Predictive value

预测值
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:评价高敏C反应蛋白(hs-CRP)与白蛋白(Alb)比值对终末期肾病(ESRD)维持性血液透析(MHD)患者心血管事件的预测能力。
    方法:这项回顾性研究纳入了2020年11月至2022年11月在博白县人民医院接受MHD的202例ESRD患者,随访时间延长至2023年11月。根据随访期间心血管事件的发生情况将患者分为两组:发生组(n=92)和未发生组(n=110)。比较两组的临床资料。使用多变量逻辑回归模型确定MHD后心血管事件的独立危险因素。通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析评估hs-CRP/Alb比值的预测效用,建立最优截止值。建立了决策树预测模型,以进一步描绘心血管事件的概率。
    结果:与未发生组相比,发生组年龄更大,透析时间更长(P<0.05)。他们还显示糖尿病和高血压肾病的患病率更高,吸烟者的比例更高(均P<0.05)。显著较低水平的血红蛋白(HGB),甘油三酯,总胆固醇,低密度脂蛋白,白蛋白(Alb),检测到钙(均P<0.05),而β2-微球蛋白(β2-mg),hs-CRP,磷,hs-CRP/Alb比值明显升高(均P<0.05)。多因素分析显示糖尿病肾病或高血压肾病,高hs-CRP/Alb比值,磷水平升高是心血管事件的危险因素,高血红蛋白水平具有保护作用(P<0.05)。ROC分析表明hs-CRP/Alb比值(AUC=0.884)优于其他预测因子,最佳截止值为0.111。hs-CRP/Alb比值≥0.111的患者心血管事件风险增加29倍(95%CI:11.304-74.842)。
    结论:hs-CRP/Alb比值是接受MHD的ESRD患者心血管事件的重要预测生物标志物。hs-CRP/Alb比值升高与心血管事件风险增加相关。强调了它在这个患者群体中的效用。
    OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictive power of the high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) to albumin (Alb) ratio for cardiovascular events in patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) for end-stage renal disease (ESRD).
    METHODS: This retrospective study enrolled 202 ESRD patients undergoing MHD at Bobai County People\'s Hospital from November 2020 to November 2022, with follow-up extending to November 2023. Patients were divided into two groups based on the occurrence of cardiovascular events during follow-up: the occurrence group (n = 92) and the non-occurrence group (n = 110). Clinical data were compared between these groups. Independent risk factors for cardiovascular events post-MHD were identified using a multivariate logistic regression model. The hs-CRP/Alb ratio\'s predictive utility was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, establishing an optimal cutoff value. A decision tree prediction model was developed to further delineate the probability of cardiovascular events.
    RESULTS: The occurrence group was older and had a longer duration of dialysis compared to the non-occurrence group (P < 0.05). They also showed a higher prevalence of diabetic and hypertensive nephropathy and a higher proportion of smokers (all P < 0.05). Notably lower levels of hemoglobin (HGB), triglycerides, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein, albumin (Alb), and calcium were detected (all P < 0.05), whereas β2-microglobulin (β2-mg), hs-CRP, phosphorus, and the hs-CRP/Alb ratio were markedly increased (all P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed diabetic nephropathy or hypertensive nephropathy, a high hs-CRP/Alb ratio, and elevated phosphorus levels as risk factors for cardiovascular events, while high hemoglobin levels were protective (P < 0.05). The ROC analysis indicated the hs-CRP/Alb ratio (AUC = 0.884) outperformed other predictors with an optimal cutoff at 0.111. Patients with a hs-CRP/Alb ratio ≥ 0.111 were found to have a 29-fold increased risk of cardiovascular events (95% CI: 11.304-74.842).
