Africa, Southern

非洲,南方
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The burgeoning illegal trade in succulents in southern Africa presents a critical conservation and social development challenge. Drawing parallels with the trajectory of the response to rhinoceros poaching, we considered the consequences of conservation law enforcement measures, particularly the militarization of antipoaching efforts. The response to rhinoceros poaching not only resulted in so-called green militarization, but also led to extrajudicial killings, human rights abuses, and the disproportionate targeting of low-level poachers. The nature of wildlife trade prohibition is complex and often contested, and many actors operating in illegal wildlife trades dispute the label of illegal for socioeconomic, cultural, historical, or political reasons. This contestation is crucial when considering Indigenous cultural and medicinal values of succulents, with Indigenous Peoples and local communities questioning the criminalization of traditional plant harvesting practices. As the illegal trade in succulents continues to grow, it is imperative for conservationists to consider a nuanced approach. We call for a socioecological harm reduction approach that emphasizes community engagement, sustainable use, and codesigned interventions. Such an approach could help balance the scales of ecological conservation and human dignity in the face of growing wildlife trade challenges.
    La necesidad de una estrategia socioecológica de reducción de daño para disminuir el mercado ilegal de fauna Resumen El emergente mercado ilegal de suculentas en el sur de África representa un reto importante para la conservación y el desarrollo social. Partimos de las similitudes con la trayectoria de la respuesta a la caza furtiva de rinocerontes para considerar las consecuencias de la aplicación de las leyes de conservación, en particular la militarización de los esfuerzos contra la caza furtiva. La respuesta a la caza furtiva no sólo derivó en la llamada militarización verde, sino también llevó a ejecuciones extrajudiciales, abuso de los derechos humanos y a la selección desproporcionada de cazadores de bajo nivel. La naturaleza de la prohibición del mercado de fauna es compleja y con frecuencia se impugna, y muchos actores que operan en los mercados ilegales disputan la etiqueta ilegal por razones socioeconómicas, culturales, históricas o políticas. Esta impugnación es crucial cuando consideramos los valores culturales y medicinales que los indígenas dan a las suculentas, sobre todo cuando los pueblos indígenas y las comunidades locales cuestionan la criminalización de las prácticas tradicionales de recolección de plantas. Conforme el mercado ilegal de suculentas sigue creciendo, es imperativo que los conservacionistas consideren una estrategia con matices. Pedimos una estrategia socioecológica de reducción de daños que resalte la participación comunitaria, el uso sustentable y las intervenciones con co‐diseño. Dicha estrategia podría ayudar a equlibrar la balanza de la conservación ecológica y la dignidad humana de cara al incremento de retos en el mercado de fauna.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    一种新形式的兔出血性疾病病毒,RHDV2,首次在欧洲兔子中观察到,在欧洲不同种类的野兔中广泛传播,北美的野兔和棉尾,和南部非洲的野兔。然而,到目前为止,仅进行了有限的监测研究。建议在欧洲开发用于控制养殖兔子疾病的方法,并在澳大利亚研究RHDV作为生物防治剂的功效,可以促进对最近受影响的lagomorph物种的流行病学研究。这将能够评估RHDV2对原生lagomorphs的风险,包括濒危物种,并确定了RHDV2的主要寄主种。因为RHDV2并没有平等地分布在所有lagomorph物种中,流行病学研究可以深入了解确定宿主易感性的重要因素。
