Long-term mortality

长期死亡率
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:尽管胰岛素抵抗(IR)已被认为是各种疾病的病因,目前关于一般人群中IR与长期死亡率之间关系的信息有限,不同IR指标和不同人群之间的结论存在差异.我们旨在评估不同IR测量值与普通人群长期全因死亡率和心血管死亡风险之间的关联。
    方法:我们纳入了来自第三次全国健康和营养调查的13,909人。死亡率是通过国家死亡指数信息确定的,直到2019年12月31日。使用空腹胰岛素测量IR,IR的稳态模型评估(HOMA-IR),稳态模型评估β细胞功能,定量胰岛素敏感性检查指数(QUICKI),胰岛素葡萄糖比(IGR),甘油三酯葡萄糖(TyG)指数,TyG-体重指数(TyG-BMI),和高甘油三酯腰围表型。
    结果:在中位25年随访期间,发生了5,306例全因死亡事件。经过多变量调整后,与全因死亡风险升高显著相关的变量为(风险比[95%置信区间]):胰岛素升高(1.07[1.02;1.13]);HOMA-IR(1.08[1.03;1.13]);IGR(1.05[1.00;1.11]);TyG(1.07[1.00;1.14]);TyG-BMI(1.24[1.02;1.51]);QUICKI(0.96)按糖尿病状态分层后,更高的胰岛素,HOMA-IR,在糖尿病和非糖尿病人群中,TyG-BMI和较低的QUICKI与全因死亡风险增加显著相关(所有交互作用P均>0.05)。更高的TyG(调整后的HR1.17[1.09;1.26],相互作用的P=0.018)和高甘油三酯腰围表型(调整后的HR1.26[1.08;1.46],交互作用的P=0.047)与糖尿病患者的全因死亡率风险增加显着相关,然而,这些关联在没有糖尿病的人群中看不到。在上述IR指标和心血管死亡之间观察到类似的结果。
    结论:空腹胰岛素,HOMA-IR,TyG-BMI,QUICKI可能表明糖尿病和非糖尿病人群的死亡风险,TyG和高甘油三酯腰围表型显示与糖尿病个体特别相关。需要进一步的研究来验证这些发现并确定其更广泛的适用性。
    OBJECTIVE: Although insulin resistance (IR) has been recognized to be a causal component in various diseases, current information on the relationship between IR and long-term mortality in the general population is limited and conclusions varied among different IR indicators and different populations. We aimed to assess associations between different measurements of IR with long-term all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality risk for the general population.
    METHODS: We included 13,909 individuals from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Mortality was identified via National Death Index information until December 31, 2019. IR was measured using fasting insulin, homeostasis model assessment of IR (HOMA-IR), homeostasis model assessment of β-cell function, quantitative insulin sensitivity check index (QUICKI), insulin-to-glucose ratio (IGR), triglyceride glucose (TyG) index, TyG-body mass index (TyG-BMI), and hypertriglyceridemic-waist phenotype.
    RESULTS: During median 25-year follow-up, 5,306 all-cause mortality events occurred. After multivariate adjustment, variables significantly associated with elevated all-cause mortality risk were (hazard ratio [95 % confidence interval]): higher insulin (1.07 [1.02;1.13]); HOMA-IR (1.08 [1.03;1.13]); IGR (1.05 [1.00;1.11]); TyG (1.07 [1.00;1.14]); TyG-BMI (1.24 [1.02;1.51]); lower QUICKI (0.91 [0.86-0.96]). After stratification by diabetes status, higher insulin, HOMA-IR, TyG-BMI and lower QUICKI were significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in both diabetes and non-diabetes populations (all P for interaction > 0.05). Higher TyG (adjusted HR 1.17 [1.09;1.26], P for interaction = 0.018) and hypertriglyceridemic-waist phenotype (adjusted HR 1.26 [1.08;1.46], P for interaction = 0.047) were significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in patients with diabetes, however, these associations could not be seen in people without diabetes. Similar results were observed between the above-mentioned IR indicators and cardiovascular death.