    CONCLUSIONS: The hs-CRP/Alb ratio is a significant predictive biomarker for cardiovascular events in ESRD patients undergoing MHD. An elevated hs-CRP/Alb ratio is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events, underscoring its utility in this patient population.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:分析脂蛋白相关磷脂酶A2(Lp-PLA2)的预测价值,N末端脑钠肽原激素(NT-proBNP),以及急性心肌梗死(AMI)患者早发性梗死后心力衰竭(HF)的初始诊断时的外周血相关比率。
    方法:本回顾性分析纳入咸阳市中心医院2020年2月至2023年2月首次诊断为AMI的151例患者。患者分为两组:住院期间发生HF的患者(HF组,n=45)和那些没有(非HF组,NHF,n=106)。Lp-PLA2、NT-proBNP、两组之间比较了初始诊断时的外周血比率。二元logistic回归用于确定HF的独立危险因素,并根据这些因素建立了列线图模型。
    结果:HR(P=0.032),C反应蛋白(CRP)(P<0.001),丙氨酸转氨酶(ALT)(P=0.015),冠状动脉病变评分(CALDS)(P<0.001),D-二聚体(D-D)(P=0.021),中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比率(NLR)(P<0.001),Lp-PLA2(P<0.001),HF组NT-proBNP(P<0.001)明显高于NHF组。HF组左心室收缩末期内径(LVESD)(P<0.001)和左心室舒张末期内径(LVEDD)(P<0.001)明显较低。多因素logistic回归确定了HR(P=0.034),CRP(P=0.028),CALDS(P=0.007),NLR(P=0.001),Lp-PLA2(P=0.001),NT-proBNP(P=0.002)是HF的独立预测因子。NLR的AUC,Lp-PLA2和NT-proBNP分别为0.806、0.849和0.780。列线图模型的AUC为0.964,根据德隆检验,显著优于个别指标,突出了其优越的预测功效。
    结论:HR,CRP,CALDS,NLR,Lp-PLA2和NT-proBNP被确定为AMI后HR的独立预测因子。构建的列线图模型为早期临床识别高危患者提供了有效的工具,可能改善预后并指导治疗策略。
    OBJECTIVE: To analyze the predictive value of lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2), N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and peripheral blood-related ratios at the initial diagnosis for heart failure (HF) after early-onset infarction in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI).
    METHODS: This retrospective analysis included 151 patients first diagnosed with AMI at Xianyang Central Hospital from February 2020 to February 2023. Patients were classified into two groups: those who developed HF during hospitalization (HF group, n=45) and those who did not (non-HF group, NHF, n=106). Differences in Lp-PLA2, NT-proBNP, and peripheral blood ratios at initial diagnosis were compared between the groups. Binary logistic regression was used to identify independent risk factors for HF, and a nomogram model was developed based on these factors.
    RESULTS: HR (P=0.032), C-reactive protein (CRP) (P<0.001), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (P=0.015), coronary artery lesion score (CALDS) (P<0.001), D-dimer (D-D) (P=0.021), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (P<0.001), Lp-PLA2 (P<0.001), and NT-proBNP (P<0.001) were significantly higher in the HF group than in the NHF group. Left ventricular end-systolic diameter (LVESD) (P<0.001) and left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD) (P<0.001) were significantly lower in the HF group. Multifactorial logistic regression identified HR (P=0.034), CRP (P=0.028), CALDS (P=0.007), NLR (P=0.001), Lp-PLA2 (P=0.001), and NT-proBNP (P=0.002) as independent predictors of HF. The AUCs for NLR, Lp-PLA2, and NT-proBNP were 0.806, 0.849, and 0.780, respectively. The nomogram model achieved an AUC of 0.964, significantly outperforming individual indicators per Delong\'s test, highlighting its superior predictive efficacy.
