Disaster management

灾害管理
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    飓风,作为最具破坏性的自然灾害之一,显著影响公众的健康,造成身体伤害和长期心理健康问题。尽管大量研究集中在飓风相关的伤害上,这项研究旨在综合最近文献中的发现,特别评估最近的10次飓风,确定研究差距并为未来的研究提供信息。这次范围审查,根据PRISMA-Scr指南进行,来自PubMed的评估研究,CINAHL,Cochrane数据库,和截至2024年2月的Medline。资格标准侧重于检查身体和心理健康影响的研究,COVID-19效应,以及与飓风伊恩相关的紧急医疗服务(EMS)干预措施,尼古拉斯,Ida,泽塔,Delta,莎莉,劳拉,Isaias,汉娜,还有Dorian.20篇文章符合纳入标准。这些研究分为四个主题:身体伤害和死亡,心理健康影响,飓风-COVID-19相互作用,和EMS干预措施。调查结果揭示了不同的伤害和死亡机制,重大的心理健康挑战,由于COVID-19和不同的EMS战略,包括人工智能的利用和医疗服务的战略规划。解决健康的社会决定因素和评估飓风准备计划是文献中确定的两个空白。未来的研究应侧重于心理健康影响和并发危机挑战,以制定全面的灾害管理实践,以增强社区对未来飓风和公共卫生危机的抵御能力。
    Hurricanes, as one of the most devastating natural disasters, significantly impact the public\'s health, causing both physical injuries and long-lasting mental health issues. Although substantial research has focused on hurricane-related injuries, this study aims to synthesize findings from recent literature, specifically evaluating the 10 most recent hurricanes, to identify research gaps and inform future studies. This scoping review, conducted in accordance with PRISMA-Scr guidelines, assessed studies from PubMed, CINAHL, Cochrane databases, and Medline as of February 2024. Eligibility criteria focused on studies examining physical and mental health impacts, COVID-19 effects, and emergency medical services (EMS) interventions related to Hurricanes Ian, Nicholas, Ida, Zeta, Delta, Sally, Laura, Isaias, Hanna, and Dorian. Twenty articles met the inclusion criteria. The studies were categorized into four themes: physical injuries and fatalities, mental health impacts, hurricane-COVID-19 interplay, and EMS interventions. Findings revealed varied mechanisms of injuries and deaths, significant mental health challenges, compounded crises due to COVID-19, and diverse EMS strategies, including AI utilization and strategic planning for medical care delivery. Addressing the social determinants of health and evaluating hurricane readiness initiatives were two gaps in the literature identified. Future research should focus on the mental health impacts and concurrent crisis challenges to develop comprehensive disaster management practices that enhance community resilience against future hurricanes and public health crises.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    决策支持系统(DSS)已成为增强社区复原力的重要工具,因为它们能够为灾难相关问题提供及时有效的解决方案,同时反映不同利益相关者的观点并利用多种数据源。本文全面总结了DSS在社区弹性中的应用,强调如何在不同的灾害阶段使用不同的建模技术。我们发现优化技术是构建DSS最常用的方法。此外,我们发现DSS倾向于更多地关注灾难管理的准备和响应阶段,而不是恢复和缓解阶段。此外,这项研究强调了开发和实施复原力DSS的主要挑战,例如数据可用性,灾难背景的不确定性,以及跨学科合作的需要。根据审查的论文,我们为从业人员提供一些指导方针,以选择最适合其社区需求的决策支持工具。该研究旨在帮助决策者和研究人员建立有效的决策支持系统,以增强社区的适应力,考虑到当前的挑战。
    Decision Support Systems (DSS) have emerged as important tools for enhancing community resilience due to their ability to provide timely and efficient solutions to disaster-related problems while reflecting the perspectives of different stakeholders and utilizing multiple data sources. This paper provides a comprehensive summary of DSS applications to community resilience, emphasizing how the different modeling techniques are used in different disaster phases. We found that optimization techniques are the most frequently used methods for building DSS. Furthermore, we found that DSS tend to focus more on the preparedness and response phases of disaster management, rather than the recovery and mitigation phases. Moreover, the