predictive models

预测模型
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)的迅速传播,持续的全球流行病已经出现。全球范围内,累计死亡人数以百万计。不断上升的COVID-19感染和死亡人数严重影响了全世界人民的生活,医疗保健系统,和经济发展。我们对COVID-19患者的特征进行了回顾性分析。该分析包括初次入院时的临床特征,相关实验室测试结果,和成像发现。我们旨在确定严重疾病的危险因素,并构建评估严重COVID-19风险的预测模型。我们收集并分析了江苏大学附属医院(镇江,中国)2022年12月18日至2023年2月28日。根据世界卫生组织对新型冠状病毒的诊断标准,我们将患者分为两组:重度和非重度,并比较了他们的临床,实验室,和成像数据。Logistic回归分析,最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归,采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析确定重症COVID-19患者的相关危险因素。将患者分为训练队列和验证队列。使用R软件中的\"rms\"软件包构建列线图模型。在346名患者中,严重组表现出明显更高的呼吸频率,呼吸困难,改变了意识,中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比率(NLR),和乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)水平与非严重组相比。影像学检查结果表明,与非严重组相比,严重组的双侧肺部炎症和磨玻璃混浊的比例更高。NLR和LDH被确定为重症患者的独立危险因素。当NLR,呼吸频率(RR),和LDH合并。根据统计分析结果,我们建立了COVID-19严重程度风险预测模型。总分通过将十二个独立变量中的每一个的分数相加来计算。通过将总分映射到最低比例,我们可以估计COVID-19严重程度的风险。此外,校准图和DCA分析显示,列线图对预测COVID-19严重程度具有较好的判别力.我们的结果表明,预测列线图的开发和验证对严重COVID-19具有良好的预测价值。
    With the rapid spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), a sustained global pandemic has emerged. Globally, the cumulative death toll is in the millions. The rising number of COVID-19 infections and deaths has severely impacted the lives of people worldwide, healthcare systems, and economic development. We conducted a retrospective analysis of the characteristics of COVID-19 patients. This analysis includes clinical features upon initial hospital admission, relevant laboratory test results, and imaging findings. We aimed to identify risk factors for severe illness and to construct a predictive model for assessing the risk of severe COVID-19. We collected and analyzed electronic medical records of confirmed COVID-19 patients admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangsu University (Zhenjiang, China) between December 18, 2022, and February 28, 2023. According to the WHO diagnostic criteria for the novel coronavirus, we divided the patients into two groups: severe and non-severe, and compared their clinical, laboratory, and imaging data. Logistic regression analysis, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to identify the relevant risk factors for severe COVID-19 patients. Patients were divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. A nomogram model was constructed using the \"rms\" package in R software. Among the 346 patients, the severe group exhibited significantly higher respiratory rates, breathlessness, altered consciousness, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels compared to the non-severe group. Imaging findings indicated that the severe group had a higher proportion of bilateral pulmonary inflammation and ground-glass opacities compared to the non-severe group. NLR and LDH were identified as independent risk factors for severe patients. The diagnostic performance was maximized when NLR, respiratory rate (RR), and LDH were combined. Based on the statistical analysis results, we developed a COVID-19 severity risk prediction model. The total score is calculated by adding up the scores for each of the twelve independent variables. By mapping the total score to the lowest scale, we can estimate the risk of COVID-19 severity. In addition, the calibration plots and DCA analysis showed that the nomogram had better discrimination power for predicting the severity of COVID-19. Our results showed that the development and validation of the predictive nomogram had good predictive value for severe COVID-19.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    甲状腺癌是内分泌系统中最常见的恶性肿瘤。PANoptosis是一种特定形式的炎性细胞死亡。它主要包括焦亡,细胞凋亡和坏死细胞凋亡。越来越多的证据表明,PANoptosis在肿瘤发展中起着至关重要的作用。然而,在甲状腺癌中尚未发现与PANoptosis相关的致病机制.