    CONCLUSIONS: Fasting insulin, HOMA-IR, TyG-BMI, and QUICKI may indicate mortality risk in diabetes and non-diabetes populations, with TyG and the hypertriglyceridemic-waist phenotype showing particular relevance for individuals with diabetes. Further studies are needed to validate these findings and determine their broader applicability.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心外膜脂肪与心血管危险因素和不良结局相关。然而,当考虑冠状动脉钙积分(CAC)时,心外膜脂肪是否仍有死亡风险尚不清楚.
    我们研究了来自圣弗朗西斯心脏研究的1005名参与者,他们的年龄和性别的CAC得分明显健康,为80百分位或更高,随机分配到安慰剂或他汀类药物治疗。在基线,在分析心外膜脂肪体积的情况下,获得了血脂谱和非对比CT图像.似然比测试用于评估心外膜脂肪对CAC全因死亡风险的额外预后价值。
    心外膜脂肪体积增加与CAC升高相关。对于lnCAC中的每个单位增加,平均心外膜脂肪体积增加3.34mL/m2。经过17年的平均随访期,179名(18%)参与者死亡。心外膜脂肪体积增加与1.11(95%CI:1.02至1.20)的校正风险比预测全因死亡率相关。在心外膜脂肪和CAC的分层分析测试层中,心外膜脂肪增加和CAC增加的患者死亡风险最高.与包含lnCAC和传统风险因素的模型相比,另外含有心外膜脂肪体积的模型获得了更好的模型拟合(似然比检验p<0.001).
    心外膜脂肪体积增加与全因死亡风险增加相关。此外,它预示了CAC评分在死亡率预测中的增量预后价值.
    UNASSIGNED: Epicardial fat is associated with cardiovascular risk factors and adverse outcomes. However, it is not clear if epicardial fat remains to be a mortality risk when coronary calcium score (CAC) is taken into account.
    UNASSIGNED: We studied the 1005 participants from the St. Francis Heart Study who were apparently healthy with CAC scores at 80th percentile or higher for age and gender, randomly assigned to placebo or statin therapy. At baseline, lipid profiles and non-contrast CT images were obtained where the epicardial fat volume was analyzed. Likelihood ratio testing was used to assess the additional prognostic value of epicardial fat to CAC for the risk of all-cause mortality.
    UNASSIGNED: Increased epicardial fat volume was associated with higher CAC. For each unit increase in lnCAC, the average epicardial fat volume increased by 3.34 mL/m2. After a mean follow-up period of 17 years, 179 (18%) participants died. Increased epicardial fat volume was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.11 (95% CI: 1.02 to 1.20) predicting all-cause mortality. In the stratified analysis testing strata of epicardial fat and CAC, those with increased epicardial fat and increased CAC had the highest risk of death. Compared with a model containing lnCAC and traditional risk factors, a model additionally containing epicardial fat volume yielded a better model fit (likelihood ratio test p < 0.001).
    UNASSIGNED: Increased epicardial fat volume is associated with increased all-cause mortality risk. In addition, it portends incremental prognostic value to CAC score in mortality prediction.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:在急诊领域,针对急诊医疗服务(EMS)治疗的患者的预测模型的开发正在兴起。然而,这些模型是如何随时间演变的,还没有被研究过。本工作的目的是比较短期内死亡率的患者的特征,中长期,并推导和验证每个死亡时间的预测模型。
    方法:进行了一项前瞻性多中心研究,其中包括接受EMS治疗的未经选择的急性疾病的成年患者。主要结局是所有原因的非累积死亡率,包括30天死亡率,31天至180天死亡率,和181至365天的死亡率。院前预测因素包括人口统计学变量,标准生命体征,院前实验室检查,和合并症。
    结果:共纳入4830例患者。30、180和365天时的非累积死亡率为10.8%,6.6%,和3.5%,分别。30天死亡率显示最佳预测值(AUC=0.930;95%CI:0.919-0.940),其次是180天(AUC=0.852;95%CI:0.832-0.871)和365天(AUC=0.806;95%CI:0.778-0.833)死亡率。
    结论:快速表征处于短期,medium-,或长期死亡率可以帮助EMS改善患有急性疾病的患者的治疗。
    OBJECTIVE: The development of predictive models for patients treated by emergency medical services (EMS) is on the rise in the emergency field. However, how these models evolve over time has not been studied. The objective of the present work is to compare the characteristics of patients who present mortality in the short, medium and long term, and to derive and validate a predictive model for each mortality time.
