instrumental variables

工具变量
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项孟德尔随机化(MR)研究旨在探索10个不同身体部位的四种睡眠特征与疼痛之间的潜在因果关系。
    该研究利用了来自GWAS数据库的暴露和结果数据,采用逆方差加权法(IVW)进行主要因果估计。CochranQ和RückerQ异质性测试使用IVW和MR-Egger方法进行,使用Egger截获方法进行多效性测试,留一法敏感性分析,并计算F统计量,以评估弱仪器偏差的存在。
    这项研究表明,遗传预测的失眠会显著增加不明原因疼痛的风险,胸痛,牙龈疼痛,上腹痛,和下腹痛的发生。白天午睡与关节疼痛的可能性适度降低有关,但可能同时增加胸痛的风险。上腹痛,和全身腹痛。睡眠时间型和睡眠持续时间均未显示与疼痛感知的明确因果关系。
    这项研究阐明了10个不同身体部位的四种睡眠特征与疼痛之间的因果关系。总的来说,失眠和睡眠不足对身体多个部位疼痛的贡献更为明显。相反,充足的睡眠与躯体疼痛的可能性之间的关联相对较低,也较不显著。
    UNASSIGNED: This Mendelian Randomization (MR) study aims to explore the potential causal relationships between four sleep traits and pain in 10 different body sites.
    UNASSIGNED: The study utilizes exposure and outcome data from the GWAS database, employing the Inverse Variance Weighting Method (IVW) for primary causal estimates. Cochran Q and Rücker Q heterogeneity tests are conducted using IVW and MR-Egger methods, with the Egger-intercept method for pleiotropy testing, leave-one-out sensitivity analysis, and calculation of F-statistics to assess the presence of weak instrument bias.
    UNASSIGNED: The study reveals that genetically predicted insomnia significantly increases the risk of unspecified pain, chest pain, gum pain, upper abdominal pain, and lower abdominal pain occurrence. Daytime napping is associated with a moderate reduction in the likelihood of joint pain but may concomitantly elevate the risk of chest pain, upper abdominal pain, and generalized abdominal pain. Neither sleep chronotype nor sleep duration demonstrated a definitive causal relationship with pain perception.
    UNASSIGNED: This study elucidates the causal relationships between four sleep characteristics and pain across 10 different body regions. Overall, the contribution of insomnia and sleep deficiency to pain in multiple body regions is more pronounced. Conversely, the association between adequate sleep and the likelihood of somatic pain is relatively lower and less significant.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    多变量孟德尔随机化允许同时估计多个暴露变量对结果的直接因果影响。当感兴趣的暴露变量是定量的组学特征时,获得完整的数据可能在经济和技术上都具有挑战性:测量成本很高,并且测量装置可以具有固有的检测极限。在本文中,在单样本多变量孟德尔随机化分析中,我们提出了一种有效且有效的方法来处理暴露变量的未测量和不可检测值。我们使用最大似然估计来估计直接因果效应,并开发了一种期望最大化算法来计算估计器。我们通过模拟研究展示了所提出方法的优势,并为西班牙裔社区健康研究/拉丁美洲人研究提供了应用,其中有大量未测量的暴露数据。
    Multivariable Mendelian randomization allows simultaneous estimation of direct causal effects of multiple exposure variables on an outcome. When the exposure variables of interest are quantitative omic features, obtaining complete data can be economically and technically challenging: the measurement cost is high, and the measurement devices may have inherent detection limits. In this paper, we propose a valid and efficient method to handle unmeasured and undetectable values of the exposure variables in a one-sample multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis with individual-level data. We estimate the direct causal effects with maximum likelihood estimation and develop an expectation-maximization algorithm to compute the estimators. We show the advantages of the proposed method through simulation studies and provide an application to the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos, which has a large amount of unmeasured exposure data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:PM2.5可诱发和加重心血管疾病的发生和发展。我们研究的目的是使用工具变量(IVs)方法估计PM2.5对与CVD相关的死亡率的因果影响。
    方法:我们提取了每日气象,滨州市2016-2020年PM2.5和CVD死亡数据。随后,我们采用了一般加法模型(GAM),两阶段预测因子替换(2SPS),和控制功能(CFN)分析PM2.5与每日CVD死亡率之间的关系。
    结果:2SPS估计PM2.5与每日CVD死亡率之间的关联为1.14%(95%CI:1.04%,1.14%),PM2.5每增加10µg/m3。同时,CFN估计这一关联为1.05%(95%CI:1.02%,1.10%)。GAM估计为0.85%(95%CI:0.77%,1.05%)。PM2.5对缺血性心脏病患者的死亡率也表现出统计学上的显着影响,心肌梗塞,或脑血管意外(P<0.05)。然而,PM2.5与高血压之间没有显著关联.