    CONCLUSIONS: HR, CRP, CALDS, NLR, Lp-PLA2, and NT-proBNP were identified as independent predictors of HR post-AMI myocardial infarction. The constructed nomogram model provides an effective tool for early clinical identification of high-risk patients, potentially improving prognosis and guiding therapeutic strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:早发冠状动脉疾病(PCAD)普遍存在。目的探讨血浆致动脉粥样硬化指数(AIP)和超敏C反应蛋白(hs-CRP)对PCAD患者冠状动脉病变发生及严重程度的评估价值。
    方法:纳入PCAD(PACD组)/非PCAD(对照组)患者。采用Gensini评分(GS)评价冠状动脉病变程度。将PCAD患者分为低/中/高GS组,分析一般临床基线数据。比较不同程度PCAD患者血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平。血浆hs-CRP/AIP与Gensini评分的相关性,影响PCAD发生的独立危险因素,采用Spearman相关分析/Logistic多元回归/受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价hs-CRP/AIP/组合对PCAD发生及程度的预测价值。使用MedCalc-比较ROC曲线比较曲线下面积(AUC)的差异。
    结果:PCAD组血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平升高。不同程度PCAD患者血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平存在显著差异。血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平与Gensini评分呈显著正相关。吸烟史/同型半胱氨酸/空腹血糖/hs-CRP/AIP均为影响PCAD发生的独立危险因素。hs-CRP和AIP联合预测PCAD发生的AUC为0.950(90.80%敏感性/93.33%特异性)。hs-CRP/AIP联合应用有助于预测PCAD患者的病情程度.
    结论:AIP和hs-CRP是PCAD发生的独立危险因素。两者联合对PCAD的发生和疾病程度有较高的预测价值,两者均与冠状动脉病变程度呈正相关。
    BACKGROUND: Premature coronary artery disease (PCAD) is prevailing. We aimed to investigate the evaluation value of atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) for the occurrence and severity of coronary artery lesion in PCAD patients.
    METHODS: PCAD (PACD group)/non-PCAD (control group) patients were enrolled. The coronary artery lesion degree was evaluated using Gensini score (GS). PCAD patients were allocated into the low/medium/high GS groups, with general clinical baseline data analyzed. Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels were compared in PCAD patients with different disease degree. Correlations between plasma hs-CRP/AIP with Gensini score, independent risk factors affecting the occurrence of PCAD, and the predictive value of hs-CRP/AIP/their combination for the occurrence and degree of PCAD were evaluated by Spearman correlation analysis/Logistic multivariate regression/receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The differences in the area under the curve (AUC) were compared using MedCalc-Comparison of ROC curves.
    RESULTS: Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels in the PCAD group were increased. Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels varied significantly among PCAD patients with different disease degree. Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels were markedly positively correlated with the Gensini score. Smoking history/homocysteine/fasting blood-glucose/hs-CRP/AIP were all independent risk factors affecting PCAD occurrence. The AUC of hs-CRP and AIP combination predicting the occurrence of PCAD was 0.950 (90.80% sensitivity/93.33% specificity). hs-CRP/AIP combination assisted in predicting the disease degree in PCAD patients.
    CONCLUSIONS: AIP and hs-CRP are independent risk factors for the occurrence of PCAD, and their combination has high predictive value for PCAD occurrence and disease degree, which are both positively correlated with coronary artery lesion degree.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    通过评估血清降钙素原(PCT)的水平,重症监护病房(ICU)感染性休克患者的血栓弹力图(TEG)和血小板计数(PLT),讨论了三个指标组合对短期进展的预测价值,为临床早期诊断和病情评估提供了新的依据。
    回顾性分析了2021年12月至2023年12月我院IUC收治的130例感染性休克患者的临床资料。根据28d死亡分为预后良好组(n=78)和预后不良组(n=52)。采用多因素logistic回归分析其影响因素。单一或组合PCT的价值,使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估PLT和TEG在预测不良短期预后中的作用。
    预后不良组患者的急性生理和慢性健康评估II(APACHEII)评分较高,血清PCT水平,凝血反应时间(R值)和凝血形成时间(K值),但PLT水平较低,最终凝血强度(MA值)和凝血形成率(α角)优于预后良好组(P<0.001)。PCT,R值和K值是危险因素(P<0.001),而PLT,MA值和α角为保护因素(P<0.001)。PCT曲线下面积(AUC),预测短期进展不良的PLT和TEG分别为0.813、0.658和0.752。综合3项指标的AUC为0.905,预测价值最高。
    血清PCT水平,PLT和TEG对脓毒性休克患者短期进展不良有一定的预测价值。它们的联合诊断价值更高。因此,定期监测这3项指标,对脓毒性休克患者短期预后不良的防治具有一定的指导意义。
    UNASSIGNED: By evaluating the level of serum procalcitonin (PCT), thromboelastography (TEG) and platelet count (PLT) of patients with septic shock in intensive care unit (ICU), the predictive value of the combination of the three indicators on the short-term progression was discussed, which provided a new basis for early clinical diagnosis and disease evaluation.