    METHODS: A prospective multicenter study was conducted, which included adult patients with unselected acute illness who were treated by EMS. The primary outcome was noncumulative mortality from all causes by time windows including 30-day mortality, 31- to 180-day mortality, and 181- to 365-day mortality. Prehospital predictors included demographic variables, standard vital signs, prehospital laboratory tests, and comorbidities.
    RESULTS: A total of 4830 patients were enrolled. The noncumulative mortalities at 30, 180, and 365 days were 10.8%, 6.6%, and 3.5%, respectively. The best predictive value was shown for 30-day mortality (AUC = 0.930; 95% CI: 0.919-0.940), followed by 180-day (AUC = 0.852; 95% CI: 0.832-0.871) and 365-day (AUC = 0.806; 95% CI: 0.778-0.833) mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: Rapid characterization of patients at risk of short-, medium-, or long-term mortality could help EMS to improve the treatment of patients suffering from acute illnesses.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:我们追踪了长时间机械通气(PMV)患者的断奶尝试,并探讨了与成功断奶和长期生存相关的因素。
    方法:这项历史队列研究包括2015年至2018年期间入住一家康复医院的所有成年PMV患者,并根据断奶成功率随访3年或2021年底。
    结果:该研究包括223名PMV患者。其中,124次(55.6%)接受了断奶尝试,69人(55.6%)成功断奶,55(44.4%)断奶失败,99名患者没有断奶尝试。平均年龄为67±20岁,39%的女性患者。年龄,各组的性别分布和入院时的白蛋白水平无显著差异.成功的断奶组比失败的断奶组的清醒患者比例高6%(55%vs.49%,分别,p=0.45)。成功断奶的患者使用抗生素治疗5天或以上的频率低于未成功断奶的患者(74%vs80%,分别,p=0.07)。从插管到气管造口术的时间超过14天的比例也较低(45%vs66%,p=0.02)。年龄,性别,抗生素治疗,气管造口术的时间超过14天,从入院到首次断奶的时间调整了成功一年的死亡率风险。断奶失败有点低,HR=0.75,95CI:0.33-1.60,p=0.45,到3年末趋势相同,HR=0.77,95CI:0.42-1.39,p=0.38。
    结论:成功脱离PMV可能与更好的生存率相关,并允许长期通气的患者独立于呼吸机。需要更大的研究来进一步验证我们的发现。
    BACKGROUND: We followed prolonged mechanically ventilated (PMV) patients for weaning attempts and explored factors associated with successful weaning and long-term survival.
    METHODS: This historical cohort study included all adult PMV patients admitted to a single rehabilitation hospital during 2015-2018 and followed for survival according to weaning success up to 3 years or the end of 2021.
    RESULTS: The study included 223 PMV patients. Of them, 124 (55.6 %) underwent weaning attempts, with 69 (55.6 %) successfully weaned, 55 (44.4 %) unsuccessfully weaned, and 99 patients with no weaning attempts. The mean age was 67 ± 20 years, with 39 % female patients. Age, sex distributions and albumin levels at admission were not significantly different among the groups. The successful weaning group had a 6 % higher proportion of conscious patients than the failed weaning group (55 % vs. 49 %, respectively, p = 0.45). Patients successfully weaned were less frequently treated with antibiotics for 5 days or more than those unsuccessfully weaned (74 % vs 80 %, respectively, p = 0.07). They also had a lower proportion of time from intubation to tracheostomy greater than 14 days (45 % vs 66 %, p = 0.02). The age, sex, antibiotic treatment, time to tracheostomy exceeding 14 days and time from admission to first weaning attempt adjusted one-year mortality risk of successful vs. failed weaning was somewhat lower, HR = 0.75, 95%CI: 0.33-1.60, p = 0.45, with the same trend by the end of 3 years, HR = 0.77, 95%CI: 0.42-1.39, p = 0.38.
