predictive models

预测模型
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    用于检测显著前列腺癌(sPCa)的程序的质量控制可以通过前列腺成像报告和数据系统(PI-RADS)类别的观察和参考95%置信区间(CI)之间的相关性来定义。我们使用巴塞罗那磁共振成像(MRI)预测模型的接收器工作特征曲线(AUC)下的面积来筛选加泰罗尼亚sPCa机会性早期检测计划中十个参与者中心的质量。我们设定<0.8的AUC作为次优质量的标准。根据实际sPCa检测率与参考95%CIs之间的相关性来确认质量。对于2624名前列腺特异性抗原>3.0ng/ml和/或可疑直肠指检的男性队列,他们接受了多参数MRI和PI-RADS≥3个病灶的2至4核心靶向活检和/或12核心系统活检,AUC值范围为0.527至0.914,并且在四个中心(40%)中<0.8。当AUC<0.8时,一个或两个PI-RADS类别的实际sPCa检测率与参考95%CIs之间存在一致性,当AUC≥0.8时,三个或四个PI-RADS类别的实际sPCa检测率与参考95%CIs之间存在一致性。应建议在质量欠佳的中心审查用于sPCa检测的程序。
    我们测试了一种评估前列腺癌早期筛查中心质量控制的方法。我们发现该方法可以识别可能需要审查其程序以检测重要前列腺癌的中心。
    Quality control of programs for detection of significant prostate cancer (sPCa) could be defined by the correlation between observed and reference 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) categories. We used the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the Barcelona magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) predictive model to screen the quality of ten participant centers in the sPCa opportunistic early detection program in Catalonia. We set an AUC of <0.8 as the criterion for suboptimal quality. Quality was confirmed in terms of the correlation between actual sPCa detection rates and reference 95% CIs. For a cohort of 2624 men with prostate-specific antigen >3.0 ng/ml and/or a suspicious digital rectal examination who underwent multiparametric MRI and two- to four-core targeted biopsies of PI-RADS ≥3 lesions and/or 12-core systematic biopsy, AUC values ranged from 0.527 to 0.914 and were <0.8 in four centers (40%). There was concordance between actual sPCa detection rates and reference 95% CIs for one or two PI-RADS categories when the AUC was <0.8, and for three or four PI-RADS categories when the AUC was ≥0.8. A review of procedures used for sPCa detection should be recommended in centers with suboptimal quality.
    UNASSIGNED: We tested a method for assessing quality control for centers carrying out screening for early detection of prostate cancer. We found that the method can identify centers that may need to review their procedures for detection of significant prostate cancer.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    袖状肺叶切除术是一项具有挑战性的手术,术后并发症的风险很高。为了便于手术决策和优化围手术期治疗,我们建立了风险分层模型来量化袖状肺叶切除术后并发症的发生概率.
    我们回顾性分析了2016年7月至2019年12月接受袖状肺叶切除术的691例非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者的临床特征。在队列中对Logistic回归模型进行训练和验证,以预测总体并发症,主要并发症,和特定的轻微并发症。通过Kaplan-Meier方法探讨了特定并发症在预后分层中的影响。
    在691名患者中,232(33.5%)出现并发症,包括35例(5.1%)和197例(28.5%)有主要和次要并发症的患者,分别。模型显示出强大的辨别能力,受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUC)为0.853[95%置信区间(CI):0.705~0.885],用于预测术后总体并发症风险,尤其是0.751(95%CI:0.727~0.762).预测轻微并发症的模型也取得了良好的性能,AUC范围从0.78到0.89。生存分析显示,术后并发症与不良预后之间存在显着关联。
    风险分层模型可以准确预测袖状肺叶切除术后NSCLC患者并发症的发生概率和严重程度,这可能为未来患者的临床决策提供信息。
    UNASSIGNED: Sleeve lobectomy is a challenging procedure with a high risk of postoperative complications. To facilitate surgical decision-making and optimize perioperative treatment, we developed risk stratification models to quantify the probability of postoperative complications after sleeve lobectomy.
    UNASSIGNED: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical features of 691 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients who underwent sleeve lobectomy between July 2016 and December 2019. Logistic regression models were trained and validated in the cohort to predict overall complications, major complications, and specific minor complications. The impact of specific complications in prognostic stratification was explored via the Kaplan-Meier method.
