Predictive value

预测值
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    胰腺癌和胆道癌的预后较差。近年来,新的诊断技术的发展使得能够识别与这些肿瘤发展有关的主要遗传改变。多项研究评估了预测某些生物标志物治疗反应的能力,如胰腺癌中的BRCA,IDH1或FGFR2在胆道癌和微卫星不稳定性或NTRK融合中以不可知的肿瘤方式。在这个共识中,由西班牙医学肿瘤学会(SEOM)和西班牙病理学学会(SEAP)选择的一组专家回顾了这些突变在癌变过程中的作用及其临床意义.根据他们的结果,我们提出了一系列建议来优化这些生物标志物的测定,从而帮助标准化这些肿瘤的诊断和治疗.
    Pancreatic cancer and biliary tract cancer have a poor prognosis. In recent years, the development of new diagnostic techniques has enabled the identification of the main genetic alterations involved in the development of these tumours. Multiple studies have assessed the ability to predict response to treatment of certain biomarkers, such as BRCA in pancreatic cancer, IDH1 or FGFR2 in biliary tract cancer and microsatellite instability or NTRK fusions in an agnostic tumour fashion. In this consensus, a group of experts selected by the Spanish Society of Medical Oncology (SEOM) and the Spanish Society of Pathology (SEAP) reviewed the role played by these mutations in the process of carcinogenesis and their clinical implications. Based on their results, a series of recommendations are made to optimize the determination of these biomarkers and thus help standardize the diagnosis and treatment of these tumours.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:中国糖尿病学会发布《中国糖尿病新诊断标准》(2020年版)。我们旨在研究新的糖尿病诊断标准对心血管疾病(CVD)的预测价值。
    方法:纳入2011年和2018年中国健康与退休纵向研究共5884人。比较基线特征和结果数据。通过Kaplan-Meier曲线确定了根据两个标准诊断的糖尿病与未来CVD之间的关联。Cox回归分析,和接收器操作特性分析。Delong的测试是为了比较2020年版诊断的糖尿病和上一版本诊断的糖尿病对未来CVD的预测价值。
    结果:经过多变量调整后,2020版诊断的糖尿病和上一版诊断的糖尿病均与CVD相关(分别为HR1.607,95%CI1.221-2.115,P<0.001;HR1.244,95%CI1.060-1.460,P=0.007).Kaplan-Meier分析显示糖尿病患者有更多的心血管风险(log-rankP<0.001)。此外,在2020年版中诊断出的糖尿病显示了0.673的曲线下面积(AUC)用于预测CVD,而上一版诊断为糖尿病的AUC为0.638(DeLong检验P<0.01)。
    结论:我国糖尿病诊断标准(2020年版)在预测心血管疾病方面的表现优于上一版。
    OBJECTIVE: Chinese diabetes society has published the new diagnostic criteria for diabetes in China (2020 edition). We aimed to investigate the predictive value of new diabetes-diagnosed criteria for cardiovascular diseases (CVD).
    METHODS: A total of 5884 individuals from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study in 2011 and 2018 were enrolled. Baseline characteristics and outcome data were compared. The association between diabetes diagnosed by two criteria and future CVD was identified by Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox regression analyses, and receiver-operating characteristic analyses. Delong\'s test was conducted to compare the predictive value for future CVD between diabetes diagnosed by the 2020 edition and diabetes diagnosed by the previous version.
    RESULTS: After multivariate adjustment, both diabetes diagnosed by the 2020 edition and diabetes diagnosed by the previous edition is associated with CVD (HR 1.607, 95% CI 1.221-2.115, P < 0.001; HR 1.244, 95% CI 1.060-1.460, P = 0.007, respectively). The Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that diabetes patients have more cardiovascular risk (log-rank P<0.001). Moreover, diabetes diagnosed in the 2020 edition illustrated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.673 for predicting CVD, while diabetes diagnosed in the previous edition showed an AUC of 0.638 (DeLong\'s test P<0.01).
    CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes diagnosis criteria (2020 edition) in China had better performance in predicting cardiovascular diseases than the previous edition.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    胰腺癌和胆道癌的预后较差。近年来,新的诊断技术的发展使得能够识别与这些肿瘤发展有关的主要遗传改变。多项研究评估了某些生物标志物的能力,如胰腺癌中的BRCA,IDH1或FGFR2在胆道癌和微卫星不稳定或NTRK融合中以一种不可知的肿瘤方式,预测对治疗的反应。在这个共识中,由西班牙医学肿瘤学会(SEOM)和西班牙病理学学会(SEAP)选择的一组专家回顾了这些突变在癌变过程中的作用及其临床意义.因此,本文提出了一系列建议,以优化这些生物标志物的测定,以帮助标准化这些肿瘤的诊断和治疗。
    Pancreatic cancer and biliary tract cancer have a poor prognosis. In recent years, the development of new diagnostic techniques has enabled the identification of the main genetic alterations involved in the development of these tumours. Multiple studies have assessed the ability of certain biomarkers, such as BRCA in pancreatic cancer, IDH1 or FGFR2 in biliary tract cancer and microsatellite instability or NTRK fusions in an agnostic tumour fashion, to predict response to treatment.In this consensus, a group of experts selected by the Spanish Society of Medical Oncology (SEOM) and the Spanish Society of Pathology (SEAP) reviewed the role played by these mutations in the process of carcinogenesis and their clinical implications. As a result, this article proposes a series of recommendations to optimize the determination of these biomarkers to help standardize the diagnosis and treatment of these tumours.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:结直肠癌(CRC)的共有分子亚型(CMSs)在基因表达水平上捕获了肿瘤异质性。目前,有限数量的分子特征用于指导CRC的治疗.我们总结了CMSs临床价值的证据。
    方法:我们系统地确定了Medline和Embase的研究,这些研究评估了CMSs在CRC患者中的预后和预测价值。对预后数据进行随机效应荟萃分析。对预测数据进行了总结。
    结果:在局部疾病中,与CMS1(风险比[HR]=3.28,95%置信区间=1.27至8.47)和CMS2癌症(HR=2.60,95%置信区间=1.93至3.50)相比,CMS4肿瘤与更差的总生存期(OS)相关。在转移性疾病中,CMS1的生存率始终比CMS2-4差(OSHR范围=0.33至0.55;无进展生存期HR范围=0.53至0.89)。II期和III期CRC中的辅助化疗对CMS2和CMS3中的OS最有利(HR范围=0.16至0.45),而对CMS4肿瘤无效。在转移性CMS4癌症中,与奥沙利铂相比,基于伊立替康的方案改善了结局(HR范围=0.31~0.72).贝伐单抗的加入似乎对CMS1有益,抗EGFR治疗改善了KRAS野生型CMS2患者的预后。
    结论:CMS分类在预测预后和对全身治疗的反应方面具有明确的临床应用潜力。这似乎是独立于使用的分类器。有必要进行前瞻性研究,以支持在临床实践中实施CMS分类法。
    BACKGROUND: The consensus molecular subtypes (CMSs) of colorectal cancer (CRC) capture tumor heterogeneity at the gene-expression level. Currently, a restricted number of molecular features are used to guide treatment for CRC. We summarize the evidence on the clinical value of the CMSs.
    METHODS: We systematically identified studies in Medline and Embase that evaluated the prognostic and predictive value of CMSs in CRC patients. A random-effect meta-analysis was performed on prognostic data. Predictive data were summarized.
    RESULTS: In local disease, CMS4 tumors were associated with worse overall survival (OS) compared to CMS1 (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.28, 95% confidence interval = 1.27 to 8.47) and CMS2 cancers (HR = 2.60, 95% confidence interval= 1.93 to 3.50). In metastatic disease, CMS1 consistently had worse survival than CMS2-4 (OS HR range = 0.33 to 0.55; progression-free survival HR range = 0.53 to 0.89). Adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II and III CRC was most beneficial for OS in CMS2 and CMS3 (HR range = 0.16 to 0.45) and not effective in CMS4 tumors. In metastatic CMS4 cancers, an irinotecan-based regimen improved outcome as compared to oxaliplatin (HR range = 0.31 to 0.72). The addition of bevacizumab seemed beneficial in CMS1, and anti-EGFR therapy improved outcome for KRAS wildtype CMS2 patients.
    CONCLUSIONS: The CMS classification holds clear potential for clinical use in predicting both prognosis and response to systemic therapy, which seems to be independent of the classifier used. Prospective studies are warranted to support implementation of the CMS taxonomy in clinical practice.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在最近公布的数据中,已经探讨了原发肿瘤位置对现有生物疗法治疗转移性结直肠癌的预测价值.认识到这些数据对临床实践的潜在影响,我们召集了一个加拿大治疗转移性结直肠癌的专家会议,基于原发性肿瘤位置的循证治疗指南。本报告总结了相关证据,并提出了这些专家的共识建议。
    In recently published data, the predictive value of primary tumour location for the treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer with available biologic therapies has been explored. Recognizing the potential effect of those data on clinical practice, we convened a meeting of Canadian experts who treat metastatic colorectal cancer to develop a set of national, evidence-based treatment guidelines based on primary tumour location. This report summarizes the relevant evidence and presents the consensus recommendations of those experts.
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
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