the global burden of disease

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的目的是评估1990年至2019年由碘缺乏引起的发育和智力障碍的全球疾病负担。
    使用来自2019年全球疾病负担(GBD)的数据,我们进行了一项跨国不平等分析,以检查1990年至2019年碘缺乏问题造成的全球发育和智力障碍负担。绝对不等式和相对不等式分别通过斜率指数和集中度指数进行评估,分别。在总结了最新的证据之后,我们还使用R统计软件中的BAPC和INLA软件包预测了截至2030年的年龄标准化患病率和残疾年龄(YLD)率.
    2019年,全球因碘缺乏而导致的发育和智力障碍的年龄标准化患病率和YLD率为每100,000人口22.54(95%UI14.47至29.23)和每100,000人口4.12(95%UI2.25至6.4)。分别。从1990年到2019年,由于碘缺乏导致的发育和智力障碍的年龄标准化患病率和YLD比率显着下降。地理分布表明,社会人口指数(SDI)较低的地区受影响最大。较高的SDI和较低的患病率之间的相关性突出了经济和社会因素在该疾病患病率中的作用。跨国不平等分析表明,尽管健康不平等有所改善,但差距仍然存在。此外,预测表明,疾病负担可能会下降到2030年。
    这项研究强调了有针对性干预措施的必要性,例如加强补充碘和营养教育,特别是在SDI较低的地区。我们的目标是为政策制定者进一步研究有效的预防和潜在的替代治疗策略提供基础。
    UNASSIGNED: The objective of this study was to assess the global burden of disease for developmental and intellectual disabilities caused by iodine deficiency from 1990 to 2019.
    UNASSIGNED: Using data from the global burden of disease (GBD) 2019, we conducted a cross-country inequity analysis to examine the worldwide burden of developmental and intellectual disabilities caused by the issue of iodine deficiency from 1990 to 2019. Absolute and relative inequality were assessed by the slope index of inequality and the concentration index, respectively. After summarising the latest evidence, we also projected the age-standardized prevalence and years lived with disability (YLD) rates up to 2030 using the BAPC and INLA packages in R statistical software.
    UNASSIGNED: In 2019, the global age-standardized prevalence and YLD rates for developmental and intellectual disabilities due to iodine deficiency were 22.54 per 100,000 population (95% UI 14.47 to 29.23) and 4.12 per 100,000 population (95% UI 2.25 to 6.4), respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized prevalence and YLD rates of developmental and intellectual disabilities due to iodine deficiency decreased significantly. Geographic distribution showed that areas with lower socio-demographic indices (SDI) were the most affected. The correlation between higher SDI and lower prevalence highlights the role of economic and social factors in the prevalence of the disease. Cross-national inequity analysis shows that disparities persist despite improvements in health inequalities. In addition, projections suggest that the disease burden may decline until 2030.
    UNASSIGNED: This research underscores the necessity for targeted interventions, such as enhancing iodine supplementation and nutritional education, especially in areas with lower SDI. We aim to provide a foundation for policymakers further to research effective preventative and potential alternative treatment strategies.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    估计死亡率,和残疾调整生命年(DALYs),并预测中国20-49岁青壮年缺血性卒中相关危险因素的疾病负担。来自全球疾病负担的数据,受伤,并使用2019年风险因素研究(GBD)。年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR),年龄标准化DALYs比率(ASDR),并计算了估计的年度百分比变化(EAPC),以评估1990年至2019年的时间趋势。我们还使用NORDPRED模型预测未来10年中国年轻人缺血性卒中相关危险因素的ASMR。从1990年到2019年,中国年轻人缺血性卒中的一般年龄标准化死亡率[从1990年的2.39(1.97至2.99)下降到2019年的1.8(1.41至2.18),EAPC=-1.23]和DALYs率(从1990年的171.7(140.34至212.36)下降到2019年的144.4(114.29至177.37),EAPC=-0.86)。ASMR和ASDR在所有1级危险因素(包括行为,环境/职业,和代谢)从1990年到2019年,代谢风险略有下降[ASMR从1990年的1.86(1.39至2.41)下降到2019年的1.53(1.15至1.92),ASDR从1990年的133.68(99.96至173.89)下降到123.54(2019年的92.96至156.98)],环境/职业风险下降最大[ASMR从1990年1.57(1.26至1.总的来说,身体质量指数高,红肉摄入量高,和环境颗粒物污染导致1990年至2019年ASMR和ASDR大幅增加。在低蔬菜摄入量中观察到ASMR和ASDR显著减少,固体燃料造成的家庭空气污染,铅暴露,和低纤维摄入量。此外,可归因于缺血性卒中风险的ASMR排序存在性别差异.我国青壮年缺血性卒中相关危险因素的疾病负担较大,且男性较女性有较快的增长趋势或较慢的下降趋势(二手烟除外)。ASMR的明显增加趋势归因于高空腹血糖,高收缩压,身体质量指数高,在男性中观察到较高的红肉摄入量,而在女性中没有。预测分析显示,在1990年至2030年间,男性所有特定代谢风险的ASMR呈增加趋势,但女性的下降趋势。从1990年到2030年,男性和女性的环境颗粒物污染引起的ASMR呈增长趋势。从1990年到2019年,中国青年缺血性卒中负担呈下降趋势。与缺血性卒中负担相关的特定风险因素因性别而异。我国需要制定相应的措施来降低青壮年缺血性脑卒中的疾病负担。
