instrumental variables

工具变量
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:胃食管反流病(GERD)和颞下颌关节紊乱(TMD)是相对常见的疾病,具有潜在的因果关系。本研究旨在通过双向孟德尔随机化分析探讨GERD与TMD之间可能的因果关系。
    方法:使用来自大型GWAS数据库的数据,我们进行了双向孟德尔随机化分析,以研究GERD和TMD之间的潜在因果关系.从IEU平台选择工具变量,包括来自英国生物库的129,080例GERD病例和473,524例对照。FinnGen项目的TMD数据包括6,314例病例和222,498例对照。
    结果:前向MR分析提示GERD可能增加TMD的风险(OR=1.47,95%CI:1.20-1.81,P=2e-4)。加权中值方法也产生了显著的结果(OR=1.53,95%CI:1.14-2.04,P=4.1e-3)。然而,反向MR分析未显示TMD与GERD之间存在显著关联(OR=1.02,95%CI:0.98-1.05,P=.33).
    结论:这项研究,采用MR分析,提供了支持GERD和TMD之间潜在因果关系的初步证据。这些发现有助于更好地理解这两种情况之间的关系,并为未来的临床研究提供见解。
    结论:本研究结果对指导GERD的早期治疗策略具有潜在的临床意义。减少TMD的发病率,优化医疗资源配置,从而提高患者的生活质量。需要进一步的临床研究来验证这些发现并探索潜在的机制。
    OBJECTIVE: Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and temporomandibular joint disorder (TMD) are relatively common conditions with a potential causal relationship. This study aims to investigate the possible causal relationship between GERD and TMD through bidirectional Mendelian randomization analysis.
    METHODS: Using data from large GWAS databases, we conducted bidirectional Mendelian randomization analyses to investigate the potential causal link between GERD and TMD. Instrumental variables were selected from the IEU platform, comprising 129,080 GERD cases and 473,524 controls from the UK Biobank. TMD data from the FinnGen project included 6,314 cases and 222,498 controls.
    RESULTS: The forward MR analysis suggested that GERD may increase the risk of TMD (OR = 1.47, 95% CI: 1.20-1.81, P = 2e-4). The Weighted Median method also yielded significant results (OR = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.14-2.04, P = 4.1e-3). However, the reverse MR analysis did not reveal a significant association between TMD and GERD (OR = 1.02, 95% CI: 0.98-1.05, P = .33).
    CONCLUSIONS: This study, employing MR analysis, provides initial evidence supporting a potential causal relationship between GERD and TMD. The findings contribute to a better understanding of the relationship between these two conditions and offer insights for future clinical investigations.
    CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study hold potential clinical significance in guiding early management strategies for GERD, reducing the incidence of TMD, and optimizing healthcare resource allocation, thereby improving patient quality of life. Further clinical studies are warranted to validate these findings and explore underlying mechanisms.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    多变量孟德尔随机化允许同时估计多个暴露变量对结果的直接因果影响。当感兴趣的暴露变量是定量的组学特征时,获得完整的数据可能在经济和技术上都具有挑战性:测量成本很高,并且测量装置可以具有固有的检测极限。在本文中,在单样本多变量孟德尔随机化分析中,我们提出了一种有效且有效的方法来处理暴露变量的未测量和不可检测值。我们使用最大似然估计来估计直接因果效应,并开发了一种期望最大化算法来计算估计器。我们通过模拟研究展示了所提出方法的优势,并为西班牙裔社区健康研究/拉丁美洲人研究提供了应用,其中有大量未测量的暴露数据。
    Multivariable Mendelian randomization allows simultaneous estimation of direct causal effects of multiple exposure variables on an outcome. When the exposure variables of interest are quantitative omic features, obtaining complete data can be economically and technically challenging: the measurement cost is high, and the measurement devices may have inherent detection limits. In this paper, we propose a valid and efficient method to handle unmeasured and undetectable values of the exposure variables in a one-sample multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis with individual-level data. We estimate the direct causal effects with maximum likelihood estimation and develop an expectation-maximization algorithm to compute the estimators. We show the advantages of the proposed method through simulation studies and provide an application to the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos, which has a large amount of unmeasured exposure data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:PM2.5可诱发和加重心血管疾病的发生和发展。