Contingency

应急
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    婴儿通过与父母的来回互动来学习语言,他们通过发出声音来“服务”,打手势,或在提示中寻找和父母“返回”(即,在时间上接近)和有意义的(即,与感兴趣的对象在语义上相关)的方式。在来自种族和社会经济不同背景的9个月大婴儿(n=148)及其父母(n=296父母)的样本中,我们在18个月和24个月时检查了“服务和返回”(SR)亲子互动与儿童语言技能之间的关联.我们还研究了母亲和父亲SR互动对语言结果的调节作用。在家访期间,从录像的亲子玩具游戏活动中对SR交互进行了转录和编码。我们报告了三个发现。首先,在9个月时对孩子的服务提供更有意义的回应的母亲,在18个月时孩子的表达性语言得分较高。第二,父亲迅速回应(即,在3秒内)在9个月时与18个月时更高的接受语言分数相关,但在24个月时,他们有意义的回答与接受性语言得分呈负相关.第三,当母亲的有意义的回答较高时,父亲的有意义的回答和孩子的接受性语言分数之间的负相关性降低(补偿).研究结果表明,种族和社会经济多样化家庭中的婴儿与母亲和父亲经常进行SR互动,对婴儿语言发展做出独特贡献的人。我们讨论了旨在促进早期语言发展并减少学校准备差距的计划和政策的含义。
    Infants learn language through the back-and-forth interactions with their parents where they \"serve\" by uttering sounds, gesturing, or looking and parents \"return\" in prompt (i.e., close in time) and meaningful (i.e., semantically relevant to the object of interest) ways. In a sample of 9-month-old infants (n = 148) and their mothers and fathers (n = 296 parents) from ethnically and socioeconomically diverse backgrounds, we examined the associations between \"serve and return\" (SR) parent-child interactions and children\'s language skills at 18 and 24 months. We also examined the moderation effects between maternal and paternal SR interactions on language outcomes. SR interactions were transcribed and coded from videotaped parent-child toy play activities during home visits. We report three findings. First, mothers who provided more meaningful responses to their child\'s serves at 9 months had children with higher expressive language scores at 18 months. Second, fathers\' prompt responses (i.e., within 3 s) at 9 months were associated with higher receptive language scores at 18 months, but their meaningful responses were negatively associated with receptive language scores at 24 months. Third, the negative association between fathers\' meaningful responses and children\'s receptive language scores was reduced (compensated) when mothers\' meaningful responses were high. Findings show that infants in ethnically and socioeconomically diverse families engage in frequent SR interactions with both mothers and fathers, who make unique contributions to infants\' language development. We discuss implications for programs and policies that aim to promote early language development and reduce gaps in school readiness.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尽管他们的观点和方法各不相同,现有的犯罪学理论都基于确定性乐观主义,即犯罪行为的关键原因必须存在并且可以被发现。然而,没有任何关键因素可以完全解释犯罪行为的原因。一切直接影响犯罪行为发生的因素都很重要,应急总是在工作。只有考虑应急因素,才能提出更可行的犯罪预防和控制措施。本研究旨在指出现有犯罪学理论在了解结果后解释犯罪原因的确定性观点的局限性,同时提出了具有可行替代解决方案的权变模型。
    Although their perspectives and approaches vary, existing criminological theories are all based on the deterministic optimism that the crucial causes of criminal behavior must exist and can be uncovered. However, no key factor can fully explain the causes of criminal behavior. All factors that directly affect the occurrence of criminal behavior are important, and contingency is always at work. More feasible crime prevention and control measures can be proposed only considering the contingency factor. The aim of this study is to point out the limitations of the deterministic view of existing criminological theories that explain the causes of crime after knowing the results, and simultaneously to propose the contingency model with viable alternative solutions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    单次非偶然剂量的可卡因可恢复受过训练以自我施用可卡因的大鼠的熄灭杠杆按压行为。这代表了可卡因使用障碍的复发模型,而杠杆按压的次数一直是标准衡量标准。只有当可卡因水平低于饱腹感阈值且高于缓解/启动阈值时,自我给药期间的杠杆压迫行为才会发生,称为强制区的范围。比较了在FR1自我给药期间和单次非偶然剂量可卡因后每次按压杠杆时计算的可卡因水平。杠杆压迫行为的平均潜伏期是剂量依赖性的,在可卡因剂量为2或12μmol/kg后1至11分钟,分别。这与产生高于饱腹感阈值的较高可卡因剂量是一致的,后者需要更多的时间才能回落到该阈值。无论可卡因是自行服用还是单剂量可卡因后,杠杆按压时可卡因的水平都相似。单次可卡因剂量后的杠杆按压次数是可变的,并且剂量依赖性差。与杠杆按压次数相比,开始杠杆按压行为的延迟是更可靠的相关度量。此外,只有当可卡因水平在强制区域内时,才会发生杠杆按压行为。强迫区理论不仅解释了可卡因的自我给药行为,但也解释了响应单一非偶然可卡因剂量的杠杆按压行为的恢复。
