Models, Econometric

模型,计量经济学
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    COVID-19大流行期间的全球人口涌入对公共卫生构成了重大挑战,使传染病的预防和控制成为紧迫的问题。本文旨在研究人口流入对传染病传播的影响,特别强调空气污染在这一过程中的中介作用。进行了理论分析,以探讨人口流入之间的关系,空气污染,和传染病。此外,我们建立了一系列计量经济模型,并采用了各种实证检验和分析技术,包括调解效果测试,阈值效应测试,和系统的GMM测试,评估我们的假设。结果表明:(1)人口流入直接和间接影响传染病。具体来说,人口流入不仅直接增加了传染病的风险,而且还通过加剧空气污染间接增加了传染病的发病率。(2)人口流入对传染病的影响具有区域异质性。与中国中西部相比,东部地区的传染病风险明显更高,超过全国平均水平。(3)外部因素对人口流入与传染病的关系有不同程度的影响。个人收入和医疗资源都有助于减轻因人口涌入而导致传染病的风险,医疗资源有更大的影响。与预期相反,丰富的教育资源并没有降低风险,相反,它们加剧了与人口涌入相关的风险。为制定有效的传染病防控策略提供科学依据。
    The global population influx during the COVID-19 pandemic poses significant challenges to public health, making the prevention and control of infectious diseases a pressing concern. This paper aims to examine the impact of population influx on the spread of infectious diseases, with a specific emphasis on the mediating role of air pollution in this process. A theoretical analysis is conducted to explore the relationship between population influx, air pollution, and infectious diseases. Additionally, we establish a series of econometric models and employ various empirical tests and analytical techniques, including mediation effect test, threshold effect test, and systematic GMM test, to evaluate our hypotheses. The results indicate that: (1) Population influx directly and indirectly impacts infectious diseases. Specifically, population influx not only directly elevates the risk of infectious diseases, but also indirectly increases the incidence rate of infectious diseases by intensifying air pollution. (2) The impact of population inflow on infectious diseases exhibits regional heterogeneity. Compared to central and western China, the eastern regions exhibit a significantly higher risk of infectious diseases, exceeding the national average. (3) External factors influence the relationship between population influx and infectious diseases differently. Personal income and medical resources both help mitigate the risk of infectious diseases due to population influx, with medical resources having a more substantial effect. Contrary to expectations, abundant educational resources have not reduced the risk, instead, they have exacerbated the risk associated with population influx. This paper provides a scientific basis for formulating effective strategies for the prevention and control of infectious diseases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究调查了经合组织国家的健康主导增长假说(HLGH),研究卫生支出如何影响经济增长以及不同卫生筹资系统在这种关系中的作用。
    利用2000年至2019年对38个经合组织国家的综合分析,采用了先进的计量经济学方法。两种第二代面板数据估计器(动态CCEMG,CS-ARDL,AMG)和第一代型号(带PMG的面板ARDL,FMOLS,DOLS)用于检验假设。
    研究结果证实了卫生支出对经济增长的积极影响,支持HLGH。在不同的卫生筹资系统中,卫生支出刺激经济增长的能力存在显着差异,包括俾斯麦号,贝弗里奇,私人健康保险,和过渡中的系统模型。
    这项研究通过提供对卫生支出与经济增长之间关系的详尽分析,丰富了正在进行的学术对话。它为决策者提供了有关如何优化卫生投资以促进经济发展的宝贵见解,考虑到不同卫生筹资框架的不同影响。
    UNASSIGNED: This study investigates the Health-Led Growth Hypothesis (HLGH) within OECD countries, examining how health expenditures influence economic growth and the role of different health financing systems in this relationship.
    UNASSIGNED: Utilizing a comprehensive analysis spanning 2000 to 2019 across 38 OECD countries, advanced econometric methodologies were employed. Both second-generation panel data estimators (Dynamic CCEMG, CS-ARDL, AMG) and first-generation models (Panel ARDL with PMG, FMOLS, DOLS) were utilized to test the hypothesis.
    UNASSIGNED: The findings confirm the positive impact of health expenditures on economic growth, supporting the HLGH. Significant disparities were observed in the ability of health expenditures to stimulate economic growth across different health financing systems, including the Bismarck, Beveridge, Private Health Insurance, and System in Transition models.