    UNASSIGNED: The clinical data of 130 patients with septic shock admitted to the IUC of our hospital from December 2021 to December 2023 were analyzed retrospectively. These subjects were divided into good prognosis group (n=78) and poor prognosis group (n=52) according to the 28 d deaths. The influencing factors were explored using the Multivariate logistic regression analysis. The value of single or combined PCT, PLT and TEG in predicting poor short-term prognosis was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
    UNASSIGNED: The patients in poor prognosis group had higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores, serum PCT level, coagulation reaction time (R value) and coagulation formation time (K value), but lower PLT levels, final strength of coagulation (MA value) and coagulation formation rate (α angle) than those in good prognosis group (P<0.001). PCT, R value and K value were risk factors (P<0.001), while PLT, MA value and α angle were protective factors (P<0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) of PCT, PLT and TEG predicting poor short-term progression was 0.813, 0.658 and 0.752, respectively. The AUC of combined three indicators was 0.905, which had the highest predictive value.
    UNASSIGNED: Serum levels of PCT, PLT and TEG had certain value in predicting poor short-term progression of septic shock patients, and their combined diagnostic value was higher. Therefore, regular monitoring of these three indicators could provide certain guiding significance for the prevention and treatment of poor short-term prognosis in patients with septic shock.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究旨在利用临床数据预测胎龄(GA)<32周的早产儿支气管肺发育不良(BPD),血清介质复合物亚基1(MED1),和血清过氧化物酶体增殖物激活受体γ辅激活因子-1α(PGC-1α)。
    方法:这项前瞻性观察性研究纳入了70例GA<32周的早产儿。将婴儿分为两组:非BPD组(N=35)和BPD组(N=35)。包括25例轻度BPD和10例中度/重度亚组患者。我们进行了多因素回归分析,以调查出生后BPD的危险因素。此外,我们比较了血清生物标志物水平,包括MED1和PGC-1α,在出生后第1、7、14、28天和PMA36周有和无BPD的婴儿中。使用临床危险因素和血清生物标志物构建逻辑回归模型来预测BPD的可能性。
    结果:出生后第一天血清MED1水平,PGC-1α,Seven,第28天,BPD组36周时PMA明显低于非BPD组(P<0.05)。此外,通过结合出生后第1天血清MED1和PGC-1α水平以及临床危险因素如频繁呼吸暂停,建立BPD的预测模型,机械通气时间>7d,以及达到肠内营养总量的时间。我们的预测模型具有较高的预测精度(C统计量为0.989)。
    结论:MED1和PGC-1α可能作为有价值的生物标志物,结合临床因素,帮助临床医生早期诊断BPD。
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to predict the bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) in preterm infants with a gestational age(GA) < 32 weeks utilizing clinical data, serum mediator complex subunit 1 (MED1), and serum peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor gamma coactivator-1alpha (PGC-1α).