    A single non-contingent dose of cocaine reinstates extinguished lever pressing behavior in rats trained to self-administer cocaine. This represents a model of relapse in cocaine use disorder and the number of lever presses has been the standard measure. Lever pressing behavior during self-administration occurs only when cocaine levels are below the satiety threshold and above the remission/priming threshold, a range termed the compulsion zone. Calculated cocaine levels at the time of each lever press during an FR1 self-administration session and following a single non-contingent dose of cocaine were compared. The mean latency to lever pressing behavior was dose dependent and ranged from 1 to 11 min after cocaine doses of 2 or 12 μmol/kg, respectively. This is consistent with higher cocaine doses producing levels above satiety threshold that take more time to fall back to that threshold. The level of cocaine when lever pressing occurred was similar whether cocaine was self-administered or after a single dose of cocaine. The number of lever presses after a single cocaine dose was variable and poorly dose dependent. The latency to the start of lever pressing behavior is a more reliable dependent measure than the number of lever presses. In addition, lever pressing behavior occurs only when cocaine levels are within the compulsion zone. The compulsion zone theory not only explains maintained cocaine self-administration behavior, but also explains the reinstatement of lever pressing behavior in response to a single non-contingent cocaine dose.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    现代社会科学产生于古典现代性时期,在古典现代性时期,发现不同现象之间的普遍规则是科学知识的最突出标准。社会现象被认为是孤立的,决心,标准化,和调节对象的知识,就像自然科学一样,取决于对普遍规律的理解。偶然性和偶然性被消除,有利于普遍规律。随着现代性的加剧和向晚期流动的现代性的过渡,通过暂停许多主要的认知类别,这种本质主义的基础主义受到各种反对/非基础主义批评的攻击,这些批评要么是多元理由,要么是毫无根据,高等级的科学知识失去其意义的无底洞。这种困境引起了现代社会理论中的一些偏见和对立。通过解决这些困境和矛盾,包括基础主义/非(反)基础主义,机构/结构,个人/社会,本质主义/相对主义,和普遍主义/单一主义,本文努力提出社会配置的想法,作为克服它们的解决方案,通过这种努力,这表明,考虑这些配置可以有效地解释新出现的和相互关联的全球现象。通过优先考虑社会现象的可能性条件,考虑到他们的偶然性,以及其基础的不完整性和偏倚性,社会配置被认为是特定关系层面的单位,不确定性,相互依存,流动性构成了它们的中心特征。
    Modern social sciences arose during a period of classical modernity in which discovering universal rules between distinct phenomena was the most prominent criterion of scientific knowledge. Social phenomena were considered in the form of isolated, determined, standardized, and regulated objects whose knowledge, like that of the natural sciences, depended on the understanding of universal laws. The accidental and the contingent were eliminated in favor of universal laws. With the intensifying of modernity and the transition to late and liquid modernity, and by suspending many dominant cognitive categories, this kind of essentialist foundationalism was attacked by a variety of anti/non-foundationalist criticism that subscribed to either plural grounds or groundlessness, a bottomless ground in which scientific knowledge at a high level lost its significance. This predicament has given rise to several biases and antinomies in modern social theory. By addressing some of these predicaments and antinomies, including foundationalism/non(anti-)foundationalism, agency/structure, the individual/society, essentialism/relativism, and universalism/singularism, the present article strives to propose the idea of social configurations as a solution to overcome them, and through this endeavor, it is indicated that considering these configurations can effectively explain emerging and interrelated global phenomena. By prioritizing the conditions of possibility for social phenomena, and taking into account their contingency, as well as the incompleteness and partiality of their foundations, social configurations are considered as units at the level of the particular whose relationality, indeterminacy, interdependence, and fluidity constitute their central features.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    研究人员在评估应急关系时需要分析复杂现象的方法,其中特定条件仅在与其他条件结合时才解释结果。使用混合方法设计,我们将配置方法和定性主题分析配对,以模拟退伍军人社区重返社会结果的偶然性,确定导致美国退伍军人社区重返社会成功或缺乏成功的条件组合。这种配对允许在超出任何一种方法的能力之外的详细级别上对突发事件进行建模。我们的分析揭示了在解释重返社会方面的多种偶然关系,包括社会支持,目的,文化调整,和军事分离的经验。这项研究通过将数学交叉案例方法与定性方法进行匹配来对偶然性进行建模,从而为混合方法领域做出了贡献。