    根据目前鉴定的PANoptosis基因,对GEO数据库中甲状腺癌患者的数据集进行了分析.目的筛选甲状腺癌和PANoptosis常见的差异表达基因。分析PANoptosis相关基因(PRGs)的功能特点,筛选关键表达通路。通过LASSO回归建立预后模型并鉴定关键基因。基于CIBERSORT算法评估了hub基因与免疫细胞之间的关联。预测模型通过验证数据集进行了验证,研究了免疫组织化学以及药物-基因相互作用。
    结果显示8个关键基因(NUAK2,TNFRSF10B,TNFRSF10C,TNFRSF12A,UNC5B,和PMAIP1)在区分甲状腺癌患者和对照组方面表现出良好的诊断性能。这些关键基因与巨噬细胞有关,CD4+T细胞和中性粒细胞。此外,PRGs主要富集在免疫调节通路和TNF信号通路中。模型的预测性能在验证数据集中得到证实。DGIdb数据库揭示了36种潜在的甲状腺癌治疗靶点药物。
    我们的研究表明,PANoptosis可能通过调节巨噬细胞参与甲状腺癌的免疫失调,CD4+T细胞和活化的T和B细胞以及TNF信号通路。这项研究提出了甲状腺癌发展的潜在目标和机制。
    UNASSIGNED: Thyroid cancer is the most common malignancy of the endocrine system. PANoptosis is a specific form of inflammatory cell death. It mainly includes pyroptosis, apoptosis and necrotic apoptosis. There is increasing evidence that PANoptosis plays a crucial role in tumour development. However, no pathogenic mechanism associated with PANoptosis in thyroid cancer has been identified.
    UNASSIGNED: Based on the currently identified PANoptosis genes, a dataset of thyroid cancer patients from the GEO database was analysed. To screen the common differentially expressed genes of thyroid cancer and PANoptosis. To analyse the functional characteristics of PANoptosis-related genes (PRGs) and screen key expression pathways. The prognostic model was established by LASSO regression and key genes were identified. The association between hub genes and immune cells was evaluated based on the CIBERSORT algorithm. Predictive models were validated by validation datasets, immunohistochemistry as well as drug-gene interactions were explored.
    UNASSIGNED: The results showed that eight key genes (NUAK2, TNFRSF10B, TNFRSF10C, TNFRSF12A, UNC5B, and PMAIP1) exhibited good diagnostic performance in differentiating between thyroid cancer patients and controls. These key genes were associated with macrophages, CD4+ T cells and neutrophils. In addition, PRGs were mainly enriched in the immunomodulatory pathway and TNF signalling pathway. The predictive performance of the model was confirmed in the validation dataset. The DGIdb database reveals 36 potential therapeutic target drugs for thyroid cancer.
    UNASSIGNED: Our study suggests that PANoptosis may be involved in immune dysregulation in thyroid cancer by regulating macrophages, CD4+ T cells and activated T and B cells and TNF signalling pathways. This study suggests potential targets and mechanisms for thyroid cancer development.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Stargardt病是青少年性黄斑营养不良的最常见形式。谱域光学相干断层扫描(SD-OCT)成像提供了直接测量由于Stargardt萎缩引起的视网膜层变化的机会。一般来说,可以使用从相关视网膜层生成的平均强度特征图进行萎缩分割和预测。在本文中,我们报告了一种方法,该方法使用先进的OCT衍生特征来增强和增强数据,超出常用的平均强度特征,从而通过集成深度学习神经网络增强Stargardt萎缩的预测能力.所有相关的视网膜层,这种神经网络架构实现了六个月预测的中值Dice系数为0.830,十二个月预测的中值Dice系数为0.828,显示出仅使用平均强度的神经网络的显着改进,对于六个月和十二个月的预测,Dice系数分别为0.744和0.762,分别。当使用从视网膜的不同层生成的特征图时,在性能上观察到显著差异。这项研究显示了使用多个OCT衍生特征(强度以外)评估Stargardt疾病的预后和量化进展速度的有希望的结果。
    Stargardt disease is the most common form of juvenile-onset macular dystrophy. Spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) imaging provides an opportunity to directly measure changes to retinal layers due to Stargardt atrophy. Generally, atrophy segmentation and prediction can be conducted using mean intensity feature maps generated from the relevant retinal layers. In this paper, we report an approach using advanced OCT-derived features to augment and enhance data beyond the commonly used mean intensity features for enhanced prediction of Stargardt atrophy with an ensemble deep learning neural network. With all the relevant retinal layers, this neural network architecture achieves a median Dice coefficient of 0.830 for six-month predictions and 0.828 for twelve-month predictions, showing a significant improvement over a neural network using only mean intensity, which achieved Dice coefficients of 0.744 and 0.762 for six-month and twelve-month predictions, respectively. When using feature maps generated from different layers of the retina, significant differences in performance were observed. This study shows promising results for using multiple OCT-derived features beyond intensity for assessing the prognosis of Stargardt disease and quantifying the rate of progression.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)在2019年至2022年期间成为全球大流行。检测这种疾病的金标准方法是逆转录聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)。然而,RT-PCR有许多缺点。因此,目的是通过使用机器学习(ML)技术提出一种廉价有效的检测COVID-19感染的方法,其中包含五个基本参数,可替代昂贵的RT-PCR。
