Industrial Development

工业发展
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:健康旅游是可能影响一个地区发展方向的重要组成部分。Mazandarn,伊朗,由于其丰富的自然资源,被认为是该地区高度可持续的市场,温带温度,战略地理位置。因此,考虑到健康旅游的重要性及其在Mazandaran的现有潜力,伊朗,这项研究旨在探索社区健康旅游产业发展的本地驱动因素和影响健康旅游吸引力的因素。
    方法:我们在Mazandarn进行了这项研究,伊朗,使用定性的方法。参与者包括伊朗人民的样本,34-54岁,具有健康旅游的历史或专家。参与者从社区的三个不同类别中选出:健康旅游的学术专业人员,健康旅游经理,健康游客。数据是通过半结构化的深入访谈和焦点小组讨论获得的。归纳定性内容分析用于通过参与者数据进行主题融合和比较。访谈一直持续到数据饱和为止。
    结果:根据我们的发现,我们将社区健康旅游业发展中的本地驱动因素提炼为五个主要类别和30个子类别:(SharifabadiAM,ArdakaniFA。亚兹德省基于模糊TOPSIS和解释结构模型的健康旅游开发模型。JHealthAdm(JHA).2014年;17:55。)基础设施和资源;(HemmatiF,DabbaghiF,MahmoudiG.调查信息技术对马什哈德健康旅游状况的影响,伊朗。RevistaPublicando.2018年;5(15):54-65。)旅游景点;(SarabiAsiabarA,RezapourA,RaeiB,TahernezhadA,AlipourV,BehzadifarM.经济,文化,伊朗医疗旅游发展的政治要求:来自模糊层次分析法的启示。MedJ伊斯兰共和国伊朗。2022年;35:199。)社会文化背景;(MosadeghradAM,SadeghiM.医疗旅游:选择伊朗的原因。Payesh(健康监测)。2021年;20(2):145-66。)经济金融因素;和(MannaR,CavalloneM,CiasulloMV,PalumboR.超越健康旅游的修辞:揭示意大利健康旅游的现实。本币问题旅游业。2020;23(14):1805-19。)政治交际因素。研究结果表明,从参与者的角度来看,尽管有几种策略,例如公共服务和旅游基础设施的发展,不断增加的旅游景点,制定发展健康旅游的适当政策和程序,他们也面临着许多挑战,尤其是政治,经济,文化挑战。
    结论:这项研究表明,改善基础设施和资源,促进旅游景点,告知社会文化背景,提高经济和金融能力,发展政治和交际环境可能会增加健康游客的吸引力。建议的组件不是上下文驱动的,尽管经验结果可能会有所不同,基于健康旅游地点的服务水平。
    BACKGROUND: Health tourism is an important component that may influence the direction of development in a region. Mazandarn, Iran, is recognized as a highly sustainable market in the region because of its abundant natural resources, temperate temperature, and strategic geographical location. Therefore, considering the importance of health tourism and its existing potential in Mazandaran, Iran, this study was conducted with the aim of exploring a comprehensive perspective on local drivers in community-based health tourism industry development and factors affecting the attraction of health tourism.
    METHODS: We conducted this study in Mazandarn, Iran, using a qualitative approach. Participants included a sample of Iranian people, aged 34-54 years, with previous history of health tourism or expert in it. Participants were selected from three different categories of the community: academic professionals in health tourism, managers in health tourism, and health tourists. Data were obtained via semi-structured in-depth interviews and focus group discussions. Inductive qualitative content analysis was used to converge and compare themes through participant data. The interviews kept going until data saturation was achieved.