    CONCLUSIONS: Successful weaning from PMV may be associated with better survival and allows chronically ventilated patients to become independent on a ventilator. A larger study is needed to further validate our findings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    一般来说,可以从非高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(non-HDL-C)浓度与载脂蛋白B(apoB)浓度之比推断胆固醇耗尽的脂质颗粒的鉴定,作为评估心血管疾病风险的可靠指标。然而,非HDL-C/apoB比值预测普通人群长期死亡风险的能力仍不确定.这项研究的目的是探讨非HDL-C/apoB比率与美国成年人长期全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的关系。
    这项回顾性队列研究是对国家健康和营养调查(NHANES)现有信息的进一步分析。在最终分析中,包括2005年至2014年的12,697名参与者。应用Kaplan-Meier(K-M)曲线和对数秩检验来可视化组间生存差异。多变量Cox回归和限制性三次样条(RCS)模型用于评估非HDL-C/apoB比率与全因和心血管死亡率的相关性。对年龄变量进行亚组分析,性别,冠状动脉疾病的存在,糖尿病和高甘油三酯血症以及降脂药物的使用。
    该队列的平均年龄为46.8±18.6岁,6215名(48.9%)参与者为男性。在持续68.0个月的中位随访中,记录了891例(7.0%)死亡,156例(1.2%)患者死于心血管疾病。与没有事件的人相比,经历过全因死亡和心血管死亡的人的非HDL-C/apoB比率较低(1.45±0.16vs.1.50±0.17和1.43±0.17vs.1.50±0.17,两个P值均<0.001)。调整后的Cox回归模型结果显示,非HDL-C/apoB比率作为长期全因死亡率[风险比(HR)=0.51,95%置信区间(CI):0.33-0.80]和心血管死亡率(HR=0.33,95%CI:0.12-0.90)的危险因素均具有独立意义。此外,发现了显著的性别相互作用(相互作用的P<0.05),表明非HDL-C/apoB比值与女性长期死亡率之间存在密切关联。RCS曲线显示,non-HDL-C/apoB比值与长期全因死亡率和心血管死亡率呈负线性相关(非线性P分别为0.098和0.314)。
    non-HDL-C/apoB比值可作为预测普通人群长期死亡率的潜在生物标志物,独立于传统风险因素。
    UNASSIGNED: In general, the identification of cholesterol-depleted lipid particles can be inferred from non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) concentration to apolipoprotein B (apoB) concentration ratio, which serves as a reliable indicator for assessing the risk of cardiovascular disease. However, the ability of non-HDL-C/apoB ratio to predict the risk of long-term mortality among the general population remains uncertain. The aim of this study is to explore the association of non-HDL-C/apoB ratio with long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in adults of the United States.
    UNASSIGNED: This retrospective cohort study was a further analysis of existing information from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). In the ultimate analysis, 12,697 participants from 2005 to 2014 were included. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curves and the log-rank test were applied to visualize survival differences between groups. Multivariate Cox regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) models were applied to evaluate the association of non-HDL-C/apoB ratio with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Subgroup analysis was conducted for the variables of age, sex, presence of coronary artery disease, diabetes and hypertriglyceridemia and usage of lipid-lowering drugs.