    两种基于机器学习的预测模型,即,人工神经网络(ANN)和多元自适应回归样条(MARS)被设计用于预测COVID-19感染,作为利用五个基本参数的RT-PCR的更便宜、更简单的替代方法[,年龄,白细胞总数,红细胞计数,血小板计数,C反应蛋白(CRP)]。研究了这些参数中的每一个,与COVID-19的诊断和进展相关。在Kharagpur的一家医院对171名出现可疑COVID-19症状的患者进行了这些实验室参数评估,印度,2022年4月至8月。在总共171名患者中,88和83被发现是COVID-19阴性和COVID-19阳性,分别。
    对于ANN和MARS,预测类的准确度分别为97.06%和91.18%,分别。CRP被发现是最重要的输入参数。最后,为每个ML模型提供了两个预测数学方程,这对于轻松检测COVID-19感染非常有用。
    预计本研究将有助于医生仅根据五个非常基本的参数预测患者的COVID-19感染。
    UNASSIGNED: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) emerged as a global pandemic during 2019 to 2022. The gold standard method of detecting this disease is reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). However, RT-PCR has a number of shortcomings. Hence, the objective is to propose a cheap and effective method of detecting COVID-19 infection by using machine learning (ML) techniques, which encompasses five basic parameters as an alternative to the costly RT-PCR.
    UNASSIGNED: Two machine learning-based predictive models, namely, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS), are designed for predicting COVID-19 infection as a cheaper and simpler alternative to RT-PCR utilizing five basic parameters [i.e., age, total leucocyte count, red blood cell count, platelet count, C-reactive protein (CRP)]. Each of these parameters was studied, and correlation is drawn with COVID-19 diagnosis and progression. These laboratory parameters were evaluated in 171 patients who presented with symptoms suspicious of COVID-19 in a hospital at Kharagpur, India, from April to August 2022. Out of a total of 171 patients, 88 and 83 were found to be COVID-19-negative and COVID-19-positive, respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: The accuracies of the predicted class are found to be 97.06% and 91.18% for ANN and MARS, respectively. CRP is found to be the most significant input parameter. Finally, two predictive mathematical equations for each ML model are provided, which can be quite useful to detect the COVID-19 infection easily.
    UNASSIGNED: It is expected that the present study will be useful to the medical practitioners for predicting the COVID-19 infection in patients based on only five very basic parameters.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    口腔扁平苔藓(OLP)的诊断由于其非特异性临床症状和组织病理学特征而面临许多挑战。因此,诊断过程应包括全面的临床病史,免疫学测试,和组织病理学。我们的研究旨在通过将直接免疫荧光(DIF)结果与临床数据相结合来开发基于人工神经网络的多变量预测模型,从而提高OLP的诊断准确性。使用DIF评估了80例患者的各种标记(G类免疫球蛋白,A,和M;补体3;纤维蛋白原1型和2型)和临床特征,如年龄,性别,和病变位置。使用Statistica13中的机器学习技术进行统计分析。评估了以下变量:性别,病变发作当天的年龄,直接免疫荧光的结果,白色斑块的位置,侵蚀的位置,治疗史,药物和膳食补充剂的摄入量,牙齿状况,吸烟状况,使用牙线,用漱口水.在初始评估后,为机器学习选择了四个具有统计学意义的变量。最终的预测模型,基于神经网络,在测试样本中达到85%,在验证样本中达到71%的准确率。重要的预测因素包括发作时的压力,舌头下面的白色斑点,和下颌牙龈上的糜烂。总之,虽然模型显示出希望,需要更大的数据集和更全面的变量来提高OLP的诊断准确性,强调需要进一步研究和协作数据收集工作。
    The diagnosis of oral lichen planus (OLP) poses many challenges due to its nonspecific clinical symptoms and histopathological features. Therefore, the diagnostic process should include a thorough clinical history, immunological tests, and histopathology. Our study aimed to enhance the diagnostic accuracy of OLP by integrating direct immunofluorescence (DIF) results with clinical data to develop a multivariate predictive model based on the Artificial Neural Network. Eighty patients were assessed using DIF for various markers (immunoglobulins of classes G, A, and M; complement 3; fibrinogen type 1 and 2) and clinical characteristics such as age, gender, and lesion location. Statistical analysis was performed using machine learning techniques in Statistica 13. The following variables were assessed: gender, age on the day of lesion onset, results