    结论:PM2.5与每日CVD死亡(不包括高血压)显著相关。IV方法的估计值略高于GAM。先前基于GAM的研究可能低估了PM2.5对CVD的影响。
    BACKGROUND: PM2.5 can induce and aggravate the occurrence and development of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). The objective of our study is to estimate the causal effect of PM2.5 on mortality rates associated with CVDs using the instrumental variables (IVs) method.
    METHODS: We extracted daily meteorological, PM2.5 and CVDs death data from 2016 to 2020 in Binzhou. Subsequently, we employed the general additive model (GAM), two-stage predictor substitution (2SPS), and control function (CFN) to analyze the association between PM2.5 and daily CVDs mortality.
    RESULTS: The 2SPS estimated the association between PM2.5 and daily CVDs mortality as 1.14% (95% CI: 1.04%, 1.14%) for every 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5. Meanwhile, the CFN estimated this association to be 1.05% (95% CI: 1.02%, 1.10%). The GAM estimated it as 0.85% (95% CI: 0.77%, 1.05%). PM2.5 also exhibited a statistically significant effect on the mortality rate of patients with ischaemic heart disease, myocardial infarction, or cerebrovascular accidents (P < 0.05). However, no significant association was observed between PM2.5 and hypertension.
    CONCLUSIONS: PM2.5 was significantly associated with daily CVDs deaths (excluding hypertension). The estimates from the IVs method were slightly higher than those from the GAM. Previous studies based on GAM may have underestimated the impact of PM2.5 on CVDs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    当辅助变量与误差项相关时,就会出现内生性问题。在这种情况下,适当的工具变量确保有效的估计。校准已将自己视为大规模估算调查抽样中人口总数的重要方法工具。在存在内生性的情况下,这并不能提供有效的估计。当辅助变量中存在内生性时,由于不适当的模型假设,使用内生辅助变量的校准可能会产生偏差并增加方差。在这篇文章中,我们通过使用经典的工具变量方法来提出工具变量校准估计器,用于精确识别的情况,当一些辅助变量是内生的时,这种方法比传统的校准估计器更有效。给出了所提出的估计量的必要性质。我们的研究得到了模拟研究和真实数据示例的支持,以检查所提出的估计器的性能。
    The endogeneity problem arises when the auxiliary variables correlate to the error terms. In such cases, appropriate instrumental variables ensure efficient estimation. Calibration has recognized itself as an important methodological tool at a large scale to estimate the population total in survey sampling. Which does not offer efficient estimation in the presence of endogeneity. When endogeneity is present in the auxiliary variables, the calibration using endogenous auxiliary variables may produce biasedness and increase variance due to inappropriate model assumptions. In this article, we propose instrumental-variable calibrated estimators by using the classical instrumental-variables approach for the case of exact identification that are more efficient than conventional calibration estimators when some auxiliary variables are endogenous. The necessary properties of the proposed estimators are presented. Our study is backed by both the simulation study and a real data example to check the performance of the proposed estimators.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    孟德尔随机化(MR)提供了对暴露对结果的因果影响的有价值的评估,然而,应用常规MR方法定位风险基因面临新的挑战。问题之一是表达数量性状基因座(eQTL)作为工具变量(IV)的可用性有限,阻碍了对稀疏因果效应的估计。此外,通常的上下文或组织特异性eQTL效应挑战了在eQTL和GWAS数据中一致的IV效应的MR假设。为了应对这些挑战,我们提出了一个多上下文多变量综合MR框架,mintMR,用于将表达和分子性状定位为联合暴露。它模拟了每个基因区域中多个组织的分子暴露的影响,同时估计多个基因区域。它使用eQTL,在一种以上的组织类型中具有一致的效果作为IV,提高IV的一致性。mintMR的主要创新涉及采用多视图学习方法来共同模拟跨多个组织的疾病相关性的潜在指标,分子性状,和基因区域。多视图学习捕获疾病相关性的主要模式并使用这些模式来更新估计的组织相关性概率。拟议的mintMR在对每个基因区域执行多组织MR和联合学习跨基因区域的疾病相关组织概率之间进行迭代。改进了对跨基因稀疏效应的估计。我们应用mintMR评估35个复杂性状的基因表达和DNA甲基化的因果效应使用多组织QTL作为IVs。拟议的mintMR控制全基因组膨胀,并提供对疾病机制的见解。
