Vaginal cancer

阴道癌
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:间质性和/或腔内近距离放射治疗是阴道癌治疗不可或缺的一部分,近距离放射治疗(BT)已显示出改善局部控制,总生存期(OS)和无病生存期(DFS)。我们研究的目的是分析近距离放射治疗对阴道癌患者的疗效和安全性。
    方法:在2000年至2023年之间,对FIGOI-III期的27例阴道癌患者进行了近距离放射治疗,有或没有外束放射治疗(EBRT)和同步化疗。已单独进行PDR近距离放射治疗,中位累积剂量高达62.5Gy(EQD2=63.9Gy),或进行PDR-BT增强,中位剂量为30.9Gy(EQD2=30.4Gy)。HDR-BT仅作为增强剂施用,中位剂量为25.5Gy(EQD2=47.8Gy)。对于原发性和盆腔淋巴结,EBRT的中位剂量为48.7Gy和49.4Gy。
    结果:中位随访时间为39个月(2-120)。5/27例患者出现局部复发,整个患者群体的5年累积局部复发率为18.5%。5年OS和DFS分别为90%和68%。I-II期的5年DFS为72%,III期为65%(p=0.933)。3/22患者(13.6%)记录了近距离放射治疗的3级晚期副作用,1例患者出现4级毒性(4.5%).
    结论:对于阴道癌,有或没有EBRT和伴随化疗的近距离放射治疗是一种安全有效的治疗选择,具有良好的局部控制和总生存期以及可接受的毒性。
    BACKGROUND: Interstitial and/or intracavitary brachytherapy is an integral part of the treatment of vaginal cancer Brachytherapy (BT) has shown to improve local control, overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). The aim of our study was to analyze the efficacy and safety of brachytherapy in patients with vaginal cancer.
    METHODS: Between 2000 and 2023, 27 patients with vaginal cancer in stage FIGO I-III were treated with brachytherapy with or without external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) and simultaneous chemotherapy. Brachytherapy has been performed either as PDR-brachytherapy alone with a median cumulative dose up to 62.5 Gy (EQD2 = 63.9 Gy) or with PDR-BT boost with median dose of 30.9 Gy (EQD2 = 30.4 Gy). HDR-BT was administered solely as boost with a median dose of 25.5 Gy (EQD2 = 47.8 Gy). The median dose of EBRT was 48.7 Gy and 49.4 Gy for primary and for pelvic lymph nodes.
    RESULTS: Median follow-up was 39 months (2-120). 5/27 patients developed local recurrences and the 5-year cumulative local recurrence rate for whole patient population was 18.5%. 5-year OS and DFS was 90% and 68%. 5-year DFS for Stage I-II was 72% and for Stage III 65% (p = 0.933). Grade 3 late side effects of brachytherapy were documented in 3/22 patients (13.6%), one patient experienced Grade 4 toxicity (4.5%).
    CONCLUSIONS: Brachytherapy with or without EBRT and concomitant chemotherapy for vaginal cancer is a safe and effective treatment option with excellent local control and overall survival and acceptable toxicity.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们旨在调查人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)的患病率和基因型分布以及阴道癌(VC)的预后因素。对1989年至2020年接受治疗的VC患者进行回顾性分析。L1一般聚合酶链反应(PCR),然后进行HPV印迹(KingCar,I-Lan,台湾)和E6型特异性PCR首先进行基因分型。进行P16和p53免疫组织化学染色。单变量和多变量分析确定了临床结果的预测因子。79例VC患者符合分析条件。73例(92.4%)为鳞状细胞癌(SCC),6例(7.6%)为非SCC。中位随访时间为134.3个月(范围0.9-273.4)。在9例最初HPV阴性病例中,通过HPV16/18/45/52/58全基因组扩增,随后进行Sanger测序(WGASS),发现7例阳性。在98.6%的SCC和83.3%的非SCC中检测到HPVDNA序列,分别,HPV16(49.4%),以HPV52(15.2%)和HPV58(8.9%)为主。主动脉旁淋巴结(LN)转移患者的5年癌症特异性生存率(CSS)为0%。多因素分析显示,只有p16和分期与预后显着相关。具有强相关性的变量(p16和HPV阳性,LN转移和分期),被包括在模型2-5中。III/IV期(风险比[HR]=3.64-4.56)和LN转移(HR=2.81-3.44)是CSS的显着负预测因子,而p16阳性(HR=0.29-0.32)和HPV阳性(HR=0.14)与更好的预后相关.总之,97.5%的VC为WGASSHPV阳性。III/IV期和LN转移是显著的阴性预测因子,而p16和HPV阳性与更好的预后显著相关.
