Predictive value

预测值
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    营养状况与心力衰竭的预后密切相关。本研究旨在评估江西省急性失代偿性心力衰竭(ADHF)患者的营养状况控制(CONUT)评分与院内死亡率之间的关系。中国。
    进行了一项回顾性队列研究。采用多变量Cox回归模型和限制性三次样条回归方法评价CONUT评分与江西地区ADHF患者住院死亡率的关系。中国。使用受试者工作特征曲线分析CONUT评分对ADHF患者院内死亡率的预测价值。进行亚组分析以确定特定人群中CONUT评分的风险依赖性。
    该研究包括1,230名ADHF患者,其中44例(3.58%)死亡事件被记录.在调整混杂因素后,在ADHF患者中,CONUT评分与院内死亡风险呈正相关.限制性三次样条回归分析显示CONUT评分与ADHF患者院内死亡风险之间存在非线性关系,当CONUT评分超过5分时,估计死亡风险会迅速增加.接收器工作特征分析显示CONUT评分对ADHF患者全因死亡事件具有良好的预测价值[曲线下面积=0.7625,最佳阈值=5.5]。此外,在男性患者和合并脑梗死患者中,与CONUT评分相关的风险相对较高.
    这项研究揭示了CONUT评分与ADHF患者院内死亡风险之间的正相关。根据这项研究的结果,我们建议江西ADHF患者CONUT评分维持在5分以下,中国,因为它可能显著有助于降低院内全因死亡率的风险.
    UNASSIGNED: Nutritional status is closely associated with the prognosis of heart failure. This study aims to assess the relationship between the Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score and in-hospital mortality among patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) in Jiangxi, China.
    UNASSIGNED: A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Multivariable Cox regression models and restricted cubic spline regression were employed to evaluate the relationship between the CONUT score and in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients from Jiangxi, China. The predictive value of the CONUT score for in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curves. Subgroup analyses were performed to identify risk dependencies of the CONUT score in specific populations.
    UNASSIGNED: The study included 1,230 ADHF patients, among whom 44 (3.58%) mortality events were recorded. After adjusting for confounding factors, a positive correlation was found between the CONUT score and the risk of in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients. Restricted cubic spline regression analysis indicated a non-linear relationship between the CONUT score and the risk of in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients, estimating a rapid increase in mortality risk when the CONUT score exceeded 5. Receiver operating characteristic analysis demonstrated a good predictive value of the CONUT score for all-cause mortality events in ADHF patients [area under the curve = 0.7625, optimal threshold = 5.5]. Additionally, a relatively higher risk associated with the CONUT score was observed in male patients and those with concomitant cerebral infarction.
    UNASSIGNED: This study reveals a positive correlation between the CONUT score and the risk of in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients. Based on the findings of this study, we recommend maintaining a CONUT score below 5 for patients with ADHF in Jiangxi, China, as it may significantly contribute to reducing the risk of in-hospital all-cause mortality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究旨在分析降钙素原(PCT)的价值,中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)和血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)在预测尿源性脓毒症术后输尿管结石并发症中的作用.临床预测模型的产生可以提供额外的方向,以减少术后泌尿生殖系统败血症的可能性。
    方法:回顾性分析2022年1月至2023年9月行手术治疗的520例输尿管结石患者的临床资料。根据术后尿源性脓毒症的发生情况分为尿源性脓毒症组(42例)和非尿源性脓毒症组(478例)。外周血PCT,收集两组患者术后24h内PLR和NLR水平。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价PCT的预测价值,输尿管结石患者术后泌尿生殖道败血症的PLR和NLR水平。
    结果:Logistic回归分析显示PCT(比值比(OR)=4.25,95%CI:1.85-9.78),PLR(OR=4.00,95%CI:1.78~9.05)和NLR(OR=2.29,95%CI:1.05~5.01)是输尿管结石患者术后并发脓毒症的危险因素(p<0.05)。ROC曲线显示PCT曲线下面积,单独和联合预测急诊输尿管结石术后尿源性脓毒症并发症的PLR和NLR水平分别为0.683、0.692、0.611和0.799。
    结论:尿源性脓毒症导致血清PCT升高,接受输尿管结石手术治疗的患者的NLR和PLR水平。医师应密切关注这些指标,为减少术后尿源性脓毒症提供进一步的理论支持。
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyse the value of procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting postoperative ureteral stone complications of urogenic sepsis. The production of a clinical prediction model could provide additional direction to reduce the likelihood of postoperative urogenital sepsis.
