ozone

臭氧
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:野火活动是对流层臭氧(O3)污染的重要来源。然而,迄今为止,尚无一项研究系统地研究了全球范围内与野火相关的O3暴露与死亡率之间的关系.
    方法:我们进行了多国家两阶段时间序列分析。从多城市多国家(MCC)合作研究网络来看,每日全因数据,心血管,从43个国家或地区的749个地点获得呼吸道死亡,代表从2000年1月1日至2016年12月31日的重叠时期。我们使用化学传输模型估算了研究地点与野火相关的O3的每日浓度,然后将O3估计值校准并缩小到0·25°×0·25°(赤道约28km2)的分辨率。使用随机效应荟萃分析,我们研究了短期野火相关的O3暴露(滞后0-2天)与每日死亡率的关系,首先在地点一级,然后在全国集中,区域,和全球层面。与野火相关的O3在每个地点的年度超额死亡率分数是用汇总效应估计计算的,并用于获得国家的超额死亡率分数,区域,和全球层面。
    结果:在2000年至2016年之间,在南美地区观察到最高的每日野火相关O3浓度(≥30μg/m3),中美洲,东南亚,和南非的国家。在所有地点,在滞后0-2天期间,与野火有关的O3的平均每日浓度增加1μg/m3,与每日全因死亡率增加0·55%(95%CI0·29至0·80)有关,每日心血管死亡率为0·44%(-0·10至0·99),每日呼吸道死亡率为0·82%(0·18至1·47)。每日死亡率与与野火有关的O3暴露之间的关联在国家和区域一级显示出很大的地理异质性。在所有地点,全因死亡率的估计年度超额死亡率分数为0·58%(95%CI0·31至0·85;31606例死亡[95%CI17038至46027]),心血管死亡率为0·41%(-0·10至0·91;5249[-1244至11620]),呼吸死亡率为0·86%(0·18至1·51;4657[999至8206])可归因于短期暴露于与野火有关的O3。
    结论:在这项研究中,我们观察到与短期野火相关的O3暴露相关的全因死亡率和呼吸道死亡率增加.应实施有效的风险和烟雾管理策略,以保护公众免受野火的影响。
    背景:澳大利亚研究委员会和澳大利亚国家健康与医学研究委员会。
    BACKGROUND: Wildfire activity is an important source of tropospheric ozone (O3) pollution. However, no study to date has systematically examined the associations of wildfire-related O3 exposure with mortality globally.
    METHODS: We did a multicountry two-stage time series analysis. From the Multi-City Multi-Country (MCC) Collaborative Research Network, data on daily all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory deaths were obtained from 749 locations in 43 countries or areas, representing overlapping periods from Jan 1, 2000, to Dec 31, 2016. We estimated the daily concentration of wildfire-related O3 in study locations using a chemical transport model, and then calibrated and downscaled O3 estimates to a resolution of 0·25° × 0·25° (approximately 28 km2 at the equator). Using a random-effects meta-analysis, we examined the associations of short-term wildfire-related O3 exposure (lag period of 0-2 days) with daily mortality, first at the location level and then pooled at the country, regional, and global levels. Annual excess mortality fraction in each location attributable to wildfire-related O3 was calculated with pooled effect estimates and used to obtain excess mortality fractions at country, regional, and global levels.
    RESULTS: Between 2000 and 2016, the highest maximum daily wildfire-related O3 concentrations (≥30 μg/m3) were observed in locations in South America, central America, and southeastern Asia, and the country of South Africa. Across all locations, an increase of 1 μg/m3 in the mean daily concentration of wildfire-related O3 during lag 0-2 days was associated with increases of 0·55% (95% CI 0·29 to 0·80) in daily all-cause mortality, 0·44% (-0·10 to 0·99) in daily cardiovascular mortality, and 0·82% (0·18 to 1·47) in daily respiratory mortality. The associations of daily mortality rates with wildfire-related O3 exposure showed substantial geographical heterogeneity at the country and regional levels. Across all locations, estimated annual excess mortality fractions of 0·58% (95% CI 0·31 to 0·85; 31 606 deaths [95% CI 17 038 to 46 027]) for all-cause mortality, 0·41% (-0·10 to 0·91; 5249 [-1244 to 11 620]) for cardiovascular mortality, and 0·86% (0·18 to 1·51; 4657 [999 to 8206]) for respiratory mortality were attributable to short-term exposure to wildfire-related O3.
    CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we observed an increase in all-cause and respiratory mortality associated with short-term wildfire-related O3 exposure. Effective risk and smoke management strategies should be implemented to protect the public from the impacts of wildfires.
    BACKGROUND: Australian Research Council and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    非热介质阻挡放电(DBD)等离子体在降解对硝基苯酚(PNP)等持久性有机污染物方面受到了广泛的关注。然而,由于其高能耗和相对较低的降解效率,DBD实施的可行性尚不清楚。在这项研究中,提出了一种基于DBD系统中生成的O3的再循环的新策略,以提高PNP的降解效率和能量产量。通过EPR研究了PNP降解的潜在机制和可能途径,ESR,DFT和GS-MS分析测试。根据结果,通过臭氧循环进入DBD反应器,PNP的降解效率和能量产量分别从57.4%增加到94.4%和从0.52增加到1.18gkW-1h-1。这是由于O3循环在DBD-O3系统中释放了更多的长寿命和短寿命反应性物质(ROS)。pH值的变化(4-10),初始浓度(50-90mgL-1),水基质中共存物质的存在对DBD-O3系统的影响最小,与传统系统相比。生物毒性评估表明,混合DBD-O3系统将PNP转化为毒性较小的中间体。本研究提出了一种有希望的策略,以提高DBD对PNP降解的利用率。
    Non-thermal dielectric barrier discharge (DBD) plasma has received great attention for degradation of persistent organic pollutants such as p-nitrophenol (PNP). However, the feasibility of the DBD implementation is not clear due to its high energy consumption and relatively low degradation efficiency. In this research, a novel strategy was suggested based on re-circulation of the generated O3 in the DBD system to enhance the PNP degradation efficiency and energy yield. The potential mechanism and possible pathway of PNP degradation were studied by EPR, ESR, DFT and GS-MS analytical tests. According to the results, the PNP degradation efficiency and energy yield increased from 57.4% to 94.4% and from 0.52 to 1.18 g kW-1h-1, respectively through ozone circulation into the DBD reactor. This was due to the more release of long-lived and short-lived reactive species (ROS) in the DBD-O3 system by the O3 circulation. The variations in pH (4 - 10), initial concentration (50 - 90 mg L-1), and the presence of co-existing substances in the water matrix had minimal impact on the DBD-O3 system, in comparison to the conventional system. The biological toxicity evaluation revealed that the hybrid DBD-O3 system transform PNP to less toxic intermediates. This study proposes a promising strategy to improve the utilization of DBD for the degradation of PNP.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    短期接触臭氧与多种过敏性疾病有关,但臭氧暴露与过敏性结膜炎(AC)之间的关系尚不清楚。本研究旨在探讨短期臭氧暴露与AC风险之间的关系。从2014年到2022年,我们在中国五个城市进行了时间分层的病例交叉研究。使用诊断名称或ICD-10代码H10.1在五家医院中确定了AC的每日门诊就诊记录。还收集了有关空气污染和气象条件的数据。我们首先使用条件逻辑回归检查了短期臭氧暴露与AC之间特定城市的关联。然后进行随机效应荟萃分析以获得总体估计。在学习期间,发生了130,093次AC门诊就诊,男性占58.8%(76,482),女性占41.2%(53,611)。臭氧的一个标准偏差(SD)增加与8.3%的增加有关(95%CI:3.8%,13.0%)在AC门诊就诊。在调整其他污染物(PM2.5、CO、SO2和NO2)在双污染物和多污染物模型中。此外,当使用混合效应回归模型或进一步调整风速时,正相关保持一致.此外,按性别对交流臭氧协会没有影响,年龄和季节很明显。这项研究提供了支持短期臭氧暴露与中国AC风险之间正相关的证据。这凸显了减轻臭氧污染以降低眼表疾病风险的潜在价值。
    Short-term exposure to ozone has been linked to multiple allergic diseases, but the relationship between ozone exposure and allergic conjunctivitis (AC) remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between short-term exposure to ozone and the risk of AC. We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study across five Chinese cities from 2014 to 2022. Daily outpatient visit records for AC were identified in five hospitals using either the diagnosis name or ICD-10 code H10.1. Data on air pollution and meteorological conditions were also collected. We first examined the city-specific association between short-term ozone exposure and AC using conditional logistic regression. A random-effects meta-analysis was then conducted to obtain overall estimates. During