study highlights the main challenges in developing and implementing DSS for resilience, such as data availability, the uncertainty of the disaster context, and the need for cross-disciplinary collaboration. Based on the reviewed papers, we provide some guidelines to practitioners to select the most suitable decision-support tools for the needs of their community. The study aims to help decision-makers and researchers build effective decision support systems for enhancing community resilience, considering the current challenges.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景跨国贩毒,政治动荡,帮派暴力,和准军事主义,在海地普遍存在,导致了更广泛的海地社区的心理健康危机。本研究通过男性和女性的生活经历,确定心理健康的障碍和促进者,探索海地和美国海地人的心理健康。方法2023年4月和11月进行的四次焦点小组讨论吸引了28名参与者(20名女性和8名男性),年龄在23至60岁之间,来自海地(太子港,引用Soleil,Cayes,Cap-Haitien,圣马克)和美国。讨论围绕心理健康的定义,压力源,应对机制,风险和保护因素,和心理保健的障碍。结果出现了六个主要主题:1-慢性创伤应激:持续暴力,政治不稳定,失业,缺乏社会支持,不利的童年经历,家庭分离,被迫流离失所是压力的重要来源。2-增加的健康负担:参与者报告经历了慢性身体和心理症状(即,高血压,焦虑,抑郁症,睡眠问题,药物滥用,自杀意念,创伤后应激障碍[PTSD]的特征),这归因于海地的社会,政治,基础设施崩溃。3-风险因素:获得心理健康服务的机会有限,无处不在的绝望,机会稀缺,和污名被确定为重大风险。4-未来不确定性:对未来的普遍担忧占主导地位。5-多代关注:关于儿童心理健康和发展的重大焦虑,以及心理健康从业者的功能,已注意到。6-应对和保护因素:有效的应对策略包括精神刺激,同行支持,管理数字消费,从事悠闲的活动,比如听音乐,和信仰/灵性。结论研究结果强调了海地的社会政治和经济危机,这导致了暴力和政治崩溃,教育,金融,和卫生基础设施。这些因素被确定为慢性痛苦的主要来源,导致广泛的心理健康问题,不良的身体症状,日常生活中的干扰。对实践的影响,愈合,研究和政策进行了讨论。
    UNASSIGNED: Transnational drug trafficking, political unrest, gang violence, and paramilitarism, which are pervasive in Haiti, have resulted in a mental health crisis for the broader Haitian community. This study explores the mental well-being of Haitians in Haiti and the United States by identifying barriers and facilitators to mental health through the lived experiences of men and women.
    UNASSIGNED: Four Focus group discussions conducted in April and November 2023 engaged 28 participants (20 women and eight men) aged between 23 and 60 years from locations in Haiti (Port-au-Prince, Cite Soleil, Cayes, Cap-Haitien, Saint-Marc) and the United States. Discussions revolved around the definition of mental health, stressors, coping mechanisms, risk and protective factors, and barriers to mental health care.
    UNASSIGNED: Six principal themes emerged: 1- Chronic Traumatic Stress: continued violence, political instability, unemployment, lack of social support, adverse childhood experiences, family separation, and forced displacement were significant sources of stress. 2- Increased Health Burden: Participants reported experiencing chronic physical and psychological symptoms (i.e., hypertension, anxiety, depression, sleep issues, substance abuse, suicidal ideations, characteristics of post-traumatic stress disorder [PTSD]), which were attributed to Haiti\'s social, political, and infrastructure collapse. 3- Risk Factors: limited access to mental health services, pervasive hopelessness, scarcity of opportunities, and stigma were identified as significant risks. 4- Future Uncertainty: widespread concerns regarding the future predominated. 5- Multigenerational Concerns: Significant anxiety concerning the mental health and development of children, as well as the functionality of mental health practitioners, was noted. 6- Coping and Protective Factors: Effective coping strategies include mental stimulation, peer support, managing digital consumption, engaging in leisurely activities, such as listening to music, and faith/spirituality.
