latitude

Latitude
  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    聚丝蛋白基因(FLG)中的功能丧失(LoF)突变构成了特应性皮炎(AD)的最强遗传风险。系统评估了LoFFLG突变患病率的纬度依赖性差异。进行了系统评价和荟萃分析,以按地理和种族评估AD患者和普通人群中LoFFLG突变的患病率。通过纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表和Jadad评分评估偏倚风险。StatsDirect,使用版本3软件计算所有结局.PubMed和EMBASE一直搜索到2021年12月9日。如果研究包含AD患者或一般人群中LoFFLG突变患病率的数据或AD与LoFFLG突变之间的关联,并且以英文撰写,则包括这些研究。总的来说,248项研究和229310例AD患者和一般人群的个体被纳入定量分析。AD患者中LoFFLG突变的患病率为19.1%(95%CI,17.3-21.0),普通人群中为5.8%(95%CI,5.3-6.2)。在北半球的所有纬度中,AD和LoFFLG突变之间存在显着正相关。但并非所有种族。LoFFLG突变的患病率在居住在赤道以北的人群中逐渐变得更加普遍,但在中东人可以忽略不计,而在大多数非洲人群中却没有。FLGLoF突变很常见,并且随着北纬的增加而增加,提示未来AD管理的潜在临床意义。来自FLGLoF突变的可能遗传适合性的存在仍然未知。
    Loss-of-function (LoF) mutations in the filaggrin gene (FLG) constitute the strongest genetic risk for atopic dermatitis (AD). A latitude-dependent difference in the prevalence of LoF FLG mutations was systematically evaluated. A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed to estimate the prevalence of LoF FLG mutations in AD patients and the general population by geography and ethnicity. Risk of bias was assessed by Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and Jadad score. StatsDirect, version 3 software was used to calculate all outcomes. PubMed and EMBASE were searched until 9th December 2021. Studies were included if they contained data on the prevalence of LoF FLG mutations in AD patients or from the general population or associations between AD and LoF FLG mutations and were authored in English. Overall, 248 studies and 229 310 AD patients and individuals of the general population were included in the quantitative analysis. The prevalence of LoF FLG mutations was 19.1% (95% CI, 17.3-21.0) in AD patients and 5.8% (95% CI, 5.3-6.2) in the general population. There was a significant positive association between AD and LoF FLG mutations in all latitudes in the Northern hemisphere, but not in all ethnicities. The prevalence of LoF FLG mutations became gradually more prevalent in populations residing farther north of the Equator but was negligible in Middle Easterners and absent in most African populations. FLG LoF mutations are common and tend to increase with northern latitude, suggesting potential clinical implications for future AD management. The existence of possible genetic fitness from FLG LoF mutations remains unknown.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    到目前为止,通过分析肢体长度的差异,艾伦和伯格曼的规则在现代人类中得到了研究,高度,或体重。然而,没有出版物研究纬度对胸腔3D结构的影响。为了评估这个问题,我们以数字方式重建了109个全球分布的成年个体的平衡样本。使用几何形态计量学量化胸腔的形状和大小。我们的结果表明,与生活在高纬度地区的其他人相比,属于热带个体的胸腔更小,更苗条。这符合艾伦和伯格曼的规则,并表明大小和形状之间的异速关系。尽管在整个样本中都观察到了性二态,仅在热带种群中发现了显着差异。我们的建议是,除了潜在的性选择,避免热量损失可能是冷适应人群性二态性的限制因素。
    Up to now, Allen and Bergmann\'s rules have been studied in modern humans by analyzing differences in limb length, height, or body mass. However, there are no publications studying the effects of latitude in the 3D configuration of the ribcage. To assess this issue, we digitally reconstructed the ribcages of a balanced sample of 109 adult individuals of global distribution. Shape and size of the ribcage was quantified using geometric morphometrics. Our results show that the ribcage belonging to tropical individuals is smaller and slenderer compared to others living in higher latitudes, which is in line with Allen and Bergmann\'s rules and suggests an allometric relationship between size and shape. Although sexual dimorphism was observed in the whole sample, significant differences were only found in tropical populations. Our proposal is that, apart from potential sexual selection, avoiding heat loss might be the limiting factor for sexual dimorphism in cold-adapted populations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本章旨在探讨基因研究在昼夜节律系统领域的最新进展在未来发展基于生活方式干预的个性化健康改善策略中的有用性。