weather

天气
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人类产生的气溶胶污染逐渐改变了大气的化学和物理属性,导致天气模式发生重大变化,并对农业产量产生不利影响。本研究通过分析1998年至2019年印度的时间序列数据,评估了水稻和玉米作物的天气和人为气溶胶变化导致的农业生产力损失。气象变量的平均值,如最高温度(TMAX),最低温度(TMIN),降雨,和相对湿度,以及气溶胶光学深度(AOD),也显示出越来越大的趋势,在此期间,土壤水分的平均值和吸收的光合有效辐射(FAPAR)的比例呈下降趋势。这项研究的主要发现是,天气变量的异常变化,如最高和最低温度,降雨,相对湿度,土壤湿度,和FAPAR导致水稻和玉米产量减少约(2.55%,2.92%,2.778%,4.84%,2.90%,和2.82%)和(5.12%,6.57%,6.93%,6.54%,4.97%,和5.84%),分别。然而,气溶胶污染的增加也导致水稻和玉米减产7.9%和8.8%,分别。总之,这项研究提供了天气有害影响的明确证据,FAPAR,和AOD变异性对研究期间印度水稻和玉米产量的影响。同时,对水稻和玉米产量的时间序列分析显示出增长趋势,分别为808.8万吨/年和56.1万吨/年,分别,由于采用了越来越先进的农业技术,最好的肥料和灌溉,气候适应型品种,和其他因素。展望未来,目前的挑战是制定有效的长期战略,以应对气溶胶造成的空气污染,并解决其对农业生产和粮食安全的不利影响。
    Human-generated aerosol pollution gradually modifies the atmospheric chemical and physical attributes, resulting in significant changes in weather patterns and detrimental effects on agricultural yields. The current study assesses the loss in agricultural productivity due to weather and anthropogenic aerosol variations for rice and maize crops through the analysis of time series data of India spanning from 1998 to 2019. The average values of meteorological variables like maximum temperature (TMAX), minimum temperature (TMIN), rainfall, and relative humidity, as well as aerosol optical depth (AOD), have also shown an increasing tendency, while the average values of soil moisture and fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (FAPAR) have followed a decreasing trend over that period. This study\'s primary finding is that unusual variations in weather variables like maximum and minimum temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, soil moisture, and FAPAR resulted in a reduction in rice and maize yield of approximately (2.55%, 2.92%, 2.778%, 4.84%, 2.90%, and 2.82%) and (5.12%, 6.57%, 6.93%, 6.54%, 4.97%, and 5.84%), respectively. However, the increase in aerosol pollution is also responsible for the reduction of rice and maize yield by 7.9% and 8.8%, respectively. In summary, the study presents definitive proof of the detrimental effect of weather, FAPAR, and AOD variability on the yield of rice and maize in India during the study period. Meanwhile, a time series analysis of rice and maize yields revealed an increasing trend, with rates of 0.888 million tons/year and 0.561 million tons/year, respectively, due to the adoption of increasingly advanced agricultural techniques, the best fertilizer and irrigation, climate-resilient varieties, and other factors. Looking ahead, the ongoing challenge is to devise effective long-term strategies to combat air pollution caused by aerosols and to address its adverse effects on agricultural production and food security.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:气候变化对健康的影响越来越大,特别是撒哈拉以南非洲的农村人口,因为他们的适应资源有限。理解这些影响仍然是一个挑战,因为对这些人群的生命体征的连续监测是有限的。可穿戴设备(可穿戴设备)提供了一种可行的方法来实时研究这些对人类健康的影响。
    目的:本研究的目的是评估消费级可穿戴设备在测量天气暴露对生理反应(包括活动,心率,壳体温度,和睡眠)肯尼亚西部农村人口,并确定与天气暴露相关的健康影响。
    方法:我们在肯尼亚西部进行了一项观察性案例研究,在3周内利用可穿戴设备连续监测各种健康指标,例如步数,睡眠模式,心率,和身体外壳温度。此外,当地气象站提供了有关降雨和热量等环境条件的详细数据,每15分钟测量一次。
    结果:我们的队列包括83名参与者(42名女性和41名男性),平均年龄33岁。我们观察到步数与最大湿球温度之间呈正相关(估计值0.06,SE0.02;P=.008)。尽管夜间最低气温和热指数与睡眠时间呈负相关,这些没有统计学意义。在其他应用模型中没有发现显著的相关性。在204天的194天(95.1%)记录了警告热指数水平。204天中有16天(7.8%)发生了暴雨(>20毫米/天)。尽管47台设备中有10台(21%)出现故障,睡眠和步数的数据完整性较高(平均82.6%,SD21.3%,平均值86.1%,SD18.9%,分别),但心率低(平均7%,SD14%),成年女性的心率数据完整性明显高于男性(双侧t检验:P=.003;Mann-WhitneyU检验:P=.001)。车身外壳温度数据达到36.2%(SD24.5%)的完整性。