the study period, 130,093 outpatient visits for AC occurred, with 58.8% (76,482) being male and 41.2% (53,611) female. A one-standard-deviation (SD) increase in ozone was associated with an 8.3% increase (95% CI: 3.8%, 13.0%) in AC outpatient visits. Similar positive associations were observed when adjusting for other pollutants (PM2.5, CO, SO2 and NO2) in two-pollutant and multi-pollutant models. Furthermore, the positive association remained consistent when using mixed-effects regression models or further adjusting for wind speed. In addition, no effect modification of the AC-ozone association by sex, age and season was apparent. This study provides evidence supporting a positive association between short-term ozone exposure and AC risk in China. This highlights the potential value of mitigating ozone pollution to reduce the risk of ocular surface disorders.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着流行病学数据继续强调与空气污染暴露有关的时空妊娠趋势,空气污染引起的心肺损害对妊娠高血压疾病和妊娠其他不良结局的发展的贡献越来越受到关注。然而,围绕妊娠并发症的临床机制数据仍然很少,需要使用动物模型来研究这些类型的妊娠并发症。当前的研究旨在通过在大鼠模型中使用放射性遥测来检查妊娠中期臭氧暴露对母体血压和体温的实时影响。与对照动物相比,暴露导致心率和核心体温的急性降低。暴露于臭氧的动物还表现出动脉血压的轻微但显着升高,一直持续到足月。此处提供的数据说明了鼠模型评估妊娠窗口期吸入毒物引起的心血管并发症的可行性。
    The contribution of air pollution-induced cardiopulmonary damage on the development of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and other adverse outcomes of pregnancy has gained increased attention as epidemiological data continue to highlight spatiotemporal pregnancy trends related to air pollution exposure. However clinical mechanistic data surrounding gestational complications remain sparse, necessitating the need for the use of animal models to study these types of complications of pregnancy. The current study seeks to examine the real-time effects of mid-gestational ozone exposure on maternal blood pressure and body temperature through the use of radiotelemetry in a rat model. The exposure resulted in acute depression of heart rate and core body temperature as compared to control animals. Ozone-exposed animals also presented with a slight but significant increase in arterial blood pressure which was perpetuated until term. The data presented here illustrates the feasibility of murine models to assess cardiovascular complications caused by inhaled toxicants during the window of pregnancy.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    空气污染受到大气动力学的影响。这项研究旨在确定伊斯坦布尔的空气污染浓度值显着增加,并由于2022年12月30日至2023年1月5日之间的大气阻塞而达到峰值。在这项研究中,每小时污染物数据来自16个空气质量监测站(AQMS),准确的重新分析数据是从ERA5数据库中提取的,和反转水平以及气象和天气分析用于确定大气阻塞对空气污染的影响。此外,云基高度和垂直能见度测量是用测高仪进行的。使用R和Grads程序进行统计计算和数据可视化。欧米茄型阻塞,2022年12月30日在伊斯坦布尔开始,对2023年1月1日和2日产生了重大影响,PM10和PM2.5浓度值分别达到了572.8和254.20µg/m3的峰值。此外,发现几乎所有站点在检查期间的平均浓度值都高于1月和2月的平均值。因此,在这些日历日期之间,伊斯坦布尔的空气质量被确定为“差”。发现阻塞不影响臭氧(μg/m3)浓度。还发现,伊斯坦布尔地区的阻塞效应增加了直径为10µm或更小(PM10)的颗粒物(PM)和直径为2.5µm或更小(PM2.5)的浓度。最后,根据使用测高仪获得的数据,云基高度降至30m,垂直能见度降至10m。
    Air pollution is affected by the atmospheric dynamics. This study aims to determine that air pollution concentration values in İstanbul increased significantly and reached peak values due to atmospheric blocking between the 30th of December 2022 and the 5th of January 2023. In this study, hourly pollutant data was obtained from 16 air quality monitoring stations (AQMS), the exact reanalysis data was extracted from ERA5 database, and inversion levels and meteorological and synoptic analyses were used to determine the effects of atmospheric blocking on air pollution. Also, cloud base heights and vertical visibility measurements were taken