    UNASSIGNED: Of 691 included patients, 232 (33.5%) developed complications, including 35 (5.1%) and 197 (28.5%) patients with major and minor complications, respectively. The models showed robust discrimination, yielding an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 0.853 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.705-0.885] for predicting overall postoperative complication risk and 0.751 (95% CI: 0.727-0.762) specifically for major complication risks. Models predicting minor complications also achieved good performance, with AUCs ranging from 0.78 to 0.89. Survival analyses revealed a significant association between postoperative complications and poor prognosis.
    UNASSIGNED: Risk stratification models could accurately predict the probability and severity of complications in NSCLC patients following sleeve lobectomy, which may inform clinical decision-making for future patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究调查了社会活动对认知功能和精神病理症状的影响。
    55岁或以上的参与者通过社区注册。初步措施评估了人口数据,神经心理功能,精神病理学状态,和幸福。使用改进的12项工具评估社会活动,以3-4个活动为截止点。6-9个月后的随访包括迷你精神状态检查(MMSE),贝克抑郁量表-II(BDI-II),贝克焦虑量表(BAI),健康评估问卷(HAQ)和患者健康问卷-15(PHQ-15)测量。使用多元线性回归建立了精神病和认知状态的预测模型,根据基线条件进行调整。
    最初,516名老年人登记,403正在进行随访。随访期间,低参与组报告MMSE得分较低,更高的BAI分数,增加PHQ-15的风险。发现社交活动数量与PHQ-15结果之间呈负相关。参与社交俱乐部与较高的MMSE分数呈正相关,而与成年子女(ren)的定期互动与BAI评分降低有关。
    社会活动的数量与较低的躯体困扰有关。社交俱乐部参与对认知有积极影响,与成年子女(ren)的定期互动减轻了老年人的焦虑。
    足够类型的社交活动,参加社交俱乐部,以及与儿童的充分互动,防止精神病理学。
    UNASSIGNED: This study investigated the impact of social activities on cognitive functioning and psychopathological symptoms.
    UNASSIGNED: Participants aged 55 or older were enrolled through communities. Initial measures assessed demographic data, neuropsychological functioning, psychopathological state, and happiness. Social activities were evaluated using a modified 12-item tool, with 3-4 activities as the cutoff. Follow-up after 6-9 months included Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), Beck Depression Inventory - II (BDI-II), Beck Anxiety Inventory (BAI), Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ), and Patient Health Questionnaire-15 (PHQ-15) measurements. Predictive models for psychiatric and cognitive statuses were built using multiple linear regression, adjusting for baseline conditions.
    UNASSIGNED: Initially, 516 older individuals enrolled, with 403 undergoing follow-up. During follow-up, the low participation group reported lower MMSE scores, higher BAI scores, and increased PHQ-15 risk. Negative correlations between social activity numbers and PHQ-15 results were found. Engagement in social clubs correlated positively with higher MMSE scores, while regular interactions with one\'s adult child(ren) were linked to decreased BAI scores.
    UNASSIGNED: The quantity of social activities was associated with lower somatic distress. Social club engagement positively influenced cognition, and regular interactions with one\'s adult child(ren) mitigated anxiety among older individuals.