    UNASSIGNED: This study enriches the ongoing academic dialog by providing an exhaustive analysis of the relationship between health expenditures and economic growth. It offers valuable insights for policymakers on how to optimize health investments to enhance economic development, considering the varying effects of different health financing frameworks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:从社会角度评估布地奈德/福莫特罗缓解剂和维持治疗与沙美特罗/氟替卡松联合沙丁胺醇缓解治疗≥12年哮喘患者的成本-效果。方法:建立了具有三种健康状况(非恶化,恶化,和死亡)与一生的地平线。急性加重率来自对中国哮喘患者进行的前瞻性队列研究。根据当前的临床哮喘管理指南估计医疗资源利用数据。哮喘相关死亡率,成本投入和效用值来自公共数据库和文献。通过单向灵敏度和概率灵敏度分析评估模型的稳健性。结果:与沙美特罗/氟替卡松+沙丁胺醇相比,布地奈德/福莫特罗缓解剂和维持治疗导致急性加重事件减少(13.6vs.15.9)和0.0077质量调整寿命年(QALY)收益,整个寿命期间的额外成本为196.38日元。基本情况增量成本效益比(ICER)为每QALY25,409.98日元。对模型输出影响最大的变量包括药物成本和药物依从性。支付意愿门槛为257,094日元/QALY(2022年为中国人均国内生产总值的3倍),布地奈德/福莫特罗维持和缓解治疗与沙美特罗/氟替卡松加视需要沙丁胺醇相比具有成本效益的概率为83.00%.结论:从社会的角度来看,对于≥12岁的中国哮喘患者,与沙美特罗/氟替卡松加按需沙丁胺醇相比,布地奈德/福莫特罗缓解剂和维持治疗可能是一种具有成本效益的选择.
    UNASSIGNED: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of budesonide/formoterol reliever and maintenance therapy compared with salmeterol/fluticasone plus salbutamol as reliever therapy for asthma patients ≥12 years from the societal perspective in China.
    UNASSIGNED: A Markov model was developed with three health states (non-exacerbation, exacerbation, and death) with a lifetime horizon. The exacerbation rates were obtained from a prospective cohort study conducted in Chinese asthma patients. Healthcare resources utilization data were estimated based on current clinical asthma management guidelines. Asthma-related mortality, cost input and utility values were derived from public database and literature. Model robustness was assessed with one-way sensitivity and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.
    UNASSIGNED: Compared with salmeterol/fluticasone plus salbutamol, budesonide/formoterol reliever and maintenance therapy led to fewer exacerbation events (13.6 vs. 15.9) and 0.0077 quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gain at an additional cost of ¥196.38 over lifetime. The base case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was ¥25,409.98 per QALY gained. The variables that had most impact on the model output included drug costs and medication adherence. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥257,094/QALY (3 times of gross domestic product per capita in China in 2022), the probability of budesonide/formoterol maintenance and reliever therapy being cost-effective versus salmeterol/fluticasone plus as-needed salbutamol was 83.00%.
    UNASSIGNED: From the societal perspective, budesonide/formoterol reliever and maintenance therapy is likely to be a cost-effective option compared with salmeterol/fluticasone plus as-needed salbutamol for Chinese asthma patients ≥12 years.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    感染是全球13%的癌症病例的原因,人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)和乙型肝炎(HBV)在与癌症相关的感染中可用疫苗。这项研究的目的是估计在中东和北非(MENA)国家由HPV和HBV引起的癌症相关的过早死亡的间接成本。
    2019年四种HPV相关癌症的死亡人数和生命损失年数(YLL):宫颈癌,口腔癌,喉癌,口咽癌症,以及HBV相关的肝癌来自健康指标评估研究所(IHME)全球疾病负担数据库。HPV归因分数应用于死亡和YLL。人力资本方法被用来衡量生产力损失,通过年值(VYLL),并使用人均国内生产总值(世界银行;美元)进行估算。包括中东和北非地区的17个国家。由于数据的可获得性,该区域有四个国家未被列入。
    2019年,MENA地区有11,645例可能与疫苗可预防的癌症相关死亡。这导致间接费用为1688821605美元,其中76.1%在中东应计(1284923633美元)。中东的死亡人数(5,986)与北非(5,659)相似,但与中东(169,207)相比,北非(179,425)的死亡人数更高。每位死亡的间接费用最高发生在卡塔尔(1,378,991美元),相比之下,苏丹为14,962美元。口腔癌的每位死亡VYLL最高(186,084美元)。
    在MENA地区,过早死亡和潜在的疫苗可预防的癌症相关死亡的间接成本负担很高。改进疫苗接种计划的实施,增加HPV和HBV疫苗接种的疫苗覆盖率,并继续优先考虑公共卫生措施,比如筛查,可以有效降低过早死亡率和相关成本。
    UNASSIGNED: Infections are responsible for ∼13% of cancer cases worldwide, with human papillomavirus (HPV) and hepatitis B (HBV) among the infections associated with cancer for which vaccines are available. The aim of this study was to estimate the indirect cost of premature mortality related to cancers caused by HPV and HBV in Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries.