    A new form of the rabbit haemorrhagic disease virus, RHDV2, first observed in European rabbits, has spread widely among different species of hares in Europe, jackrabbits and cottontails in North America, and hares in southern Africa. However, only limited surveillance studies have been undertaken so far. It is suggested that methods developed for controlling the disease in farmed rabbits in Europe and studying the efficacy of RHDV as a biological control agent in Australia could facilitate epidemiological research on those recently affected lagomorph species. This would enable the assessment of the risk of RHDV2 to native lagomorphs, including endangered species, and the determination of the main host species of RHDV2. Because RHDV2 has not spread equally through all lagomorph species, epidemiological studies could give insights into factors important for determining host susceptibility.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:弱视菌属。蜱,以它们长的口器而闻名,明亮华丽的外表和侵略性的狩猎行为,是许多重要病原体的载体。在南部非洲,17弱肠菌属。目前已记录在案。在这些物种中,由于其广泛的地理范围以及它们作为具有兽医和医学重要性的病原体的合格载体的地位,已对它们进行了充分的研究。对其他植物的研究。在南部非洲被忽视了,促进正在进行的关于某些物种有效性的辩论,例如Ablyommapomposum。这项研究调查了在南部非洲收集的Amblyomma蜱的种间和种内变异,重点解决关于波姆波姆和变形虫是不同物种的争议。
    方法:从安哥拉收集了4种双目蜱,莫桑比克,南非,赞比亚和津巴布韦,并在形态上被鉴定为Amblyommaeburneum(208),A.hebraeum(4758),A.pomposum(191)和A.variegatum(2577)使用识别键。针对12S和16SrRNA的基因扩增,细胞色素氧化酶I,细胞色素B和内部转录的间隔-2基因进行了204个蜱,对于每个标记在扩增过程中获得了不同的成功。在IQ-TREE中进行最大似然分析。
    结果:每个基因的系统发育拓扑和ABGD分析聚集了A.variegatum进化枝,同时清楚地将A.eburneum和A.hebraeum与所有其他物种分开。没有一个遗传标记表明基于地理起源的种内结构,尽管采样点之间的距离很大。
    结论:我们的研究得出的结论是,没有足够的分子证据来区分A.pomposum和A.variegatum。我们强调需要对这两个物种进行整个线粒体基因组测序,以解决正在进行的争议。此外,我们建议在两个物种之间进行交配和杂种生存能力研究,以确认它们的生殖隔离。
    BACKGROUND: Amblyomma spp. ticks, known for their long mouthparts, bright ornate appearance and aggressive hunting behaviour, are vectors of a number of important pathogens. In southern Africa, 17 Amblyomma spp. are currently documented. Of these species, Amblyomma hebraeum and Amblyomma variegatum have been well studied due to their wide geographical range and their status as competent vectors of pathogens that are of veterinary and medical importance. Studies on other Amblyomma spp. in southern Africa have been neglected, fostering ongoing debates on the validity of certain species such as Amblyomma pomposum. This study investigated the inter- and intra-species variation of Amblyomma ticks collected in southern Africa, focusing on resolving the dispute about A. pomposum and A. variegatum being distinct species.
    METHODS: Four Amblyomma tick species were collected from Angola, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe, and were identified morphologically as Amblyomma eburneum (208), A. hebraeum (4758), A. pomposum (191) and A. variegatum (2577) using identification keys. Gene amplification targeting the 12S and 16S rRNA, cytochrome oxidase I, cytochrome B and internal transcribed spacer-2 genes was conducted for 204 ticks, for which varying success was achieved during amplification for each of the markers. Maximum likelihood analyses were performed in IQ-TREE.
    RESULTS: The phylogenetic topologies and ABGD analyses of each individual gene clustered A. pomposum within the A. variegatum clade, while clearly separating A. eburneum and A. hebraeum from all other species. None of the genetic markers indicated intraspecific structuring on the basis of geographical origin, despite great distances between sampling sites.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study concludes that there is insufficient molecular evidence to differentiate A. pomposum and A. variegatum from each other. We highlight the need for whole mitochondrial genome sequencing of these two species to resolve the ongoing controversies. Furthermore, we propose mating and hybrid viability studies between the two species to confirm their reproductive isolation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:东部地区的艾滋病毒流行率和发病率有所下降,中央,南部非洲(ECSA)但在女性性工作者(FSW)中仍然很高。性工作者计划有可能大大增加获得艾滋病毒检测的机会,预防,和治疗。我们旨在通过模拟性工作者计划在两种不同强度下对艾滋病毒发病率和关键健康结果的潜在影响来量化这些改善。并评估这些方案的潜在成本效益,以帮助为艾滋病毒政策决定提供信息。
    方法:使用以前用于审查ECSA政策决定的模型,我们假设低强度性工作者计划从2010年一直持续到2023年;这导致FSW中的护理劣势减少,还增加了测试,使用避孕套,并愿意采取暴露前预防(PrEP)。2023年之后,考虑了三种政策选择:中止,延续,并将该计划扩大到高强度,会有更广泛的影响,对避孕套使用的影响更大,抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)依从性,测试,和PrEP使用。关键结果的输出(被诊断为艾滋病毒的FSW百分比,关于艺术,和病毒抑制;没有共管伙伴的FSW百分比,和艾滋病毒发病率)在2030年进行了比较。性工作者方案具有成本效益的最高费用是在50年的时间内和1000万成年人的背景下计算的。从医疗保健的角度进行了成本效益分析;成本和残疾调整后的生命年都被折现为每年3%的美元值。