    UNASSIGNED: Enough types of social activities, participating in social clubs, and adequate interactions with children protected against psychopathologies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:人工智能(AI)具有增强身体活动(PA)干预的潜力。然而,人为因素(HF)在将AI成功集成到移动健康(mHealth)解决方案中以促进PA的发展中发挥着关键作用。理解和优化个人与AI驱动的mHealth应用程序之间的交互对于实现预期结果至关重要。
    目的:本研究旨在回顾和描述AI驱动的数字解决方案中用于增加PA的HF的当前证据。
    方法:我们通过搜索包含与PA相关的术语的出版物进行了范围审查,HFs,和AI在3个数据库中的标题和摘要-PubMed,Embase,和IEEEXplore-和谷歌学者。如果这些研究是描述基于AI的解决方案旨在提高PA的主要研究,并报告了测试溶液的结果。不符合这些标准的研究被排除在外。此外,我们在收录的文章中检索了相关研究的参考文献。从纳入的研究中提取以下数据,并将其纳入定性综合:书目信息,研究特点,人口,干预,比较,结果,与AI相关的信息。纳入研究的证据的确定性采用GRADE(建议评估分级,发展,和评估)。
    结果:2015年至2023年共发表了15项研究,涉及899名年龄在19至84岁之间的参与者。60.7%(546/899)是女性参与者,包括在这次审查中。在纳入的研究中,干预持续了2到26周。推荐系统是PA数字解决方案中最常用的AI技术(10/15研究),其次是对话代理(4/15研究)。用户可接受性和满意度是最频繁评估的HF(每个研究有5/15),其次是可用性(4/15研究)。关于个性化和推荐的自动数据收集,大多数系统涉及健身追踪器(5/15研究)。证据分析的确定性表明AI驱动的数字技术在增加PA方面的有效性具有中等的确定性(例如,步数,远距离行走,或在PA上花费的时间)。此外,人工智能驱动的技术,特别是推荐系统,似乎对PA行为的变化产生积极影响,尽管证据的确定性很低。
    结论:当前的研究强调了AI驱动技术增强PA的潜力,但证据仍然有限。需要进行更长期的研究来评估人工智能驱动的技术对行为改变和习惯形成的持续影响。虽然AI驱动的PA数字解决方案具有重要的前景,进一步探索优化AI对PA的影响并有效整合AI和HF对于更广泛的利益至关重要。因此,对创新管理的影响涉及进行长期研究,优先考虑多样性,确保研究质量,专注于用户体验,并了解AI在PA推广中不断发展的作用。
    BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to enhance physical activity (PA) interventions. However, human factors (HFs) play a pivotal role in the successful integration of AI into mobile health (mHealth) solutions for promoting PA. Understanding and optimizing the interaction between individuals and AI-driven mHealth apps is essential for achieving the desired outcomes.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aims to review and describe the current evidence on the HFs in AI-driven digital solutions for increasing PA.
    METHODS: We conducted a scoping review by searching for publications containing terms related to PA, HFs, and AI in the titles and abstracts across 3 databases-PubMed, Embase, and IEEE Xplore-and Google Scholar. Studies were included if they were primary studies describing an AI-based solution aimed at increasing PA, and results from testing the solution were reported. Studies that did not meet these criteria were excluded. Additionally, we searched the references in the included articles for relevant research. The following data were extracted from included studies and incorporated into a qualitative synthesis: bibliographic information, study characteristics, population, intervention, comparison, outcomes, and AI-related information. The certainty of the evidence in the included studies was evaluated using GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation).
    RESULTS: A total of 15 studies published between 2015 and 2023 involving 899 participants aged approximately between 19 and 84 years, 60.7% (546/899) of whom were female participants, were included in this review. The interventions lasted between 2 and 26 weeks in the included studies. Recommender systems were the most commonly used AI technology in digital solutions for PA (10/15 studies), followed by conversational agents (4/15 studies). User acceptability and satisfaction were the HFs most frequently evaluated (5/15 studies each), followed by usability (4/15 studies). Regarding automated data collection for personalization and recommendation, most systems involved fitness trackers (5/15 studies). The certainty of the evidence analysis indicates moderate certainty of the effectiveness of AI-driven digital technologies in increasing PA (eg, number of steps, distance walked, or time spent on PA). Furthermore, AI-driven technology, particularly recommender systems, seems to positively influence changes in PA behavior, although with very low certainty evidence.
