predictive models

预测模型
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:远程医疗和远程医疗是重要的家庭护理服务,用于支持个人在家中更独立地生活。历史上,这些技术对问题做出了反应。然而,最近一直在努力更好地利用这些服务的数据,以促进更积极和预测性的护理。
    目的:这篇综述旨在探索预测数据分析技术在家庭远程医疗和远程医疗中的应用方式。
    方法:PRISMA-ScR(系统审查的首选报告项目和范围审查的荟萃分析扩展)清单与Arksey和O\'Malley的方法论框架一起遵循。在MEDLINE发表的英文论文,Embase,并考虑了2012年至2022年的社会科学保费收集,并根据纳入或排除标准对结果进行了筛选.
    结果:总计,这篇综述包括86篇论文。本综述中的分析类型可以归类为异常检测(n=21),诊断(n=32),预测(n=22),和活动识别(n=11)。最常见的健康状况是帕金森病(n=12)和心血管疾病(n=11)。主要发现包括:缺乏使用常规收集的数据;诊断工具占主导地位;以及存在的障碍和机会,例如包括患者报告的结果,用于未来的远程医疗和远程医疗预测分析。
    结论:这篇综述中的所有论文都是小规模的飞行员,因此,未来的研究应该寻求将这些预测技术应用到更大的试验中。此外,将常规收集的护理数据和患者报告的结局进一步整合到远程医疗和远程医疗的预测模型中,为改善正在进行的分析提供了重要的机会,应进一步探讨.使用的数据集必须具有合适的大小和多样性,确保模型可推广到更广泛的人群,并且可以进行适当的训练,已验证,和测试。
    BACKGROUND: Telecare and telehealth are important care-at-home services used to support individuals to live more independently at home. Historically, these technologies have reactively responded to issues. However, there has been a recent drive to make better use of the data from these services to facilitate more proactive and predictive care.
    OBJECTIVE: This review seeks to explore the ways in which predictive data analytics techniques have been applied in telecare and telehealth in at-home settings.
    METHODS: The PRISMA-ScR (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews) checklist was adhered to alongside Arksey and O\'Malley\'s methodological framework. English language papers published in MEDLINE, Embase, and Social Science Premium Collection between 2012 and 2022 were considered and results were screened against inclusion or exclusion criteria.
    RESULTS: In total, 86 papers were included in this review. The types of analytics featuring in this review can be categorized as anomaly detection (n=21), diagnosis (n=32), prediction (n=22), and activity recognition (n=11). The most common health conditions represented were Parkinson disease (n=12) and cardiovascular conditions (n=11). The main findings include: a lack of use of routinely collected data; a dominance of diagnostic tools; and barriers and opportunities that exist, such as including patient-reported outcomes, for future predictive analytics in telecare and telehealth.
    CONCLUSIONS: All papers in this review were small-scale pilots and, as such, future research should seek to apply these predictive techniques into larger trials. Additionally, further integration of routinely collected care data and patient-reported outcomes into predictive models in telecare and telehealth offer significant opportunities to improve the analytics being performed and should be explored further. Data sets used must be of suitable size and diversity, ensuring that models are generalizable to a wider population and can be appropriately trained, validated, and tested.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:人工智能(AI)具有增强身体活动(PA)干预的潜力。然而,人为因素(HF)在将AI成功集成到移动健康(mHealth)解决方案中以促进PA的发展中发挥着关键作用。理解和优化个人与AI驱动的mHealth应用程序之间的交互对于实现预期结果至关重要。
    目的:本研究旨在回顾和描述AI驱动的数字解决方案中用于增加PA的HF的当前证据。
    方法:我们通过搜索包含与PA相关的术语的出版物进行了范围审查,HFs,和AI在3个数据库中的标题和摘要-PubMed,Embase,和IEEEXplore-和谷歌学者。如果这些研究是描述基于AI的解决方案旨在提高PA的主要研究,并报告了测试溶液的结果。不符合这些标准的研究被排除在外。此外,我们在收录的文章中检索了相关研究的参考文献。从纳入的研究中提取以下数据,并将其纳入定性综合:书目信息,研究特点,人口,干预,比较,结果,与AI相关的信息。纳入研究的证据的确定性采用GRADE(建议评估分级,发展,和评估)。
    结果:2015年至2023年共发表了15项研究,涉及899名年龄在19至84岁之间的参与者。60.7%(546/899)是女性参与者,包括在这次审查中。在纳入的研究中,干预持续了2到26周。推荐系统是PA数字解决方案中最常用的AI技术(10/15研究),其次是对话代理(4/15研究)。用户可接受性和满意度是最频繁评估的HF(每个研究有5/15),其次是可用性(4/15研究)。关于个性化和推荐的自动数据收集,大多数系统涉及健身追踪器(5/15研究)。证据分析的确定性表明AI驱动的数字技术在增加PA方面的有效性具有中等的确定性(例如,步数,远距离行走,或在PA上花费的时间)。此外,人工智能驱动的技术,特别是推荐系统,似乎对PA行为的变化产生积极影响,尽管证据的确定性很低。
    结论:当前的研究强调了AI驱动技术增强PA的潜力,但证据仍然有限。需要进行更长期的研究来评估人工智能驱动的技术对行为改变和习惯形成的持续影响。虽然AI驱动的PA数字解决方案具有重要的前景,进一步探索优化AI对PA的影响并有效整合AI和HF对于更广泛的利益至关重要。因此,对创新管理的影响涉及进行长期研究,优先考虑多样性,确保研究质量,专注于用户体验,并了解AI在PA推广中不断发展的作用。
    BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to enhance physical activity (PA) interventions. However, human factors (HFs) play a pivotal role in the successful integration of AI into mobile health (mHealth) solutions for promoting PA. Understanding and optimizing the interaction between individuals and AI-driven mHealth apps is essential for achieving the desired outcomes.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aims to review and describe the current evidence on the HFs in AI-driven digital solutions for increasing PA.