    UNASSIGNED: The study\'s findings underscore the sociopolitical and economic crisis in Haiti, which has resulted in violence and a collapse of political, educational, financial, and health infrastructures. These factors were identified as the primary source of chronic distress, contributing to widespread mental health issues, adverse physical symptoms, and disruption in daily life. The implications for practice, healing, research & policy are discussed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:COVID-19揭示了全球接受过急性和重症护理培训的医护人员(HCWs)的严重短缺,尤其是在低资源环境中。我们旨在评估大规模在线课程在准备HCWs以管理COVID-19患者方面的功效,并确定快速部署的电子学习是否可以在大流行期间增强他们的知识和信心。
    方法:回顾性队列研究。
    方法:这项国际回顾性队列研究,由大型学术医学中心(AMC)领导,是通过YouTube和AMC的在线学习平台进行的。从2020年到2021年,多学科专家根据最新的循证管理指南开发并部署了六个在线培训课程。在电子运动之后,通过自愿样本选择了参与者。使用测试前和测试后问卷评估培训结果,评估表格,和培训后评估调查。柯克帕特里克模型指导训练评估以衡量自我报告的知识,临床技能,和信心的提高。我们还捕获了培训后由HCWs管理的COVID-19患者的数量和类型。
    结果:每22.8次到达/印象和每1.2次参与导致课程注册。10425名注册人(56.8%为女性,43.1%的男性)代表154个城市的584个医疗机构。参与者中最大的部分是学生/实习生(20.6%)和医务人员(13.4%)。在2169名注册参加测试课程的参与者中,66.9%完成后测试。所有课程的测试分数从最初的基线到随后的改进课程后增加。完成培训后评估调查的参与者报告说,在线课程提高了他们的知识和临床技能(83.5%)和信心(89.4%)。受访者在参加课程后管理了19,720名COVID-19患者,47.7%的患者患有中度/重度疾病。
    结论:通过数字工具向大量目标人群快速部署大规模培训,增加了参与者处理COVID-19患者的信心。研究结果提出了一种虚拟的教育和评估模型,可以用于未来的全球公共卫生问题。以及未来电子运动的目标估计。
    OBJECTIVE: COVID-19 revealed major shortfalls in healthcare workers (HCWs) trained in acute and critical care worldwide, especially in low-resource settings. We aimed to assess mass online courses\' efficacy in preparing HCWs to manage COVID-19 patients and to determine whether rapidly deployed e-learning can enhance their knowledge and confidence during a pandemic.
    METHODS: Retrospective cohort study.
    METHODS: This international retrospective cohort study, led by a large Academic Medical Centre (AMC), was conducted via YouTube and the AMC\'s online learning platform. From 2020 to 2021, multidisciplinary experts developed and deployed six online training courses based on the latest evidence-based management guidelines. Participants were selected through a voluntary sample following an electronic campaign. Training outcomes were assessed using pre-and post-test questionnaires, evaluation forms, and post-training assessment surveys. Kirkpatrick\'s Model guided training evaluation to measure self-reported knowledge, clinical skills, and confidence improvement. We also captured the number and type of COVID-19 patients managed by HCWs after the trainings.
    RESULTS: Every 22.8 reach/impression and every 1.2 engagements led to a course registration. The 10,425 registrants (56.8% female, 43.1% male) represented 584 medical facilities across 154 cities. The largest segments of participants were students/interns (20.6%) and medical officers (13.4%). Of the 2169 registered participants in courses with tests, 66.9% completed post-tests. Test scores from all courses increased from the initial baseline to subsequent improvement post-course. Participants completing post-training assessment surveys reported that the online courses improved their knowledge and clinical skills (83.5%) and confidence (89.4%). Respondents managed over 19,720 COVID-19 patients after attending the courses, with 47.7% patients being moderately/severely ill.
    CONCLUSIONS: Participants\' confidence in handling COVID-19 patients is increased by rapidly deploying mass training to a substantial target population through digital tools. The findings present a virtual education and assessment model that can be leveraged for future global public health issues, and estimates for future electronic campaigns to target.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    研究历史时期气候变化与人类社会互动的机制可以为该地区的气候政策建设提供历史见解和文化根源。在这项研究中,我们构建了稳定性-鲁棒性-弹性模型(SSR模型),并使用TOPSIS方法(通过相似于理想解的顺序偏好技术)和熵权法来评估鲁棒性的变化过程,弹性,明朝社会在应对气候威胁方面的稳定。我们还通过使用SRR模型比较了在社会稳健性-弹性组合的不同时期发生的三种极端干旱。结果如下。(1)永乐-洪志时期(公元1402-1505年)明代社会的稳定性很高,当社会稳健性和复原力都高于明代的平均水平时(前者为0.5611,后者为0.4215),但天顺时期(公元1457-1464年)社会稳定性显著下降。在正德-崇镇时期(公元1506-1644年),明朝社会的稳定性逐渐下降,它在龙庆-万里时期(公元1506-1620年)很快反弹。(2)高度稳定得益于更高的社会经济水平,更好的政府财政水平,更大的国家粮食储备,更安全的社会环境(高鲁棒性),以及更高水平的统治阶级治理和风险应对(高复原力);而战争引发的不安全的社会环境,社会经济水平和政府财政水平的下降是社会稳定性下降的主要原因。(3)成华和万里旱情都发生在社会稳健性较高的时期,所以尽管他们的气象异常很严重,他们对社会的影响很小。而嘉靖旱灾发生在社会稳健性和韧性较低的时期,所以尽管气象异常相对较弱,它导致了比其他两个事件更严重的社会后果。