    METHODS: The clinical data of 520 patients with ureteral stones who underwent surgical treatment from January 2022, to September 2023, in the hospital were retrospectively analysed. The patients were divided into urogenic sepsis group (n = 42) and non-urogenic sepsis group (n = 478) in accordance with the occurrence of urogenic sepsis in the postoperative period. The peripheral blood PCT, PLR and NLR levels were collected within 24 h postoperatively in the two groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to evaluate the predictive value of PCT, PLR and NLR levels for postoperative urogenital sepsis in patients with ureteral stones.
    RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis showed that PCT (odds ratio (OR) = 4.25, 95% CI: 1.85-9.78), PLR (OR = 4.00, 95% CI: 1.78-9.05) and NLR (OR = 2.29, 95% CI: 1.05-5.01) were risk factors for postoperative complication sepsis in patients with ureteral stones (p < 0.05). The ROC curves showed that the areas under the curve of PCT, PLR and NLR levels alone and in combination for predicting urogenic sepsis complications after emergency ureteral stone surgery were 0.683, 0.692, 0.611 and 0.799, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: Urogenic sepsis leads to increased serum PCT, NLR and PLR levels in patients undergoing surgical treatment for ureteral stones. Physicians should pay close attention to these indices to provide further theoretical support for reducing postoperative urogenic sepsis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    吸烟是3组PH的主要危险因素。NT-proBNP是PH风险分层的生物标志物。本研究旨在探讨吸烟状况和吸烟指数(SI)对第3组PH的影响,并评价SI和SI联合NT-proBNP在早期诊断和预测疾病严重程度中的价值。
    选择2020年1月至2021年12月山西医科大学第一医院收治的3组PH患者400例,分为轻度(30mmHg≤肺动脉收缩压(PASP)≤50mmHg)和非轻度(PASP>50mmHg)两组。吸烟对第3组PH的影响采用单因素分析,根据吸烟状况和SI进行逻辑分析以评估第3组PH的风险。采用Spearman相关系数检验SI与第3组PH严重程度指标的相关性。使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价SI的预测值。
    相关性和逻辑分析表明SI与PH严重程度相关。吸烟状况(P=0.009)和SI(P=0.039)是非轻度3组PH的独立危险因素,和ROC显示,SI(AUC:0.596)对非轻度PH的预测价值优于公认的脑钠肽前体(NT-proBNP)(AUC:0.586)。SI可以用作单个预测标记。SI和NT-proBNP可作为筛选非轻度临床病例的预测模型(AUC:0.628)。
    SI是第3组PH的潜在理想非侵入性预测标志物。SI和NT-proBNP可用于建立筛查非轻度PH病例的预测模型。这可以大大提高已建立的PH标记的预测特异性,NT-proBNP.
    UNASSIGNED: Smoking is a major risk factor for the group 3 PH. NT-proBNP is a biomarker for risk stratification in PH. This study aims to investigate the effects of smoking status and smoking index (SI) on group 3 PH and to evaluate the value of SI and SI combined with NT-proBNP in early diagnosis and prediction of disease severity.
    UNASSIGNED: Four hundred patients with group 3 PH at the First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University between January 2020 and December 2021 were enrolled and divided into two groups: mild (30 mmHg ≤ pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP)≤50 mmHg) and non-mild (PASP >50 mmHg). The effect of smoking on group 3 PH was analyzed using univariate analysis, and logistic analysis was conducted to evaluate the risk of group 3 PH according to smoking status and SI. Spearman correlation coefficient was used to test the correlation between SI and the index of group 3 PH severity. The predictive value of SI was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
    UNASSIGNED: Correlation and logistic analyses showed that SI was associated with PH severity. Smoking status (P=0.009) and SI (P=0.039) were independent risk factors for non-mild group 3 PH, and ROC showed that the predictive value of SI (AUC:0.596) for non-mild PH was better than that of the recognized pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (AUC:0.586). SI can be used as a single predictive marker. SI and NT-proBNP can be formulated as prediction models for screening non-mild clinical cases (AUC:0.628).