    METHODS: We conducted a scoping review by searching for publications containing terms related to PA, HFs, and AI in the titles and abstracts across 3 databases-PubMed, Embase, and IEEE Xplore-and Google Scholar. Studies were included if they were primary studies describing an AI-based solution aimed at increasing PA, and results from testing the solution were reported. Studies that did not meet these criteria were excluded. Additionally, we searched the references in the included articles for relevant research. The following data were extracted from included studies and incorporated into a qualitative synthesis: bibliographic information, study characteristics, population, intervention, comparison, outcomes, and AI-related information. The certainty of the evidence in the included studies was evaluated using GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation).
    RESULTS: A total of 15 studies published between 2015 and 2023 involving 899 participants aged approximately between 19 and 84 years, 60.7% (546/899) of whom were female participants, were included in this review. The interventions lasted between 2 and 26 weeks in the included studies. Recommender systems were the most commonly used AI technology in digital solutions for PA (10/15 studies), followed by conversational agents (4/15 studies). User acceptability and satisfaction were the HFs most frequently evaluated (5/15 studies each), followed by usability (4/15 studies). Regarding automated data collection for personalization and recommendation, most systems involved fitness trackers (5/15 studies). The certainty of the evidence analysis indicates moderate certainty of the effectiveness of AI-driven digital technologies in increasing PA (eg, number of steps, distance walked, or time spent on PA). Furthermore, AI-driven technology, particularly recommender systems, seems to positively influence changes in PA behavior, although with very low certainty evidence.
    CONCLUSIONS: Current research highlights the potential of AI-driven technologies to enhance PA, though the evidence remains limited. Longer-term studies are necessary to assess the sustained impact of AI-driven technologies on behavior change and habit formation. While AI-driven digital solutions for PA hold significant promise, further exploration into optimizing AI\'s impact on PA and effectively integrating AI and HFs is crucial for broader benefits. Thus, the implications for innovation management involve conducting long-term studies, prioritizing diversity, ensuring research quality, focusing on user experience, and understanding the evolving role of AI in PA promotion.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    结合相关临床和社会特征的预测模型可以为心血管疾病(CVD)风险和进展的复杂相关机制以及环境暴露对不良结果的影响提供有意义的见解。这次有针对性的审查(2018-2019年)的目的是检查当今高级分析在多大程度上,人工智能,机器学习模型包括相关变量,以解决潜在的偏见,为护理提供信息,治疗,资源分配,和心血管疾病患者的管理。
    使用预先指定的纳入和排除标准搜索PubMed文献,以识别和批判性地评估以英文发表的关于CVD预测模型的主要研究,相关风险,programming,和结果在北美一般成年人口中。然后评估研究是否将相关社会变量纳入模型构建中。两名独立审稿人筛选了文章的资格。主要和次要独立审阅者从每篇全文文章中提取信息进行分析。与第三次审查者和反复筛选轮解决了分歧,以建立共识。科恩的卡帕被用来确定评估者间的可靠性。
    审查产生了533条独特记录,其中35条符合纳入标准。研究使用先进的统计和机器学习方法来预测CVD风险(10,29%),死亡率(19,54%),生存率(7,20%),并发症(10,29%),疾病进展(6,17%),功能结果(4,11%),和处置(2%,6%)。大多数研究纳入年龄(34,97%),性别(34,97%),合并症(32,91%),和行为风险因素(28,80%)变量。种族或民族(23,66%)和社会变量,例如教育(3,9%)的观察频率较低。
    预测模型应根据种族和社会预测变量进行调整,如果相关,提高模型的准确性,并为更公平的干预和决策提供信息。
    UNASSIGNED: Predictive models incorporating relevant clinical and social features can provide meaningful insights into complex interrelated mechanisms of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and progression and the influence of environmental exposures on adverse outcomes. The purpose of this targeted review (2018-2019) was to examine the extent to which present-day advanced analytics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning models include relevant variables to address potential biases that inform care, treatment, resource allocation, and management of patients with CVD.