我们研究的目的是使用工具变量(IVs)方法估计PM2.5对与CVD相关的死亡率的因果影响。
    方法:我们提取了每日气象,滨州市2016-2020年PM2.5和CVD死亡数据。随后,我们采用了一般加法模型(GAM),两阶段预测因子替换(2SPS),和控制功能(CFN)分析PM2.5与每日CVD死亡率之间的关系。
    结果:2SPS估计PM2.5与每日CVD死亡率之间的关联为1.14%(95%CI:1.04%,1.14%),PM2.5每增加10µg/m3。同时,CFN估计这一关联为1.05%(95%CI:1.02%,1.10%)。GAM估计为0.85%(95%CI:0.77%,1.05%)。PM2.5对缺血性心脏病患者的死亡率也表现出统计学上的显着影响,心肌梗塞,或脑血管意外(P<0.05)。然而,PM2.5与高血压之间没有显著关联.
    结论:PM2.5与每日CVD死亡(不包括高血压)显著相关。IV方法的估计值略高于GAM。先前基于GAM的研究可能低估了PM2.5对CVD的影响。
    BACKGROUND: PM2.5 can induce and aggravate the occurrence and development of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). The objective of our study is to estimate the causal effect of PM2.5 on mortality rates associated with CVDs using the instrumental variables (IVs) method.
    METHODS: We extracted daily meteorological, PM2.5 and CVDs death data from 2016 to 2020 in Binzhou. Subsequently, we employed the general additive model (GAM), two-stage predictor substitution (2SPS), and control function (CFN) to analyze the association between PM2.5 and daily CVDs mortality.
    RESULTS: The 2SPS estimated the association between PM2.5 and daily CVDs mortality as 1.14% (95% CI: 1.04%, 1.14%) for every 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5. Meanwhile, the CFN estimated this association to be 1.05% (95% CI: 1.02%, 1.10%). The GAM estimated it as 0.85% (95% CI: 0.77%, 1.05%). PM2.5 also exhibited a statistically significant effect on the mortality rate of patients with ischaemic heart disease, myocardial infarction, or cerebrovascular accidents (P < 0.05). However, no significant association was observed between PM2.5 and hypertension.
    CONCLUSIONS: PM2.5 was significantly associated with daily CVDs deaths (excluding hypertension). The estimates from the IVs method were slightly higher than those from the GAM. Previous studies based on GAM may have underestimated the impact of PM2.5 on CVDs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    当辅助变量与误差项相关时,就会出现内生性问题。在这种情况下,适当的工具变量确保有效的估计。校准已将自己视为大规模估算调查抽样中人口总数的重要方法工具。在存在内生性的情况下,这并不能提供有效的估计。当辅助变量中存在内生性时,由于不适当的模型假设,使用内生辅助变量的校准可能会产生偏差并增加方差。在这篇文章中,我们通过使用经典的工具变量方法来提出工具变量校准估计器,用于精确识别的情况,当一些辅助变量是内生的时,这种方法比传统的校准估计器更有效。给出了所提出的估计量的必要性质。我们的研究得到了模拟研究和真实数据示例的支持,以检查所提出的估计器的性能。
    The endogeneity problem arises when the auxiliary variables correlate to the error terms. In such cases, appropriate instrumental variables ensure efficient estimation. Calibration has recognized itself as an important methodological tool at a large scale to estimate the population total in survey sampling. Which does not offer efficient estimation in the presence of endogeneity. When endogeneity is present in the auxiliary variables, the calibration using endogenous auxiliary variables may produce biasedness and increase variance due to inappropriate model assumptions. In this article, we propose instrumental-variable calibrated estimators by using the classical instrumental-variables approach for the case of exact identification that are more efficient than conventional calibration estimators when some auxiliary variables are endogenous. The necessary properties of the proposed estimators are presented. Our study is backed by both the simulation study and a real data example to check the performance of the proposed estimators.