    CONCLUSIONS: Current research highlights the potential of AI-driven technologies to enhance PA, though the evidence remains limited. Longer-term studies are necessary to assess the sustained impact of AI-driven technologies on behavior change and habit formation. While AI-driven digital solutions for PA hold significant promise, further exploration into optimizing AI\'s impact on PA and effectively integrating AI and HFs is crucial for broader benefits. Thus, the implications for innovation management involve conducting long-term studies, prioritizing diversity, ensuring research quality, focusing on user experience, and understanding the evolving role of AI in PA promotion.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:人工智能,特别是聊天机器人系统,正在成为医疗保健的工具,帮助临床决策和患者参与。
    目的:本研究旨在分析ChatGPT-3.5和ChatGPT-4在解决复杂的临床和伦理困境方面的表现,并说明他们在医疗保健决策中的潜在作用,同时比较老年人和居民的评级,和特定的问题类型。
    方法:共有4名专业医师提出了176个现实世界的临床问题。共有8位资深医生和居民以1-5的量表评估了GPT-3.5和GPT-4的5个类别的回答:准确性,相关性,清晰度,实用程序,和全面性。在内科进行评估,急诊医学,和道德。在全球范围内进行了比较,在老年人和居民之间,跨分类。
    结果:两种GPT模型均获得较高的平均得分(GPT-4为4.4,SD0.8,GPT-3.5为4.1,SD1.0)。GPT-4在所有评级维度上都优于GPT-3.5,老年人对这两种模式的反应始终高于居民。具体来说,老年人将GPT-4评为更有益和更完整(分别为4.6vs4.0和4.6vs4.1;P<.001),和GPT-3.5相似(分别为4.1vs3.7和3.9vs3.5;P<.001)。道德查询在这两种模型中都获得了最高的评价,平均分数反映了准确性和完整性标准的一致性。问题类型之间的区别是显著的,特别是对于整个紧急情况下的GPT-4完整性平均分数,内部,和伦理问题(分别为4.2,SD1.0;4.3,SD0.8;和4.5,SD0.7;P<.001),对于GPT-3.5的准确性,有益的,和完整性尺寸。
    结论:ChatGPT帮助医生解决医疗问题的潜力是有希望的,具有增强诊断能力的前景,治疗,和道德。虽然整合到临床工作流程可能很有价值,它必须补充,不替换,人类的专业知识。持续的研究对于确保在临床环境中安全有效的实施至关重要。
    BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence, particularly chatbot systems, is becoming an instrumental tool in health care, aiding clinical decision-making and patient engagement.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aims to analyze the performance of ChatGPT-3.5 and ChatGPT-4 in addressing complex clinical and ethical dilemmas, and to illustrate their potential role in health care decision-making while comparing seniors\' and residents\' ratings, and specific question types.
    METHODS: A total of 4 specialized physicians formulated 176 real-world clinical questions. A total of 8 senior physicians and residents assessed responses from GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 on a 1-5 scale across 5 categories: accuracy, relevance, clarity, utility, and comprehensiveness. Evaluations were conducted within internal medicine, emergency medicine, and ethics. Comparisons were made globally, between seniors and residents, and across classifications.
    RESULTS: Both GPT models received high mean scores (4.4, SD 0.8 for GPT-4 and 4.1, SD 1.0 for GPT-3.5). GPT-4 outperformed GPT-3.5 across all rating dimensions, with seniors consistently rating responses higher than residents for both models. Specifically, seniors rated GPT-4 as more beneficial and complete (mean 4.6 vs 4.0 and 4.6 vs 4.1, respectively; P<.001), and GPT-3.5 similarly (mean 4.1 vs 3.7 and 3.9 vs 3.5, respectively; P<.001). Ethical queries received the highest ratings for both models, with mean scores reflecting consistency across accuracy and completeness criteria. Distinctions among question types were significant, particularly for the GPT-4 mean scores in completeness across emergency, internal, and ethical questions (4.2, SD 1.0; 4.3, SD 0.8; and 4.5, SD 0.7, respectively; P<.001), and for GPT-3.5\'s accuracy, beneficial, and completeness dimensions.
    CONCLUSIONS: ChatGPT\'s potential to assist physicians with medical issues is promising, with prospects to enhance diagnostics, treatments, and ethics. While integration into clinical workflows may be valuable, it must complement, not replace, human expertise. Continued research is essential to ensure safe and effective implementation in clinical environments.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:在急诊领域,针对急诊医疗服务(EMS)治疗的患者的预测模型的开发正在兴起。然而,这些模型是如何随时间演变的,还没有被研究过。本工作的目的是比较短期内死亡率的患者的特征,中长期,并推导和验证每个死亡时间的预测模型。
    方法:进行了一项前瞻性多中心研究,其中包括接受EMS治疗的未经选择的急性疾病的成年患者。主要结局是所有原因的非累积死亡率,包括30天死亡率,31天至180天死亡率,和181至365天的死亡率。院前预测因素包括人口统计学变量,标准生命体征,院前实验室检查,和合并症。
    结果:共纳入4830例患者。30、180和365天时的非累积死亡率为10.8%,6.6%,和3.5%,分别。30天死亡率显示最佳预测值(AUC=0.930;95%CI:0.919-0.940),其次是180天(AUC=0.852;95%CI:0.832-0.871)和365天(AUC=0.806;95%CI:0.778-0.833)死亡率。
    结论:快速表征处于短期,medium-,或长期死亡率可以帮助EMS改善患有急性疾病的患者的治疗。
    OBJECTIVE: The development of predictive models for patients treated by emergency medical services (EMS) is on the rise in the emergency field. However, how these models evolve over time has not been studied. The objective of the present work is to compare the characteristics of patients who present mortality in the short, medium and long term, and to derive and validate a predictive model for each mortality time.
