Predictive value

预测值
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:早期预警评分是预测患者不良事件的有价值的工具。本研究旨在比较国家早期预警评分的诊断性能,汉密尔顿预警评分,标准化预警评分,和分流预警评分预测2019年冠状病毒病患者插管和死亡率。
    方法:这项预测性相关性研究包括内沙布尔22Bahman医院急诊科收治的370名患者,伊朗,从2021年12月到2022年3月。上述评分在患者入院时每天进行评估,并在整个1个月的住院期间进行评估。除了插管和死亡率发生。数据分析采用SPSS26和MEDCALC20.0.13软件。我们遵守诊断准确性研究报告标准指南,以确保我们的研究报告准确。
    结果:患者的平均年龄为65.03±18.47岁,209人(56.5%)为男性。标准化预警评分和汉密尔顿预警评分均表现出较高的诊断性能,曲线下面积值分别为0.92和0.95。对于标准化预警评分,插管阳性似然比为10.81,死亡率为17.90,而对于汉密尔顿预警评分,插管阳性似然比为7.88,死亡率为10.40.标准化预警评分的负似然比值为0.23和0.17,汉密尔顿预警评分的负似然比值为0.21和0.18,分别,在插管事件和死亡率之前的24小时内。
    结论:研究结果表明,标准化预警评分,其次是汉密尔顿预警评分,在预测2019年冠状病毒病患者在这些结局前24小时内的插管和死亡率方面具有优异的诊断性能。因此,汉密尔顿预警评分或标准化预警评分的系列评估可能是医疗保健提供者识别2019年冠状病毒疾病高危患者的有价值的工具,这些患者需要插管或死亡风险增加.
    BACKGROUND: Early warning scores serve as valuable tools for predicting adverse events in patients. This study aimed to compare the diagnostic performance of National Early Warning Score, Hamilton Early Warning Score, Standardized Early Warning Score, and Triage Early Warning Score in forecasting intubation and mortality among patients with coronavirus disease 2019.
    METHODS: This predictive correlation study included 370 patients admitted to the emergency department of 22 Bahman Hospital in Neyshabur, Iran, from December 2021 to March 2022. The aforementioned scores were assessed daily upon patient admission and throughout a 1-month hospitalization period, alongside intubation and mortality occurrences. Data analysis used SPSS 26 and MEDCALC 20.0.13 software. We adhered to the Standards for Reporting of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies guidelines to ensure the accurate reporting of our study.
    RESULTS: The patients\' mean age was 65.03 ± 18.47 years, with 209 (56.5%) being male. Both Standardized Early Warning Score and Hamilton Early Warning Score demonstrated high diagnostic performance, with area under the curve values of 0.92 and 0.95, respectively. For Standardized Early Warning Score, the positive likelihood ratio was 10.81 for intubation and 17.90 for mortality, whereas for Hamilton Early Warning Score, the positive likelihood ratio was 7.88 for intubation and 10.40 for mortality. The negative likelihood ratio values were 0.23 and 0.17 for Standardized Early Warning Score and 0.21 and 0.18 for Hamilton Early Warning Score, respectively, for the 24-hour period preceding intubation events and mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest that Standardized Early Warning Score, followed by Hamilton Early Warning Score, has superior diagnostic performance in predicting intubation and mortality in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 within 24 hours before these outcomes. Therefore, serial assessments of Hamilton Early Warning Score or Standardized Early Warning Score may be valuable tools for health care providers in identifying high-risk patients with coronavirus disease 2019 who require intubation or are at increased risk of mortality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:评价血清AMH水平对非不孕患者宫腔内供精人工授精(ds-IUI)临床妊娠的预测价值。
    方法:这项多中心前瞻性研究(ClinicalTrials.govID:NCT06263192)招募了2020年6月至2022年12月在西班牙和智利的三个不同生育诊所接受ds-IUI的所有非不育妇女。ds-IUI的适应症包括严重的少弱精子症,女性伴侣,或单一状态。比较AMH≥1.1和<1.1ng/mL妇女的临床妊娠率。主要结局指标是多达4个ds-IUI周期后的累积临床妊娠率。
    结果:245例患者共进行了458个ds-IUI周期,其中108人(44.08%)在4个周期内实现临床妊娠,其中60.2%发生在第一次尝试中,84.2%发生在两次尝试后。我们发现AMH水平或其他参数(如年龄,BMI,FSH,AFC)在怀孕的妇女和未怀孕的妇女之间。累积妊娠率和逻辑回归分析显示,AMH≥1.1ng/mL不能预测ds-IUI的成功。AFC与AMH呈高度正相关(r=0.67,p<0.001),ROC曲线分析表明,这些卵巢储备标志物均不能准确预测非不育妇女的累积ds-IUI结局。
    结论:这项多中心研究的结果表明,在接受ds-IUI的非不孕妇女中,AMH并不是妊娠的可靠预测指标。即使AMH水平较低的女性也可以成功怀孕,支持卵巢储备减少不应限制符合条件的非不孕妇女接受ds-IUI治疗的观点.
    OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictive value of serum AMH for clinical pregnancy in non-infertile population undergoing intrauterine insemination with donor sperm (ds-IUI).
    METHODS: This multicenter prospective study (ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT06263192) recruited all non-infertile women undergoing ds-IUI from June 2020 to December 2022 in three different fertility clinics in Spain and Chile. Indications for ds-IUI included severe oligoasthenoteratozoospermia, female partner, or single status. Clinical pregnancy rates were compared between women with AMH ≥ 1.1 and < 1.1 ng/mL. The main outcome measure was the cumulative clinical pregnancy rate after up to 4 ds-IUI cycles.
    RESULTS: A total of 458 ds-IUI cycles were performed among 245 patients, of whom 108 (44.08%) achieved clinical pregnancy within 4 cycles, 60.2% of these occurring in the first attempt and 84.2% after two attempts. We found no significant differences in AMH levels or other parameters (such as age, BMI, FSH, AFC) between women who became pregnant and those who did not. Cumulative pregnancy rates and logistic regression analysis revealed that AMH ≥ 1.1 ng/mL was not predictive of ds-IUI success. While a high positive correlation was observed between AFC and AMH (r = 0.67, p < 0.001), ROC curve analyses indicated that neither of these ovarian reserve markers accurately forecasts cumulative ds-IUI outcomes in non-infertile women.
    CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this multicenter study suggest that AMH is not a reliable predictor of pregnancy in non-infertile women undergoing ds-IUI. Even women with low AMH levels can achieve successful pregnancy outcomes, supporting the notion that diminished ovarian reserve should not restrict access to ds-IUI treatments in eligible non-infertile women.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    骨髓增殖性肿瘤(MPN)患者患心血管疾病的风险较高,尤其是心血管钙化.本研究旨在分析MPN患者的临床特征及冠状动脉钙化积分(CACS),并构建预测MPN患者急性冠脉综合征(ACS)的有效模型。
    从宁波大学第一附属医院招募175例MPN患者和175例对照。基于心血管事件,将MPN患者分为ACS组和非ACS组.完成多因素Cox分析以探讨ACS相关因素。此外,绘制ROC曲线以评估CACS联合白细胞(WBC)和血小板对MPN患者ACS的预测作用。
    MPN组的CACS高于对照组(133vs.55,P<0.001)。175例MPN患者中,共有16例患者发生ACS。与非ACS组相比,年龄差异显著,糖尿病,吸烟史,WBC,中性粒细胞百分比,淋巴细胞百分比,中性粒细胞计数,血红蛋白,血细胞比容,血小板,乳酸脱氢酶,β2-微球蛋白,在ACS组中观察到JAK2V617F突变。此外,ACS组的CACS也显著高于非ACS组(374.5vs.121,P<0.001)。多变量Cox回归分析确定了白细胞,血小板,并将CACS作为MPN患者ACS的独立危险因素。最后,ROC曲线显示WBC,血小板,和CACS对MPN患者的ACS有较高的预测价值(AUC=0.890)。
    CACS联合WBC和血小板可能是预测MPN患者ACS发生的有希望的模型。
    UNASSIGNED: Patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) are exposed to a higher risk of cardiovascular disease, especially cardiovascular calcification. The present research aimed to analyze the clinical features and coronary artery calcium score (CACS) in MPN patients, and construct an effective model to predict acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in MPN patients.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 175 MPN patients and 175 controls were recruited from the First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University. Based on cardiovascular events, the MPN patients were divided into the ACS group and the non-ACS group. Multivariate Cox analysis was completed to explore ACS-related factors. Furthermore, ROC curves were plotted to assess the predictive effect of CACS combined with white blood cells (WBC) and platelet for ACS in MPN patients.