    结果:与在2030年之前继续低强度性工作者计划相比,终止该计划的结果是诊断出的FSW百分比较低(中位数88·75%vs91·37%;与继续低强度计划[90%范围]2·03[-4·49至10·98]相比的中位数差异),被诊断为目前正在服用ART的患者比例较低(86·35%vs88·89%;2·38[-3·69至13·42]),和低比例的FSWART病毒抑制(87·49%比88·96%;1·17[-6·81至11·53])。停止低强度计划还导致FSW中的HIV发病率从每100人年5·06(100p-y;90%的范围为0·52至22·21)增加到每100p-y4·05(0·21至21·15)。相反,将直到2030年的高强度性工作者计划与中止该计划进行比较,诊断出的FSW百分比更高(中位数为95·81%vs88·75;与中止相比的中位数差异[90%范围]6·36[0·60至18·63]),ART(93·93vs86.35%;中位数差异7·13[-0·65至26·48]),和病毒抑制(93·21%vs87·49;中位数差异7·13[-0·65至26·48])。高强度计划还导致FSWs中的HIV发病率下降到每100p-y2·23(0·00至14·44),如果该计划停止,则从每100页的5·06(0·52到22·21)。在50年期间有1000万成年人,每个残疾调整生命年的成本效益门槛为500美元,每年可以花费3400万美元用于高强度计划,以具有成本效益。
    结论:性工作者计划,即使是低水平的干预,对FSW的关键输出有积极影响。高强度计划的效果要高得多;FSW和普通人群中的艾滋病毒发病率可以大大减少,并应由决策者考虑实施。
    背景:惠康信托基金。
    BACKGROUND: HIV prevalence and incidence has declined in East, Central, and Southern Africa (ECSA), but remains high among female sex workers (FSWs). Sex worker programmes have the potential to considerably increase access to HIV testing, prevention, and treatment. We aimed to quantify these improvements by modelling the potential effect of sex worker programmes at two different intensities on HIV incidence and key health outcomes, and assessed the programmes\' potential cost-effectiveness in order to help inform HIV policy decisions.
    METHODS: Using a model previously used to review policy decisions in ECSA, we assumed a low-intensity sex worker programme had run from 2010 until 2023; this resulted in care disadvantages among FSWs being reduced, and also increased testing, condom use, and willingness to take pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). After 2023, three policy options were considered: discontinuation, continuation, and a scale-up of the programme to high-intensity, which would have a broader reach, and higher influences on condom use, antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence, testing, and PrEP use. Outputs of the key outcomes (the percentage of FSWs who were diagnosed with HIV, on ART, and virally suppressed; the percentage of FSWs with zero condomless partners, and HIV incidence) were compared in 2030. The maximum cost for a sex worker programme to be cost-effective was calculated over a 50-year time period and in the context of 10 million adults. The cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted from a health-care perspective; costs and disability-adjusted life-years were both discounted to present US$ values at 3% per annum.
    RESULTS: Compared with continuing a low-intensity sex worker programme until 2030, discontinuation of the programme was calculated to result in a lower percentage of FSWs diagnosed (median 88·75% vs 91·37%; median difference compared to continuation of a low-intensity programme [90% range] 2·03 [-4·49 to 10·98]), a lower percentage of those diagnosed currently taking ART (86·35% vs 88·89%; 2·38 [-3·69 to 13·42]), and a lower percentage of FSWs on ART with viral suppression (87·49% vs 88·96%; 1·17 [-6·81 to 11·53]). Discontinuation of a low-intensity programme also resulted in an increase in HIV incidence among FSWs from 5·06 per 100 person-years (100 p-y; 90% range 0·52 to 22·21) to 4·05 per 100 p-y (0·21 to 21·15). Conversely, comparing a high-intensity sex worker programme until 2030 with discontinuation of the programme resulted in a higher percentage of FSWs diagnosed (median 95·81% vs 88·75; median difference compared to discontinuation [90% range] 6·36 [0·60 to 18·63]), on ART (93·93 vs 86.35%; median difference 7·13 [-0·65 to 26·48]), and with viral suppression (93·21% vs 87·49; median difference 7·13 [-0·65 to 26·48]). A high-intensity programme also resulted in HIV incidence in FSWs declining to 2·23 per 100 p-y (0·00 to 14·44), from 5·06 per 100 p-y (0·52 to 22·21) if the programme was discontinued. In the context of 10 million adults over a 50-year time period and a cost-effectiveness threshold of US$500 per disability-adjusted life-year averted, $34 million per year can be spent for a high-intensity programme to be cost-effective.