    We aimed to investigate human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence and genotype distribution and prognostic factors in vaginal cancer (VC). VC patients who received treatment between 1989 and 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. L1 general polymerase chain reaction (PCR) followed by HPV Blot (King Car, I-Lan, Taiwan) and E6 type-specific-PCR were performed for genotyping firstly. P16 and p53 immunohistochemistry staining was performed. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified predictors of clinical outcomes.79 VC patients were eligible for analysis. 73 patients (92.4%) were squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and 6 (7.6%) as non-SCC. The median follow-up time was 134.3 months (range 0.9-273.4). Among nine initially HPV-negative cases, seven were identified as being positive through HPV16/18/45/52/58 whole-genome amplification followed by Sanger sequencing (WGASS). HPV DNA sequences were detected in 98.6% of SCC and 83.3% of non-SCC, respectively, with HPV16 (49.4%), HPV52 (15.2%) and HPV58 (8.9%) being predominant. Patients with paraaortic lymph node (LN) metastasis had a 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) rate of 0%. Multivariate analysis revealed that only p16 and stage were significantly correlated with prognosis. Variables with strong correlations (p16- and HPV-positivity, LN metastasis and stage), were included in models 2-5 alternatively. Stage III/IV (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.64-4.56) and LN metastasis (HR = 2.81-3.44) were significant negative predictors of CSS, whereas p16-positivity (HR = 0.29-0.32) and HPV-positivity (HR = 0.14) were related to better prognosis. In conclusion, 97.5% of VCs were HPV-positive with WGASS. Stage III/IV and LN metastasis were significant negative predictors, whereas p16- and HPV-positivity were significantly associated with better prognosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究旨在调查发病率,阴道癌的危险因素和趋势。
    方法:回顾性观察设计。
    方法:从多个来源收集数据,包括全球癌症观察站,五大洲的癌症发病率,全球疾病负担,世界银行和联合国。
    方法:诊断为阴道癌的个体。
    方法:该研究从指定来源收集了有关阴道癌的数据。计算了不同地区和年龄组的阴道癌的年龄标准化率(ASR)。进行了多变量和单变量线性回归分析,以检查危险因素与阴道癌发病率之间的关联。趋势分析采用连接点回归分析,并计算平均年百分比变化(AAPC)以量化时间趋势。
    方法:本研究的主要结局指标是阴道癌的发病率,与该疾病相关的危险因素及其发病率随时间的趋势。
    结果:2020年有17908例新报告的阴道癌病例(ASR=0.36,95%CI0.30-0.44),其中南亚和南部非洲报告的ASR最高。与较高的阴道癌发病率相关的危险因素包括较高的不安全性行为和人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)感染。时间趋势显示全球发病率总体上升,与冰岛(AAPC=29.56,95%CI12.12-49.71),智利(AAPC=22.83,95%CI13.20-33.27),巴林(AAPC=22.05,95%CI10.83-34.40)和英国(AAPC=1.40,95%CI0.41-2.39)显示出最显著的上升趋势。
    结论:与阴道癌相关的显著地区差异和危险因素强调了有针对性的干预和教育的必要性,特别是在人类发展指数(HDI)较低和人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)感染率较高的地区。发病率增加的趋势强调需要提高HPV疫苗接种率以预防阴道癌的发展。
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the incidence, risk factors and trends for vaginal cancer.
    METHODS: Retrospective observational design.
    METHODS: Data were collected from multiple sources, including the Global Cancer Observatory, Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Plus, Global Burden of Disease, World Bank and the United Nations.
    METHODS: Individuals diagnosed with vaginal cancer.
    METHODS: The study collected data on vaginal cancer from the specified sources. The age-standardised rate (ASR) of vaginal cancer was calculated for different regions and age groups. Multivariable and univariable linear regression analyses were performed to examine the associations between risk factors and the incidence of vaginal cancer. Trend analysis was conducted using joinpoint regression analysis, and the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated to quantify the temporal trend.