    Researchers need approaches for analyzing complex phenomena when assessing contingency relationships where specific conditions explain an outcome only when combined with other conditions. Using a mixed methods design, we paired configurational methods and qualitative thematic analysis to model contingency in veteran community reintegration outcomes, identifying combinations of conditions that led to success or lack of success in community reintegration among US military veterans. This pairing allowed for modeling contingency at a detailed level beyond the capabilities of either approach alone. Our analysis revealed multiple contingent relationships at work in explaining reintegration, including social support, purpose, cultural adjustment, and military separation experiences. This study contributes to the field of mixed methods by pairing a mathematical cross-case method with a qualitative method to model contingency.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    应用伦理学的研究人员,特别是生物伦理学的一些领域,旨在为在道德相关的现实世界情况下的行动制定具体和适当的建议。当从更抽象的伦理推理层面出发到这样的具体建议时,然而,即使是同样的规范性原则或规范,似乎有可能针对某种情况制定不同甚至矛盾的行动建议。这可能给人的印象是,这些建议是任意的,因此,没有充分的理由。在这种背景下,我们,首先,旨在表明道德上的行动建议,尽管在某种意义上是偶然的,如果开发得当,就不是任意的。为此,我们根据最近在COVID-19大流行背景下的行动建议实例,研究了应用伦理推理中出现的两种类型的突发事件.在这样做的时候,我们指的是针对行动建议的道德推理的三步模型。这个,然而,留下了一个悬而未决的问题,即应用伦理如何应对或有的行动建议。因此,第二步,我们分析桥梁原则在制定道德上适当的行动建议方面的作用,即,将规范性主张与相关经验信息联系起来的原则,以证明在给定的道德相关情况下采取行动的某些建议是合理的。最后,我们讨论了经验知情伦理中推理和报告的一些含义。
    Researchers in applied ethics, and some areas of bioethics particularly, aim to develop concrete and appropriate recommendations for action in morally relevant real-world situations. When proceeding from more abstract levels of ethical reasoning to such concrete recommendations, however, even with regard to the very same normative principle or norm, it seems possible to develop divergent or even contradictory recommendations for action regarding a certain situation. This may give the impression that such recommendations would be arbitrary and, hence, not well justified. Against this background, we, first, aim at showing that ethical recommendations for action, although being contingent in some sense, are not arbitrary if developed appropriately. For this purpose, we examine two types of contingencies arising in applied ethics reasoning based on recent examples of recommendations for action in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. In doing so, we refer to a three-step model of ethical reasoning towards recommendations for actions. This, however, leaves open the question of how applied ethics may cope with contingent recommendations for action. Therefore, in a second step, we analyze the role of bridge principles for developing ethically appropriate recommendations for action, i.e., principles which connect normative claims with relevant empirical information to justify certain recommendations for action in a given morally relevant situation. Finally, we discuss some implications for reasoning and reporting in empirically informed ethics.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文以梅洛-庞蒂的主张为出发点:“一切都必须重新开始,在政治和哲学中。“在追求他后来的工作中,梅洛-庞蒂表示需要重新配置他的哲学视野,所以它不再陷入笛卡尔主义和意识哲学。这需要转向本体论,通过本体论,他巩固了两个关键思想:首先,在他的可逆性论文和“肉体”的本体论中阐述了普遍的相互依存;其次,存在核心的激进偶然性。本文询问了这些想法的政治含义,特别是关于人文主义和人类进步。相关地,我解决了这个问题-如何认识到本体论的相互依存和激进的偶然性支持蓬勃发展的民主?梅洛-庞蒂的早期政治工作涉及他那个时代的问题-纳粹主义,马克思主义和人文主义的地位-并没有广泛参与这些新兴的政治问题。尽管如此,在著作和访谈中有指示性的反映;他的本体论审问的政治含义在后来的作品中变得更加主题化。关于他的哲学视野,早期和后期的作品之间没有破裂,尽管他后来以斯大林和朝鲜战争下的古拉格的启示与马克思主义保持距离。本文的总体主张-我们需要从本体论开始重新思考政治;本体论是政治性的,政治性本质上是本体论的。获得本体“正确”是一个发现而不是理论选择的问题。