    METHODS: This prospective observational study enrolled 70 preterm infants with GA < 32 weeks. The infants were categorized into two groups: non-BPD group(N = 35) and BPD group(N = 35), including 25 cases with mild BPD and 10 patients with moderate/severe subgroups. We performed multifactorial regression analysis to investigate the postnatal risk factors for BPD. Furthermore, we compared serum levels of biomarkers, including MED1 and PGC-1α, among infants with and without BPD at postnatal days 1, 7, 14, 28, and PMA 36 weeks. A logistic regression model was constructed to predict BPD\'s likelihood using clinical risk factors and serum biomarkers.
    RESULTS: Serum levels of MED1 on the first postnatal day, PGC-1α on the 1st, 7th, and 28th days, and PMA at 36 weeks were significantly lower in the BPD group than in the non-BPD group (P < 0.05). Furthermore, the predictive model for BPD was created by combing serum levels of MED1 and PGC-1α on postnatal day 1 along with clinical risk factors such as frequent apnea, mechanical ventilation time > 7 d, and time to reach total enteral nutrition. Our predictive model had a high predictive accuracy(C statistics of 0.989) .
    CONCLUSIONS: MED1and PGC-1α could potentially serve as valuable biomarkers, combined with clinical factors, to aid clinicians in the early diagnosis of BPD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:探讨术前外周血炎性标志物对腹腔镜胃癌根治术手术部位感染(SSI)的预测价值。方法:回顾性分析腹腔镜胃癌根治术患者,根据术后SSI发生情况分为SSI和非SSI组。患者人口统计学,手术细节,实验室结果,并提取SSI发生率数据。指标差异,包括中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比率(NLR),全身免疫炎症指数(SII),和血小板淋巴细胞比率(PLR),在两组之间进行评估。采用多因素logistic回归分析各指标与SSI的独立关联。利用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析来评估参数的预测值。结果:169例患者中,36例(21.30%)患者术后发生SSI。SSI组术前NLR和SII较高(p<0.05)。调整变量后,术前NLR(OR=1.691,95%CI:1.211-2.417,p=0.003)和SII(OR=1.001,95%CI:1.000-1.002,p=0.006)为SSI的独立危险因素。NLR(AUC=0.758,95%CI:0.666-0.850)和SII(AUC=0.753,95%CI:0.660-0.850)均显示出预测术后SSI的良好诊断性能。结论:腹腔镜胃癌根治术术前NLR和SII与术后SSI显著相关,使它们成为早期预测SSI的有价值的指标。
    Background: To investigate the predictive value of preoperative peripheral blood inflammatory markers for surgical site infection (SSI) in laparoscopic radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients undergoing laparoscopic radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer, categorized into SSI and non-SSI groups based on postoperative SSI occurrences. Patient demographics, surgical details, laboratory results, and SSI incidence data were extracted. Differences in indicators, including neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), were assessed between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression was utilized to determine the independent association of each indicator with SSI. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis was utilized to evaluate the predictive value of parameters. Results: Of 169 patients, 36 (21.30%) experienced SSI postoperatively. The SSI group exhibited higher preoperative NLR and SII (p < 0.05). After adjusting for variables, preoperative NLR (OR = 1.691, 95% CI: 1.211-2.417, p = 0.003) and SII (OR = 1.001, 95% CI: 1.000-1.002, p = 0.006) were identified as independent risk factors for SSI. Both NLR (AUC = 0.758, 95% CI: 0.666-0.850) and SII (AUC = 0.753, 95% CI: 0.660-0.850) demonstrated favorable diagnostic performance for predicting postoperative SSI. Conclusion: Preoperative NLR and SII significantly associate with postoperative SSI in laparoscopic radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer, making them valuable indicators for early prediction of SSI.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    营养状况与心力衰竭的预后密切相关。本研究旨在评估江西省急性失代偿性心力衰竭(ADHF)患者的营养状况控制(CONUT)评分与院内死亡率之间的关系。中国。
    进行了一项回顾性队列研究。采用多变量Cox回归模型和限制性三次样条回归方法评价CONUT评分与江西地区ADHF患者住院死亡率的关系。中国。使用受试者工作特征曲线分析CONUT评分对ADHF患者院内死亡率的预测价值。进行亚组分析以确定特定人群中CONUT评分的风险依赖性。
    该研究包括1,230名ADHF患者,其中44例(3.58%)死亡事件被记录.在调整混杂因素后,在ADHF患者中,CONUT评分与院内死亡风险呈正相关.限制性三次样条回归分析显示CONUT评分与ADHF患者院内死亡风险之间存在非线性关系,当CONUT评分超过5分时,估计死亡风险会迅速增加.接收器工作特征分析显示CONUT评分对ADHF患者全因死亡事件具有良好的预测价值[曲线下面积=0.7625,最佳阈值=5.5]。此外,在男性患者和合并脑梗死患者中,与CONUT评分相关的风险相对较高.