    Studying the mechanisms by which climate change interacted with human societies during the historical period can provide historical insights and cultural roots for climate policy building in the region. In this study, we constructed Stability-Robustness-Resilience Model (SSR model) and used the TOPSIS method (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) and the entropy weight method to assess the change processes of robustness, resilience, and stability of Ming\'s society in response to climate threats. We have also compared three extreme droughts that occurred in different periods of social robustness-resilience combinations by using the SRR model. The results are as follows. (1) The stability of the Ming society was high in YongLe - HongZhi period (1402-1505 CE), when both social robustness and resilience were higher than the average level of Ming Dynasty (0.5611 for the former and 0.4215 for the latter), but there was a significant decline in social stability in TianShun period (1457-1464 CE). In ZhengDe - ChongZhen period (1506-1644 CE), the stability of Ming society gradually decreased, and it rebounded shortly in the LongQing-WanLi period (1506-1620 CE). (2) The high stability benefited from higher socio-economic levels, better government finance levels, larger national food reserves, safer social environments (high robustness), and higher levels of ruling class governance and risk response (high resilience); whereas insecure social environment induced by war, declining socio-economic levels and government finance levels were the main reasons for the decline in society\'s stability. (3)The ChengHua and WanLi droughts both happened at a time with high social robustness, so although their meteorological anomalies were severe, their impact on society was small. While the JiaJing drought happened at a time with low social robustness and resilience, so although the meteorological anomaly was relatively weak, it resulted in a more severe social consequence than the other two events.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    政府和社区在灾害管理方面的合作已被证明可以创建减少灾害风险的举措。然而,实施这种合作在以治理二元论为特征的区域内提出了挑战。本研究旨在在二元论治理的背景下调查2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的灾害管理系统,国家掌握行政控制的地方。传统权威(Adat)同时规范巴厘岛人类生活的各个方面,印度尼西亚。这项研究采用了定性的方法,数据是通过对10名举报人的深入采访收集的,3轮焦点小组讨论,和参与者的观察。研究结果表明,巴厘岛的二元论治理是通过对社区内部脆弱性的回应来体现的,Adat对抗州法律,以及在COVID-19响应期间国家行政部门和传统当局之间建立的沟通系统。
    这项研究强调了传统治理在提高社区抵御能力方面的重要作用,因为国家在应对COVID-19大流行方面的能力有限。尽管与国家利益冲突,传统政府在促进集体社区行动以解决脆弱性方面发挥着至关重要的作用。这项研究强调了在治理的二元论背景下,阿达人更多参与灾害管理的重要性,从缓解计划到准备,响应和恢复。这种参与有可能增强社区的复原力。
    Collaboration between government and communities in disaster management has been demonstrated to create disaster risk reduction initiatives. However, implementing such collaboration poses challenges within regions characterised by dualism in governance. This study aims to investigate the disaster management system for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the context of dualism governance, where the state holds administrative control. Traditional authority (Adat) simultaneously regulates various facets of human life in Bali, Indonesia. The study used a qualitative approach, and data were gathered through in-depth interviews with 10 informants, 3 rounds of focus group discussions, and participant observations. The findings reveal that the dualism governance in Bali is manifested through responses to vulnerabilities within the community, Adat versus state laws, and the communication systems established between state administrative and traditional authorities during the COVID-19 response.