    UNASSIGNED: The number of deaths and years of life lost (YLL) in 2019 from four HPV-related cancers: cervical cancer, oral cavity cancer, laryngeal cancer, and oropharynx cancer, as well as HBV-related liver cancer were sourced from the Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation (IHME) Global Burden of Disease database. HPV-attributable fractions were applied to deaths and YLL. The human capital approach was used to measure productivity loss, through value of YLL (VYLL), and estimated using gross domestic product per capita (World Bank; in USD). Seventeen countries in the MENA region were included. Four countries in the region were not included due to data availability.
    UNASSIGNED: In 2019, there were 11,645 potentially vaccine-preventable cancer-related deaths across the MENA region. This resulted in an indirect cost of $1,688,821,605, with 76.1% of this accrued in the Middle East ($1,284,923,633). The number of deaths in the Middle East (5,986) were similar to Northern Africa (5,659) but YLL were higher in Northern Africa (179,425) compared to the Middle East (169,207). The highest indirect cost per death occurred in Qatar ($1,378,991), compared to $14,962 in Sudan. Oral cavity cancer had the highest VYLL per death ($186,084).
    UNASSIGNED: There is a high burden of premature mortality and indirect costs of potentially vaccine-preventable cancer-related deaths in the MENA region. Improved vaccination program implementation, increased vaccine coverage of HPV and HBV vaccinations, and continued prioritization of public health measures, such as screening, could effectively reduce premature mortality and associated costs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    高钾血症是一种电解质异常,可能危及生命。已发表的数据表明,与环硅酸锆钠相比,钾结合聚合物patiromer(Veltassa)与严重水肿和心力衰竭住院率降低有关(SZC,Lokelma)治疗高钾血症时。这项研究的目的是评估在西班牙和英国环境中与这些干预措施相关的可能成本。
    在MicrosoftExcel中开发了成本分析模型,以比较与patiromer和SZC相关的用于管理高钾血症的成本。临床事件发生率来自一项已发表的真实世界比较研究,在基本病例中,Patiromer与SZC相比,严重水肿在统计学上显着降低,敏感性分析还包括心力衰竭住院率的非统计学显着降低。特定国家的费用,以2022年英镑(GBP)和欧元(EUR)表示,从医疗保健支付者的角度进行评估,并包括药房费用和临床事件的费用。
    Patiromer与西班牙和英国的SZC相比,每患者年的治疗成本可节省107欧元和630英镑,分别。与SZC相比,大多数成本节省是由于patiromer的每日成本可能较低。在敏感性分析中包括心力衰竭住院率的差异,从而比SZC节省了更多的成本,在西班牙和英国增加到460欧元和902英镑,分别。将患者水平的经济结果推断为人口水平发现,在西班牙,Patiromer每年可节省3060万欧元的成本。英国和SZC的8.017亿英镑。
    根据实际证据分析的结果,在西班牙和英国,与SZC相比,Patiromer具有节省成本的潜力。
    UNASSIGNED: Hyperkalemia is an electrolyte abnormality with potentially life-threatening consequences. Published data have shown that potassium-binding polymer patiromer (Veltassa) is associated with reduced rates of severe edema and hospitalization for heart failure compared with sodium zirconium cyclosilicate (SZC, Lokelma) when treating hyperkalemia. The aim of this study was to evaluate the possible costs associated with these interventions in the Spanish and UK settings.