    RESULTS: Based on our findings, we distilled local drivers in community-based health tourism industry development into five main categories and 30 subcategories: (Sharifabadi AM, Ardakani FA. A model for health tourism development using fuzzy TOPSIS and interpretive structural modeling in Yazd province. J Health Adm (JHA). 2014;17:55.) infrastructure and resources; (Hemmati F, Dabbaghi F, Mahmoudi G. Investigating the impact of Information Technology on the status of Health Tourism in Mashhad, Iran. Revista Publicando. 2018;5(15):54-65.) tourist attractions; (Sarabi Asiabar A, Rezapour A, Raei B, Tahernezhad A, Alipour V, Behzadifar M. Economic, Cultural, and Political Requirements for Medical Tourism Development in Iran: Insights from a Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process Method. Med J Islamic Repub Iran. 2022;35:199.) socio-cultural contexts; (Mosadeghrad AM, Sadeghi M. Medical tourism: Reasons for choosing Iran. Payesh (Health Monitor). 2021;20(2):145-66.) economic-financial factors; and (Manna R, Cavallone M, Ciasullo MV, Palumbo R. Beyond the rhetoric of health tourism: shedding light on the reality of health tourism in Italy. Curr Issues Tourism. 2020;23(14):1805-19.) political-communicative factors. The findings of the study showed that, from the participants\' point of view, although there are several strategies, such as the development of public service and tourism infrastructure, increasing tourist attractions, and formulating appropriate policies and procedures for the development of health tourism, they are also faced with many challenges, especially political, economic, and cultural challenges.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that improving infrastructure and resources, promoting tourist attractions, informing socio-cultural contexts, improving economic and financial capacity, and developing political and communicative contexts might increase the attraction of health tourists. The suggested components are not contextually driven, although empirical outcomes may differ based on the level of service offerings in health tourism locations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    该研究提请注意货币和经济要素之间的关联及其潜在的环境影响。该研究使用1960年至2022年的时间序列数据来检验二氧化碳排放之间的联系,工业增长,GNE,以及中国的通货膨胀。研究人员利用众所周知的非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)计量经济学技术来检查这些变量之间的非线性相关性。结果表明,GDP,通货膨胀,和经济发展影响长期二氧化碳排放。国民总支出与经济活动之间的强正相关增加了二氧化碳排放量。在短期内,CO2排放受到通货膨胀的积极和统计上的显著影响。虽然通货膨胀暂时影响二氧化碳排放,这种影响随着时间的推移而消失。工业活动增加了二氧化碳排放量,中国的快速工业化破坏了环境。能源密集型化肥制造过程和化石燃料增加了二氧化碳排放量。该研究表明,政府官员和学者可以合作制定量身定制的措施,以减轻经济活动对环境的影响。
    The study draws attention to the associations between monetary and economic elements and their potential environmental impacts. The study uses time series data from 1960 to 2022 to examine the connection between CO2 emissions, industrial growth, GNE, and inflation in China. The researchers utilized the well-known econometric technique of nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) to examine nonlinear correlations between these variables. The results reveal that GDP, inflation, and economic development influence long-term CO2 emissions. The strong positive correlation between gross national expenditures and economic activity increases CO2 emissions. In the short run, CO2 emissions are positively and statistically significantly affected by inflation. While inflation temporarily affects CO2 emissions, this effect dissipates with time. Industrial activity increases CO2 emissions, and China\'s fast industrialization has damaged the environment. The energy-intensive fertiliser manufacturing process and fossil fuels increase CO2 emissions. The research shows how government officials and academics may collaborate to create tailored measures to alleviate the environmental impacts of economic activity.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    区域一体化战略实施效果研究对区域综合发展能力的提升具有显著影响。长三角地区COVID-19一体化战略对城市发展的影响尚不清楚。根据先前的产业转移理论,合肥,安徽的首府,难以转移产业,和其他YRD城市推动安徽产业整合。本研究运用经济和土地资源利用理论,以工业用地作为工业经济发展的代表,考察了疫情期间工业经济的韧性。安徽的三个城市——芜湖,马鞍山,选择滁州(吴马楚)作为研究区域。该研究采用UNet深度学习方法来检测吴马楚的土地利用类型。利用土地流转矩阵和标准差椭圆来研究工业用地的变化和工业产值的空间分布,分别。结果显示,马丘市工业用地在疫情期间持续增长,突出了该地区工业经济的韧性。2019-2022年,工业产值椭圆环分布在南京,揭示了南京在融入YRD一体化中的辐射作用。这印证了中国的YRD一体化战略,加强区域经济韧性,鼓励区域经济协调发展。