    Mendelian randomization (MR) provides valuable assessments of the causal effect of exposure on outcome, yet the application of conventional MR methods for mapping risk genes encounters new challenges. One of the issues is the limited availability of expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) as instrumental variables (IVs), hampering the estimation of sparse causal effects. Additionally, the often context- or tissue-specific eQTL effects challenge the MR assumption of consistent IV effects across eQTL and GWAS data. To address these challenges, we propose a multi-context multivariable integrative MR framework, mintMR, for mapping expression and molecular traits as joint exposures. It models the effects of molecular exposures across multiple tissues in each gene region, while simultaneously estimating across multiple gene regions. It uses eQTLs with consistent effects across more than one tissue type as IVs, improving IV consistency. A major innovation of mintMR involves employing multi-view learning methods to collectively model latent indicators of disease relevance across multiple tissues, molecular traits, and gene regions. The multi-view learning captures the major patterns of disease relevance and uses these patterns to update the estimated tissue relevance probabilities. The proposed mintMR iterates between performing a multi-tissue MR for each gene region and joint learning the disease-relevant tissue probabilities across gene regions, improving the estimation of sparse effects across genes. We apply mintMR to evaluate the causal effects of gene expression and DNA methylation for 35 complex traits using multi-tissue QTLs as IVs. The proposed mintMR controls genome-wide inflation and offers insights into disease mechanisms.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究分析了教育质量对人均GDP和受教育程度的影响,使用工具变量(IV)模型。调查结果揭示了教育投资促进经济增长和发展的潜力,强调有针对性干预的重要性,教师培训,和数据驱动的方法,以改善教育成果和减少获取差距。政策制定者和国际组织可以利用这些见解来制定与可持续发展目标4(SDG4)相一致的战略,即确保为所有人提供包容性和公平的教育。可能有助于实现这一关键目标。
    This research analyzes the impact of education quality on GDP per capita and educational access, using instrumental variables (IV) models. The findings shed light on the potential of education investment to foster economic growth and development, highlighting the importance of targeted interventions, teacher training, and data-driven approaches to improve educational outcomes and reduce access disparities. Policymakers and international organizations can utilize these insights to devise strategies aligned with Sustainable Development Goal 4 (SDG 4) of ensuring inclusive and equitable education for all, potentially contributing to the achievement of this crucial goal.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:证据表明发生继发性卵巢癌(OC)的风险与雌激素受体(ER)状态相关。然而,ER相关乳腺癌(BC)和透明细胞卵巢癌(CCOC)之间的关系的临床意义仍然难以捉摸。
    方法:提取与暴露密切相关的独立单核苷酸多态性(SNPs),使用PhenoScanner数据库删除了与混杂因素和结果相关的因素。从次要等位基因频率>0.01的结果数据集中提取SNP效应作为过滤标准。接下来,有效的工具变量(IVs)是通过协调暴露和结果效应获得的,并根据F统计量(>10)进一步过滤.使用逆方差加权(IVW)进行有效静脉的孟德尔随机化(MR)评估,艾格先生(ME),加权中位数(WM),和乘法随机效应-逆方差加权(MRE-IVW)方法。对于MR发现的敏感性分析和可视化,异质性测试,多效性测试,一次离开测试,散点图,森林地块,和漏斗图被采用。
    结果:所有四种方法的MR分析显示,CCOC与ER阴性BC无因果关系(IVW结果:比值比(OR)=0.89,95%置信区间(CI)=0.66-1.20,P=0.431)或ER阳性BC(IVW结果:OR=0.99,95%CI=0.88-1.12,P=0.901)。计算每个有效IV的F统计量,所有这些都超过了10。敏感性分析证实了结果的稳定性和可靠性。
    结论:我们的研究结果表明,CCOC与ER相关的BC没有因果关系。ER相关BC和CCOC之间没有明确的因果关系,这表明ER相关BC暴露因素对CCOC的真正因果关系最小。这些结果表明,患有ER相关BC的个体可以减轻对CCOC发展的担忧,从而有助于保持他们的精神健康稳定性和优化原发疾病治疗的功效。
    BACKGROUND: Evidence indicates that the risk of developing a secondary ovarian cancer (OC) is correlated with estrogen receptor (ER) status. However, the clinical significance of the relationship between ER-associated breast cancer (BC) and clear cell ovarian cancer (CCOC) remains elusive.
