adults attributable to high SSB intake highlights major achievements but also persistent areas needing attention. Favorable declining mortality and DALY rate trends reflect substantial progress in CVD control amid population growth and aging.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    鉴于亚洲心血管疾病(CVD)的负担迅速增加,这项研究预测了亚洲从2025年到2050年的心血管疾病负担和相关危险因素.
    来自2019年全球疾病负担研究的数据用于构建预测患病率的回归模型,死亡率,和残疾调整寿命年(DALYs)归因于未来几十年亚洲的CVD和危险因素。
    在2025年至2050年之间,尽管年龄标准化心血管死亡率(ASMR)下降了23.0%,但粗心血管死亡率预计将上升91.2%。缺血性心脏病(每100,000人中有115人死亡)和中风(每100,000人中有63人死亡)将在2050年仍然是ASMR的主要驱动因素。中亚将拥有最高的ASMR(每100,000人口中有676人死亡),是亚洲整体的三倍多(每10万人口中有186人死亡),而到2050年,高收入亚洲次区域将导致每10万人中22人死亡。高收缩压将导致整个亚洲最高的ASMR(每100,000人口中有105例死亡),除了在中亚,高空腹血糖将占主导地位(每100,000人中有546人死亡)。
    这一预测预示着,到2050年,亚洲的粗心血管死亡率将几乎翻一番,分区域之间具有明显的异质性。动脉粥样硬化疾病将继续占主导地位,而高收缩压将是主要的危险因素。
    这得到了NUHS种子基金(NUHSRO/2022/058/RO5+6/Seed-Mar/03)的支持,国家医学研究委员会研究培训奖学金(MH095:003/008-303),新加坡国立大学林永路医学院初级学术奖学金计划,NUHS临床科学家计划(NCSP2.0/2024/NUHS/NCWS)和心血管疾病国家合作企业(CADENCE)国家临床转化计划(MOH-001277-01)。
    UNASSIGNED: Given the rapidly growing burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in Asia, this study forecasts the CVD burden and associated risk factors in Asia from 2025 to 2050.
    UNASSIGNED: Data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study was used to construct regression models predicting prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to CVD and risk factors in Asia in the coming decades.
    UNASSIGNED: Between 2025 and 2050, crude cardiovascular mortality is expected to rise 91.2% despite a 23.0% decrease in the age-standardised cardiovascular mortality rate (ASMR). Ischaemic heart disease (115 deaths per 100,000 population) and stroke (63 deaths per 100,000 population) will remain leading drivers of ASMR in 2050. Central Asia will have the highest ASMR (676 deaths per 100,000 population), more than three-fold that of Asia overall (186 deaths per 100,000 population), while high-income Asia sub-regions will incur an ASMR of 22 deaths per 100,000 in 2050. High systolic blood pressure will contribute the highest ASMR throughout Asia (105 deaths per 100,000 population), except in Central Asia where high fasting plasma glucose will dominate (546 deaths per 100,000 population).
    UNASSIGNED: This forecast forewarns an almost doubling in crude cardiovascular mortality by 2050 in Asia, with marked heterogeneity across sub-regions. Atherosclerotic diseases will continue to dominate, while high systolic blood pressure will be the leading risk factor.
    UNASSIGNED: This was supported by the NUHS Seed Fund (NUHSRO/2022/058/RO5+6/Seed-Mar/03), National Medical Research Council Research Training Fellowship (MH 095:003/008-303), National University of Singapore Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine\'s Junior Academic Fellowship Scheme, NUHS Clinician Scientist Program (NCSP2.0/2024/NUHS/NCWS) and the CArdiovascular DiseasE National Collaborative Enterprise (CADENCE) National Clinical Translational Program (MOH-001277-01).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    缺血性心脏病(IHD)是心脏缺氧的病症。了解在这方面实施适当的营养干预措施的饮食风险因素似乎至关重要。因此,本研究旨在确定受饮食风险影响的IHD的流行病学特征.这项研究使用了全球疾病负担(GBD)研究的数据。在这项研究中,我们收集了关于死亡的信息,残疾生活年(YLD),和IHD的残疾调整生命年(DALYs)受10万人的饮食风险影响,基于直接年龄标准率(ASR),置信度为95%。我们根据社会人口指数(SDI)应用了这些数据。2019年,IHD死亡人数,YLDs,可归因于饮食风险的DALYs为6243万(每100,000人口95%UI[50.97-73.63]),36.88(每100,000人口95%的UI[23.87-53.32]),和1271.32(每100,000人口95%UI[1061.29-1473.75]),分别。我们发现,受ASR饮食风险影响的IHD最低DALYs适用于高SDI国家。在中SDI高和高的国家中,与IHD相关的大多数饮食风险因素与红肉和加工肉含量高的饮食有关,钠,豆类含量低,但是在SDI较低和较低的国家,这与低纤维饮食有关,水果,坚果和种子,PUFA,海鲜W3脂肪酸,蔬菜和全谷物。考虑到与IHD相关的饮食风险因素基于SDI是不同的,有必要根据SDI考虑营养干预.
