MORTALITY

死亡率
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在评估六种全血细胞计数(CBC)衍生的炎症标志物之间的关联[中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比率(NLR),单核细胞与淋巴细胞比率(MLR),血小板与淋巴细胞比率(PLR),全身免疫炎症指数(SII),全身炎症反应指数(SIRI),和泛免疫性炎症值(PIV)]以及虚弱和死亡的风险。
    数据来自1999-2018年的国家健康和营养检查调查(NHANES)。死亡率是使用国家死亡指数确定的,直到2019年12月31日。进行了多逻辑回归分析以评估六个CBC衍生的炎症标志物与虚弱之间的关联。Cox回归模型评估了6种CBC来源的炎症标志物与虚弱人群死亡率之间的关联。使用限制性三次样条(RCS)可视化六个CBC衍生的炎症标志物与死亡风险的关联。使用随机生存森林(RSF)方法进一步评估CBC衍生的炎症标志物对死亡率的预测价值。
    这项研究分析了总共16,705名中年和老年参与者的数据。其中,6,503名参与者身体虚弱,死亡率为41.47%。多元logistic回归分析显示,NLR,MLR,PLR,SII,SIRI,和PIV与虚弱风险呈正相关。Cox回归模型显示,与最低四分位数的参与者相比,最高四分位数的参与者的死亡风险显着增加:NLR(HR=1.73,95%CI:1.54,1.94),MLR(HR=1.71,95%CI:1.51,1.93),PLR(HR=1.28,95CI:1.15,1.43),SII(HR=1.50,95CI:1.34,1.68),SIRI(HR=1.88,CI95%:1.67,2.12),PIV(HR=1.55,95CI:1.38,1.73)。随机生存森林(RSF)分析表明,MLR对中年和老年成年体弱参与者的死亡风险具有最高的预测价值。
    结果表明,在美国中老年人群中,CBC衍生的炎症标志物与更高的虚弱和死亡风险相关。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to evaluate the association between six complete blood count (CBC)-derived inflammatory markers [neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII), systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), and pan-immune inflammation value (PIV)] and the risk of frailty and mortality.
    UNASSIGNED: Data were obtained from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2018. Mortality was identified using the National Death Index until December 31, 2019. Multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to evaluate the association between six CBC-derived inflammatory markers and frailty. The Cox regression model assessed the association between six CBC-derived inflammatory markers and mortality in frail populations. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to visualize the association of the six CBC-derived inflammatory markers with mortality risk. The predictive value of CBC-derived inflammatory markers for mortality was further assessed using a random survival forest (RSF) approach.
    UNASSIGNED: This study analyzed data from a total of 16,705 middle-aged and older participants. Among them, 6,503 participants were frail, with a mortality rate of 41.47%. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that NLR, MLR, PLR, SII, SIRI, and PIV were positively associated with frailty risk. The Cox regression model revealed that participants in the highest quartile had a significantly increased risk of death compared to those in the lowest quartile: NLR (HR = 1.73, 95% CI:1.54, 1.94), MLR (HR = 1.71, 95% CI:1.51, 1.93), PLR (HR = 1.28, 95%CI: 1.15, 1.43), SII (HR = 1.50, 95%CI:1.34, 1.68), SIRI (HR = 1.88, CI 95%:1.67, 2.12), PIV (HR = 1.55, 95%CI:1.38, 1.73). Random survival forest (RSF) analyses demonstrated that MLR had the highest predictive value for mortality risk middle-aged and older adult frail participants.