    结论:我们的研究为肯尼亚农村地区天气暴露对健康的影响提供了细致的理解。我们的研究的可穿戴设备的应用揭示了身体活动水平和高温胁迫之间的显著相关性,与其他表明在较热条件下活动减少的研究相反。这种差异要求进一步调查独特的社会环境动态,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲地区。此外,在热引起的睡眠中断中观察到的非重要趋势暴露了对局部气候变化缓解策略的需求,考虑到睡眠在健康中的重要作用。这些发现强调需要针对具体情况的研究,以便为容易受到气候变化不利健康影响的地区的政策和实践提供信息。
    BACKGROUND: Climate change increasingly impacts health, particularly of rural populations in sub-Saharan Africa due to their limited resources for adaptation. Understanding these impacts remains a challenge, as continuous monitoring of vital signs in such populations is limited. Wearable devices (wearables) present a viable approach to studying these impacts on human health in real time.
    OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess the feasibility and effectiveness of consumer-grade wearables in measuring the health impacts of weather exposure on physiological responses (including activity, heart rate, body shell temperature, and sleep) of rural populations in western Kenya and to identify the health impacts associated with the weather exposures.
    METHODS: We conducted an observational case study in western Kenya by utilizing wearables over a 3-week period to continuously monitor various health metrics such as step count, sleep patterns, heart rate, and body shell temperature. Additionally, a local weather station provided detailed data on environmental conditions such as rainfall and heat, with measurements taken every 15 minutes.
    RESULTS: Our cohort comprised 83 participants (42 women and 41 men), with an average age of 33 years. We observed a positive correlation between step count and maximum wet bulb globe temperature (estimate 0.06, SE 0.02; P=.008). Although there was a negative correlation between minimum nighttime temperatures and heat index with sleep duration, these were not statistically significant. No significant correlations were found in other applied models. A cautionary heat index level was recorded on 194 (95.1%) of 204 days. Heavy rainfall (>20 mm/day) occurred on 16 (7.8%) out of 204 days. Despite 10 (21%) out of 47 devices failing, data completeness was high for sleep and step count (mean 82.6%, SD 21.3% and mean 86.1%, SD 18.9%, respectively), but low for heart rate (mean 7%, SD 14%), with adult women showing significantly higher data completeness for heart rate than men (2-sided t test: P=.003; Mann-Whitney U test: P=.001). Body shell temperature data achieved 36.2% (SD 24.5%) completeness.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides a nuanced understanding of the health impacts of weather exposures in rural Kenya. Our study\'s application of wearables reveals a significant correlation between physical activity levels and high temperature stress, contrasting with other studies suggesting decreased activity in hotter conditions. This discrepancy invites further investigation into the unique socioenvironmental dynamics at play, particularly in sub-Saharan African contexts. Moreover, the nonsignificant trends observed in sleep disruption due to heat expose the need for localized climate change mitigation strategies, considering the vital role of sleep in health. These findings emphasize the need for context-specific research to inform policy and practice in regions susceptible to the adverse health effects of climate change.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文介绍了一种通过将聚类策略与回归模型集成并利用气象数据来模拟尼日利亚疟疾发病率的新方法。通过使用聚类技术将数据集分解为多个子集,我们增加了解释变量的数量,并阐明了天气在预测不同发病率数据范围中的作用.我们的聚类集成回归模型,伴随着最优障碍,提供有关疟疾发病率与降雨和温度等既定影响天气因素之间复杂关系的见解。我们探索两种模式。第一个模型结合了滞后发生率和个体特异性效应。第二个模型只关注天气成分。模型的选择取决于决策者的优先事项。推荐模型一用于更高的预测精度。此外,我们的发现揭示了疟疾发病率的显著差异,特定于某些地理集群,而不仅仅是观测到的天气变量可以解释的。值得注意的是,降雨和温度在不同的发病率集群中表现出不同的边际效应,表明它们对疟疾传播的不同影响。高降雨量与低发病率相关,可能是由于它在冲洗蚊子繁殖场所中的作用。另一方面,温度不能预测高发病例,这表明温度以外的其他因素也会导致高病例。我们的研究解决了疟疾发病率综合模型的需求,特别是在尼日利亚等疾病仍然流行的地区。通过将聚类技术与回归分析相结合,我们对预定的天气因素如何影响疟疾传播提供了细微差别的理解。这种方法有助于公共卫生当局实施有针对性的干预措施。我们的研究强调了在疟疾控制工作中考虑当地环境因素的重要性,并强调了基于天气的预测对主动疾病管理的潜力。