with a ceilometer. Statistical calculations and data visualizations were performed using the R and Grads program. Omega-type blocking, which started in İstanbul on December 30, 2022, had a significant impact on the 1st and 2nd of January 2023, and PM10 and PM2.5 concentration values reached their peak values at 572.8 and 254.20 µg/m3, respectively. In addition, it was found that the average concentration values in the examined period in almost all stations were higher than the averages for January and February. As a result, air quality in İstanbul was determined as \"poor\" between these calendar dates. It was found that the blocking did not affect the ozone (µg/m3) concentration. It was also found that the concentrations of particulate matter (PM) 10 µm or less in diameter (PM10) and PM 2.5 µm or less in diameter (PM2.5) were increased by the blocking effect in the İstanbul area. Finally, according to the data obtained using the ceilometer, cloud base heights decreased to 30 m and vertical visibility to 10 m.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    空气污染物和温度是对公众健康的重大威胁,环境因素之间的复杂联系及其相互作用危害呼吸系统疾病。本研究旨在分析定西市大气污染物和气象因素对呼吸系统疾病的影响及其协同作用,中国西北部的一座城市,从2018年到2020年,使用广义加法模型(GAM)。采用相对风险(RR)定量评估温度变化对PM2.5和O3的短期影响以及空气污染物(PM2.5和O3)和气象要素(温度和相对湿度)对呼吸系统疾病的协同作用。结果表明,PM2.5和O3浓度的每个等际范围(IQR)升高的RR分别为(1.066,95%CI:1.009-1.127,lag2)和(1.037,95%CI:0.975-1.102,lag4)。分别。温度分层表明,在低温和中等温度下,PM2.5对呼吸系统疾病的影响明显增强,在高温下,O3引起的呼吸系统疾病的风险显着增加。协同作用分析表明,PM2.5与低温和高相对湿度具有显着的协同作用,高相对湿度和O3对呼吸系统疾病具有拮抗作用。研究结果将为西北地区污染物对呼吸系统疾病的影响提供科学依据。
    Air pollutants and temperature are significant threats to public health, and the complex linkages between the environmental factors and their interactions harm respiratory diseases. This study is aimed to analyze the impact of air pollutants and meteorological factors on respiratory diseases and their synergistic effects in Dingxi, a city in northwestern China, from 2018 to 2020 using a generalized additive model (GAM). Relative risk (RR) was employed to quantitatively evaluate the temperature modification on the short-term effects of PM2.5 and O3 and the synergistic effects of air pollutants (PM2.5 and O3) and meteorological elements (temperature and relative humidity) on respiratory diseases. The results indicated that the RRs per inter-quatile range (IQR) rise in PM2.5 and O3 concentrations were (1.066, 95% CI: 1.009-1.127, lag2) and (1.037, 95% CI: 0.975-1.102, lag4) for respiratory diseases, respectively. Temperature stratification suggests that the influence of PM2.5 on respiratory diseases was significantly enhanced at low and moderate temperatures, and the risk of respiratory diseases caused by O3 was significantly increased at high temperatures. The synergy analysis demonstrated significant a synergistic effect of PM2.5 with low temperature and high relative humidity and an antagonistic effect of high relative humidity and O3 on respiratory diseases. The findings would provide a scientific basis for the impact of pollutants on respiratory diseases in Northwest China.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    臭氧可以增强富血小板血浆(PRP)中某些生长因子(GFs)的表达,最近的研究表明,富氧PRP(臭氧化PRP)对骨关节疾病有较好的治疗效果。PRP注射液已广泛用于面部年轻化的治疗,但充足的富氧PRP在面部年轻化中的功效尚未研究。
    首先,我们研究了臭氧处理是否可以增加体外PRP的GFs浓度。然后采用多种主客观检测方法,通过6个月的随访,评价足量(10~12mL,每次注射面颈部)富氧(臭氧化PRP)PRP注射液在面部年轻化中的效果。最后,我们调查了满意度,通过问卷调查对治疗的副作用和疼痛评分进行分析。
    通过ELISA测量体外用不同剂量的臭氧处理的PRP中主要GFs的浓度。临床图片,反射共聚焦显微镜(RCM)观察真皮胶原厚度,皮肤状况(包括斑点,紫外线(UV)点,棕色斑点,红色区域,毛孔,皱纹,在治疗前收集VISIA的质地和卟啉),并在治疗后每月进行随访,直到完成6个月的随访期。患者满意度,在随访期结束时收集副作用和疼痛评分.