    UNASSIGNED: PubMed literature was searched using the prespecified inclusion and exclusion criteria to identify and critically evaluate primary studies published in English that reported on predictive models for CVD, associated risks, progression, and outcomes in the general adult population in North America. Studies were then assessed for inclusion of relevant social variables in the model construction. Two independent reviewers screened articles for eligibility. Primary and secondary independent reviewers extracted information from each full-text article for analysis. Disagreements were resolved with a third reviewer and iterative screening rounds to establish consensus. Cohen\'s kappa was used to determine interrater reliability.
    UNASSIGNED: The review yielded 533 unique records where 35 met the inclusion criteria. Studies used advanced statistical and machine learning methods to predict CVD risk (10, 29%), mortality (19, 54%), survival (7, 20%), complication (10, 29%), disease progression (6, 17%), functional outcomes (4, 11%), and disposition (2, 6%). Most studies incorporated age (34, 97%), sex (34, 97%), comorbid conditions (32, 91%), and behavioral risk factor (28, 80%) variables. Race or ethnicity (23, 66%) and social variables, such as education (3, 9%) were less frequently observed.
    UNASSIGNED: Predictive models should adjust for race and social predictor variables, where relevant, to improve model accuracy and to inform more equitable interventions and decision making.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    淋巴结转移与子宫内膜癌预后较差相关。
    目的是综合并严格评估子宫内膜癌淋巴结转移风险分层的现有预测模型。
    本研究是一项系统综述。
    我们在WebofScience上搜索了报道预测子宫内膜癌中淋巴结转移的模型的文章,在此基础上进行了系统的回顾和文献计量分析。偏差风险通过预测模型风险评估工具(PROBAST)进行评估。
    系统综述共纳入64篇文章,2010年至2023年出版。最常见的文章是“仅开发”。“传统的临床病理参数仍然是模型的主流,例如,血清肿瘤标志物,肌层浸润和肿瘤分级。此外,基于基因签名的模型,影像组学和数字组织病理学图像表现出可接受的自我报告性能。最频繁验证的模型是Mayo标准,阴性预测值为97.1%-98.2%。通过PROBAST观察到实质性的变异性和不一致性,表明研究之间存在显著的异质性。进一步的文献计量分析显示,作者和组织在预测子宫内膜癌淋巴结转移的模型之间的联系相对薄弱。
    已经开发了许多子宫内膜癌中淋巴结转移的预测模型。尽管有些人表现出了有希望的表现,因为他们表现出了良好的歧视,由于缺乏独立的验证,目前很少有模型可以推荐用于临床实践,测量预测因子的偏差风险高,一致性低。作者之间的合作,组织和国家都很弱。模型更新,迫切需要外部验证和合作研究。
    无。
    子宫内膜癌淋巴结转移预测模型介绍子宫内膜癌淋巴结转移与不良预后相关。目前有许多预测模型。我们在本文中对它们进行了总结和评估。
    Lymph node metastasis is associated with a poorer prognosis in endometrial cancer.
    The objective was to synthesize and critically appraise existing predictive models for lymph node metastasis risk stratification in endometrial cancer.
    This study is a systematic review.
    We searched the Web of Science for articles reporting models predicting lymph node metastasis in endometrial cancer, with a systematic review and bibliometric analysis conducted based upon which. Risk of bias was assessed by the Prediction model Risk Of BiAS assessment Tool (PROBAST).
