Guyana

圭亚那
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Introduction.化脓性链球菌[A组链球菌(GAS)]是咽炎和涉及蜂窝织炎的各种其他综合征的病原体,链球菌中毒性休克综合征(STSS),和坏死性筋膜炎.尽管全球GAS感染的患病率仍然很高,需要广泛使用β-内酰胺抗生素,GAS在很大程度上仍然对这些试剂敏感。然而,已经有一些关于GAS易感性降低的报道,这些GAS在青霉素结合蛋白(PBPs)基因中具有突变.这项研究的目的是检查A组链球菌的体外β-内酰胺敏感性模式,确定耐药性的流行程度,并确定这种抗性是否可以归因于特定PBP基因的突变。方法。在这项研究中,我们试图使用Sanger测序来鉴定从需要住院和门诊治疗的患者中分离出的化脓性链球菌的PBP基因突变,这些突变可能导致PBP对青霉素和/或头孢菌素类抗生素的亲和力降低.对所有分离株进行青霉素敏感性筛选,阿莫西林,和头孢唑林使用E测试条。结果。虽然没有记录的对青霉素或阿莫西林敏感性降低的病例,13株对头孢唑啉的敏感性降低。通过Sanger测序检查pbp1a,发现几个具有单个氨基酸取代的分离株,这可能会降低PBP1A对头孢唑啉和其他第一代头孢菌素的亲和力。结论。青霉素和青霉素衍生的抗生素仍然是GAS感染的有效治疗选择。但需要积极监测以监测这些抗生素和其他抗生素的敏感性模式的变化,并了解导致这些变化的遗传机制。
    Introduction. Streptococcus pyogenes [group A streptococci (GAS)] is the causative agent of pharyngitis and various other syndromes involving cellulitis, streptococcal toxic shock syndrome (STSS), and necrotising fasciitis. Although the prevalence of GAS infections globally remains high, necessitating the widespread use of β-lactam antibiotics, GAS have remained largely susceptible to these agents. However, there have been several reports of GAS with reduced susceptibility harbouring mutations in genes for penicillin-binding proteins (PBPs). The objectives of this study were to examine the in vitro β-lactam susceptibility patterns of group A streptococci, determine the prevalence of drug resistance, and ascertain whether such resistance could be attributed to mutations in specific PBP genes. Methods. In this study, we sought to use Sanger sequencing to identify mutations in PBP genes of Streptococcus pyogenes isolated from patients that required inpatient and outpatient care that could confer reduced PBP affinity for penicillin and/or cephalosporin antibiotics. All isolates were screened for susceptibility to penicillin, amoxicillin, and cefazolin using E-test strips. Results. While there were no documented cases of reduced susceptibility to penicillin or amoxicillin, 13 isolates had reduced susceptibility to cefazolin. Examination of pbp1a by Sanger sequencing revealed several isolates with single amino acid substitutions, which could potentially reduce the affinity of PBP 1A for cefazolin and possibly other first-generation cephalosporins. Conclusion. Penicillin and penicillin-derived antibiotics remain effective treatment options for GAS infections, but active surveillance is needed to monitor for changes to susceptibility patterns against these and other antibiotics and understand the genetic mechanisms contributing to them.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的半个世纪中,由于对海产品的需求增加和不可持续的捕鱼方式,鱼类种群迅速减少。附带捕获非目标物种(副渔获物)是渔业管理中普遍存在的问题,并导致全球非目标物种的种群减少。圭亚那的渔业部门目前支持10,000多名圭亚那人的生计,并为该国的GDP贡献了约2%。误捕被认为是圭亚那海洋渔业的主要威胁,特别是小规模部门,由于缺乏管理基础设施以及有限的数据和监控。这里,我们通过船只观察和与当地渔民的半结构化访谈,评估了圭亚那手工刺网和中国围网渔业的副渔获量。记录的大多数废弃物种对圭亚那的渔业没有商业重要性。尽管在刺网和中国围网渔业中的副渔获率之间没有观察到统计学差异,后者通常有更多被丢弃的个体,其中大多数是青少年。Shannon-Weiner多样性指数显示,与中国围网渔业相比,刺网渔业中的副渔获物种具有更大的多样性。Jaccard的相似性指数表明齿轮类型之间的相似性较低。尽管大多数渔民都知道兼捕,他们不认为这是一个重大问题,也没有兴趣减少他们的丢弃。我们建议采用协作方式探索解决方案,以确保渔业部门的生态和社会经济可持续性。