    This paper introduces a novel approach to modeling malaria incidence in Nigeria by integrating clustering strategies with regression modeling and leveraging meteorological data. By decomposing the datasets into multiple subsets using clustering techniques, we increase the number of explanatory variables and elucidate the role of weather in predicting different ranges of incidence data. Our clustering-integrated regression models, accompanied by optimal barriers, provide insights into the complex relationship between malaria incidence and well-established influencing weather factors such as rainfall and temperature.We explore two models. The first model incorporates lagged incidence and individual-specific effects. The second model focuses solely on weather components. Selection of a model depends on decision-makers priorities. The model one is recommended for higher predictive accuracy. Moreover, our findings reveal significant variability in malaria incidence, specific to certain geographic clusters and beyond what can be explained by observed weather variables alone.Notably, rainfall and temperature exhibit varying marginal effects across incidence clusters, indicating their differential impact on malaria transmission. High rainfall correlates with lower incidence, possibly due to its role in flushing mosquito breeding sites. On the other hand, temperature could not predict high-incidence cases, suggesting that other factors other than temperature contribute to high cases.Our study addresses the demand for comprehensive modeling of malaria incidence, particularly in regions like Nigeria where the disease remains prevalent. By integrating clustering techniques with regression analysis, we offer a nuanced understanding of how predetermined weather factors influence malaria transmission. This approach aids public health authorities in implementing targeted interventions. Our research underscores the importance of considering local contextual factors in malaria control efforts and highlights the potential of weather-based forecasting for proactive disease management.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在密闭水域,船只有很高的着陆风险,联系人,沉没和险些失踪。在这样的水域,海上交通密集,水道狭窄,深度有限,潮汐和水流不断变化。
    方法:从2009年至2019年,在塞纳河河口调查了75起事故。研究了天气条件和感知的疲劳。2020年5月至6月,114名海员,34名飞行员和80名机长,答复了一份调查问卷,重点是使用试点便携式设备(PPU)和电子海图显示信息系统(ECDIS)。
    结果:75起事故相当于每年平均6.8±3.2起事故。环境是最常见的事故(35%,n=26)其次是与码头的接触事故(25%,n=19),操纵时在船只或拖船之间(8%,n=6)或航行时(1%,n=1)。没有船只损失,也没有船员死亡。在恶劣的天气条件下,事故比正常情况下多76%(4.4±2.5事故/10,000运动与2.5±1.9事故/10,000运动,p<0.03)。几乎所有的事故(96%)都与人为判断失误(81%)有关,或疏忽(53%),或两者(39)。感觉疲劳可能是6起事故的原因。只有3起事故与机械原因有关。通过问卷调查,69%的飞行员抱怨在掌握设备和软件方面存在困难。他们在导航时被影响注意力的警报分散了注意力。他们要求在模拟器上训练。关于船长,83%的人对ECDIS设备感到满意,但只有20%的人能够正确配置ECDIS。
    结论:在塞纳河河口,在11年的研究中发生了75起事故。危险因素是恶劣的天气条件和人为错误。PPU和ECDIS被认为是预防事故的有用工具。然而,飞行员和机长要求对他们的使用进行更彻底的培训。
    BACKGROUND: In confined waters, ships run a high risk of groundings, contact, sinkings and near misses. In such waters the maritime traffic is dense, the waterway is narrow, the depth is limited, and tides and currents are constantly changing.