    UNASSIGNED: The MPN group exhibited a higher CACS than the control group (133 vs. 55, P < 0.001). A total of 16 patients developed ACS in 175 MPN patients. Compared with non-ACS groups, significant differences in age, diabetes, smoking history, WBC, percentage of neutrophil, percentage of lymphocyte, neutrophil count, hemoglobin, hematocrit, platelet, lactate dehydrogenase, β 2-microglobulin, and JAK2V617F mutation were observed in the ACS groups. In addition, the CACS in the ACS group was also significantly higher than that in the non-ACS group (374.5 vs. 121, P < 0.001). The multivariable Cox regression analysis identified WBC, platelet, and CACS as independent risk factors for ACS in MPN patients. Finally, ROC curves indicated that WBC, platelet, and CACS have a high predictive value for ACS in MPN patients (AUC = 0.890).
    UNASSIGNED: CACS combined with WBC and platelet might be a promising model for predicting ACS occurrence in MPN patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究旨在分析降钙素原(PCT)的价值,中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)和血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)在预测尿源性脓毒症术后输尿管结石并发症中的作用.临床预测模型的产生可以提供额外的方向,以减少术后泌尿生殖系统败血症的可能性。
    方法:回顾性分析2022年1月至2023年9月行手术治疗的520例输尿管结石患者的临床资料。根据术后尿源性脓毒症的发生情况分为尿源性脓毒症组(42例)和非尿源性脓毒症组(478例)。外周血PCT,收集两组患者术后24h内PLR和NLR水平。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价PCT的预测价值,输尿管结石患者术后泌尿生殖道败血症的PLR和NLR水平。
    结果:Logistic回归分析显示PCT(比值比(OR)=4.25,95%CI:1.85-9.78),PLR(OR=4.00,95%CI:1.78~9.05)和NLR(OR=2.29,95%CI:1.05~5.01)是输尿管结石患者术后并发脓毒症的危险因素(p<0.05)。ROC曲线显示PCT曲线下面积,单独和联合预测急诊输尿管结石术后尿源性脓毒症并发症的PLR和NLR水平分别为0.683、0.692、0.611和0.799。
    结论:尿源性脓毒症导致血清PCT升高,接受输尿管结石手术治疗的患者的NLR和PLR水平。医师应密切关注这些指标,为减少术后尿源性脓毒症提供进一步的理论支持。
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyse the value of procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting postoperative ureteral stone complications of urogenic sepsis. The production of a clinical prediction model could provide additional direction to reduce the likelihood of postoperative urogenital sepsis.
    METHODS: The clinical data of 520 patients with ureteral stones who underwent surgical treatment from January 2022, to September 2023, in the hospital were retrospectively analysed. The patients were divided into urogenic sepsis group (n = 42) and non-urogenic sepsis group (n = 478) in accordance with the occurrence of urogenic sepsis in the postoperative period. The peripheral blood PCT, PLR and NLR levels were collected within 24 h postoperatively in the two groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to evaluate the predictive value of PCT, PLR and NLR levels for postoperative urogenital sepsis in patients with ureteral stones.
    RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis showed that PCT (odds ratio (OR) = 4.25, 95% CI: 1.85-9.78), PLR (OR = 4.00, 95% CI: 1.78-9.05) and NLR (OR = 2.29, 95% CI: 1.05-5.01) were risk factors for postoperative complication sepsis in patients with ureteral stones (p < 0.05). The ROC curves showed that the areas under the curve of PCT, PLR and NLR levels alone and in combination for predicting urogenic sepsis complications after emergency ureteral stone surgery were 0.683, 0.692, 0.611 and 0.799, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: Urogenic sepsis leads to increased serum PCT, NLR and PLR levels in patients undergoing surgical treatment for ureteral stones. Physicians should pay close attention to these indices to provide further theoretical support for reducing postoperative urogenic sepsis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    新生儿败血症的早期诊断至关重要,因为它仍然是新生儿死亡的主要原因。在这项研究中,对新生儿败血症22例和无败血症62例的临床资料及检测指标进行分析。我们的发现表明,在败血症新生儿中观察到的临床体征缺乏特异性。此外,常用的临床炎症指标(如白细胞计数、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比率[NLR],C反应蛋白[CRP],降钙素原)表现出有限的敏感性和特异性。此外,目前的临床措施缺乏对炎症因子的评估。因此,为了提高新生儿败血症早期诊断的准确性,我们采用了一种新型的基于微流控的单细胞技术平台,在各种毒素刺激条件下,在单个细胞水平分析中性粒细胞分泌的32种细胞因子.我们进一步研究并比较了体外脓毒症模型中脐带血中性粒细胞和健康成人外周中性粒细胞在单细胞蛋白分泌组学中的差异。我们的研究结果表明,在静息状态下,UCB中性粒细胞表现出较低的多功能与健康成人血液中性粒细胞相比,两组之间检测到细胞因子分泌谱的显著差异。然而,当暴露于α-溶血素或脂多糖时,UCB中性粒细胞的多功能性显著增加并超过健康成人中性粒细胞。UCB中性粒细胞分泌广泛的趋化因子和炎症因子,其中GM-CSF和IL-18最为显著。此外,我们最初通过考虑中性粒细胞分泌五种主要细胞因子(GM-CSF,IL-18,IL-8,MIP-1β,和MIF)。目前的研究,第一次,详细检查了蛋白质分泌的异质性和不同抗原刺激的UCB中性粒细胞的功能多样性。此外,对新生儿败血症的新见解,早期诊断,这些数据提供了UCB中性粒细胞的更广泛的临床应用。
    The early diagnosis of neonatal sepsis is crucial as it remains a prevalent cause of neonatal mortality. In this study, we conducted an analysis on the clinical data and detection indicators of 22 cases with sepsis and 62 cases without sepsis among neonates. Our findings indicate that the clinical signs observed in neonates with sepsis lack specificity. In addition, the commonly used clinical inflammatory indicators (such as leukocyte count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio [NLR], C-reactive protein [CRP], procalcitonin) exhibit limited sensitivity and specificity. Furthermore, the current clinical measures lack the assessment of inflammatory factors. Therefore, in order to enhance the accuracy of early sepsis diagnosis in neonates, we have employed a novel microfluidic-based single-cell technology platform for the analysis of 32 cytokines secreted by neutrophils at the individual cell level under various toxin stimulation conditions. We have further investigated and compared the disparities in single-cell protein secretomics between umbilical cord blood neutrophils and healthy adult peripheral neutrophils within an in vitro sepsis model. Our findings indicate that in a resting state UCB neutrophils exhibited lower polyfunctionality compared with healthy adult blood neutrophils, and notable variations in cytokine secretion profiles were detected between the two groups. However, the polyfunctionality of UCB neutrophils significantly increased and surpassed that of healthy adult neutrophils when exposed to alpha-hemolysin or lipopolysaccharide. UCB neutrophils secreted a wide range of chemokines and inflammatory factors, among which GM-CSF and IL-18 were the most significant. Furthermore, we initially categorized the