Models, Econometric

模型,计量经济学
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    作为一种新型的经济业态,数字经济具有三大特点:技术、创新,节能环保。作用于国民经济的各个部门,这有利于提高碳排放效率,对实现中国的碳峰值和碳中和两大目标具有重要意义。首先,数字经济对碳排放效率影响机理的理论分析,提出关于直接影响的研究假设,中介效应,数字经济对碳排放效率的空间效应。其次,基于2011-2020年中国279个城市的面板数据,构建计量模型,调解,数字经济对碳排放效率的空间效应。结果表明:1)数字经济可以提高碳排放效率;2)数字经济对碳排放效率的影响呈“U”形关系,这与“环境库兹涅茨曲线”假设一致;3)数字经济对碳排放效率的影响存在于城市异质性中,具体表现为区域异质性和城市规模异质性;4)技术创新是数字经济中提高碳排放效率的重要中介,在数字经济中促进技术创新可以提高碳排放效率;5)数字经济对碳排放效率具有空间效应,从而提高周边城市的碳排放效率。最后,基于上述结果,从三个方面提出了建议:推动数字经济重要产业和重点领域深耕碳排放,强调数字经济发展的区域平衡,加强数字经济发展的区域合作,继续发挥数字经济对提高碳排放效率的积极作用。
    As a new type of economic format, digital economy has three major characteristics: technical, innovative, energy-saving and environmentally friendly. Acting on various sectors of the national economy, it is beneficial for improving carbon emission efficiency and is of great significance for achieving China\'s two major goals of carbon peak and carbon neutrality. Firstly, theoretical analysis of the impact mechanism of digital economy on carbon emission efficiency, proposing research hypotheses on the direct effect, mediating effect, and spatial effect of digital economy on carbon emission efficiency. Secondly, based on panel data from 279 cities in China from 2011 to 2020, the econometric models are constructed to empirically analyze the direct, mediating, and spatial effects of digital economy on carbon emission efficiency. The results show that: 1) Digital economy can improve carbon emission efficiency; 2) The impact of digital economy on carbon emission efficiency has a \"U\"-shaped relationship, which is consistent with the \"Environmental Kuznets Curve\" hypothesis; 3) The impacts of digital economy on carbon emission efficiency exist in urban heterogeneity, specifically manifested as regional heterogeneity and urban scale heterogeneity; 4) Technological innovation is an important mediator for improving carbon emission efficiency in digital economy, and promoting technological innovation in digital economy can improve carbon emission efficiency; 5) Digital economy has spatial effect on carbon emission efficiency, which can improve the carbon emission efficiency of neighboring cities. Finally, based on the above results, suggestions are proposed from three aspects: promoting important industries and key areas for deep cultivation of carbon emission in digital economy, emphasizing regional balance in the development of digital economy, and strengthening regional cooperation in the development of digital economy, in order to continue to play a positive role in improving carbon emission efficiency through digital economy.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中国是一个农业大国,大部分人口居住在农村地区。农村卫生资源配置对农村居民基本生命健康权益的影响显著。尽管中国政府在改善农村医疗保健方面取得了进展,仍有改进的空间。本研究旨在评估中国农村卫生资源配置效率的空间溢出效应。特别关注乡镇卫生院(THC),并考察影响这一效率的因素,为我国农村卫生资源的优化配置提供建议。
    本研究通过使用超效率SBM模型和全球Malmquist模型,分析了2012年至2021年中国农村地区的卫生资源配置效率。此外,通过Moran检验验证了THC卫生资源配置效率的空间自相关性,构建了三个空间计量经济模型,进一步分析了效率的影响因素。
    主要发现是:首先,THC中卫生资源分配的平均效率为0.676,这表明过去10年卫生资源分配效率普遍低下.其次,THC的平均Malmquist生产率指数为0.968,表明效率呈下降趋势,具有非规模和非技术效率特征。第三,Moran指数分析表明,效率具有显著的空间自相关,大多数省份的值位于空间集聚象限。第四,SDM模型确定了不同程度影响THC卫生资源配置效率的几个因素,包括总卫生资源配置的效率,人口密度,PGDP,城市失业率,人均可支配收入,人均医疗支出比率,公共卫生预算,和客运量。
    为了提高中国THC医疗资源配置的效率,政府不仅要管理卫生资源的投资,以符合卫生服务的实际需求,还要利用效率的空间溢出效应。这涉及到关注医疗资源总体配置效率等因素,人口密度,等。切实提高卫生资源配置效率,保障农村居民健康。
    UNASSIGNED: China is a large agricultural nation with the majority of the population residing in rural areas. The allocation of health resources in rural areas significantly affects the basic rights to life and health for rural residents. Despite the progress made by the Chinese government in improving rural healthcare, there is still room for improvement. This study aims to assess the spatial spillover effects of rural health resource allocation efficiency in China, particularly focusing on township health centers (THCs), and examine the factors influencing this efficiency to provide recommendations to optimize the allocation of health resources in rural China.