    UNASSIGNED: The results suggest that CBC-derived inflammatory markers are associated with a higher risk of frailty as well as mortality in the middle and old-aged population of the United States.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项描述性回顾性研究使用魁北克验尸官局的数据,分析了2006年1月至2019年12月在体育和娱乐中自然死亡的建议。
    有建议的报告按性别进行了分析,年龄组,死因,context,和活动。使用基于公共卫生的模型评估建议的性质。主题分析是按照四个阶段的方法进行的,其中强调了所开发的主题,并将其与现有文献进一步联系起来。
    涉及18-24岁个人的报告和与冰球相关的报告更有可能包含建议。与≥45岁的个人有关的报告,或与骑自行车或狩猎有关的死亡频率更高,但推荐率相对较低。大多数建议与基于公共卫生的模型一致,但很少指定实施时间框架(11.7%)。近60%的验尸官的建议集中在自动体外除颤器的实施,交付和培训。
    降低≥45岁个体心脏骤停风险,及时治疗危及生命的心律失常,特别是在偏远地区进行的活动,并规定实施时间范围被确定为改善领域.国际复苏联络委员会在2022年制定的加强公众获取除颤的多方面方法解决了验尸官重复出现的主题,并有可能为循证决策提供信息。
    UNASSIGNED: This descriptive retrospective study analyzed coronial recommendations for natural deaths in sport and recreation from January 2006 to December 2019 using data from the Bureau du coroner du Québec.
    UNASSIGNED: Reports with recommendations were analyzed by sex, age group, cause of death, context, and activity. The nature of recommendations was assessed using a public health-based model. Thematic analysis was conducted following a four-phase approach in which themes developed were emphasized and further connected with existing literature.
    UNASSIGNED: Reports involving individuals aged 18-24 and reports related to ice hockey were significantly more likely to contain recommendations. Reports related to individuals ≥45 years old, or related to cycling or hunting had higher death frequencies, but relatively low recommendation rates. Most recommendations aligned with the public health-based model but specifying implementation time frames was rare (11.7%). Nearly 60% of coroner\'s recommendations focused on automated external defibrillator implementation, delivery and training.
    UNASSIGNED: Mitigation of sudden cardiac arrest risk for individuals ≥45 years old, timely treatment of life-threatening arrhythmias especially for activity practiced in remote regions and specifying implementation time frames were identified as improvement areas. The multi-faceted approach to enhancing public access defibrillation developed by the International Liaison Committee on Resuscitation in 2022 addresses recurrent themes covered by coroners and holds the potential to inform evidence-based decision making.
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  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    COVID-19引起的肺炎已成为持续的健康问题,严重病例对患者生命构成重大威胁。然而,人工智能(AI)在帮助医师预测严重COVID-19患者预后方面的潜力尚不清楚.
    为了获得相关研究,两名研究人员对PubMed进行了全面搜索,WebofScience,和Embase数据库,包括截至2023年10月31日发表的所有利用人工智能预测严重COVID-19患者死亡率的研究。PROBAST2019工具用于评估纳入研究中的潜在偏差,Stata16用于荟萃分析,出版偏见评估,和敏感性分析。
    总共19项研究,由26个模型组成,包括在分析中。其中,纳入临床和放射学数据的模型表现出最高的性能.这些模型的总体灵敏度为0.81(0.64-0.91),特异性为0.77(0.71-0.82),曲线下面积(AUC)为0.88(0.85-0.90)。亚组分析显示显著发现。在发达国家进行的研究对放射学模型和组合模型均表现出明显更高的预测特异性(p<0.05)。此外,涉及非重症监护病房患者的调查显示了更高的预测特异性(p<0.001).
    当前证据表明,人工智能预测模型在预测严重COVID-19患者的预后方面显示出有希望的性能。然而,由于不同模型对特定人群的适用性不同,尚不确定它们是否可以完全应用于临床实践。他们的预测能力还有改进的空间,需要未来的研究和开发努力。
    https://www.crd.约克。AC.带有唯一标识符CRD42023431537的uk/prospro/。
    UNASSIGNED: COVID-19-induced pneumonia has become a persistent health concern, with severe cases posing a significant threat to patient lives. However, the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) in assisting physicians in predicting the prognosis of severe COVID-19 patients remains unclear.
    UNASSIGNED: To obtain relevant studies, two researchers conducted a comprehensive search of the PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase databases, including all studies published up to October 31, 2023, that utilized AI to predict mortality rates in severe COVID-19 patients. The PROBAST 2019 tool was employed to assess the potential bias in the included studies, and Stata 16 was used for meta-analysis, publication bias assessment, and sensitivity analysis.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 19 studies, comprising 26 models, were included in the analysis. Among them, the models that incorporated both clinical and radiological data demonstrated the highest performance. These models achieved an overall sensitivity of 0.81 (0.64-0.91), specificity of 0.77 (0.71-0.82), and an overall area under the curve (AUC) of 0.88 (0.85-0.90). Subgroup analysis revealed notable findings. Studies conducted in developed countries exhibited significantly higher predictive specificity for both radiological and combined models (p < 0.05). Additionally, investigations involving non-intensive care unit patients demonstrated significantly greater predictive specificity (p < 0.001).
