sensitivity analysis

敏感性分析
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在中国,数条高速公路被设计为带有铰链连接的预制箱涵,与其他国家的预制涵洞具有不同的结构特征。这种差异将有助于预制箱涵的涵洞-土相互作用,这可能会影响涵洞上的土压力。基于现场试验和数值模拟的方法,研究了跨度为4m,上升为4m的铰链式预制箱涵(HPBC),适用于中国的西渝高速公路。本研究的目的是通过现场测试,研究HPBC涵洞顶板在不同回填高度的垂直土压力。采用FLAC3D软件对回填高度的影响进行了进一步分析,回填模数,HPBC顶板垂直土压力的基础模量。还检查了HPBC和整体式箱涵(MBC)之间的差异。此外,提出了一种修正的顶板垂直土压力计算方法,并与AASHTO方法进行了比较,该方法用于计算涵洞顶部的土压力以及中国涵洞设计规范中的值。所提出的方法能够提高土压力法的精度,使其更能代表实际情况。随后,回填高度的敏感性分析,利用正交阵列分析原理和本文提出的改进计算方法,对顶板竖向土压力集中系数进行了回填模量和地基模量的计算。这项研究的结果为HPBC涵洞顶部土压力的确定提供了有价值的见解。
    In China, several expressways have been designed as prefabricated box culverts with hinge connections, which have different structural features from the prefabricated culverts in other countries. The difference would contribute to the culvert-soil interaction of prefabricated box culverts, which could affect the earth pressure on the culvert. Based on the field test and numerical simulation method, a hinged prefabricated box culvert (HPBC) with a span of 4 m and a rise of 4 m was investigated, which was applied to the Xi-Yu expressway in China. The objective of this research was to investigate the vertical earth pressure on the top slab of the HPBC culvert at different backfill heights through the field tests. The FLAC3D software was employed to conduct further analysis of the effects of backfill height, backfill modulus, and foundation modulus on the vertical earth pressure on the top slab of HPBC. The differences between the HPBC and monolithic box culvert (MBC) were also examined. Furthermore, a revised method for calculating the vertical earth pressure on the top slab was put proposed and compared with the AASHTO method for calculating earth pressure on the top of culverts and the values taken from the Chinese culvert design code. The proposed method is capable of improving the accuracy of the earth pressure approach, making it more representative of actual conditions. Subsequently, the sensitivity analysis of backfill height, backfill modulus and foundation modulus to the vertical earth pressure concentration coefficient of the top slab was carried out by using the principle of orthogonal array analysis and the modified calculation method proposed in this paper. The findings of this study offer valuable insights into the determination of culvert top earth pressure of HPBC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    水资源的高质量发展支撑着社会经济的高质量发展。高质量发展连接高质量生活,明确小流域的重点管理内容,对建设生态清洁小流域,促进区域生产生活具有重要作用。以前关于污染负荷的研究侧重于研究各种外部驱动因素对污染负荷的影响,但仍缺乏关于污染源本身变化对污染负荷影响的研究。在这项研究中,敏感性分析用于确定不同来源的变化对总污染负荷的影响,可以识别关键污染源。我们首先采用污染物排放系数法对2010年至2021年tu江上游流域小流域的非点源污染负荷进行了量化。然后,Getis-OrdGi*的组合敏感性分析用于识别全球的关键来源及其关键领域,区(县),和城镇(街道)尺度,分别。结果表明:(1)COD的污染负荷,NH3-N,TN,TP都呈下降趋势,减少18.3%,16.2%,18.6%,2010年至2021年分别为28.1%;(2)畜禽养殖污染源是整个流域大多数地区最关键的污染源;(3)高危区域主要集中在靖阳区及其下属乡镇(街道)。有低污染风险区域向高污染风险区域过渡的趋势,高风险地区主要集中在东南部,并表现出明显的污染负荷溢出现象。这项研究可以促进其他类似的小流域,对小流域面源污染控制具有重要意义。