    Fish stocks have declined rapidly over the past half-century due to the increased demand for seafood and unsustainable fishing practices. The incidental capture of non-target species (bycatch) is a pervasive issue in fisheries management and has led to population declines in non-target species worldwide. The fisheries sector in Guyana currently supports the livelihoods of over 10,000 Guyanese and contributes approximately 2% to the country\'s GDP. Bycatch is believed to be a major threat to Guyana\'s marine fisheries, especially the small-scale sector, due to a lack of management infrastructure and limited data and monitoring. Here, we assessed bycatch in Guyana\'s artisanal gillnet and Chinese seine fisheries through vessel observations and semi-structured interviews with local fishers. Most of the discarded species documented had no commercial importance to the fisheries in Guyana. Although no statistical difference was observed among the bycatch rates in the gillnet and Chinese seine fisheries, the latter generally had more discarded individuals, most of which were juveniles. The Shannon-Weiner diversity index showed a greater diversity of bycatch species in the gillnet fisheries compared to the Chinese seine. Jaccard\'s similarity index indicated a low similarity among the gear types. Even though most fishers were aware of bycatch, they did not view it as a major issue and were not interested in reducing their discards. We recommend a collaborative approach in exploring solutions to ensure the ecological and socioeconomic sustainability of the fisheries sector.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    疟原虫寄生虫,疟疾的病原体,是真核生物,它们在蚊子内强制进行性重组。在低传输设置中,寄生虫与自己重组,克隆谱系是繁殖的,而不是通过异交来分裂的。我们调查了随机/中性因素是否驱动圭亚那恶性疟原虫克隆谱系的持久性和丰度,一个疟疾传播相对较低的国家,但是在美洲,唯一一个重要的青蒿素抗性突变(pfk13C580Y)被观察到。我们对5年(2016-2021年)从感染患者中收集的1,727例恶性疟原虫样本进行了全基因组测序。我们通过估计血统身份(IBD)来表征每对单克隆感染(n=1,409)之间的相关性,并对每个样本进行了已知或候选耐药性突变的分型。在研究期间,圭亚那共有160个多分离株克隆(平均IBD≥0.90)循环,包括13个高度相关的簇(平均IBD≥0.40)。在五年的学习期间,我们观察到与青蒿素伴侣药物(哌喹)耐药(pfcrtC350R)相关的突变频率降低,并且pfcrtC350R与plasmepsin2/3重复的有限共存,plasmepsin2/3是一种与哌喹耐药相关的上位相互作用.我们还观察到61个非同义取代,在研究期间频率显着增加,以及一个新的pfk13突变(G718S)。然而,圭亚那的恶性疟原虫克隆动力学似乎在很大程度上是由随机因素驱动的,与其他地理区域相比,考虑到携带耐药多态性的克隆与携带与耐药无关的相当频率的多态性的克隆相比,没有表现出增强的持久性或更高的丰度。在圭亚那使用多种青蒿素组合疗法可能导致pfk13C580Y突变的消失。
    Plasmodium parasites, the causal agents of malaria, are eukaryotic organisms that obligately undergo sexual recombination within mosquitoes. In low transmission settings, parasites recombine with themselves, and the clonal lineage is propagated rather than broken up by outcrossing. We investigated whether stochastic/neutral factors drive the persistence and abundance of Plasmodium falciparum clonal lineages in Guyana, a country with relatively low malaria transmission, but the only setting in the Americas in which an important artemisinin resistance mutation (pfk13 C580Y) has been observed. We performed whole genome sequencing on 1,727 Plasmodium falciparum samples collected from