    This paper takes as its point of departure Merleau-Ponty\'s assertion: \"everything will have to begin again, in politics as well as in philosophy\". In pursuing his later work, Merleau-Ponty signalled the need for a reconfiguration of his philosophical vision, so it was no longer caught in Cartesianism and the philosophy of consciousness. This required a turn towards ontology through which he consolidated two key ideas: firstly, a pervasive interdependence articulated in his reversibility thesis and the ontology of \'flesh\'; secondly, a radical contingency at the heart of existence. This paper interrogates the political implications of these ideas, and specifically regarding humanism and human progress. Relatedly, I address the question - how might recognitions of ontological interdependence and radical contingency support a flourishing democracy? Merleau-Ponty\'s early political work concerned the issues of his day - Nazism, Marxism and the status of humanism - and did not engage extensively with these emerging onto-political concerns. Nonetheless, there are indicative reflections in the writings and interviews; the political implications of his ontological interrogations become more thematic in the later works. There is no rupture between the earlier and later works regarding his philosophical vision, although he later distanced himself from Marxism with revelations of the gulags under Stalin and the Korean War. The overarching claim of this paper - we need to rethink politics from the ground up beginning with ontology; ontology is political and the political is intrinsically ontologically informed. Getting the ontology \'right\' is a matter of discovery and not theory choice.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    主体间性是指婴儿在第一年经历的两个非语言的主体间关系,它们是单词出现的前兆。Trevarthen,研究主体间性的先驱,将这些关系称为主要和次要的主体间性。前者,婴儿和照顾者之间的二元协调,从出生开始。后者,大约9个月的三重协调,允许婴儿和看护者分享对环境的特定特征的关注。次要主体间性对于婴儿开始产生单词的能力至关重要,在12个月左右。关于语言的社会和认知起源的许多研究都集中在次要的主体间性上。这是不幸的,因为它忽略了这样一个事实,即次要主体间性和词语的出现是建立在主要主体间性的基础上的。它也忽略了主体间性的进化起源及其独特的人类地位。这种独特的地位解释了为什么只有人类学习单词。本文试图通过联系关于主要主体间性的文献来解决这些问题,特别是关于婴儿和母亲之间双向和偶然交流的研究,共同关注,最终是言语。在这种情况下,我们还讨论了Hrdy关于同种亲本对主体间性进化的影响的假设。
    Intersubjectivity refers to two non-verbal intersubjective relations infants experience during their first year that are precursors to the emergence of words. Trevarthen, a pioneer in the study of intersubjectivity, referred to those relations as primary and secondary intersubjectivity. The former, a dyadic coordination between the infant and her caregiver, begins at birth. The latter, a triadic coordination that develops around 9 months, allows the infant and a caregiver to share attention to particular features of the environment. Secondary intersubjectivity is crucial for an infant\'s ability to begin to produce words, at around 12 months. Much research on the social and cognitive origins of language has focused on secondary intersubjectivity. That is unfortunate because it neglects the fact that secondary intersubjectivity and the emergence of words are built on a foundation of primary intersubjectivity. It also ignores the evolutionary origins of intersubjectivity and its uniquely human status. That unique status explains why only humans learn words. This article seeks to address these issues by relating the literature on primary intersubjectivity, particularly research on bi-directional and contingent communication between infants and mothers, to joint attention and ultimately to words. In that context, we also discuss Hrdy\'s hypothesis about the influence of alloparents on the evolution of intersubjectivity.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在日常生活中,我们经常在追求过去获得奖励的熟悉行为或在新策略可能更有成效的情况下调整行为之间做出选择。背纹状体(DMS)对于灵活地在新旧行为策略之间进行仲裁是必不可少的。DMS神经元承载持续灵活性所必需的稳定连接的方式仍在定义中。解决这个问题的切入点可能是DMS神经元上容纳突触连接的结构支架。我们发现,非受体酪氨酸激酶富含脯氨酸的酪氨酸激酶2(Pyk2)可以稳定纹状体中等棘状神经元上的树突和棘,这样Pyk2损失导致枝晶乔木和脊柱损失。DMS中病毒介导的Pyk2沉默会阻碍小鼠在奖励和非奖励行为之间进行仲裁的能力。同时,Pyk2或密切相关的粘着斑激酶(FAK)的过表达增强了这种能力。最后,使用组合病毒载体策略的实验表明,灵活,Pyk2依赖性作用涉及来自内侧前额叶皮层(mPFC)的输入,但不是腹外侧眶额皮质(OFC)。因此,Pyk2稳定纹状体中刺神经元结构,可能为输入提供底物,并支持小鼠在新行为和熟悉行为之间进行仲裁的能力,包括通过与内侧前额叶皮层的相互作用。