of direct immunofluorescence, location of white patches, locations of erosions, treatment history, medications and dietary supplement intake, dental status, smoking status, flossing, and using mouthwash. Four statistically significant variables were selected for machine learning after the initial assessment. The final predictive model, based on neural networks, achieved 85% in the testing sample and 71% accuracy in the validation sample. Significant predictors included stress at onset, white patches under the tongue, and erosions on the mandibular gingiva. In conclusion, while the model shows promise, larger datasets and more comprehensive variables are needed to improve diagnostic accuracy for OLP, highlighting the need for further research and collaborative data collection efforts.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    (1)背景:关于非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)诊断的证据在胆结石疾病(GD)患者的情况下是有限的。本研究旨在评估常规临床和生化变量作为诊断GD患者NAFLD的组合模型的预测潜力。(2)方法:对239例经超声诊断为GD和NAFLD的患者行腹腔镜胆囊切除术和肝活检进行了横断面研究。还确定了先前的临床指标。通过二元逻辑回归获得了按生物学性别分层的NAFLD存在的预测模型,并进行了敏感性分析。(3)结果:对于女性,该模型包括总胆固醇(TC),年龄和丙氨酸氨基转移酶(ALT),并显示受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)为0.727(p<0.001),灵敏度0.831和特异性0.517。对于男人来说,该模型包括TC,体重指数(BMI)和天冬氨酸氨基转移酶(AST),AUC为0.898(p<0.001),灵敏度为0.917,特异性为0.818。在两性中,设计方程的诊断性能优于以前的指标。(4)结论:这些模型有可能在临床决策中为医疗保健提供者提供有价值的指导,使他们能够为每个患者获得最佳结果。
    (1) Background: Evidence regarding Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) diagnosis is limited in the context of patients with gallstone disease (GD). This study aimed to assess the predictive potential of conventional clinical and biochemical variables as combined models for diagnosing NAFLD in patients with GD. (2) Methods: A cross-sectional study including 239 patients with GD and NAFLD diagnosed by ultrasonography who underwent laparoscopic cholecystectomy and liver biopsy was conducted. Previous clinical indices were also determined. Predictive models for the presence of NAFLD stratified by biological sex were obtained through binary logistic regression and sensitivity analyses were performed. (3) Results: For women, the model included total cholesterol (TC), age and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and showed an area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.727 (p < 0.001), sensitivity of 0.831 and a specificity of 0.517. For men, the model included TC, body mass index (BMI) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST), had an AUC of 0.898 (p < 0.001), sensitivity of 0.917 and specificity of 0.818. In both sexes, the diagnostic performance of the designed equations was superior to the previous indices. (4) Conclusions: These models have the potential to offer valuable guidance to healthcare providers in clinical decision-making, enabling them to achieve optimal outcomes for each patient.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:肥胖的全球患病率不断上升,需要探索新的诊断方法。最近的科学调查表明,与肥胖相关的语音特征可能发生变化,提示使用语音作为肥胖检测的非侵入性生物标志物的可行性。
    目的:本研究旨在通过对短录音的分析,使用深度神经网络来预测肥胖状态,研究声乐特征与肥胖的关系。
    方法:对696名参与者进行了一项初步研究,使用自我报告的BMI将个体分为肥胖和非肥胖组。参与者阅读简短脚本的录音被转换为频谱图,并使用改编的YOLOv8模型(Ultralytics)进行分析。使用准确性对模型性能进行了评估,召回,精度,和F1分数。
    结果:适应的YOLOv8模型显示出0.70的全局准确性和0.65的宏F1评分。在识别非肥胖(F1评分为0.77)方面比肥胖(F1评分为0.53)更有效。这种中等水平的准确性凸显了使用声乐生物标志物进行肥胖检测的潜力和挑战。
    结论:虽然该研究在基于语音的肥胖医学诊断领域显示出希望,它面临着一些限制,比如依赖自我报告的BMI数据,均匀的样本量。这些因素,再加上录音质量的可变性,需要使用更强大的方法和不同的样本进行进一步的研究,以增强这种新颖方法的有效性。这些发现为将来使用语音作为肥胖检测的非侵入性生物标志物的研究奠定了基础。
    BACKGROUND: The escalating global prevalence of obesity has necessitated the exploration of novel diagnostic approaches. Recent scientific inquiries have indicated potential alterations in voice characteristics associated with obesity, suggesting the feasibility of using voice as a noninvasive biomarker for obesity detection.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aims to use deep neural networks to predict obesity status through the analysis of short audio recordings, investigating the relationship between vocal characteristics and obesity.