infected patients across a five-year period (2016-2021). We characterized the relatedness between each pair of monoclonal infections (n = 1,409) through estimation of identity-by-descent (IBD) and also typed each sample for known or candidate drug resistance mutations. A total of 160 multi-isolate clones (mean IBD ≥ 0.90) were circulating in Guyana during the study period, comprising 13 highly related clusters (mean IBD ≥ 0.40). In the five-year study period, we observed a decrease in frequency of a mutation associated with artemisinin partner drug (piperaquine) resistance (pfcrt C350R) and limited co-occurence of pfcrt C350R with duplications of plasmepsin 2/3, an epistatic interaction associated with piperaquine resistance. We additionally observed 61 nonsynonymous substitutions that increased markedly in frequency over the study period as well as a novel pfk13 mutation (G718S). However, P. falciparum clonal dynamics in Guyana appear to be largely driven by stochastic factors, in contrast to other geographic regions, given that clones carrying drug resistance polymorphisms do not demonstrate enhanced persistence or higher abundance than clones carrying polymorphisms of comparable frequency that are unrelated to resistance. The use of multiple artemisinin combination therapies in Guyana may have contributed to the disappearance of the pfk13 C580Y mutation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:评估圭亚那妇女对亲密伴侣暴力(IPV)的态度。
    方法:我们使用了2019年在圭亚那针对15至49岁女性进行的公开多指标类集调查(MICS)的国家数据。分析了同意丈夫殴打妻子是合理的妇女的普遍性。受访者的原因包括如果她:“出去而不告诉他”,“忽略孩子们”,“和他争论”,“拒绝和他做爱”,“烧掉食物”,\"有另一个合作伙伴\",\“在外面呆得很晚/参加派对\”,“拒绝做饭或打扫”,\"超支\",和/或“他无法访问她的手机”。对所有变量进行描述性分析。Logistic回归用于确定与这10个应答原因相关的因素,分开和组合。
    结果:如果对这10个原因中的任何一个做出“是”的反应,则女性对IPV的态度的总体患病率为17.9%(95CI:16.6-19.3%),如果她“不告诉他就出去”,从2.7%不等“烧掉食物”,或“超支”到10.0%,如果她“有另一个伴侣”。这一患病率从城市地区的10.2%到农村地区的19.3%不等(p<0.001),从沿海地区的16.1%上升到内陆地区的30.1%(p<0.001)。同样,来自最贫困家庭的妇女中有25.9%同意丈夫有权出于10个原因中的任何一个殴打妻子,而最富有的妇女中有11.6%(11.6%)(p<0.001)。农村居住地,种族,地理区域,教育水平,财富五分之一,曾经用过电脑,和听收音机的频率是与女性对IPV的态度相关的重要因素(p<0.05)。
    结论:超过六分之一的受访者认为丈夫对圭亚那妇女实施IPV是合理的。以地理位置为重点的公共卫生项目,种族,必须实施经济地位,以改变为IPV辩护的态度,并减少这一重大的公共卫生挑战。
    BACKGROUND: To assess the attitudes of women towards intimate partner violence (IPV) in Guyana.
    METHODS: We used national data from the publicly available Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) conducted in Guyana in 2019 for women aged 15 to 49 years. The prevalence of women who agreed that a husband is justified in beating his wife was analyzed. Respondent reasons included if she: \"goes out without telling him\", \"neglects the children\", \"argues with him\", \"refuses sex with him\", \"burns the food\", \"has another partner\", \"stays out late/partying\", \"refuses to cook or clean\", \"overspends\", and/or \"he doesn\'t have access to her cellphone\". Descriptive analyses were carried for all the variables. Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with these 10 respondent reasons, separately and in combination.
