METHODS: Systematic literature review.
OBJECTIVE: To develop a predictive model for osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCF) in the elderly, utilizing current tools that are sensitive to bone and paraspinal muscle changes.
METHODS: A retrospective analysis of data from 260 patients from October 2020 to December 2022, to form the Model population. This group was split into Training and Testing sets. The Training set aided in creating a nomogram through binary logistic regression. From January 2023 to January 2024, we prospectively collected data from 106 patients to constitute the Validation population. The model\'s performance was evaluated using concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) for both internal and external validation.
RESULTS: The study included 366 patients. The Training and Testing sets were used for nomogram construction and internal validation, while the prospectively collected data was for external validation. Binary logistic regression identified nine independent OVCF risk factors: age, bone mineral density (BMD), quantitative computed tomography (QCT), vertebral bone quality (VBQ), relative functional cross-sectional area of psoas muscles (rFCSAPS), gross and functional muscle fat infiltration of multifidus and psoas muscles (GMFIES+MF and FMFIES+MF), FMFIPS, and mean muscle ratio. The nomogram showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.91 for the C-index, with internal and external validation AUCs of 0.90 and 0.92. Calibration curves and DCA indicated a good model fit.
CONCLUSIONS: This study identified nine factors as independent predictors of OVCF in the elderly. A nomogram including these factors was developed, proving effective for OVCF prediction.

With the rapid spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), a sustained global pandemic has emerged. Globally, the cumulative death toll is in the millions. The rising number of COVID-19 infections and deaths has severely impacted the lives of people worldwide, healthcare systems, and economic development. We conducted a retrospective analysis of the characteristics of COVID-19 patients. This analysis includes clinical features upon initial hospital admission, relevant laboratory test results, and imaging findings. We aimed to identify risk factors for severe illness and to construct a predictive model for assessing the risk of severe COVID-19. We collected and analyzed electronic medical records of confirmed COVID-19 patients admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangsu University (Zhenjiang, China) between December 18, 2022, and February 28, 2023. According to the WHO diagnostic criteria for the novel coronavirus, we divided the patients into two groups: severe and non-severe, and compared their clinical, laboratory, and imaging data. Logistic regression analysis, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to identify the relevant risk factors for severe COVID-19 patients. Patients were divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. A nomogram model was constructed using the \"rms\" package in R software. Among the 346 patients, the severe group exhibited significantly higher respiratory rates, breathlessness, altered consciousness, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels compared to the non-severe group. Imaging findings indicated that the severe group had a higher proportion of bilateral pulmonary inflammation and ground-glass opacities compared to the non-severe group. NLR and LDH were identified as independent risk factors for severe patients. The diagnostic performance was maximized when NLR, respiratory rate (RR), and LDH were combined. Based on the statistical analysis results, we developed a COVID-19 severity risk prediction model. The total score is calculated by adding up the scores for each of the twelve independent variables. By mapping the total score to the lowest scale, we can estimate the risk of COVID-19 severity. In addition, the calibration plots and DCA analysis showed that the nomogram had better discrimination power for predicting the severity of COVID-19. Our results showed that the development and validation of the predictive nomogram had good predictive value for severe COVID-19.

UNASSIGNED: Thyroid cancer is the most common malignancy of the endocrine system. PANoptosis is a specific form of inflammatory cell death. It mainly includes pyroptosis, apoptosis and necrotic apoptosis. There is increasing evidence that PANoptosis plays a crucial role in tumour development. However, no pathogenic mechanism associated with PANoptosis in thyroid cancer has been identified.
UNASSIGNED: Based on the currently identified PANoptosis genes, a dataset of thyroid cancer patients from the GEO database was analysed. To screen the common differentially expressed genes of thyroid cancer and PANoptosis. To analyse the functional characteristics of PANoptosis-related genes (PRGs) and screen key expression pathways. The prognostic model was established by LASSO regression and key genes were identified. The association between hub genes and immune cells was evaluated based on the CIBERSORT algorithm. Predictive models were validated by validation datasets, immunohistochemistry as well as drug-gene interactions were explored.
UNASSIGNED: The results showed that eight key genes (NUAK2, TNFRSF10B, TNFRSF10C, TNFRSF12A, UNC5B, and PMAIP1) exhibited good diagnostic performance in differentiating between thyroid cancer patients and controls. These key genes were associated with macrophages, CD4+ T cells and neutrophils. In addition, PRGs were mainly enriched in the immunomodulatory pathway and TNF signalling pathway. The predictive performance of the model was confirmed in the validation dataset. The DGIdb database reveals 36 potential therapeutic target drugs for thyroid cancer.
UNASSIGNED: Our study suggests that PANoptosis may be involved in immune dysregulation in thyroid cancer by regulating macrophages, CD4+ T cells and activated T and B cells and TNF signalling pathways. This study suggests potential targets and mechanisms for thyroid cancer development.