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    孟德尔随机化(MR)提供了对暴露对结果的因果影响的有价值的评估,然而,应用常规MR方法定位风险基因面临新的挑战。问题之一是表达数量性状基因座(eQTL)作为工具变量(IV)的可用性有限,阻碍了对稀疏因果效应的估计。此外,通常的上下文或组织特异性eQTL效应挑战了在eQTL和GWAS数据中一致的IV效应的MR假设。为了应对这些挑战,我们提出了一个多上下文多变量综合MR框架,mintMR,用于将表达和分子性状定位为联合暴露。它模拟了每个基因区域中多个组织的分子暴露的影响,同时估计多个基因区域。它使用eQTL,在一种以上的组织类型中具有一致的效果作为IV,提高IV的一致性。mintMR的主要创新涉及采用多视图学习方法来共同模拟跨多个组织的疾病相关性的潜在指标,分子性状,和基因区域。多视图学习捕获疾病相关性的主要模式并使用这些模式来更新估计的组织相关性概率。拟议的mintMR在对每个基因区域执行多组织MR和联合学习跨基因区域的疾病相关组织概率之间进行迭代。改进了对跨基因稀疏效应的估计。我们应用mintMR评估35个复杂性状的基因表达和DNA甲基化的因果效应使用多组织QTL作为IVs。拟议的mintMR控制全基因组膨胀,并提供对疾病机制的见解。
    Mendelian randomization (MR) provides valuable assessments of the causal effect of exposure on outcome, yet the application of conventional MR methods for mapping risk genes encounters new challenges. One of the issues is the limited availability of expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) as instrumental variables (IVs), hampering the estimation of sparse causal effects. Additionally, the often context- or tissue-specific eQTL effects challenge the MR assumption of consistent IV effects across eQTL and GWAS data. To address these challenges, we propose a multi-context multivariable integrative MR framework, mintMR, for mapping expression and molecular traits as joint exposures. It models the effects of molecular exposures across multiple tissues in each gene region, while simultaneously estimating across multiple gene regions. It uses eQTLs with consistent effects across more than one tissue type as IVs, improving IV consistency. A major innovation of mintMR involves employing multi-view learning methods to collectively model latent indicators of disease relevance across multiple tissues, molecular traits, and gene regions. The multi-view learning captures the major patterns of disease relevance and uses these patterns to update the estimated tissue relevance probabilities. The proposed mintMR iterates between performing a multi-tissue MR for each gene region and joint learning the disease-relevant tissue probabilities across gene regions, improving the estimation of sparse effects across genes. We apply mintMR to evaluate the causal effects of gene expression and DNA methylation for 35 complex traits using multi-tissue QTLs as IVs. The proposed mintMR controls genome-wide inflation and offers insights into disease mechanisms.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    选择偏差是流行病学研究中普遍关注的问题。在文学中,选择偏差通常被视为缺失数据的问题。流行的方法来调整由于数据缺失导致的偏差,例如逆概率加权,依赖于数据随机缺失的假设,如果违反了这个假设,可能会产生有偏差的结果。在结果数据不是随机缺失的观察性研究中,Heckman的样本选择模型可用于调整数据缺失导致的偏差。在本文中,我们回顾了Heckman的方法和TchetgenTchetgen和Wirth(2017)提出的类似方法。然后,我们讨论如何使用个体水平的数据将这些方法应用于孟德尔随机化分析,缺少暴露或结果或两者的数据。我们探索与参与相关的遗传变异是否可以用作选择工具。然后,我们描述了如何获得错误调整的Wald比率,两阶段最小二乘和逆方差加权估计。在仿真中对这两种方法进行了评估和比较,结果表明,它们都可以减轻选择偏差,但在某些情况下可能会产生具有较大标准误差的参数估计。在一个说明性的真实数据应用程序中,我们使用来自Avon父母和儿童纵向研究的数据,调查体重指数对吸烟的影响.
