instrumental variables

工具变量
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:全基因组关联研究使孟德尔随机化分析能够以工业规模进行。双样本汇总数据孟德尔随机化分析可以由任何可以访问互联网的人使用公开可用的数据进行。虽然这导致了许多有洞察力的论文,它还推动了低质量的孟德尔随机化出版物的爆炸式增长,这有可能破坏整个方法的可信度。
    结果:我们在进行可靠的孟德尔随机化调查时详细介绍了五个陷阱:(1)不适当的研究问题,(2)不适当地选择变体作为工具,(三)调查结果询问不充分的,(4)对调查结果的不当解释,(5)缺乏对以前工作的参与。我们提供了进行孟德尔随机化调查时要考虑的要点的简短清单;这并不能取代以前的指导,但突出了批判性分析的选择。期刊编辑应该能够识别出许多低质量的论文,并在不需要同行评审的情况下拒绝论文。同行评审者应首先关注有效性的关键指标;如果一篇论文不满足这些要求,那么这篇论文可能毫无意义,即使它在技术上是完美的。
    结论:进行信息丰富的孟德尔随机化调查需要不同专业和研究领域之间的批判性思考和合作。
    BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies have enabled Mendelian randomization analyses to be performed at an industrial scale. Two-sample summary data Mendelian randomization analyses can be performed using publicly available data by anyone who has access to the internet. While this has led to many insightful papers, it has also fuelled an explosion of poor-quality Mendelian randomization publications, which threatens to undermine the credibility of the whole approach.
    RESULTS: We detail five pitfalls in conducting a reliable Mendelian randomization investigation: (1) inappropriate research question, (2) inappropriate choice of variants as instruments, (3) insufficient interrogation of findings, (4) inappropriate interpretation of findings, and (5) lack of engagement with previous work. We have provided a brief checklist of key points to consider when performing a Mendelian randomization investigation; this does not replace previous guidance, but highlights critical analysis choices. Journal editors should be able to identify many low-quality submissions and reject papers without requiring peer review. Peer reviewers should focus initially on key indicators of validity; if a paper does not satisfy these, then the paper may be meaningless even if it is technically flawless.
    CONCLUSIONS: Performing an informative Mendelian randomization investigation requires critical thought and collaboration between different specialties and fields of research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:观察性研究已经建立了肠道菌群与强直性脊柱炎(AS)风险之间的联系;然而,所观察到的关联是否是因果关系尚不清楚.因此,我们进行了双样本孟德尔随机化(MR)分析,以评估肠道微生物群与AS风险之间的潜在因果关系.
    方法:从MiBioGen联盟(n=18,340)和荷兰微生物组项目(n=7738)获得肠道微生物群的仪器变体。FinnGen联盟为AS提供了遗传关联汇总统计数据,包括2860例病例和270,964例对照。我们使用逆方差加权(IVW)方法作为主要分析,辅以加权中位数法,基于最大似然的方法,MR多效性残差和异常值测试,和MR-Egger回归。此外,我们进行了反向MR分析,以评估反向因果关系的可能性.
    结果:Bonferroni校正后,类拟杆菌属在统计学上与AS风险显著相关(比值比(OR)1.55,95%置信区间(CI)1.22-1.95,P=2.55×10-4)。还观察到11种细菌性状与AS风险相关的证据(IVWP<0.05)。其中,八种与升高的AS风险相关(OR1.37,95%CI1.07-1.74,P=0.011;OR1.31,95%CI1.03-1.65,P=0.026类;OR1.17,95%CI1.01-1.36,P=0.035单杆菌属1.65;OR1.31,95%CI1.03-1.65,P=0.035。三个性状与AS风险呈负相关(Dialister属的OR0.68,95%CI0.53-0.88,P=0.003;Howardella属的OR0.84,95%CI0.72-0.97,P=0.020;Orosillosspira属的OR0.75,95%CI0.59-0.97,P=0.026)。使用替代MR方法时,观察到一致的关联。在反向MR中,在AS和这些细菌性状之间没有检测到统计学上显著的相关性。
    结论:我们的结果揭示了几种肠道细菌性状与AS风险的关联,提示肠道菌群在AS发育中的潜在因果作用。然而,需要更多的研究来阐明这些细菌影响AS风险的机制.关键点•观察性研究中肠道微生物群与AS风险的关联尚不清楚。•该MR分析揭示了12种肠道细菌性状与AS风险的关联。
    OBJECTIVE: Observational studies have established a connection between gut microbiota and ankylosing spondylitis (AS) risk; however, whether the observed associations are causal remains unclear. Therefore, we conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to assess the potential causal associations of gut microbiota with AS risk.