    The enhancement of regional comprehensive development ability is significantly impacted by the study on the implementation effect of regional integration strategies. The integration strategy\'s impact on urban development during COVID-19 in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD) is unclear. According to prior industrial transfer theory, Hefei, Anhui\'s capital, is difficult to transfer industries, and other YRD cities push industry integration in Anhui. This study employs the theory of economic and land resource use to examine the resilience of the industrial economy during an epidemic by using industrial land as a representation of industrial economic development. The three cities in Anhui-Wuhu, Maanshan, and Chuzhou (Wu-ma-Chu) were selected as the research area. The study employed the UNet deep learning method to detect the land use types in Wu-ma-Chu. The land transfer matrix and the standard deviation ellipse were utilised to research the alterations in industrial land use and the spatial distribution of industrial output value, respectively. The results showed that the industrial land in Machu continued to grow during the outbreak, highlighting the resilience of the region\'s industrial economy. During 2019-2022, the elliptical ring of industrial output value is distributed in Nanjing, revealing the radiating role of Nanjing in integrating into the integration of the YRD. This confirms China\'s YRD integration strategy, strengthens regional economic resilience, and encourages coordinated regional economic development.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    财政补偿对光伏产业的不同企业既可能起到激励作用,也可能起到挤出作用。首先,设计了一个评价财政补偿效率的模型。然后,利用面板数据模型对影响因素进行了实证分析。结果表明,财政薪酬对73.3%的企业具有激励作用,但是它对其余企业产生了挤出效应。光伏行业企业财政补偿平均效率为1.117。前端和后端企业的财政补偿平均效率分别为1.002和1.231。财政补偿对我国光伏产业的影响随时间呈下降趋势,角色也从激励效应转变为挤出效应。企业的规模和财政补偿力度会影响财政补偿的效率。我国光伏产业财政补偿强度与财政补偿效率之间存在倒U型关系。企业越大,财政补偿效率越高。
    Fiscal compensation may play either an incentive or a crowding-out role in the different enterprises of the PV industry. First, a model for evaluating the efficiency of fiscal compensation was designed. Then, an empirical analysis of the influencing factors using a panel data model was made. Results showed that fiscal compensation had an incentive effect on 73.3 % of enterprises, but it had a crowding-out effect on the remaining enterprises. The average efficiency of fiscal compensation for enterprises in the PV industry is 1.117. The average efficiency of fiscal compensation for the front-end and back-end enterprises was 1.002 and 1.231, respectively. The impact of fiscal compensation on China\'s photovoltaic industry has shown a downward trend over time, and the role has also changed from an incentive effect to a crowding-out effect. The size of the enterprise and the intensity of fiscal compensation will affect the efficiency of fiscal compensation. There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between the intensity of fiscal compensation in China\'s photovoltaic industry and the efficiency of fiscal compensation. The larger the enterprise, the more efficient the fiscal compensation will be.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    胆汁淤积是一种肝胆疾病,其特征是肝细胞中毒性胆汁酸的过度积累,通过多种致病炎症途径导致胆汁淤积性肝损伤(CLI)。目前,胆汁淤积和相关CLI的治疗选择有限;因此,迫切需要新的选择。吡非尼酮(PF),口服生物可利用吡啶酮类似物,用于治疗特发性肺纤维化。PF最近针对不同病理表现出多种潜在的治疗活性。因此,本研究采用异硫氰酸萘酯(ANIT)诱导的小鼠CLI模型,以探讨PF的潜在保护作用并探讨其潜在的作用机制。PF干预明显降低血清ALT水平,AST,LDH,总胆红素,和总胆汁酸,伴随着由ANIT引起的组织病理学病变的显着改善。PF还保护小鼠免受ANIT诱导的肝脏氧化还原失衡,以MDA水平降低和GSH和SOD活性升高为代表。机械上,PF抑制ANIT诱导的法尼醇X受体(FXR)的表达下调,以及胆盐出口泵(BSEP)和多药耐药相关蛋白2(MRP2)胆汁酸流出通道。PF进一步抑制ANIT诱导的NF-κB激活以及TNF-α和IL-6的产生。这些有益作用与其剂量依赖性地抑制Wnt/GSK-3β/β-连环蛋白/细胞周期蛋白D1信号传导的能力有关。总的来说,PF保护小鼠免受ANIT诱导的CLI,表现出强大的抗氧化和抗炎活性以及对抗BA稳态障碍的能力。这些保护作用主要通过调节FXR之间的相互作用来介导,NF-κB/TNF-α/IL-6和Wnt/β-catenin信号通路。