    METHODS: From 2009-2019, 75 accidents were investigated in the estuary of the Seine. Weather conditions and perceived fatigue were studied. From May to June 2020, 114 seafarers, 34 pilots and 80 captains, responded to a questionnaire focusing on the use of Pilot Portable Units (PPU) and Electronic Chart Display Information Systems (ECDIS).
    RESULTS: The 75 accidents corresponded to an average of 6.8 ± 3.2 accidents per year. Groundings were the most frequent accidents (35%, n = 26) followed by contact accidents with the quayside (25%, n = 19), between ships or tugs while manoeuvring (8%, n = 6) or while sailing (1%, n = 1). There was no loss of vessels nor fatalities of crew members. In poor weather conditions, there were 76% more accidents than in normal conditions (4.4 ± 2.5 accidents/10,000 movements versus 2.5 ± 1.9 accidents/10,000 movements, p < 0.03). Almost all the accidents (96%) were related to human errors of judgment (81%), or negligence (53%), or both (39). Perceived fatigue was probably in cause in 6 accidents. Only 3 accidents were related to mechanical causes. Through the questionnaires, 69% of the pilots complained of difficulties in mastering the devices and software. They felt distracted by alarms which affected their attention while navigating. They requested training on a simulator. Concerning ship captains, 83% felt comfortable with ECDIS devices yet only 20% were able to configure the ECDIS correctly.
    CONCLUSIONS: In the Seine estuary, 75 accidents occurred within the 11 year-study. Risk factors were poor weather conditions and human error. PPU and ECDIS were considered as useful tools in the prevention of accidents. However, pilots and captains requested more thorough training in their use.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:非结核分枝杆菌(NTM)感染引起的颈面部淋巴结炎在儿童中感染率最高。我们的目标是评估患者的人口统计学,治疗方法,以及天气和地理对NTM颈面部淋巴结炎患者疾病发生率的影响。
    方法:查询儿科健康信息系统(PHIS)数据库,以获取2004年至2022年诊断为并发颈面部淋巴结肿大和NTM感染的所有患者的数据。我们通过从NOAA国家环境信息中心收集每月的天气数据来评估天气模式与NTM颈面部淋巴结炎之间的关联。通过将病例数除以研究期间的总出院率来计算发病率。
    结果:在47家PHIS医院中,有992例诊断为NTM颈面部淋巴结炎。诊断时的平均年龄为2[IQR,2-4],59%是女性。93例(9.4%)患者进行皮肤脓肿或病变引流,而15人(1.5%)接受了CPT代码评估的切除程序。最常用的抗生素是头孢菌素(28%),大环内酯类(27%),和利福平(12%)。最常见的治疗方法是使用抗生素进行手术(37%),然后根本没有治疗(35%)。仅手术(17%),和单独的抗生素(10%)。在分析中包括的28个州中,华盛顿(IR:3.5)和内布拉斯加州(IR:3.3)的NTM颈淋巴结炎发病率(IR)最高。这些病例在美国每个地理区域的不同天气季节分布相对均等。然而,使用混合效应零膨胀负二项模型时,总体平均风速与诊断风险的增加弱相关(发生率:1.07,95%CI:(1.01-1.14),p=0.035)。
    结论:我们的结果表明,在我们的NTM颈面部淋巴结炎患者队列中,最常用的治疗方法是同时使用手术和抗生素。我们的结果还表明,不同州之间的发病率可能存在差异,但需要更多的研究,因为我们的队列仅包括美国约50%的州
    OBJECTIVE: Cervicofacial lymphadenitis caused by non-tubercular mycobacterial (NTM) infections has the highest infection rate in children. Our objective was to assess patient demographics, treatment methods, and the impact of weather and geography on the incidence of disease in patients with NTM cervicofacial lymphadenitis.
    METHODS: The Pediatric Health Information System (PHIS) database was queried for data on all patients diagnosed with concurrent cervicofacial lymphadenopathy and NTM infection from 2004 to 2022. We assessed the association between weather patterns and NTM cervicofacial lymphadenitis by collecting monthly weather data from the NOAA National Center for Environmental Information. Incidence rates were calculated by dividing the number of cases by the total hospital discharges during the study period.