    METHODS: Instrumental variants of gut microbiota were obtained from the MiBioGen consortium (n = 18,340) and the Dutch Microbiome Project (n = 7738). The FinnGen consortium provided genetic association summary statistics for AS, encompassing 2860 cases and 270,964 controls. We used the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method as the primary analysis, supplemented with the weighted median method, maximum likelihood-based method, MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier test, and MR-Egger regression. In addition, we conducted a reverse MR analysis to assess the likelihood of reverse causality.
    RESULTS: After the Bonferroni correction, species Bacteroides vulgatus remained statistically significantly associated with AS risk (odds ratio (OR) 1.55, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.22-1.95, P = 2.55 × 10-4). Suggestive evidence of associations of eleven bacterial traits with AS risk was also observed (P < 0.05 by IVW). Among them, eight were associated with an elevated AS risk (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.07-1.74, P = 0.011 for phylum Verrucomicrobia; OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.03-1.65, P = 0.026 for class Verrucomicrobiae; OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.01-1.36, P = 0.035 for order Bacillales; OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.03-1.65, P = 0.026 for order Verrucomicrobiales; OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.13-1.82, P = 0.003 for family Alcaligenaceae; OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.03-1.65, P = 0.026 for family Verrucomicrobiaceae; OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.03-1.65, P = 0.026 for genus Akkermansia; OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.19-2.02, P = 0.001 for species Sutterella wadsworthensis). Three traits exhibited a negative association with AS risk (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.53-0.88, P = 0.003 for genus Dialister; OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72-0.97, P = 0.020 for genus Howardella; OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.59-0.97, P = 0.026 for genus Oscillospira). Consistent associations were observed when employing alternate MR methods. In the reverse MR, no statistically significant correlations were detected between AS and these bacterial traits.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our results revealed the associations of several gut bacterial traits with AS risk, suggesting a potential causal role of gut microbiota in AS development. Nevertheless, additional research is required to clarify the mechanisms by which these bacteria influence AS risk. Key Points • The association of gut microbiota with AS risk in observational studies is unclear. • This MR analysis revealed associations of 12 gut bacterial traits with AS risk.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    先前的观察性研究暗示再生障碍性贫血(AA)与肠道微生物组之间存在潜在的相关性。然而,这种双向因果关系的确切性质仍然不确定。
    我们进行了双向双样本孟德尔随机化(MR)研究,以调查肠道微生物组和AA之间的潜在因果关系。肠道微生物组的统计分析基于MiBioGen联盟进行的广泛荟萃分析(全基因组关联研究)的数据,涉及18340个样本。AA的汇总统计数据来自综合流行病学单位数据库。使用逆方差加权(IVW)估计和总结单核苷酸多态性(SNPs),Egger先生,双向MR分析中的加权中位数方法。Cochran的Q测试,MREgger截距测试,和敏感性分析用于评估SNP异质性,水平多效性,和稳定性。
    IVW分析揭示了AA与10种细菌分类群之间的显着相关性。然而,目前没有足够的证据支持AA与肠道微生物组组成之间的因果关系.
    这项研究表明,特定肠道微生物组的患病率与AA之间存在因果关系。进一步调查特定细菌群落与AA之间的相互作用可以加强预防工作,监测,以及病情的治疗。
    UNASSIGNED: Previous observational studies have hinted at a potential correlation between aplastic anemia (AA) and the gut microbiome. However, the precise nature of this bidirectional causal relationship remains uncertain.
    UNASSIGNED: We conducted a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to investigate the potential causal link between the gut microbiome and AA. Statistical analysis of the gut microbiome was based on data from an extensive meta-analysis (genome-wide association study) conducted by the MiBioGen Alliance, involving 18,340 samples. Summary statistical data for AA were obtained from the Integrative Epidemiology Unit database. Single -nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were estimated and summarized using inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR Egger, and weighted median methods in the bidirectional MR analysis. Cochran\'s Q test, MR Egger intercept test, and sensitivity analysis were employed to assess SNP heterogeneity, horizontal pleiotropy, and stability.
    UNASSIGNED: The IVW analysis revealed a significant correlation between AA and 10 bacterial taxa. However, there is currently insufficient evidence to support a causal relationship between AA and the composition of gut microbiome.