    UNASSIGNED: The current evidence suggests that artificial intelligence prediction models show promising performance in predicting the prognosis of severe COVID-19 patients. However, due to variations in the suitability of different models for specific populations, it is not yet certain whether they can be fully applied in clinical practice. There is still room for improvement in their predictive capabilities, and future research and development efforts are needed.
    UNASSIGNED: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/ with the Unique Identifier CRD42023431537.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Stiripentol(STP,Diacomit©)是一种用于Dravet综合征的抗癫痫药物,一种罕见的以抗药性癫痫发作为特征的发育性和癫痫性脑病,包括癫痫持续状态(SE)。SE是一种危及生命的事件,可能导致发病率和死亡率增加。这里,我们使用全身给药蛋氨酸亚砜胺(MSO)诱导的CBA小鼠模型评估了STP对SE和SE相关死亡率的影响,一种不可逆的谷氨酰胺合成酶抑制剂.MSO诱发抽搐,长时间癫痫发作(SE)和死亡,随着血氨水平的增加。单次急性腹腔内预处理200-300-400mg/kgSTP显著抑制癫痫发作次数,MSO处理的动物中SE的发生和死亡呈剂量依赖性。关于血氨水平,STP可显著降低MSO引起的高氨血症41%。总之,我们的结果显示STP在小鼠中具有降低和/或抑制SE的发生及其相关死亡率的保护作用.
    Stiripentol (STP, Diacomit©) is an antiseizure medication indicated for Dravet syndrome, a rare developmental and epileptic encephalopathy characterized by drug-resistant seizures, including status epilepticus (SE). SE is a life-threatening event that may lead to increased risk of morbidity and mortality. Here, we evaluated the effect of STP on SE and SE-associated mortality using a CBA mouse model induced by systemic administration of methionine sulfoximine (MSO), an irreversible inhibitor of glutamine synthetase. MSO induces convulsions, prolonged seizure (SE) and death, with an increase of blood ammonia level. A single acute intraperitoneal pretreatment with 200-300-400 mg/kg of STP significantly inhibited the number of seizures, SE occurrence and death in MSO-treated animals in a dose-dependent manner. Regarding blood ammonia level, STP significantly reduced by 41 % the hyperammonemia induced by MSO. In conclusion, our results show protective effects of STP to reduce and or suppress the occurrence of SE as well as its associated mortality in mice.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:重症监护病房(ICU)收治的肺癌患者的预后通常被认为较差。我们描述了特点,管理,和重症肺癌患者的结局,并确定死亡率的预测因素。
    方法:我们回顾性研究了1999年至2021年因常规术后护理以外的原因进入三级医院ICU的肺癌患者。我们注意到它们的特点,ICU管理,和结果。我们进行了多变量逻辑回归分析,以确定医院死亡率的预测因素。
    结果:在23年期间,306例肺癌患者入住ICU(中位年龄=63.0岁,68.3%男性,45.6%患有中度/重度功能性残疾,大多数人患有晚期肺癌,和中位急性生理学和慢性健康评估II评分=24.0)。生命支持措施包括有创机械通气(47.1%),血管升压药(34.0%),和新的肾脏替代治疗(8.8%)。30.1%的患者在ICU住院期间实施了不复苏令。医院死亡率为43.8%,2015年后住院患者的死亡率显着降低(28.0%)。死亡率的预测因素是中度/重度基线残疾(比值比[OR]2.65,95%置信区间[CI]1.22,5.78),晚期肺癌(OR8.36,95%CI1.81,38.58),乳酸水平(OR1.45,95%CI1.12,1.88,有创机械通气(OR10.92,95%CI4.98,23.95),和2015年后的入院期(OR0.37,95%CI0.16,0.85)。
    结论:2015年后,入住ICU23年的肺癌患者死亡率下降。功能性残疾,晚期肺癌阶段,血管加压药的使用,有创机械通气可预测死亡率。
    BACKGROUND: The prognosis of patients with lung cancer admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) is often perceived as poor. We described the characteristics, management, and outcomes of critically ill patients with lung cancer and determined the predictors of mortality.
