instrumental variables

工具变量
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项孟德尔随机化(MR)研究旨在探索10个不同身体部位的四种睡眠特征与疼痛之间的潜在因果关系。
    该研究利用了来自GWAS数据库的暴露和结果数据,采用逆方差加权法(IVW)进行主要因果估计。CochranQ和RückerQ异质性测试使用IVW和MR-Egger方法进行,使用Egger截获方法进行多效性测试,留一法敏感性分析,并计算F统计量,以评估弱仪器偏差的存在。
    这项研究表明,遗传预测的失眠会显著增加不明原因疼痛的风险,胸痛,牙龈疼痛,上腹痛,和下腹痛的发生。白天午睡与关节疼痛的可能性适度降低有关,但可能同时增加胸痛的风险。上腹痛,和全身腹痛。睡眠时间型和睡眠持续时间均未显示与疼痛感知的明确因果关系。
    这项研究阐明了10个不同身体部位的四种睡眠特征与疼痛之间的因果关系。总的来说,失眠和睡眠不足对身体多个部位疼痛的贡献更为明显。相反,充足的睡眠与躯体疼痛的可能性之间的关联相对较低,也较不显著。
    UNASSIGNED: This Mendelian Randomization (MR) study aims to explore the potential causal relationships between four sleep traits and pain in 10 different body sites.
    UNASSIGNED: The study utilizes exposure and outcome data from the GWAS database, employing the Inverse Variance Weighting Method (IVW) for primary causal estimates. Cochran Q and Rücker Q heterogeneity tests are conducted using IVW and MR-Egger methods, with the Egger-intercept method for pleiotropy testing, leave-one-out sensitivity analysis, and calculation of F-statistics to assess the presence of weak instrument bias.
    UNASSIGNED: The study reveals that genetically predicted insomnia significantly increases the risk of unspecified pain, chest pain, gum pain, upper abdominal pain, and lower abdominal pain occurrence. Daytime napping is associated with a moderate reduction in the likelihood of joint pain but may concomitantly elevate the risk of chest pain, upper abdominal pain, and generalized abdominal pain. Neither sleep chronotype nor sleep duration demonstrated a definitive causal relationship with pain perception.
    UNASSIGNED: This study elucidates the causal relationships between four sleep characteristics and pain across 10 different body regions. Overall, the contribution of insomnia and sleep deficiency to pain in multiple body regions is more pronounced. Conversely, the association between adequate sleep and the likelihood of somatic pain is relatively lower and less significant.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    多变量孟德尔随机化允许同时估计多个暴露变量对结果的直接因果影响。当感兴趣的暴露变量是定量的组学特征时,获得完整的数据可能在经济和技术上都具有挑战性:测量成本很高,并且测量装置可以具有固有的检测极限。在本文中,在单样本多变量孟德尔随机化分析中,我们提出了一种有效且有效的方法来处理暴露变量的未测量和不可检测值。我们使用最大似然估计来估计直接因果效应,并开发了一种期望最大化算法来计算估计器。我们通过模拟研究展示了所提出方法的优势,并为西班牙裔社区健康研究/拉丁美洲人研究提供了应用,其中有大量未测量的暴露数据。
    Multivariable Mendelian randomization allows simultaneous estimation of direct causal effects of multiple exposure variables on an outcome. When the exposure variables of interest are quantitative omic features, obtaining complete data can be economically and technically challenging: the measurement cost is high, and the measurement devices may have inherent detection limits. In this paper, we propose a valid and efficient method to handle unmeasured and undetectable values of the exposure variables in a one-sample multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis with individual-level data. We estimate the direct causal effects with maximum likelihood estimation and develop an expectation-maximization algorithm to compute the estimators. We show the advantages of the proposed method through simulation studies and provide an application to the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos, which has a large amount of unmeasured exposure data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:早期的研究已经估计了体重指数(BMI)增加对医疗保健费用的影响。已经使用各种方法来避免潜在的偏差和不一致。这些方法中的每一种都测量不同的局部效应,并且具有不同的优点和缺点。
    方法:在当前的研究中,我们使用文献中的九种常见方法来估计BMI增加对医疗费用的影响:多元回归分析(普通最小二乘法,广义线性模型,和两部分模型),和工具变量模型(使用以前测量的BMI,后代BMI,和三个不同的加权遗传风险评分作为BMI的工具)。我们按性别分层,调查了混淆调整的影响,并对线性和非线性关联进行了建模。
    结果:在每种方法中,男性和女性的BMI增加都有积极的影响。在模型中,BMI升高的成本更高,在更大程度上,解释内生关系。
    结论:该研究提供了确凿的证据,表明BMI与医疗费用之间存在关联。并证明了三角测量的重要性。
    BACKGROUND: Earlier studies have estimated the impact of increased body mass index (BMI) on healthcare costs. Various methods have been used to avoid potential biases and inconsistencies. Each of these methods measure different local effects and have different strengths and weaknesses.