    UNASSIGNED: SI is a potentially ideal non-invasive predictive marker for group 3 PH. SI and NT-proBNP could be used to develop a prediction model for screening non-mild PH cases. This can greatly improve the predictive specificity of the established PH marker, NT-proBNP.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    盆底不适在女性中很常见,常伴有性功能障碍和心理负担。它们也与怀孕和分娩有关。然而,并非所有有这些投诉的女性都在骨盆物理治疗实践中得到帮助。这项研究探索了如果怀孕,奇偶校验,盆底投诉,性功能,和心理负担预示着在盆腔物理治疗实践中接受帮助。
    在横截面探索性设计中,女性完成了一项关于盆底投诉的在线调查,性功能,心理负担。采用二元Logistic分析对上述因素的预测价值进行分析。
    分析了542名参与者的数据。怀孕和产次,PFC严重性,心理负担,盆底抱怨和心理负担之间的相互作用是接受帮助的重要预测因素。违背期望,性功能不能预测接受帮助。
    女性的心理负担是决定女性在PPT练习中是否或何时获得帮助的重要因素。需要更多的研究来揭示性功能在盆底抱怨和女性心理负担的背景下的作用。对这一专业领域的更多见解可能会改善和增强骨盆底投诉女性的骨盆保健。
    患有盆底疾病的女性也可能经历性功能障碍和心理负担。他们的抱怨可能与怀孕和分娩有关。然而,并非所有患有盆底疾病的女性都能在盆腔物理治疗实践中获得帮助。这项研究探索了如果怀孕,分娩,盆底主诉严重程度,性功能,心理负担预测了女性在盆腔物理治疗实践中的求助行为。为此,邀请女性完成一项在线调查;分析了542名参与者的数据.结果显示怀孕,分娩,盆底投诉严重程度可预测求助行为。违背期望,性功能不能预测这种寻求帮助的行为。心理负担是一个重要的预测因素。需要更多的研究来揭示性功能在盆底抱怨和女性心理负担的背景下的作用。了解更多有关这些因素可能会改善和增强许多女性的骨盆健康。
    UNASSIGNED: Pelvic floor complaints are common among women and often accompanied by sexual dysfunction and psychological burden. They are also associated with pregnancy and childbirth. However, not all women with these complaints receive help in pelvic physical therapy practice. This study explored if pregnancy, parity, pelvic floor complaints, sexual functioning, and psychological burden are predictive of receiving help in pelvic physical therapy practice.
    UNASSIGNED: In a cross-sectional exploratory design, women completed an online survey about pelvic floor complaints, sexual function, and psychological burden. Binary logistic analysis was used to analyze the predictive value of the above-mentioned factors.
    UNASSIGNED: Data from 542 participants were analyzed. Pregnancy and parity, PFC severity, psychological burden, and the interaction between pelvic floor complaints and psychological burden were significant predictors of receiving help. Against expectations, sexual functioning was not predictive of receiving help.
    UNASSIGNED: Women\'s psychological burden is an important factor in determining if or when women receive help in PPT practice. More research is needed to unravel the role of sexual functioning in the context of pelvic floor complaints and women\'s psychological burden. More insight into this area of expertise could possibly improve and enhance pelvic health care for women with pelvic floor complaints.
    Women with pelvic floor complaints may also experience sexual dysfunction and psychological burdens. Their complaints can be related to pregnancy and childbirth. However, not all women with pelvic floor complaints receive help in pelvic physical therapy practice. This study explored if pregnancy, childbirth, pelvic floor complaint severity, sexual functioning, and psychological burden predicted women’s help-seeking behavior in pelvic physical therapy practice. For that purpose, women were invited to complete an online survey; data from 542 participants were analyzed. Outcomes revealed that pregnancy, childbirth, and pelvic floor complaint severity predicted help-seeking behavior. Against expectations, sexual functioning did not predict this help-seeking behavior. Psychological burden turned out to be an important predictor. More research is needed to unravel the role of sexual functioning in the context of pelvic floor complaints and women’s psychological burden. Knowing more about these factors may improve and enhance pelvic health in many women.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:验证自我报告的子宫切除术和双侧卵巢切除术。
    方法:验证研究。
    方法:挪威基于人群的大型队列研究:Trøndelag健康研究(HUNT)。
    方法:Trøndelag健康研究2和3(HUNT2和HUNT3)包括有关妇科病史的问题。包括回答有关子宫切除术和/或卵巢切除术的问题的妇女。总的来说,HUNT2(1995-1997年)包括30263名妇女,HUNT3(2006-2008年)包括23138名妇女,其中16261人同时参加了HUNT2和HUNT3。
    方法:我们将自我报告的子宫切除术和双侧卵巢切除术与医院电子程序代码进行了比较。
    方法:灵敏度,特异性,自我报告的子宫切除术和双侧卵巢切除术的阳性预测值和阴性预测值,通过与医院程序代码进行比较。
    结果:在HUNT2和/或HUNT3中自我报告的子宫切除术和双侧卵巢切除术均具有超过99%的特异性和阴性预测值。自我报告的子宫切除术的敏感性为95.9%,双侧卵巢切除术的敏感性为91.2%。自我报告子宫切除术的阳性预测值为85.8%,但自我报告的双侧卵巢切除术为65.4%.