    UNASSIGNED: This study analyzed health resource allocation efficiency in Chinese rural areas from 2012 to 2021 by using the super-efficiency SBM model and the global Malmquist model. Additionally, the spatial auto-correlation of THC health resource allocation efficiency was verified through Moran test, and three spatial econometric models were constructed to further analyze the factors influencing efficiency.
    UNASSIGNED: The key findings are: firstly, the average efficiency of health resource allocation in THCs was 0.676, suggesting a generally inefficient allocation of health resources over the decade. Secondly, the average Malmquist productivity index of THCs was 0.968, indicating a downward trend in efficiency with both non-scale and non-technical efficient features. Thirdly, Moran\'s Index analysis revealed that efficiency has a significant spatial auto-correlation and most provinces\' values are located in the spatial agglomeration quadrant. Fourthly, the SDM model identified several factors that impact THC health resource allocation efficiency to varying degrees, including the efficiency of total health resource allocation, population density, PGDP, urban unemployment rate, per capita disposable income, per capita healthcare expenditure ratio, public health budget, and passenger traffic volume.
    UNASSIGNED: To enhance the efficiency of THC healthcare resource allocation in China, the government should not only manage the investment of health resources to align with the actual demand for health services but also make use of the spatial spillover effect of efficiency. This involves focusing on factors such as total healthcare resource allocation efficiency, population density, etc. to effectively enhance the efficiency of health resource allocation and ensure the health of rural residents.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    根据2018年CHARLS的数据,本文利用MEPI和10%的阈值指标,分别,评估中国中老年人的能源贫困(EP)状况,关注能源服务的不可用和不可承受性。此外,构建了一个计量经济学模型来研究EP对中老年人健康和福利的影响。回归结果表明,EP对中老年人的健康和福利有显著的负面影响。在进行内生性和稳健性检验后,这一结论仍然稳健,证明其有效性。最后,根据计算结果,我们提出了相关的政策建议,包括加强农村地区老年人的能源服务,将家庭能源替代品与有针对性的扶贫相结合,加强监测机制,并开展能量教育活动,以缓解EP并提高中老年人的生活质量。
    Drawing upon data from the 2018 CHARLS, this paper utilizes MEPI and a 10% threshold indicator to, respectively, assess the energy poverty (EP) status among middle-aged and older adults in China, focusing on the unavailability and unaffordability of energy services. Additionally, an econometric model is constructed to investigate the effects of EP on the health and welfare of middle-aged and older adults. Regression results indicate that EP exerts a significant negative impact on the health and welfare of middle-aged and older adults. This conclusion remains robust after conducting endogeneity and robustness tests, demonstrating its validity. Finally, based on the calculation results, we propose relevant policy recommendations including enhancing energy services for older adults in rural areas, integrating household energy alternatives with targeted poverty alleviation, enhancing monitoring mechanisms, and conducting energy education activities to alleviate EP and improve the quality of life of middle-aged and older adults.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    研究中小企业(SME)获得银行融资对欧元区经济至关重要。