the global burden of disease

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经证实:低体力活动(LPA)与几种主要的非传染性疾病(NCD)和过早死亡有关。在这项研究中,我们旨在评估1990年至2019年LPA(DALPA)引起的全球疾病负担和趋势.
    未经评估:DALPA的年年龄标准化残疾调整寿命年(DALYs)和死亡率[全因和五个特定原因(缺血性心脏病,糖尿病,中风,结肠癌和直肠癌,和乳腺癌)]按性别划分,年龄,1990年至2019年的地理区域和社会剥夺指数(SDI)评分可从2019年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究获得.计算估计的年度百分比变化(EAPC)以量化变化趋势。使用广义线性模型(GLM)探讨DALYs/DALPA死亡率与社会人口统计学因素之间的关系。
    未经评估:全球,2019年,DALPA的年龄标准化DALY和死亡率分别为198.42/100,000(95%UI:108.16/100,000-360.32/100,000)和11.10/100,000(95%UI:5.66/100,000-19.51/100,000),分别。LPA导致1574万(8.51-28.61)DALYs和83万(0.43-1.47)例死亡。总的来说,从1990年到2019年,年龄标准化的DALYs和死亡率呈现显著下降趋势,EAPCs[DALYs为-0.68%(95%CI:-0.85--0.50%),死亡为-1.00%(95%CI:-1.13--0.86%)].然而,年龄标准化的DALY和由LPA引起的糖尿病的死亡率显著增加[EAPC:DALY为0.76%(95%CI:0.70-0.82%),死亡为0.33%(95%CI:0.21-0.51%)].在15-49岁年龄段,DALPA呈现显著上升趋势[EAPC:DALYs为0.74%(95%CI:0.58-0.91%),死亡为0.31%(95%CI:0.1-0.51%)]。GLM显示,较高的国内生产总值和当前的卫生支出(占GDP的百分比)与DALPA的DALY和死亡率呈负相关。
    未经评估:尽管全球年龄标准化的DALYs和DALPA的死亡率呈下降趋势,它们仍然在世界范围内造成沉重的负担。这些比率在糖尿病和15-49岁年龄组中呈上升趋势,这需要更多的关注和健康干预。
    Low physical activity (LPA) is associated with several major non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and premature mortality. In this study, we aimed to assess the global burden and trends in disease attributable to LPA (DALPA) from 1990 to 2019.
    Annual age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and death rates of DALPA [all-cause and five specific causes (ischaemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus, stroke, colon and rectal cancer, and breast cancer)] by sex, age, geographical region and social deprivation index (SDI) score from 1990 to 2019 were available from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to quantify the changing trend. A generalized linear model (GLM) was used to explore the relationship between DALYs/death rates of DALPA and sociodemographic factors.
    Globally, in 2019, the age-standardized DALYs and death rates of DALPA were 198.42/100,000 (95% UI: 108.16/100,000-360.32/100,000) and 11.10/100,000 (95% UI: 5.66/100,000-19.51/100,000), respectively. There were 15.74 million (8.51-28.61) DALYs and 0.83 million (0.43-1.47) deaths attributable to LPA. Overall, age-standardized DALYs and death rates presented significant downward trends with EAPCs [-0.68% (95% CI: -0.85- -0.50%) for DALYs and -1.00% (95% CI: -1.13- -0.86%) for deaths] from 1990 to 2019. However, age-standardized DALYs and death rates of diabetes mellitus attributable to LPA were substantially increased [EAPC: 0.76% (95% CI: 0.70-0.82%) for DALYs and 0.33% (95% CI: 0.21-0.51%) for deaths]. In the 15-49 age group, DALPA presented significant upward trends [EAPC: 0.74% (95% CI: 0.58-0.91%) for DALYs and 0.31% (95% CI: 0.1-0.51%) for deaths]. The GLM revealed that higher gross domestic product and current health expenditure (% of GDP) were negatively associated with DALYs and death rates of DALPA.