    A total of 64 articles were included in the systematic review, published between 2010 and 2023. The most common articles were \"development only.\" Traditional clinicopathological parameters remained the mainstream in models, for example, serum tumor marker, myometrial invasion and tumor grade. Also, models based upon gene-signatures, radiomics and digital histopathological images exhibited an acceptable self-reported performance. The most frequently validated models were the Mayo criteria, which reached a negative predictive value of 97.1%-98.2%. Substantial variability and inconsistency were observed through PROBAST, indicating significant between-study heterogeneity. A further bibliometric analysis revealed a relatively weak link between authors and organizations on models predicting lymph node metastasis in endometrial cancer.
    A number of predictive models for lymph node metastasis in endometrial cancer have been developed. Although some exhibited promising performance as they demonstrated adequate to good discrimination, few models can currently be recommended for clinical practice due to lack of independent validation, high risk of bias and low consistency in measured predictors. Collaborations between authors, organizations and countries were weak. Model updating, external validation and collaborative research are urgently needed.
    None.
    Introduction to predictive models for lymph node metastasis in endometrial cancerLymph node metastasis of endometrial cancer is associated with a poor prognosis. There are currently many predictive models. We summarized and evaluated them in this article.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    预测重度抑郁症(MDD)的重复经颅磁刺激(rTMS)治疗结果可以降低治疗失败的财务和心理风险。我们系统地回顾和荟萃分析了利用神经生理学和神经影像学标志物预测MDD中rTMS反应的研究。从成立到2023年5月25日搜索了五个数据库。主要的荟萃分析结果是来自分类模型的预测准确性。对回归模型进行了定性总结。如果在至少两个独立研究中显示出80%或更高的灵敏度和特异性,则鉴定出有希望的标记。搜索产生了36项研究。22项分类建模研究得出的汇总接受者操作员曲线下的估计面积为0.87(95%CI=0.83至0.92),敏感性为86.8%(95%CI=80.6至91.2%),特异性为81.9%(95%CI=76.1至86.4%)。通过脑电图测量的额θ坐标最接近概念证明。使用神经生理学和神经影像学标志物预测rTMS反应有望用于临床决策。然而,需要不同研究小组的复制才能建立严格的标记。
    Predicting repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) treatment outcomes in major depressive disorder (MDD) could reduce the financial and psychological risks of treatment failure. We systematically reviewed and meta-analyzed studies that leveraged neurophysiological and neuroimaging markers to predict rTMS response in MDD. Five databases were searched from inception to May 25, 2023. The primary meta-analytic outcome was predictive accuracy pooled from classification models. Regression models were summarized qualitatively. A promising marker was identified if it showed a sensitivity and specificity of 80% or higher in at least two independent studies. Searching yielded 36 studies. Twenty-two classification modeling studies produced an estimated area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87 (95% CI = 0.83-0.92), with 86.8% sensitivity (95% CI = 80.6-91.2%) and 81.9% specificity (95% CI = 76.1-86.4%). Frontal theta cordance measured by electroencephalography is closest to proof of concept. Predicting rTMS response using neurophysiological and neuroimaging markers is promising for clinical decision-making. However, replications by different research groups are needed to establish rigorous markers.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的二十年中,转移性前列腺癌(mPCa)的治疗前景得到了显着发展。尽管如此,mPCa患者的最佳治疗方案尚未确定.本系统评价确定了评估mPCa患者对治疗反应的可用预测模型。
    我们在2022年12月根据系统审查和荟萃分析声明的首选报告项目对MEDLINE和CENTRAL进行了严格审查。仅包括英语定量研究,没有时间限制。使用PROBAST工具评估纳入研究的质量。根据关键评估清单和系统审查标准的数据提取来提取数据。
    搜索确定了616个引用,其中15项研究纳入我们的综述.其中9项研究进行了内部或外部验证。只有一项研究的偏倚风险低,适用性风险低。许多研究未能充分详细说明模型性能,导致偏见的高风险。据报道,模型表明良好或优异的性能。
    大多数已确定的预测模型需要在适当设计的研究中进行额外的评估和验证,然后才能在临床实践中实施这些模型,以帮助男性mPCa患者的治疗决策。
    在这篇评论中,我们评估了预测哪种治疗方法最适合哪些转移性前列腺癌患者的研究.我们发现,现有的研究需要进一步改进,然后才能被医疗保健专业人员使用。
    UNASSIGNED: The treatment landscape of metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) has evolved significantly over the past two decades. Despite this, the optimal therapy for patients with mPCa has not been determined. This systematic review identifies available predictive models that assess mPCa patients\' response to treatment.
