Mesh : Adolescent Concept Formation Culture Decision Making Empathy Female Forecasting Friends Games, Recreational Humans Internal-External Control Male Models, Theoretical Seoul Social Capital Social Support Young Adult

来  源:   DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0171472   PDF(Sci-hub)

Abstract:
This study examines whether the way that a person makes inferences about unknown events is associated with his or her social relations, more precisely, those characterized by ego network density that reflects the structure of a person\'s immediate social relation. From the analysis of individual predictions over the Go match between AlphaGo and Sedol Lee in March 2016 in Seoul, Korea, this study shows that the low-density group scored higher than the high-density group in the accuracy of the prediction over a future state of a social event, i.e., the outcome of the first game. We corroborated this finding with three replication tests that asked the participants to predict the following: film awards, President Park\'s impeachment in Korea, and the counterfactual assessment of the US presidential election. Taken together, this study suggests that network density is negatively associated with vision advantage, i.e., the ability to discover and forecast an unknown aspect of a social event.
摘要:
暂无翻译
公众号