    Cholestasis is a hepatobiliary disorder characterized by the excessive accumulation of toxic bile acids in hepatocytes, leading to cholestatic liver injury (CLI) through multiple pathogenic inflammatory pathways. Currently, there are limited therapeutic options for the management of cholestasis and associated CLI; therefore, new options are urgently needed. Pirfenidone (PF), an oral bioavailable pyridone analog, is used for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. PF has recently demonstrated diverse potential therapeutic activities against different pathologies. Accordingly, the present study adopted the α-naphthyl isothiocyanate (ANIT)-induced CLI model in mice to explore the potential protective impact of PF and investigate the underlying mechanisms of action. PF intervention markedly reduced the serum levels of ALT, AST, LDH, total bilirubin, and total bile acids, which was accompanied by a remarkable amelioration of histopathological lesions induced by ANIT. PF also protected the mice against ANIT-induced redox imbalance in the liver, represented by reduced MDA levels and elevated GSH and SOD activities. Mechanistically, PF inhibited ANIT-induced downregulated expressions of the farnesoid X receptor (FXR), as well as the bile salt export pump (BSEP) and the multidrug resistance-associated protein 2 (MRP2) bile acid efflux channels. PF further repressed ANIT-induced NF-κB activation and TNF-α and IL-6 production. These beneficial effects were associated with its ability to dose-dependently inhibit Wnt/GSK-3β/β-catenin/cyclin D1 signaling. Collectively, PF protects against ANIT-induced CLI in mice, demonstrating powerful antioxidant and anti-inflammatory activities as well as an ability to oppose BA homeostasis disorder. These protective effects are primarily mediated by modulating the interplay between FXR, NF-κB/TNF-α/IL-6, and Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathways.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:幼儿龋齿(ECC)是一项全球公共卫生挑战,需要创新,基础设施,和卫生系统的影响,以加强其管理和控制的举措。本次范围界定审查的目的是调查已发表的关于ECC与可持续发展目标9(SDG9)与行业相关的目标之间关联的证据,创新,基础设施建设。
    方法:范围审查遵循系统审查的首选报告项目和范围审查的Meta分析扩展(PRISMA-ScR)指南。在PubMed进行了搜索,WebofScience,和Scopus在2023年7月至8月间使用与推广弹性基础设施相关的搜索策略,可持续产业,科学研究和创新,访问互联网和ECC。仅包括英语出版物。排除了仅检查ECC而不参考SDG9靶标的研究。
    结果:搜索产生了933项研究供回顾。在筛选合格和删除重复项之后,916篇独特文章仍有待进一步筛选。然而,已确定的研究都没有提供有关弹性基础设施之间关联的数据,可持续产业,科学研究和创新,访问互联网和ECC。
    结论:没有初步研究评估ECC和SDG9之间的关联,尽管存在潜在关系的可能性。未来的研究需要为ECC和SDG9之间的联系提供证据,因为这种联系可能有助于减少未经治疗的ECC儿童的比例。
    Early childhood caries (ECC) is a global public health challenge that requires innovation, infrastructure, and health system influences to bolster initiatives for its management and control. The aim of this scoping review was to investigate the published evidence on the association between ECC and the targets of the Sustainable Development Goal 9 (SDG9) concerned with industry, innovation, and infrastructure development.
    The scoping review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) guidelines. A search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus between July and August 2023 using a search strategy related to the promotion of resilient infrastructure, sustainable industries, scientific research and innovation, access to the internet and ECC. Only English language publications were included. Studies that solely examined ECC without reference to the SDG9 targets were excluded.
    The search yielded 933 studies for review. After screening for the eligibility and removing duplicates, 916 unique articles remained for further screening. However, none of the identified studies provided data on the association between resilient infrastructure, sustainable industries, scientific research and innovation, access to the internet and ECC.