    In day-to-day life, we often choose between pursuing familiar behaviors that have been rewarded in the past or adjusting behaviors when new strategies might be more fruitful. The dorsomedial striatum (DMS) is indispensable for flexibly arbitrating between old and new behavioral strategies. The way in which DMS neurons host stable connections necessary for sustained flexibility is still being defined. An entry point to addressing this question may be the structural scaffolds on DMS neurons that house synaptic connections. We find that the non-receptor tyrosine kinase Proline-rich tyrosine kinase 2 (Pyk2) stabilizes both dendrites and spines on striatal medium spiny neurons, such that Pyk2 loss causes dendrite arbor and spine loss. Viral-mediated Pyk2 silencing in the DMS obstructs the ability of mice to arbitrate between rewarded and non-rewarded behaviors. Meanwhile, the overexpression of Pyk2 or the closely related focal adhesion kinase (FAK) enhances this ability. Finally, experiments using combinatorial viral vector strategies suggest that flexible, Pyk2-dependent action involves inputs from the medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC), but not the ventrolateral orbitofrontal cortex (OFC). Thus, Pyk2 stabilizes the striatal medium spiny neuron structure, likely providing substrates for inputs, and supports the capacity of mice to arbitrate between novel and familiar behaviors, including via interactions with the medial-prefrontal cortex.
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  • 文章类型: Practice Guideline
    背景:在2014年关于突发公共卫生事件期间的大规模重症监护的共识声明发表后,在COVID-19大流行期间,人们对激增反应和绝大多数患者的护理了解很多。先前大流行计划中的差距已经确定,需要在世界各地持续激增的情况下进行修改。
    方法:大规模重症监护任务组(TFMCC)采用了世界卫生组织和国际网络-麦克马斯特指南开发清单中已建立的快速指南方法的修订版。通过纳入专家意见的共识发展过程来定义重要问题并提取证据,TFMCC以结构化的方式制定了相关的大流行激增建议,纳入同行评审的文献,来自外行媒体来源的“灰色”证据,和轶事经验证据。
    结果:确定了关于人员配备的十条建议,负载平衡,通信,和技术。建议采用弹性策略来支持重症监护人员的人员配备模型。建议ICU激增策略和应变指标,以加强ICU优先排序策略,以维持应急水平的护理并避免危机分类。使用早期转移策略来进一步保持负载平衡。我们建议重症医师和住院医师与事故指挥结构接触,以确保双向沟通,态势感知,以及使用技术支持重症监护病房的重症监护服务和患者家属。
    结论:TFMCC的一个小组委员会提供了以证据为依据的临时运营策略,以协助医院和社区计划和应对COVID-19带来的激增容量需求。
    BACKGROUND: After the publication of a 2014 consensus statement regarding mass critical care during public health emergencies, much has been learned about surge responses and the care of overwhelming numbers of patients during the COVID-19 pandemic. Gaps in prior pandemic planning were identified and require modification in the midst of ongoing surges throughout the world.
    METHODS: The Task Force for Mass Critical Care (TFMCC) adopted a modified version of established rapid guideline methodologies from the World Health Organization and the Guidelines International Network-McMaster Guideline Development Checklist. With a consensus development process incorporating expert opinion to define important questions and extract evidence, the TFMCC developed relevant pandemic surge suggestions in a structured manner, incorporating peer-reviewed literature, \"gray\" evidence from lay media sources, and anecdotal experiential evidence.
    RESULTS: Ten suggestions were identified regarding staffing, load-balancing, communication, and technology. Staffing models are suggested with resilience strategies to support critical care staff. ICU surge strategies and strain indicators are suggested to enhance ICU prioritization tactics to maintain contingency level care and to avoid crisis triage, with early transfer strategies to further load-balance care. We suggest that intensivists and hospitalists be engaged with the incident command structure to ensure two-way communication, situational awareness, and the use of technology to support critical care delivery and families of patients in ICUs.
    CONCLUSIONS: A subcommittee from the TFMCC offers interim evidence-informed operational strategies to assist hospitals and communities to plan for and respond to surge capacity demands resulting from COVID-19.
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