receiver operating characteristic curve

接收机工作特性曲线
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:减少健康差距是一个公共卫生问题。识别低健康兴趣人群很重要,但是对健康兴趣低的人的定义尚未建立。我们旨在定量定义低健康兴趣人群。
    方法:2022年进行了全国性的横断面互联网调查。我们编制了有/没有年龄调整的回归树(RT)分析,性别,和社会经济地位与12项健康兴趣量表(IHS,得分范围12-48)作为解释变量,10个复合健康行为作为因变量。我们将根节点的第一个IHS分支条件定义为较低健康兴趣组,将具有最低健康行为的终端节点定义为最低健康兴趣组。
    结果:22,263名被分析参与者的平均IHS值为32.1±5.6;女性和45岁以上的人的平均IHS值更高,受过高等教育,高收入,或配偶。在调整协变量之前/之后,第一个分支条件是IHS31.5,末端节点在24.5分支。
    结论:我们确定IHS的临界值为健康兴趣较低的组<32,健康兴趣最低的组<25。使用这些截止值可能使我们能够揭示低健康兴趣人群的特征。
    BACKGROUND: Reducing health disparities is a public health issue. Identification of low-health-interest populations is important, but a definition of people with low health interest has not yet been established. We aimed to quantitatively define low-health-interest populations.
    METHODS: A nationwide cross-sectional internet survey was conducted in 2022. We compiled regression tree (RT) analyses with/without adjustment for age, sex, and socioeconomic status with the 12-item Interest in Health Scale (IHS, score range 12-48) as an explanatory variable and the 10 composite health behaviors as a dependent variable. We defined the first IHS branching condition from the root node as a lower-health-interest group and the terminal node with the lowest health behaviors as the lowest-health-interest group.
    RESULTS: The mean IHS value of 22,263 analyzed participants was 32.1 ± 5.6; it was higher in females and in those who were aged over 45 years, had a high education, a high income, or a spouse. The first branching condition was IHS 31.5, and the terminal node branched at 24.5, before/after adjustment for covariates.
    CONCLUSIONS: We determined the cutoff values of the IHS as <32 for a lower-health-interest group and <25 for the lowest-health-interest group. Using these cutoffs might enable us to reveal the characteristics of low-health-interest populations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:小儿肺动脉高压(PH)的特征是平均肺动脉压超过20mmHg。关于基于成人的方法在儿科人群中估计PH的适用性的研究有限。使用既定的成人配方,这项研究旨在评估超声心动图对收缩压的估计之间的相关性,舒张压,和平均肺动脉压,先天性心脏病(CHD)儿童的平均右心房压。
    方法:进行了一项前瞻性研究,涉及冠心病患儿在没有进行心脏手术的情况下接受心导管检查。我们使用超声心动图来估计肺和右心房压力,并将其与侵入性测量值进行比较。开发了四个可靠的回归方程来估计收缩压,舒张压,和平均肺动脉压,和平均右心房压力。确定截止值以预测PH的发生。线性回归,Bland-Altman分析,和受试者工作特征曲线分析用于评估超声心动图的准确性并建立PH的诊断阈值。
    结果:该研究涉及55名1至192个月的非紫花苜蓿CHD儿童(23名肺动脉压正常,32名PH正常)。开发了四个方程来检测高肺动脉压,收缩期肺动脉压的临界值为32.9,14.95肺动脉舒张压,平均肺动脉压20.7。结果显示出高灵敏度和中等特异性,但在较高压力下倾向于低估收缩压和平均肺动脉压。
    结论:该研究为使用成人超声心动图公式评估儿童非紫花苜蓿性CHD患者的PH提供了有价值的见解。
    BACKGROUND: Pediatric pulmonary hypertension (PH) is characterized by a mean pulmonary arterial pressure exceeding 20 mmHg. There is limited research on the suitability of adult-based methods for estimating PH in pediatric populations. Using established formulas for adults, this study aimed to evaluate the correlation between echocardiographic estimates of systolic, diastolic, and mean pulmonary arterial pressures, and mean right atrial pressures in children with congenital heart disease (CHD).