    UNASSIGNED: We critically reviewed MEDLINE and CENTRAL in December 2022 according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses statement. Only quantitative studies in English were included with no time restrictions. The quality of the included studies was assessed using the PROBAST tool. Data were extracted following the Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews criteria.
    UNASSIGNED: The search identified 616 citations, of which 15 studies were included in our review. Nine of the included studies were validated internally or externally. Only one study had a low risk of bias and a low risk concerning applicability. Many studies failed to detail model performance adequately, resulting in a high risk of bias. Where reported, the models indicated good or excellent performance.
    UNASSIGNED: Most of the identified predictive models require additional evaluation and validation in properly designed studies before these can be implemented in clinical practice to assist with treatment decision-making for men with mPCa.
    UNASSIGNED: In this review, we evaluate studies that predict which treatments will work best for which metastatic prostate cancer patients. We found that existing studies need further improvement before these can be used by health care professionals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    列线图有助于预测个体患者而不是整个人群的结果,并且是评估和治疗决策的重要组成部分。已经在恶性肿瘤中开发了各种列线图来预测和预测临床结果,例如疾病的严重程度。总生存率,和无复发生存。在前列腺癌中,列线图用于确定活检的需要,病程,需要辅助治疗,和结果。这些预测列线图中的大多数是基于高加索人群。前列腺癌受种族影响很大,和白种人相比,亚洲男性有明显不同的种族和遗传易感性,引起人们对这些列线图的泛化性的关注。我们回顾了有关前列腺癌列线图及其在亚洲男性中的应用的现有文献。很少有研究评估这些男性现有列线图的适用性和有效性。大多数人发现该人群的表现存在显着差异。因此,需要更多的研究评估亚洲男性现有的列线图或建议对该人群进行修改.
    Nomograms help to predict outcomes in individual patients rather than whole populations and are an important part of evaluation and treatment decision making. Various nomograms have been developed in malignancies to predict and prognosticate clinical outcomes such as severity of disease, overall survival, and recurrence-free survival. In prostate cancer, nomograms were developed for determining need for biopsy, disease course, need for adjuvant therapy, and outcomes. Most of these predictive nomograms were based on Caucasian populations. Prostate cancer is significantly affected by race, and Asian men have a significantly different racial and genetic susceptibility compared to Caucasians, raising the concern in generalizability of these nomograms. We reviewed the existing literature for nomograms in prostate cancer and their application in Asian men. There are very few studies that have evaluated the applicability and validity of the existing nomograms in these men. Most have found significant differences in the performance in this population. Thus, more studies evaluating the existing nomograms in Asian men or suggesting modifications for this population are required.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心血管疾病给全世界的医疗保健系统带来了巨大的负担。这篇叙述性文献综述讨论了人工智能(AI)在心脏病学领域的作用。AI有可能以多种方式帮助医疗保健专业人员,比如诊断病理,指导治疗,监测病人,这可以改善患者的预后和更有效的医疗保健系统。此外,在过去十年中,心脏病学的临床决策支持系统有了显著改善.在这些临床决策支持系统中添加AI可以通过处理大量数据来改善患者的预后,识别微妙的关联,并及时提供,对医疗保健专业人员的循证推荐。最后,人工智能的应用允许通过利用预测模型和生成患者特定的治疗计划来实现个性化护理。然而,在医疗保健中使用人工智能有几个挑战。人工智能在医疗保健中的应用伴随着重大的成本和道德考虑。尽管面临这些挑战,在不久的将来,人工智能将成为医疗保健服务不可或缺的一部分。导致个性化的病人护理,提高医生的工作效率,并预期更好的结果。
    Cardiovascular diseases exert a significant burden on the healthcare system worldwide. This narrative literature review discusses the role of artificial intelligence (AI) in the field of cardiology. AI has the potential to assist healthcare professionals in several ways, such as diagnosing pathologies, guiding treatments, and monitoring patients, which can lead to improved patient outcomes and a more efficient healthcare system. Moreover, clinical decision support systems in cardiology have improved significantly over the past decade. The addition of AI to these clinical decision support systems can improve patient outcomes by processing large amounts of data, identifying subtle associations, and providing a timely, evidence-based recommendation to healthcare professionals. Lastly, the application of AI allows for personalized care by utilizing predictive models and generating patient-specific treatment plans. However, there are several challenges associated with the use of AI in healthcare. The application of AI in healthcare comes with significant cost and ethical considerations. Despite these challenges, AI will be an integral part of healthcare delivery in the near future, leading to personalized patient care, improved physician efficiency, and anticipated better outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:这篇叙述性综述的目的是评估关于子宫内膜异位症预测模型的现有问卷。这些基于症状的模型有可能作为成年女性检测子宫内膜异位症的筛查工具。
    方法:对PubMed和Embase数据库进行全面检索,以确定子宫内膜异位症筛查的研究。
    方法:搜索针对子宫内膜异位症定位的预测模型,肠道受累,需要肠道手术和生育。由于识别出的异质性,系统的审查是不可能的。共确定了23项研究。
    方法:在这些研究中,包括12项一般子宫内膜异位症的措施,两个有针对性的特定网站,四个集中在深浸润性子宫内膜异位症(DIE),和三个解决了需要子宫内膜异位症相关的肠道手术。许多措施结合临床,影像学和实验室检查与患者问卷调查。所有研究都缺乏将这些模型作为筛选工具的验证,因为重点是诊断而不是筛查。
    结论:这项审查没有确定任何完全验证的,基于症状的成年女性子宫内膜异位症筛查问卷。大量的验证工作仍需确定此类工具的有效性。
    OBJECTIVE: The aim of this narrative review is to evaluate existing questionnaires on predictive models for endometriosis. These symptom-based models have the potential to serve as screening tools for adult women to detect endometriosis.
