Schizophrenia is a polygenic complex disease with a heritability as high as 80 %, yet the mechanism of polygenic interaction in its pathogenesis remains unclear. Studying the interaction and regulation of schizophrenia susceptibility genes is crucial for unraveling the pathogenesis of schizophrenia and developing antipsychotic drugs. Therefore, we developed a bioinformatics method named GRACI (Gene Regulation Analysis based on Causal Inference) based on the principles of information theory, a causal inference model, and high order chromatin 3D conformation. GRACI captures the interaction and regulatory relationships between schizophrenia susceptibility genes by analyzing genotyping data. Two datasets, comprising 1459 and 2065 samples respectively, were analyzed, and the gene networks from both datasets were constructed. GRACI showcased superior accuracy when compared to widely adopted methods for detecting gene-gene interactions and intergenic regulation. This alignment was further substantiated by its correlation with chromatin high-order conformation patterns. Using GRACI, we identified three potential genes-KCNN3, KCNH1, and KCND3-that are directly associated with schizophrenia pathogenesis. Furthermore, the results of GRACI on the standalone dataset illustrated the method\'s applicability to other complex diseases. GRACI download: https://github.com/liuliangjie19/GRACI.

What is the best way to split one stratum into two to maximally reduce the within-stratum imbalance in many covariates? We formulate this as an integer program and approximate the solution by randomized rounding of a linear program. A linear program may assign a fraction of a person to each refined stratum. Randomized rounding views fractional people as probabilities, assigning intact people to strata using biased coins. Randomized rounding is a well-studied theoretical technique for approximating the optimal solution of certain insoluble integer programs. When the number of people in a stratum is large relative to the number of covariates, we prove the following new results: (i) randomized rounding to split a stratum does very little randomizing, so it closely resembles the linear programming relaxation without splitting intact people; (ii) the linear relaxation and the randomly rounded solution place lower and upper bounds on the unattainable integer programming solution; and because of (i), these bounds are often close, thereby ratifying the usable randomly rounded solution. We illustrate using an observational study that balanced many covariates by forming matched pairs composed of 2016 patients selected from 5735 using a propensity score. Instead, we form 5 propensity score strata and refine them into 10 strata, obtaining excellent covariate balance while retaining all patients. An R package optrefine at CRAN implements the method. Supplementary materials are available online.

Success in life is linked to executive functions, a collection of cognitive processes that support goal-directed behaviors. Executive functions is an umbrella term related to cognitive control, self-control, and more. Variations in executive functioning predict concurrent success in schooling, relationships, and behavior, as well as important life outcomes years later. Such findings may suggest that certain individuals are destined for good executive functioning and success. However, environmental influences on executive function and development have long been recognized. Recent research in this tradition demonstrates the power of social contextual influences on children\'s engagement of executive functions. Such findings suggest new interpretations of why individuals differ in executive functioning and associated life outcomes, including across cultures and socioeconomic statuses. These findings raise fundamental questions about how best to conceptualize, measure, and support executive functioning across diverse contexts. Future research addressing real-world dynamics and computational mechanisms will elucidate how executive functioning emerges in the world.

Leptospirosis is a global zoonotic disease caused by spirochete bacteria of the genus Leptospira. The disease exhibits a notable incidence in tropical and developing countries, and in Colombia, environmental, economic, social, and cultural conditions favor disease transmission, directly impacting both mortality and morbidity rates. Our objective was to establish the pooled lagged effect of runoff on leptospirosis cases in Colombia. For our study, we included the top 20 Colombian municipalities with the highest number of leptospirosis cases. Monthly cases of leptospirosis, confirmed by laboratory tests and spanning from 2007 to 2022, were obtained from the National Public Health Surveillance System. Additionally, we collected monthly runoff and atmospheric and oceanic data from remote sensors. Multidimensional poverty index values for each municipality were sourced from the Terridata repository. We employed causal inference and distributed lag nonlinear models to estimate the lagged effect of runoff on leptospirosis cases. Municipality-specific estimates were combined through meta-analysis to derive a single estimate for all municipalities under study. The pooled results for the 20 municipalities suggest a lagged effect for the 0 to 2, and 0-3 months of runoff on leptospirosis when the runoff is < 120 g/m2. No effect was identified for longer lagged periods (0-1, 0 to 4, 0 to 5, and 0-6 months) or higher runoff values. Incorporation of the multidimensional poverty index into the meta-analysis of runoff contributed to the models for the lagged periods of 0-3, and 0-4 months.