中小企业在很大程度上代表了欧洲商业部门,雇用约1亿人,占国内生产总值的一半以上。该领域的研究通常依赖于ECB/EC对企业融资渠道(SAFE)的调查。许多研究采用probit或logit模型,其分类因变量来自SAFE。研究结果表明,几乎没有任何研究采用更简单的线性概率模型(LPM),主要缺乏提供证明模型选择过程和适用性的证据的研究。然而,众所周知,不同的计量经济学模型可能缺乏一致性,并经常产生不同的结果。然而,文献对最佳计量经济学方法没有共识。此外,文献中缺乏确保模型有效性的稳健性检验,强调需要对主导SAFE数据使用的方法框架进行全面审查。本文通过引入强大的方法论框架来解决已确定的研究差距,该框架可帮助研究人员在使用SAFE数据时识别和选择适当的分类模型。该研究通过确定在三个常见的二元依赖模型中选择适当模型时需要考虑的四个标准,为现有文献增加了重要价值:LPM,probit和logit模型。研究结果表明,概率模型在所有情况下都是合适的,但LPM不应该被忽视,因为它可以在两种情况下使用:当考虑货币政策和债务对资产以及货币政策和创新之间的相互作用时。LPM的使用被认为是一个不太复杂的计量经济学模型,允许更清晰地传达结果。这种创新,在使用SAFE数据时选择适当的计量经济学分类依赖模型的稳健方法有助于有效地支持政策。
    Research on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) access to bank finance is vital for the euro area economy. SMEs heavily represent the European business sector, employing around 100 million people and accounting for more than half of the Gross Domestic Product. Research studies in the field often rely on the ECB/EC Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE). Many studies employ probit or logit models with categorical dependent variables derived from SAFE. The research findings show that hardly any study employs the simpler linear probability model (LPM), with a dominant lack of research providing evidence that justifies the model selection process and suitability. However, it is well known that different econometrics models can lack consistency and frequently yield different results. Yet, the literature has no consensus on the best econometric approach. In addition, there is a lack of robustness tests in the literature to ensure model validity, underlining the need for a comprehensive review of the methodological framework that dominates SAFE data use. This paper addresses the identified research gap by introducing a robust methodological framework that helps researchers identify and choose an appropriate categorical model when using SAFE data. The study adds significant value to the extant literature by identifying four criteria that need to be considered when selecting the appropriate model among three common binary dependent models: LPM, probit and logit models. The findings show that the probit model was appropriate is all cases but that the LPM should not be disregarded, as it can be used in two cases: when considering the interaction between monetary policy and debt to assets and monetary policy and innovation. The use of the LPM is justified as a less complex econometric model, allowing for clearer communication of the results. This innovative, robust approach to choosing the appropriate econometric categorical dependent model when employing SAFE data contributes to support policy effectively.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究评估了resmetirom作为治疗成人非肝硬化非酒精性脂肪性肝炎(NASH)伴中度至晚期肝纤维化的预算影响,并估计了美国假设的私人付款人的总成本。
    为假设的100万成员私人健康计划开发了基于开放队列状态过渡模型的三年预算影响分析。比较器是护理标准(SOC),定义为非肝硬化NASH患者中晚期肝纤维化的常规护理。每一年,通过流行,事件,和诊断率估计。成本包括私人付款人的医疗和药房福利所产生的资源,包括雷斯梅特罗姆药物收购成本,诊断和监测,按疾病进展状态分层的其他医疗和其他处方费用(即,非肝硬化与肝硬化/晚期肝病)。将Resmetirom不良事件管理成本纳入敏感性分析。药物成本是根据截至2024年3月的平均批发采购成本估算的。其他费用基于已公布的资料来源,并膨胀至2023美元。预算影响结果汇总显示,net,并以每个成员每月(PMPM)为基础。
    与没有resmetirom的场景相比,瑞美特罗姆的引入产生了50至238名接受治疗的患者的结果,净预算影响为2.2至950万美元,在第一年和第三年,PMPM从0.19美元提高到0.80美元。不包括resmetirom的净成本随着时间的推移而下降。在敏感性分析中,结果对诊断和流行病学输入最敏感.