    RESULTS: Among 47 PHIS hospitals, there were 992 diagnoses of NTM cervicofacial lymphadenitis. The average age at diagnosis was 2 [IQR, 2-4], with 59 % female. Drainage of skin abscesses or lesions was performed for 93 (9.4 %) patients, while 15 (1.5 %) had an excisional procedure of the CPT codes assessed. The most common antibiotics utilized were cephalosporins (28 %), macrolides (27 %), and rifampin (12 %). The most common treatment method was surgery with antibiotics (37 %) followed by no treatment at all (35 %), surgery alone (17 %), and antibiotics alone (10 %). Of the 28 states included in the analysis, Washington (IR: 3.5) and Nebraska (IR: 3.3) had the highest incidence rates (IR) of NTM cervical lymphadenitis. The cases were relatively equally distributed across the different weather seasons within each U.S. geographic region. However, the overall average wind speed was weakly associated with increasing the risk of diagnosis when utilizing a mixed effect zero-inflated negative binomial model (Incidence Ratio: 1.07, 95 % CI: (1.01-1.14), p = 0.035).
    CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that the most common treatment method utilized in patients within our cohort with NTM cervicofacial lymphadenitis was the concurrent use of surgery and antibiotics. Our results also indicate there may be variation in the incidence rate among different states, but additional studies are needed as our cohort only included approximately 50 % of states within the U.S.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心血管事件的住院发生率与特定的天气条件和空气污染有关。包括各种环境因素之间相互作用的综合模型仍有待开发。
    这项研究的目的是开发天气模式与心血管事件发生率之间关联的综合模型,并使用该模型预测近期时空风险。
    我们对大气数据与与心力衰竭相关的住院发生率(922,132例)之间的关系进行了时空分析,心肌梗死(521,988次),2007年至2017年间,加拿大有2400万人发生缺血性中风(263,529次发作)。我们的分层贝叶斯模型捕获了住院的时空分布,并确定了与天气和空气污染相关的因素,这些因素可以部分解释发病率的波动。
    对于大多数事件类型,包含天气和空气污染变量的模型优于没有这些协变量的模型。我们的结果表明,环境因素可能以复杂的方式与人体生理相互作用。环境因素的影响随着年龄的增长而放大。我们模型中包含的天气和空气污染变量可以预测未来心力衰竭的发生率,心肌梗塞,和缺血性中风。
    随着年龄的增长,环境因素对心血管事件的重要性日益增加,因此需要开发教育材料,以使老年患者认识到更可能发生恶化的环境条件。该模型可以作为预测系统的基础,用于本地,基于预期事件发生率的短期临床资源规划。
    UNASSIGNED: The incidence of hospitalizations for cardiovascular events has been associated with specific weather conditions and air pollution. A comprehensive model including the interactions between various environmental factors remains to be developed.
    UNASSIGNED: The purpose of this study was to develop a comprehensive model of the association between weather patterns and the incidence of cardiovascular events and use this model to forecast near-term spatiotemporal risk.
    UNASSIGNED: We present a spatiotemporal analysis of the association between atmospheric data and the incidence rate of hospital admissions related to heart failure (922,132 episodes), myocardial infarction (521,988 episodes), and ischemic stroke (263,529 episodes) in ∼24 million people in Canada between 2007 and 2017. Our hierarchical Bayesian model captured the spatiotemporal distribution of hospitalizations and identified weather and air pollution-related factors that could partially explain fluctuations in incidence.
    UNASSIGNED: Models that included weather and air pollution variables outperformed models without those covariates for most event types. Our results suggest that environmental factors may interact in complex ways on human physiology. The impact of environmental factors was magnified with increasing age. The weather and air pollution variables included in our models were predictive of the future incidence of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and ischemic strokes.