    To estimate the rate of death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and project the disease burden of ischemic stroke due to relevant risk factors in young adults age 20-49 years by sex in China. Data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 were used. The age-standardized mortality (ASMR), age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR), and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) were calculated to evaluate the temporal trends from 1990 to 2019. We also used the NORDPRED model to predict ASMR for ischemic stroke due to related risk factors in Chinese young adults over the next 10 years. From 1990 to 2019, the general age-standardized mortality [from 2.39 (1.97 to 2.99) in 1990 to 1.8 (1.41 to 2.18) in 2019, EAPC = - 1.23] and DALYs rates (from 171.7 (140.34 to 212.36) in 1990 to 144.4 (114.29 to 177.37) in 2019, EAPC = - 0.86) decreased for ischemic stroke in young adults in China. ASMR and ASDR decreased for all level 1 risk factors (including behavioral, environmental/occupational, and metabolic) from 1990 to 2019, with the slightest decrease for metabolic risks [ASMR from 1.86 (1.39 to 2.41) in 1990 to 1.53 (1.15 to 1.92) in 2019, ASDR from 133.68 (99.96 to 173.89) in 1990 to 123.54 (92.96 to 156.98) in 2019] and the largest decrease for environmental/occupational risks [ASMR from 1.57 (1.26 to 1.98) in 1990 to 1.03 (0.78 to 1.29) in 2019, ASDR from 110.91 (88.44 to 138.34) in 1990 to 80.03 (61.87 to 100.33) in 2019]. In general, high body-mass index, high red meat intake, and ambient particulate matter pollution contributed to the large increase in ASMR and ASDR between 1990 and 2019. Significant reductions in ASMR and ASDR were observed in low vegetables intake, household air pollution from solid fuels, lead exposure, and low fiber intake. In addition, there were sex differences in the ranking of ASMR attributable to risks in ischemic stroke. The disease burden of ischemic stroke attributable to relevant risk factors in young adults in China is greater and has a faster growth trend or a slower decline trend in males than in females (except for secondhand smoke). The apparent increasing trend of ASMR attributable to high fasting plasma glucose, high systolic blood pressure, high body-mass index, and high red meat intake was observed in males but not in females. The projected analysis showed an increasing trend in ASMR between 1990 and 2030 for all specific metabolic risks for males, but a decreasing trend for females. ASMR attributable to ambient particulate matter pollution showed an increasing trend from 1990 to 2030 for both males and females. The burden of ischemic stroke in young adults in China showed a downward trend from 1990 to 2019. Specific risk factors associated with the burden of ischemic stroke varied between the sexes. Corresponding measures need to be developed in China to reduce the disease burden of ischemic stroke among young adults.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经证实:低体力活动(LPA)与几种主要的非传染性疾病(NCD)和过早死亡有关。在这项研究中,我们旨在评估1990年至2019年LPA(DALPA)引起的全球疾病负担和趋势.