    METHODS: A prospective study was conducted involving children with CHD undergoing cardiac catheterization without prior cardiac surgery. We used echocardiography to estimate pulmonary and right atrial pressures and compared these with invasively measured values. Four reliable regression equations were developed to estimate systolic, diastolic, and mean pulmonary arterial pressures, and mean right atrial pressures. Cutoff values were determined to predict the occurrence of PH. Linear regression, Bland-Altman analysis, and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis were performed to assess the accuracy of echocardiography and establish diagnostic thresholds for PH.
    RESULTS: The study involved 55 children (23 with normal pulmonary arterial pressure and 32 with PH) with acyanotic CHD aged 1 to 192 months. Four equations were developed to detect high pulmonary arterial pressures, with cutoff values of 32.9 for systolic pulmonary arterial pressure, 14.95 for diastolic pulmonary arterial pressure, and 20.7 for mean pulmonary arterial pressure. The results showed high sensitivity and moderate specificity but a tendency to underestimate systolic and mean pulmonary arterial pressures at higher pressures.
    CONCLUSIONS: The study provides valuable insights into the use of adult-based echocardiographic formulas for estimating PH in pediatric patients with acyanotic CHD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:早发冠状动脉疾病(PCAD)普遍存在。目的探讨血浆致动脉粥样硬化指数(AIP)和超敏C反应蛋白(hs-CRP)对PCAD患者冠状动脉病变发生及严重程度的评估价值。
    方法:纳入PCAD(PACD组)/非PCAD(对照组)患者。采用Gensini评分(GS)评价冠状动脉病变程度。将PCAD患者分为低/中/高GS组,分析一般临床基线数据。比较不同程度PCAD患者血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平。血浆hs-CRP/AIP与Gensini评分的相关性,影响PCAD发生的独立危险因素,采用Spearman相关分析/Logistic多元回归/受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价hs-CRP/AIP/组合对PCAD发生及程度的预测价值。使用MedCalc-比较ROC曲线比较曲线下面积(AUC)的差异。
    结果:PCAD组血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平升高。不同程度PCAD患者血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平存在显著差异。血浆hs-CRP/AIP水平与Gensini评分呈显著正相关。吸烟史/同型半胱氨酸/空腹血糖/hs-CRP/AIP均为影响PCAD发生的独立危险因素。hs-CRP和AIP联合预测PCAD发生的AUC为0.950(90.80%敏感性/93.33%特异性)。hs-CRP/AIP联合应用有助于预测PCAD患者的病情程度.
    结论:AIP和hs-CRP是PCAD发生的独立危险因素。两者联合对PCAD的发生和疾病程度有较高的预测价值,两者均与冠状动脉病变程度呈正相关。
    BACKGROUND: Premature coronary artery disease (PCAD) is prevailing. We aimed to investigate the evaluation value of atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) for the occurrence and severity of coronary artery lesion in PCAD patients.
    METHODS: PCAD (PACD group)/non-PCAD (control group) patients were enrolled. The coronary artery lesion degree was evaluated using Gensini score (GS). PCAD patients were allocated into the low/medium/high GS groups, with general clinical baseline data analyzed. Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels were compared in PCAD patients with different disease degree. Correlations between plasma hs-CRP/AIP with Gensini score, independent risk factors affecting the occurrence of PCAD, and the predictive value of hs-CRP/AIP/their combination for the occurrence and degree of PCAD were evaluated by Spearman correlation analysis/Logistic multivariate regression/receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The differences in the area under the curve (AUC) were compared using MedCalc-Comparison of ROC curves.
    RESULTS: Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels in the PCAD group were increased. Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels varied significantly among PCAD patients with different disease degree. Plasma hs-CRP/AIP levels were markedly positively correlated with the Gensini score. Smoking history/homocysteine/fasting blood-glucose/hs-CRP/AIP were all independent risk factors affecting PCAD occurrence. The AUC of hs-CRP and AIP combination predicting the occurrence of PCAD was 0.950 (90.80% sensitivity/93.33% specificity). hs-CRP/AIP combination assisted in predicting the disease degree in PCAD patients.