    RESULTS: The overall prevalence of women\'s attitudes justifying IPV against women if there was a \'yes\' response to any of the 10 reasons was 17.9% (95%CI: 16.6-19.3%), and varied from 2.7% if she \"goes out without telling him\", \"burns the food\", or \"overspends\" to 10.0% if she \"has another partner\". This prevalence ranged from 10.2% in urban areas to 19.3% in rural areas (p<0.001), and from 16.1% in coastal to 30.1% in interior areas (p<0.001). Similarly, 25.9% of women from the poorest household agreed that a husband has the right in beating his wife for any of the 10 reasons compared to 11.6% of the richest women (11.6%) (p<0.001). Rural place of residence, ethnicity, geographic region, level of education, wealth quintile, ever used of a computer, and frequency of listening to the radio were significant factors associated with women\'s attitudes justifying IPV against women (p<0.05).
    CONCLUSIONS: Over one-sixth of the respondents agreed that a husband was justified in committing IPV against women in Guyana. Public health programs focusing on geographic locations, ethnicity, and economic status must be implemented to change attitudes justifying IPV and reduce this significant public health challenge.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:在COVID-19大流行期间,通过免费的在线继续医学教育(CME)系列,在美国和加勒比海地区的医生之间进行合作和分享医学知识。方法:这是南部地区健康教育中心和CapeFearValley医疗中心之间的多机构合作努力,都位于北卡罗来纳州,美国,和它的加勒比伙伴,圭亚那医学委员会和卫生部,西印度群岛大学医学校友会,牙买加。系列讲座从2021年7月到2022年10月。TheZoom(ZoomVideoCommunicationsInc.,圣何塞,CA,USA)会议平台用于东部标准时间(EST)的第四个星期四晚上7点至8点的每月讲座。结果:对2021年7月至2022年10月(不包括2021年12月)的计划数据进行的分析发现,有1,105名独特的个人参与了15次继续教育课程。该系列共有2,411名参与者,平均每节课有161人参加,每节课有94到299人参加。评估出勤原因的结果调查发现,他们参加该系列活动的最重要因素是:a)教育内容的质量(83.21%),b)易用性和变焦平台(81.76%),c)免费提供的讲座(61.31%),80.84%获得了新的医学知识,导致实践变化。结论:通过遵循概述的步骤,可以轻松复制内科合作学习(IMLC)模型。它克服了旅行和检疫限制等障碍,启动和维护具有成本效益。它允许在美国获得资源和专业培训的医生与发展中国家的同事分享医学知识,因为这种机会可能受到限制。从而利用免费提供的技术促进各自地区的医疗保健和继续教育活动。
    OBJECTIVE: To collaborate and share medical knowledge between US and Caribbean physicians during the COVID-19 pandemic via a free online continuing medical education (CME) series.  Method: This was a multi-institution collaborative effort between the Southern Regional Area Health Education Center and Cape Fear Valley Medical Center, both located in North Carolina, USA, and its Caribbean partners, the Guyana Medical Council and Ministry of Health, and the University of the West Indies Medical Alumni Association, Jamaica. The lecture series ran from July 2021 to October 2022. The Zoom (Zoom Video Communications Inc., San Jose, CA, USA) meeting platform was used for the monthly lectures on the fourth Thursday between 7 and 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time (EST).  Results: Analysis of program data from July 2021 through October 2022 (excluding December 2021) found 1,105 unique individuals engaged in the 15 continuing education sessions. The series had a cumulative total of 2,411 participants, with a mean session participation of 161 and a range of 94 to 299 participants per lecture. An outcome survey assessing the reasons for attendance identified that the most significant factors in their participation in the series were: a) the quality of educational content (83.21%), b) the ease of access and Zoom platform (81.76%), and c) the lectures being offered at no cost (61.31%), and 80.84% gained new medical knowledge leading to practice changes.  