由于昼夜节律系统的多因素和复杂性,我们关注人群中非常普遍的表型,这些表型对于从进化的角度理解其生物学至关重要,并且可以通过生活方式进行调节。因此,我们将那些构成罕见病理或当前科学证据水平不支持实施此类实用方法的表型留在背景中.因此,从进化范式中,本章介绍了表型,如早晨时间型,晚上的时间类型,极端的时间型,和其他关键概念,如昼夜节律振幅,适应昼夜节律变化,以及它们与昼夜节律失衡相关病理的关系。
    This chapter aims to explore the usefulness of the latest advances in genetic studies in the field of the circadian system in the future development of individualised strategies for health improvement based on lifestyle intervention. Due to the multifactorial and complex nature of the circadian system, we focus on the highly prevalent phenotypes in the population that are key to understanding its biology from an evolutionary perspective and that can be modulated by lifestyle. Therefore, we leave in the background those phenotypes that constitute infrequent pathologies or in which the current level of scientific evidence does not favour the implementation of practical approaches of this type. Therefore, from an evolutionary paradigm, this chapter addresses phenotypes such as morning chronotypes, evening chronotypes, extreme chronotypes, and other key concepts such as circadian rhythm amplitude, resilience to changes in circadian rhythm, and their relationships with pathologies associated with circadian rhythm imbalances.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    植物物候受到系统发育和气候的综合影响,尽管目前尚不清楚这两个变量如何共同改变物候。我们综合了107项先前发表的研究,以检查全球各种地理环境中物候变化是否受到系统发育和气候变化的影响。来自全球71个地点的52,463种植物物种的物候观察数据显示,90%的物候记录显示了系统发育保守性。即,密切相关的物种表现出相似的物候。为了探索植物物候期之间的显著和不显著的系统发育保守性,我们的数据集包括来自四个主要物候期(叶芽,leaf,花,和果实)来自52,453种植物物种聚集在一起。三维地理分布(海拔高度,纬度,和经度)数据分析表明,植物物候可能在更精细的特殊尺度(最佳环境条件)上表现出系统发育信号,这些信号在高海拔和纬度地区消失。此外,气候敏感性分析表明,系统发育信号与植物物候期相关,并且在理想温度(7-18°C)和光周期(10-14h)区域更强,而在恶劣的气候条件下则更弱。这些结果表明,植物物候性状的系统发育保护经常受到恶劣气候条件和地理范围相互作用的影响。这种荟萃分析增强了我们在不同气候条件下预测地理梯度上的物种响应的知识。
    Plant phenology is influenced by a combined effect of phylogeny and climate, although it is yet unclear how these two variables work together to change phenology. We synthesized 107 previously published studies to examine whether phenological changes were impacted by both phylogeny and climate changes in various geographical settings globally. Phenological observation data from 52,463 plant species at 71 sites worldwide revealed that 90 % of phenological records showed phylogenetic conservation. i.e., closely related species exhibited similar phenology. To explore the significant and non-significant phylogenetic conservation between plant phenophases, our dataset comprises 5,47,000 observation records from the four main phenophases (leaf bud, leaf, flower, and fruit). Three-dimensional geographical distribution (altitude, latitude, and longitude) data analysis revealed that plant phenology may exhibit phylogenetic signals at finer special scales (optimal environmental conditions) that vanish in high altitude and latitude regions. Additionally, climatic sensitivity analysis suggested that phylogenetic signals were associated with plant phenophases and were stronger in the regions of ideal temperature (7-18 °C) and photoperiod (10-14 h) and weaker in harsh climatic conditions. These results show that phylogenetic conservation in plant phenological traits is frequently influenced by the interaction of harsh climatic conditions and geographical ranges. This meta-analysis enhances our knowledge of predicting species responses over geographic gradients under varied climatic conditions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    摘要在闷闷不乐的时期,冬眠动物可以显著降低代谢率(MR)和体温(Tb)。