functional subgroups of neutrophils by considering the secretion of five primary cytokines by neutrophils (GM-CSF, IL-18, IL-8, MIP-1β, and MIF). The current study, for the first time, examined in detail the heterogeneity of protein secretion and the functional diversity of UCB neutrophils stimulated by different antigens. Moreover, new insight into neonatal sepsis, early diagnosis, and wider clinical applications of UCB neutrophils are provided by these data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    简介本研究强调了复合肌肉动作电位(CMAP)潜伏期变化与前庭神经鞘瘤切除术结束时测得的面神经(FN)近端到远端(P/D)振幅比的预测值之间的关系。方法48例患者在脑干(近端)和内耳道(远端)使用2mA的电流强度进行FN刺激。评估近端潜伏期和P/D振幅比。House-BrackmannI和II级表明FN功能良好,和III至VI级被认为是正常/差的功能。P/D振幅比>0.6用作截止值以指示良好的FN函数,而≤0.6的比率表明FN功能一般/较差。结果测量所有患者的P/D振幅比,和计算的灵敏度(SE),特异性(SP),阳性预测值(PPV),阴性预测值(NPV)分别为85.2、85.7、88.5和81.8%,分别。然后根据它们的近端潜伏期将来自mentalis肌的CMAP分类为I组(<6ms),II组(6-8ms),和组III(>8ms)。TheSE,SP,PPV,净现值分别为90.5、90.9、95和83.3%,分别,在第二组中。在第一组中,SE和NPV增加,而SP和PPV下降。而在第三组中,SP和PPV增加,而SE和NPV下降。结论在6到8ms之间的潜伏期,P/D振幅比可预测高SE和SP的结局.当延迟<6ms或>8ms时,没有观察到相同的预测能力。了解强度和局限性对于理解P/D振幅比的预测值很重要。
    Introduction  This study highlights the relation between compound muscle action potential (CMAP) latency variations and the predictive value of facial nerve (FN) proximal-to-distal (P/D) amplitude ratio measured at the end of vestibular schwannoma resection. Methods  Forty-eight patients underwent FN stimulation at the brainstem (proximal) and internal acoustic meatus (distal) using a current intensity of 2 mA. The proximal latency and the P/D amplitude ratio were assessed. House-Brackmann grades I & II indicated good FN function, and grades III to VI were considered fair/poor function. A P/D amplitude ratio > 0.6 was used as a cutoff to indicate a good FN function, while a ratio of ≤ 0.6 indicated a fair/poor FN function. Results  The P/D amplitude ratio was measured for all patients, and the calculated sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP), positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were 85.2, 85.7, 88.5, and 81.8%, respectively. The CMAPs from the mentalis muscle were then classified based on their proximal latency into group I (< 6 ms), group II (6-8 ms), and group III (> 8 ms). The SE, SP, PPV, and NPV became 90.5, 90.9, 95, and 83.3%, respectively, in group II. In group I, SE and NPV increased, whereas SP and PPV decreased. While in group III, SP and PPV increased, whereas SE and NPV decreased. Conclusion  At a latency between 6 and 8 ms, the P/D amplitude ratio was predictive of outcomes with high SE and SP. When latency was < 6 ms or > 8 ms, the same predictive ability was not observed. Knowing the strengths and limitations is important for understanding the predictive value of the P/D amplitude ratio.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究旨在探讨膈肌厚度分数(DTF)联合综合肺指数(IPI)对重症急性胰腺炎(SAP)患者拔管结局的预测价值。
    方法:这项前瞻性研究包括2020年10月至2023年9月在我院诊断为SAP并接受机械通气治疗的93例患者。根据拔管结果将患者分为拔管成功组(61例)和拔管失败组(32例)。DTF的预测价值,IPI,并对其联合拔管失败进行分析。
    结果:DTF和IPI是SAP机械通气患者拔管失败的独立危险因素。此外,DTF和IPI的联合应用对这些患者的拔管失败具有预测价值.
    结论:DTF和IPI对接受机械通气的SAP患者拔管失败具有预测价值,它们的结合使用可以提高预测效率。
    OBJECTIVE: This study was performed to explore the predictive value of the diaphragmatic thickness fraction (DTF) combined with the integrated pulmonary index (IPI) for the extubation outcome in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).