    CONCLUSIONS: AIP and hs-CRP are independent risk factors for the occurrence of PCAD, and their combination has high predictive value for PCAD occurrence and disease degree, which are both positively correlated with coronary artery lesion degree.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:结直肠癌(CRC)是临床上普遍存在的癌症类型;其早期症状可能难以检测,这通常会导致许多患者的晚期诊断。早期发现和诊断CRC对于提高治疗成功率和患者生存率至关重要。最近,成像技术被认为是必不可少的管理CRC,磁共振成像(MRI)和螺旋计算机断层扫描(SCT)在增强诊断和治疗方法中起着重要作用。
    目的:探讨MRI和SCT在结直肠癌术前分期及腹腔镜治疗预后中的应用价值。
    方法:厦门大学附属中山医院95例患者行MRI和SCT检查,确诊为CRC。评估MRI和SCT对CRC术前分类的准确性,病理分期作为参考。受试者工作特征曲线用于评价血容量的诊断效能,血流量,时间达到顶峰,渗透表面,血液回流常数,体积传递常数,和细胞外血管外空间体积分数对CRC患者预后的影响。
    结果:病理活检证实了以下CRC阶段:T1、T2、T3和T4分别为23、23、32和17。N0期39例,N1为22,N2为34,M0级为44,M1为51。以病理结果为基准,联合使用MRI和SCT对CRC患者术前TNM分期表现出优越的敏感性,特异性,与任何一种单独的模态相比,准确性差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。受试者工作特征曲线分析揭示了腹腔镜治疗预后的预测价值,如血容量曲线下的面积所示,血流量,时间达到顶峰,和渗透性表面,血液回流常数,体积传递常数,细胞外血管间隙体积分数分别为0.750、0.683、0.772、0.761、0.709、0.719和0.910。还获得了相应的敏感性和特异性值(P<0.05)。
    结论:MRI联合SCT对CRC患者的临床诊断有效,值得临床推广。
    BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a prevalent cancer type in clinical settings; its early signs can be difficult to detect, which often results in late-stage diagnoses in many patients. The early detection and diagnosis of CRC are crucial for improving treatment success and patient survival rates. Recently, imaging techniques have been hypothesized to be essential in managing CRC, with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and spiral computed tomography (SCT) playing a significant role in enhancing diagnostic and treatment approaches.
    OBJECTIVE: To explore the effectiveness of MRI and SCT in the preoperative staging of CRC and the prognosis of laparoscopic treatment.
    METHODS: Ninety-five individuals admitted to Zhongshan Hospital Xiamen University underwent MRI and SCT and were diagnosed with CRC. The precision of MRI and SCT for the presurgical classification of CRC was assessed, and pathological staging was used as a reference. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of blood volume, blood flow, time to peak, permeability surface, blood reflux constant, volume transfer constant, and extracellular extravascular space volume fraction on the prognosis of patients with CRC.
    RESULTS: Pathological biopsies confirmed the following CRC stages: 23, 23, 32, and 17 at T1, T2, T3, and T4, respectively. There were 39 cases at the N0 stage, 22 at N1, 34 at N2, 44 at M0 stage, and 51 at M1. Using pathological findings as the benchmark, the combined use of MRI and SCT for preoperative TNM staging in patients with CRC demonstrated superior sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy compared with either modality alone, with a statistically significant difference in accuracy (P < 0.05). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed the predictive values for laparoscopic treatment prognosis, as indicated by the areas under the curve for blood volume, blood flow, time to peak, and permeability surface, blood reflux constant, volume transfer constant, and extracellular extravascular space volume fraction were 0.750, 0.683, 0.772, 0.761, 0.709, 0.719, and 0.910, respectively. The corresponding sensitivity and specificity values were also obtained (P < 0.05).