    UNASSIGNED: This study highlights the significant role of traditional governance in enhancing community resilience amid the limitations of state capacity in handling the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite conflicting interests with the state, traditional government plays a crucial role in fostering collective community action to address vulnerabilities. The study underscores the importance of greater involvement of Adat actors in disaster management within the context of dualism in governance, spanning from mitigation planning to preparedness, response and recovery. This involvement has the potential to bolster community resilience.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文分析了COVID-19大流行对边缘移民人口的影响,以及意大利应对危机的反应。第一部分使用不同的数据来源来强调社会,政治,和经济进程,已经出现在紧急情况前阶段,这导致移民面临更高的脆弱性。第二部分分析了危机的影响及其在应对阶段的管理,特别关注前线专业人士和移民倡导者的观点。讨论显示了如何尝试揭示保留主流意识形态的过程,使那些对维持无权利移民的移民流入感兴趣的人受益,并取得了一些进展。然而,即使COVID-19危机创造了使结构性问题更加明显的可能性,并指明了“更好地重建”的方向,“为更边缘化的移民创造超不稳定条件的文化和结构变量似乎没有改变。
    This article analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on marginal migrant populations, and the Italian response to cope with the crisis. The first section uses different sources of data to highlight social, political, and economic processes, already present in the pre-emergency stage, that contributed to the exposure of migrants to higher levels of vulnerability. The second part analyzes the impact of the crisis and its management in the response stage, focusing in particular on the perspective of front line professionals and migrants advocates. The discussion shows how some attempts have been made to unveil processes that preserve mainstream ideologies, benefiting those who are interested in the maintenance of migratory inflows of migrants with no rights, and some improvements have been achieved. Nevertheless, even if the COVID-19 crisis has created the possibility to make structural problems more visible, and indicated the direction to \"build back better,\" the cultural and structural variables that create a condition of hyperprecarity for more marginalized migrants seem to be unchanged.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    巴基斯坦承受着令人难以置信的疫苗可预防疾病的负担,灾害和其他突发卫生事件后,公共卫生管理不足阻碍了改善广泛免疫的努力。通过对巴基斯坦卫生系统的简要回顾,根据对免疫活动的规划和实施进行的组织变革,寻求对常规免疫挑战的理解。Further,麻疹的最新免疫趋势,脊髓灰质炎,和结核病是根据气候变化和COVID-19大流行引发的突发卫生事件进行检查的。讨论了国家对每种疾病的公共卫生反应,并深入了解巴基斯坦卫生系统的权力下放可能如何影响每个紧急情况的严重性。重点是潜在的免疫挑战,以及它们如何影响控制疫苗可预防疾病的未来举措。尽管发病率表明某些疫苗可预防疾病的病例有所增加,并且在最近的灾难之后免疫活动中断,可能需要进行进一步的研究,以便更深入地了解本综述中提到的免疫接种趋势.
    Pakistan bears an incredible burden of vaccine-preventable diseases, and efforts to improve widespread immunization have been hindered by inadequate public health management following disasters and other health emergencies. Through a brief review of Pakistan\'s health system, an understanding of routine immunization challenges is sought based on the organizational changes made to the planning and delivery of immunization activities. Further, recent immunization trends of measles, polio, and tuberculosis are examined in correspondence to health emergencies prompted by climate change and the COVID-19 pandemic. The national public health response to each disease is discussed, and insight is given to how the devolution of Pakistan\'s health system may have influenced the severity of each emergency. Focus is given to the potential immunization challenges and how they may impact future initiatives for the control of vaccine-preventable diseases. Although incidence rates suggest increased cases of certain vaccine-preventable diseases and disruptions of immunization activities following recent disasters, further studies may need to be conducted to establish a stronger understanding of the immunization trends noted within this review.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于印度尼西亚在火环中的地理位置,灾害的频繁发生需要有效的灾害管理努力。随着法律的颁布。2007年第24号关于灾害管理,随后成立了印度尼西亚国家灾难管理局(BadanNasionalPenanggulanganBencana或BNPB)。铭记印度尼西亚以前发生在不同地区的灾难,也就是说,帕鲁和亚齐海啸,Cianjur地震,和默拉皮山,印度尼西亚的灾害管理法是一般性的,缺乏解决不同地区和不同地理轮廓需求的技术准则。本文旨在通过在美利坚合众国(美国)和印度尼西亚的灾害管理政策之间采取规范和比较的方法,分析印度尼西亚在灾害管理中的现有监管和机构问题。作者特别选择了美国的灾害管理政策,因为大多数关于灾害管理法的比较研究都不涉及美国,尽管国家有能力在责任分散中提供全面和一致的政策。作者得出结论,根据美国和印度尼西亚现有的灾害管理法律,政府有义务在发生自然灾害时履行其公民的权利。此外,注意到印度尼西亚灾害管理系统中存在的问题,印度尼西亚可以采用美国的最佳做法来改善其灾害管理系统。其中,印度尼西亚可以在机构间的问责制和透明度方面向美国学习,预警系统的发展,一个改进的机构间合作系统,以及提供具体的灾害管理援助。
    这项研究的结果有望作为评估材料,并提高政府应对自然灾害的效率。