    METHODS: This prospective study involved 93 patients diagnosed with SAP and treated with mechanical ventilation in our hospital from October 2020 to September 2023. The patients were divided into a successful extubation group (61 patients) and an extubation failure group (32 patients) based on the extubation outcomes. The predictive value of the DTF, IPI, and their combination for extubation failure was analyzed.
    RESULTS: The DTF and IPI were independent risk factors for extubation failure in patients with SAP undergoing mechanical ventilation. In addition, the combination of the DTF and IPI showed predictive value for extubation failure in these patients.
    CONCLUSIONS: The DTF and IPI hold predictive value for extubation failure in patients with SAP undergoing mechanical ventilation, and their combined use may improve the predictive efficiency.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:活检前前列腺特异性抗原密度(PSAD)是临床上有意义的前列腺癌(csPCa)的众所周知的预测指标。由于前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)和前列腺体积(PV)随着年龄的增长而正常增加,PSAD阈值可以变化。该研究的目的是确定PSAD是否可预测不同年龄阶层的csPCa。
    方法:我们回顾性回顾了2016年1月至2021年12月期间接受多参数磁共振成像(MRI)患者的机构数据库。我们纳入了MRI后前列腺活检的患者。根据年龄,我们将队列分为4个亚组(1-4组):<55,55-64,65-74和≥75岁.通过曲线下面积(AUC)作为用于区分组间csPCa的预测模型来估计PSAD准确性。CsPCa被定义为格里森等级组2或更高。三个不同的PSAD阈值(0.1,0.15和0.2)在组间进行了敏感性测试,特异性,阳性预测值(PPV)和阴性预测值(NPV)。卡方和方差分析用于双变量分析。所有分析均使用R4.3(R核心团队,2023年)。
    结果:在1913名患者中,883(46.1%)进行了前列腺活检。在第1、2、3和4组中,有62(7%),321(36.4%),404(45.8%),96名(10.9%)患者,分别。PSA中位数为5.6(四分位数范围3.4-8.1),6.2(4.8-9),6.8(5.1-9.7),和9(5.6-13),分别(p<0.01)。中位数PV为42.3(30-62),51(36-77)55.5(38-85.9),和59.3(42-110)毫升,分别(p<0.01)。1-4岁年龄组的中位PSAD无差异(0.1[0.07-0.16],0.11[0.08-0.18],0.1[0.07-0.19],和0.1[0.07-0.2]),分别(p=0.393)。CsPCa在241例(27.3%)患者中被诊断出,其中10人(16.1%),65(20.2%),121(30%),第1-4组分别为45例(46.7%)(p<0.001)。对于组1-4,预测csPCa的PSADAUC为0.75、0.68、0.71和0.74。在不同年龄组(1-4)测试0.15的PSAD阈值时,PPV与NPV为39.1vs.93.2,33.6vs.87,50.9vs.80.8和66.1vs.分别为64.7。
    结论:PSAD预测模型在不同年龄组间相似。在年轻患者中,PSAD具有高NPV但低PPV。随着年龄的增长,观察到相反的趋势,可能是由于较高的疾病患病率。虽然PSAD阈值在老年患者中可能不太有用,以排除更高级别前列腺癌,这些诊断的临床后果需要逐例评估.
    BACKGROUND: Prebiopsy prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD) is a well-known predictor of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa). Since prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and prostate volume (PV) increase normally with aging, PSAD thresholds may vary. The purpose of the study was to determine if PSAD was predictive of csPCa in different age strata.
    METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed our institutional database for patients who underwent multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) between January 2016 and December 2021. We included patients who had post-MRI prostate biopsies. Based on age, we divided our cohort into four subgroups (groups 1-4): <55, 55-64, 65-74, and ≥75 years old. PSAD accuracy was estimated by the area under the curve (AUC) as a predictive model for differentiating csPCa between the groups. CsPCa was defined as a Gleason Grade Group 2 or higher. Three different PSAD thresholds (0.1, 0.15, and 0.2) were tested across the groups for sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). Chi-square and analysis of variance tests were used for bivariate analysis. All analys were completed using R 4.3 (R Core Team, 2023).