    METHODS: A prospective multicenter study was conducted, which included adult patients with unselected acute illness who were treated by EMS. The primary outcome was noncumulative mortality from all causes by time windows including 30-day mortality, 31- to 180-day mortality, and 181- to 365-day mortality. Prehospital predictors included demographic variables, standard vital signs, prehospital laboratory tests, and comorbidities.
    RESULTS: A total of 4830 patients were enrolled. The noncumulative mortalities at 30, 180, and 365 days were 10.8%, 6.6%, and 3.5%, respectively. The best predictive value was shown for 30-day mortality (AUC = 0.930; 95% CI: 0.919-0.940), followed by 180-day (AUC = 0.852; 95% CI: 0.832-0.871) and 365-day (AUC = 0.806; 95% CI: 0.778-0.833) mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: Rapid characterization of patients at risk of short-, medium-, or long-term mortality could help EMS to improve the treatment of patients suffering from acute illnesses.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    妊娠期糖尿病(GDM)是一种高血糖状态,通常通过口服葡萄糖耐量试验(OGTT)来诊断,这是令人不快的,耗时,重现性低,结果很慢。已提出用于改善GDM诊断的机器学习(ML)预测模型通常基于花费数小时才能产生结果的仪器方法。近红外(NIR)光谱是一种简单的,快,以及从未评估过GDM预测的低成本分析技术。本研究旨在开发基于近红外光谱的GDMML预测模型,并根据其预测能力和分析持续时间评估其作为早期检测或替代筛查工具的潜力。通过NIR光谱分析妊娠的前三个月(GDM诊断前)和第二个三个月(GDM诊断时)的血清样品。考虑了四个光谱范围,并对每种进行了80种数学预处理。使用单块和多块ML技术建立了基于NIR数据的模型。每个模型都经过双重交叉验证。第一和第二三个月的最佳模型在接收器工作特性曲线下的面积分别为0.5768±0.0635和0.8836±0.0259。这是第一项报告基于近红外光谱的GDM预测方法的研究。开发的方法允许仅在32分钟内从10µL血清中预测GDM。它们很简单,快,并在临床实践中具有巨大的应用潜力,特别是作为GDM诊断的OGTT的替代筛查工具。
    Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is a hyperglycemic state that is typically diagnosed by an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), which is unpleasant, time-consuming, has low reproducibility, and results are tardy. The machine learning (ML) predictive models that have been proposed to improve GDM diagnosis are usually based on instrumental methods that take hours to produce a result. Near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy is a simple, fast, and low-cost analytical technique that has never been assessed for the prediction of GDM. This study aims to develop ML predictive models for GDM based on NIR spectroscopy, and to evaluate their potential as early detection or alternative screening tools according to their predictive power and duration of analysis. Serum samples from the first trimester (before GDM diagnosis) and the second trimester (at the time of GDM diagnosis) of pregnancy were analyzed by NIR spectroscopy. Four spectral ranges were considered, and 80 mathematical pretreatments were tested for each. NIR data-based models were built with single- and multi-block ML techniques. Every model was subjected to double cross-validation. The best models for first and second trimester achieved areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.5768 ± 0.0635 and 0.8836 ± 0.0259, respectively. This is the first study reporting NIR-spectroscopy-based methods for the prediction of GDM. The developed methods allow for prediction of GDM from 10 µL of serum in only 32 min. They are simple, fast, and have a great potential for application in clinical practice, especially as alternative screening tools to the OGTT for GDM diagnosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:尽管识别算法偏差的方法越来越多,医疗保健预测模型偏倚评估的可操作性仍然有限.因此,本研究通过对普通医院再入院模型的实证评估,提出了一个偏差评估的过程。该过程包括选择偏差度量,解释,确定差异影响和潜在缓解措施。
    方法:这项回顾性分析评估了预测30天计划外再入院的四种常见模型的种族偏见(即,蕾丝索引,医院评分,和CMS再接纳措施按原样应用并重新培训)。这些模型是使用2016年至2019年马里兰州240万成人住院患者进行评估的。与模型无关的公平性指标,易于计算,和可解释的实施和通知,以选择最合适的偏见措施。进一步评估了改变模型的风险阈值对这些措施的影响,以指导选择最佳阈值来控制和减轻偏差。