    经高剂量臭氧处理的PRP(57μg/mL,臭氧/PRP体积比:1/1)在体外显示内皮生长因子(EGF)和转化生长因子-β(TGF-β)与基线相比显着增加(P<0.05)。额头的胶原蛋白厚度,直到治疗后6个月,脸颊和颈部与基线相比显着改善。斑点,UV斑点,棕色斑点,与基线相比,红色面积和质地显着改善(P<0.05)。所有参与者均报告改善,中位疼痛评分为4.19。未观察到严重不良事件。
    臭氧处理可以在体外增加PRP中EGF和TGF-β等GF的浓度。充足的富氧PRP注射可能是治疗面部年轻化的有效且有前途的方法。
    UNASSIGNED: Ozone can enhance the expression of some growth factors (GFs) in platelet rich plasma (PRP), recent study showed oxygen-rich PRP (ozonized PRP) have better therapeutic effects on bone and joint diseases. PRP injection has been widely used in the treatment of facial rejuvenation, but the efficacy of sufficient oxygen-rich PRP in facial rejuvenation has not been studied.
    UNASSIGNED: Firstly, we examined whether ozone treatment can increase the concentration of GFs of PRP in vitro. And then a variety of subjective and objective detection methods were used to evaluate the effect of sufficient(10-12 mL each time for the injection of face and neck) oxygen-rich (ozonized PRP) PRP injection in facial rejuvenation by follow-up for 6 months. At last, we investigated the satisfaction, side effects and pain score of the treatment through a questionnaire survey.
    UNASSIGNED: The concentration of main GFs in PRP treated with different dose of ozone in vitro was measured by ELISA. Clinical picture, the collagen thickness of dermis by reflectance confocal microscope(RCM), skin conditions (including spots, ultraviolet (UV) spots, brown spots, red area, pores, wrinkles, texture and porphyrin) by VISIA were collected before treatment and each month follow-up visit after treatment until 6-month follow-up period was finished. Patients\' satisfaction, side effects and pain score were collected at the end of follow-up period.
    UNASSIGNED: PRP treated by high-dose ozone (57 μg/mL, ozone/PRP volume ratio:1/1) in vitro showed a significant increase in endothelial growth factor (EGF) and transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) compared to baseline(P < 0.05). Collagen thickness of forehead, cheek and neck improved significantly compare to the baseline until to the 6 months after treatment. Spots, UV spots, brown spots, red area and texture improved significantly compare to the baseline(P < 0.05). All of participants reported improvement and have a median pain score of 4.19. No serious adverse events were observed.
    UNASSIGNED: Ozone treatment can increase the concentration of GFs such as EGF and TGF-β in PRP in vitro. Sufficient oxygen-rich PRP injection may be an effective and promising method to treat facial rejuvenation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的目的是评估作为表面处理方法的大气压等离子体处理对氧化锆陶瓷的接触角和剪切粘结强度(SBS)以及自粘树脂粘结剂和氧化锆之间的破坏模式的影响。根据表面处理方法,氧化锆试样分为八组:氧化铝喷砂,空气等离子体,氩等离子体(AP),Katana清洁工,臭氧水,臭氧水+AP,Katana清洁剂+AP,和自来水+AP。接触角,SBS,并对断裂模式进行了测试。AP处理显著降低了接触角(p<0.0001)。AP和其他清洁方法的组合显示出更高的粘结强度和更多的混合断裂。我们的发现表明,使用大气压等离子体和氩气,结合其他清洁方法,结果在一个更强的结合比使用氧化铝爆破单独。
    The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of the atmospheric pressure plasma treatment as a surface treatment method on the contact angle and shear bond strength (SBS) of zirconia ceramics and the failure mode between the self-adhesive resin luting agent and zirconia. The zirconia specimens were divided into eight groups based on the surface treatment method: alumina blasting, air plasma, argon plasma (AP), Katana cleaner, ozonated water, ozonated water+AP, Katana cleaner+AP, and tap water+AP. The contact angles, SBS, and fracture modes were tested. AP treatment significantly reduced the contact angle (p<0.0001). The combination of AP and other cleaning methods showed a higher bond strength and more mixed fractures. Our findings indicate that using atmospheric pressure plasma with argon gas, combined with other cleaning methods, results in a stronger bond than when using alumina blasting alone.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    魁北克北部发生了一系列野火,2002年7月初,在魁北克南部,2010年5月下旬,导致严重的空气污染下风。研究了顺风暴露,以估计对室外和室内环境的影响。野火产生的羽流导致主要城市和农村地区的臭氧(O3)浓度增加了10ppbv,而在野火燃烧区域附近的位置未观察到O3增强。PM2.5浓度的时间趋势显示,2002年7月7日的峰值为105.5μg/m3,而2010年5月31日,波士顿下风的峰值为151.1μg/m3。PM2.5的形成在两个事件之间显示出相似的趋势,随着PM2.5/PM10比率的峰值,在黑碳的浓度中,ΔC(即,紫外线吸收化合物减去黑碳),有机碳(OC),钾,和氯。OC是野火中PM2.5质量的最主要成分。主要的特定碳馏分包括OC馏分3,热解碳,和EC馏分1,可能是由于木材结构成分的热解。两栋房屋的室内PM2.5峰值与周围的PM2.5峰值非常吻合,连同元素组成,这可能表明野火对室内空气污染的影响。