    There were no primary studies that assessed the association between ECC and SDG9, even though the plausibility of a potential relationship exists. Future studies are needed to generate evidence on the link between ECC and SDG9 as this link may contribute to the reduction in the proportion of children with untreated ECC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:工业化国家和发展中国家的现代化和西方化与慢性非传染性疾病的大幅增加有关。这种转变对生活方式产生了深远的影响,影响经济等领域,政治,社会生活,和文化,所有这些,反过来,对公众健康有不同的影响。失去与大自然的接触,微生物群的交替,加工食品消费,暴露于环境污染物,包括化学品,增加的压力和减少的体力活动共同导致增加的频率的炎症性疾病,包括过敏和许多自身免疫和神经精神疾病。本文旨在探讨西方生活方式与炎症性疾病之间的关系。
    结果:已经提出了一些假设,试图解释观察到的这些疾病的增加,如“卫生假说”,\'老朋友\',和“生物多样性和菌群失调”。最近引入的“上皮屏障理论”包含了这些以前的假设,并表明清洁剂中的有毒物质,洗衣和洗碗机洗涤剂,洗发水,牙膏,以及微塑料,包装食品和空气污染会损害我们皮肤的上皮,肺和胃肠系统。上皮屏障破坏导致微生物组的生物多样性减少和机会性病原体定植的发展。一旦与免疫系统相互作用,引发局部和全身炎症。对环境之间的相互作用有了更深入的理解,微生物组和免疫系统提供数据,以协助法律规范有毒物质的使用,实现无毒替代品,并减轻这些环境挑战,这对于促进和谐健康的全球环境至关重要。
    OBJECTIVE: Modernization and Westernization in industrialized and developing nations is associated with a substantial increase in chronic noncommunicable diseases. This transformation has far-reaching effects on lifestyles, impacting areas such as economics, politics, social life, and culture, all of which, in turn, have diverse influences on public health. Loss of contact with nature, alternations in the microbiota, processed food consumption, exposure to environmental pollutants including chemicals, increased stress and decreased physical activity jointly result in increases in the frequency of inflammatory disorders including allergies and many autoimmune and neuropsychiatric diseases. This review aims to investigate the relationship between Western lifestyle and inflammatory disorders.
    RESULTS: Several hypotheses have been put forth trying to explain the observed increases in these diseases, such as \'Hygiene Hypothesis\', \'Old Friends\', and \'Biodiversity and Dysbiosis\'. The recently introduced \'Epithelial Barrier Theory\' incorporates these former hypotheses and suggests that toxic substances in cleaning agents, laundry and dishwasher detergents, shampoos, toothpastes, as well as microplastic, packaged food and air pollution damage the epithelium of our skin, lungs and gastrointestinal system. Epithelial barrier disruption leads to decreased biodiversity of the microbiome and the development of opportunistic pathogen colonization, which upon interaction with the immune system, initiates local and systemic inflammation. Gaining a deeper comprehension of the interplay between the environment, microbiome and the immune system provides the data to assist with legally regulating the usage of toxic substances, to enable nontoxic alternatives and to mitigate these environmental challenges essential for fostering a harmonious and healthy global environment.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中国的奶牛养殖正经历着从粗放型到工业体系的关键转变。在中国的双碳目标范围内实现可持续的牛奶生产,了解工业化对温室气体(GHG)排放的多维影响势在必行。本研究全面分析了中国乳业产业化对温室气体排放的影响,并探讨了未来的减排潜力。结果表明,工业系统表现出较低的甲烷,但二氧化碳强度较高,净温室气体强度低于其他系统。在2002-2020年期间,中国的牛奶产量增长了165%,虽然温室气体排放量增加了105%,达到50.27TgCO2eq,伴随着工业化率从16%提高到75%。工业化进展主要通过2008年之前单个生产系统内的集约化和2008年之后的系统之间的转换来减轻温室气体的影响。然而,与其他社会经济因素相比,工业化的影响相对较小。到2030年,11.8TgCO2eq将由预测的牛奶产量增长引发,但只有0.6Tg可以通过系统转化来抵消。综合措施改善饲料,牛群,工业农场的粪肥管理可以使温室气体排放与牛奶生产脱钩,并在2030年之前达到碳峰值。我们建议向改善的工业系统转型,作为迈向可持续畜牧业生产的必要步骤。
    China\'s dairy farming is undergoing a critical transition from extensive to industrial systems. To achieve sustainable milk production within China\'s dual-carbon goals, understanding the multidimensional impacts of industrialization on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is imperative. This study comprehensively analyzed the implications of China\'s dairy industrialization on GHG emissions and explored future mitigation potential. Results indicated that industrial systems exhibited lower methane but higher carbon dioxide intensities, with net GHG intensity lower than other systems. During 2002-2020, China\'s milk production increased by 165%, while GHG emissions increased by 105% to 50.27 Tg CO2eq, accompanying an industrialization rate increased from 16% to 75%. The industrialization progress played a mitigating effect on GHG primarily through intensification within individual production systems before 2008 and transformation between systems post-2008. However, the industrialization\'s effect was relatively modest compared to other socio-economic factors. By 2030, 11.8 Tg CO2eq will be triggered by predicted milk production growth, but only 0.6 Tg can be offset by system transformation. Integrating measures to improve feed, herd, and manure management on industrial farms could decouple GHG emissions from milk production and achieve a carbon peak before 2030. We suggest transforming to improved industrial systems as a necessary step toward sustainable livestock production.