    METHODS: The main outcome measures of the study were the incidence of vaginal cancer, risk factors associated with the disease and the trend of its incidence over time.
    RESULTS: There were 17 908 newly reported cases of vaginal cancer (ASR = 0.36, 95% CI 0.30-0.44) in 2020, with the highest ASRs reported in South-Central Asia and Southern Africa. Risk factors associated with a higher incidence of vaginal cancer included a higher prevalence of unsafe sex and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. The temporal trend showed an overall rising incidence globally, with Iceland (AAPC = 29.56, 95% CI 12.12-49.71), Chile (AAPC = 22.83, 95% CI 13.20-33.27), Bahrain (AAPC = 22.05, 95% CI 10.83-34.40) and the UK (AAPC = 1.40, 95% CI 0.41-2.39) demonstrating the most significant rising trends.
    CONCLUSIONS: The significant regional disparities and risk factors associated with vaginal cancer underscore the necessity for targeted interventions and education, particularly in regions with a lower human development index (HDI) and a higher prevalence of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection. The increasing incidence trend emphasises the need for enhanced HPV vaccination rates to prevent the development of vaginal cancer.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    阴道拥有称为阴道微生物群的微生物群落。这个社区相对稳定和直接,乳杆菌是最主要的成员。阴道微生物群具有维持人体健康和平衡所必需的各种功能。例如,它可以代谢膳食营养素,产生生长因子,与其他细菌交流,调节免疫系统,并防止有害病原体的入侵。当阴道微生物群被破坏时,它会导致疾病和感染。观察到的干扰的特征是乳杆菌的流行率降低,而对低氧水平表现出更高耐受性的其他细菌种类的数量同时增加。妇科癌症是一组影响女性生殖器官和组织的癌症,比如卵巢,子宫,子宫颈,阴道,外阴,还有子宫内膜.这些癌症是妇女面临的主要全球健康问题。了解宿主与阴道微生物之间的复杂相互作用可能为妇科癌症的预防和治疗提供新的见解。这可以改善妇女的生活质量和健康结果。
    The vagina hosts a community of microorganisms known as the vaginal microbiota. This community is relatively stable and straightforward, with Lactobacillus species being the most dominant members. The vaginal microbiota has various functions that are essential for maintaining human health and balance. For example, it can metabolise dietary nutrients, produce growth factors, communicate with other bacteria, modulate the immune system, and prevent the invasion of harmful pathogens. When the vaginal microbiota is disrupted, it can lead to diseases and infections. The observed disturbance is distinguished by a reduction in the prevalence of Lactobacillus and a concurrent rise in the number of other bacterial species that exhibit a higher tolerance to low oxygen levels. Gynecologic cancers are a group of cancers that affect the female reproductive organs and tissues, such as the ovaries, uterus, cervix, vagina, vulva, and endometrium. These cancers are a major global health problem for women. Understanding the complex interactions between the host and the vaginal microorganisms may provide new insights into the prevention and treatment of gynecologic cancers. This could improve the quality of life and health outcomes for women.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究旨在建立阴道癌的体积基础剂量与肿瘤局部控制之间的剂量-反应关系。包括原发性阴道癌和阴道复发性妇科恶性肿瘤。
    方法:我们通过检索PubMed,WebofScience,和Cochrane图书馆数据库到2023年8月12日。使用基于体积的剂量与临床结果之间的probit模型进行回归分析。根据分层进行亚组分析:出版年份,国家,患者的纳入时间,先前放疗的患者,年龄,原发性或复发性,肿瘤大小,同步放化疗比例,剂量率,用于规划的图像模态,和间质比例。
    结果:从18项研究中确定了879例阴道癌患者。其中,293例原发性阴道癌,573例复发性阴道癌,13例不详。probit模型显示了HR-CTV(或CTV)D90与2年和3年局部对照之间的显着关系,P值分别为0.013和0.014。对应于90%2年局部控制概率的D90为79.0GyEQD2,10(95%CI:75.3-96.6GyEQD2,10)。
    结论:发现2年或3年局部控制对HR-CTV(或CTV)D90的显著依赖性。我们的研究结果鼓励通过基于方案的多中心临床试验进一步验证阴道癌根治性放疗的剂量-反应关系。
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to establish the dose-response relationship between volume base dose and tumor local control for vaginal cancer, including primary vaginal cancer and recurrent gynecologic malignancies in the vagina.