    结论:自我报告的子宫切除术与医院数据相当吻合,可用于流行病学研究。自我报告双侧卵巢切除术,另一方面,阳性预测值低,基于这些数据的结果应谨慎解释。报告以前没有子宫切除术或双侧卵巢切除术的女性可以安全地归类为未暴露于这些手术。
    OBJECTIVE: To validate self-reported hysterectomy and bilateral oophorectomy.
    METHODS: Validation study.
    METHODS: Large population-based cohort study in Norway: The Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT).
    METHODS: The Trøndelag Health Study 2 and 3 (HUNT2 and HUNT3) included questions on gynaecological history. Women who answered questions regarding hysterectomy and/or oophorectomy were included. In total, 30 263 women were included from HUNT2 (1995-1997) and 23 138 from HUNT3 (2006-2008), of which 16 261 attended both HUNT2 and HUNT3.
    METHODS: We compared self-reported hysterectomy and bilateral oophorectomy with electronic hospital procedure codes.
    METHODS: Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of self-reported hysterectomy and bilateral oophorectomy, by comparing with hospital procedure codes.
    RESULTS: Self-reported hysterectomy and bilateral oophorectomy in HUNT2 and/or HUNT3 both had specificity and negative predictive value above 99%. Self-reported hysterectomy had a sensitivity of 95.9%, and for bilateral oophorectomy sensitivity was 91.2%. Positive predictive value of self-reported hysterectomy was 85.8%, but for self-reported bilateral oophorectomy it was 65.4%.
    CONCLUSIONS: Self-reported hysterectomy corresponded quite well with hospital data and can be used in epidemiological studies. Self-reported bilateral oophorectomy, on the other hand, had low positive predictive value, and results based on such data should be interpreted with caution. Women who report no previous hysterectomy or bilateral oophorectomy can safely be classified as unexposed to these surgeries.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:使用问卷调查收集流行病学数据的调查可能会被错误分类。这里,我们分析了头痛问卷,以评估哪些问题导致除偏头痛以外的分类.
    方法:从DeSCHealthcareInc.获得了来自19-74岁个体的匿名调查以及医疗索赔数据,以检查原发性头痛疾病患者的比例(即偏头痛,紧张型头痛,丛集性头痛,和“其他头痛障碍”)。使用确定偏头痛的六个标准来探索其他头痛疾病患者对这些问题的反应。
    结果:在21480名受访者中,7331(34.0%)报告头痛。691(3.2%)受访者报告偏头痛,1441(6.7%)患有紧张型头痛,21人(0.1%)有丛集性头痛,5208(24.2%)报告了其他头痛疾病。分析了患有其他头痛疾病的参与者的反应,与“与头痛相关的症状”相结合的前3项标准是“疼痛部位”(7.3%),“日常活动中头痛严重程度的变化”(6.4%),和3项标准合并(8.8%)。与头痛相关的症状是“肩膀僵硬”(13.6%),“脖子僵硬”(9.4%),或“恶心或呕吐”(8.7%),畏光”(3.3%)和“畏光”(2.5%)。
    结论:问卷诊断的偏头痛患病率远低于预期,而“其他头痛”的患病率高于预期。我们认为这种观察的原因是错误分类,这是由于问卷未能确定临床病史可能会揭示的偏头痛的一些特征。问卷应该,因此,精心设计,医生应该接受教育,关于在对患者进行半结构化访谈时如何提问和记录信息,为了获得更准确的症状信息,包括畏光和畏声。
    BACKGROUND: Surveys using questionnaires to collect epidemiologic data may be subject to misclassification. Here, we analyzed a headache questionnaire to evaluate which questions led to a classification other than migraine.