    结果:为预测任务选择了四种偏差度量:零一损失差,假阴性率(FNR)平价,假阳性率(FPR)平价,和广义熵指数。基于这些措施,医院评分和经再训练的CMS测量显示种族偏见最低.白人患者显示出较高的FNR,而黑人患者导致较高的FPR和零一损失。随着模型风险阈值的变化,观察到模型公平性和整体性能之间的权衡,评估显示,所有模型的默认阈值对于平衡准确性和偏差都是合理的。
    结论:本研究提出了评估预测模型公平性的应用框架(AFAFAFFPM),并以30天医院再入院模型为例演示了该过程。它提出了应用算法偏差评估来确定优化的风险阈值的可行性,以便可以更公平和准确地使用预测模型。显然,定性和定量相结合的方法和多学科的团队是必要的,以确定,理解并应对现实世界医疗保健环境中的算法偏差。用户还应应用多种偏见措施,以确保更全面、量身定做,平衡的观点。偏差测量的结果,然而,必须谨慎解释,并考虑更大的运营,临床,和政策背景。
    OBJECTIVE: Despite increased availability of methodologies to identify algorithmic bias, the operationalization of bias evaluation for healthcare predictive models is still limited. Therefore, this study proposes a process for bias evaluation through an empirical assessment of common hospital readmission models. The process includes selecting bias measures, interpretation, determining disparity impact and potential mitigations.
    METHODS: This retrospective analysis evaluated racial bias of four common models predicting 30-day unplanned readmission (i.e., LACE Index, HOSPITAL Score, and the CMS readmission measure applied as is and retrained). The models were assessed using 2.4 million adult inpatient discharges in Maryland from 2016 to 2019. Fairness metrics that are model-agnostic, easy to compute, and interpretable were implemented and apprised to select the most appropriate bias measures. The impact of changing model\'s risk thresholds on these measures was further assessed to guide the selection of optimal thresholds to control and mitigate bias.
    RESULTS: Four bias measures were selected for the predictive task: zero-one-loss difference, false negative rate (FNR) parity, false positive rate (FPR) parity, and generalized entropy index. Based on these measures, the HOSPITAL score and the retrained CMS measure demonstrated the lowest racial bias. White patients showed a higher FNR while Black patients resulted in a higher FPR and zero-one-loss. As the models\' risk threshold changed, trade-offs between models\' fairness and overall performance were observed, and the assessment showed all models\' default thresholds were reasonable for balancing accuracy and bias.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study proposes an Applied Framework to Assess Fairness of Predictive Models (AFAFPM) and demonstrates the process using 30-day hospital readmission model as the example. It suggests the feasibility of applying algorithmic bias assessment to determine optimized risk thresholds so that predictive models can be used more equitably and accurately. It is evident that a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods and a multidisciplinary team are necessary to identify, understand and respond to algorithm bias in real-world healthcare settings. Users should also apply multiple bias measures to ensure a more comprehensive, tailored, and balanced view. The results of bias measures, however, must be interpreted with caution and consider the larger operational, clinical, and policy context.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在整个COVID-19期间,家庭被迫呆在室内,适应在线教育,远程工作,和虚拟的社交活动,不可避免地改变了家庭内部的动态。在儿童和青少年的焦虑和抑郁方面,心理健康挑战显着增加。这项研究旨在通过采用有关焦虑的自我和代理报告问卷来探索COVID-19大流行对意大利家庭的心理社会影响,愤怒,和健康相关的生活质量。结果显示,大约20%获得了临床焦虑评分,只有10%获得了临床愤怒评分。孩子和父母对生活质量的看法有所不同。逐步回归模型显示,焦虑总分按性别预测,父母自我报告版本的生活质量分数,和总愤怒得分。另一个逐步回归模型将生理和社交焦虑确定为影响生活质量的最佳预测因子。父母的幸福积极影响着孩子的幸福,因此,实施预防计划并通过向父母提供最充分的支持来促进儿童福祉是至关重要的。