    The frequent occurrence of disasters because of Indonesia\'s geographical location within the Ring of Fire calls for effective disaster-management efforts. With the issuance of Law No. 24 of 2007 on Disaster Management, the Indonesian National Disaster Management Agency (Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana or BNPB) was subsequently established. Keeping in mind previous disasters in Indonesia which occur in different regions, that is, Palu and Aceh Tsunami, Cianjur earthquake, and Mount Merapi, Indonesia\'s disaster-management law is general and lacks technical guidelines in addressing the needs of the various regions and the different contours of geography. This article aims to analyse existing Indonesian regulatory and agency problems in disaster management by conducting a normative and comparative approach between the disaster management policy in the United States of America (USA) and Indonesia. The authors chose the USA\'s disaster-management policy in particular as most comparative studies on disaster management law do not involve the USA despite the State\'s ability to provide a comprehensive and consistent policy in the midst of the decentralisation of responsibilities with the numerous states. The authors conclude that according to existing disaster-management laws in USA and Indonesia, the government is obligated to fulfil its citizens\' rights in the event of natural disasters. Furthermore, noting the issues that exist within the Indonesian disaster-management system, Indonesia can adopt the best practices of the USA to improve its disaster-management system. Among others, Indonesia can learn from the USA in the fields of accountability and transparency amongst agencies, the development of Early Warning Systems, an improved system of interagency cooperation, as well as the provision of specific disaster-management assistance.
    UNASSIGNED: The findings of this study are expected to serve as evaluation material and to improve government effectiveness in dealing with natural disasters.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:灾难是伴随着影响的事件,这些事件导致人口的正常状态遭到破坏,从而突出了卫生系统的脆弱性。在马里亚纳和布鲁马迪尼奥,矿石尾矿坝的倒塌带来了短期和中长期的影响。通过与经济和生产性质的问题紧密交织在一起,其含义是其活动的不间断结果。
    方法:通过DATASUS数据库,选择了两个特定变量来进行分析:批准的数量和批准的价值.对于这项研究,一种方法论装置,分段回归线,用于观察在马里亚纳和布鲁马迪尼奥发生的灾难对动态卫生系统的影响。
    结果:分段回归线的结果表明,玛丽安娜,批准的金额在整个期间持续增长,这表明没有因为灾难而改变。支出减少了。在布鲁马迪尼奥,关于批准的金额,灾难月份有上升趋势,之后并没有立即改变,关于支出,这三个时期都保持了增长模式。证实这些数据,相对和绝对基准要素显示,与米纳斯吉拉斯州相比,核定数额和各员额提供的服务数量有所增加。
    结论:根据调查结果,可以理解,尽管灾害产生的影响可能会对卫生系统产生一些影响,缺乏意义有时不能解释为对灾难缺乏影响。分段回归线概述了一些效果,这些效果不是结论性的,但表明了数值解释和趋势解释。
    BACKGROUND: Disasters are events that bring with them effects that contribute to the disruption of the normality of a population and thus highlight the vulnerabilities of the health system. In Mariana and Brumadinho, the collapse of the dam of ore tailings brought with it several impacts that were felt in the short term and will be felt in the medium and long term. And that by being intensely intertwined with issues of economic and productive nature, has as its meaning an uninterrupted result of its activities.
    METHODS: Through the DATASUS database, two specific variables were chosen to perform the analysis: the approved amount and the approved value. For this research, a methodological device, the segmented regression line, was used to observe the influences that the disasters that occurred in Mariana and Brumadinho had on the ambulatory health systems.
    RESULTS: The results of the segmented regression line show that, with Mariana, the amount approved continued to grow throughout the period, which shows that there was no change because of the disaster. There was a reduction in spending. In Brumadinho, regarding the amount approved, there was an upward trend in the disaster\'s month, which did not change immediately afterwards, and regarding expenditure, the growth pattern was maintained in all three periods. Corroborating this data, the relative and absolute base elements show an increase in the amount approved and in the number of services provided at various posts compared with Minas Gerais.
    CONCLUSIONS: Based on the findings, it was possible to understand that although disasters exert an influence that may have some effect on the health system, the lack of significance sometimes cannot be interpreted as a lack of impact on the disaster. The segmented regression line outlines some effects that are not conclusive but indicative of a numerical interpretation and a trend interpretation.
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