Conclusion: The Internal Medicine Learning Collaborative (IMLC) model can be easily replicated by following the steps outlined. It overcomes barriers such as travel and quarantine restrictions and is cost-effective to initiate and maintain. It allows physicians with access to resources and specialty training in the United States to share medical knowledge with colleagues in the developing world where such access may be limited, thus promoting health care and continuing education activity in their respective regions using freely available technologies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    圭亚那的人口,位于南美大陆,由于明显依赖新热带野生动植物作为食物来源和贸易,因此容易受到人畜共患疾病的影响。现有的次优健康监测系统可能会影响对重要人畜共患疾病的有效监测。为了有效解决这一赤字,a举办了一次健康人畜共患病优先研讨会,以确定全国重大人畜共患病。
    首次在圭亚那和加勒比地区使用文献综述对人畜共患疾病进行了优先排序,优先次序标准和风险优先次序工具,并结合一个咨询OneHealth研讨会。这涉及来自不同社会学科的多部门专家,人类,动物,和环境健康使用改良的半定量人畜共患疾病优先排序(OHZDP)工具对人畜共患疾病进行优先排序。在危害识别阶段,将纳入和排除标准应用于圭亚那野生动植物中存在的病原体危害。
    总共,选择了50种人畜共患病进行优先排序。根据他们的加权分数,使用1-5选择量表按相对重要性的顺序对优先疾病进行排序。在圭亚那,这种人畜共患疾病优先排序方法是将人类领域的专家聚集在一起的第一个重要步骤,动物,和环境健康。在疾病专家讨论OHZDP工具输出后,最后的人畜共患疾病名单,包括肺结核,钩端螺旋体病,胃肠炎,狂犬病,冠状病毒,正痘病毒,病毒性出血热,肝炎被确定为圭亚那最优先的八种人畜共患病。
    这是在圭亚那和讲英语的加勒比海地区首次优先考虑国家重大人畜共患疾病。这项“一个健康”战略优先考虑了这八种野生动物来源的人畜共患病,这将支持未来跟踪和监测人类和野生动物之间的疾病流行情况,并可用作圭亚那决策者和利益相关者的决策指南。
    UNASSIGNED: The human population in Guyana, located on the South American continent, is vulnerable to zoonotic diseases due to an appreciable reliance on Neotropical wildlife as a food source and for trade. An existing suboptimal health surveillance system may affect the effective monitoring of important zoonotic diseases. To effectively address this deficit, a One Health zoonotic disease prioritization workshop was conducted to identify nationally significant zoonoses.
    UNASSIGNED: Prioritization of zoonotic diseases was conducted for the first time in Guyana & Caribbean region using literature review, prioritization criteria and a risk prioritization tool in combination with a consultative One Health workshop. This involved multisectoral experts from varied disciplines of social, human, animal, and environmental health to prioritize zoonotic diseases using a modified semi-quantitative One Health Zoonotic Disease Prioritization (OHZDP) tool. The inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied to pathogen hazards in existence among wildlife in Guyana during the hazard identification phase.
    UNASSIGNED: In total, fifty zoonoses were chosen for prioritization. Based on their weighted score, prioritized diseases were ranked in order of relative importance using a one-to-five selection scale. In Guyana, this zoonotic disease prioritization method is the first significant step toward bringing together specialists from the fields of human, animal, and environmental health. Following discussion of the OHZDP Tool output among disease experts, a final zoonotic disease list, including tuberculosis, leptospirosis, gastroenteritis, rabies, coronavirus, orthopoxvirus, viral hemorrhagic fevers, and hepatitis were identified as the top eight priority zoonoses in Guyana.