    UNASSIGNED: The average age of the cohort was 46.8 ± 18.6 years, with 6215 (48.9%) participants being male. During a median follow-up lasting 68.0 months, 891 (7.0%) deaths were documented and 156 (1.2%) patients died of cardiovascular disease. Individuals who experienced all-cause and cardiovascular deaths had a lower non-HDL-C/apoB ratio compared with those without events (1.45 ± 0.16 vs. 1.50 ± 0.17 and 1.43 ± 0.17 vs. 1.50 ± 0.17, both P values < 0.001). The results of adjusted Cox regression models revealed that non-HDL-C/apoB ratio exhibited independent significance as a risk factor for both long-term all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.51, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.33-0.80] and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.33, 95% CI: 0.12-0.90). Additionally, a significant sex interaction was discovered (P for interaction <0.05), indicating a robust association between non-HDL-C/apoB ratio and long-term mortality among females. The RCS curve showed that non-HDL-C/apoB ratio had a negative linear association with long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (P for non-linearity was 0.098 and 0.314).
    UNASSIGNED: The non-HDL-C/apoB ratio may serve as a potential biomarker for predicting long-term mortality among the general population, independent of traditional risk factors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    患有肥厚型心肌病(HCM)的患者通常被认为具有增加的心律失常风险,中风,心力衰竭,和心源性猝死,但是报告的死亡率差异很大,并且来自选定的人群。
    我们旨在调查全国HCM患者队列与丹麦普通人群的匹配队列的长期死亡率。
    2007年1月1日至2018年12月31日在丹麦首次诊断为HCM的所有患者均通过全国注册登记。在主要分析中,为了提高特异性,我们需要在门诊就诊两次.根据年龄,患者以1:3的比例与背景人群的对照组相匹配,性别,选定的合并症和HCM的日期。使用KaplanMeier估计和多变量Cox回归模型比较死亡率。
    我们确定了3126例首次诊断为HCM的患者。1197名患者至少有两次在门诊就诊(43%为女性,中位年龄63.1[第25-75百分位数52.1-72.1]岁)。HCM患者的全因死亡率明显高于对照组:HCM患者的10年死亡概率为36.4%(95%CI30.2-43.5%),对照组为19.4%(95%CI16.8-22.5%)。在调整额外的合并症和药物后,HCM诊断与死亡率增加相关(HR1.48(95%CI1.18~1.84,p=0.001)).
    与来自背景人群的匹配对照相比,HCM的存在与死亡率的显著增加相关.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) are generally regarded as having increased risk of arrhythmia, stroke, heart failure, and sudden cardiac death, but reported mortality rates vary considerably and originate from selected populations.
    UNASSIGNED: We aimed to investigate the long-term mortality rate in a nationwide cohort of patients with HCM compared to a matched cohort from the general Danish population.
    UNASSIGNED: All patients with a first-time HCM diagnosis in Denmark between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2018 were identified through nationwide registries. In the main analysis, two visits in an outpatient clinic were required in order to increase specificity. Patients were matched to controls from the background population in a 1:3 ratio based on age, sex, selected comorbidities and date of HCM. Mortalities were compared using Kaplan Meier estimator and multivariable Cox regression models.
    UNASSIGNED: We identified 3126 patients with a first-time diagnosis of HCM. 1197 patients had at least two visits in the outpatient clinic (43 % female, median age 63.1 [25th-75th percentile 52.1-72.1] years). All-cause mortality was significantly higher in HCM patients than in matched controls: 10-year probabilities of death were 36.4 % (95 % CI 30.2-43.5 %) for HCM patients and 19.4 % (95 % CI 16.8-22.5 %) for controls. After adjusting for additional comorbidities and medications, a diagnosis with HCM was associated with an increased mortality rate (HR 1.48 (95 % CI 1.18-1.84, p = 0.001)).
    UNASSIGNED: Compared to matched controls from the background population, presence of HCM was associated with a significant increase in mortality rate.