    CONCLUSIONS: MRI with SCT is effective in the clinical diagnosis of patients with CRC and is worthy of clinical promotion.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的十年中,肺外形式的结核病(TB)的频率增加了。这些形式经常被漏诊。这项关于结核病流行病学概况修改的声明,引导我们反思结核菌素皮肤测试(TST)在主动结核病检测中的实用性。本研究旨在评估TST用于主动结核病检测的诊断准确性。
    这是病例对照,在突尼斯11个抗结核中心进行的多中心研究(2014年6月至11月)。这些病例为18至55岁的成年人,患有新诊断和确诊的结核病。对照没有结核病。填写了数据收集表,并对每个参与者进行了TST。使用受试者工作曲线(ROC)曲线和曲线下面积(AUC)估计TST的诊断准确性测量,以估计确定的截止点的灵敏度和特异性。
    总的来说,纳入1050名患者,由336例病例和714例对照组成。病例的平均年龄为38.3±11.8岁,对照组为33.6±11岁。病例中TST硬结的平均直径明显高于对照组(13.7mmvs.6.2mm;p=10-6)。AUC为0.789[95%CI:0.758-0.819;p=0.01],对应于该测试的中等辨别性能。TST的最有区别的截止值,与最佳敏感性(73.7%)和特异性(76.6%)相关的夫妇≥11mm,Youden指数为0.503。阳性预测值和阴性预测值分别为3.11%和99.52%,分别。
    TST可能是用于主动结核病检测的有用工具,在11mm的截止点具有中等的全局性能和公认的灵敏度和特异性。然而,由于其多重缺点,它不能被视为黄金标准测试。
    UNASSIGNED: During the past decade, the frequency of extrapulmonary forms of tuberculosis (TB) has increased. These forms are often miss-diagnosed. This statement of the TB epidemiological profile modification, conduct us to reflect about the utility of the Tuberculin Skin Test (TST) in active TB detection. This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy performance of the TST for active tuberculosis detection.
    UNASSIGNED: This was a case-control, multicenter study conducted in 11 anti-TB centers in Tunisia (June-November2014). The cases were adults aged between 18 and 55 years with newly diagnosed and confirmed tuberculosis. Controls were free from tuberculosis. A data collection sheet was filled out and a TST was performed for each participant.Diagnostic accuracy measures of TST were estimated using Receiver Operating Curve (ROC) curve and Area Under Curve (AUC) to estimate sensitivity and specificity of a determined cut-off point.
    UNASSIGNED: Overall, 1050 patients were enrolled, composed of 336 cases and 714 controls. The mean age was 38.3±11.8 years for cases and 33.6±11 years for controls.The mean diameter of the TST induration was significantly higher among cases than controls (13.7mm vs.6.2mm; p=10 -6). AUC was 0.789 [95% CI: 0.758-0.819; p=0.01], corresponding to a moderate discriminating performance for this test. The most discriminative cut-off value of the TST, which was associated with the best sensitivity (73.7%) and specificity (76.6%) couple was   ≥ 11 mm with a Youden index of 0.503. Positive and Negative predictive values were 3.11% and 99.52%, respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: TST could be a useful tool used for active tuberculosis detection, with a moderate global performance and accepted sensitivity and specificity at the cut-off point of 11 mm. However, it cannot be considered as a gold standard test due to its multiple disadvantages.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:开发并评估胸外科全麻期间多尿的预测列线图。
    方法:设计并进行了一项回顾性研究。整个数据集用于开发预测列线图,并使用逐步算法筛选变量。逐步算法基于Akaike的信息准则(AIC)。使用多变量逻辑回归分析来建立列线图。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价模型的辨别能力。进行Hosmer-Lemeshow(HL)测试以检查模型是否校准良好。进行决策曲线分析(DCA)以测量列线图的临床有用性和净获益。P<0.05被认为表示有统计学意义。
    结果:样本包括529名接受过胸外科手术的受试者。芬太尼的使用,性别,入院时和手术前的平均动脉压之间的差异,操作类型,输血的液体和血液制品总量,失血,血管加压药,和顺式阿曲库铵的使用被确定为预测因子,并被纳入列线图。列线图在接收器工作特性曲线(0.6937)上显示出良好的辨别能力,并且使用Hosmer-Lemeshow测试进行了很好的校准。决策曲线分析表明,列线图在临床上有用。
    结论:术中多尿的个体化和精确预测允许更好的麻醉管理和早期预防优化。
    BACKGROUND: To develop and evaluate a predictive nomogram for polyuria during general anesthesia in thoracic surgery.
    METHODS: A retrospective study was designed and performed. The whole dataset was used to develop the predictive nomogram and used a stepwise algorithm to screen variables. The stepwise algorithm was based on Akaike\'s information criterion (AIC). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop the nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the model\'s discrimination ability. The Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) test was performed to check if the model was well calibrated. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to measure the nomogram\'s clinical usefulness and net benefits. P < 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance.