    CONCLUSIONS: A sex worker programme, even with low-level interventions, has a positive effect on key outputs for FSWs. A high-intensity programme has a considerably higher effect; HIV incidence among FSW and in the general population can be substantially reduced, and should be considered for implementation by policy makers.
    BACKGROUND: Wellcome Trust.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在欧洲,大多数HTLV-1感染的个体来自西印度群岛等高度流行的地区,撒哈拉以南非洲,和南美洲。欧洲唯一真正的HTLV-1流行地区是罗马尼亚,罗马尼亚患者中有ATL系列报道。我们的目标是根据对罗马尼亚人HTLV-1遗传多样性的研究,更好地了解这种特有重点的起源。DNA是从11个无关的罗马尼亚裔HTLV-1感染个体的PBMC/血沉棕黄层中获得的。其中包括9例ATL病例和2例无症状携带者。获得所有样本的LTR序列。在10个样本上使用四个PCR系列获得完整的基因组HTLV-1序列。使用HTLV-1原型序列和新产生的序列从多个比对产生系统发育树。大多数完整的LTR序列(756-bp)显示低核苷酸多样性,从0%到0.8%的差异,并且与以前唯一表征的罗马尼亚菌株密切相关(差异小于0.8%),RKI2.一株,ROU7,与其他略有不同(平均1.5%)。对部分LTR和完整基因组的系统发育分析表明,这11条序列属于HTLV-1a世界性基因型,其中10条属于先前命名的a-TC莫桑比克-南部非洲A亚组。在这项研究中,我们证明,罗马尼亚的HTLV-1很可能起源于南部非洲。由于大多数罗马尼亚HTLV-1菌株非常密切相关,我们可以假设HTLV-1最近被引入罗马尼亚人口中。正在进行进一步的研究,以破译这些HTLV-1菌株的到达和传播途径,到目前为止,这种地方性焦点出现在中欧。
    In Europe, most HTLV-1-infected individuals originate from highly endemic regions such as West Indies, sub-Saharan Africa, and South America. The only genuine endemic region for HTLV-1 in Europe is Romania where ATL series have been reported among Romanian patients. Our objective is to better understand the origin of this endemic focus based on a study of the genetic diversity of HTLV-1 in Romanians. DNA was obtained from PBMCs/buffy coats of 11 unrelated HTLV-1-infected individuals of Romanian origin. They include 9 ATL cases and 2 asymptomatic carriers. LTR sequences were obtained for all specimens. Complete genomic HTLV-1 sequences were obtained using four PCR series on 10 specimens. Phylogenetic trees were generated from multiple alignments using HTLV-1 prototypic sequences and the new generated sequences. Most of the complete LTR sequences (756-bp) showed low nucleotide diversity, ranging from 0% to 0.8% difference, and were closely related (less than 0.8% divergence) to the only previously characterized Romanian strain, RKI2. One strain, ROU7, diverged slightly (1.5% on average) from the others. Phylogenetic analyses both on partial LTR and the complete genome demonstrate that the 11 sequences belong to the HTLV-1a cosmopolitan genotype and 10 of them belong to the previously denominated a-TC Mozambique-Southern Africa A subgroup. In this study, we demonstrated that the HTLV-1 present in Romania most probably originated in Southern Africa. As most Romanian HTLV-1 strains are very closely related, we can assume that HTLV-1 has been introduced into the Romanian population recently. Further studies are ongoing to decipher the routes of arrival and dissemination of these HTLV-1 strains, and to date the emergence of this endemic focus in Central Europe.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:非洲许多地区缺乏高质量的全面民事登记和生命统计系统,导致该地区死亡原因的经验数据很少。我们的目标是使用口头尸检数据来提供比较,对东部和南部非洲青少年和成人中特定原因死亡率的基于人群的估计。