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  • 文章类型: Observational Study
    进行原发性去骨瓣减压术(DC)以防止在去除由创伤性脑损伤(TBI)引起的肿块后颅内高压。虽然主要DC可以是拯救生命的干预措施,随访期间仍存在显著的死亡风险.这项研究旨在调查接受原发性DC的TBI患者的长期生存率并确定死亡的危险因素。在这项回顾性研究中,我们招募了162名接受原发性DC的头部受伤患者。主要关注的是长期死亡率,在TBI后12至209个月的范围内进行了监测。我们比较了幸存者和非幸存者的临床参数,并使用多变量逻辑回归模型来调整长期死亡率的独立危险因素。对于手术后最初住院期间存活的TBI患者,平均随访时间为106.58±65.45个月。所有患者的长期生存率为56.2%(91/162)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,年龄(比值比,95%置信区间=1.12,1.07-1.18;p<0.01)和基础水箱的状态(无与正常;比值比,95%置信区间=9.32,2.05-42.40;p<0.01)是与长期死亡率相关的两个独立危险因素。总之,这项研究表明,接受原发性DC治疗的TBI患者的生存率为56.2%,至少有一年的随访。与长期死亡率相关的关键危险因素是高龄和缺乏基础水箱,制定有效的TBI管理策略的关键考虑因素。
    Primary decompressive craniectomy (DC) is carried out to prevent intracranial hypertension after removal of mass lesions resulting from traumatic brain injury (TBI). While primary DC can be a life-saving intervention, significant mortality risks persist during the follow-up period. This study was undertaken to investigate the long-term survival rate and ascertain the risk factors of mortality in TBI patients who underwent primary DC. We enrolled 162 head-injured patients undergoing primary DC in this retrospective study. The primary focus was on long-term mortality, which was monitored over a range of 12 to 209 months post-TBI. We compared the clinical parameters of survivors and non-survivors, and used a multivariate logistic regression model to adjust for independent risk factors of long-term mortality. For the TBI patients who survived the initial hospitalization period following surgery, the average duration of follow-up was 106.58 ± 65.45 months. The recorded long-term survival rate of all patients was 56.2% (91/162). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval = 1.12, 1.07-1.18; p < 0.01) and the status of basal cisterns (absent versus normal; odds ratio, 95% confidence interval = 9.32, 2.05-42.40; p < 0.01) were the two independent risk factors linked to long-term mortality. In conclusion, this study indicated a survival rate of 56.2% for patients subjected to primary DC for TBI, with at least a one-year follow-up. Key risk factors associated with long-term mortality were advanced age and absent basal cisterns, critical considerations for developing effective TBI management strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:老年患者髋部骨折与高死亡率相关。与髋部骨折相关的大多数死亡是由手术后的并发症引起的。最近的研究表明,一些炎症生物标志物可能有助于估计超额死亡率。本研究旨在探讨老年髋部骨折患者入院时炎症标志物的预测价值。
    方法:我们报告了2015年1月至2019年12月中国某医院收治的老年髋部骨折患者的回顾性研究。共有1085名患者被纳入研究,并对其人口统计及术前特征进行分析。炎症生物标志物包括单核细胞与淋巴细胞比率(MLR),中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比率(NLR),C反应蛋白(CRP)与白蛋白比值(CAR)。NLR的预测性能,通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析评估MLR和CAR,并通过Cox比例回归评估入院炎症标志物与死亡率之间的相关性。
    结果:30天,1年,2年,4年死亡率为1.6%,11.5%,21.4%和48.9%,分别。准入NLR的最佳截止值,1年死亡率的MLR和CAR分别为7.28、0.76和1.36。调整协变量后,术前NLR≥7.28(HR=1.419,95%CI:1.080-1.864,p=0.012)是4年全因死亡率的独立危险因素,术前CAR≥1.36与1年独立相关(HR=1.700,95%CI:1.173-2.465,p=0.005),2年(HR=1.464,95%CI:1.107-1.936,p=0.008),和4年(HR=1.341,95%CI:1.057-1.700,p=0.016)全因死亡率,虽然年龄,CCI得分,入院时低血红蛋白也是术后全因死亡的危险因素.