    RESULTS: The sample included 529 subjects who had undergone thoracic surgery. Fentanyl use, gender, the difference between mean arterial pressure at admission and before the operation, operation type, total amount of fluids and blood products transfused, blood loss, vasopressor, and cisatracurium use were identified as predictors and incorporated into the nomogram. The nomogram showed good discrimination ability on the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.6937) and is well calibrated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful.
    CONCLUSIONS: Individualized and precise prediction of intraoperative polyuria allows for better anesthesia management and early prevention optimization.
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  • 文章类型: English Abstract
    本研究旨在调查华西情绪指数(HEI)和护士自杀风险全球评估(NGASR)在评估高自杀风险方面的一致性,并探讨HEI在识别抑郁症患者高自杀风险方面的预测价值。
    使用方便抽样,386名抑郁症住院患者纳入了这项横断面研究。所有病人均入住精神卫生中心,2023年6月至12月华西医院。纳入标准如下,根据国际疾病分类,抑郁症的诊断,第十次修订(ICD-10),年龄在18岁以上,完成NGASR和HEI评估。根据排除标准,患有其他合并症精神障碍或患有严重认知障碍且无法有效沟通的抑郁症患者被排除在外.本研究获得华西医院生物医学伦理审查委员会批准(批准号647,2021)。人口统计数据,如年龄,性别,种族,婚姻状况,和教育程度是使用自行设计的问卷收集的。HEI和NGASR均用于评估患者。我们用SPSS27进行了统计分析,采用Spearman的秩相关进行相关分析,Kappa测试两种仪器之间的一致性,和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,用于评估高自杀风险的HEI分数的预测性能,根据尤登指数确定的最佳HEI截止值。
    该研究包括386名抑郁症住院患者,平均年龄为32岁,平均住院时间为14天。在这些参与者中,252名女性(65.3%),134名男性(34.7%)。关于种族,大多数参与者是汉族(89.4%),藏人占7.3%,和其他少数民族,3.3%。关于婚姻状况,51.3%的参与者已婚,41.2%单,6.5%离婚,和1.0%丧偶。关于教育程度,26.2%有本科或研究生学历,20.7%有大专学历,24.8%的人受过高中或中等技校教育,28.2%的中学文化程度或以下。NGASR确定57.3%的参与者处于高自杀风险中,而HEI认为53.6%的人有严重的情绪困扰。HEI和NGASR分数之间有适度的一致性,Kappa值为0.518(P<0.001),表明统计学上的显著差异。在HEI得分为17分时,Youden指数达到0.52的峰值,预测自杀风险高,特异性为76.36%,灵敏度为76.02%,ROC曲线下面积为0.829(95%CI:0.787-0.871),显示出统计学上的显著差异。
    HEI和NGASR在评估抑郁症患者的高自杀风险方面表现出适度的一致性。HEI问卷可有效预测抑郁症患者的高自杀风险,17是评估高自杀风险的最佳临界值。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aims to investigate the agreement between the Huaxi Emotional Index (HEI) and the Nurses\' Global Assessment of Suicide Risk (NGASR) in assessing high suicide risk and to explore the predictive value of HEI in identifying high suicide risk among patients with depression.
    UNASSIGNED: Convenience sampling was used and 386 inpatients with depression were included in this cross-sectional study. All patients were admitted to the Mental Health Center, West China Hospital between June and December 2023. The inclusion criteria were as follows, a diagnosis of depression according to the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10), age over 18, and completion of both NGASR and HEI assessments. According to the exclusion criteria, depression patients who had other comorbid mental disorders or those who had severe cognitive impairments and were unable to communicate effectively were excluded. The study was approved by the Biomedical Ethics Review Committee of West China Hospital (Approval No. 647, 2021). Demographic data such as age, sex, ethnicity, marital status, and educational attainment were collected using a self-designed questionnaire. Both the HEI and NGASR were applied to evaluate the patients. We conducted statistical analyses with SPSS 27, employing Spearman\'s rank correlation for correlation analysis, Kappa tests for consistency between the two instruments, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for evaluating the predictive performance of HEI scores for high suicide risk, with the optimal HEI cutoff value determined on the basis of the Youden Index.