    方法:在本监测研究中,我们协调了肯尼亚九个健康和人口监测系统(HDSS)站点的口头尸检和居住数据,马拉维,坦桑尼亚,南非,乌干达,津巴布韦,从1995年1月1日至2019年12月31日,每个保险范围都是可变的。我们包括所有12岁或以上的青少年和成年人的死亡,他们是研究地点的居民,并进行了口头尸检。InSilicoVA,一个概率模型,用于根据口头尸检中报告的体征和症状来分配死亡原因。计算了全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率以及特定原因死亡率的水平和趋势,按HDSS站点分层,性别,年龄,和日历周期。
    结果:在研究期间,在9个地点的1071913名个体中报告了52484例死亡和5157802人年。47961例(91·4%)死亡病例进行了口头尸检,其中46570人(97·1%)被指定为死因。在此期间,整个HDSS站点的全因死亡率普遍下降,特别是20-59岁的成年人。在许多HDSS网站中,这些减少是由于艾滋病毒和结核病相关死亡人数减少所致.在2010-14年度,死亡的主要原因是:道路交通事故,艾滋病毒或结核病,青少年(12-19岁)的脑膜炎或败血症;20-59岁的成年人的艾滋病毒或结核病;60岁及以上的成年人的肿瘤和心血管疾病。与成年人相比,青少年的死亡原因在HDSS之间和性别之间的差异更大。
    结论:这项研究显示了东部和南部非洲在降低死亡率方面取得的进展,但也强调了年龄,性别,在HDSS内,以及青少年和成人死亡原因的HDSS之间的差异。这些发现强调了详细的当地数据的重要性,以告知健康需求,以确保生存的持续改善。
    背景:美国国立卫生研究院国家儿童健康与人类发展研究所。
    BACKGROUND: The absence of high-quality comprehensive civil registration and vital statistics systems across many settings in Africa has led to little empirical data on causes of death in the region. We aimed to use verbal autopsy data to provide comparative, population-based estimates of cause-specific mortality among adolescents and adults in eastern and southern Africa.
    METHODS: In this surveillance study, we harmonised verbal autopsy and residency data from nine health and demographic surveillance system (HDSS) sites in Kenya, Malawi, Tanzania, South Africa, Uganda, and Zimbabwe, each with variable coverage from Jan 1, 1995, to Dec 31, 2019. We included all deaths to adolescents and adults aged 12 or over that were residents of the study sites and had a verbal autopsy conducted. InSilicoVA, a probabilistic model, was used to assign cause of death on the basis of the signs and symptoms reported in the verbal autopsy. Levels and trends in all-cause and cause-specific mortality rates and cause-specific mortality fractions were calculated, stratified by HDSS site, sex, age, and calendar periods.
    RESULTS: 52 484 deaths and 5 157 802 person-years were reported among 1 071 913 individuals across the nine sites during the study period. 47 961 (91·4%) deaths had a verbal autopsy, of which 46 570 (97·1%) were assigned a cause of death. All-cause mortality generally decreased across the HDSS sites during this period, particularly for adults aged 20-59 years. In many of the HDSS sites, these decreases were driven by reductions in HIV and tuberculosis-related deaths. In 2010-14, the top causes of death were: road traffic accidents, HIV or tuberculosis, and meningitis or sepsis in adolescents (12-19 years); HIV or tuberculosis in adults aged 20-59 years; and neoplasms and cardiovascular disease in adults aged 60 years and older. There was greater between-HDSS and between-sex variation in causes of death for adolescents compared with adults.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study shows progress in reducing mortality across eastern and southern Africa but also highlights age, sex, within-HDSS, and between-HDSS differences in causes of adolescent and adult deaths. These findings highlight the importance of detailed local data to inform health needs to ensure continued improvements in survival.