    UNASSIGNED: The increasing importance of environmental factors on cardiovascular events with increasing age raises the need for the development of educational materials for older patients to recognize environmental conditions where exacerbations are more likely. This model could be the basis of a forecasting system used for local, short-term clinical resource planning based on the anticipated incidence of events.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)是主要的公共卫生问题,2019年影响全球超过2亿人。COPD的患病率从1990年到2010年上升了40%,从2010年到2019年继续增加13%,2019年在全球造成300多万人死亡,将其列为第三大死亡原因。这项研究探讨了每日天气变化与COPD相关急诊科(ED)就诊次数的关系。
    方法:我们收集了2017年Pécs每日COPD相关ED访视的数据以及相应的气象数据,以分析这种联系。
    结果:高昼夜温度范围(DTR)和露点的日常变化与更多COPD相关ED就诊的风险增加4.5%有关。值得注意的是,DTR对男性的影响更大,贡献了6.3%的增长,而露点变异性显着影响男性的优势比(OR)为1.083。(OR=1.083)。按年龄分层显示,30-39岁(增加43.5%)和50-59岁(增加7.6%)的风险增加。30-39岁和50-59岁的女性面临42.7%和9.1%的高风险,分别,而60-69岁的男性则增加了9.8%。
    结论:我们的研究结果强调了天气变化对COPD相关ED就诊的影响,基于年龄和性别的细微差别的影响。
    OBJECTIVE: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major public health concern, affecting over 200 million people worldwide in 2019. The prevalence of COPD has risen by 40% from 1990 to 2010 and continued to increase by 13% from 2010 to 2019, causing over 3 million deaths globally in 2019, ranking it as the third leading cause of death. This study explored how daily weather changes relate to the number of COPD-related emergency department (ED) visits.
    METHODS: We collected data on daily COPD-related ED visits in 2017 in Pécs along with corresponding meteorological data to analyze this connection.
    RESULTS: High diurnal temperature range (DTR) and day-to-day variability in dew point were linked to a 4.5% increased risk of more COPD-related ED visits. Notably, DTR had a stronger impact on males, contributing to a 6.3% increase, while dew point variability significantly affected males with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.083. (OR=1.083). Stratifying by age revealed heightened risks for those aged 30-39 (43.5% increase) and 50-59 (7.6% increase). Females aged 30-39 and 50-59 faced elevated risks of 42.7% and 9.1%, respectively, whereas males aged 60-69 showed a 9.8% increase.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight the influence of weather variations on COPD-related ED visits, with nuanced effects based on age and sex.
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  • 文章类型: English Abstract
    Climate change and formation of regional weather features increase both direct (immediate effects of extremal temperature and other weather and climatic anomalies) and indirect (environmental deterioration, etc.) consequences of global climate change. The development of investigations of medical weather assessment, medical and meteorological forecasting system, the use of treatment and preventive measures give the opportunity to prepare for weather biotropic conditions and reduce weather-conditioned exacerbations.
    OBJECTIVE: To assess the clinical effectiveness of non-drug comprehensive methods, including balneotherapy and physiotherapy, in patients with somatic diseases, complicated by increased meteosensitivity, depending on the features of weather conditions in the Moscow region.
    METHODS: The study included 120 patients diagnosed with «osteoarthrosis/osteoarthritis» with predominant hip and knee joint damage. The majority of patients had comorbidities, namely hypertensive disease (67.2%), ischemic heart disease (32.8%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and bronchial asthma (10.8%), grade II-III obesity (10%) and compensated diabetes mellitus (9.2%). The severity and main symptoms of the meteopathic reactions\' manifestation were assessed by questionnaires consisting of three blocks, HAM, SF-36 tests and psychological stress scale. Medical and meteorological assessment of weather conditions in Moscow included analysis of the main weather-forming factors for 4 main synoptic observations in 10-minute mode for current and predictive 2 days, as well as daily characteristics of solar activity. Treatment methods included alternating magnetic field (AMF) procedures, general sodium chloride baths, massage and rehabilitation exercises (RE) (1st group); AMF, «dry» carbon dioxide baths, applications with brine on the affected joints and RE (2nd group); AMF, «dry» radon baths, applications with brine and RE (3rd group).
    RESULTS: The conducted studies have revealed the trigger role of most biotropic combinations of weather-forming factors that provoke exacerbation in patients with joint diseases. Sodium chloride, «dry» carbon dioxide and radon baths combined with AMF, applications with brine on the affected joints and RE are pathogenetically justified and contribute to increase of adaptive potential, functional reserves of the body and provide significantly high (p<0.05) meteocorrective action.
    CONCLUSIONS: The obtained results can be used for rehabilitation of patients with joint diseases complicated by increased meteosensitivity.
    Изменение климата и формирование региональных особенностей погоды усиливают как прямые (непосредственные эффекты экстремальных температурных и других погодно-климатических аномалий), так и косвенные (ухудшение качества окружающей среды и др.) последствия глобального изменения климата. Развитие исследований медицинской оценки погоды, системы медико-метеорологического прогнозирования, использование лечебно-профилактических мер дает возможность подготовиться к погодным биотропным условиям и снизить погодообусловленные обострения.