    UNASSIGNED: The study included 386 depression inpatients with an average age of 32 years and an average length-of-stay of 14 days. Of these participants, 252 were female (65.3%) and 134 were male (34.7%). Regarding ethnicity, most of the participants were Han Chinese (89.4%), Tibetans accounted for 7.3%, and other minorities, 3.3%. Regarding marital status, 51.3% of the participants were married, 41.2% single, 6.5% divorced, and 1.0% widowed. Regarding educational attainment, 26.2% had an undergraduate or graduate education, 20.7% had junior college education, 24.8% had high school or secondary technical school education, and 28.2% had middle school education or less. The NGASR identified 57.3% of the participants as being at high suicide risk, while the HEI identified 53.6% as having severe emotional distress. There was a moderate agreement between the HEI and the NGASR scores, with a Kappa value of 0.518 ( P<0.001), indicating statistically significant differences. At an HEI score of 17, the Youden Index peaked at 0.52, predicting high suicide risk with a specificity of 76.36%, a sensitivity of 76.02%, and an area under the ROC curve of 0.829 (95% CI: 0.787-0.871), demonstrating statistically significant differences.
    UNASSIGNED: HEI and NGASR demonstrate moderate agreement in assessing high suicide risk among depression patients. The HEI questionnaire effectively predicts high suicide risk in patients with depression, with 17 being the optimal cutoff value for assessing high suicide risk.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    抑郁症是一种严重的精神疾病,给老年人的生活带来极大的不便。然而,抑郁症的诊断有些主观。使用非靶向气相色谱(GC)/液相色谱(LC)-质谱(MS)研究血浆代谢谱,并确定抑郁症和代谢途径变异的客观标志物。我们招募了379名年龄≥65岁的中国社区居民。收集血浆样品并通过GC/LC-MS进行检测。利用正交偏最小二乘判别分析和热图来区分代谢物。构建受试者工作特征曲线以评估这些差异代谢物的诊断价值。此外,进行代谢途径富集以揭示代谢途径的变异.根据我们的标准,49人被纳入抑郁症队列(DC),年龄和性别匹配的49人纳入非抑郁队列(NDC).通过GC-MS鉴定的64种代谢物和通过LC-MS鉴定的73种代谢物对DC和NDC之间的区别有重要贡献,VIP值>1且p值<0.05。两种方法都检测了三种物质:次黄嘌呤,植物鞘氨醇,还有黄嘌呤.此外,1-(sn-甘油-3-磷酸)-1D-肌醇具有最大的曲线下面积(AUC)值(AUC=0.842)。嘌呤代谢途径是代谢途径中最重要的改变。这些发现表明,抑郁症队列和非抑郁症队列之间的血浆代谢物存在差异。这些鉴定的差异代谢物可能是抑郁症的标志物,可用于研究抑郁症代谢途径的变化。
    Depression is a serious psychiatric illness that causes great inconvenience to the lives of elderly individuals. However, the diagnosis of depression is somewhat subjective. Nontargeted gas chromatography (GC)/liquid chromatography (LC)-mass spectrometry (MS) was used to study the plasma metabolic profile and identify objective markers for depression and metabolic pathway variation. We recruited 379 Chinese community-dwelling individuals aged ≥ 65. Plasma samples were collected and detected by GC/LC‒MS. Orthogonal partial least squares discriminant analysis and a heatmap were utilized to distinguish the metabolites. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to evaluate the diagnostic value of these differential metabolites. Additionally, metabolic pathway enrichment was performed to reveal metabolic pathway variation. According to our standard, 49 people were included in the depression cohort (DC), and 49 people age- and sex-matched individuals were included in the non-depression cohort (NDC). 64 metabolites identified via GC‒MS and 73 metabolites identified via LC‒MS had significant contributions to the differentiation between the DC and NDC, with VIP values > 1 and p values < 0.05. Three substances were detected by both methods: hypoxanthine, phytosphingosine, and xanthine. Furthermore, 1-(sn-glycero-3-phospho)-1D-myo-inositol had the largest area under the curve (AUC) value (AUC = 0.842). The purine metabolic pathway is the most important change in metabolic pathways. These findings show that there were differences in plasma metabolites between the depression cohort and the non-depression cohort. These identified differential metabolites may be markers of depression and can be used to study the changes in depression metabolic pathways.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    研究梅毒不同阶段中性粒细胞CD64(nCD64)指数与神经梅毒(NS)的相关性。