    UNASSIGNED: A cost-analysis model was developed in Microsoft Excel to compare the costs associated with patiromer and SZC for the management of hyperkalemia. Clinical event rates were taken from a published real-world comparative study, with the base case capturing the statistically significant reduction in severe edema with patiromer vs SZC and a sensitivity analysis also including the non-statistically significant reduction in hospitalization for heart failure. Country-specific costs, expressed in 2022 Euros (EUR) and British pounds sterling (GBP), were evaluated from a healthcare payer perspective and included pharmacy costs and costs of clinical events.
    UNASSIGNED: Patiromer may be associated with cost savings of EUR 107 and GBP 630 per patient-year of treatment vs SZC in Spain and the UK, respectively. The majority of cost savings were due to the possible lower daily cost of patiromer compared with SZC. Including the difference in heart failure hospitalization rates in a sensitivity analysis led to greater cost savings with patiromer over SZC, increasing to EUR 460 and GBP 902 in Spain and the UK, respectively. Extrapolation of patient-level economic outcomes to a population level found that patiromer was associated with annual cost savings of EUR 30.6 million in Spain, and GBP 801.7 million in the UK vs SZC.
    UNASSIGNED: Patiromer has the potential to be cost saving vs SZC for the treatment of hyperkalemia in Spain and the UK based on the results of a real-world evidence analysis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    评估2024年在美国接受程序性死亡受体-1抑制剂治疗的局部晚期/转移性非鳞状非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者组中(1)与pembrolizumab方案相比,toripalimab方案的成本效益;(2)预算中立的人从累积的储蓄中扩大了对其他toripalimab周期和方案的访问。
    在49,647名患者中,托里帕利马单抗+培美曲塞+卡铂在非鳞状细胞肺癌中与类似的帕博利珠单抗方案的模拟建模;利用两个成本输入(进入市场时的批发获取成本(WAC)和估计的事前托里帕利马价格点为80%的帕博利珠单抗平均销售价格(ASP),加上两年以上的治疗还进行了治疗持续时间相当于托里帕利马和派姆单抗试验的中位PFS的情景分析。
    在基于WAC的模型中,toripalimab每个周期为每位患者节省了2,223美元,在1年的治疗中节省了40,014美元(在2年内节省了77,805美元)。推断到49,647名患者的小组,估计一年的节省从19,865,840美元(1%的治疗率)到198,658,399美元(10%的治疗率)不等。重新分配这些节省允许预算中立地扩大使用额外的1,753(1%的比率)至17,533(10%的比率)托里帕利玛维护周期,或额外的97(1%的比率)至972(10%)完整的1年托里帕利玛治疗方案。两年的节省从38,628,022美元(1%利率)到386,280,221美元(10%)不等。重新分配这些效率可提供从3,409(1%的比率)到34,093(10%)的额外toripalimab周期或97到973个完整的2年方案的扩展访问。事前ASP模型显示出与情景分析相似的结果,但幅度低于基本情况。
    托里帕利马在非鳞状非小细胞肺癌中使用托里帕利马+培美曲塞,可在一年[两年]内节省高达17,533[34,093]个额外的维持周期的预算资金,或972[973]完整的一年[两年]方案。
    估计有49,647名晚期或转移性非鳞状非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者将于2024年在美国接受PD-1抑制剂治疗。托里帕利马,一种最近被美国食品和药物管理局批准用于治疗鼻咽癌的PD-1抑制剂,还发现,当与化疗联合使用时,对非鳞状NSCLC患者有益。我们对托里帕利马+培美曲塞+卡铂的成本与PD-1抑制剂派姆单抗治疗非鳞状NSCLC患者的类似方案的成本进行了经济模拟。我们的模拟模型对toripalimab使用了两个美国成本输入:批发采购成本或进入市场时的“标价”,由于toripalimab在几个季度内没有平均销售价格(ASP),假设toripalimab的价格点为80%的pembrolizumabASP。我们比较了49,647例非鳞NSCLC患者中1%至10%接受toripalimab方案治疗的每种情况下的节省。然后我们评估了如何重新分配这些储蓄,不需要额外的资金,在预算中立的基础上,为更多患者提供接受托里帕利玛治疗的机会。我们发现,如果1%的晚期/转移性非鳞状细胞肺癌新病例接受托利帕利单抗治疗1年,这些节省足以购买多达1,753个额外的托里帕利玛维持周期;或者这些节省可以为多达97名患者提供所有药物(托里帕利玛+化疗)的完整1年方案.如果10%的新病例使用toripalimab治疗1年,节省的费用足以购买多达17,533个额外的托里帕利玛维持周期;或者这些节省的费用可以为多达972名患者提供所有药物的完整1年治疗方案.