    High-quality development of water resources supports high-quality socio-economic development. High-quality development connects high-quality life, and clarifying the key management contents of small watersheds plays an important role in building ecologically clean small watersheds and promoting regional production and life. Previous research on pollution loads has focused on examining the impact of various external drivers on pollution loads but still lacks research on the impact of changes in pollution sources themselves on pollution loads. In this study, sensitivity analysis was used to determine the impact of changes from different sources on the total pollution loads, which can recognize the critical pollution sources. We first employed the pollutant discharge coefficient method to quantify non-point source pollution loads in the small watershed in the upstream Tuojiang River basin from 2010 to 2021. Then, combination sensitivity analysis with Getis-Ord Gi* was used to identify the critical sources and their crucial areas at the global, districts (counties), and towns (streets) scales, respectively. The results indicate: (1) The pollution loads of COD, NH3-N, TN, and TP all show a decreasing trend, reducing by 18.3%, 16.2%, 18.6%, and 28.1% from 2010 to 2021, respectively; (2) Livestock and poultry breeding pollution source is the most critical source for majority areas across watershed; (3) High-risk areas are mainly concentrated in Jingyang district and its subordinate towns (streets). There is a trend of low-pollution risk areas transitioning to high-pollution risk areas, with high-risk areas predominantly concentrated in the southeast and exhibiting a noticeable phenomenon of pollution load spilling around. This study can promote other similar small watersheds, holding significant importance for non-point source pollution control in small watersheds.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究介绍了一种新颖的方法,用于开发为健康风险评估量身定制的高级暴露概念模型,专注于微环境。
    该研究是在中国的一家大型冶炼厂进行的,目的是评估与设施和周围土壤中的痕量金属(TM)污染物相关的健康风险。
    确定性风险评估表明,钴,镉,锑,锰,砷,plumbum,和汞(Co,Cd,Sb,Mn,As,Pb,和Hg)需要通过概率风险评估进行进一步评估,以评估居民的潜在健康风险。发现其他TM的95%分位数浓度在可接受的健康风险范围内。对于概率风险评估,暴露参数,如体重,呼吸频率,和暴露持续时间使用问卷收集。对住宅微环境的有针对性的评估显示,它是致癌风险(CR)和非致癌风险(NCR)最高的场所。值范围分别为2.84×10-5至6.7×10-5和1.59至5.57。
    在住宅和工业区中构成最大健康风险的主要污染物已被确定为As,Pb,和Mn。概率健康风险模型,关注微环境因素,产生更精确的结果,并为管理土壤健康风险提供了有价值的工具。
    UNASSIGNED: This study introduces a novel method for developing an advanced exposure conceptual model tailored for health risk assessment, focusing on microenvironments.
    UNASSIGNED: The research was conducted at a major smelter in China to assess the health risks associated with trace metals (TMs) pollutants in the facility and the surrounding soil.
    UNASSIGNED: Deterministic risk assessment indicated that cobalt, cadmium, antimony, manganese, arsenic, plumbum, and mercury (Co, Cd, Sb, Mn, As, Pb, and Hg) necessitated further evaluation through probabilistic risk assessment to assess potential health risks to residents. The 95% quantile concentrations of other TMs were found to be within acceptable health risk limits. For the probabilistic risk assessment, exposure parameters such as body weight, respiration rate, and exposure duration were collected using a questionnaire. This targeted assessment of the residential microenvironment revealed it as the site of the highest carcinogenic (CR) and non-carcinogenic risks (NCR), with values ranging from 2.84×10-5 to 6.7×10-5 and 1.59 to 5.57, respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: The primary contaminants posing the greatest health risks in residential and industrial areas have been identified as As, Pb, and Mn. The probabilistic health risk model, which focuses on microenvironmental factors, yields more precise results and offers a valuable tool for managing soil health risks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对食物垃圾堆肥价值链上的膨胀剂(BA)比率进行了技术经济评估(TEA),以评估经济可行性。TEA有两个计划(计划A:现有的堆肥设施;计划B:新的堆肥设施),每个计划都在四种情况下进行。BA(即玉米秸秆,花园垃圾,和西瓜幼苗)比例为5%(S1),10%(S2),20%(S3),和比例为20%的花园垃圾(S4)。结果表明,S2的净现值(NPV)为1.2890亿,代表计划A的最经济可行的方案。尽管S4的总运营成本高出18.9%-23.5%,总收入增加25.6%-42.2%,使S4的净现值为9290万,使其成为B计划中最可行的方案。所有方案均在±20%的波动范围内显示出正的净现值。有机肥价格,政府补贴,和加工能力是影响净现值的关键因素。