然而,为了避免低温下的生理功能紊乱,他们在关键的最低限度保护结核病,通常在〜0°C和10°C之间通过MR的增加。因为催促期间的体温调节需要额外的能量,在较冷的气候下,应选择Tb较低的个体,因此在干旱期间MR最小。这种种间和种内变异发生在一些胎盘哺乳动物中,但是对于进化独立的有袋动物,可用的信息是稀缺的。有袋动物东部侏儒负鼠(Cercartetusnanus;〜22g体重),广泛分布在澳大利亚东南沿海,包括亚热带到高山地区,用于检验以下假设:强弱个体的防御Tb与其栖息地的气候有关。从五个地区捕获了负鼠,相距1,515公里,冬季(7月)最低环境温度(minTenv\s)范围为-3.9°C至6.6°C。在环境温度(Ta)下缓慢冷却深火中的圈养负鼠,当测量他们的MR以确定最小Torpor代谢率(TMR)时,他们的MR因体温调节而增加的Ta(minTa),和相应的最小Tb(minTb)。偏最小二乘回归分析表明,Ta和Tenv是minTb的最强解释变量。最小Tb和Ta也与纬度相关,但与捕获点的海拔无关。然而,对于经历minTenv>0°C的个体,在minTenv和minTb和Ta之间观察到最佳相关性;这些个体在-0.8°C和3.7°C之间热符合minTa,它们的minTb范围为0.5°C至6.0°C,比捕获位点的minTenv低0.5°C-2.6°C。相比之下,经历-3.9°CminTenv的个体在Tenv以上0.6°C±0.2°C或4.5°C时调节Tb。所有负鼠的最小TMR与Ta没有差异,因此在人群之间没有差异,为基础MR的2.6%。这些数据提供了新的证据,表明有袋动物的热变量受到区域种内变异的影响。这表明minTb是minTenv的函数,但仅在0°C以上,也许是因为野生负鼠的Tb-Ta差异,在-3.9°C的minTenv时,保持足够小以通过MR的少量增加来补偿,并且不需要将Tb降低到0°C以下的生理能力。
    AbstractDuring periods of torpor, hibernators can reduce metabolic rate (MR) and body temperature (Tb) substantially. However, to avoid physiological dysfunction at low temperatures, they defend Tb at a critical minimum, often between ~0°C and 10°C via an increase in MR. Because thermoregulation during torpor requires extra energy, individuals with lower Tb\'s and thus minimal MR during torpor should be selected in colder climates. Such inter- and intraspecific variations occur in some placental mammals, but for the evolutionary separate marsupials, available information is scarce. Marsupial eastern pygmy possums (Cercartetus nanus; ~22 g body mass), widely distributed along the Australian southeastern coast including subtropical to alpine areas, were used to test the hypothesis that the defended Tb of torpid individuals is related to the climate of their habitat. Possums were captured from five regions, 1,515 km apart, with midwinter (July) minimum environmental temperatures (min Tenv\'s) ranging from -3.9°C to 6.6°C. Captive possums in deep torpor were slowly cooled with ambient temperature (Ta), while their MR was measured to determine the minimum torpor metabolic rate (TMR), the Ta at which their MR increased for thermoregulation (min Ta), and the corresponding minimum Tb (min Tb). Partial least squares regression analysis revealed that Ta and Tenv were the strongest explanatory variables for the min Tb. The min Tb and Ta were also correlated with latitude but not elevation of the capture sites. However, the best correlations were observed between the min Tenv and the min Tb and Ta for individuals experiencing min Tenv>0°C; these individuals thermoconformed to min Ta\'s between -0.8°C and 3.7°C, and their min Tb ranged from 0.5°C to 6.0°C and was 0.5°C-2.6°C below the min Tenv at the capture site. In contrast, individuals experiencing a min Tenv of -3.9°C regulated Tb at 0.6°C±0.2°C or 4.5°C above the Tenv. The minimum TMR of all possums did not differ with Ta and thus did not differ among populations and was 2.6% of the basal MR. These data provide new evidence that thermal variables of marsupials are subject to regional intraspecific variation. It suggests that min Tb is a function of the min Tenv but only above 0°C, perhaps because the Tb-Ta differential for torpid possums in the wild, at a min Tenv of -3.9°C, remains small enough to be compensated by a small increase in MR and does not require the physiological capability for a reduction of Tb below 0°C.