    METHODS: Independent single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) strongly correlated with exposure were extracted, and those associated with confounders and outcomes were removed using the PhenoScanner database. SNP effects were extracted from the outcome datasets with minor allele frequency > 0.01 as the filtration criterion. Next, valid instrumental variables (IVs) were obtained by harmonizing exposure and outcome effects and further filtered based on F-statistics (> 10). Mendelian randomization (MR) assessment of valid IVs was carried out using inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR Egger (ME), weighted median (WM), and multiplicative random effects-inverse variance weighted (MRE-IVW) methods. For sensitivity analysis and visualization of MR findings, a heterogeneity test, a pleiotropy test, a leave-one-out test, scatter plots, forest plots, and funnel plots were employed.
    RESULTS: MR analyses with all four methods revealed that CCOC was not causally associated with ER-negative BC (IVW results: odds ratio (OR) = 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.66-1.20, P = 0.431) or ER-positive BC (IVW results: OR = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.88-1.12, P = 0.901). F-statistics were computed for each valid IV, all of which exceeded 10. The stability and reliability of the results were confirmed by sensitivity analysis.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicated that CCOC dids not have a causal association with ER-associated BC. The absence of a definitive causal link between ER-associated BC and CCOC suggested a minimal true causal influence of ER-associated BC exposure factors on CCOC. These results indicated that individuals afflicted by ER-associated BC could alleviate concerns regarding the developing of CCOC, thereby aiding in preserving their mental well-being stability and optimizing the efficacy of primary disease treatment.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近的工作已经提出了回归模型,这些模型在数据收集环境中是不变的[24,20,11,16,8]。这些估计器通常在环境和强加的不变性类型的条件下具有因果解释。最近的一个例子,原因Dantzig(CD),在隐藏的混杂条件下是一致的,并且代表了经典工具变量估计器的替代方法,例如两阶段最小二乘(TSLS)。在这项工作中,我们将CD导出为广义矩量法(GMM)估计器。GMM表示导致了几个实际结果,包括1)创建广义因果Dantzig(GCD)估计器,该估计器可应用于CD无法拟合的连续环境的问题2)混合(GCD-TSLS组合)估计器,其特性优于GCD或TSLS单独3)使用GMM理论的所有方法的简单渐近结果。我们比较CD,GCD,TSLS,和混合估计器在模拟中的应用,以及在流式细胞术数据集的应用。新提出的GCD和混合估计器在许多情况下具有优于现有方法的性能。
    Recent works have proposed regression models which are invariant across data collection environments [24, 20, 11, 16, 8]. These estimators often have a causal interpretation under conditions on the environments and type of invariance imposed. One recent example, the Causal Dantzig (CD), is consistent under hidden confounding and represents an alternative to classical instrumental variable estimators such as Two Stage Least Squares (TSLS). In this work we derive the CD as a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator. The GMM representation leads to several practical results, including 1) creation of the Generalized Causal Dantzig (GCD) estimator which can be applied to problems with continuous environments where the CD cannot be fit 2) a Hybrid (GCD-TSLS combination) estimator which has properties superior to GCD or TSLS alone 3) straightforward asymptotic results for all methods using GMM theory. We compare the CD, GCD, TSLS, and Hybrid estimators in simulations and an application to a Flow Cytometry data set. The newly proposed GCD and Hybrid estimators have superior performance to existing methods in many settings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们考虑在工具变量回归模型中进行假设检验,其中包含的外生协变量很少,但包含的工具很多-可能比观察次数更多。我们证明,在存在异方差的情况下,背扣的Anderson和Rubin(以下简称AR)测试的脊线正则化版本可以控制渐近大小,当仪器可能任意脆弱时。渐近尺寸控制是在比文献中最近提出的折刀AR测试所施加的假设更弱的假设下建立的。此外,岭正则化将折刀AR测试的范围扩展到仪器多于观测的情况。蒙特卡罗模拟表明,与文献中最近提出的替代方法相比,我们的方法具有良好的有限样本量和功率特性。关于美国移民与本地人之间替代弹性的实证应用说明了所提出的方法对从业者的有用性。