    市场份额基于内部预测,很短的时间范围,平均治疗效果,
    在非肝硬化NASH合并中度至晚期肝纤维化的处方集中采用resmetirom导致预算影响适度增加,与NASH进展相关的成本下降。
    非酒精性脂肪性肝炎(NASH)是一种严重的肝脏疾病,可导致严重的肝脏损害,其他健康并发症,增加医疗费用。随着疾病的进展,患者通常经历恶化的健康结果。直到最近,在美国,没有食品和药物管理局(FDA)批准的NASH治疗方法.然而,2024年3月,FDA批准了REZDIFFRA™,一种专门设计用于治疗患有中度至晚期肝纤维化的NASH患者的新药(即,NASH伴有中度至晚期的肝脏瘢痕形成)。临床试验表明,REZDIFFRA™可以改善这些患者的健康结果。确定可从REZDIFFRA™获益的患者并估算相关费用,我们开发了一个预算影响模型。在这项研究中,我们详细介绍了该模型的发展,并介绍了其发现。我们的分析显示,虽然REZDIFFRA™与较高的总成本相关,主要是由于药物本身的价格,考虑到药物减缓疾病进展的能力,有潜在的成本节约。
    UNASSIGNED: This study assessed the budget impact of resmetirom as a treatment for adults with non-cirrhotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with moderate-to-advanced liver fibrosis and estimated total costs for a hypothetical private payer in the United States.
    UNASSIGNED: A three-year budget impact analysis based on an open cohort state transition model was developed for a hypothetical one-million-member private health plan. The comparator was Standard of Care (SOC), defined as routine care for non-cirrhotic NASH patients with moderate-to-advanced liver fibrosis. Each year, the number of resmetirom treatment-eligible patients was estimated through prevalent, incident, and diagnostic rate estimates. Costs included resources incurred by the medical and pharmacy benefits of private payers, including resmetirom drug acquisition costs, diagnosis and monitoring, other medical and other prescription costs stratified by disease progression status (i.e. non-cirrhotic vs. cirrhotic/advanced liver diseases). Resmetirom adverse event management costs were included in sensitivity analysis. Drug costs were estimated based on the average wholesale acquisition cost as of March 2024. Other costs were based on published sources and inflated to 2023 US dollars. Budget impact outcomes were presented in aggregate, net, and on a per-member per-month (PMPM) basis.
    UNASSIGNED: Compared with a scenario without resmetirom, the introduction of resmetirom yielded results ranging from 50 to 238 treated patients, net budget impact of $2.2 to $9.5 million, and PMPM from $0.19 to $0.80 over years one and three. Net costs excluding resmetirom declined over time. In sensitivity analyses, results were most sensitive to diagnostic and epidemiologic inputs.
    UNASSIGNED: Market shares are based on internal forecasts, a short time horizon, average treatment effects, and other limitations common to BIMs.
    UNASSIGNED: The adoption of resmetirom on the formulary for the treatment of non-cirrhotic NASH with moderate-to-advanced liver fibrosis resulted in a moderate increase in budget impact with declining costs related to NASH progression.
    Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a serious liver disease that can lead to significant liver damage, other health complications, and increased healthcare costs. As the disease progresses, patients typically experience worsening health outcomes. Until recently, there were no Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved treatments for NASH in the United States. However, in March 2024, the FDA approved REZDIFFRA, a new drug specifically designed to treat NASH patients with moderate-to-advanced liver fibrosis (i.e. NASH with moderate-to-advanced scarring of the liver). Clinical trials have shown that REZDIFFRA can improve health outcomes in these patients.To identify patients who could benefit from REZDIFFRA and to estimate the associated costs, we developed a budget impact model. In this study, we detail the development of this model and present its findings. Our analysis revealed that, while REZDIFFRA is associated with higher overall costs, primarily due to the price of the drug itself, there are potential cost savings when considering the drug’s ability to slow disease progression.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    COVID-19大流行期间的全球人口涌入对公共卫生构成了重大挑战,使传染病的预防和控制成为紧迫的问题。本文旨在研究人口流入对传染病传播的影响,特别强调空气污染在这一过程中的中介作用。进行了理论分析,以探讨人口流入之间的关系,空气污染,和传染病。此外,我们建立了一系列计量经济模型,并采用了各种实证检验和分析技术,包括调解效果测试,阈值效应测试,和系统的GMM测试,评估我们的假设。结果表明:(1)人口流入直接和间接影响传染病。具体来说,人口流入不仅直接增加了传染病的风险,而且还通过加剧空气污染间接增加了传染病的发病率。(2)人口流入对传染病的影响具有区域异质性。与中国中西部相比,东部地区的传染病风险明显更高,超过全国平均水平。(3)外部因素对人口流入与传染病的关系有不同程度的影响。个人收入和医疗资源都有助于减轻因人口涌入而导致传染病的风险,医疗资源有更大的影响。与预期相反,丰富的教育资源并没有降低风险,相反,它们加剧了与人口涌入相关的风险。为制定有效的传染病防控策略提供科学依据。
    The global population influx during the COVID-19 pandemic poses significant challenges to public health, making the prevention and control of infectious diseases a pressing concern. This paper aims to examine the impact of population influx on the spread of infectious diseases, with a specific emphasis on the mediating role of air pollution in this process. A theoretical analysis is conducted to explore the relationship between population influx, air pollution, and infectious diseases. Additionally, we establish a series of econometric models and employ various empirical tests and analytical techniques, including mediation effect test, threshold effect test, and systematic GMM test, to evaluate our hypotheses. The results indicate that: (1) Population influx directly and indirectly impacts infectious diseases. Specifically, population influx not only directly elevates the risk of infectious diseases, but also indirectly increases the incidence rate of infectious diseases by intensifying air pollution. (2) The impact of population inflow on infectious diseases exhibits regional heterogeneity. Compared to central and western China, the eastern regions exhibit a significantly higher risk of infectious diseases, exceeding the national average. (3) External factors influence the relationship between population influx and infectious diseases differently. Personal income and medical resources both help mitigate the risk of infectious diseases due to population influx, with medical resources having a more substantial effect. Contrary to expectations, abundant educational resources have not reduced the risk, instead, they have exacerbated the risk associated with population influx. This paper provides a scientific basis for formulating effective strategies for the prevention and control of infectious diseases.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尽管关于减少碳排放的研究很多,从空间结构的角度理解宏观经济因素对二氧化碳(CO2)排放的影响存在显著差距。本研究旨在通过调查1989年至2020年间六个东非国家的宏观经济因素对二氧化碳排放的影响,为文献做出贡献。使用空间计量经济面板模型,研究分析了变量之间的空间依赖性。实证结果表明,人均国内生产总值(GDP)和电力消费对碳排放有积极的直接和间接影响,虽然燃料价格和出口有负面的直接影响,但对邻国的积极溢出效应。进口对当地经济有积极影响,而是负面的溢出效应。此外,城市人口对环境没有显著影响。这些发现为东非国家优化空间增长模式和实现低碳经济提供了重要的政策含义。
    Despite the abundance of research on reducing carbon emissions, there is a significant gap in understanding the influence of macroeconomic factors on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from a spatial-structural perspective. This study aims to contribute to the literature by investigating the impact of macroeconomic factors on carbon dioxide emissions in six East African countries between 1989 and 2020. Using spatial econometric panel models, the study analyzed spatial dependence among the variables. The empirical findings indicate that gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and electricity consumption have positive direct and indirect effects on carbon emissions, while fuel prices and exports have negative direct effects, but positive spillover effects on neighboring countries. Imports have a positive impact on local economies, but negative spillover effects. Additionally, the urban population has no significant impact on the environment. These findings provide important policy implications for optimizing spatial growth patterns and achieving a low-carbon economy in East African countries.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究调查了经合组织国家的健康主导增长假说(HLGH),研究卫生支出如何影响经济增长以及不同卫生筹资系统在这种关系中的作用。
    利用2000年至2019年对38个经合组织国家的综合分析,采用了先进的计量经济学方法。两种第二代面板数据估计器(动态CCEMG,CS-ARDL,AMG)和第一代型号(带PMG的面板ARDL,FMOLS,DOLS)用于检验假设。
    研究结果证实了卫生支出对经济增长的积极影响,支持HLGH。在不同的卫生筹资系统中,卫生支出刺激经济增长的能力存在显着差异,包括俾斯麦号,贝弗里奇,私人健康保险,和过渡中的系统模型。
    这项研究通过提供对卫生支出与经济增长之间关系的详尽分析,丰富了正在进行的学术对话。它为决策者提供了有关如何优化卫生投资以促进经济发展的宝贵见解,考虑到不同卫生筹资框架的不同影响。
    UNASSIGNED: This study investigates the Health-Led Growth Hypothesis (HLGH) within OECD countries, examining how health expenditures influence economic growth and the role of different health financing systems in this relationship.