    METHODS: We retrospectively studied patients with lung cancer who were admitted to the ICU of a tertiary care hospital between 1999 and 2021 for the reasons other than routine postoperative care. We noted their characteristics, ICU management, and outcomes. We performed the multivariable logistic regression analysis to determine the predictors of hospital mortality.
    RESULTS: In the 23-year period, 306 patients with lung cancer were admitted to the ICU (median age = 63.0 years, 68.3% males, 45.6% with moderate/severe functional disability, most had advanced lung cancer, and median Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score = 24.0). Life support measures included invasive mechanical ventilation (47.1%), vasopressors (34.0%), and new renal replacement therapy (8.8%). Do-Not-Resuscitate orders were implemented during ICU stay in 30.1%. The hospital mortality was 43.8% with a significantly lower rate in patients admitted after 2015 (28.0%). The predictors of mortality were moderate/severe baseline disability (odds ratio [OR] 2.65, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22, 5.78), advanced lung cancer (OR 8.36, 95% CI 1.81, 38.58), lactate level (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.12, 1.88, invasive mechanical ventilation (OR 10.92, 95% CI 4.98, 23.95), and admission period after 2015 (OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.16, 0.85).
    CONCLUSIONS: The mortality rates in patients with lung cancer admitted to the ICU during a 23-year period decreased after 2015. Functional disability, advanced lung cancer stage, vasopressor use, and invasive mechanical ventilation predicted mortality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们的目的是确认极端的高氧事件是否与我们不同的重症监护人群的高死亡率相关。
    对洛杉矶儿童医院儿科和心胸ICU收集的9年数据进行回顾性分析。分析仅限于机械通风至少24小时,至少测量1次动脉血气。极端高氧事件定义为PaO2≥300托。多变量logistic回归用于评估极端高氧血症事件与死亡率的关系。调整混杂变量。选定的先验,这些是儿科死亡率风险III预测死亡率,一般或心胸ICU,血气测量的数量,以及异常的血气测量(pH<7.25,pH>7.45和PaO2<50托)。
    有4,003例入院,预测死亡率为7.1%,实际死亡率为9.7%。他们的护理与75,129次血气测量有关,其中异常测量很常见。通过对这些协变量的调整,任何高氧事件均与超额死亡率相关(p<0.001).超额死亡率随多个高氧事件增加(p<0.046)。此外,导致SpO2>98%的治疗显著增加了高氧事件的风险.
    重症监护入院的回顾性分析显示,极端高氧事件与较高的死亡率相关。应避免导致SpO2>98%的补充氧水平。
    UNASSIGNED: Our aim was to confirm whether extreme hyperoxemic events had been associated with excess mortality in our diverse critical care population.
    UNASSIGNED: Retrospective analysis of 9 years of data collected in the pediatric and cardiothoracic ICUs in Children\'s Hospital Los Angeles was performed. The analysis was limited to those mechanically ventilated for at least 24 h, with at least 1 arterial blood gas measurement. An extreme hyperoxemic event was defined as a PaO2 of ≥300 torr. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the association of extreme hyperoxemia events and mortality, adjusting for confounding variables. Selected a-priori, these were Pediatric Risk of Mortality III predicted mortality, general or cardiothoracic ICU, number of blood gas measurements, as well as an abnormal blood gas measurements (pH < 7.25, pH > 7.45, and PaO2 < 50 torr).
    UNASSIGNED: There were 4,003 admissions included with a predicted mortality of 7.1% and an actual mortality of 9.7%. Their care was associated with 75,129 blood gas measurements, in which abnormal measurements were common. With adjustments for these covariates, any hyperoxemic event was associated with excess mortality (p < 0.001). Excess mortality increased with multiple hyperoxemic events (p < 0.046). Additionally, treatment resulting in SpO2 > 98% markedly increased the risk of a hyperoxemic event.