    METHODS: We identified studies that reported volume base dose and local control by searching the PubMed, the Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library Database through August 12, 2023. The regression analyses were performed using probit model between volume based dose versus clinical outcomes. Subgroup analyses were performed according to stratification: publication year, country, inclusion time of patients, patients with prior radiotherapy, age, primaries or recurrent, tumor size, concurrent chemoradiotherapy proportion, dose rate, image modality for planning, and interstitial proportion.
    RESULTS: A total of 879 patients with vaginal cancer were identified from 18 studies. Among them, 293 cases were primary vaginal cancer, 573 cases were recurrent cancer in the vagina, and 13 cases were unknown. The probit model showed a significant relationship between the HR-CTV (or CTV) D90 versus the 2-year and 3-year local control, P values were 0.013 and 0.014, respectively. The D90 corresponding to probabilities of 90% 2-year local control were 79.0 GyEQD2,10 (95% CI: 75.3-96.6 GyEQD2,10).
    CONCLUSIONS: A significant dependence of 2-year or 3-year local control on HR-CTV (or CTV) D90 was found. Our research findings encourage further validation of the dose-response relationship of radical radiotherapy for vaginal cancer through protocol based multicenter clinical trials.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:约70%的阴道癌和40-50%的外阴癌归因于人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)。在全球范围内,由于HPV流行率的增加和全球人口的快速老龄化,这些疾病的负担估计会增加。我们的目的是检查HPV筛查宫颈癌是否在预防阴道癌和外阴癌方面具有额外的有益作用。为了评估这一点,我们使用了芬兰随机HPV筛查试验的长期随访数据.
    方法:在2003年至2008年之间,在芬兰南部,超过236,000名妇女被单独随机(1:1)接受原发性HPV或细胞学筛查。我们跟踪这个队列到2020年。为了比较研究武器,我们使用Poisson回归计算了阴道癌和外阴癌的部位特异性和合并发病率比(IRRs)和死亡率比(MRR).
    结果:在350万人年的随访中,与细胞学组相比,HPV组阴道癌的IRR为0.40(95%CI0.17-0.88),相应的MRR为0.74(95%0.21-2.24).外阴癌的相应IRR为0.73(95%0.50-1.08),MRR为0.64(95%0.23-1.62)。合并的内部收益率为0.67(95%0.47-0.95)和MRR为0.67(95%0.31-1.37)。
    结论:我们发现,与细胞学筛查相比,HPV筛查的阴道癌发病率较低。为了验证我们的结果,我们建议分析来自其他HPV筛查研究的阴道癌和外阴癌数据.
    OBJECTIVE: Around 70% of vaginal cancers and 40-50% of vulvar cancers are attributable to human papillomavirus (HPV). Globally the burden of these diseases is estimated to grow due to the increasing HPV prevalence and rapidly aging global population. We aimed to examine if HPV screening for cervical cancer has an additional beneficial effect in preventing vaginal and vulvar cancers. To assess this, we used long-term follow-up data from the Finnish randomized HPV screening trial.
    METHODS: Between 2003 and 2008, over 236,000 women were individually randomized (1:1) to primary HPV or cytology screening in Southern Finland. We followed this cohort up to the year 2020. To compare the study arms, we calculated site-specific and pooled incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and mortality rate ratios (MRRs) for vaginal and vulvar cancers using Poisson regression.
    RESULTS: During 3,5 million person-years of follow-up, the IRR for vaginal cancer in the HPV arm compared to the cytology arm was 0.40 (95% CI 0.17-0.88) and the corresponding MRR was 0.74 (95% 0.21-2.24). The corresponding IRR for vulvar cancer was 0.73 (95% 0.50-1.08) and the MRR was 0.64 (95% 0.23-1.62). The pooled IRR was 0.67 (95% 0.47 ̶ 0.95) and MRR 0.67 (95% 0.31 ̶ 1.37).