    Selection bias is a common concern in epidemiologic studies. In the literature, selection bias is often viewed as a missing data problem. Popular approaches to adjust for bias due to missing data, such as inverse probability weighting, rely on the assumption that data are missing at random and can yield biased results if this assumption is violated. In observational studies with outcome data missing not at random, Heckman\'s sample selection model can be used to adjust for bias due to missing data. In this paper, we review Heckman\'s method and a similar approach proposed by Tchetgen Tchetgen and Wirth (2017). We then discuss how to apply these methods to Mendelian randomization analyses using individual-level data, with missing data for either the exposure or outcome or both. We explore whether genetic variants associated with participation can be used as instruments for selection. We then describe how to obtain missingness-adjusted Wald ratio, two-stage least squares and inverse variance weighted estimates. The two methods are evaluated and compared in simulations, with results suggesting that they can both mitigate selection bias but may yield parameter estimates with large standard errors in some settings. In an illustrative real-data application, we investigate the effects of body mass index on smoking using data from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    体重指数和肥胖对健康和劳动力市场结果的影响的估计通常使用工具变量估计(IV)来减轻由于内生性造成的偏差。当这些研究依赖于包括自我或代理报告的身高和体重在内的调查数据时,由于个人倾向于低估自己的体重,因此存在非经典测量误差。权重的平均回复误差不会导致IV本身渐近偏置,但如果仪器与重量的加性误差相关,可能会导致偏差。我们证明了存在非经典测量误差时IV有偏差的条件,并以仪器强度和均值回复误差的严重程度为条件得出该偏差的界限。我们证明,单靠仪器相关性的改进不能消除IV偏差,但是降低权重和报告错误之间的相关性可以减轻偏差。我们考虑的解决方案是使用外部验证数据对内生变量进行回归校准(RC)。在模拟中,我们发现,如果正确指定,与RC配对的IV估计可以产生一致的估计。即使RC无法匹配报告错误的协方差结构,渐近偏差仍然有所减少。
    Estimates of the impact of body mass index and obesity on health and labor market outcomes often use instrumental variables estimation (IV) to mitigate bias due to endogeneity. When these studies rely on survey data that include self- or proxy-reported height and weight, there is non-classical measurement error due to the tendency of individuals to under-report their own weight. Mean reverting errors in weight do not cause IV to be asymptotically biased per se, but may result in bias if instruments are correlated with additive error in weight. We demonstrate the conditions under which IV is biased when there is non-classical measurement error and derive bounds for this bias conditional on instrument strength and the severity of mean-reverting error. We show that improvements in instrument relevance alone cannot eliminate IV bias, but reducing the correlation between weight and reporting error mitigates the bias. A solution we consider is regression calibration (RC) of endogenous variables with external validation data. In simulations, we find IV estimation paired with RC can produce consistent estimates when correctly specified. Even when RC fails to match the covariance structure of reporting error, there is still a reduction in asymptotic bias.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究分析了教育质量对人均GDP和受教育程度的影响,使用工具变量(IV)模型。调查结果揭示了教育投资促进经济增长和发展的潜力,强调有针对性干预的重要性,教师培训,和数据驱动的方法,以改善教育成果和减少获取差距。政策制定者和国际组织可以利用这些见解来制定与可持续发展目标4(SDG4)相一致的战略,即确保为所有人提供包容性和公平的教育。可能有助于实现这一关键目标。