    这项研究揭示了CONUT评分与ADHF患者院内死亡风险之间的正相关。根据这项研究的结果,我们建议江西ADHF患者CONUT评分维持在5分以下,中国,因为它可能显著有助于降低院内全因死亡率的风险.
    UNASSIGNED: Nutritional status is closely associated with the prognosis of heart failure. This study aims to assess the relationship between the Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score and in-hospital mortality among patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) in Jiangxi, China.
    UNASSIGNED: A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Multivariable Cox regression models and restricted cubic spline regression were employed to evaluate the relationship between the CONUT score and in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients from Jiangxi, China. The predictive value of the CONUT score for in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curves. Subgroup analyses were performed to identify risk dependencies of the CONUT score in specific populations.
    UNASSIGNED: The study included 1,230 ADHF patients, among whom 44 (3.58%) mortality events were recorded. After adjusting for confounding factors, a positive correlation was found between the CONUT score and the risk of in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients. Restricted cubic spline regression analysis indicated a non-linear relationship between the CONUT score and the risk of in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients, estimating a rapid increase in mortality risk when the CONUT score exceeded 5. Receiver operating characteristic analysis demonstrated a good predictive value of the CONUT score for all-cause mortality events in ADHF patients [area under the curve = 0.7625, optimal threshold = 5.5]. Additionally, a relatively higher risk associated with the CONUT score was observed in male patients and those with concomitant cerebral infarction.
    UNASSIGNED: This study reveals a positive correlation between the CONUT score and the risk of in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients. Based on the findings of this study, we recommend maintaining a CONUT score below 5 for patients with ADHF in Jiangxi, China, as it may significantly contribute to reducing the risk of in-hospital all-cause mortality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    研究发现,总胆固醇与高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(TC/HDL-C)的比值与慢性肾脏病(CKD)的发展有关。然而,不同性别的关系很少被讨论。这项研究的目的是探索这种关系,并评估其对男性和女性的预测能力。
    基于西北地区前瞻性队列研究平台,在基线中收集了32,351名无CKD的参与者,并随访了大约5年。Cox比例风险模型和限制性三次样条回归分析,HDL-C,TC/HDL-C和CKD在成年女性和男性。通过受试者操作者特征曲线评价各指标在预测CKD中的临床应用价值。
    在平均2.2年的随访中,484名男性和164名女性发展为CKD。在调整了相关的混杂因素后,TC每增加一个标准偏差,HDL-C和TC/HDL-C,CKD的风险比(HR)和95%置信区间(95%CIs)为1.17(1.05-1.31),0.84(0.71-0.99),男性为1.15(1.06-1.25),0.94(0.78-1.13),0.58(0.35-0.95),女性为1.19(1.01-1.40),分别。结果还表明,TC,HDL-C,TC/HDL-C与CKD呈线性剂量-反应关系。与TC和HDL-C相比,TC/HDL-C的曲线下面积(AUC)最大,女性的AUC大于男性。
    TC/HDL-C与成年男性和女性CKD显著相关,在预测CKD方面的临床价值优于TC和HDL-C,尤其是女性。
    UNASSIGNED: Studies have found that the ratio of total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TC/HDL-C) was associated with the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the relationship in different genders was rarely discussed. The aim of this study was to explore this relationship and assess its predictive power for both males and females.