    结论:入院CAR和NLR可能是预测老年髋部骨折手术患者长期死亡率的有用指标。需要更多的研究来验证这些发现。
    OBJECTIVE: Hip fractures in elderly patients are associated with a high mortality rate. Most deaths associated with hip fracture result from complications after surgery. Recent studies suggest that some inflammation biomarkers may be useful to estimate excess mortality. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of admission inflammation biomarkers in elderly patients with hip fracture.
    METHODS: We reports on a retrospective study of elderly hip fracture patients admitted to a hospital in China between January 2015 and December 2019. A total of 1085 patients were included in the study, and their demographic and pre-operative characteristics were analyzed. The inflammation biomarkers included monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and C-reactive protein (CRP) to albumin ratio (CAR). The predictive performance of NLR, MLR and CAR was assessed by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis and the association between admission inflammation markers and mortality was evaluated by Cox proportional regression.
    RESULTS: The 30-day, 1-year, 2-year, and 4-year mortality were 1.6%, 11.5%, 21.4% and 48.9%, respectively. The optimal cut-off values of admission NLR, MLR and CAR for 1-year mortality were 7.28, 0.76, and 1.36. After adjusting the covariates, preoperative NLR ≥ 7.28 (HR = 1.419, 95% CI: 1.080-1.864, p = 0.012) were found to be only independent risk factors with 4-year all-cause mortality, the preoperative CAR ≥ 1.36 was independently associated with 1-year (HR = 1.700, 95% CI: 1.173-2.465, p = 0.005), 2 year (HR = 1.464, 95% CI: 1.107-1.936, p = 0.008), and 4-year (HR = 1.341, 95% CI: 1.057-1.700, p = 0.016) all-cause mortality, While age, CCI score, and low hemoglobin at admission were also risk factors for postoperative all-cause mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: Admission CAR and NLR may be useful indicators for predicting the long-term mortality of elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery, and that more research is needed to validate these findings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:神经肌肉阻滞剂(NMBAs)可用于促进重症患者的机械通气。越来越多的证据表明,NMBAs可能与重症监护病房(ICU)获得性虚弱和不良预后有关。然而,NMBA对死亡率的长期影响尚不清楚.
    方法:我们使用台中退伍军人总医院2015-2019年的重症监护数据库进行了回顾性分析,台湾中部的一个转诊中心,以及台湾全国死亡登记档案。
    结果:共有5709名通气患者符合进一步分析的条件,其中63.8%为男性。入选受试者的平均年龄为67.8±15.8岁,1年死亡率为48.3%(2755/5709)。与幸存者相比,非幸存者的年龄更高(70.4±14.9vs65.4±16.3,p<0.001),急性生理学和慢性健康评价II评分(28.0±6.2vs24.7±6.5,p<0.001),呼吸机使用时间更长(12.6±10.6天比7.8±8.5天,p<0.001),并且更有可能接受NMBA超过48小时(11.1%对7.8%,p<0.001)。在调整了年龄之后,性别,和相关的协变量,研究发现,使用NMBA超过48小时与死亡风险增加独立相关(校正后HR:1.261;95%CI:1.07~1.486).对效果修饰的分析表明,在Charlson合并症指数为3或更高的患者中,这种关联往往很强。
    结论:我们的研究表明,在需要机械通气的危重患者中,长期使用NMBA与长期死亡风险增加相关。需要进一步的研究来验证我们的发现。
    BACKGROUND: Neuromuscular blockade agents (NMBAs) can be used to facilitate mechanical ventilation in critically ill patients. Accumulating evidence has shown that NMBAs may be associated with intensive care unit (ICU)-acquired weakness and poor outcomes. However, the long-term impact of NMBAs on mortality is still unclear.
    METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis using the 2015-2019 critical care databases at Taichung Veterans General Hospital, a referral center in central Taiwan, as well as the Taiwan nationwide death registry profile.