    UNASSIGNED: This represents the first prioritization of nationally significant zoonotic diseases in Guyana and the English-speaking Caribbean. This One Health strategy to prioritize these eight zoonoses of wildlife origin is a step that will support future tracking and monitoring for disease prevalence among humans and wildlife and can be used as a decision-making guide for policymakers and stakeholders in Guyana.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究调查了知识,圭亚那医生对LGBT健康的态度和继续教育的愿望。它采用了一种混合的定量方法,对90名医生进行自我管理的在线调查,以及与其他8名医生的定性半结构化个人访谈。对定量数据进行描述性和分析计算,而对定性数据使用主题分析。结果显示,关于LGBT健康的知识水平适中,对LGBT健康差异的认识不足;通常是非歧视性态度;以及对LGBT健康的次优教育。进一步的培训和职前课程的变化是必要的,以弥补差距,提高能力。
    This study investigated the knowledge, attitudes and desire for continued education among Guyanese doctors with regards to LGBT health. It utilized a mixed methodology of quantitative, self-administered online surveys among 90 doctors, and qualitative semi-structured individual interviews with 8 other doctors. Descriptive and analytic calculations were performed on the quantitative data while thematic analysis was used for the qualitative data. The results show moderate knowledge levels regarding LGBT health, with deficits in awareness of LGBT health disparities; generally nondiscriminatory attitudes; and suboptimal education on LGBT health. Further training and pre-service curricular changes are necessary to address gaps and improve competency.
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  • 文章类型: Preprint
    疟原虫寄生虫,疟疾的病原体,是真核生物,它们在蚊子内强制进行性重组。然而,在大多数蚊子只感染单一寄生虫克隆的低传播环境中,寄生虫与自己重组,克隆谱系是繁殖的,而不是通过异交来分裂的。我们调查了随机/中性因素是否驱动圭亚那恶性疟原虫克隆谱系的持久性和丰度,一个疟疾传播相对较低的国家,但是在美洲,唯一一个重要的青蒿素抗性突变(pfk13C580Y)被观察到。为了研究这种克隆性是否可能与突变的持久性和空间传播有关,我们对5年(2016-2021年)从感染患者中收集的1,727份恶性疟原虫样本进行了全基因组测序.我们通过估计血统(IBD)的身份来表征每对单克隆感染(n=1,409)之间的相关性,并对每个样本进行了已知或候选耐药性突变的分型。在研究期间,圭亚那共有160个克隆(平均IBD≥0.90)循环,包括13个高度相关的簇(平均IBD≥0.40)。在五年的学习期间,我们观察到与青蒿素伴侣药物(哌喹)耐药(pfcrtC350R)相关的突变频率降低,并且pfcrtC350R与plasmepsin2/3重复的有限共存,plasmepsin2/3是一种与哌喹耐药相关的上位相互作用.我们还报告了显示出耐药性或其他表型选择证据的多态性,并报告了一个新的pfk13突变(G718S)以及61个频率显着增加的非同义替换。然而,圭亚那的恶性疟原虫克隆动力学似乎在很大程度上是由随机因素驱动的,与其他地理区域相比。在圭亚那使用多种青蒿素组合疗法可能导致pfk13C580Y突变的消失。
    Plasmodium parasites, the causal agents of malaria, are eukaryotic organisms that obligately undergo sexual recombination within mosquitoes. However, in low transmission settings where most mosquitoes become infected with only a single parasite clone, parasites recombine with themselves, and the clonal lineage is propagated rather than broken up by outcrossing. We investigated whether stochastic/neutral factors drive the persistence and abundance of Plasmodium falciparum clonal lineages in Guyana, a country with relatively low malaria transmission, but the only setting in the Americas in which an important artemisinin resistance mutation (pfk13 C580Y) has been observed. To investigate whether this clonality was potentially associated with the persistence and spatial spread of the mutation, we performed whole genome sequencing on 1,727 Plasmodium falciparum samples collected from infected patients across a five-year period (2016-2021). We characterized the relatedness between each pair of monoclonal infections (n=1,409) through estimation of identity by descent (IBD) and also typed each sample for known or candidate drug resistance