    METHODS: In the current study we estimate the impact of increased BMI on healthcare costs using nine common methods from the literature: multivariable regression analyses (ordinary least squares, generalized linear models, and two-part models), and instrumental variable models (using previously measured BMI, offspring BMI, and three different weighted genetic risk scores as instruments for BMI). We stratified by sex, investigated the implications of confounder adjustment, and modelled both linear and non-linear associations.
    RESULTS: There was a positive effect of increased BMI in both males and females in each approach. The cost of elevated BMI was higher in models that, to a greater extent, account for endogenous relations.
    CONCLUSIONS: The study provides solid evidence that there is an association between BMI and healthcare costs, and demonstrates the importance of triangulation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:胆管癌(CCA)是一种高度恶性的胆道癌,预后不良。先前的研究涉及CCA中的肠道微生物群,但是缺乏因果机制的证据。
    目的:探讨肠道菌群与CCA风险之间的因果关系。
    方法:我们进行了一项双样本孟德尔随机化研究,使用196个肠道微生物类群和CCA的全基因组关联研究汇总统计,评估肠道微生物群和CCA风险之间的潜在因果关系。遗传变异被用作工具变量。多重敏感性分析评估了结果的稳健性。
    结果:15个肠道微生物类群显示出与CCA风险的显著因果关系。Eubacteriumnodatum属的遗传预测丰度较高,反刍动物属,球菌属,多雷亚属,放线菌门与胆囊癌和肝外CCA的风险降低相关。肝内CCA风险增加与Veillonellaceae家族的更高丰度相关,Alistipes属,订购肠杆菌,和Firmicutes门。建议对Collinsella属具有抗CCA的保护作用,艾森伯氏菌属,厌氧菌属,Paraprevotella属,副茎属,和Verrucomicrobia门。敏感性分析表明,这些发现是可靠的,没有多效性。
    结论:这项开创性研究提供了新的证据,表明特定的肠道微生物群可能在CCA风险中起因果作用。这些候选微生物的进一步实验验证是必要的,以巩固因果关系和机制。
    BACKGROUND: Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a highly malignant biliary tract cancer with poor prognosis. Previous studies have implicated the gut microbiota in CCA, but evidence for causal mechanisms is lacking.
    OBJECTIVE: To investigate the causal relationship between gut microbiota and CCA risk.
    METHODS: We performed a two-sample mendelian randomization study to evaluate potential causal associations between gut microbiota and CCA risk using genome-wide association study summary statistics for 196 gut microbial taxa and CCA. Genetic variants were used as instrumental variables. Multiple sensitivity analyses assessed result robustness.
    RESULTS: Fifteen gut microbial taxa showed significant causal associations with CCA risk. Higher genetically predicted abundance of genus Eubacteriumnodatum group, genus Ruminococcustorques group, genus Coprococcus, genus Dorea, and phylum Actinobacteria were associated with reduced risk of gallbladder cancer and extrahepatic CCA. Increased intrahepatic CCA risk was associated with higher abundance of family Veillonellaceae, genus Alistipes, order Enterobacteriales, and phylum Firmicutes. Protective effects against CCA were suggested for genus Collinsella, genus Eisenbergiella, genus Anaerostipes, genus Paraprevotella, genus Parasutterella, and phylum Verrucomicrobia. Sensitivity analyses indicated these findings were reliable without pleiotropy.