The arising-from-chair task assessment is a key aspect of the evaluation of movement disorders in Parkinson\'s disease (PD). However, common scale-based clinical assessment methods are highly subjective and dependent on the neurologist\'s expertise. Alternate automated methods for arising-from-chair assessment can be established based on quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) images with multiple-instance learning. However, performance stability for such methods can be typically undermined by the presence of irrelevant or spuriously-relevant features that mask the intrinsic causal features. Therefore, we propose a QSM-based arising-from-chair assessment method using a causal graph-neural-network framework, where counterfactual and debiasing strategies are developed and integrated into this framework for capturing causal features. Specifically, the counterfactual strategy is proposed to suppress irrelevant features caused by background noise, by producing incorrect predictions when dropping causal parts. The debiasing strategy is proposed to suppress spuriously relevant features caused by the sampling bias and it comprises a resampling guidance scheme for selecting stable instances and a causal invariance constraint for improving stability under various interferences. The results of extensive experiments demonstrated the superiority of the proposed method in detecting arising-from-chair abnormalities. Its clinical feasibility was further confirmed by the coincidence between the selected causal features and those reported in earlier medical studies. Additionally, the proposed method was extensible for another motion task of leg agility. Overall, this study provides a potential tool for automated arising-from-chair assessment in PD patients, and also introduces causal counterfactual thinking in medical image analysis. Our source code is publicly available at https://github.com/SJTUBME-QianLab/CFGNN-PDarising.

UNASSIGNED: IgA nephropathy (IgAN), a prevalent form of glomerulonephritis globally, exhibits complex pathogenesis. Cathepsins, cysteine proteases within lysosomes, are implicated in various physiological and pathological processes, including renal conditions. Prior observational studies have suggested a potential link between cathepsins and IgAN, yet the precise causal relationship remains unclear.
UNASSIGNED: We conducted a comprehensive bidirectional and multivariable Mendelian randomization (MR) study using publicly available genetic data to explore the causal association between cathepsins and IgAN systematically. Additionally, immunohistochemical (IHC) staining and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) were employed to evaluate cathepsin expression levels in renal tissues and serum of IgAN patients. We investigated the underlying mechanisms via gene set variation analysis (GSVA), gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), and immune cell infiltration analysis. Molecular docking and virtual screening were also performed to identify potential drug candidates through drug repositioning.
UNASSIGNED: Univariate MR analyses demonstrated a significant link between increased cathepsin S (CTSS) levels and a heightened risk of IgAN. This was evidenced by an odds ratio (OR) of 1.041 (95% CI=1.009-1.073, P=0.012) as estimated using the inverse variance weighting (IVW) method. In multivariable MR analysis, even after adjusting for other cathepsins, elevated CTSS levels continued to show a strong correlation with an increased risk of IgAN (IVW P=0.020, OR=1.037, 95% CI=1.006-1.069). However, reverse MR analyses did not establish a causal relationship between IgAN and various cathepsins. IHC and ELISA findings revealed significant overexpression of CTSS in both renal tissues and serum of IgAN patients compared to controls, and this high expression was unique to IgAN compared with several other primary kidney diseases such as membranous nephropathy, minimal change disease and focal segmental glomerulosclerosis. Investigations into immune cell infiltration, GSEA, and GSVA highlighted the role of CTSS expression in the immune dysregulation observed in IgAN. Molecular docking and virtual screening pinpointed Camostat mesylate, c-Kit-IN-1, and Mocetinostat as the top drug candidates for targeting CTSS.
UNASSIGNED: Elevated CTSS levels are associated with an increased risk of IgAN, and this enzyme is notably overexpressed in IgAN patients\' serum and renal tissues. CTSS could potentially act as a diagnostic biomarker, providing new avenues for diagnosing and treating IgAN.