    UNASSIGNED: To estimate in a panel of patients with locally advanced/metastatic nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with a programmed death receptor-1 inhibitor in the US in 2024 (1) the cost-efficiency of toripalimab regimens compared to pembrolizumab regimens; and (2) the budget-neutral expanded access to additional toripalimab cycles and regimens from accrued savings.
    UNASSIGNED: Simulation modeling of toripalimab + pemetrexed + carboplatin in nonsquamous NSCLC to a similar pembrolizumab regimen in a panel of 49,647 patients; utilizing two cost inputs (wholesale acquisition cost (WAC) at market entry and an estimated ex ante toripalimab price point of 80% of pembrolizumab average sales price (ASP)) plus administration costs over one and two years of treatment with treatment rates from 1%-10%. Scenario analyses with treatment durations equivalent to toripalimab and pembrolizumab trials\' median PFS were also conducted.
    UNASSIGNED: In the WAC-based models, toripalimab saves $2,223 per patient per cycle and $40,014 over 1 year of treatment ($77,805 over 2 years). Extrapolated to the 49,647-patient panel, estimated 1-year savings range from $19,865,840 (1% treatment rate) to $198,658,399 (10% rate). Reallocating these savings permits budget-neutral expanded access to an additional 1,753 (1% rate) to 17,533 (10% rate) toripalimab maintenance cycles or to an additional 97 (1% rate) to 972 (10%) full 1-year toripalimab regimens with all agents. Two-year savings range from $38,628,022 (1% rate) to $386,280,221 (10%). Reallocating these efficiencies provides expanded access ranging from 3,409 (1% rate) to 34,093 (10%) additional toripalimab cycles or to 97 to 973 full 2-year regimens. The ex ante ASP model showed similar results as did the scenario analyses but at a lower magnitude than the base case.
    UNASSIGNED: Toripalimab generates significant savings that enable budget-neutral funding for up to 17,533 [34,093] additional maintenance cycles over one year [two years] with toripalimab + pemetrexed in nonsquamous NSCLC, or 972 [973] full one-year [two-year] regimens.
    An estimated 49,647 patients with advanced or metastatic nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) will be treated with a PD-1 inhibitor in the US in 2024. Toripalimab, a PD-1 inhibitor recently approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for the treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma, has also been found to be beneficial in patients with nonsquamous NSCLC when used in combination with chemotherapy. We conducted an economic simulation of the costs of toripalimab + pemetrexed + carboplatin versus the costs of a similar regimen with the PD-1 inhibitor pembrolizumab in the treatment of patients with nonsquamous NSCLC. Our simulation models used two US cost inputs for toripalimab: the wholesale acquisition cost or “list price” at market entry and, as no average sales price (ASP) will be available for toripalimab for several quarters, a hypothetical toripalimab price point of 80% of the pembrolizumab ASP. We compared the savings in each scenario when between 1% and 10% of the 49,647 nonsquamous NSCLC patients are treated with the toripalimab regimen. We then evaluated how these savings could be re-allocated, without requiring extra funding, to provide more patients with access to toripalimab treatment on a budget-neutral basis. We found that, if 1% of new cases of advanced/metastatic nonsquamous NSCLC were treated with toripalimab for 1 year, these savings are enough to purchase up to 1,753 additional toripalimab maintenance cycles; or these savings could provide up to an additional 97 patients with full one-year regimens with all agents (toripalimab + chemotherapy). If 10% of new cases were treated with toripalimab for 1 year, the savings are enough to purchase up to 17,533 additional toripalimab maintenance cycles; or these savings could provide up to an additional 972 patients with full one-year regimens with all agents.