    UNASSIGNED: Based on a prospective cohort platform in northwest China, 32,351 participants without CKD were collected in the baseline and followed up for approximately 5 years. Cox proportional hazard model and restricted cubic spline regression analysis were performed to investigate the association between TC, HDL-C, TC/HDL-C and CKD in adult female and male. The clinical application value of the indicators in predicting CKD was evaluated by the receiver operator characteristic curve.
    UNASSIGNED: During a mean follow-up of 2.2 years, 484 males and 164 females developed CKD. After adjusted for relevant confounders, for every one standard deviation increase in TC, HDL-C and TC/HDL-C, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for CKD were 1.17 (1.05-1.31), 0.84 (0.71-0.99), and 1.15 (1.06-1.25) for males, 0.94 (0.78-1.13), 0.58 (0.35-0.95), and 1.19 (1.01-1.40) for females, respectively. The results also showed that TC, HDL-C, and TC/HDL-C were associated with CKD in a linear dose-response relationship. The TC/HDL-C had the largest area under the curve (AUC) compared to TC and HDL-C, and the AUC among the females was larger than that among males.
    UNASSIGNED: The TC/HDL-C was significantly associated with CKD in adult males and females and has better clinical value in predicting CKD than TC and HDL-C, especially in females.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    探讨肩袖间隙内出色的微血管成像(SMI)特征对冻结肩的早期诊断价值。
    这项前瞻性研究招募了在静安区闸北中心医院寻求治疗的急性早期冻结肩患者,上海,2021年7月至2022年12月纳入本研究.从同一医院的体格检查中心以1:1的比例收集健康对照。所有参与者都接受了SMI和肩袖间隙的能量多普勒超声(PDUS)。
    该研究包括79名肩周炎患者和77名健康对照。与健康对照组相比,患者组低回声肩袖间隙的比例较高(81.0%vs48.1%,P<0.001),角膜韧带较厚(2.60±1.01vs2.03±0.97,P<0.001),肱骨关节囊较厚(3.10±0.99vs2.46±1.17,P<0.001),使用SMI(P<0.001)和PDUS(P=0.014)的血液分级升高。SMI血流分级曲线下面积(AUC)最高(AUC=0.824,95%CI:0.755-0.880,P<0.001),当使用1的截止值时,灵敏度为82%,特异性为77%。SMI血流分级与外旋<30°(P=0.007)和外展<30°(P=0.013)相关,与内旋<30°(P=0.630)或屈曲<30°(P=0.562)无关。
    SMI血流量的分级可能是冻结肩早期的有价值的预测指标。这种简单的超声技术具有增强诊断过程的潜力,使治疗的早期开始和潜在的改善患者的结果。
    UNASSIGNED: To explore the early diagnostic value of superb microvascular imaging (SMI) features within the rotator cuff gap for frozen shoulder.
    UNASSIGNED: This prospective study enrolled patients with acute early-stage frozen shoulder seeking treatment at Zhabei Central Hospital in Jing\'an District, Shanghai, between July 2021 and December 2022 were enrolled in this study. Healthy controls were collected in a 1:1 ratio from the same hospital\'s physical examination center. All participants underwent SMI and power Doppler ultrasound (PDUS) of the rotator cuff gap.