    We consider hypothesis testing in instrumental variable regression models with few included exogenous covariates but many instruments-possibly more than the number of observations. We show that a ridge-regularized version of the jackknifed Anderson and Rubin (henceforth AR) test controls asymptotic size in the presence of heteroscedasticity, and when the instruments may be arbitrarily weak. Asymptotic size control is established under weaker assumptions than those imposed for recently proposed jackknifed AR tests in the literature. Furthermore, ridge-regularization extends the scope of jackknifed AR tests to situations in which there are more instruments than observations. Monte Carlo simulations indicate that our method has favorable finite-sample size and power properties compared to recently proposed alternative approaches in the literature. An empirical application on the elasticity of substitution between immigrants and natives in the United States illustrates the usefulness of the proposed method for practitioners.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    先前的观察性研究已确定血浆同型半胱氨酸(Hcy)水平升高与多囊卵巢综合征(PCOS)之间存在相关性。本研究旨在确定Hcy与PCOS在遗传水平上是否存在因果关系。
    进行了双样本孟德尔随机化(TSMR)研究,以评估血浆Hcy水平的遗传影响,叶酸,维生素B12和维生素B6对欧洲血统个体的PCOS。与Hcy相关的独立单核苷酸多态性(SNPs)(n=12),叶酸(n=2),维生素B12(n=10),选择全基因组显著性水平(P<5×10-8)的维生素B6(n=1)作为工具变量(IVs)。有关PCOS的数据来自Apollo数据库。因果估计的主要方法是方差逆加权(IVW),辅以敏感性分析,以验证结果。
    该研究没有发现遗传证据表明血浆Hcy水平之间存在因果关系,叶酸,维生素B12,维生素B6和PCOS。效果大小,通过随机效应IVW确定,如下:Hcy每标准偏差增加,OR=1.117,95CI:(0.842,1.483),P=0.442;叶酸每标准偏差增加,OR=1.008,CI:(0.546,1.860),P=0.981;维生素B12每标准偏差增加,OR=0.978,CI:(0.808,1.185),P=0.823;维生素B6每标准偏差增加,OR=0.967,CI:(0.925,1.012),P=0.145。每种营养素暴露和PCOS的固定效应IVW结果与随机效应IVW结果一致。额外的敏感性分析加强了这些结果。
    我们的研究结果表明,Hcy之间没有因果关系,叶酸,维生素B12,维生素B6水平,和PCOS。
    UNASSIGNED: Previous observational studies have identified a correlation between elevated plasma homocysteine (Hcy) levels and polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). This study aimed to determine whether a causal relationship exists between Hcy and PCOS at the genetic level.
    UNASSIGNED: A two-sample Mendelian Randomization (TSMR) study was implemented to assess the genetic impact of plasma levels of Hcy, folate, vitamin B12, and vitamin B6 on PCOS in individuals of European ancestry. Independent single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with Hcy (n=12), folate (n=2), vitamin B12 (n=10), and vitamin B6 (n=1) at genome-wide significance levels (P<5×10-8) were selected as instrumental variables (IVs). Data concerning PCOS were obtained from the Apollo database. The primary method of causal estimation was inverse variance weighting (IVW), complemented by sensitivity analyses to validate the results.
    UNASSIGNED: The study found no genetic evidence to suggest a causal association between plasma levels of Hcy, folate, vitamin B12, vitamin B6, and PCOS. The effect sizes, determined through random-effect IVW, were as follows: Hcy per standard deviation increase, OR = 1.117, 95%CI: (0.842, 1.483), P = 0.442; folate per standard deviation increase, OR = 1.008, CI: (0.546, 1.860), P = 0.981; vitamin B12 per standard deviation increase, OR = 0.978, CI: (0.808, 1.185), P = 0.823; and vitamin B6 per standard deviation increase, OR = 0.967, CI: (0.925, 1.012), P = 0.145. The fixed-effect IVW results for each nutrient exposure and PCOS were consistent with the random-effect IVW findings, with additional sensitivity analyses reinforcing these outcomes.
    UNASSIGNED: Our findings indicate no causal link between Hcy, folate, vitamin B12, vitamin B6 levels, and PCOS.
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