    Although global age-standardized DALYs and death rates of DALPA presented downward trends, they still cause a heavy burden worldwide. These rates showed upward trends in the diabetic and 15-49 age groups, which need more attention and health interventions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    西太平洋地区的人口正在迅速老龄化。营养缺乏在老年人中普遍存在;然而,有关该人群营养缺乏的信息很少。使用2019年全球疾病负担(GBD)结果,在1990年至2019年期间,对该人群进行了年龄标准化的残疾调整生命年(DALYs)和因营养缺乏导致残疾而失去的健康生命年(YLDs)的估算.平均年度百分比变化(AAPC)用于评估时间趋势,线性混合效应模型被用来检验社会经济和性别不平等。从1990年到2019年,该人群中营养缺乏的年龄标准化DALYs从697.95降至290.95/100,000,年龄标准化YLDs从459.03降至195.65/100,000,其中下降幅度最大的是韩国(AAPC<-5.0)。汤加的DALYs下降最少(AAPC=-0.8),而斐济的YLDs增加(AAPC=0.1)。女性和较低的社会人口统计学指数得分与较高的年龄标准化DALYs和YLDs显着相关。老年人营养缺乏负担的规模和时间趋势因国家和性别而异。这表明针对老年人营养缺乏的卫生政策必须因地制宜。
    The population in the Western Pacific region is aging rapidly. Nutritional deficiency is prevalent in older adults; however, information regarding nutritional deficiency in this population is scarce. Using the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) results, the age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and years of healthy life lost due to disability (YLDs) from nutritional deficiency were estimated between 1990 and 2019 for this population. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used to assess temporal trends, and linear mixed-effects models were used to examine socioeconomic and sex inequalities. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized DALYs of nutritional deficiency in this population decreased from 697.95 to 290.95 per 100,000, and their age-standardized YLDs decreased from 459.03 to 195.65 per 100,000, with the greatest declines seen in South Korea (AAPCs < -5.0). Tonga had the least decline in DALYs (AAPC = -0.8), whereas Fiji experienced an increase in YLDs (AAPC = 0.1). Being female and having a lower sociodemographic index score was significantly associated with higher age-standardized DALYs and YLDs. The magnitude and temporal trends of the nutritional deficiency burden among older adults varied across countries and sex in the region, indicating that health policies on nutritional deficiency among older adults must be crafted to local conditions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Anxiety disorders are the second leading mental health-related cause of disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and years lived with disability (YLDs) worldwide. This study aimed to quantitatively assess the burden of anxiety disorders at the global, regional, and national levels in 1990 and 2019 and the trends over this period.
    METHODS: We used data for incidence cases, DALYs, age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) from Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) and calculated the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) to assess the incidence rate and DALYs rate trends for anxiety disorders.
    RESULTS: The incidence cases of anxiety disorders increased by 47.19%, from 31.13 million in 1990 to 45.82 million in 2019, and DALYs increased by 53.70%, from 18.66 million in 1990 to 28.68 million in 2019. Over the past 29 years, the changes of ASIR and ASDR worldwide were stable (EAPC = 0.011 and -0.001, respectively). Women were more likely to experience anxiety disorders. Participants aged 10-14 had the highest incidence rate, followed by those aged 35-44. Those aged 15-19 and 40-44 had the highest estimated DALYs rate. The ASIR and ASDR were estimated to be the highest in Iran and Portugal, and Portugal and Brazil, respectively. Both of ASIR and ASDR were high in high- sociodemographic index regions in 2019.
    CONCLUSIONS: Further exploration of related risk factors needs to be analyzed in the future studies.
    CONCLUSIONS: Compared with 1990, the absolute increase in incidence cases and DALYs of anxiety disorders in 2019 still remained high. Our findings contribute to the formulation of health policies for controlling and preventing anxiety disorders in different countries and regions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Depression is the most common mental illness worldwide. It has become an important public health problem. This study aimed to determine the global burden of depression and how it has changed between 1990 and 2017.
    We used information on depression obtained by the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study from 1990 to 2017. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) were used to assess the global burden of depression.
    The number of incident cases of depression worldwide increased from 172 million in 1990 to 25,8 million in 2017, representing an increase of 49.86%. The ASR of depression varied widely between the 195 analyzed countries and regions in 2017, being highest in Lesotho (6.59 per 1000) and lowest in Myanmar (1.28 per 1000). The ASR increased the most between 1990 and 2017 in Belgium (EAPC = 0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.78 to 0.97), and decreased the most in Cuba (EAPC = -1.26, 95% CI = -1.36 to -1.14). The ASR increased in regions with a high sociodemographic index, such as high-income North America (EAPC = 0.41, 95% CI = 0.31 to 0.51), and decreased significantly in South Asia (EAPC = -0.63, 95% CI = -0.85 to -0.41). The proportions of the population with major depressive disorder and dysthymia were essentially stable both globally and in various countries, with a much larger proportion having major depressive disorder.
    Depression remains a major public health issue, and governments should support the research necessary to develop better prevention and treatment interventions.
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