    A series of wildfires in northern Quebec, early July 2002, and in southern Quebec, late May 2010, resulted in severe air pollution downwind. Downwind exposures were investigated to estimate the impact on outdoor and indoor environments. The plumes derived from the wildfires resulted in an increase of over 10 ppbv ozone (O3) concentrations in both major cities and rural areas, while O3 enhancement was not observed at locations adjacent to wildfire burning areas. Temporal trend in PM2.5 concentration showed a peak of 105.5 μg/m3 on July 7, 2002, while on May 31, 2010 the peak was 151.1 μg/m3 in Boston downwind. PM2.5 speciation showed similar trends between the episodes, along with spikes in the PM2.5/PM10 ratio, and in the concentrations of Black Carbon, ΔC (i.e., UV absorbing compounds minus Black Carbon), Organic Carbon (OC), potassium, and chlorine. OC was the most dominant constituent of the PM2.5 mass in the wildfires. The dominant specific carbon fractions include OC fraction 3, pyrolysis carbon, and EC fraction 1, likely due to pyrolysis of structural components of wood. Indoor PM2.5 peaks at two houses corresponded well with the ambient PM2.5 peak, along with the elemental composition, which could indicate an impact of wildfires on indoor air pollution exposure.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中国陆地生态系统每年减少21%-45%的当代国家化石燃料二氧化碳排放量。保持和强化陆地碳汇对于实现中国碳中和目标至关重要。然而,由于气候变化的共同影响,这个汇面临很大的不确定性,空气污染,和人类活动。这里,我们探索了通过人为干预加强中国土地碳汇的潜力,包括造林,减少臭氧,和垃圾清除,利用经过充分验证的动态植被模型和16个气候模型的气象强迫。如果没有人为干预,考虑共享社会经济途径(SSP)方案,到2060年,土地汇预计为0.26-0.56PgCa-1,其中气候变化贡献0.06-0.13PgCa-1,CO2施肥贡献0.08-0.44PgCa-1,对更高的排放情景具有更强的影响。通过人为干预,在接近中性的排放情景(SS1-2.6)下,到2060年,土地汇为0.47-0.57PgCa-1,包括保守造林对0.12PgCa-1的贡献,0.07PgCa-1通过臭氧污染控制,和0.06-0.16PgCa-1,在人工林上去除20%的凋落物。该碳汇可以在2060年减少90%-110%的人为碳排放,为中国的碳中和提供了坚实的基础。
    The terrestrial ecosystem in China mitigates 21%-45% of the national contemporary fossil fuel CO2 emissions every year. Maintaining and strengthening the land carbon sink is essential for reaching China\'s target of carbon neutrality. However, this sink is subject to large uncertainties due to the joint impacts of climate change, air pollution, and human activities. Here, we explore the potential of strengthening land carbon sink in China through anthropogenic interventions, including forestation, ozone reduction, and litter removal, taking advantage of a well-validated dynamic vegetation model and meteorological forcings from 16 climate models. Without anthropogenic interventions, considering Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios, the land sink is projected to be 0.26-0.56 Pg C a-1 at 2060, to which climate change contributes 0.06-0.13 Pg C a-1 and CO2 fertilization contributes 0.08-0.44 Pg C a-1 with the stronger effects for higher emission scenarios. With anthropogenic interventions, under a close-to-neutral emission scenario (SSP1-2.6), the land sink becomes 0.47-0.57 Pg C a-1 at 2060, including the contributions of 0.12 Pg C a-1 by conservative forestation, 0.07 Pg C a-1 by ozone pollution control, and 0.06-0.16 Pg C a-1 by 20% litter removal over planted forest. This sink can mitigate 90%-110% of the residue anthropogenic carbon emissions in 2060, providing a solid foundation for the carbon neutrality in China.
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