    RESULTS: Among 1913 patients, 883 (46.1%) had prostate biopsies. In groups 1, 2, 3, and 4, there were 62 (7%), 321 (36.4%), 404 (45.8%), and 96 (10.9%) patients, respectively. Median PSA was 5.6 (interquartile range 3.4-8.1), 6.2 (4.8-9), 6.8 (5.1-9.7), and 9 (5.6-13), respectively (p < 0.01). Median PV was 42.3 (30-62), 51 (36-77), 55.5 (38-85.9), and 59.3 (42-110) mL, respectively (p < 0.01). No difference was observed in median PSAD between age groups 1-4 (0.1 [0.07-0.16], 0.11 [0.08-0.18], 0.1 [0.07-0.19], and 0.1 [0.07-0.2]), respectively (p = 0.393). CsPCa was diagnosed in 241 (27.3%) patients, of which 10 (16.1%), 65 (20.2%), 121 (30%), and 45 (46.7%) were in groups 1-4, respectively (p < 0.001). For groups 1-4, the PSAD AUC for predicting csPCa was 0.75, 0.68, 0.71, and 0.74. While testing PSAD threshold of 0.15 across the different age groups (1-4), the PPV vs. NPV was 39.1 vs. 93.2, 33.6 vs. 87, 50.9 vs. 80.8, and 66.1 vs. 64.7, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: PSAD prediction model was found to be similar among different age groups. In young patients, PSAD had a high NPV but low PPV. With increasing age, the opposite trend was observed, likely due to higher disease prevalence. While PSAD thresholds may be less useful in older patients to rule out higher-grade prostate cancer, the clinical consequences of these diagnoses require a case-by-case evaluation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:探讨阿尔茨海默病(AD)患者血浆β-淀粉样蛋白1-40(Aβ1-40)的临床意义。
    方法:在这项回顾性研究中,305例患者的临床资料,有或没有阿尔茨海默病(AD),对2018年1月至2021年12月在右江民族医学院附属医院和百色市人民医院治疗的患者进行分析。患者分为两组:AD组(n=147)和非AD组(无AD,n=158例)。验血指标,包括血清天冬氨酸转氨酶(AST),丙氨酸氨基转移酶(ALT),肌酐(CRE),高敏C反应蛋白(hsCRP),收集并比较两组的血浆β-淀粉样蛋白1-40。
    结果:AD组血浆β-淀粉样蛋白1-40为(3.71±3.45)mol/L,显著高于非AD组的(2.8±1.35)mmol/L(P<0.05)。同样,AD组hsCRP表达明显高于非AD组(P<0.05)。AST没有显著差异,ALT,UA,T-tau,两组间NFL或Cr水平比较(均P>0.05)。此外,单因素回归分析显示,血浆β-淀粉样蛋白1-40和hsCRP与AD显著相关。多元回归分析显示血浆β-淀粉样蛋白1-40(P<0.0001)和hsCRP(P=0.002)是AD的独立预测因子。
    结论:血浆β-淀粉样蛋白1-40和hsCRP与AD密切相关。并可能作为AD的重要临床预测因子。
    OBJECTIVE: To investigate the clinical significance of plasma p-amyloid 1-40 (Aβ1-40) in patients with Alzheimer\'s disease (AD).
    METHODS: In this retrospective study, the clinical data of 305 patients, with or without Alzheimer\'s disease (AD), who were treated at the Affiliated Hospital of Youjiang Medical University for Nationalities and the People\'s Hospital of Baise between January 2018 and December 2021 were analyzed. Patients were divided into two groups: an AD group (n=147) and a non-AD group (without AD, n=158 cases). Blood test indices, including serum aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), creatinine (CRE), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), and plasma β-amyloid 1-40 were collected and compared between the two groups.