We introduce a simple diagnostic test for assessing the overall or partial goodness of fit of a linear causal model with errors being independent of the covariates. In particular, we consider situations where hidden confounding is potentially present. We develop a method and discuss its capability to distinguish between covariates that are confounded with the response by latent variables and those that are not. Thus, we provide a test and methodology for partial goodness of fit. The test is based on comparing a novel higher-order least squares principle with ordinary least squares. In spite of its simplicity, the proposed method is extremely general and is also proven to be valid for high-dimensional settings. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

The 2018 World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research recommends sustained strategies of physical activity and diet for cancer prevention, but evidence for long-term prostate cancer risk is limited. Using observational data from 27,859 men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, we emulated a target trial of recommendation-based physical activity and dietary strategies and 26-year risks of prostate cancer, adjusting for risk factors via the parametric g-formula. Compared with no intervention, limiting sugar-sweetened beverages showed a 0.4% (0.0-0.9%) lower risk of lethal (metastatic or fatal) disease and 0.5% (0.1-0.9%) lower risk of fatal disease. Restricting consumption of processed foods showed a 0.4-0.9% higher risk of all prostate cancer outcomes. Estimated risk differences for clinically significant disease were close to null for strategies involving fruits and non-starchy vegetables, whole grains and legumes, red meat, and processed meat, as well as under a joint strategy of physical activity and diet. Compared with a \"low adherence\" strategy, maintaining recommended physical activity levels showed a 0.4% (0.1-0.8%) lower risk of lethal and 0.5% (0.2-0.8%) lower risk of fatal disease. Adhering to specific components of current physical activity and dietary recommendations may help to prevent lethal and fatal prostate cancer over 26 years.

With the rapid development of computer science, there is an increasing demand for the use of causal inference methods and machine learning in the research of endocrine disorders and their long-term health outcomes. However, studies on the effective and appropriate applications of these approaches in real-world data and clinical settings are still limited. This review will illustrate the use of causal inference and machine learning in epidemiological research within the field of endocrinology and metabolism. It will examine each concept of causal inference and machine learning through application examples of endocrine disorders. Subsequently, the paper will discuss the integration of machine learning within the causal inference framework, including (i) the estimation of treatment effects or the causal relationship between exposure and outcomes, and (ii) the evaluation of heterogeneity in such treatment effects (or exposure-outcome causal relationship) based on individuals\' characteristics. Accurately assessing causal relationships and their heterogeneity across different individuals is crucial not only for determining effective interventions, but also for the appropriate allocation of medical resources and reducing healthcare disparities. By illustrating some application examples in endocrinology, this review aims to enhance readers\' understanding and application of causal inference and machine learning in future epidemiological studies focusing on endocrine disorders.

This study introduces a novel approach to transport modelling by integrating experimentally derived causal priors into neural networks. We illustrate this paradigm using a case study of metformin, a ubiquitous pharmaceutical emerging pollutant, and its transport behaviour in sandy media. Specifically, data from metformin\'s sandy column transport experiment was used to estimate unobservable parameters through a physics-based model Hydrus-1D, followed by a data augmentation to produce a more comprehensive dataset. A causal graph incorporating key variables was constructed, aiding in identifying impactful variables and estimating their causal dynamics or \"causal prior.\" The causal priors extracted from the augmented dataset included underexplored system parameters such as the type-1 sorption fraction F, first-order reaction rate coefficient α, and transport system scale. Their moderate impact on the transport process has been quantitatively evaluated (normalized causal effect 0.0423, -0.1447 and -0.0351, respectively) with adequate confounders considered for the first time. The prior was later embedded into multilayer neural networks via two methods: causal weight initialization and causal prior regularization. Based on the results from AutoML hyperparameter tuning experiments, using two embedding methods simultaneously emerged as a more advantageous practice since our proposed causal weight initialization technique can enhance model stability, particularly when used in conjunction with causal prior regularization. amongst those experiments utilizing both techniques, the R-squared values peaked at 0.881. This study demonstrates a balanced approach between expert knowledge and data-driven methods, providing enhanced interpretability in black-box models such as neural networks for environmental modelling.