    Techno-economic assessment (TEA) of a valorization of bulking agent (BA) ratios on the food waste compost value chain is made to assess economic feasibility. TEA was performed with two plans (Plan A: existing composting facilities; Plan B: new composting facilities) and each plan was under four scenarios. The BA (i.e. corn stalks, garden waste, and watermelon seedlings) ratio of 5 % (S1), 10 % (S2), 20 % (S3), and garden waste with a ratio of 20 % (S4). Results indicate that S2, with a net present value (NPV) of 128.9 million, represents Plan A\'s most economically viable scenario. Although the total operating costs of S4 were 18.9 %-23.5 % higher, 25.6 %-42.2 % higher total revenue made S4 have an NPV of 92.9 million, making it the most viable scenario in Plan B. All scenarios show positive NPV within a ± 20 % fluctuation range. Organic fertilizer price, government subsidies, and processing capacity were the key factors influencing NPV.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    饮食摄入与炎症性关节炎(IA)的风险和严重程度之间的因果关系目前尚不清楚。
    在这项研究中,我们旨在使用孟德尔随机化(MR)研究9种饮食类别(30种饮食)与IA之间的因果关系.
    我们在全基因组关联研究(GWAS)中分析了来自30种饮食和IA的数据。可影响MR分析结果的单核苷酸多态性(SNPs)通过孟德尔随机化PleiotropionSresidualSum和离群值(MR-PRESSO)检验进行筛选。SNP通过双样本双向MR使用逆方差加权进行分析,MR-Egger回归,和加权中位数法。使用MR-Egger截距项检验和Cochran'sQ检验评估SNP的多重性和异质性。使用FDR校正来校正p值。
    IVW结果表明,牛肉摄入量[赔率(OR)=2.862;95%置信区间(CI),1.360-6.021,p=0.006,p_fdr<0.05]与类风湿关节炎(RA)呈正相关;干果摄入量(OR=0.522;95%CI,0.349-0.781,p=0.002,p_fdr<0.05),铁摄入量(OR=0.864;95CI,0.777-0.960,p=0.007,p_fdr<0.05)与RA呈负相关,所有这些都是意义的证据。新鲜水果摄入量(OR=2.528。95%CI,1.063-6.011,p=0.036,p_fdr>0.05)与银屑病关节炎(PsA)呈正相关;奶酪摄入量(OR=0.579;95%CI,0.367-0.914,p=0.019,p_fdr>0.05)与PsA呈负相关;两者均为提示证据。加工肉类摄入量(OR=0.238;95%CI,0.100-0.565,p=0.001,p_fdr<0.05)与反应性关节炎(ReA)呈负相关,保护因素,和重要的证据。所有暴露数据均通过异质性检查(Cochrane的Q检验p>0.05),未检测到方向性多效性。留一法分析证明了积极结果中因果关系的稳健性。
    我们的研究提供了遗传证据支持饮食与IA风险增加之间的因果关系。它还确定了各种饮食方式和不同类型IA之间的因果关系。这些发现对通过饮食调整预防和管理IA具有重要意义。
    UNASSIGNED: The causal associations between dietary intake and the risk and severity of Inflammatory Arthritis (IA) are currently unknown.
    UNASSIGNED: In this study, we aimed to investigate the causal relationship between nine dietary categories (30 types of diet) and IA using Mendelian randomization (MR).
    UNASSIGNED: We analyzed data from 30 diets and IA in a genome-wide association study (GWAS). Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that could influence the results of MR analyses were screened out through the Mendelian Randomization Pleiotropy RESidual Sum and Outlier (MR-PRESSO) test. SNPs were analyzed through two-sample bidirectional MR using inverse variance weighting, MR-Egger regression, and weighted median method. The multiplicity and heterogeneity of SNPs were assessed using MR-Egger intercept term tests and Cochran\'s Q tests. FDR correction was used to correct the p-values.