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:生物仿制药通过提供具有成本效益的治疗方案来改善患者的获取。这项研究评估了通过增加使用两种生物仿制药改善抗风湿药(DMARDs)的潜在节省和扩大患者访问范围:a)批准的阿达木单抗生物仿制药和b)第一个托珠单抗生物仿制药,代表法国一个成熟的生物仿制药领域和最近的生物仿制药参赛者,德国,意大利,西班牙,和英国(英国)。方法:对每个国家进行单独的事前分析,使用特定国家/地区的标价进行参数化,每年的单位数量,以及每种疗法的市场份额。10%的折扣方案,20%,30%的患者接受了托珠单抗的检测.结果包括与药物获取相关的直接成本节省或如果将节省的费用重新定向,则可以治疗的患者数量增加。测试了两种生物相似物转化方案。结果:与100%转化为阿达木单抗生物仿制药相关的节省范围从10.5欧元到1.87亿欧元(英国和德国,分别),或额外的1,096至19,454名患者可以使用节省成本的方法进行治疗。在最保守的情况下,引入托珠单抗生物仿制药可节省高达2930万欧元。独家使用tocilizumab生物仿制药(折扣30%)可以将节省的费用增加到28.8欧元至1.13亿欧元,或扩大各国现有43%的tocilizumab用户的使用。结论:这项研究证明了通过增加生物类似药的采用可以实现的好处,不仅在尚未开发的托珠单抗市场,但也可以通过阿达木单抗等成熟市场的增量增加。随着全球医疗保健预算继续面临下行压力,增加生物仿制药市场份额的策略可能被证明有助于管理财务约束。
    UNASSIGNED: Biosimilars improve patient access by providing cost-effective treatment options. This study assessed the potential for savings and expanded patient access with increased use of two biosimilar disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs): (a) approved adalimumab biosimilars and (b) the first tocilizumab biosimilar, representing an established biosimilar field and a recent biosimilar entrant in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom (UK).
    UNASSIGNED: Separate ex-ante analyses were conducted for each country, parameterized using country-specific list prices, unit volumes annually, and market shares for each therapy. Discounting scenarios of 10%, 20%, and 30% were tested for tocilizumab. Outputs included direct cost-savings associated with drug acquisition or the incremental number of patients that could be treated if savings were redirected. Two biosimilar conversion scenarios were tested.
    UNASSIGNED: Savings associated with a 100% conversion to adalimumab biosimilar ranged from €10.5 to €187 million (UK and Germany, respectively), or an additional 1,096 to 19,454 patients that could be treated using the cost-savings. Introduction of a tocilizumab biosimilar provided savings up to €29.3 million in the most conservative scenario. Exclusive use of tocilizumab biosimilars (at a 30% discount) could increase savings to €28.8 to €113 million or expand access to an additional 43% of existing tocilizumab users across countries.
    UNASSIGNED: This study demonstrates the benefits that can be realized through increased biosimilar adoption, not only in an untapped tocilizumab market, but also through incremental increases in well-established markets such as adalimumab. As healthcare budgets continue to face downwards pressure globally, strategies to increase biosimilar market share could prove useful to help manage financial constraints.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    癌症的经济和死亡负担在全球范围内都很高。在欧洲,在2020年,癌症导致130万人死亡,估计因过早死亡而造成的费用为500亿欧元。人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)和乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)是感染相关癌症的主要原因之一,尽管有有效的疫苗针对这些感染。这项分析估计了HBV和HPV相关癌症的死亡率和生产力损失,这些癌症可以通过欧洲地区的疫苗接种来预防。
    健康指标评估研究所(IHME)数据用于估计死亡率,多年的生命损失(YLL),以及五种与HBV和HPV相关的癌症(口腔,口咽,喉部,子宫颈,和肝癌),2019年在40个欧洲国家。基于可归因于感染的分数来估计可预防的死亡和YLL。世界银行关于人均国内生产总值的数据被用来估计VYLL。通过敏感性和情景分析探索了这些结果的稳健性。
    2019年,由于整个欧洲的生产力下降,31,906例癌症死亡造成了18,521,614,725欧元的经济负担。HPV相关的宫颈癌死亡率最高(19,473例死亡)和经济负担最高(10,706,253,185欧元)。HBV相关肝癌和HPV相关喉部,口腔,口咽癌症也有很大的负担,尤其是男性。东欧的年历最高(308,179;39%),西欧的年历最高(8,281,306,504欧元;45%),尽管每名死亡人数最高的是北欧(923,638欧元)。与HPV相关的口咽癌具有最高的VYLL/死亡(656,607欧元)。
    HPV和HBV相关癌症死亡与欧洲的大量死亡率和生产力损失有关。通过继续优先考虑和实施预防性公共卫生措施,包括系统意识,可以减少这种情况,疫苗接种,和筛选工作。
    UNASSIGNED: The economic and mortality burden of cancer is high worldwide. In Europe, cancer was responsible for 1.3 million deaths in 2020 and incurred an estimated cost of €50 billion from premature mortality. Human papillomavirus (HPV) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) are among the leading causes of infection-related cancers despite the availability of effective vaccines against these infections. This analysis estimated the mortality and productivity loss of HBV- and HPV-associated cancers that could be preventable through vaccination across European regions.