    METHODS: A pilot study was conducted with 696 participants, using self-reported BMI to classify individuals into obesity and nonobesity groups. Audio recordings of participants reading a short script were transformed into spectrograms and analyzed using an adapted YOLOv8 model (Ultralytics). The model performance was evaluated using accuracy, recall, precision, and F1-scores.
    RESULTS: The adapted YOLOv8 model demonstrated a global accuracy of 0.70 and a macro F1-score of 0.65. It was more effective in identifying nonobesity (F1-score of 0.77) than obesity (F1-score of 0.53). This moderate level of accuracy highlights the potential and challenges in using vocal biomarkers for obesity detection.
    CONCLUSIONS: While the study shows promise in the field of voice-based medical diagnostics for obesity, it faces limitations such as reliance on self-reported BMI data and a small, homogenous sample size. These factors, coupled with variability in recording quality, necessitate further research with more robust methodologies and diverse samples to enhance the validity of this novel approach. The findings lay a foundational step for future investigations in using voice as a noninvasive biomarker for obesity detection.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:大脑年龄模型,包括估计的大脑年龄和大脑预测的年龄差异(brain-PAD),已经显示出作为监测正常衰老的成像标记的巨大潜力,以及用于识别处于神经退行性疾病诊断前阶段的个体。
    目的:本研究旨在探讨正常老化和轻度认知障碍(MCI)转化者的脑年龄模型及其在MCI转化分类中的价值。
    方法:使用剑桥老龄化和神经科学中心(Cam-CAN)项目(N=609)的结构磁共振成像(MRI)数据构建预训练脑年龄模型。使用基线建立被测大脑年龄模型,来自正常年龄(NA)成年人(n=32)和MCI转换器(n=22)的1年和3年随访MRI数据来自开放获取成像研究系列(OASIS-2)。形态计量学的定量测量包括颅内总体积(TIV),灰质体积(GMV)和皮质厚度。使用支持向量机(SVM)算法根据个体的形态特征计算脑年龄模型。
    结果:具有可比的实际年龄,MCI转换器显示出基于TIV的显着增加(基线:P=0.021;1年随访:P=0.037;3年随访:P=0.001),并且在所有时间点基于GMV的大脑年龄均高于NA成年人。较高的脑PAD评分与较差的整体认知相关。发现基于TIV(AUC=0.698)和基于左GMV的脑年龄(AUC=0.703)的可接受分类性能,这可以在基线上区分MCI转换器和NA成年人。
    结论:这是首次证明MRI告知的大脑年龄模型表现出特定特征模式。在MCI转换器中观察到的更大的基于GMV的脑年龄可能为识别神经变性早期阶段的个体提供新的证据。我们的发现增加了现有定量成像标记的价值,并可能有助于改善疾病监测并加速临床实践中的个性化治疗。
    根据个人的MRI扫描,脑年龄模型显示出作为监测正常衰老(NA)的成像标记的巨大潜力,以及用于识别与年龄相关的神经退行性疾病的诊断前阶段。在这项研究中,我们调查了正常衰老和轻度认知障碍(MCI)转化者的脑年龄模型及其在MCI转化分类中的价值.使用形态计量学的定量测量构建预训练的脑年龄模型,包括颅内总体积(TIV),灰质体积(GMV)和皮质厚度。在相当的实际年龄下,MCI转化者在所有时间点都显示出比NA成人显著增加的脑年龄。较高的大脑年龄与较差的整体认知有关。这是MRI告知的大脑年龄模型表现出特定特征模式的第一个证明。在MCI转换器中观察到的更大的基于GMV的脑年龄可能为识别神经变性早期阶段的个体提供新的证据。我们的发现增加了现有定量成像标记的价值,并可能有助于改善疾病监测并加速临床实践中的个性化治疗。
    BACKGROUND: Brain age model, including estimated brain age and brain-predicted age difference (brain-PAD), has shown great potentials for serving as imaging markers for monitoring normal ageing, as well as for identifying the individuals in the pre-diagnostic phase of neurodegenerative diseases.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the brain age models in normal ageing and mild cognitive impairments (MCI) converters and their values in classifying MCI conversion.