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:有充分的理论和实验证据表明,相对于具有其他交配系统的分类单元,具有自交不亲和(SI)系统的被子植物可能以独特的方式响应全球变化。在本文中,我们提供了一个关于被子植物SI系统患病率的更新数据库,并检查了SI的存在与纬度之间的关系,生物群落,生活史特征和管理条件,以评估SI分类单元对气候变化和栖息地干扰的潜在脆弱性。
    方法:我们进行了文献检索,以确定采用对照杂交的研究,显微镜分析和/或遗传数据,将分类单元分类为具有SI,自兼容性(SC),部分自我相容性(PSC)或自我不育(SS)。在描述的地方,还记录了SI反应的位置以及二态与单态花的存在。然后,我们将有关交配系统分布的数据库与有关寿命的信息相结合,成长习惯,类群的管理条件和地理分布。有关分类单元地理分布的信息是从全球生物多样性信息设施数据库的手动策划版本中获得的,以及包括9个生物群落的植被调查。我们采用多项logit回归来评估交配系统与生活史特征之间的关系,管理条件,纬度和纬度平方,使用自兼容分类单元作为基线。此外,我们采用LOESS回归来检验SI概率与纬度之间的关系。最后,通过总结家庭层面的信息,我们绘制了SI系统在被子植物中的分布,包括有关SI或dioecy存在的信息,SI系统的推断反应位点,当已知时,以及可获得信息的家庭中分类单元的比例。
    结果:我们获得了有关5686雌雄同体分类群的SI状态的信息,其中55%表现为SC,剩下的45%港口SI,自我不育(SS),或PSC。多项logit回归的亮点包括,与SC相比,具有PSC的分类单元具有更高的短(OR=1.3)或长(OR=1.57)多年生植物的几率,SS/SI分类单元(合并)不太可能是一年生植物(OR=0.64),更可能是长寿多年生植物(OR=1.32)。SS/SI分类单元多汁(OR=2.4)或树木(OR=2.05)的可能性更大,并且不太可能是杂草(OR=0.34)。Further,我们发现SI的概率与纬度之间存在二次关系:SI分类单元在热带地区更为常见,植被调查进一步支持了这一发现,该发现显示,与地中海和热带生物群落相比,温带和北纬度的SS/SI物种较少。
    结论:我们得出的结论是,在短期生境破碎化过程中,授粉者损失和温度升高可能会对使用SI系统的植物产生负面影响,特别是在热带森林中占主导地位的长寿多年生和木本植物。从长远来看,这些和其他全球变化可能会选择自兼容或部分自兼容的分类单元,由于SI作为整个被子植物生命树的植物多样化的驱动力的明显重要性,可能会在全球范围内影响植物物种的丰富度。
    OBJECTIVE: There is ample theoretical and experimental evidence that angiosperms harbouring self-incompatibility (SI) systems are likely to respond to global changes in unique ways relative to taxa with other mating systems. In this paper, we present an updated database on the prevalence of SI systems across angiosperms and examine the relationship between the presence of SI and latitude, biomes, life-history traits and management conditions to evaluate the potential vulnerability of SI taxa to climate change and habitat disturbance.
    METHODS: We performed literature searches to identify studies that employed controlled crosses, microscopic analyses and/or genetic data to classify taxa as having SI, self-compatibility (SC), partial self-compatibility (PSC) or self-sterility (SS). Where described, the site of the SI reaction and the presence of dimorphic versus monomorphic flowers were also recorded. We then combined this database on the distribution of mating systems with information about the life span, growth habit, management conditions and geographic distribution of taxa. Information about the geographic distribution of taxa was obtained from a manually curated version of the Global Biodiversity Information Facility database, and from vegetation surveys encompassing 9 biomes. We employed multinomial logit regression to assess the relationship between mating system and life-history traits, management condition, latitude and latitude-squared using self-compatible taxa as the baseline. Additionally, we employed LOESS regression to examine the relationship between the probability of SI and latitude. Finally, by summarizing information at the family level, we plotted the distribution of SI systems across angiosperms including information about the presence of SI or dioecy, the inferred reaction site of the SI system when known, as well as the proportion of taxa in a family for which information is available.