    METHODS: Anonymized surveys coupled with medical claims data from individuals 19-74 years old were obtained from DeSC Healthcare Inc. to examine proportions of patients with primary headache disorders (i.e.; migraine, tension-type headache, cluster headache, and \"other headache disorders\"). Six criteria that determined migraine were used to explore how people with other headache disorders responded to these questions.
    RESULTS: Among the 21480 respondents, 7331 (34.0%) reported having headaches. 691 (3.2%) respondents reported migraine, 1441 (6.7%) had tension-type headache, 21 (0.1%) had cluster headache, and 5208 (24.2%) reported other headache disorders. Responses of participants with other headache disorders were analyzed, and the top 3 criteria combined with \"Symptoms associated with headache\" were \"Site of pain\" (7.3%), \"Headache changes in severity during daily activities\" (6.4%), and the 3 criteria combined (8.8%). The symptoms associated with headache were \"Stiff shoulders\" (13.6%), \"Stiff neck\" (9.4%), or \"Nausea or vomiting\" (8.7%), Photophobia\" (3.3%) and \"Phonophobia\" (2.5%).
    CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of migraine as diagnosed by questionnaire was much lower than expected while the prevalence of \"other headache\" was higher than expected. We believe the reason for this observation was due to misclassification, and resulted from the failure of the questionnaire to identify some features of migraine that would have been revealed by clinical history taking. Questionnaires should, therefore, be carefully designed, and doctors should be educated, on how to ask questions and record information when conducting semi-structured interviews with patients, to obtain more precise information about their symptoms, including photophobia and phonophobia.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:探讨膝关节骨性关节炎(OA)患者5年内首次MRI检查与膝关节手术相关的软骨损伤特征之间的关系。此外,评估这些特征对膝关节手术的预测价值。
    方法:我们确定了2015年1月至2018年1月在我们机构接受治疗的膝关节OA患者,并从信息系统中检索了他们的基线临床数据和第一份MRI检查片。接下来,我们继续确定关节空间变窄等级,软骨损伤大小等级,内侧和外侧隔室的软骨全厚度损失等级和软骨损伤总和评分,分别。广义线性回归模型检查了这些特征与5年膝关节手术的关联。参照5年的膝关节手术确定阳性和阴性预测值(PPV和NPV)。
    结果:完全,878名参与者(膝盖)被发现有资格形成研究人群。五年之内,对61个膝盖进行了手术。没有发现与软骨相关的特征与手术发生显着相关。内侧和外侧隔室的结果相似。所有功能的PPV都很低。
    结论:在有症状的临床诊断的OA膝关节中,首次MRI检查中观察到的软骨病变未发现与5年内关节手术的发生有关。所有这些与软骨相关的特征似乎在预测5年的意外关节手术中没有附加价值。
    OBJECTIVE: to investigate the association between cartilage lesion-related features observed in knee osteoarthritis (OA) patients\' first MRI examination and incident knee surgery within 5 years. Additionally, to assess the predictive value of these features for the incident knee surgery.
    METHODS: We identified patients diagnosed with knee OA and treated at our institution between January 2015 and January 2018, and retrieved their baseline clinical data and first MRI examination films from the information system. Next, we proceeded to determine joint space narrowing grade, cartilage lesion size grade, cartilage full-thickness loss grade and cartilage lesion sum score for the medial and lateral compartments, respectively. Generalized linear regression models examined the association of these features with 5-year incident knee surgery. Positive and negative predictive values (PPVs and NPVs) were determined referring to 5-year incident knee surgery.
    RESULTS: Totally, 878 participants (knees) were found eligible to form the study population. Within the 5 years, surgery was performed on 61 knees. None of the cartilage-related features had been found significantly associated with incident surgery. The results were similar for medial and lateral compartments. The PPVs were low for all the features.