    METHODS: Pre-trained brain age model was constructed using the structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data from the Cambridge Centre for Ageing and Neuroscience (Cam-CAN) project (N = 609). The tested brain age model was built using the baseline, 1-year and 3-year follow-up MRI data from normal ageing (NA) adults (n = 32) and MCI converters (n = 22) drew from the Open Access Series of Imaging Studies (OASIS-2). The quantitative measures of morphometry included total intracranial volume (TIV), gray matter volume (GMV) and cortical thickness. Brain age models were calculated based on the individual\'s morphometric features using the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm.
    RESULTS: With comparable chronological age, MCI converters showed significant increased TIV-based (Baseline: P = 0.021; 1-year follow-up: P = 0.037; 3-year follow-up: P = 0.001) and left GMV-based brain age than NA adults at all time points. Higher brain-PAD scores were associated with worse global cognition. Acceptable classification performance of TIV-based (AUC = 0.698) and left GMV-based brain age (AUC = 0.703) was found, which could differentiate the MCI converters from NA adults at the baseline.
    CONCLUSIONS: This is the first demonstration that MRI-informed brain age models exhibit feature-specific patterns. The greater GMV-based brain age observed in MCI converters may provide new evidence for identifying the individuals at the early stage of neurodegeneration. Our findings added value to existing quantitative imaging markers and might help to improve disease monitoring and accelerate personalized treatments in clinical practice.
    Based on individual’s MRI scans, brain age model has shown great potentials for serving as imaging markers for monitoring normal ageing (NA), as well as for identifying the ones in the pre-diagnostic phase of age-related neurodegenerative diseases. In this study, we investigated the brain age models in normal ageing and mild cognitive impairments (MCI) converters and their values in classifying MCI conversion. Pre-trained brain age model was constructed using the quantitative measures of morphometry included total intracranial volume (TIV), gray matter volume (GMV) and cortical thickness. With comparable chronological age, MCI converters showed significant increased brain age than NA adults at all time points. Higher brain age were associated with worse global cognition. This is the first demonstration that MRI-informed brain age models exhibit feature-specific patterns. The greater GMV-based brain age observed in MCI converters may provide new evidence for identifying the individuals at the early stage of neurodegeneration. Our findings added value to existing quantitative imaging markers and might help to improve disease monitoring and accelerate personalized treatments in clinical practice.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    特征正念是指一个人的性格或倾向于关注他们在当下的经历,以一种非评判和接受的方式。特质正念与积极的心理健康结果密切相关,但它的神经基础却知之甚少。先前的静息状态功能磁共振成像研究已将特质正念与默认模式(DMN)的网络内和网络间连接相关联,额顶叶(FPN),和显著性网络。然而,目前还不清楚这些发现有多普遍,它们如何与特质正念的不同组成部分相关联,以及其他网络和大脑区域如何参与。
    为了解决这些差距,我们进行了迄今为止最大的静息状态功能磁共振成像研究,包括在不同地点收集的三个样本中对367名成年人进行的预注册连接体预测模型分析。
    在模型训练数据集中,我们没有找到预测整体特征正念的联系,但是我们确定了两个正念子量表的神经模型,有意识地行事,不评判。模型包括正网络(成对连接的集合积极预测正念的连接)和负网络,这显示了相反的关系。感知行为和非判断积极网络模型显示出涉及FPN和DMN的不同网络表示,分别。负网络模型,在各个分量表上明显重叠,涉及整个大脑的连接,并明显参与了躯体运动,视觉和DMN网络。只有在样本外推广预测子量表得分的负网络,而不是跨两个测试数据集。来自两个模型的预测也与建立良好的思维游走的连接体模型的预测呈负相关。
    我们提供了基于特定情感和认知方面的特质正念的可概括连接模型的初步神经证据。然而,模型在所有站点和扫描仪中的不完全概括,模型的稳定性有限,以及模型之间的大量重叠,强调了寻找健壮的正念方面的大脑标记的困难。
    UNASSIGNED: Trait mindfulness refers to one\'s disposition or tendency to pay attention to their experiences in the present moment, in a non-judgmental and accepting way. Trait mindfulness has been robustly associated with positive mental health outcomes, but its neural underpinnings are poorly understood. Prior resting-state fMRI studies have associated trait mindfulness with within- and between-network connectivity of the default-mode (DMN), fronto-parietal (FPN), and salience networks. However, it is unclear how generalizable the findings are, how they relate to different components of trait mindfulness, and how other networks and brain areas may be involved.