    UNASSIGNED: Utilizing a comprehensive analysis spanning 2000 to 2019 across 38 OECD countries, advanced econometric methodologies were employed. Both second-generation panel data estimators (Dynamic CCEMG, CS-ARDL, AMG) and first-generation models (Panel ARDL with PMG, FMOLS, DOLS) were utilized to test the hypothesis.
    UNASSIGNED: The findings confirm the positive impact of health expenditures on economic growth, supporting the HLGH. Significant disparities were observed in the ability of health expenditures to stimulate economic growth across different health financing systems, including the Bismarck, Beveridge, Private Health Insurance, and System in Transition models.
    UNASSIGNED: This study enriches the ongoing academic dialog by providing an exhaustive analysis of the relationship between health expenditures and economic growth. It offers valuable insights for policymakers on how to optimize health investments to enhance economic development, considering the varying effects of different health financing frameworks.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:从社会角度评估布地奈德/福莫特罗缓解剂和维持治疗与沙美特罗/氟替卡松联合沙丁胺醇缓解治疗≥12年哮喘患者的成本-效果。方法:建立了具有三种健康状况(非恶化,恶化,和死亡)与一生的地平线。急性加重率来自对中国哮喘患者进行的前瞻性队列研究。根据当前的临床哮喘管理指南估计医疗资源利用数据。哮喘相关死亡率,成本投入和效用值来自公共数据库和文献。通过单向灵敏度和概率灵敏度分析评估模型的稳健性。结果:与沙美特罗/氟替卡松+沙丁胺醇相比,布地奈德/福莫特罗缓解剂和维持治疗导致急性加重事件减少(13.6vs.15.9)和0.0077质量调整寿命年(QALY)收益,整个寿命期间的额外成本为196.38日元。基本情况增量成本效益比(ICER)为每QALY25,409.98日元。对模型输出影响最大的变量包括药物成本和药物依从性。支付意愿门槛为257,094日元/QALY(2022年为中国人均国内生产总值的3倍),布地奈德/福莫特罗维持和缓解治疗与沙美特罗/氟替卡松加视需要沙丁胺醇相比具有成本效益的概率为83.00%.结论:从社会的角度来看,对于≥12岁的中国哮喘患者,与沙美特罗/氟替卡松加按需沙丁胺醇相比,布地奈德/福莫特罗缓解剂和维持治疗可能是一种具有成本效益的选择.
    UNASSIGNED: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of budesonide/formoterol reliever and maintenance therapy compared with salmeterol/fluticasone plus salbutamol as reliever therapy for asthma patients ≥12 years from the societal perspective in China.
    UNASSIGNED: A Markov model was developed with three health states (non-exacerbation, exacerbation, and death) with a lifetime horizon. The exacerbation rates were obtained from a prospective cohort study conducted in Chinese asthma patients. Healthcare resources utilization data were estimated based on current clinical asthma management guidelines. Asthma-related mortality, cost input and utility values were derived from public database and literature. Model robustness was assessed with one-way sensitivity and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.