    UNASSIGNED: Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation (IHME) data were used to estimate mortality, years of life lost (YLL), and the value of years of life lost (VYLL) from five HBV- and HPV-related cancers (oral cavity, oropharynx, larynx, cervical, and liver cancers) across 40 European countries in 2019. Preventable deaths and YLL were estimated based on fractions attributable to infections. Data from the World Bank on GDP per capita were used to estimate the VYLL. The robustness of these results was explored with sensitivity and scenario analyses.
    UNASSIGNED: In 2019, 31,906 cancer deaths resulted in an economic burden of €18,521,614,725 due to productivity losses across Europe. HPV-related cervical cancer had the highest mortality (19,473 deaths) and economic burden (€10,706,253,185). HBV-related liver cancer and HPV-related larynx, oral cavity, and oropharynx cancers also had a substantial burden, particularly in males. Eastern Europe had the highest YLL (308,179; 39%) and Western Europe was responsible for the greatest VYLL (€8,281,306,504; 45%), although the highest VYLL per death was in Northern Europe (€923,638). HPV-related oropharynx cancer had the highest VYLL per death (€656,607).
    UNASSIGNED: HPV- and HBV-related cancer deaths are associated with substantial mortality and productivity losses in Europe, which could be reduced by the continued prioritization and implementation of prophylactic public health measures including systematic awareness, vaccination, and screening efforts.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    可持续发展和提高国内出口增加值率(DVARE)已成为追求高质量经济增长的重要优先事项。本研究使用2008年至2019年中国企业的数据建立了计量经济空间模型。根据一项研究,出口\‘国内附加值率(DVAR)可以通过环境、社会,和治理(ESG)实践。空间溢出分析表明,采用ESG做法可以在区域内部和区域之间促进DVAR的出口。根据异质性分析,由于ESG实践,样本在DVARE中的总体增长主要归因于混合和加工贸易组织,东部地区,和大公司。对基础机制的研究表明,实施先进技术的企业能够加强ESG实践对DVARE的有利影响。本文提供了来自现实世界研究的证据,表明ESG实践如何帮助促进中国出口和促进可持续发展。这些发现对其他发展中国家在向经济增长模式过渡时具有重要意义。
    Sustainable development and raising the domestic value-added rate of exports (DVARE) have become essential priorities in the pursuit of high-quality economic growth. An econometric spatial model is developed in this research using data on Chinese enterprises spanning 2008 to 2019. According to a study, exports\' domestic value-added rate (DVAR) can be successfully increased using environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices. Spatial spillover analysis demonstrates that adopting ESG practices boosts export DVAR both within and between regions. According to heterogeneity analysis, the sample\'s overall increase in DVARE as a result of ESG practices is mostly attributable to the mix and processing trade organizations, the eastern area, and large firms. An examination of the underlying mechanisms shows that businesses that implement advanced technologies are able to reinforce the favorable impact of ESG practices on DVARE. This article gives evidence from real-world studies that show how ESG practices help boost Chinese exports and advance sustainable development. The findings hold significant implications for other developing nations as they make the transition towards a pattern of economic growth.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了描述2型糖尿病(T2D)成年患者开始注射胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂(GLP-1RA)治疗后的医疗保健资源利用(HCRU)和相关成本,观察,在法国进行24个月的Trophies学习,德国,和意大利。
    HCRU的成本计算数据是在GLP-1RA开始服用每周一次杜拉鲁肽或每天一次利拉鲁肽后约6、12、18和24个月的基线和随访访视期间由治疗医师收集的。从国家医疗系统(第三方付款人)的角度评估了成本,并更新到2018年的价格。
    总共,2,005例患者符合HCRU分析的条件(1,014杜拉鲁肽;991利拉鲁肽)。治疗组和国家之间的基线患者特征通常相似。在基线(42.9-43.4%)和第24个月(44.0-45.1%)使用≥2种口服降糖药物(GLM)和在第24个月(15.3-23.2%)使用另一种可注射GLM的患者比例最大的是法国。在每个评估期间,法国(范围=4.0-10.7)和德国(范围=2.9-5.7)的初级和二级医疗保健接触者的平均人数最高,分别。每位患者平均年化成本的最大比例(≥60%)包括药物成本。每位患者的平均年度HCRU费用因治疗队列和国家而异:最高水平是法国的利拉鲁肽队列(909欧元)和德国的杜拉鲁肽队列(883欧元)。