    This research analyzes the impact of education quality on GDP per capita and educational access, using instrumental variables (IV) models. The findings shed light on the potential of education investment to foster economic growth and development, highlighting the importance of targeted interventions, teacher training, and data-driven approaches to improve educational outcomes and reduce access disparities. Policymakers and international organizations can utilize these insights to devise strategies aligned with Sustainable Development Goal 4 (SDG 4) of ensuring inclusive and equitable education for all, potentially contributing to the achievement of this crucial goal.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:证据表明发生继发性卵巢癌(OC)的风险与雌激素受体(ER)状态相关。然而,ER相关乳腺癌(BC)和透明细胞卵巢癌(CCOC)之间的关系的临床意义仍然难以捉摸。
    方法:提取与暴露密切相关的独立单核苷酸多态性(SNPs),使用PhenoScanner数据库删除了与混杂因素和结果相关的因素。从次要等位基因频率>0.01的结果数据集中提取SNP效应作为过滤标准。接下来,有效的工具变量(IVs)是通过协调暴露和结果效应获得的,并根据F统计量(>10)进一步过滤.使用逆方差加权(IVW)进行有效静脉的孟德尔随机化(MR)评估,艾格先生(ME),加权中位数(WM),和乘法随机效应-逆方差加权(MRE-IVW)方法。对于MR发现的敏感性分析和可视化,异质性测试,多效性测试,一次离开测试,散点图,森林地块,和漏斗图被采用。
    结果:所有四种方法的MR分析显示,CCOC与ER阴性BC无因果关系(IVW结果:比值比(OR)=0.89,95%置信区间(CI)=0.66-1.20,P=0.431)或ER阳性BC(IVW结果:OR=0.99,95%CI=0.88-1.12,P=0.901)。计算每个有效IV的F统计量,所有这些都超过了10。敏感性分析证实了结果的稳定性和可靠性。
    结论:我们的研究结果表明,CCOC与ER相关的BC没有因果关系。ER相关BC和CCOC之间没有明确的因果关系,这表明ER相关BC暴露因素对CCOC的真正因果关系最小。这些结果表明,患有ER相关BC的个体可以减轻对CCOC发展的担忧,从而有助于保持他们的精神健康稳定性和优化原发疾病治疗的功效。
    BACKGROUND: Evidence indicates that the risk of developing a secondary ovarian cancer (OC) is correlated with estrogen receptor (ER) status. However, the clinical significance of the relationship between ER-associated breast cancer (BC) and clear cell ovarian cancer (CCOC) remains elusive.
    METHODS: Independent single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) strongly correlated with exposure were extracted, and those associated with confounders and outcomes were removed using the PhenoScanner database. SNP effects were extracted from the outcome datasets with minor allele frequency > 0.01 as the filtration criterion. Next, valid instrumental variables (IVs) were obtained by harmonizing exposure and outcome effects and further filtered based on F-statistics (> 10). Mendelian randomization (MR) assessment of valid IVs was carried out using inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR Egger (ME), weighted median (WM), and multiplicative random effects-inverse variance weighted (MRE-IVW) methods. For sensitivity analysis and visualization of MR findings, a heterogeneity test, a pleiotropy test, a leave-one-out test, scatter plots, forest plots, and funnel plots were employed.
    RESULTS: MR analyses with all four methods revealed that CCOC was not causally associated with ER-negative BC (IVW results: odds ratio (OR) = 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.66-1.20, P = 0.431) or ER-positive BC (IVW results: OR = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.88-1.12, P = 0.901). F-statistics were computed for each valid IV, all of which exceeded 10. The stability and reliability of the results were confirmed by sensitivity analysis.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicated that CCOC dids not have a causal association with ER-associated BC. The absence of a definitive causal link between ER-associated BC and CCOC suggested a minimal true causal influence of ER-associated BC exposure factors on CCOC. These results indicated that individuals afflicted by ER-associated BC could alleviate concerns regarding the developing of CCOC, thereby aiding in preserving their mental well-being stability and optimizing the efficacy of primary disease treatment.
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