    CONCLUSIONS: We found lower incidence of vaginal cancers with HPV screening compared to cytology screening. To validate our results, we recommend analyzing data on vaginal and vulvar cancers also from other HPV screening studies.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    背景:结直肠癌的阴道转移很少发生,通常与其他转移性病变有关。孤立的转移是非常罕见的,文献中只有少数案例记录。结肠直肠癌的阴道受累主要是由原发性肿瘤的直接连续扩散引起的。
    方法:我们介绍了一名70岁的非洲妇女被诊断为直肠中部腺癌的病例。她接受了化疗,放射治疗,和随后的前切除术。两个月后,在左阴道壁的下三分之一处发现了孤立的直肠癌转移,活检证实。结肠镜检查排除了结直肠复发。胸腹部计算机断层扫描显示无远处转移。患者接受了腹部会阴切除术,去除阴道侧壁和后壁,具有游离的宏观边缘和明确的结肠造口术。最终的组织病理学分析证实了阴道中分化腺癌的诊断,测量5×4.5厘米。在尊重直肠粘膜的同时,直肠壁本质上被肿瘤侵入到固有肌层。切除边缘为阴性。患者术后1周出院,无并发症发生。辅助化疗,患者目前正在接受良好的治疗。
    结论:结直肠癌的阴道转移极为罕见。在结直肠癌患者的随访期间,建议进行警惕的妇科检查。诊断可能具有挑战性,特别是如果转移灶很小且无症状,即使经过标准的放射检查。手术切除后化疗是早期孤立转移患者的有效选择。
    BACKGROUND: Vaginal metastasis from colorectal cancer is a rare occurrence, typically associated with other metastatic lesions. Isolated metastasis is exceedingly uncommon, with only a few cases documented in the literature. Vaginal involvement in colorectal cancer primarily results from direct contiguous spread from the primary tumor.
    METHODS: We present the case of a 70-year-old African woman diagnosed with adenocarcinoma of the middle rectum. She underwent chemotherapy, radiotherapy, and subsequent anterior resection. After 2 months, an isolated metastasis of rectal cancer was identified in the lower third of the left vaginal wall, confirmed by biopsy. Colonoscopy ruled out colorectal recurrence. Thoraco-abdominal computed tomography scan showed no distant metastases. The patient underwent abdominoperineal resection, removing the lateral and posterior vaginal wall with free macroscopic margins and a definitive colostomy. The final histopathological analysis confirmed the diagnosis of moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma of the vagina, measuring 5 × 4.5 cm. The rectal wall was extrinsically invaded by the tumor down to the muscularis propria while respecting the rectal mucosa. Resection margins were negative. The patient was discharged 1 week postoperation with no complications. Adjuvant chemotherapy was indicated, and the patient is currently tolerating the treatment well.
    CONCLUSIONS: Vaginal metastases from colorectal cancer are extremely rare. A vigilant gynecological examination is recommended during the follow-up of colorectal cancer patients. Diagnosis can be challenging, especially if the metastatic lesion is small and asymptomatic, even after standard radiological examination. Surgical resection followed by chemotherapy is a valid option for patients with early isolated metastases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    诊断,治疗,正电子发射断层扫描/计算机断层扫描(PET/CT)和MRI均使妇科恶性肿瘤的治疗受益。PET/CT提供了有关疾病局部范围以及弥漫性转移受累的重要信息。MRI提供软组织描绘和局部区域疾病受累。这两种技术的结合是诊断的关键,治疗计划,并评估妇科恶性肿瘤的治疗反应。这篇综述旨在评估PET/MRI在妇科癌症患者中的表现,并概述了PET/MR系统在专门应用于妇科恶性肿瘤时的技术挑战和临床优势。
    The diagnosis, treatment, and management of gynecologic malignancies benefit from both positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) and MRI. PET/CT provides important information on the local extent of disease as well as diffuse metastatic involvement. MRI offers soft tissue delineation and loco-regional disease involvement. The combination of these two technologies is key in diagnosis, treatment planning, and evaluating treatment response in gynecological malignancies. This review aims to assess the performance of PET/MRI in gynecologic cancer patients and outlines the technical challenges and clinical advantages of PET/MR systems when specifically applied to gynecologic malignancies.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    阴道癌是一种罕见的妇科恶性肿瘤。在局部疾病中,同步放化疗给予局部控制和更好的总体生存率,在转移性环境中,管理选择非常有限。此外,复发性宫颈,外阴,众所周知,阴道癌对治疗产生抗药性,因此,他们的预后仍然很差。
    我们在此介绍一个女性阴道癌淋巴结复发的病例,用三线免疫疗法有效治疗。我们还将提供有关晚期阴道癌的新治疗策略的文献综述,专注于pembrolizumab免疫疗法。
    Pembrolizumab可能是治疗阴道癌和外阴癌的一种有希望的选择,但是仍然缺乏支持其在此设置中使用的数据。该病例强调了对这种罕见疾病进行进一步调查和试验设计的必要性。
    UNASSIGNED: Vaginal cancer is a rare gynecologic malignancy. While in a localized disease, concurrent chemoradiation grants local control and better overall survival, in a metastatic setting, the management options are very limited. Furthermore, recurrent cervical, vulvar, and vaginal carcinomas notoriously develop resistance to treatment, and consequently, their prognosis is still poor.