    UNASSIGNED: Retrospective analysis of critical care admissions showed that extreme hyperoxemic events were associated with higher mortality. Supplemental oxygen levels resulting in SpO2 > 98% should be avoided.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    COVID-19大流行对全球医疗保健系统产生了深远的影响,患者护理策略需要实质性转变。大流行的爆发导致医院发生了巨大的运营变化,包括减少床位容量和人员配备水平,这可能进一步影响老年患者的死亡率结局。该研究旨在评估COVID-19大流行对经手术治疗的老年髋部骨折1年死亡率的影响。
    这次回顾展,单中心队列研究纳入了346名年龄在65岁及以上且因髋部骨折接受手术治疗的参与者.我们比较了COVID前期和COVID时代的死亡率。数据包括人口统计,治疗,并发症,和COVID-19状态。使用独立样本t检验和卡方检验(或Fisher精确检验)进行年龄队列的比较。使用Kaplan-Meier评估生存概率,而多变量分析确定了死亡率预测因素。
    175名患者被纳入前COVID时代,171例患者被纳入COVID时代。在COVID时代,30天死亡率为11.7%(相比之下,新冠肺炎前期为13.7%,p=0.573),1年死亡率为43.9%(相比之下,前COVID时代为49.1%,p=0.325)。1年总死亡率为46.5%。在48小时内接受手术的患者的1年生存率(60.5%)高于延迟手术的患者(51.2%),p=0.031。此外,未进入ICU的患者的1年生存率(74.7%)高于入院的患者(44.9%),p<0.001。总死亡人数的70.1%发生在前90天内。
    老年髋部骨折患者在大流行之前和期间经历了高死亡率。这项研究表明,老年髋部骨折的1年死亡率并未受到大流行的影响。研究结果强调了大流行防备,及时手术和关注ICU护理在降低死亡率方面的重要性。
    UNASSIGNED: The COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly impacted global healthcare systems, necessitating substantial shifts in patient care strategies. The pandemic\'s onset led to drastic operational changes in hospitals, including reduced bed capacity and staffing levels, which could have further influenced the mortality outcomes for geriatric patients. The study aimed to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on 1-year mortality rates of surgically treated geriatric hip fractures.
    UNASSIGNED: This retrospective, single-center cohort study included 346 participants aged 65 and above who underwent surgical treatment for hip fractures. We compared mortality rates between the pre-COVID and COVID eras. Data included demographics, treatment, complications, and COVID-19 status. The independent samples t test and Chi-square tests (or Fisher\'s exact test) were used for comparisons for era cohorts. Survival probabilities were assessed using Kaplan-Meier, while multivariate analysis identified mortality predictors.
    UNASSIGNED: 175 patients were included in the pre-COVID era, and 171 patients were included in the COVID era. During the COVID era, the 30-day mortality rate was 11.7% (compared to 13.7% in the pre-COVID era, p = 0.573), and the 1-year mortality rate was 43.9% (compared to 49.1% in the pre-COVID era, p = 0.325). The overall 1-year mortality rate was 46.5%. Patients who underwent surgery within 48 hours had a higher 1-year survival rate (60.5%) compared to those with delayed surgery (51.2%), p = 0.031. Additionally, patients not admitted to the ICU had a higher 1-year survival rate (74.7%) than those who were admitted (44.9%), p < 0.001. 70.1% of the total deaths occurred within the first 90 days.
    UNASSIGNED: Elderly patients with hip fractures experienced high mortality rates before and during the pandemic. This study demonstrates that the 1-year mortality rates of geriatric hip fractures were not significantly affected by the pandemic. The findings emphasize the importance of pandemic preparedness and prompt surgeries and attentive ICU care in reducing mortality rates.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    关于中国重症监护病房(ICU)中体外膜氧合(ECMO)相关感染的当前微生物学特征的数据有限。这项回顾性研究旨在确定流行病学,危险因素和对ECMO相关感染结局的影响。
    2014年1月至2019年12月进行了一项回顾性观察研究,接受ECMO支持超过48小时的成年患者纳入本研究.主要结果是ECMO相关感染的发生率。记录临床数据,并分析与ECMO相关感染风险增加相关的危险因素.