    METHODS: A comprehensive search of PubMed and Embase databases was conducted to identify studies on endometriosis screening.
    METHODS: The search targeted predictive models for endometriosis localisation, bowel involvement, need for bowel surgery and fertility. Due to the heterogeneity identified, a systematic review was not possible. A total of 23 studies were identified.
    METHODS: Among these studies, twelve included measures for general endometriosis, two targeted specific sites, four focused on deep infiltrating endometriosis (DIE), and three addressed the need for endometriosis-related bowel surgery. Many measures combined clinical, imaging and laboratory tests with patient questionnaires. Validation of these models as screening tools was lacking in all studies, as the focus was on diagnosis rather than screening.
    CONCLUSIONS: This review did not identify any fully validated, symptom-based questionnaires for endometriosis screening in adult women. Substantial validation work remains to establish the efficacy of such tools.
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  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    缺血性脑卒中是对人类健康和生命构成重大威胁的严重疾病,首次发生后预后不良的绝对和相对风险最高,超过90%的中风可归因于可改变的危险因素。目前,机器学习(ML)被广泛用于缺血性卒中结局的预测。通过识别风险因素,预测不良预后的风险,从而制定个性化的治疗计划,它有效地降低了不良预后的可能性,导致更有效的二级预防。这篇综述包括自2018年以来的41项研究,这些研究使用ML算法构建缺血性卒中的预后预测模型。短暂性脑缺血发作(TIA),和急性缺血性卒中(AIS)。我们详细分析了这些研究中使用的风险因素,所需数据的来源和处理方法,模型构建和验证,以及它们在不同预测时间窗口中的应用。结果表明,在纳入的研究中,就频率而言,前五名的危险因素是心血管疾病,年龄,性别,美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分,和糖尿病。此外,64%的研究使用单中心数据,65%使用不平衡数据的研究没有进行数据平衡,88%的研究没有利用外部验证数据集进行模型验证,72%的研究没有为他们的模型提供解释。解决这些问题对于提高研究的可信度和有效性至关重要,从而改进二级预防措施的制定和实施。
    Ischemic stroke is a serious disease posing significant threats to human health and life, with the highest absolute and relative risks of a poor prognosis following the first occurrence, and more than 90% of strokes are attributable to modifiable risk factors. Currently, machine learning (ML) is widely used for the prediction of ischemic stroke outcomes. By identifying risk factors, predicting the risk of poor prognosis and thus developing personalized treatment plans, it effectively reduces the probability of poor prognosis, leading to more effective secondary prevention. This review includes 41 studies since 2018 that used ML algorithms to build prognostic prediction models for ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), and acute ischemic stroke (AIS). We analyzed in detail the risk factors used in these studies, the sources and processing methods of the required data, the model building and validation, and their application in different prediction time windows. The results indicate that among the included studies, the top five risk factors in terms of frequency were cardiovascular diseases, age, sex, national institutes of health stroke scale (NIHSS) score, and diabetes. Furthermore, 64% of the studies used single-center data, 65% of studies using imbalanced data did not perform data balancing, 88% of the studies did not utilize external validation datasets for model validation, and 72% of the studies did not provide explanations for their models. Addressing these issues is crucial for enhancing the credibility and effectiveness of the research, consequently improving the development and implementation of secondary prevention measures.
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