    CONCLUSIONS: This pioneering study provides novel evidence that specific gut microbiota may play causal roles in CCA risk. Further experimental validation of these candidate microbes is warranted to consolidate causality and mechanisms.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:这项模拟研究旨在评估医生处方偏好(PPP)作为中等和较小样本量的工具变量的效用。材料与方法:我们设计了一个模拟研究,以模仿不同样本量下的比较有效性研究。我们使用两阶段最小二乘(2SLS)和普通最小二乘(OLS)方法比较工具变量(IV)和非IV方法的性能,分别。Further,我们测试了PPP作为IV的不同形式的代理的性能。结果:2SLS的偏差百分比约为20%,而OLS的百分比偏差接近60%。样本量与PPPIV方法的偏差水平无关。结论:不考虑样本量,与仅对已知混杂因素进行校正的OLS相比,PPPIV方法对治疗有效性的估计偏差较小.特别是对于较小的样本量,我们建议从长期处方历史中构建PPP,以提高统计能力。
    Aim: This simulation study is to assess the utility of physician\'s prescribing preference (PPP) as an instrumental variable for moderate and smaller sample sizes. Materials & methods: We designed a simulation study to imitate a comparative effectiveness research under different sample sizes. We compare the performance of instrumental variable (IV) and non-IV approaches using two-stage least squares (2SLS) and ordinary least squares (OLS) methods, respectively. Further, we test the performance of different forms of proxies for PPP as an IV. Results: The percent bias of 2SLS is around approximately 20%, while the percent bias of OLS is close to 60%. The sample size is not associated with the level of bias for the PPP IV approach. Conclusion: Irrespective of sample size, the PPP IV approach leads to less biased estimates of treatment effectiveness than OLS adjusting for known confounding only. Particularly for smaller sample sizes, we recommend constructing PPP from long prescribing histories to improve statistical power.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    许多研究表明,ω-3脂肪酸可能在心血管疾病中起关键作用。心肌梗塞(MI)通常由冠状动脉的血栓阻塞导致心肌缺血。因此,本研究旨在探讨omega-3脂肪酸与MI之间的关系.
    一项双样本孟德尔随机研究用于探索循环omega-3脂肪酸与通过MR-Egger回归进行的MI风险之间的因果关系,逆方差加权(IVW),加权中位数,和加权模式。
    从已发表的全基因组关联研究(GWAS)荟萃分析中选择了与循环中的omega-3脂肪酸强相关的五个单核苷酸多态性作为工具变量,包括13,544名受试者。我们从另一个GWAS荟萃分析中提取了MI风险的汇总数据,包括171,875名个体(43,676例和128,199例对照)。IVW结果显示,遗传预测的低循环omega-3增加了心肌梗死的风险[比值比(OR)=1.224,95%CI=1.045-1.433,P=0.012],加权中位数法(OR=1.171,95%CI=1.042-1.315,P=0.008),和加权模式(OR=1.149,95%CI=1.002-1.317,P=0.117),尽管MR-Egger的结果不显着(OR=0.950,95%CI=0.513-1.760,P=0.880),置信区间更宽。
    孟德尔随机化分析的结果表明,omega-3脂肪酸水平与MI之间的关联可能是因果关系。
    UNASSIGNED: Many studies have shown that omega-3 fatty acids may play critical roles in cardiovascular diseases. Myocardial infarction (MI) typically results from a thrombotic occlusion of a coronary artery leading to myocardial ischemia. Thus, this study aims to examine the association between omega-3 fatty acids and MI.
    UNASSIGNED: A two-sample Mendelian randomization study was used to explore the causal relationship between circulating omega-3 fatty acids and the risk of MI performed by MR-Egger regression, inverse-variance weighted (IVW), weighted median, and weighted mode.