mutations. A total of 160 clones (mean IBD ≥ 0.90) were circulating in Guyana during the study period, comprising 13 highly related clusters (mean IBD ≥ 0.40). In the five-year study period, we observed a decrease in frequency of a mutation associated with artemisinin partner drug (piperaquine) resistance (pfcrt C350R) and limited co-occurence of pfcrt C350R with duplications of plasmepsin 2/3, an epistatic interaction associated with piperaquine resistance. We additionally report polymorphisms exhibiting evidence of selection for drug resistance or other phenotypes and reported a novel pfk13 mutation (G718S) as well as 61 nonsynonymous substitutions that increased markedly in frequency. However, P. falciparum clonal dynamics in Guyana appear to be largely driven by stochastic factors, in contrast to other geographic regions. The use of multiple artemisinin combination therapies in Guyana may have contributed to the disappearance of the pfk13 C580Y mutation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Mayaro病毒(MAYV)是一种蚊子传播的α病毒,在南美普遍存在。MAYV感染通常表现为非特异性发热症状,但可能发展为使慢性关节炎或关节痛。尽管MAYV的大流行威胁,它的真实分布仍然未知。这项研究的目的是使用已建立的风险映射框架来阐明MAYV的地理分布。这包括生成MAYV存在的证据共识分数,模拟MAYV在中美洲和南美洲部分国家的潜在分布,并估计居住在适合MAYV传播地区的人口。我们编制了MAYV在人类中发生的地理参考汇编,动物,和节肢动物.基于既定的证据共识框架,我们整合了多个信息来源,以评估支持MAYV在我们研究区域内每个国家持续传播的总证据.然后,我们使用增强回归树方法开发了疾病估计分布的高分辨率图。使用与MAYV传播周期相关的9个气候和环境协变量开发了模型。使用我们的提升回归树模型的输出,我们估计了居住在适合MAYV传播地区的总人口。证据共识得分显示,在包括巴西在内的几个国家(尤其是马托格罗索州和戈亚州),MAYV传播的证据很高或非常高,委内瑞拉,秘鲁,特立尼达和多巴哥,和法属圭亚那。根据增强回归树模型,南美洲的一个相当大的地区适合MAYV传输,包括巴西北部和中部,法属圭亚那,苏里南。一些地区(例如,圭亚那)仅有中度已知传播的证据被确定为非常适合MAYV。我们估计,中美洲和南美洲约有5890万人(95%CI:21.4-100.4)生活在可能适合MAYV传播的地区,包括4620万人(95%CI:17.6-68.9)在巴西。我们的结果可能有助于优先考虑病媒控制的高风险区域,人类疾病监测和生态学研究。
    Mayaro virus (MAYV) is a mosquito-borne Alphavirus that is widespread in South America. MAYV infection often presents with non-specific febrile symptoms but may progress to debilitating chronic arthritis or arthralgia. Despite the pandemic threat of MAYV, its true distribution remains unknown. The objective of this study was to clarify the geographic distribution of MAYV using an established risk mapping framework. This consisted of generating evidence consensus scores for MAYV presence, modeling the potential distribution of MAYV in select countries across Central and South America, and estimating the population residing in areas suitable for MAYV transmission. We compiled a georeferenced compendium of MAYV occurrence in humans, animals, and arthropods. Based on an established evidence consensus framework, we integrated multiple information sources to assess the total evidence supporting ongoing transmission of MAYV within each country in our study region. We then developed high resolution maps of the disease\'s estimated distribution using a boosted regression tree approach. Models were developed using nine climatic and environmental covariates that are related to the MAYV transmission cycle. Using the output of our boosted regression tree models, we estimated the total population living in regions suitable for MAYV transmission. The evidence consensus scores revealed high or very high evidence of MAYV transmission in several countries including Brazil (especially the states of Mato Grosso and Goiás), Venezuela, Peru, Trinidad and Tobago, and French Guiana. According to the boosted