    RESULTS: We obtained information about the SI status of 5686 hermaphroditic taxa, of which 55% exhibited SC, and the remaining 45% harbour SI, self-sterility (SS), or PSC. Highlights of the multinomial logit regression include that taxa with PSC have a greater odds of being short- (OR=1.3) or long- (OR=1.57) lived perennials relative to SC ones, and that SS/SI taxa (pooled) are less likely to be annuals (OR=0.64) and more likely to be long-lived perennials (OR=1.32). SS/SI taxa had a greater odds of being succulent (OR=2.4) or a tree (OR=2.05), and were less likely to be weeds (OR=0.34). Further, we find a quadratic relationship between the probability of being SI with latitude: SI taxa were more common in the tropics, a finding that was further supported by the vegetation surveys which showed fewer species with SS/SI in temperate and northern latitudes compared to mediterranean and tropical biomes.
    CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that in the short-term habitat fragmentation, pollinator loss and temperature increases may negatively impact plants with SI systems, particularly long-lived perennial and woody species dominant in tropical forests. In the longer term, these and other global changes are likely to select for self-compatible or partially self-compatible taxa which, due to the apparent importance of SI as a driver of plant diversification across the angiosperm tree of life, may globally influence plant species richness.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:海拔是全球范围内影响植物种群的主要因素。同时,生殖性状在植物适体中起主要作用。随着海拔高度的增加和条件的日益恶劣,传粉媒介探视率下降,性投资,种子集,和杂合性(由于自交增加)是预期的。作为回应,选择和/或表型可塑性可能导致植物花卉展示的增加,以增加它们对传粉者的吸引力,并补偿传粉者活动减少的负面适应性影响。大量文献在物种间水平上检验了这些假设,但在人口层面的经验证据(即,wihin-species),在可能发生适应性变化的地方,仍然限于特定物种的研究。解开生殖性状变化的全球模式,不同环境条件下植物种群的花卉访问率和杂合性,特别是气候可以帮助我们了解物种如何应对与全球变化相关的变化条件,尤其是在山区。这里,我们使用荟萃分析方法在全球范围内评估植物种群对海拔升高的反应的生殖变化。
    方法:我们使用了一个数据集,其中包含243个处于“较低”和“较高”海拔的成对植物种群,海拔范围为0-4380masl,取自121种被子植物和115项已发表的研究。我们分析了花数的变化,尺寸和寿命,花粉生产,花卉访问率,种子集和预期杂合度。然后,我们测试了每个性状的观察模式是否取决于植物系统发育以及各种生态地理因素和物种性状。
    结果:我们没有发现升高对被子植物种群的生殖性状有整体影响的证据。这种无效的全球模式不受地理或系统发育的影响。
    结论:我们的结果表明,生殖性状的变化,花卉访问率,不同海拔的植物种群的杂合性是每个物种和生态系统特有的。因此,先前报道的植物繁殖的宏观进化(跨物种)和宏观生态模式显然不仅仅是微观进化变化(物种内部)的结果。这种植物物种反应的明显特异性给预测全球变化的影响带来了困难,具体来说,气候变化,关于植物物种的命运,人口,和社区。
    OBJECTIVE: Elevation is a major factor shaping plant populations on a global scale. At the same time, reproductive traits play a major role in plant fitness. With increasing altitude and increasingly harsh conditions, decreases in pollinator visitation rates, sexual investment, seed set, and heterozygosity (due to increased selfing) are expected. In response, selection and/or phenotypic plasticity could lead to an increase in plants\' floral displays to increase their attractiveness to pollinators and compensates for the negative fitness impacts of reduced pollinator activity. A large body of literature tests these hypotheses at the among-species level, but empirical evidence at the population level (i.e., wihin-species), where adaptive change may occur, is still limited to species-specific studies. Unravelling the global patterns of change in the reproductive traits, flower visitation rates and heterozygosity of plant populations across variable environmental conditions, especially climate can help us to understand how species are able to cope with shifting conditions associated with global change, particularly in mountains. Here, we used meta-analytic approaches to assess the reproductive changes of plant populations in response to elevation on a global scale.