    本研究共纳入174名接受ECMO并接受ECMO1,670天的成年患者。46名患者(26.4%)出现ECMO相关感染,对应于27.5首次发作/1,000ECMO天。观察到的最常见的ECMO相关感染是呼吸机相关性肺炎(VAP)。感染患者的机械通气持续时间较长{20.2[四分位距(IQR),12.6,30.7]vs.9.0(IQR,5.8,14.7)天,P<0.001},ECMO支持[11.6(IQR,8.1,17.3)vs.7.6(IQR,5.6,9.7)天,P<0.001]和住院时间(28.2±20.7vs.22.0±15.6天,P<0.001)。与ECMO相关感染独立相关的因素是淋巴细胞计数动态降低[调整比值比(OR)=3.578,95%置信区间(CI):2.175-4.906,P<0.001]和ECMO持续时间(调整后OR=1.207,95%CI:1.096-1.330,P<0.001)。与没有感染的患者相比,感染患者的住院死亡率更高(39.1%vs.78.3%,P<0.001)和90天死亡率(40.6%vs.87.0%,P<0.001)。ECMO相关感染与较差的预后相关(调整后的Kaplan-Meier曲线,对数秩检验P<0.001)。
    由ECMO支持的患者发生ECMO相关感染的风险很高。观察到的最常见的ECMO相关感染是VAP。淋巴细胞计数的动态减少与ECMO相关感染的风险增加显着相关。
    UNASSIGNED: Limited data are available regarding the current microbiological characteristics of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO)-related infections in intensive care units (ICUs) in China. This retrospective study aimed to determine the epidemiology, risk factors and impact on the outcome of ECMO-related infections.
    UNASSIGNED: A retrospective observational study from January 2014 to December 2019 was performed, and adult patients receiving ECMO support for more than 48 hours were included in this study. The primary outcome was the incidence rate of ECMO-related infection. Clinical data were recorded, and risk factors associated with an increased risk of ECMO-related infection were analyzed.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 174 adult patients who received ECMO and underwent ECMO for 1,670 days were included in this study. Forty-six patients (26.4%) developed ECMO-related infections, corresponding to 27.5 first episodes/1,000 ECMO days. The most common ECMO-related infection observed was ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP). Infected patients had longer durations of mechanical ventilation {20.2 [interquartile range (IQR), 12.6, 30.7] vs. 9.0 (IQR, 5.8, 14.7) days, P<0.001}, ECMO support [11.6 (IQR, 8.1, 17.3) vs. 7.6 (IQR, 5.6, 9.7) days, P<0.001] and hospital stays (28.2±20.7 vs. 22.0±15.6 days, P<0.001). The factors independently associated with ECMO-related infection were a dynamic decrease in lymphocyte count [adjusted odds ratio (OR) =3.578, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.175-4.906, P<0.001] and ECMO duration (adjusted OR =1.207, 95% CI: 1.096-1.330, P<0.001). Compared to patients without infection, infected patients had greater hospital mortality (39.1% vs. 78.3%, P<0.001) and 90-day mortality (40.6% vs. 87.0%, P<0.001). ECMO-related infections were associated with worse outcomes (adjusted Kaplan-Meier curve, log rank test P<0.001).