    UNASSIGNED: Оценить клиническую эффективность немедикаментозных комплексных методов, включающих бальнео- и физиотерапию, у пациентов с соматическими заболеваниями, осложненными повышенной метеочувствительностью, в зависимости от особенностей погодных условий Московского региона.
    UNASSIGNED: В исследование было включено 120 пациентов с установленным диагнозом: «остеоартроз/остеоартрит» с преимущественным поражением тазобедренных и коленных суставов. У большинства пациентов имелись сопутствующие заболевания: гипертоническая болезнь (67,2%), ишемическая болезнь сердца (32,8%), хроническая обструктивная болезнь легких и бронхиальная астма (10,8%), ожирение II—III степени (10%) и сахарный диабет компенсированный (9,2%). Степень тяжести и основные симптомы проявления метеопатических реакций оценивали по анкетам-опросникам, состоящим из трех блоков, по тестам САН, SF-36 и шкале психологического стресса. Медико-метеорологическая оценка погодных условий Москвы включала анализ основных погодообразующих факторов по 4 основным срокам наблюдения в 10-минутном режиме на текущие и прогностические на 2 сут, а также ежедневные характеристики солнечной активности. Методики лечения включали воздействие переменным магнитным полем (ПеМП), общие хлоридные натриевые ванны, массаж и лечебную физкультуру (ЛФК) (1-я группа); ПеМП, «сухие» углекислые ванны, аппликации с рапой на область пораженных суставов и ЛФК (2-я группа); ПеМП, «сухие» радоновые ванны, аппликации с рапой и ЛФК (3-я группа).
    UNASSIGNED: Проведенные исследования позволили выявить триггерную роль большинства биотропных комбинаций погодообразующих факторов, провоцирующих обострение у пациентов с заболеваниями суставов. Хлоридно-натриевые, «сухие» углекислые и радоновые ванны в сочетании с ПеМП, аппликациями с рапой на пораженные суставы и ЛФК патогенетически оправданны и способствуют повышению адаптационного потенциала, функциональных резервов организма и оказывают надежно высокое (p<0,05) метеокорригирующее действие.
    UNASSIGNED: Полученные результаты могут быть использованы для реабилитации пациентов с заболеваниями суставов, осложненными повышенной метеочувствительностью.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化和空气污染导致的环境因素是包括痴呆症在内的许多慢性病的危险因素。尽管研究表明空气污染在认知状态方面的影响,对于气候变化与老年痴呆症患者的特定健康相关结局之间的关联知之甚少.作为回应,我们概述了一个范围审查方案,以系统地审查有关气候变化证据的已发表文献,包括温度和天气变化,与健康相关的生活质量,发病率,移动性,falls,卫生资源的利用,和老年痴呆症患者的死亡率。此范围审查将以Arksey和O\'Malley提出的框架为指导。电子搜索(Medline,Embase,PsycINFO,CINAHL,Scopus,WebofScience)使用相关的主题词和两个概念的同义词(患有痴呆症的老年人,天气/气候变化)。没有发布日期或其他限制将适用于搜索策略。为了理解非英语研究在文献中的影响,没有语言限制。符合条件的研究必须包括居住在社区中的患有痴呆症的老年人(65岁以上),并调查气候变化和/或天气对其健康相关生活质量的影响。发病率,移动性,falls,卫生资源的使用和死亡率。两名独立审稿人将筛选摘要,并选择全文审稿,执行这些审查,选择要保留的物品,并以标准化的方式从它们中提取数据。然后将合成和解释这些数据。OSF注册:DOI:10.17605/OSF。IO/YRFM8。
    Environmental factors resulting from climate change and air pollution are risk factors for many chronic conditions including dementia. Although research has shown the impacts of air pollution in terms of cognitive status, less is known about the association between climate change and specific health-related outcomes of older people living with dementia. In response, we outline a scoping review protocol to systematically review the published literature regarding the evidence of climate change, including temperature and weather variability, on health-related quality of life, morbidity, mobility, falls, the utilization of health resources, and mortality among older adults living with dementia. This scoping review will be guided by the framework proposed by Arksey and O\'Malley. Electronic search (Medline, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Scopus, Web of Science) using relevant subject headings and synonyms for two concepts (older people with dementia, weather/ climate change). No publication date or other restrictions will be applied to