BACKGROUND: The escalating global prevalence of obesity has necessitated the exploration of novel diagnostic approaches. Recent scientific inquiries have indicated potential alterations in voice characteristics associated with obesity, suggesting the feasibility of using voice as a noninvasive biomarker for obesity detection.
OBJECTIVE: This study aims to use deep neural networks to predict obesity status through the analysis of short audio recordings, investigating the relationship between vocal characteristics and obesity.
METHODS: A pilot study was conducted with 696 participants, using self-reported BMI to classify individuals into obesity and nonobesity groups. Audio recordings of participants reading a short script were transformed into spectrograms and analyzed using an adapted YOLOv8 model (Ultralytics). The model performance was evaluated using accuracy, recall, precision, and F1-scores.
RESULTS: The adapted YOLOv8 model demonstrated a global accuracy of 0.70 and a macro F1-score of 0.65. It was more effective in identifying nonobesity (F1-score of 0.77) than obesity (F1-score of 0.53). This moderate level of accuracy highlights the potential and challenges in using vocal biomarkers for obesity detection.
CONCLUSIONS: While the study shows promise in the field of voice-based medical diagnostics for obesity, it faces limitations such as reliance on self-reported BMI data and a small, homogenous sample size. These factors, coupled with variability in recording quality, necessitate further research with more robust methodologies and diverse samples to enhance the validity of this novel approach. The findings lay a foundational step for future investigations in using voice as a noninvasive biomarker for obesity detection.

BACKGROUND: Brain age model, including estimated brain age and brain-predicted age difference (brain-PAD), has shown great potentials for serving as imaging markers for monitoring normal ageing, as well as for identifying the individuals in the pre-diagnostic phase of neurodegenerative diseases.
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the brain age models in normal ageing and mild cognitive impairments (MCI) converters and their values in classifying MCI conversion.
METHODS: Pre-trained brain age model was constructed using the structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data from the Cambridge Centre for Ageing and Neuroscience (Cam-CAN) project (N = 609). The tested brain age model was built using the baseline, 1-year and 3-year follow-up MRI data from normal ageing (NA) adults (n = 32) and MCI converters (n = 22) drew from the Open Access Series of Imaging Studies (OASIS-2). The quantitative measures of morphometry included total intracranial volume (TIV), gray matter volume (GMV) and cortical thickness. Brain age models were calculated based on the individual\'s morphometric features using the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm.
RESULTS: With comparable chronological age, MCI converters showed significant increased TIV-based (Baseline: P = 0.021; 1-year follow-up: P = 0.037; 3-year follow-up: P = 0.001) and left GMV-based brain age than NA adults at all time points. Higher brain-PAD scores were associated with worse global cognition. Acceptable classification performance of TIV-based (AUC = 0.698) and left GMV-based brain age (AUC = 0.703) was found, which could differentiate the MCI converters from NA adults at the baseline.
CONCLUSIONS: This is the first demonstration that MRI-informed brain age models exhibit feature-specific patterns. The greater GMV-based brain age observed in MCI converters may provide new evidence for identifying the individuals at the early stage of neurodegeneration. Our findings added value to existing quantitative imaging markers and might help to improve disease monitoring and accelerate personalized treatments in clinical practice.
Based on individual’s MRI scans, brain age model has shown great potentials for serving as imaging markers for monitoring normal ageing (NA), as well as for identifying the ones in the pre-diagnostic phase of age-related neurodegenerative diseases. In this study, we investigated the brain age models in normal ageing and mild cognitive impairments (MCI) converters and their values in classifying MCI conversion. Pre-trained brain age model was constructed using the quantitative measures of morphometry included total intracranial volume (TIV), gray matter volume (GMV) and cortical thickness. With comparable chronological age, MCI converters showed significant increased brain age than NA adults at all time points. Higher brain age were associated with worse global cognition. This is the first demonstration that MRI-informed brain age models exhibit feature-specific patterns. The greater GMV-based brain age observed in MCI converters may provide new evidence for identifying the individuals at the early stage of neurodegeneration. Our findings added value to existing quantitative imaging markers and might help to improve disease monitoring and accelerate personalized treatments in clinical practice.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence following surgical resection remains a significant clinical challenge, necessitating reliable predictive models to guide personalised interventions. In this study, we sought to harness the power of artificial intelligence (AI) to develop a robust predictive model for HCC recurrence using comprehensive clinical datasets.
METHODS: Leveraging data from 958 patients across multiple centres in Australia and Hong Kong, we employed a multilayer perceptron (MLP) as the optimal classifier for model generation.
RESULTS: Through rigorous internal cross-validation, including a cohort from the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), our AI model successfully identified specific pre-surgical risk factors associated with HCC recurrence. These factors encompassed hepatic synthetic function, liver disease aetiology, ethnicity and modifiable metabolic risk factors, collectively contributing to the predictive synergy of our model. Notably, our model exhibited high accuracy during cross-validation (.857 ± .023) and testing on the CUHK cohort (.835), with a notable degree of confidence in predicting HCC recurrence within accurately classified patient cohorts. To facilitate clinical application, we developed an online AI digital tool capable of real-time prediction of HCC recurrence risk, demonstrating acceptable accuracy at the individual patient level.
CONCLUSIONS: Our findings underscore the potential of AI-driven predictive models in facilitating personalised risk stratification and targeted interventions to mitigate HCC recurrence by identifying modifiable risk factors unique to each patient. This model aims to aid clinicians in devising strategies to disrupt the underlying carcinogenic network driving recurrence.