    UNASSIGNED: Five single-nucleotide polymorphisms strongly related to circulating omega-3 fatty acids were selected as instrumental variables from a published genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis including 13,544 subjects. We extracted summary data for the risk of MI from another GWAS meta-analysis including 171,875 individuals (43,676 cases and 128,199 controls). The genetically predicted lower circulating omega-3 increased the risk of myocardial infarction showed by the results of IVW [odds ratio (OR) = 1.224, 95% CI = 1.045-1.433, P = 0.012], weighted median method (OR = 1.171, 95% CI = 1.042-1.315, P = 0.008), and weighted mode (OR = 1.149, 95% CI = 1.002-1.317, P = 0.117), although the result of MR-Egger was not significant (OR = 0.950, 95% CI = 0.513-1.760, P = 0.880) with a wider confidence interval.
    UNASSIGNED: The findings from our Mendelian randomization analysis suggest that the association between omega-3 fatty acid levels and MI is likely causal.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近的观察研究揭示了肠道微生物群与衰老之间的关联,但是肠道微生物群是否与衰老过程有因果关系仍然未知。我们使用双样本孟德尔随机化方法,使用MiBioGen联盟的最大可用肠道微生物群GWAS汇总数据和关于生物年龄加速的GWAS数据,研究肠道微生物群与生物年龄加速之间的因果关系。我们进一步使用MR-PRESSO进行了敏感性分析,MR-Egger回归,CochranQ测试,和反向MR分析。链球菌(IVW,β=0.16,p=0.0001)与生物加速度有因果关系。真细菌(回肠组)(IVW,β=0.20,p=0.0190),塞利莫纳斯(IVW,β=0.06,p=0.019),和Lachnospira(IVW,β=-0.18,p=0.01)提示与生物加速度的因果关系,后者是保护性的。放线菌(IVW,β=0.26,p=0.0083),Butyricrimonas(IVW,β=0.21,p=0.0184),和落叶松科(FCS020组)(IVW,β=0.24,p=0.0194)提示与酚加速度有因果关系。这项孟德尔随机研究发现,链球菌与生物年龄加速有因果关系。需要进一步的随机对照试验来研究其在衰老过程中的作用。
    Recent observational studies revealed an association between gut microbiota and aging, but whether gut microbiota are causally associated with the aging process remains unknown. We used a two-sample Mendelian randomization approach to investigate the causal association between gut microbiota and biological age acceleration using the largest available gut microbiota GWAS summary data from the MiBioGen consortium and GWAS data on biological age acceleration. We further conducted sensitivity analysis using MR-PRESSO, MR-Egger regression, Cochran Q test, and reverse MR analysis. Streptococcus (IVW, β = 0.16, p = 0.0001) was causally associated with Bioage acceleration. Eubacterium (rectale group) (IVW, β = 0.20, p = 0.0190), Sellimonas (IVW, β = 0.06, p = 0.019), and Lachnospira (IVW, β = -0.18, p = 0.01) were suggestive of causal associations with Bioage acceleration, with the latter being protective. Actinomyces (IVW, β = 0.26, p = 0.0083), Butyricimonas (IVW, β = 0.21, p = 0.0184), and Lachnospiraceae (FCS020 group) (IVW, β = 0.24, p = 0.0194) were suggestive of causal associations with Phenoage acceleration. This Mendelian randomization study found that Streptococcus was causally associated with Bioage acceleration. Further randomized controlled trials are needed to investigate its role in the aging process.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:我们系统回顾了研究者如何在痴呆和神经退行性疾病的临床研究中论证和证明其工具变量(IV)的有效性。
    方法:我们纳入了使用IV分析和观察数据的研究,以调查痴呆和神经退行性疾病的临床研究中的因果效应。我们报道了主题论证,伪造测试,和用于满足有效IV的三个假设的研究设计策略:相关性,排除限制,和可交换性。
    结果:在所有12项纳入研究中对相关性假设进行了论证,七项研究中的排除限制,九项研究中的可交换性。从七项关于其IV相关性的研究中得出了两种主题论证策略。除一项研究外,所有研究都为IV和暴露变量之间的关联强度提供了定量证据。从六项研究中出现了四种针对排除限制的论证策略。在三项研究中进行了四项伪造测试。在四项研究中,针对可交换性出现了三种论证策略。在9项研究中进行了9项伪造测试。报告了两种值得注意的研究设计策略。
    结论:通过阐明用于验证IV的已知策略,我们的结果加强了IV分析作为痴呆和神经退行性疾病临床研究人员的可行选择。
    We systematically reviewed how investigators argued for and justified the validity of their instrumental variables (IV) in clinical studies of dementia and neurodegenerative disease.