    RESULTS: The plasma β-amyloid 1-40 in the AD group was (3.71±3.45) mol/L, which was significantly higher than (2.8±1.35) mmol/L in the non-AD group (P<0.05). Similarly, hsCRP expression was significantly higher in the AD group than that in the non-AD group (P<0.05). There were no significant differences in AST, ALT, UA, T-tau, NFL or Cr levels between the two groups (all P>0.05). Moreover, univariate regression analysis showed that plasma β-amyloid 1-40 and hsCRP were significantly correlated with AD. Multiple regression analysis demonstrated that plasma p-amyloid 1-40 (P<0.0001) and hsCRP (P=0.002) were independent predictors of AD.
    CONCLUSIONS: Plasma p-amyloid 1-40 and hsCRP are closely related to AD, and may serve as important clinical predictors of AD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在西方世界已经很好地描述了免疫粪便隐血(iFOB)检测对结直肠癌筛查的预测价值。然而,它在撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)的相关性没有得到很好的评估。它可能被下消化道出血的其他原因改变,如寄生虫感染。这项研究的目的是强调iFOB测试在SSA结肠镜检查期间预测结直肠癌(CRC)的性能。
    方法:我们于2022年7月1日至11月31日在雅温得(喀麦隆)的两个消化内镜中心进行了分析性横断面研究。包括具有结肠镜检查指征而没有任何明显胃肠道出血的患者。收集社会人口统计学和临床数据。所有同意的患者在结肠镜检查前通过iFOB测试进行了定性免疫隐匿性测试。数据采用SPSS23.0版软件进行分析。根据敏感性(Se)评估了在结肠镜检查期间诊断CRC的iFOB测试的性能,特异性(Sp),阳性预测值(PPV)和阴性预测值(NPV)。
    结果:我们在研究期间纳入了103名男性占优势且性别比为1.7的患者。中位年龄[IQR]为52[38-65]岁(范围1-84岁)。结肠镜检查最常见的病变是23例(22.3%)息肉,CRC患者17例(16.5%),痔疮患者15例(14.6%)。iFOB检测阳性的患者占43.7%(45名患者)。在这些患者中,31.1%(14例)患有CRC。用于CRC检测的隐血测试的Se计算为82.3%(95CI:56.7-96.2);Sp为63.9%(95%CI:53-74);PPV为31.1%(95%CI:24-39),NPV为94.8%(95%CI:86.6-98.1)。
    结论:iFOB测试具有良好的净现值,但在我们的研究中,用于诊断CRC的PPV较差。
    BACKGROUND: The predictive value of immunological fecal occult blood (iFOB) testing for the screening of colorectal cancer has been well described in the Western world. However, its relevance in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is not well evaluated. It could be altered by the other causes of lower gastrointestinal bleeding such as parasitic infections. The aim of this study was to highlight the performance of an iFOB test for the prediction of colorectal cancer (CRC) during colonoscopy in SSA.
    METHODS: We conducted an analytical cross-sectional study in two digestive endoscopic centers of Yaoundé (Cameroon) from the 1st July to the 31 November 2022. Patients presenting with an indication for colonoscopy without any overt gastrointestinal bleeding were included. Sociodemographic and clinical data were collected. All consenting patients underwent a qualitative immunologic occult test through the iFOB test before colonoscopy. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 23.0 software. The performance of the iFOB test for the diagnosis of CRC during colonoscopy was evaluated in terms of sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp), positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV).
    RESULTS: We included 103 patients during the study period with a male predominance and a sex ratio of 1.7. The median age [IQR] was 52 [38-65] years (range 1 - 84 years). The most common colonoscopic lesions were polyps in 23 patients (22.3%), CRC in 17 patients (16.5%) and hemorrhoids in 15 patients (14.6%). Patients testing positive for iFOB test accounted for 43.7% (45 patients). Among these patients, 31.1% (14 patients) had a CRC. The Se of the occult blood test for CRC detection was calculated to be 82.3% (95%CI: 56.7-96.2); the Sp was 63.9% (95% CI: 53-74); the PPV was 31.1% (95% CI: 24-39) and the NPV was 94.8% (95% CI: 86.6-98.1).
    CONCLUSIONS: The iFOB test has a good NPV, but a poor PPV for the diagnosis of CRC in our study.
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