    UNASSIGNED: The study included 79 patients with frozen shoulder and 77 healthy controls. Compared with the healthy control group, the patient group had a higher proportion of hypoechoic rotator cuff gap (81.0% vs 48.1%, P<0.001), a thicker coracohumeral ligament (2.60±1.01 vs 2.03±0.97, P<0.001), a thicker glenohumeral joint capsule (3.10±0.99 vs 2.46±1.17, P<0.001), and elevated blood grading using SMI (P<0.001) and PDUS (P=0.014). The highest area under the curve (AUC) was observed for SMI blood flow grading (AUC=0.824, 95% CI: 0.755-0.880, P<0.001), resulting in 82% sensitivity and 77% specificity when using a cutoff of 1. SMI blood flow grading was associated with external rotation <30° (P=0.007) and abduction <30° (P=0.013) but not with internal rotation <30° (P=0.630) or flexion <30° (P=0.562).
    UNASSIGNED: The grading of SMI blood flow may emerge as a valuable predictive indicator for the early stages of frozen shoulder. This simple ultrasound technique holds the potential to enhance the diagnostic process, enabling early initiation of treatment and potentially improving patient outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    骨髓增殖性肿瘤(MPN)患者患心血管疾病的风险较高,尤其是心血管钙化.本研究旨在分析MPN患者的临床特征及冠状动脉钙化积分(CACS),并构建预测MPN患者急性冠脉综合征(ACS)的有效模型。
    从宁波大学第一附属医院招募175例MPN患者和175例对照。基于心血管事件,将MPN患者分为ACS组和非ACS组.完成多因素Cox分析以探讨ACS相关因素。此外,绘制ROC曲线以评估CACS联合白细胞(WBC)和血小板对MPN患者ACS的预测作用。
    MPN组的CACS高于对照组(133vs.55,P<0.001)。175例MPN患者中,共有16例患者发生ACS。与非ACS组相比,年龄差异显著,糖尿病,吸烟史,WBC,中性粒细胞百分比,淋巴细胞百分比,中性粒细胞计数,血红蛋白,血细胞比容,血小板,乳酸脱氢酶,β2-微球蛋白,在ACS组中观察到JAK2V617F突变。此外,ACS组的CACS也显著高于非ACS组(374.5vs.121,P<0.001)。多变量Cox回归分析确定了白细胞,血小板,并将CACS作为MPN患者ACS的独立危险因素。最后,ROC曲线显示WBC,血小板,和CACS对MPN患者的ACS有较高的预测价值(AUC=0.890)。
    CACS联合WBC和血小板可能是预测MPN患者ACS发生的有希望的模型。
    UNASSIGNED: Patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) are exposed to a higher risk of cardiovascular disease, especially cardiovascular calcification. The present research aimed to analyze the clinical features and coronary artery calcium score (CACS) in MPN patients, and construct an effective model to predict acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in MPN patients.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 175 MPN patients and 175 controls were recruited from the First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University. Based on cardiovascular events, the MPN patients were divided into the ACS group and the non-ACS group. Multivariate Cox analysis was completed to explore ACS-related factors. Furthermore, ROC curves were plotted to assess the predictive effect of CACS combined with white blood cells (WBC) and platelet for ACS in MPN patients.
    UNASSIGNED: The MPN group exhibited a higher CACS than the control group (133 vs. 55, P < 0.001). A total of 16 patients developed ACS in 175 MPN patients. Compared with non-ACS groups, significant differences in age, diabetes, smoking history, WBC, percentage of neutrophil, percentage of lymphocyte, neutrophil count, hemoglobin, hematocrit, platelet, lactate dehydrogenase, β 2-microglobulin, and JAK2V617F mutation were observed in the ACS groups. In addition, the CACS in the ACS group was also significantly higher than that in the non-ACS group (374.5 vs. 121, P < 0.001). The multivariable Cox regression analysis identified WBC, platelet, and CACS as independent risk factors for ACS in MPN patients. Finally, ROC curves indicated that WBC, platelet, and CACS have a high predictive value for ACS in MPN patients (AUC = 0.890).
    UNASSIGNED: CACS combined with WBC and platelet might be a promising model for predicting ACS occurrence in MPN patients.
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