    限制包括排除在GLP-1RA启动时使用胰岛素的患者,以及由医生收集HCRU数据,不是通过病人完成的日记。
    现实世界中的HCRU和与T2D成人治疗相关的成本在《财富》中使用两个GLP-1RA强调,在评估特定国家/地区的新疗法的影响时,需要避免对HCRU和与特定疗法相关的成本进行概括。
    胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂(GLP-1RA)已成为2型糖尿病(T2D)中高血糖症的常用治疗方法。并非所有类型的临床研究都提供有关这些治疗的成本或它们可能对使用其他药物和设备来控制T2D或需要去看医生或护士以及在医院接受不同类型治疗的影响的信息。这项研究在法国成年人的常规护理中收集了这些信息,德国,或意大利,他们的家庭医生或T2D专家开了杜拉鲁肽或利拉鲁肽(两种类型的GLP-1RA)。在这三个国家中,使用杜拉鲁肽或利拉鲁肽的人与使用相同GLP-1RA的人之间的成本以及对其他药物和医疗服务的需求存在差异。这项研究的信息可用于更准确地了解患者在法国使用杜拉鲁肽或利拉鲁肽时所需的总成本和医疗护理,德国,或者意大利。
    UNASSIGNED: To describe healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and associated costs after initiation of injectable glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1 RA) therapy by adult patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) in the prospective, observational, 24-month TROPHIES study in France, Germany, and Italy.
    UNASSIGNED: HCRU data for cost calculations were collected by treating physicians during patient interviews at baseline and follow-up visits approximately 6, 12, 18, and 24 months after GLP-1 RA initiation with once-weekly dulaglutide or once-daily liraglutide. Costs were evaluated from the national healthcare system (third-party payer) perspective and updated to 2018 prices.
    UNASSIGNED: In total, 2,005 patients were eligible for the HCRU analysis (1,014 dulaglutide; 991 liraglutide). Baseline patient characteristics were generally similar between treatment groups and countries. The largest proportions of patients using ≥2 oral glucose-lowering medications (GLMs) at baseline (42.9-43.4%) and month 24 (44.0-45.1%) and using another injectable GLM at month 24 (15.3-23.2%) were in France. Mean numbers of primary and secondary healthcare contacts during each assessment period were highest in France (range = 4.0-10.7) and Germany (range = 2.9-5.7), respectively. The greatest proportions (≥60%) of mean annualized costs per patient comprised medication costs. Mean annualized HCRU costs per patient varied by treatment cohort and country: the highest levels were in the liraglutide cohort in France (€909) and the dulaglutide cohort in Germany (€883).
    UNASSIGNED: Limitations included exclusion of patients using insulin at GLP-1 RA initiation and collection of HCRU data by physician, not via patient-completed diaries.
    UNASSIGNED: Real-world HCRU and costs associated with the treatment of adults with T2D with two GLP-1 RAs in TROPHIES emphasize the need to avoid generalization with respect to HCRU and costs associated with a particular therapy when estimating the impact of a new treatment in a country-specific setting.
    Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) have become frequent treatments of hyperglycemia in type-2 diabetes (T2D). Not all types of clinical study provide information about the cost of these treatments or the effects they might have on use of other medicines and equipment to control T2D or the need for visits to a doctor or nurse and different types of treatment in hospital. This study collected this information during the regular care of adults in France, Germany, or Italy who were prescribed either dulaglutide or liraglutide (both types of GLP-1 RAs) by their family doctor or a specialist in T2D. There were differences in costs and the need for other medicines and medical services between people using either dulaglutide or liraglutide and for people who were using the same GLP-1 RA in each of the three countries. The information from this study could be used to more accurately understand the overall costs and medical care needed when patients use dulaglutide or liraglutide in France, Germany, or Italy.
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