    UNASSIGNED: Patients supported by ECMO had a high risk of developing ECMO-related infection. The most common ECMO-related infection observed was VAP. A dynamic decrease in lymphocyte counts was significantly associated with an increased risk of ECMO-related infection.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    牲畜提供肉,牛奶,劳动力,用于繁殖,并充当小农的价值储备。较高的年轻种群死亡率(YSM)有可能造成重大的经济损失。青年种群死亡率降低协会合作开展了一个项目,提供一揽子基本的健康和畜牧业干预措施,以减少埃塞俄比亚混合和牧区生产系统中牛和小反刍动物的YSM。在干预之前,混合系统中小牛的YSM率为9.8%,牧区系统中的小反刍动物为35.6%。干预措施的YSM减少比例为小牛和混合系统中的小反刍动物的60%,牧区小牛的比例为72%。这份简短的研究报告评估了事后干预的成本和收益,以确定其效率。干预措施的NPV(每个家庭)是在一系列受益期(从1年到20年)计算的,根据培训统计员和农民的成本以及每个福利期内实现的年度家庭福利净额。我们发现,在牧区和混合系统中,干预措施的年度家庭净收益均为正。对于牧民家庭,干预在2年后达到了正的净现值。对于混合家庭,干预措施在11年后实现了正的净现值。总的来说,我们发现干预的好处超过了成本,在牧区系统中大量存在,对于拥有大量繁殖雌性的家庭来说,这种好处更大。
    Livestock provide meat, milk, draught labour, are used for breeding, and act as a store of value for smallholder farmers. High young stock mortality (YSM) has the potential to cause significant financial loss. The Young Stock Mortality Reduction Consortium collaborated on a project to deliver a package of basic health and husbandry interventions to reduce YSM for cattle and small ruminants in mixed and pastoral production systems in Ethiopia. Prior to the intervention, YSM rates ranged from 9.8% for calves in mixed systems, to 35.6% for small ruminants in pastoral systems. Proportional reductions YSM from the intervention ranged from 60% for calves and for small ruminants in mixed systems, to 72% for calves in pastoral systems. This brief research report assesses the costs and benefits of the intervention ex-poste to determine its efficiency. NPVs for the intervention (per household) were calculated for a range of benefit periods (from 1 to 20 years), based on the cost of training enumerators and farmers and the net annual household benefits realised within each benefit period. We found in both pastoral and mixed systems the net annual household benefit for the intervention was positive. For pastoral households the intervention achieves a positive NPV after 2 years. For mixed households the intervention achieves a positive NPV after 11 years. Overall, we found the benefits of the intervention exceed the costs, by a very large amount in pastoral systems, and that benefits were larger for households that kept larger numbers of breeding females.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究旨在评估虚弱对老年肺栓塞(PE)患者预后的影响。
    方法:使用全国住院患者样本数据库,从2017年至2019年,我们确定了288,070例年龄在65岁或以上的患者,这些患者主要诊断为PE.使用医院虚弱风险评分(HFRS)评估虚弱,患者被分类为低,中介-,和高危人群。使用多变量逻辑回归计算所有结果的调整后比值比。
    结果:这些患者被归类为低风险(57.6%,161420),中等风险(39.9%,111805),和高风险(2.5%,7075)组。高危患者,主要是有多种合并症的女性,表现出显著较高的死亡率和不良结局.HFRS在预测死亡率方面表现出良好的辨别能力(受试者工作特征曲线下面积=0.7796)。虚弱与高级治疗干预措施和重症监护资源如溶栓的使用增加有关。导管导向疗法,下腔静脉滤器放置,机械通气,血管加压药的使用,和重症监护室入院。
    结论:虚弱显著影响老年PE患者的预后。HFRS为该人群提供了有价值的预后工具,提示将虚弱评估纳入临床实践可以增强护理策略并改善患者预后.我们的发现强调了需要进一步研究以完善基于脆弱的护理范式。GeriatrGerontolInt2024;••:••-•。
    OBJECTIVE: This study aims to evaluate the impact of frailty on the outcomes of older patients with pulmonary embolism (PE).
    METHODS: Using the National Inpatient Sample database, we identified 288 070 patients aged 65 or older who were admitted with a primary diagnosis of PE from 2017 to 2019. Frailty was assessed using the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS), and patients were categorized into low-, intermediate-, and high-frailty-risk groups. Multivariate logistic regression was used to calculate adjusted odds ratios for all outcomes.
    RESULTS: These patients were categorized into low-risk (57.6%, 161 420), medium-risk (39.9%, 111 805), and high-risk (2.5%, 7075) groups. High-risk patients, predominantly females with multiple comorbidities, exhibited significantly higher mortality rates and adverse outcomes. The HFRS showed a good discriminating ability in predicting mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.7796). Frailty was associated with increased use of advanced therapeutic interventions and critical care resources such as thrombolysis, catheter-directed therapies, inferior vena cava filter placement, mechanical ventilation, vasopressor use, and intensive care unit admission.
    CONCLUSIONS: Frailty markedly affects outcomes in older PE patients. The HFRS offers a valuable prognostic tool in this population, suggesting that integrating frailty assessments into clinical practice could enhance care strategies and improve patient outcomes. Our findings underscore the need for further research to refine frailty-based care paradigms. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; ••: ••-••.
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