    UNASSIGNED: IVW results showed that Beef intake [Odds ratio (OR) = 2.862; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.360-6.021, p = 0.006, p_fdr < 0.05] was positively associated with rheumatoid arthritis(RA); Dried fruit intake (OR = 0.522; 95% CI, 0.349-0.781, p = 0.002, p_fdr < 0.05), and Iron intake (OR = 0.864; 95%CI, 0.777-0.960, p = 0.007, p_fdr < 0.05) were negatively associated with RA, all of which were evidence of significance. Fresh fruit intake (OR = 2.528. 95% CI, 1.063-6.011, p = 0.036, p_fdr > 0.05) was positively associated with psoriatic arthritis (PsA); Cheese intake (OR = 0.579; 95% CI, 0.367-0.914, p = 0.019, p_fdr > 0.05) was negatively associated with PsA; both were suggestive evidence. Processed meat intake (OR = 0.238; 95% CI, 0.100-0.565, p = 0.001, p_fdr < 0.05) was negatively associated with reactive arthritis (ReA), a protective factor, and significant evidence. All exposure data passed the heterogeneity check (Cochrane\'s Q test p > 0.05) and no directional pleiotropy was detected. Leave-one-out analyses demonstrated the robustness of the causal relationship in the positive results.
    UNASSIGNED: Our study presents genetic evidence supporting a causal relationship between diet and an increased risk of IA. It also identifies a causal relationship between various dietary modalities and different types of IA. These findings have significant implications for the prevention and management of IA through dietary modifications.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景免疫系统和大脑之间的相互作用,对血脑屏障的完整性至关重要,是偏头痛发展的潜在因素。虽然有证据表明免疫失调和偏头痛之间有联系,缺乏明确的因果关系。为了弥合这种知识差距,我们对731种免疫细胞表型进行了MR分析,以确定其与偏头痛的因果关系.我们的目标是使用对731个免疫细胞标志物的MR分析来研究它们与偏头痛的因果关系。旨在加深我们对偏头痛免疫脑轴的理解,并发现新的治疗靶点。方法我们应用双样本MR方法来评估免疫细胞标志物与偏头痛之间的因果关系。从遗传数据分析731个表型。参数包括荧光,细胞丰度,计数,和形态学。敏感性和多效性检查验证了我们的发现。结果在应用错误发现率校正后,我们的孟德尔随机化研究确定了731种免疫表型中的35种与偏头痛有显著因果关系(P<0.05).其中,24显示出保护作用(方差反加权<0.05,比值比<1),和11个是危险因素(方差反加权≥0.05,比值比≥1).结论我们的研究揭示了某些免疫细胞标志物与偏头痛之间的重要遗传联系,为该疾病的病理生理学提供新的见解。这些发现对于开发靶向生物标志物和个性化治疗至关重要。该研究增强了我们对免疫细胞在偏头痛中的作用的理解,并可能大大改善患者的预后并减轻其社会经济影响。
    The interaction between the immune system and the brain, crucial for blood-brain barrier integrity, is a potential factor in migraine development. Although there\'s evidence of a connection between immune dysregulation and migraine, a clear causal link has been lacking. To bridge this knowledge gap, we performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis of 731 immune cell phenotypes to determine their causality with migraine, of which parameters included fluorescence, cell abundance, count, and morphology. Sensitivity and pleiotropy checks validated our findings. After applying a false discovery rate correction, our MR study identified 35 of 731 immune phenotypes with a significant causal link to migraine (p < 0.05). Of these, 24 showed a protective effect (inverse variance weighting : p < 0.05, odds ratio <1), and 11 were risk factors (inverse variance weighting : p < 0.05, odds ratio >1). Although limited by population sample size and potential population-specific genetic variations, our study uncovers a significant genetic link between certain immune cell markers and migraine, providing new insights into the disorder\'s pathophysiology. These discoveries are crucial for developing targeted biomarkers and personalized treatments. The research enhances our understanding of immune cells\' role in migraine and may substantially improve patient outcomes and lessen its socio-economic impact.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    当软件系统被引入时,它们通常部署在类似于开发和测试期间使用的现场环境中。然而,这些系统也可以用于不同环境条件的各种其他位置,提高软件可靠性具有挑战性。诸如特定的操作环境和代码中Bug的位置之类的因素导致了这种困难。在本文中,我们提出了一个新的软件可靠性模型,考虑到操作环境的不确定性。我们给出了所提出模型的显式闭式均值函数解。通过与基于Weibull模型的非齐次泊松过程(NHPP)模型进行比较,证明了该模型的拟合优度,使用来自软件应用程序的四组故障数据集。所提出的模型在各种估计技术下表现良好,使其成为从业者和研究人员的通用工具。在两种不同的估计方法下,所提出的模型在拟合精度方面优于其他现有的NHPPWeibull,并提供了更详细和精确的软件可靠性评估。此外,敏感性分析表明,建议分布的参数显著影响均值函数。