    UNASSIGNED: This study suggests a causal connection between the prevalence of specific gut microbiome and AA. Further investigation into the interaction between particular bacterial communities and AA could enhance efforts in prevention, monitoring, and treatment of the condition.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项孟德尔随机化(MR)研究旨在探索10个不同身体部位的四种睡眠特征与疼痛之间的潜在因果关系。
    该研究利用了来自GWAS数据库的暴露和结果数据,采用逆方差加权法(IVW)进行主要因果估计。CochranQ和RückerQ异质性测试使用IVW和MR-Egger方法进行,使用Egger截获方法进行多效性测试,留一法敏感性分析,并计算F统计量,以评估弱仪器偏差的存在。
    这项研究表明,遗传预测的失眠会显著增加不明原因疼痛的风险,胸痛,牙龈疼痛,上腹痛,和下腹痛的发生。白天午睡与关节疼痛的可能性适度降低有关,但可能同时增加胸痛的风险。上腹痛,和全身腹痛。睡眠时间型和睡眠持续时间均未显示与疼痛感知的明确因果关系。
    这项研究阐明了10个不同身体部位的四种睡眠特征与疼痛之间的因果关系。总的来说,失眠和睡眠不足对身体多个部位疼痛的贡献更为明显。相反,充足的睡眠与躯体疼痛的可能性之间的关联相对较低,也较不显著。
    UNASSIGNED: This Mendelian Randomization (MR) study aims to explore the potential causal relationships between four sleep traits and pain in 10 different body sites.
    UNASSIGNED: The study utilizes exposure and outcome data from the GWAS database, employing the Inverse Variance Weighting Method (IVW) for primary causal estimates. Cochran Q and Rücker Q heterogeneity tests are conducted using IVW and MR-Egger methods, with the Egger-intercept method for pleiotropy testing, leave-one-out sensitivity analysis, and calculation of F-statistics to assess the presence of weak instrument bias.
    UNASSIGNED: The study reveals that genetically predicted insomnia significantly increases the risk of unspecified pain, chest pain, gum pain, upper abdominal pain, and lower abdominal pain occurrence. Daytime napping is associated with a moderate reduction in the likelihood of joint pain but may concomitantly elevate the risk of chest pain, upper abdominal pain, and generalized abdominal pain. Neither sleep chronotype nor sleep duration demonstrated a definitive causal relationship with pain perception.
    UNASSIGNED: This study elucidates the causal relationships between four sleep characteristics and pain across 10 different body regions. Overall, the contribution of insomnia and sleep deficiency to pain in multiple body regions is more pronounced. Conversely, the association between adequate sleep and the likelihood of somatic pain is relatively lower and less significant.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:胃食管反流病(GERD)和颞下颌关节紊乱(TMD)是相对常见的疾病,具有潜在的因果关系。本研究旨在通过双向孟德尔随机化分析探讨GERD与TMD之间可能的因果关系。
    方法:使用来自大型GWAS数据库的数据,我们进行了双向孟德尔随机化分析,以研究GERD和TMD之间的潜在因果关系.从IEU平台选择工具变量,包括来自英国生物库的129,080例GERD病例和473,524例对照。FinnGen项目的TMD数据包括6,314例病例和222,498例对照。
    结果:前向MR分析提示GERD可能增加TMD的风险(OR=1.47,95%CI:1.20-1.81,P=2e-4)。加权中值方法也产生了显著的结果(OR=1.53,95%CI:1.14-2.04,P=4.1e-3)。然而,反向MR分析未显示TMD与GERD之间存在显著关联(OR=1.02,95%CI:0.98-1.05,P=.33).
    结论:这项研究,采用MR分析,提供了支持GERD和TMD之间潜在因果关系的初步证据。这些发现有助于更好地理解这两种情况之间的关系,并为未来的临床研究提供见解。
    结论:本研究结果对指导GERD的早期治疗策略具有潜在的临床意义。减少TMD的发病率,优化医疗资源配置,从而提高患者的生活质量。需要进一步的临床研究来验证这些发现并探索潜在的机制。
    OBJECTIVE: Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and temporomandibular joint disorder (TMD) are relatively common conditions with a potential causal relationship. This study aims to investigate the possible causal relationship between GERD and TMD through bidirectional Mendelian randomization analysis.
    METHODS: Using data from large GWAS databases, we conducted bidirectional Mendelian randomization analyses to investigate the potential causal link between GERD and TMD. Instrumental variables were selected from the IEU platform, comprising 129,080 GERD cases and 473,524 controls from the UK Biobank. TMD data from the FinnGen project included 6,314 cases and 222,498 controls.