    RESULTS: A total of 5709 ventilated patients were eligible for further analysis, with 63.8% of them were male. The mean age of enrolled subjects was 67.8 ± 15.8 years, and the one-year mortality was 48.3% (2755/5709). Compared with the survivors, the non-survivors had a higher age (70.4 ± 14.9 vs 65.4 ± 16.3, p < 0.001), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (28.0 ± 6.2 vs 24.7 ± 6.5, p < 0.001), a longer duration of ventilator use (12.6 ± 10.6 days vs 7.8 ± 8.5 days, p < 0.001), and were more likely to receive NMBAs for longer than 48 h (11.1% vs 7.8%, p < 0.001). After adjusting for age, sex, and relevant covariates, the use of NMBAs for longer than 48 h was found to be independently associated with an increased risk of mortality (adjusted HR: 1.261; 95% CI: 1.07-1.486). The analysis of effect modification revealed that this association was tended to be strong in patients with a Charlson Comorbidity Index of 3 or higher.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrated that prolonged use of NMBAs was associated with an increased risk of long-term mortality in critically ill patients requiring mechanical ventilation. Further studies are needed to validate our findings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究探讨了胆碱酯酶抑制剂(ChEI)对心力衰竭(HF)和痴呆患者的潜在影响。已知ChEIs可提高痴呆症患者的乙酰胆碱水平并有益于认知;然而,它们对HF患者的影响尚不确定.这项研究旨在评估ChEI治疗是否改变了HF和痴呆患者的心血管事件和死亡率。
    方法:回顾性分析台湾国家健康保险研究数据库的数据。诊断为HF的痴呆患者随访5年,直至全因死亡,心血管死亡率,因HF恶化而住院治疗,或研究结束。采用多变量Cox模型和治疗加权逆概率(IPTW)。
    结果:在20,848例痴呆症患者中,5138有HF。其中,726是ChEI用户,4412是非用户。基于IPTW,与非使用者相比,ChEI使用者的全因死亡率[风险比(HR)0.43;95%置信区间(CI)0.38-0.49,p<0.001]和心血管死亡率(HR0.41;95%CI0.33-0.53,p<0.001)的估计风险显着降低,但5年后因HF恶化而住院的差异无统计学意义(HR0.73;95%CI0.51-1.05,p=0.091)。ChEI的生存益处在各个亚组中是一致的。
    结论:这项回顾性队列研究的结果表明,ChEIs可能有助于降低心力衰竭痴呆患者的全因死亡率和心血管死亡率。需要进一步的研究来验证这些发现,并探索ChEI在所有HF患者中的潜在益处。包括那些没有痴呆症的人。
    This study investigates the potential impact of cholinesterase inhibitors (ChEIs) on patients with heart failure (HF) and dementia. ChEIs are known to boost acetylcholine levels and benefit cognition in patients with dementia; however, their effect on patients with HF is uncertain. This study aimed to assess whether cardiovascular events and mortality among patients with HF and dementia are altered by ChEI therapy.
    Data from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan were retrospectively analyzed. Dementia patients diagnosed with HF were followed for 5 years until all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, hospitalization for worsening HF, or the end of the study. Multivariable Cox models and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) were employed.
    Out of 20,848 patients with dementia, 5138 had HF. Among them, 726 were ChEI users and 4412 were non-users. Based on IPTW, the ChEI users had significantly lower estimated risks of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 0.43; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.38-0.49, p < 0.001] and cardiovascular mortality (HR 0.41; 95% CI 0.33-0.53, p < 0.001) compared with the non-users, but there was no significant difference in hospitalization for worsening HF (HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.51-1.05, p = 0.091) after 5 years. The survival benefits of ChEIs were consistent across subgroups.
    The results of this retrospective cohort study suggest that ChEIs may be beneficial in reducing all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with dementia with HF. Further research is needed to validate these findings and explore the potential benefits of ChEIs in all patients with HF, including those without dementia.
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