    METHODS: We used a data set with 243 paired populations of plants at \'lower\' and \'higher\' elevations, spanning an elevation range of 0-4380 m asl and taken from 121 angiosperm species and 115 published studies. We analyzed changes in flower number, size and longevity, pollen production, flower visitation rate, seed set and expected heterozygosity.We then tested whether the observed patterns for each trait were dependent upon plant phylogeny and various ecogeographical factors and species traits.
    RESULTS: We found no evidence of elevation having a global effect on the reproductive traits of angiosperm populations. This null global pattern was not affected by geograph or phylogenetics.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that changes in reproductive traits, flower visitation rates, and heterozygosity in plant populations across elevations are specific to each species and ecosystem. Hence, macroevolutionary (across species) and macroecological patterns of elevation of plant reproduction reported previously are apparently not simply the outcome of microevolutionary changes (within species). This apparent specificity of response across plant species poses difficulties in predicting the effects of global changes and, specifically, climatic changes, on the fate of plant species, populations, and communities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    密度管理是管理计划中的关键造林工具,可增强成分和结构多样性,从而在将均匀的纯林转化为混交林的过程中增强森林的生长。
    要确定最佳林分密度,采用最大尺寸-密度关系模型来探索自变薄轨迹与生长的关系,物种混合,纬度,使用随机前沿分析,将均匀年龄的纯杉木林分过渡到杉木为主的混交林期间的立地条件。数据来自福建共有591个永久地块,江西,浙江,和中国南方的安徽省。
    结果表明:(1)杉木为主混交林最大大小密度关系的斜率随时间增加而趋于稳定;(2)杉木为主混交林最大大小密度关系的斜率未偏离雷内克假设的-1.605的普遍斜率;(3)混合比例对最大大小密度关系有正向影响,纬度和场地条件对最大尺寸-密度关系有相反的影响。
    我们的发现将为将均匀林分转换为混交林的地区的森林管理提供有价值的指导(即,当稀疏后种植阔叶树种,以提高整体林分密度并促进林分生长)。
    UNASSIGNED: Density management is a key silvicultural tool in management programs that enhances compositional and structural diversity and hence forest growth during the conversion of even-aged pure stands into mixed forests.
    UNASSIGNED: To determine the optimum stand density, a model of maximum size-density relationships was employed to explore the relationship of the self-thinning trajectory with growth, species mixing, latitude, and site conditions during the transition of even-aged pure Chinese fir stands to Chinese fir-dominated mixed forests using stochastic frontier analysis. Data were obtained from a total of 591 permanent plots located in Fujian, Jiangxi, Zhejiang, and Anhui provinces in southern China.
    UNASSIGNED: The results showed that (1) the slope of the maximum size-density relationship of Chinese fir-dominated mixed forests increased and plateaued over time; (2) the slope of the maximum size-density relationship of Chinese fir-dominated mixed forests did not deviate from Reineke\'s assumed universal slope of -1.605; and (3) mixing proportion had a positive effect on maximum size-density relationships, and latitude and site conditions had the opposite effect on maximum size-density relationships.
    UNASSIGNED: Our findings will provide valuable guidance for the forest management of areas in which even-aged pure stands are being converted to mixed forests (i.e., when broadleaved tree species are planted after thinning to improve overall stand density and promote stand growth).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Survival of the immobile embryo in response to rising temperature is important to determine a species\' vulnerability to climate change. However, the collective effects of 2 key thermal characteristics associated with climate change (i.e., rising average temperature and acute heat events) on embryonic survival remain largely unexplored. We used empirical measurements and niche modeling to investigate how chronic and acute heat stress independently and collectively influence the embryonic survival of lizards across latitudes. We collected and bred lizards from 5 latitudes and incubated their eggs across a range of temperatures to quantify population-specific responses to chronic and acute heat stress. Using an embryonic development model parameterized with measured embryonic heat tolerances, we further identified a collective impact of embryonic chronic and acute heat tolerances on embryonic survival. We also incorporated embryonic chronic and acute heat tolerance in hybrid species distribution models to determine species\' range shifts under climate change. Embryos\' tolerance of chronic heat (T-chronic) remained consistent across latitudes, whereas their tolerance of acute heat (T-acute) was higher at high latitudes than at low latitudes. Tolerance of acute heat exerted a more pronounced influence than tolerance of chronic heat. In species distribution models, climate change led to the most significant habitat loss for each population and species in its low-latitude distribution. Consequently, habitat for populations across all latitudes will shift toward high latitudes. Our study also highlights the importance of considering embryonic survival under chronic and acute heat stresses to predict species\' vulnerability to climate change.