    We included studies using IV analysis with observational data to investigate causal effects in clinical research studies of dementia and neurodegenerative disease. We reported the subject-matter argumentation, falsification test, and study design strategies used to satisfy the three assumptions of a valid IV: relevance, exclusion restriction, and exchangeability.
    Justification for the relevance assumption was performed in all 12 included studies, exclusion restriction in seven studies, and exchangeability in nine studies. Two subject-matter argumentation strategies emerged from seven studies on the relevance of their IV. All studies except one provided quantitative evidence for the strength of the association between the IV and exposure variable. Four argumentation strategies emerged for exclusion restriction from six studies. Four falsification tests were performed across three studies. Three argumentation strategies emerged for exchangeability across four studies. Nine falsification tests were performed across nine studies. Two notable study design strategies were reported.
    Our results reinforce IV analysis as a feasible option for clinical researchers in dementia and neurodegenerative disease by clarifying known strategies used to validate an IV.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:先前的观察性研究表明胃食管反流病(GERD)会增加卒中的风险,但具体的潜在机制尚不清楚。我们使用孟德尔随机化(MR)调查了GERD与卒中及其亚型的因果关系,并评估了可改变的卒中危险因素在因果通路中的潜在中介效应。
    方法:GERD的遗传工具变量是从最新的全基因组关联研究(GWAS)汇总水平数据中提取的。我们最初进行了双样本MR检查GERD与卒中及其亚型的关联,包括缺血性中风,颅内出血,和缺血性中风的主要亚型。进一步采用两步MR来研究15个危险因素在因果途径中的中介作用。
    结果:我们发现遗传预测的GERD与卒中风险增加有显著的因果关系(OR:1.2295CI:1.126-1.322),缺血性卒中(OR:1.1995CI:1.098-1.299),大动脉卒中(OR:1.4995CI:1.214-1.836)。复制和敏感性分析产生了一致的效果方向和类似的估计。进一步的调解分析表明,高血压(HTN),收缩压(SBP),和2型糖尿病(T2D)介导的36.0%,9.0%,和15.8%的GERD对中风的影响;42.9%,10.8%,缺血性卒中占21.4%,和23.3%;7.9%,大动脉中风占18.7%,分别。
    结论:本研究支持GERD增加卒中的易感性,缺血性卒中,大动脉中风,部分由HTN介导,SBP,和T2D。
    OBJECTIVE: Previous observational studies have suggested that gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) increases the risk of stroke, but the specific underlying mechanisms are unclear. We investigated the causal associations of GERD with stroke and its subtypes using Mendelian randomization (MR), and evaluated the potential mediating effects of modifiable stroke risk factors in the causal pathway.
    METHODS: Genetic instrumental variables for GERD were extracted from the latest genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary level data. We initially performed two-sample MR to examine the association of GERD with stroke and its subtypes, including ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and the major subtypes of ischemic stroke. Two-step MR was further employed to investigate the mediating effect of 15 risk factors in the causal pathway.
    RESULTS: We found significant causal associations of genetically predicted GERD with increased risk of stroke (OR: 1.22 95% CI: 1.126-1.322), ischemic stroke (OR: 1.19 95% CI: 1.098-1.299), and large-artery stroke (OR: 1.49 95% CI: 1.214-1.836). Replication and sensitivity analyses yielded consistent effect directions and similar estimates. Further mediation analyses indicated that hypertension (HTN), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and type 2 diabetes (T2D) mediated 36.0%, 9.0%, and 15.8% of the effect of GERD on stroke; 42.9%, 10.8%, and 21.4% for ischemic stroke, and 23.3%; 7.9%, and 18.7% for large-artery stroke, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study supports that GERD increases susceptibility to stroke, ischemic stroke, and large-artery stroke, and is partially mediated by HTN, SBP, and T2D.
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