    Ischemic heart disease (IHD) is a condition in which the heart is starved of oxygen. Knowing the dietary risk factors implementing appropriate nutritional interventions in this regard seems essential. Therefore, the present study was carried out to determine the epidemiological features of IHD affected by dietary risks. This study used data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. In this study, we collected information on death, years lived with disability (YLD), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of IHD affected by dietary risks in one hundred thousand people with 95% confidence based on the direct Age Standard Rate (ASR). We applied these data based on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI). In 2019, the number of IHD deaths, YLDs, and DALYs attributable to dietary risks was 62.43 million (95% UI [50.97-73.63] per 100,000 population), 36.88 (95% UI [23.87-53.32] per 100,000 population), and 1271.32 (95% UI [1061.29-1473.75] per 100,000 population), respectively. We found that the lowest DALYs of IHD affected by dietary risks by ASR are for high SDI countries. Most dietary risk factors related to IHD in countries with high and high middle SDI were related to a diet high in red and processed meat, sodium, and low in legumes, but in countries with low and low middle SDI, it was related to a diet low in fiber, fruit, nuts and seeds, PUFA, seafood W3 fatty acids, vegetables and whole grain. Considering that the dietary risk factors related to IHD are different based on SDI, it is necessary to consider nutritional interventions according to SDI.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:由于钙在重要的生物学功能中具有必不可少的作用,低钙饮食(DLC)与各种疾病有关。然而,缺乏使用可靠数据源对DLC造成的当前患病率和健康负担的研究.
    方法:我们使用了2019年全球疾病负担研究(GBD2019)的数据,按年龄估算了1990年至2019年204个国家DLC的患病率和健康负担,性别,和社会人口统计学指数(SDI)。这些估计是在DisMod-MR2.1中产生的,这是一个贝叶斯元回归工具。摘要暴露值(SEV)用于显示DLC的患病率,而疾病调整生命年(DALY)用于代表疾病负担。估计DLC诱导的结直肠癌的疾病负担。采用Spearman秩相关进行相关分析,估计的年度百分比(EAPC)用于反映时间趋势。
    结果:从1990年到2019年,DLC的全球患病率下降(SEV的EAPC,-0.47;95%CI,-0.5至-0.43),但在大洋洲地区和许多国家有所增加,如阿拉伯联合酋长国,新西兰,Japan,和法国。与低钙相关的全球DALYs估计为314万(95%不确定区间(UI),2019年2.25-426万),年龄标准化率为38.2(95%UI,27.2-51.8)每100,000。与流行程度不同,全球年龄标准化DALY率保持不变(EAPC,-0.03;95%CI,-0.12至0.07),但是在204个国家中的80多个国家中,主要位于亚洲,非洲,和南美洲。在所有年份和地区,男性的年龄标准化SEV和DALY率高于女性。与低钙饮食相关的患病率(rho=-0.823;P<0.001)和疾病负担(rho=-0.433;P<0.001)与SDI密切相关。患病率随着年龄的增长而下降,但是DALY率随着年龄的增长而增加,并在90岁左右达到峰值。DLC的患病率在世界范围内下降,在大多数国家,但DLC诱导的结直肠癌的疾病负担在全球超过40%的国家增加。
    结论:社会人口统计学水平较低的国家和男性人群更有可能经历DLC和相关疾病负担的风险。改善膳食钙摄入的相关措施需要解决饮食中与低钙相关的健康问题。
    Due to the essential role of calcium in vital biological functions, diet low in calcium (DLC) is associated with various diseases. However, there is a lack of study about the current prevalence and health burden due to DLC using reliable data sources.