    Efectos colectivos del aumento de las temperaturas promedio y los eventos de calor en embriones ovíparos Resumen La supervivencia de los embriones inmóviles en respuesta al incremento de temperatura es importante para determinar la vulnerabilidad de las especies al cambio climático. Sin embargo, los efectos colectivos de dos características térmicas claves asociadas con el cambio climático (i. e., aumento de temperatura promedio y eventos de calor agudo) sobre la supervivencia embrionaria permanecen en gran parte inexplorados. Utilizamos mediciones empíricas y modelos de nicho para investigar cómo el estrés térmico crónico y agudo influye de forma independiente y colectiva en la supervivencia embrionaria de los lagartos en todas las latitudes. Recolectamos y criamos lagartos de cinco latitudes e incubamos sus huevos en un rango de temperaturas para cuantificar las respuestas específicas de la población al estrés por calor crónico y agudo. Posteriormente, mediante un modelo de desarrollo embrionario parametrizado con mediciones de tolerancia embrionaria al calor, identificamos un impacto colectivo de las tolerancias embrionarias al calor agudo y crónico en la supervivencia embrionaria. También incorporamos la tolerancia embrionaria crónica y aguda al calor en modelos de distribución de especies híbridas para determinar los cambios de distribución de las especies bajo el cambio climático. La tolerancia embrionaria al calor crónico (T‐crónico) permaneció constante, mientras que la tolerancia al calor agudo (T‐agudo) fue mayor en latitudes altas que en latitudes bajas. La tolerancia al calor agudo ejerció una influencia más pronunciada que la tolerancia al calor crónico. En los modelos de distribución de especies, el cambio climático provocó la pérdida de hábitat más significativa para cada población y especie en su distribución de latitudes bajas. En consecuencia, el hábitat para poblaciones en todas las latitudes se desplazará a latitudes altas. Nuestro estudio también resalta la importancia de considerar la supervivencia embrionaria bajo estrés térmico crónico y agudo para predecir la vulnerabilidad de las especies al cambio climático.
    动物胚胎在面对温度升高时的存活率对于确定气候变化下物种的脆弱性至关重要。然而, 与气候变化相关的两个关键温度特征(即平均气温升高和极端高温事件)对胚胎存活的整合影响仍然存在诸多未知。我们利用实验测定和生态位建模相结合的方式探究了慢性和急性热压力如何独立和共同影响不同纬度的蜥蜴胚胎存活率。我们从五个纬度采集并繁殖蜥蜴, 并在一定温度范围内孵化其受精卵以测定各个种群对慢性和急性热压力的耐受响应。我们根据测定的胚胎耐热特征构建胚胎发育模型, 进一步确定了胚胎的慢性和急性高温耐受对胚胎存活的整合影响。最后, 我们将胚胎的慢性和急性高温耐受纳入混合物种分布模型, 以确定未来气候变化对物种分布范围的影响。结果表明, 胚胎对慢性高温的耐受能力在不同纬度保持一致, 而对极端高温事件的耐受能力随纬度升高而增强。在决定胚胎存活时, 急性高温耐受能力比慢性高温耐受能力具有更显著的作用。在气候变化的影响下, 各种群或物种在其各自低纬度分布区的栖息地丧失最为严重, 所有纬度的蜥蜴种群或物种的适宜栖息地都将向高纬度方向转移。本研究强调了考虑胚胎在慢性和急性热压力下的存活对预测气候变化下物种脆弱性的重要性。.
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