    Throughout the COVID-19 period, families were forced to stay indoors, adapting to online schooling, remote work, and virtual social engagements, inevitably altering the dynamics within households. There was a notable increase in mental health challenges in terms of anxiety and depression in children and adolescents. This study intended to explore the psychosocial effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on Italian families by adopting self- and proxy-report questionnaires on anxiety, anger, and health-related quality of life. The results showed that approximately 20% obtained a clinical anxiety score and only 10% obtained a clinical anger score. There was a difference in the perception of the quality of life reported by the child and that perceived by the parent. A stepwise regression model showed that total anxiety scores were predicted by sex, quality of life scores from the parents\' self-report version, and the total anger score. Another stepwise regression model identified physiological and social anxiety as the best predictors that impact quality of life. Parental well-being actively influences the well-being of children, so it is fundamental to implement preventive programs and promote child well-being by providing parents the most adequate support possible.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    长型COVID,或SARS-CoV-2感染(PASC)的急性后遗症,表现为持续且经常使人衰弱的症状,其持续时间远远超出了最初的COVID-19感染。这种疾病在儿童中尤其令人担忧,因为它可以严重改变他们的发育。目前,缺乏用于确认长期COVID的特定诊断测试或明确的生物标志物,相反,依赖于急性感染后症状的长期存在。
    我们测量了105份唾液样本中13种生物标志物的水平(49份来自患有长期COVID的儿童和56份对照),Pearson相关系数用于分析不同唾液生物标志物水平之间的相关性。进行了多变量逻辑回归分析,以确定所分析的13种唾液生物标志物中哪一种对区分长COVID儿童和对照组有用,以及具有轻度和重度长COVID症状的儿童之间。
    小儿长COVID表现出增加的氧化剂生物标志物和减少的抗氧化剂,免疫反应,和压力相关的生物标志物。相关分析揭示了长COVID和对照中生物标志物之间的不同模式。值得注意的是,多元逻辑回归确定了TOS,ADA2,总蛋白,和AOPP作为关键变量,最终形成了一个非常准确的预测模型,将长型COVID与对照区分开来。此外,总蛋白和ADA1有助于辨别轻度和重度长型COVID症状。
    这项研究揭示了唾液生物标志物在诊断和分类小儿长型COVID严重程度方面的潜在临床应用。这也为未来研究奠定了基础,这些研究旨在揭示这些生物标志物在预测受影响个体中长COVID轨迹方面的预后价值。
    UNASSIGNED: Long COVID, or post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), manifests as persistent and often debilitating symptoms enduring well beyond the initial COVID-19 infection. This disease is especially worrying in children since it can seriously alter their development. Presently, a specific diagnostic test or definitive biomarker set for confirming long COVID is lacking, relying instead on the protracted presence of symptoms post-acute infection.
    UNASSIGNED: We measured the levels of 13 biomarkers in 105 saliva samples (49 from children with long COVID and 56 controls), and the Pearson correlation coefficient was used to analyse the correlations between the levels of the different salivary biomarkers. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine which of the 13 analysed salivary biomarkers were useful to discriminate between children with long COVID and controls, as well as between children with mild and severe long COVID symptoms.
    UNASSIGNED: Pediatric long COVID exhibited increased oxidant biomarkers and decreased antioxidant, immune response, and stress-related biomarkers. Correlation analyses unveiled distinct patterns between biomarkers in long COVID and controls. Notably, a multivariate logistic regression pinpointed TOS, ADA2, total proteins, and AOPP as pivotal variables, culminating in a remarkably accurate predictive model distinguishing long COVID from controls. Furthermore, total proteins and ADA1 were instrumental in discerning between mild and severe long COVID symptoms.
    UNASSIGNED: This research sheds light on the potential clinical utility of salivary biomarkers in diagnosing and categorizing the severity of pediatric long COVID. It also lays the groundwork for future investigations aimed at unravelling the prognostic value of these biomarkers in predicting the trajectory of long COVID in affected individuals.
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