    CONCLUSIONS: Among symptomatic clinically diagnosed OA knees, cartilage lesions observed in the first MRI examinations were not found to be associated with the occurrence of joint surgery within a 5-year period. All these cartilage-related features appear to have no additional value in predicting 5-year incident joint surgery.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:发现与手术相关的危险因素,并对具有这些危险因素的患者进行一些早期干预,对社会是有益的。很少有研究专门探讨骨髓病变(BMLs)与长期意外关节手术之间的关系。
    目的:探讨膝关节骨性关节炎(OA)患者首次MRI检查的BML严重程度与5年内膝关节手术的相关性。此外,评估BMLs对膝关节手术的预测价值。
    方法:回顾性队列研究。
    方法:我们确定了2015年1月至2018年1月在我们机构接受治疗的膝关节OA患者,并从信息系统中检索了他们的基线临床数据和第一份MRI检查片。接下来,我们继续确定最大BML等级,中间的BML负担等级和存在BML等级,横向,髌股,和总隔间,分别。多变量逻辑回归模型检查了BML等级与5年膝关节手术的相关性。确定BML等级的阳性和阴性预测值(PPV和NPV),涉及5年的膝关节手术。
    结果:完全,发现1011名参与者(膝盖)有资格形成研究人群。五年之内,对74个膝盖进行了手术。最大BML2级和内侧3级,髌股和总室与意外手术密切相关。侧室的BML等级均与手术无关。BML的PPV低,NPV高。
    结论:在第一次MRI检查中发现的BMLs与5年的意外关节手术有关,除了那些分配在侧室。高NPV意味着没有BML的患者在5年内需要手术的风险较低。
    BACKGROUND: It is beneficial for society to discover the risk factors associated with surgery and to carry out some early interventions for patients with these risk factors. Few studies specifically explored the relationship between bone marrow lesions (BMLs) and long-term incident joint surgery.
    OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between BML severity observed in knee osteoarthritis (OA) patients\' first MRI examination and incident knee surgery within 5 years. Additionally, to assess the predictive value of BMLs for the incident knee surgery.
    METHODS: Retrospective cohort study.
    METHODS: We identified patients diagnosed with knee OA and treated at our institution between January 2015 and January 2018, and retrieved their baseline clinical data and first MRI examination films from the information system. Next, we proceeded to determine the Max BML grades, BML burden grades and Presence BML grades for the medial, lateral, patellofemoral, and total compartments, respectively. Multi-variable logistic regression models examined the association of the BML grades with 5-year incident knee surgery. Positive and negative predictive values (PPVs and NPVs) were determined for BML grades referring to 5-year incident knee surgery.
    RESULTS: Totally, 1011 participants (knees) were found eligible to form the study population. Within the 5 years, surgery was performed on 74 knees. Max BML grade 2 and grade 3 of medial, patellofemoral and total compartments were strongly and significantly associated with incident surgery. None of the BML grades from lateral compartment was associated with incident surgery. The PPV was low and NPV was high for BMLs.
    CONCLUSIONS: BMLs found in the first MRI examination were associated with 5-year incident joint surgery, except for those allocated in lateral compartments. The high NPVs imply that patients without BMLs have a low risk of requiring surgery within 5 years.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:危重病可引起代谢亢进和分解代谢过度,增加营养风险(NR)。早期NR识别对于改善结果至关重要。我们在危重病患者中评估了四种营养筛查工具(NSTs)与全球营养不良领导力倡议(GLIM)标准的互补性。
    方法:我们使用来自五个重症监护病房(ICU)的队列数据进行了一项比较研究,使用NRS-2002和改良的NUTRIC工具筛查患者的NR,具有三个截止值(≥3、≥4、≥5),和通过GLIM标准诊断的营养不良。我们感兴趣的结果包括ICU和院内死亡率,ICU和住院时间(LOS),ICU再入院。我们通过逻辑回归和Cox回归检查了NST和GLIM标准之间关于临床结果的准确性指标和互补性。我们建立了一个四类自变量:NR(-)/GLIM(-)作为参考,NR(-)/GLIM(+),NR(+)/GLIM(-),和NR(+)/GLIM(+)。
    结果:在分析的377名患者中(中位年龄64岁[四分位距:54-71],男性占53.8%),NR患病率从87%到40.6%不等,而64%的患者出现营养不良(GLIM标准)。NRS-2002(评分≥4)对基于GLIM的营养不良具有较高的准确性。多因素分析显示mNUTRIC(+)/GLIM(+)在ICU和院内死亡的可能性增加>2倍,ICU和医院LOS,ICU再入院与参照组比较。
    结论:在我们的研究中,没有NST表现出与GLIM标准令人满意的互补性,强调对所有患者进行全面营养评估的必要性,不管NR状态如何。如果ICU团队选择进行营养筛查,我们建议使用mNUTRIC,因为它显示出优于NRS-2002的预后价值,并在所有患者中应用GLIM标准。
    OBJECTIVE: Critical illness induces hypermetabolism and hypercatabolism, increasing nutrition risk (NR). Early NR identification is crucial for improving outcomes. We assessed four nutrition screening tools (NSTs) complementarity with the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria in critically ill patients.