regression tree models, a substantial region of South America is suitable for MAYV transmission, including north and central Brazil, French Guiana, and Suriname. Some regions (e.g., Guyana) with only moderate evidence of known transmission were identified as highly suitable for MAYV. We estimate that approximately 58.9 million people (95% CI: 21.4-100.4) in Central and South America live in areas that may be suitable for MAYV transmission, including 46.2 million people (95% CI: 17.6-68.9) in Brazil. Our results may assist in prioritizing high-risk areas for vector control, human disease surveillance and ecological studies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    新兴的石油生产部门对圭亚那的经济前景产生了积极影响,同时促进了该国温室气体排放量的预期增加。本文介绍了一个采用收敛混合方法方法的案例研究。选择的数据收集方法包括深入访谈,文件审查和定量分析,以检查圭亚那新兴石油生产部门的温室气体排放对该国净碳汇状况的影响。本文探讨了使圭亚那保持净碳汇的措施。研究表明,逃逸性排放是温室气体排放的最高组成部分,主要是由试井和常规石油生产的燃烧和排放引起的。2025年,2027年和2030年石油生产的年度温室气体排放量分别为9034、13,397和20,516千吨二氧化碳,分别。此外,石油和天然气生产的排放以及圭亚那能源部门三种增长情景的排放相结合,在各种情景和条件下,每年的温室气体排放总量可能从2025年的4445千吨二氧化碳到2030年的最大24,888千吨二氧化碳。Further,2025年的最高温室气体排放总量为11,015千吨二氧化碳,而2025年的封存率为154,060千吨二氧化碳(7%)。2027年,最高的温室气体总排放量为16,234千吨二氧化碳,而封存率为153,860千吨二氧化碳(11%)。预计对圭亚那的净碳汇没有负面影响。然而,圭亚那应该审查,更新和实施政策,以减少温室气体排放并抵消不可避免的排放。这项研究强调了圭亚那为采取发展道路而作出的努力,该道路寻求履行《气候公约》和《巴黎协定》的义务,同时改善其公民的社会和经济福祉。
    The emerging petroleum production sector has been positively impacting Guyana\'s economic prospects while contributing to an anticipated increase in the country\'s greenhouse gas emissions. This article presents a case study that adopts a convergent mixed methods approach. The methods selected for data collection consisted of in-depth interviews, document review and quantitative analysis to examine the implications of the GHG emissions from Guyana\'s emerging petroleum production sector for the country\'s net carbon sink status. The article explores measures to enable Guyana to remain a net carbon sink. The study reveals that fugitive emissions were the highest component of greenhouse gas emissions, mostly accounted for by flaring and venting from well testing and flaring from conventional petroleum production. The annual GHG emissions from petroleum production for 2025, 2027 and 2030 were 9034, 13,397 and 20,516 kilotons of CO2e, respectively. Moreover, the combination of the emissions from the oil and gas production and those from three scenarios of growth in Guyana\'s energy sector, the total annual GHG emissions could vary from 4445 kilotons of CO2e by 2025 to the largest amount of 24,888 kilotons of CO2e by 2030 across various scenarios and conditions. Further, the highest total GHG emissions for 2025 would be 11,015 kilotons CO2e compared to a sequestration rate of 154,060 kilotons CO2 (7%) for 2025. In 2027, the highest total GHG emissions would be 16,234 kilotons CO2e as compared to a sequestration rate of 153,860 kilotons CO2 (11%). No negative implication for Guyana\'s net carbon sink is projected. However, Guyana should review, update and implement policies to mitigate GHG emissions and offset unavoidable ones. This research highlights the efforts of Guyana to adopt a development path that seeks to fulfil obligations to the UNFCCC and the Paris Accord while improving the social and economic well-being of its citizens.
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