    BACKGROUND: National Institute of Child Health and Human Development of the US National Institutes of Health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    全球变暖显著改变了海洋中鱼类的分布格局,向高纬度和更深的水域转移。这在高纬度海洋生态系统中尤其重要,气候驱动的环境变化以高于全球平均水平的速度发生。物种分布模型(SDM)越来越多地用于预测海洋物种对气候变化的栖息地适应性的分布变化。这里,我们使用SDM来预测一系列高纬度地区的栖息地适宜性变化,中上层和底栖商品鱼类和甲壳类动物(10种);从1850年到两个未来的气候变化情景(SSP1-2.6:低气候强迫;SSP5-8.5:高气候强迫)。该研究包括11个横跨南美洲的大型海洋生态系统(LME),南部非洲,澳大利亚,和新西兰。我们确定了大多数物种在合适的栖息地区域的下降和南移模式,特别是在SSP5-8.5的情况下,对于某些物种,例如南美的阿根廷哈克(Merlucciushubbsi),或南非附近的斯诺克(Thyrsitesatun)。地理限制可能会导致来自南部非洲的物种,澳大利亚,由于海面温度(SST)上升,新西兰面临最明显的栖息地损失。相比之下,南美物种可能会遇到更大的向南迁移的机会。此外,SSP5-8.5情景预测,与其他地区相比,南美将更加环境稳定。总的来说,我们的研究结果表明,巴塔哥尼亚架子可以作为气候避难所,由于更高的环境稳定性,突出了该地区积极管理策略对物种保护的重要性。这项研究大大有助于渔业和养护管理,为南半球未来的保护工作提供有价值的见解。
    Global warming has significantly altered fish distribution patterns in the ocean, shifting towards higher latitudes and deeper waters. This is particularly relevant in high-latitude marine ecosystems, where climate-driven environmental changes are occurring at higher rates than the global average. Species Distribution Models (SDMs) are increasingly being used for predicting distributional shifts in habitat suitability for marine species as a response to climate change. Here, we used SDMs to project habitat suitability changes for a range of high-latitude, pelagic and benthopelagic commercial fish species and crustaceans (10 species); from 1850 to two future climate change scenarios (SSP1-2.6: low climate forcing; and SSP5-8.5: high climate forcing). The study includes 11 Large Marine Ecosystems (LME) spanning South America, Southern Africa, Australia, and New Zealand. We identified declining and southward-shifting patterns in suitable habitat areas for most species, particularly under the SSP5-8.5 scenario and for some species such as Argentine hake (Merluccius hubbsi) in South America, or snoek (Thyrsites atun) off Southern Africa. Geographical constraints will likely result in species from Southern Africa, Australia, and New Zealand facing the most pronounced habitat losses due to rising sea surface temperatures (SST). In contrast, South American species might encounter greater opportunities for migrating southward. Additionally, the SSP5-8.5 scenario predicts that South America will be more environmentally stable compared to other regions. Overall, our findings suggest that the Patagonian shelf could serve as a climate refuge, due to higher environmental stability highlighting the importance of proactive management strategies in this area for species conservation. This study significantly contributes to fisheries and conservation management, providing valuable insights for future protection efforts in the Southern Hemisphere.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究的目的是评估儿童的结局,据报道,青少年和感染艾滋病毒的年轻人失去了随访,正确的儿童死亡率估计,青少年和年轻的艾滋病毒感染者在那些未确定的结果的随访(LTFU)基于追踪和联系数据分别使用国际流行病学数据库的数据评估南部非洲的艾滋病。
    方法:我们纳入了来自两个不同儿童群体的数据,青少年和年轻人感染艾滋病毒;(1)儿童临床数据,来自莱索托的青少年和年龄≤24岁的艾滋病毒感染者,马拉维,莫桑比克,赞比亚和津巴布韦;(2)儿童临床数据,来自南非西开普省(WC)的年龄≤14岁的HIV青少年。失去随访的患者的结果可从(1)追踪研究和(2)与健康信息交换的联系中获得。对于这两个群体来说,我们比较了校正所有儿童死亡率估计的六种方法,青少年和年轻人感染艾滋病毒。
    结果:我们发现儿童死亡率估计值存在很大差异,据报道,青少年和感染艾滋病毒的年轻成年人失去了随访,而不是那些被保留在护理中的人.在失踪和可追溯的儿童中,确定的死亡率更高,青少年和年轻人感染艾滋病毒,丢失和链接的比例低于保留在护理中的比例(死亡率:13.4%[追踪]vs.12.6%[保留-其他南部非洲国家];3.4%[挂钩]与9.4%[保留-WC])。后续儿童的损失比例很高,在追踪和关联样本中,青少年和年轻的艾滋病毒感染者自我转移(21.0%和47.0%),分别。从ART开始的2年,在追踪(6.0%)和链接(4.0%)方法的所有方法中,未校正的非信息审查方法产生的死亡率估计最低。在使用确定数据的校正方法中,多重归责,纳入确定的数据(MI(ASC.)和逻辑权重的逆概率加权对于跟踪方法是最稳健的。相比之下,对于联系方法,MI(ASC。)是最健壮的。
    结论:我们的研究结果强调,随访失败是不可忽视的,并且追踪和链接都改善了结果的确定:追踪发现了报告为随访失败的患者的大量死亡率,而链接并没有识别出设施外的死亡,但表明,报告为后续行动失败的人中有很大一部分是自我转移。
    OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to assess the outcomes of children, adolescents and young adults with HIV reported as lost to follow-up, correct mortality estimates for children, adolescents and young adults with HIV for unascertained outcomes in those loss to follow-up (LTFU) based on tracing and linkage data separately using data from the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS in Southern Africa.