    RESULTS: The forward MR analysis suggested that GERD may increase the risk of TMD (OR = 1.47, 95% CI: 1.20-1.81, P = 2e-4). The Weighted Median method also yielded significant results (OR = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.14-2.04, P = 4.1e-3). However, the reverse MR analysis did not reveal a significant association between TMD and GERD (OR = 1.02, 95% CI: 0.98-1.05, P = .33).
    CONCLUSIONS: This study, employing MR analysis, provides initial evidence supporting a potential causal relationship between GERD and TMD. The findings contribute to a better understanding of the relationship between these two conditions and offer insights for future clinical investigations.
    CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study hold potential clinical significance in guiding early management strategies for GERD, reducing the incidence of TMD, and optimizing healthcare resource allocation, thereby improving patient quality of life. Further clinical studies are warranted to validate these findings and explore underlying mechanisms.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    多变量孟德尔随机化允许同时估计多个暴露变量对结果的直接因果影响。当感兴趣的暴露变量是定量的组学特征时,获得完整的数据可能在经济和技术上都具有挑战性:测量成本很高,并且测量装置可以具有固有的检测极限。在本文中,在单样本多变量孟德尔随机化分析中,我们提出了一种有效且有效的方法来处理暴露变量的未测量和不可检测值。我们使用最大似然估计来估计直接因果效应,并开发了一种期望最大化算法来计算估计器。我们通过模拟研究展示了所提出方法的优势,并为西班牙裔社区健康研究/拉丁美洲人研究提供了应用,其中有大量未测量的暴露数据。
    Multivariable Mendelian randomization allows simultaneous estimation of direct causal effects of multiple exposure variables on an outcome. When the exposure variables of interest are quantitative omic features, obtaining complete data can be economically and technically challenging: the measurement cost is high, and the measurement devices may have inherent detection limits. In this paper, we propose a valid and efficient method to handle unmeasured and undetectable values of the exposure variables in a one-sample multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis with individual-level data. We estimate the direct causal effects with maximum likelihood estimation and develop an expectation-maximization algorithm to compute the estimators. We show the advantages of the proposed method through simulation studies and provide an application to the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos, which has a large amount of unmeasured exposure data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:PM2.5可诱发和加重心血管疾病的发生和发展。我们研究的目的是使用工具变量(IVs)方法估计PM2.5对与CVD相关的死亡率的因果影响。
    方法:我们提取了每日气象,滨州市2016-2020年PM2.5和CVD死亡数据。随后,我们采用了一般加法模型(GAM),两阶段预测因子替换(2SPS),和控制功能(CFN)分析PM2.5与每日CVD死亡率之间的关系。
    结果:2SPS估计PM2.5与每日CVD死亡率之间的关联为1.14%(95%CI:1.04%,1.14%),PM2.5每增加10µg/m3。同时,CFN估计这一关联为1.05%(95%CI:1.02%,1.10%)。GAM估计为0.85%(95%CI:0.77%,1.05%)。PM2.5对缺血性心脏病患者的死亡率也表现出统计学上的显着影响,心肌梗塞,或脑血管意外(P<0.05)。然而,PM2.5与高血压之间没有显著关联.
    结论:PM2.5与每日CVD死亡(不包括高血压)显著相关。IV方法的估计值略高于GAM。先前基于GAM的研究可能低估了PM2.5对CVD的影响。
    BACKGROUND: PM2.5 can induce and aggravate the occurrence and development of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). The objective of our study is to estimate the causal effect of PM2.5 on mortality rates associated with CVDs using the instrumental variables (IVs) method.
    METHODS: We extracted daily meteorological, PM2.5 and CVDs death data from 2016 to 2020 in Binzhou. Subsequently, we employed the general additive model (GAM), two-stage predictor substitution (2SPS), and control function (CFN) to analyze the association between PM2.5 and daily CVDs mortality.
    RESULTS: The 2SPS estimated the association between PM2.5 and daily CVDs mortality as 1.14% (95% CI: 1.04%, 1.14%) for every 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5. Meanwhile, the CFN estimated this association to be 1.05% (95% CI: 1.02%, 1.10%). The GAM estimated it as 0.85% (95% CI: 0.77%, 1.05%). PM2.5 also exhibited a statistically significant effect on the mortality rate of patients with ischaemic heart disease, myocardial infarction, or cerebrovascular accidents (P < 0.05). However, no significant association was observed between PM2.5 and hypertension.