UNASSIGNED: Sleeve lobectomy is a challenging procedure with a high risk of postoperative complications. To facilitate surgical decision-making and optimize perioperative treatment, we developed risk stratification models to quantify the probability of postoperative complications after sleeve lobectomy.
UNASSIGNED: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical features of 691 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients who underwent sleeve lobectomy between July 2016 and December 2019. Logistic regression models were trained and validated in the cohort to predict overall complications, major complications, and specific minor complications. The impact of specific complications in prognostic stratification was explored via the Kaplan-Meier method.
UNASSIGNED: Of 691 included patients, 232 (33.5%) developed complications, including 35 (5.1%) and 197 (28.5%) patients with major and minor complications, respectively. The models showed robust discrimination, yielding an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 0.853 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.705-0.885] for predicting overall postoperative complication risk and 0.751 (95% CI: 0.727-0.762) specifically for major complication risks. Models predicting minor complications also achieved good performance, with AUCs ranging from 0.78 to 0.89. Survival analyses revealed a significant association between postoperative complications and poor prognosis.
UNASSIGNED: Risk stratification models could accurately predict the probability and severity of complications in NSCLC patients following sleeve lobectomy, which may inform clinical decision-making for future patients.

Cadmium, as a typical heavy metal, has the potential to induce soil pollution and threaten human health through the soil-plant-human pathway. The conventional evaluation method based on the total content in soil cannot accurately represent the content migrated from the food chain to plants and the human body. Previous studies focused on the process of plant enrichment of heavy metals in soil, and very few studies directly predicted human exposure or risk through the labile state of Cd in soil. Hence, a relatively accurate and convenient prediction model of Cd release and translocation in the soil-rice-human system was developed. This model utilizes available Cd and soil parameters to predict the bioavailability of Cd in soil, as well as the in vitro bioaccessibility of Cd in cooked rice. The bioavailability of Cd was determined by the Diffusive Gradients in Thin-films technology and BCR sequential extraction procedure, offering in-situ quantification, which presents a significant advantage over traditional monitoring methods and aligns closely with the actual uptake of heavy metals by plants. The experimental results show that the prediction model based on the concentration of heavy metal forms measured by BCR sequential extraction procedure and diffusive gradients in thin-films technique can accurately predict the Cd uptake in rice grains, gastric and gastrointestinal phase (R2=0.712, 0.600 and 0.629). This model accurately predicts Cd bioavailability and bioaccessibility across the soil-rice-human pathway, informing actual human Cd intake, offering scientific support for developing more effective risk assessment methods.

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors and indicators that affect chronic pain and pain relief, and to develop predictive models using machine learning.
METHODS: We analyzed the data of 67,028 outpatient cases and 11,310 valid samples with pain from a large retrospective cohort. We used decision tree, random forest, AdaBoost, neural network, and logistic regression to discover significant indicators and to predict pain and treatment relief.
RESULTS: The random forest model had the highest accuracy, F1 value, precision, and recall rates for predicting pain relief. The main factors affecting pain and treatment relief included body mass index, blood pressure, age, body temperature, heart rate, pulse, and neutrophil/lymphocyte × platelet ratio. The logistic regression model had high sensitivity and specificity for predicting pain occurrence.
CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning models can be used to analyze the risk factors and predictors of chronic pain and pain relief, and to provide personalized and evidence-based pain management.

To construct a prediction model of olfactory dysfunction after transnasal sellar pituitary tumor resection based on machine learning algorithms. A cross-sectional study was conducted. From January to December 2022, 158 patients underwent transnasal sellar pituitary tumor resection in three tertiary hospitals in Sichuan Province were selected as the research objects. The olfactory status was evaluated one week after surgery. They were randomly divided into a training set and a test set according to the ratio of 8:2. The training set was used to construct the prediction model, and the test set was used to evaluate the effect of the model. Based on different machine learning algorithms, BP neural network, logistic regression, decision tree, support vector machine, random forest, LightGBM, XGBoost, and AdaBoost were established to construct olfactory dysfunction risk prediction models. The accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the model\'s prediction performance, the optimal prediction model algorithm was selected, and the model was verified in the test set of patients. Of the 158 patients, 116 (73.42%) had postoperative olfactory dysfunction. After missing value processing and feature screening, an essential order of influencing factors of olfactory dysfunction was obtained. Among them, the duration of operation, gender, type of pituitary tumor, pituitary tumor apoplexy, nasal adhesion, age, cerebrospinal fluid leakage, blood scar formation, and smoking history became the risk factors of olfactory dysfunction, which were the key indicators of the construction of the model. Among them, the random forest model had the highest AUC of 0.846, and the accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score were 0.750, 0.870, 0.947, and 0.833, respectively. Compared with the BP neural network, logistic regression, decision tree, support vector machine, LightGBM, XGBoost, and AdaBoost, the random forest model has more advantages in predicting olfactory dysfunction in patients after transnasal sellar pituitary tumor resection, which is helpful for early identification and intervention of high-risk clinical population, and has good clinical application prospects.