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文是第一个采用两个环境退化指标(CO2排放量,生态足迹)和2000-2019年期间57个“一带一路”倡议(BRI)国家的一项环境质量指标(负荷能力因子)。可再生能源等其他变量的影响,工业化,全球化也受到控制。研究应用了截面自回归分布滞后法(CS-ARDL),增广均值组(AMG),和共同相关效应均值组(CCEMG)方法作为稳健性检查。实证结果表明,循环经济和可再生能源通过减少碳排放和生态足迹以及增加“一带一路”沿线国家的负荷能力因子而具有对环境的影响。然而,工业化和全球化对环境有不利影响。因果关系的结果表明,可再生能源之间存在双向因果关系,循环经济,工业化,和三个环境指标,但是全球化与CO2排放和负载能力因子的关系是单向的,与生态足迹的关系是双向的。所有结果均通过稳健性测试得到证实。该研究提出了对BRI政府的政策含义。
    This paper is the first comprehensive research to examine the effect of circular economy on environment employing two environmental degradation indicators (CO2 emissions, ecological footprint) and one environmental quality indicator (load capacity factor) for 57 Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries during 2000-2019. The effect of other variables such as renewable energy, industrialization, and globalization was also controlled. The study applied the cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lag method (CS-ARDL), the augmented mean group (AMG), and common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG) methods as a robustness checks. The empirical findings reveal that circular economy and renewable energy have pro-environmental effects by decreasing carbon emissions and ecological footprint and increasing the load capacity factor in BRI countries. However, industrialization and globalization have detrimental effects on the environment. The result of causality shows a bidirectional causality between renewable energy, circular economy, industrialization, and three environmental indicators, but the relationship of globalization with CO2 emissions and the load capacity factor is unidirectional and with the ecological footprint is bidirectional. All the results are confirmed by the robustness tests. The study suggests policy implications for the BRI government.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人口结构是影响服务业发展的重要因素。作为世界上老龄化问题最严重的国家,中国的服务业结构可能会发生深刻的变化,以应对快速的人口转变。因此,本文在我国人口老龄化加速的背景下,研究了人口老龄化对服务业发展的影响。研究发现:(1)人口老龄化对服务业发展具有显著的“倒U”效应。(2)人口老龄化对服务业发展的影响具有明显的区域和行业异质性。区域异质性研究发现,经济发达地区人口老龄化对服务业发展的影响比经济欠发达地区更为明显。行业异质性研究发现,人口老龄化对医疗等刚性需求行业的发展具有明显的促进作用,而对其他非刚性需求行业的影响并不显著。(3)阈值效应检验发现,当人口老龄化程度超过阈值时,人口老龄化对服务业发展的拉动作用不再显著。本文的研究为服务业产业结构变化的可能反应提供了有用的见解,并为与中国人口结构相似的国家提供了一些启示。
    The demographic structure is an important factor influencing the development of the services industry. As the country with the world\'s most serious aging problem, China\'s service industry structure is likely to undergo profound changes in response to the rapid demographic transition. Therefore, this paper examines the effect of population aging on the development of the service industry in the context of China\'s accelerating population aging. The study found that: (1) Population aging has a significant \"inverted U\" effect on the development of the services industry. (2) The impact of population aging on the development of the service industry has obvious regional and industry heterogeneity. The study of regional heterogeneity found that population aging in economically developed regions has a more obvious effect on the development of the service industry than in economically less developed regions. Industry heterogeneity studies found that population aging has an obvious promotional effect on the development of medical and other rigid demand industries, while the effect on other non-rigid demand industries is not significant. (3) The threshold effect test found that when the degree of population aging exceeds the threshold, the stimulating effect of population aging on the development of the services industry is no longer significant. The research in this paper provides useful insights into the likely response to changes in the industrial structure of the services industry, and offers some implications for countries with similar demographic profiles to China.
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