    CONCLUSIONS: PM2.5 was significantly associated with daily CVDs deaths (excluding hypertension). The estimates from the IVs method were slightly higher than those from the GAM. Previous studies based on GAM may have underestimated the impact of PM2.5 on CVDs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    当辅助变量与误差项相关时,就会出现内生性问题。在这种情况下,适当的工具变量确保有效的估计。校准已将自己视为大规模估算调查抽样中人口总数的重要方法工具。在存在内生性的情况下,这并不能提供有效的估计。当辅助变量中存在内生性时,由于不适当的模型假设,使用内生辅助变量的校准可能会产生偏差并增加方差。在这篇文章中,我们通过使用经典的工具变量方法来提出工具变量校准估计器,用于精确识别的情况,当一些辅助变量是内生的时,这种方法比传统的校准估计器更有效。给出了所提出的估计量的必要性质。我们的研究得到了模拟研究和真实数据示例的支持,以检查所提出的估计器的性能。
    The endogeneity problem arises when the auxiliary variables correlate to the error terms. In such cases, appropriate instrumental variables ensure efficient estimation. Calibration has recognized itself as an important methodological tool at a large scale to estimate the population total in survey sampling. Which does not offer efficient estimation in the presence of endogeneity. When endogeneity is present in the auxiliary variables, the calibration using endogenous auxiliary variables may produce biasedness and increase variance due to inappropriate model assumptions. In this article, we propose instrumental-variable calibrated estimators by using the classical instrumental-variables approach for the case of exact identification that are more efficient than conventional calibration estimators when some auxiliary variables are endogenous. The necessary properties of the proposed estimators are presented. Our study is backed by both the simulation study and a real data example to check the performance of the proposed estimators.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    孟德尔随机化(MR)提供了对暴露对结果的因果影响的有价值的评估,然而,应用常规MR方法定位风险基因面临新的挑战。问题之一是表达数量性状基因座(eQTL)作为工具变量(IV)的可用性有限,阻碍了对稀疏因果效应的估计。此外,通常的上下文或组织特异性eQTL效应挑战了在eQTL和GWAS数据中一致的IV效应的MR假设。为了应对这些挑战,我们提出了一个多上下文多变量综合MR框架,mintMR,用于将表达和分子性状定位为联合暴露。它模拟了每个基因区域中多个组织的分子暴露的影响,同时估计多个基因区域。它使用eQTL,在一种以上的组织类型中具有一致的效果作为IV,提高IV的一致性。mintMR的主要创新涉及采用多视图学习方法来共同模拟跨多个组织的疾病相关性的潜在指标,分子性状,和基因区域。多视图学习捕获疾病相关性的主要模式并使用这些模式来更新估计的组织相关性概率。拟议的mintMR在对每个基因区域执行多组织MR和联合学习跨基因区域的疾病相关组织概率之间进行迭代。改进了对跨基因稀疏效应的估计。我们应用mintMR评估35个复杂性状的基因表达和DNA甲基化的因果效应使用多组织QTL作为IVs。拟议的mintMR控制全基因组膨胀,并提供对疾病机制的见解。
    Mendelian randomization (MR) provides valuable assessments of the causal effect of exposure on outcome, yet the application of conventional MR methods for mapping risk genes encounters new challenges. One of the issues is the limited availability of expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) as instrumental variables (IVs), hampering the estimation of sparse causal effects. Additionally, the often context- or tissue-specific eQTL effects challenge the MR assumption of consistent IV effects across eQTL and GWAS data. To address these challenges, we propose a multi-context multivariable integrative MR framework, mintMR, for mapping expression and molecular traits as joint exposures. It models the effects of molecular exposures across multiple tissues in each gene region, while simultaneously estimating across multiple gene regions. It uses eQTLs with consistent effects across more than one tissue type as IVs, improving IV consistency. A major innovation of mintMR involves employing multi-view learning methods to collectively model latent indicators of disease relevance across multiple tissues, molecular traits, and gene regions. The multi-view learning captures the major patterns of disease relevance and uses these patterns to update the estimated tissue relevance probabilities. The proposed mintMR iterates between performing a multi-tissue MR for each gene region and joint learning the disease-relevant tissue probabilities across gene regions, improving the estimation of sparse effects across genes. We apply mintMR to evaluate the causal effects of gene expression and DNA methylation for 35 complex traits using multi-tissue QTLs as IVs. The proposed mintMR controls genome-wide inflation and offers insights into disease mechanisms.
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