    METHODS: We conducted a comparative study using data from a cohort involving five intensive care units (ICUs), screening patients for NR using NRS-2002 and modified-NUTRIC tools, with three cutoffs (≥3, ≥4, ≥5), and malnutrition diagnosed by GLIM criteria. Our outcomes of interest included ICU and in-hospital mortality, ICU and hospital length of stay (LOS), and ICU readmission. We examined accuracy metrics and complementarity between NSTs and GLIM criteria about clinical outcomes through logistic regression and Cox regression. We established a four-category independent variable: NR(-)/GLIM(-) as the reference, NR(-)/GLIM(+), NR(+)/GLIM(-), and NR(+)/GLIM(+).
    RESULTS: Of the 377 patients analyzed (median age 64 years [interquartile range: 54-71] and 53.8% male), NR prevalence varied from 87% to 40.6%, whereas 64% presented malnutrition (GLIM criteria). NRS-2002 (score ≥4) showed superior accuracy for GLIM-based malnutrition. Multivariate analysis revealed mNUTRIC(+)/GLIM(+) increased >2 times in the likelihood of ICU and in-hospital mortality, ICU and hospital LOS, and ICU readmission compared with the reference group.
    CONCLUSIONS: No NST exhibited satisfactory complementarity to the GLIM criteria in our study, emphasizing the necessity for comprehensive nutrition assessment for all patients, irrespective of NR status. We recommend using mNUTRIC if the ICU team opts for nutrition screening, as it demonstrated superior prognostic value compared with NRS-2002, and applying GLIM criteria in all patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    系统免疫炎症指数(SII),作为一种新型的炎症生物标志物,能够全面反映机体的炎症和免疫状态,在儿童肺炎支原体肺炎(MPP)的研究中尚未报道。本研究旨在探讨SII是否可以作为评估MPP病情的有效指标。
    这项研究共招募了304名肺炎支原体肺炎(MPP)住院患者,其中重度MPP(SMPP)患者78例,非SMPP患者226例。使用卡方检验进行单变量分析,t检验,并进行Mann-WhitneyU检验分析患者的临床资料。采用Logistic回归分析确定SMPP的主要危险因素。绘制受试者工作特征曲线,以评估使用中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比率(NLR)的潜力,血小板与淋巴细胞比率(PLR),全身免疫炎症指数(SII),和全身免疫反应指数(SIRI)来预测MPP的严重程度。
    ROC曲线结果表明,SII值≥699.00的患者更容易发生严重的MPP(敏感性=0.876,特异性=0.987,AUC=0.940),SII的预测价值明显优于NLR,PLR,和SIRI。多因素logistic回归分析结果表明,SII可以作为区分非SMPP和SMPP的主要危险因素。
    这项研究表明,SII可能是预测儿童MPP严重程度的有效指标。SII比NLR更敏感和特异,PLR,和SIRI在评估MPP条件时。
    UNASSIGNED: The Systemic Immune Inflammation Index (SII), as a novel inflammation biomarker that comprehensively reflects the inflammatory and immune status of the body, has not been reported in studies on Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) in children. This study aims to investigate whether SII can serve as an effective indicator for evaluating the condition of MPP.
    UNASSIGNED: This study recruited a total of 304 hospitalized patients with mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP), including 78 patients with severe MPP (SMPP) and 226 patients with non-SMPP. Univariate analysis using chi-square test, t-test, and Mann-Whitney U-test was conducted to analyze the clinical data of the patients. Logistic regression analysis was employed to identify the main risk factors for SMPP. Receiver operating characteristic curves were plotted to evaluate the potential of using neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and systemic immune response index (SIRI) to predict the severity of MPP.
    UNASSIGNED: The ROC curve results show that patients with SII values ≥ 699.00 are more likely to develop severe MPP (sensitivity=0.876, specificity=0.987, AUC=0.940), and the predictive value of SII is significantly better than that of NLR, PLR, and SIRI. The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis indicate that SII can serve as a major risk factor for distinguishing non-SMPP from SMPP.
    UNASSIGNED: This study suggests that SII may be an effective indicator for predicting the severity of MPP in children. SII is more sensitive and specific than NLR, PLR, and SIRI in evaluating the condition of MPP.
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