    UNASSIGNED: To address these gaps, we conducted the largest resting-state fMRI study of trait mindfulness to-date, consisting of a pre-registered connectome predictive modeling analysis in 367 adults across three samples collected at different sites.
    UNASSIGNED: In the model-training dataset, we did not find connections that predicted overall trait mindfulness, but we identified neural models of two mindfulness subscales, Acting with Awareness and Non-judging. Models included both positive networks (sets of pairwise connections that positively predicted mindfulness with increasing connectivity) and negative networks, which showed the inverse relationship. The Acting with Awareness and Non-judging positive network models showed distinct network representations involving FPN and DMN, respectively. The negative network models, which overlapped significantly across subscales, involved connections across the whole brain with prominent involvement of somatomotor, visual and DMN networks. Only the negative networks generalized to predict subscale scores out-of-sample, and not across both test datasets. Predictions from both models were also negatively correlated with predictions from a well-established mind-wandering connectome model.
    UNASSIGNED: We present preliminary neural evidence for a generalizable connectivity models of trait mindfulness based on specific affective and cognitive facets. However, the incomplete generalization of the models across all sites and scanners, limited stability of the models, as well as the substantial overlap between the models, underscores the difficulty of finding robust brain markers of mindfulness facets.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    用于检测显著前列腺癌(sPCa)的程序的质量控制可以通过前列腺成像报告和数据系统(PI-RADS)类别的观察和参考95%置信区间(CI)之间的相关性来定义。我们使用巴塞罗那磁共振成像(MRI)预测模型的接收器工作特征曲线(AUC)下的面积来筛选加泰罗尼亚sPCa机会性早期检测计划中十个参与者中心的质量。我们设定<0.8的AUC作为次优质量的标准。根据实际sPCa检测率与参考95%CIs之间的相关性来确认质量。对于2624名前列腺特异性抗原>3.0ng/ml和/或可疑直肠指检的男性队列,他们接受了多参数MRI和PI-RADS≥3个病灶的2至4核心靶向活检和/或12核心系统活检,AUC值范围为0.527至0.914,并且在四个中心(40%)中<0.8。当AUC<0.8时,一个或两个PI-RADS类别的实际sPCa检测率与参考95%CIs之间存在一致性,当AUC≥0.8时,三个或四个PI-RADS类别的实际sPCa检测率与参考95%CIs之间存在一致性。应建议在质量欠佳的中心审查用于sPCa检测的程序。
    我们测试了一种评估前列腺癌早期筛查中心质量控制的方法。我们发现该方法可以识别可能需要审查其程序以检测重要前列腺癌的中心。
    Quality control of programs for detection of significant prostate cancer (sPCa) could be defined by the correlation between observed and reference 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) categories. We used the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the Barcelona magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) predictive model to screen the quality of ten participant centers in the sPCa opportunistic early detection program in Catalonia. We set an AUC of <0.8 as the criterion for suboptimal quality. Quality was confirmed in terms of the correlation between actual sPCa detection rates and reference 95% CIs. For a cohort of 2624 men with prostate-specific antigen >3.0 ng/ml and/or a suspicious digital rectal examination who underwent multiparametric MRI and two- to four-core targeted biopsies of PI-RADS ≥3 lesions and/or 12-core systematic biopsy, AUC values ranged from 0.527 to 0.914 and were <0.8 in four centers (40%). There was concordance between actual sPCa detection rates and reference 95% CIs for one or two PI-RADS categories when the AUC was <0.8, and for three or four PI-RADS categories when the AUC was ≥0.8. A review of procedures used for sPCa detection should be recommended in centers with suboptimal quality.
    UNASSIGNED: We tested a method for assessing quality control for centers carrying out screening for early detection of prostate cancer. We found that the method can identify centers that may need to review their procedures for detection of significant prostate cancer.
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