    UNASSIGNED: We herein present the case of a woman with a nodal relapse of vaginal carcinoma, effectively treated with third-line immunotherapy. We will also provide a review of the literature on the new therapeutic strategies for advanced vaginal carcinoma, with a focus on pembrolizumab immunotherapy.
    UNASSIGNED: Pembrolizumab might represent a promising option for the management of vaginal and vulvar cancer, but data to support its use in this setting are still lacking. This case highlights the need for further investigation and trial designs for this rare disease.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)是一种常见的性传播病毒,可引起宫颈癌和其他疾病。已经开发了动态传播模型(DTM)来评估HPV疫苗接种的健康和经济影响。这些模型通常包括许多参数,比如疾病的自然史,传输,人口统计学,行为,和筛选。为确保DTM投影的准确性,重要的是用最好的可用证据对它们进行参数化。这项研究旨在确定和综合参数化对HPV感染和相关疾病的自然史的DTM所需的数据。描述感兴趣数据的参数按其解剖位置(生殖器疣,复发性呼吸道乳头状瘤病,和子宫颈,肛门,阴道,外阴,头部和颈部,和阴茎癌),和自然史(进展,回归,死亡,治愈,复发,检测),并通过系统文献综述(SLR)和补充针对性文献综述(TLR)进行鉴定。然后通过在出版物中汇集参数值来合成提取的数据,并使用报告每个参数的研究的值范围和最相关研究的中位数进行总结。从SLR和TLR中鉴定的223项研究中提取和合成数据。经常报告的参数与宫颈癌结果有关,而其他解剖位置的数据较少。数据的合成提供了大量的参数值来通知HPVDTM,例如从宫颈上皮内瘤变(CIN)1到CIN2+的年度进展率(最高质量估计值的中位数为0.0836),CIN2至CIN3+(0.0418),原位癌(CIS)2到局部癌+(0.0396),和区域到远处的癌症(0.0474)。我们的研究结果表明,虽然有大量关于宫颈癌的证据,参数值在研究中具有显著的异质性,需要进一步的研究来更好地参数化HPVDTM的非宫颈成分。
    Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a common sexually transmitted virus that can cause cervical cancer and other diseases. Dynamic transmission models (DTMs) have been developed to evaluate the health and economic impacts of HPV vaccination. These models typically include many parameters, such as natural history of the disease, transmission, demographic, behavioral, and screening. To ensure the accuracy of DTM projections, it is important to parameterize them with the best available evidence. This study aimed to identify and synthesize data needed to parametrize DTMs on the natural history of HPV infection and related diseases. Parameters describing data of interest were grouped by their anatomical location (genital warts, recurrent respiratory papillomatosis, and cervical, anal, vaginal, vulvar, head and neck, and penile cancers), and natural history (progression, regression, death, cure, recurrence, detection), and were identified through a systematic literature review (SLR) and complementary targeted literature reviews (TLRs). The extracted data were then synthesized by pooling parameter values across publications, and summarized using the range of values across studies reporting each parameter and the median value from the most relevant study. Data were extracted and synthesized from 223 studies identified in the SLR and TLRs. Parameters frequently reported pertained to cervical cancer outcomes, while data for other anatomical locations were less available. The synthesis of the data provides a large volume of parameter values to inform HPV DTMs, such as annual progression rates from cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1 to CIN 2+ (median of highest quality estimate 0.0836), CIN 2 to CIN 3+ (0.0418), carcinoma in situ (CIS) 2 to local cancer+ (0.0396), and regional to distant cancer (0.0474). Our findings suggest that while there is a large body of evidence on cervical cancer, parameter values featured substantial heterogeneity across studies, and further studies are needed to better parametrize the non-cervical components of HPV DTMs.
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