    未经评估:DALPA的年年龄标准化残疾调整寿命年(DALYs)和死亡率[全因和五个特定原因(缺血性心脏病,糖尿病,中风,结肠癌和直肠癌,和乳腺癌)]按性别划分,年龄,1990年至2019年的地理区域和社会剥夺指数(SDI)评分可从2019年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究获得.计算估计的年度百分比变化(EAPC)以量化变化趋势。使用广义线性模型(GLM)探讨DALYs/DALPA死亡率与社会人口统计学因素之间的关系。
    未经评估:全球,2019年,DALPA的年龄标准化DALY和死亡率分别为198.42/100,000(95%UI:108.16/100,000-360.32/100,000)和11.10/100,000(95%UI:5.66/100,000-19.51/100,000),分别。LPA导致1574万(8.51-28.61)DALYs和83万(0.43-1.47)例死亡。总的来说,从1990年到2019年,年龄标准化的DALYs和死亡率呈现显著下降趋势,EAPCs[DALYs为-0.68%(95%CI:-0.85--0.50%),死亡为-1.00%(95%CI:-1.13--0.86%)].然而,年龄标准化的DALY和由LPA引起的糖尿病的死亡率显著增加[EAPC:DALY为0.76%(95%CI:0.70-0.82%),死亡为0.33%(95%CI:0.21-0.51%)].在15-49岁年龄段,DALPA呈现显著上升趋势[EAPC:DALYs为0.74%(95%CI:0.58-0.91%),死亡为0.31%(95%CI:0.1-0.51%)]。GLM显示,较高的国内生产总值和当前的卫生支出(占GDP的百分比)与DALPA的DALY和死亡率呈负相关。
    未经评估:尽管全球年龄标准化的DALYs和DALPA的死亡率呈下降趋势,它们仍然在世界范围内造成沉重的负担。这些比率在糖尿病和15-49岁年龄组中呈上升趋势,这需要更多的关注和健康干预。
    Low physical activity (LPA) is associated with several major non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and premature mortality. In this study, we aimed to assess the global burden and trends in disease attributable to LPA (DALPA) from 1990 to 2019.
    Annual age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and death rates of DALPA [all-cause and five specific causes (ischaemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus, stroke, colon and rectal cancer, and breast cancer)] by sex, age, geographical region and social deprivation index (SDI) score from 1990 to 2019 were available from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to quantify the changing trend. A generalized linear model (GLM) was used to explore the relationship between DALYs/death rates of DALPA and sociodemographic factors.
    Globally, in 2019, the age-standardized DALYs and death rates of DALPA were 198.42/100,000 (95% UI: 108.16/100,000-360.32/100,000) and 11.10/100,000 (95% UI: 5.66/100,000-19.51/100,000), respectively. There were 15.74 million (8.51-28.61) DALYs and 0.83 million (0.43-1.47) deaths attributable to LPA. Overall, age-standardized DALYs and death rates presented significant downward trends with EAPCs [-0.68% (95% CI: -0.85- -0.50%) for DALYs and -1.00% (95% CI: -1.13- -0.86%) for deaths] from 1990 to 2019. However, age-standardized DALYs and death rates of diabetes mellitus attributable to LPA were substantially increased [EAPC: 0.76% (95% CI: 0.70-0.82%) for DALYs and 0.33% (95% CI: 0.21-0.51%) for deaths]. In the 15-49 age group, DALPA presented significant upward trends [EAPC: 0.74% (95% CI: 0.58-0.91%) for DALYs and 0.31% (95% CI: 0.1-0.51%) for deaths]. The GLM revealed that higher gross domestic product and current health expenditure (% of GDP) were negatively associated with DALYs and death rates of DALPA.
    Although global age-standardized DALYs and death rates of DALPA presented downward trends, they still cause a heavy burden worldwide. These rates showed upward trends in the diabetic and 15-49 age groups, which need more attention and health interventions.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Depression is the most common mental illness worldwide. It has become an important public health problem. This study aimed to determine the global burden of depression and how it has changed between 1990 and 2017.
    We used information on depression obtained by the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study from 1990 to 2017. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) were used to assess the global burden of depression.
    The number of incident cases of depression worldwide increased from 172 million in 1990 to 25,8 million in 2017, representing an increase of 49.86%. The ASR of depression varied widely between the 195 analyzed countries and regions in 2017, being highest in Lesotho (6.59 per 1000) and lowest in Myanmar (1.28 per 1000). The ASR increased the most between 1990 and 2017 in Belgium (EAPC = 0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.78 to 0.97), and decreased the most in Cuba (EAPC = -1.26, 95% CI = -1.36 to -1.14). The ASR increased in regions with a high sociodemographic index, such as high-income North America (EAPC = 0.41, 95% CI = 0.31 to 0.51), and decreased significantly in South Asia (EAPC = -0.63, 95% CI = -0.85 to -0.41). The proportions of the population with major depressive disorder and dysthymia were essentially stable both globally and in various countries, with a much larger proportion having major depressive disorder.
    Depression remains a major public health issue, and governments should support the research necessary to develop better prevention and treatment interventions.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Sci-hub)

公众号