    UNASSIGNED: Compared with salmeterol/fluticasone plus salbutamol, budesonide/formoterol reliever and maintenance therapy led to fewer exacerbation events (13.6 vs. 15.9) and 0.0077 quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gain at an additional cost of ¥196.38 over lifetime. The base case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was ¥25,409.98 per QALY gained. The variables that had most impact on the model output included drug costs and medication adherence. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥257,094/QALY (3 times of gross domestic product per capita in China in 2022), the probability of budesonide/formoterol maintenance and reliever therapy being cost-effective versus salmeterol/fluticasone plus as-needed salbutamol was 83.00%.
    UNASSIGNED: From the societal perspective, budesonide/formoterol reliever and maintenance therapy is likely to be a cost-effective option compared with salmeterol/fluticasone plus as-needed salbutamol for Chinese asthma patients ≥12 years.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    感染是全球13%的癌症病例的原因,人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)和乙型肝炎(HBV)在与癌症相关的感染中可用疫苗。这项研究的目的是估计在中东和北非(MENA)国家由HPV和HBV引起的癌症相关的过早死亡的间接成本。
    2019年四种HPV相关癌症的死亡人数和生命损失年数(YLL):宫颈癌,口腔癌,喉癌,口咽癌症,以及HBV相关的肝癌来自健康指标评估研究所(IHME)全球疾病负担数据库。HPV归因分数应用于死亡和YLL。人力资本方法被用来衡量生产力损失,通过年值(VYLL),并使用人均国内生产总值(世界银行;美元)进行估算。包括中东和北非地区的17个国家。由于数据的可获得性,该区域有四个国家未被列入。
    2019年,MENA地区有11,645例可能与疫苗可预防的癌症相关死亡。这导致间接费用为1688821605美元,其中76.1%在中东应计(1284923633美元)。中东的死亡人数(5,986)与北非(5,659)相似,但与中东(169,207)相比,北非(179,425)的死亡人数更高。每位死亡的间接费用最高发生在卡塔尔(1,378,991美元),相比之下,苏丹为14,962美元。口腔癌的每位死亡VYLL最高(186,084美元)。
    在MENA地区,过早死亡和潜在的疫苗可预防的癌症相关死亡的间接成本负担很高。改进疫苗接种计划的实施,增加HPV和HBV疫苗接种的疫苗覆盖率,并继续优先考虑公共卫生措施,比如筛查,可以有效降低过早死亡率和相关成本。
    UNASSIGNED: Infections are responsible for ∼13% of cancer cases worldwide, with human papillomavirus (HPV) and hepatitis B (HBV) among the infections associated with cancer for which vaccines are available. The aim of this study was to estimate the indirect cost of premature mortality related to cancers caused by HPV and HBV in Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries.
    UNASSIGNED: The number of deaths and years of life lost (YLL) in 2019 from four HPV-related cancers: cervical cancer, oral cavity cancer, laryngeal cancer, and oropharynx cancer, as well as HBV-related liver cancer were sourced from the Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation (IHME) Global Burden of Disease database. HPV-attributable fractions were applied to deaths and YLL. The human capital approach was used to measure productivity loss, through value of YLL (VYLL), and estimated using gross domestic product per capita (World Bank; in USD). Seventeen countries in the MENA region were included. Four countries in the region were not included due to data availability.
    UNASSIGNED: In 2019, there were 11,645 potentially vaccine-preventable cancer-related deaths across the MENA region. This resulted in an indirect cost of $1,688,821,605, with 76.1% of this accrued in the Middle East ($1,284,923,633). The number of deaths in the Middle East (5,986) were similar to Northern Africa (5,659) but YLL were higher in Northern Africa (179,425) compared to the Middle East (169,207). The highest indirect cost per death occurred in Qatar ($1,378,991), compared to $14,962 in Sudan. Oral cavity cancer had the highest VYLL per death ($186,084).
    UNASSIGNED: There is a high burden of premature mortality and indirect costs of potentially vaccine-preventable cancer-related deaths in the MENA region. Improved vaccination program implementation, increased vaccine coverage of HPV and HBV vaccinations, and continued prioritization of public health measures, such as screening, could effectively reduce premature mortality and associated costs.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

公众号