the search strategy. No language restriction will be applied in order to understand the impact of non-English studies in the literature. Eligible studies must include older adults (65+years) with dementia living in the community and investigate the impacts of climate change and/or weather on their health-related quality of life, morbidity, mobility, falls, use of health resources and mortality. Two independent reviewers will screen abstracts and select those for a full-text review, perform these reviews, select articles for retention, and extract data from them in a standardized manner. This data will then be synthesized and interpreted. OSF registration: DOI: 10.17605/OSF.IO/YRFM8.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    柑橘的采后最终质量受到收获前因素的显着影响,例如天气,在生长地区之间有所不同。尽管这些因素很重要,区域天气变化的影响,比如温度的变化,湿度,湿度风,蒸气压力不足(VPD),和太阳辐射对柑橘采后品质的影响,基本上是未知的。这项研究旨在通过巴伦西亚橙子整个价值链的物理驱动数字复制品来量化这种影响,从南非的果园到欧洲的零售业。收获时预测的水果特性数据和不同生产区域从果园到零售的湿热传感器数据耦合到基于物理的水果模型,以模拟关键的采后水果质量指标。这些指标包括质量损失,寒冷的伤害,水果质量指数(FQI),剩余保质期(RSL),总可溶性固形物(TSS),和可滴定酸度(TA)。我们的数字水果模型表明,当比较Nelspruit的数据时,区域天气变化显着影响水果品质的演变,Letsitele,和周日的河谷(SRV)。与Letsitele和Nelspruit的炎热气候相比,在SRV的温带海洋气候中,天气变化的影响最为明显。我们的发现表明,这些生长区域之间的天气状况差异会影响采后质量损失,FQI,RSL,TSS,和瓦伦西亚橘子的零售TA。影响高达10%的质量损失和RSL的变化,在TSS中4%,在不同地区种植的橙子中,TA含量为1%。我们表明,不同地区之间的橙子采后局部运输中的温度和湿度变化会使质量损失增加两倍,FQI高达约12%,和RSL在零售时高达约15%。我们的研究还表明,天气温度是水果生长过程中影响采后橙子品质各个方面的最重要指标。这项研究为区域天气变化对消费者可获得的橙子质量的影响提供了有价值的见解。这些发现可以帮助柑橘行业加强种植实践,采后物流,零售营销,和冷链战略,从而提高产品质量和消费者满意度。
    The postharvest end-quality of citrus is significantly impacted by pre-harvest factors such as weather, which varies among growing regions. Despite the importance of these factors, the influence of regional weather variations, such as variations in temperature, humidity, wind, vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and solar radiation on postharvest citrus quality, is largely unknown. This study aims to quantify this impact through a physics-driven digital replica of the entire value chain of Valencia oranges, from orchards in South Africa to retail in Europe. Predicted fruit properties data at harvest and hygrothermal sensor data from orchard to retail for different production regions are coupled to a physics-based fruit model to simulate key postharvest fruit quality metrics. These metrics include mass loss, chilling injury, fruit quality index (FQI), remaining shelf life (RSL), total soluble solids (TSS), and titratable acidity (TA). Our digital fruit model reveals that regional weather variability significantly affects fruit quality evolution when comparing data from Nelspruit, Letsitele, and Sunday\'s River Valley (SRV). The impact of weather variations is most pronounced in the temperate oceanic climate of SRV compared to the hotter climates of Letsitele and Nelspruit. Our findings indicate that differences in weather conditions between these growing regions impact postharvest mass loss, FQI, RSL, TSS, and TA of Valencia oranges at retail. The impact is up to 10% variation in mass loss and RSL, 4% in TSS, and 1% in TA among oranges grown in different regions. We show that temperature and humidity variations in the postharvest local transport of oranges between different regions largely increase mass loss by up to twofold, FQI by up to ~ 12%, and RSL by up to ~ 15% at retail. Our research also shows that weather temperature is the most important metric during fruit growth affecting various aspects of postharvest orange quality. This study offers valuable insights into the impact of regional weather variations on the quality of oranges available to consumers. These findings could help the citrus industry enhance growing practices, postharvest logistics, retail marketing, and cold chain strategies, thereby improving product quality and consumer satisfaction.
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