    共有1243名不同阶段的梅毒患者(原发性,385次,本研究中包含的514个三级)分为NS和非NS(NNS)。使用Spearman相关性检验探讨nCD64指数与目前使用的梅毒生物标志物的相关性。通过分层分析和有限三次样条模型研究了nCD64指数与不同阶段NS的关系。通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估nCD64指数对NS的诊断性能。
    在二级和三级梅毒中发现nCD64指数与脑脊液(CSF)NS指标的显着统计相关性。nCD64指数升高与二期和三期梅毒NS风险增加相关。ROC分析值进一步证实了nCD64指数对NS的诊断潜力。在有效的抗梅毒治疗后,NS患者中观察到nCD64指数显着下降。
    nCD64指数可能有助于诊断二期和三期梅毒中的NS。
    UNASSIGNED: To examine the correlation of neutrophil CD64 (nCD64) index with neurosyphilis (NS) across different stages of syphilis.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 1243 syphilis patients at different stages (344 of primary, 385 of secondary, and 514 of tertiary) included in this study were divided into NS and non-NS (NNS). Correlations of nCD64 index with currently used syphilis biomarkers were explored using Spearman correlation test. Relationships between nCD64 index and NS at different stages were investigated by stratified analysis and restricted cubic spline model. The diagnostic performance of nCD64 index for NS was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
    UNASSIGNED: Significant statistical correlations of nCD64 index with cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) NS indicators were found in secondary and tertiary syphilis. Increased nCD64 index was associated with increased risk of NS in secondary and tertiary syphilis. ROC analysis values further confirmed the diagnostic potential of nCD64 index for NS. Marked decrease of nCD64 index was observed in NS patients after effective antisyphilitic treatments.
    UNASSIGNED: The nCD64 index may help to the diagnosis of NS in secondary and tertiary syphilis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在许多现代机器学习应用中,协变量分布的变化和获取结果信息的难度对稳健的模型训练和评估提出了挑战。已经开发了许多迁移学习方法,以使用源种群中的现有标记数据将模型本身鲁棒地适应一些未标记的目标种群。然而,关于转移绩效指标的文献很少,特别是接收机工作特性(ROC)参数,一个经过训练的模型。在本文中,我们旨在基于ROC分析评估经过训练的二元分类器对未标记目标人群的性能.我们提出了半监督传输精度度量(STEAM),一种有效的三步估计程序,采用(1)双指数建模来构建校准的密度比权重和(2)稳健的插补来利用大量未标记的数据来提高估计效率。在密度比模型或结果模型的正确规范下,我们建立了所提出的估计器的一致性和渐近正态。我们还通过交叉验证校正了有限样本中估计器的潜在过拟合偏差。我们将我们提出的估计器与现有方法进行了比较,并通过模拟显示了偏差的减少和效率的提高。我们说明了所提出的方法在评估随时间发展的EHR队列中类风湿关节炎(RA)表型模型的预测性能方面的实际实用性。
    In many modern machine learning applications, changes in covariate distributions and difficulty in acquiring outcome information have posed challenges to robust model training and evaluation. Numerous transfer learning methods have been developed to robustly adapt the model itself to some unlabeled target populations using existing labeled data in a source population. However, there is a paucity of literature on transferring performance metrics, especially receiver operating characteristic (ROC) parameters, of a trained model. In this paper, we aim to evaluate the performance of a trained binary classifier on unlabeled target population based on ROC analysis. We proposed Semisupervised Transfer lEarning of Accuracy Measures (STEAM), an efficient three-step estimation procedure that employs (1) double-index modeling to construct calibrated density ratio weights and (2) robust imputation to leverage the large amount of unlabeled data to improve estimation efficiency. We establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator under the correct specification of either the density ratio model or the outcome model. We also correct for potential overfitting bias in the estimators in finite samples with cross-validation. We compare our proposed estimators to existing methods and show reductions in bias and gains in efficiency through simulations. We illustrate the practical utility of the proposed method on evaluating prediction performance of a phenotyping model for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) on a temporally evolving EHR cohort.
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