    METHODS: We included data from two different populations of children, adolescents and young adults with HIV; (1) clinical data from children, adolescents and young adults with HIV aged ≤24 years from Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe; (2) clinical data from children, adolescents and young adults with HIV aged ≤14 years from the Western Cape (WC) in South Africa. Outcomes of patients lost to follow-up were available from (1) a tracing study and (2) linkage to a health information exchange. For both populations, we compared six methods for correcting mortality estimates for all children, adolescents and young adults with HIV.
    RESULTS: We found substantial variations of mortality estimates among children, adolescents and young adults with HIV reported as lost to follow-up versus those retained in care. Ascertained mortality was higher among lost and traceable children, adolescents and young adults with HIV and lower among lost and linkable than those retained in care (mortality: 13.4% [traced] vs. 12.6% [retained-other Southern Africa countries]; 3.4% [linked] vs. 9.4% [retained-WC]). A high proportion of lost to follow-up children, adolescents and young adults with HIV had self-transferred (21.0% and 47.0%) in the traced and linked samples, respectively. The uncorrected method of non-informative censoring yielded the lowest mortality estimates among all methods for both tracing (6.0%) and linkage (4.0%) approaches at 2 years from ART start. Among corrected methods using ascertained data, multiple imputation, incorporating ascertained data (MI(asc.)) and inverse probability weighting with logistic weights were most robust for the tracing approach. In contrast, for the linkage approach, MI(asc.) was the most robust.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our findings emphasise that lost to follow-up is non-ignorable and both tracing and linkage improved outcome ascertainment: tracing identified substantial mortality in those reported as lost to follow-up, whereas linkage did not identify out-of-facility deaths, but showed that a large proportion of those reported as lost to follow-up were self-transfers.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    两个新的Psilocybe物种(女膜黄芪科),P.ingeli和P.maluti,来自南部非洲。形态和系统发育被用来将这两种新真菌与该属的近亲分开。Psilocybeingeli在南非Kwa-ZuluNatal省的富含牛粪的草原上发现了结果,与其最接近的亲缘关系。keralensis和其他内部转录间隔区ITS1-5.8S-ITS2,部分28SnucrDNA,和翻译延伸因子1-α区,分布,并有较大的担子孢子。同样,P.maluti是从南非自由州省收集的,并在莱索托王国观察到,在牛粪上生长.一个切屑样毛发,地理分布,相同DNA区域中的差异将马鲁蒂假单胞菌与其最接近的近亲假单胞菌区分开。此外,孢子传播和传统,这里讨论了马鲁蒂的灵性使用。
    Two new Psilocybe species (Hymenogastraceae), P. ingeli and P. maluti, are described from southern Africa. Morphology and phylogeny were used to separate the two novel fungi from their closest relatives in the genus. Psilocybe ingeli was found fruiting on bovine manure-enriched grasslands in the Kwa-Zulu Natal Province of South Africa and differs from its closest relative P. keralensis and others in the internal transcribed spacer ITS1-5.8S-ITS2, partial 28S nuc rDNA, and translation elongation factor 1-alpha regions, distribution, and having larger basidiospores. Similarly, P. maluti was collected from the Free State Province of South Africa and observed in the Kingdom of Lesotho, growing on bovine manure. A secotioid pileus, geographic distribution, and differences in the same DNA regions distinguish P. maluti from its closest relative P. chuxiongensis. Furthermore, the spore dispersal and traditional, spiritualistic use of P. maluti are discussed here.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    而耳朵,鼻子,咽喉(ENT)疾病对全球健康构成重大威胁,对南部非洲耳鼻喉科服务的全面审查仍然很少。
    本范围审查提供了长达十年的南部非洲耳鼻喉科服务概述,并确定了医疗保健提供方面的差距。从目前的文献来看,我们希望提供基于证据的建议,以减轻资源有限的ENT服务所面临的挑战.