    We used data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 (GBD 2019) to estimate the prevalence and health burden of DLC in 204 countries from 1990 to 2019, by age, sex, and sociodemographic index (SDI). The estimates were produced in DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. Summary exposure value (SEV) was used to show the prevalence of DLC, while diseases adjusted life year (DALY) was used to represent the disease burden. The disease burden was estimated for DLC-induced colorectal cancer. Spearman Rank Order correlation was used for correlation analysis, and estimated annual percentage (EAPC) was used to reflect the temporal trends.
    From 1990 to 2019, the global prevalence of DLC decreased (EAPC of SEV, -0.47; 95% CI, -0.5 to -0.43), but have increased in Oceania region and in many countries, such as United Arab Emirates, New Zealand, Japan, and France. The global DALYs associated with low in calcium were estimated to be 3.14 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI), 2.25-4.26 million) in 2019, with an age standardized rate of 38.2 (95% UI, 27.2-51.8) per 100,000. Unlike the prevalence, the global age standardized DALY rates has remained unchanged (EAPC, -0.03; 95% CI, -0.12 to 0.07), but has increased in over 80 of the 204 countries, located mainly in Asia, Africa, and South America. In all years and regions, the age standardized SEV and DALY rates were higher in male people than that in female people. The prevalence (rho = -0.823; P < 0.001) and disease burden (rho = -0.433; P < 0.001) associated with diet in low calcium were strongly correlated to SDI. The prevalence decreased with age, but the DALY rates increased with age and peaked at about 90 years. The prevalence of DLC has decreased worldwide and in most countries, but the disease burden of DLC induced colorectal cancer has increased in over 40% of countries worldwide.
    Countries with low sociodemographic level and male people are more likely to experience the risk of DLC and related disease burden. Related measures in improve dietary calcium intake are in need to address diet in low calcium related health problems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在中国很少有研究调查近视力丧失(NVL)。为了解决这个差距,我们旨在探讨1990年至2019年NVL患病率和疾病负担的趋势,并预测未来10年的趋势.
    使用2019年全球疾病负担研究的数据,我们计算了年龄标准化患病率(ASPR),特定年龄残疾调整寿命年(DALYs),以及中国和不同地区的年度百分比变化(EAPC)。然后,我们使用贝叶斯年龄周期队列(BAPC)预测模型来预测两种情况下2020年至2030年的患病率趋势。
    在全球范围内,ASPR从1990年的5613.27增加到2019年的每10万人口5937.81,EAPC为0.06。中国的ASPR从1990年的7538.14下降到2019年的7392.86/10万人口(EAPC=-0.02)。女性的年龄标准化DALY率高于男性,在全球和中国。低收入地区的NVL负担相对较高,社会人口指数低的地区,和东南亚地区与其他地区相比。预测模型表明,在2020年之后,NVL的ASR趋势在全球范围内缓慢增加,但在中国却有所下降。
    尽管未来十年中国NVL的年龄标准化患病率有所下降,目前的负担仍然很大。为了减轻这种负担,决策者应采取包容性方法,让所有利益攸关方参与进来。
    UNASSIGNED: Few studies have investigated near vision loss (NVL) in China. To address this gap, we aimed to explore trends in the prevalence and disease burden of NVL from 1990 to 2019 and to predict trends over the next decade.
    UNASSIGNED: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study, we calculated the age-standardised prevalence rate (ASPR), age-specific disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and annual percentage change (EAPC) in China and different regions. We then used the Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) predictive model to predict the prevalence trends from 2020 to 2030 in both contexts.
    UNASSIGNED: At the global level, ASPRs increased from 5613.27 in 1990 to 5937.81 per 100 000 population in 2019, with an EAPC of 0.06. The ASPR in China specifically decreased from 7538.14 in 1990 to 7392.86 per 100 000 population in 2019 (EAPC = -0.02). The age-standardised DALY rate was higher in women than in men, both globally and in China. The NVL burden was relatively higher in low-income regions, low sociodemographic index regions, and the South-East Asia Region compared to other regions. The predictive model indicated that the ASR trend for NVL slowly increased at a global level after 2020, yet decreased in China.
    UNASSIGNED: Despite a decline in the age-standardised prevalence of NVL in China over the next decade, the current burden remains substantial. To alleviate this burden, decision-makers should adopt inclusive approaches by involving all stakeholders.
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