    PubMed,WebofScience,EBSCOhost,科克伦图书馆,科克伦图书馆,还有Scopus.
    在几个数据库中,我们对南部非洲耳鼻喉科服务的定量和定性研究进行了全面的文献检索,2014年1月1日至2024年2月27日发布。从分析的研究中提取的数据被总结为主题。
    最终分析中包含的14项研究中的四个主题描述了南部非洲现有的ENT服务:1。劳动力稀缺和知识不足,2.ENT基础设施的缺陷,设备,和药物,3.耳鼻喉科疾病筛查不足,管理,康复和4。缺乏远程医疗技术。
    南部非洲耳鼻喉科卫生服务面临许多疾病筛查,治疗,和康复挑战,包括严重的劳动力短缺,设备,和药物。这些挑战,阻碍患者获得耳鼻喉科医疗保健,可以通过实施深思熟虑的政策来培训更多的劳动力来有效地解决,增加ENT对设备和药物的资助,促进远程健康,并降低患者的护理成本。
    主要发现:耳朵,南部非洲的鼻喉(ENT)医疗保健面临劳动力严重短缺,设备,和疾病筛查药物,治疗和康复。增加的知识:在这篇评论中,我们确定了资源有限的南部非洲ENT医疗保健服务中的挑战,并提供了基于证据的建议来缓解这些挑战.全球卫生对政策和行动的影响:在资源有限的世界中改善耳鼻喉科服务的提供需要深思熟虑的政策,以改善卫生工作者的培训,扩大融资和资源可用性,融入新技术,降低患者的护理成本。
    While ear, nose, and throat (ENT) diseases are a substantial threat to global health, comprehensive reviews of ENT services in Southern Africa remain scarce.
    This scoping review provides a decade-long overview of ENT services in Southern Africa and identifies gaps in healthcare provision. From the current literature, we hope to provide evidence-based recommendations to mitigate the challenges faced by the resource-limited ENT service.
    PubMed, Web of Science, EBSCOhost, Cochrane Library, Cochrane Library, and Scopus.
    On several databases, we conducted a comprehensive literature search on both quantitative and qualitative studies on ENT services in Southern Africa, published between 1 January 2014 and 27 February 2024. The extracted data from the analyzed studies was summarized into themes.
    Four themes in the fourteen studies included in the final analysis described the existing ENT services in Southern Africa: 1. Workforce scarcity and knowledge inadequacies, 2. Deficiencies in ENT infrastructure, equipment, and medication, 3. Inadequate ENT disease screening, management, and rehabilitation and 4. A lack of telehealth technology.
    The Southern African ENT health service faces many disease screening, treatment, and rehabilitation challenges, including critical shortages of workforce, equipment, and medication. These challenges, impeding patient access to ENT healthcare, could be effectively addressed by implementing deliberate policies to train a larger workforce, increase ENT funding for equipment and medication, promote telehealth, and reduce the patient cost of care.
    Main findings: Ear, nose and throat (ENT) healthcare in Southern Africa faces critical shortages of workforce, equipment, and medication for disease screening, treatment and rehabilitation.Added knowledge: In this review, we identify challenges in the resource-limited Southern African ENT healthcare provision and provide evidence-based recommendations to mitigate these challenges.Global health impact for policy and action: Improving ENT service delivery in the resource-limited world requires deliberate policies that improve health worker training, expand financing and resource availability, incorporate new technology, and lower patient costs of care.
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