    When software systems are introduced, they are typically deployed in field environments similar to those used during development and testing. However, these systems may also be used in various other locations with different environmental conditions, making it challenging to improve software reliability. Factors such as the specific operating environment and the location of bugs in the code contribute to this difficulty. In this paper, we propose a new software reliability model that accounts for the uncertainty of operating environments. We present the explicit closed-form mean value function solution for the proposed model. The model\'s goodness of fit is demonstrated by comparing it to the nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) model based on Weibull model, using four sets of failure data sets from software applications. The proposed model performs well under various estimation techniques, making it a versatile tool for practitioners and researchers alike. The proposed model outperforms other existing NHPP Weibull based in terms of fitting accuracy under two different methods of estimation and provides a more detailed and precise evaluation of software reliability. Additionally, sensitivity analysis shows that the parameters of the suggested distribution significantly impact the mean value function.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Objectives.建筑工人的安全行为(CWSB)可能会受到多层次和相互关联因素的影响。培养和维护CWSB对于提高施工安全至关重要。当前的研究集中在组织级别或个人级别的CWSB先例上。然而,很少有研究研究心理因素对CWSB的影响,从而减少多水平因素对CWSB的联合影响。方法。为了确定加强CWSB的有效策略,本研究采用贝叶斯网络技术探讨CWSB与其前因因素之间的相互关系。建立了贝叶斯信念网络模型,并利用中国建筑工人的数据进行了训练,它连接了组织,CWSB的个体和心理因素。结果。根据敏感性分析,安全知识,安全气候和心理资本是CWSB最显著的三个影响因素。增强安全知识的组合策略,安全氛围和通信能力同时是加强CWSB的最有效选择。网络的验证和鲁棒性显示了良好的安全行为判断准确性。结论。这项研究提出了一种替代方法,通过确定其互动原因来改善安全行为,并说明了启动系统安全措施的重要性,这可能有助于缓解安全平台的问题。
    Objectives. Construction worker safety behavior (CWSB) may be affected by a confluence of multilevel and interrelated factors. Cultivating and maintaining CWSB is vital for improving construction safety. Current studies focus on organization-level or individual-level CWSB antecedents. However, few studies have examined the influence of psychological factors on CWSB, thereby reducing the joint effects of multilevel factors on CWSB. Methods. To determine effective strategies for strengthening CWSB, this study adopted the Bayesian network technique to explore the interrelationships between CWSB and its antecedent factors. A Bayesian belief network model was developed and trained with data collected from Chinese construction workers, which connected organizational, individual and psychological factors with CWSB. Results. According to the sensitivity analysis, safety knowledge, safety climate and psychological capital are the three most significant influencing factors for CWSB. A combined strategy that enhances safety knowledge, safety climate and communication competence simultaneously is the most effective option for strengthening CWSB. The validation and robustness of the network showed good accuracy for safety behavior judgment. Conclusion. This study proposes an alternative way to improve safety behavior by identifying its interactive causes and illustrates the importance of initiating systematic safety measures, which may help to mitigate the problem of safety plateau.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    简介:早期风险评估研究通常基于总重金属(类)含量,不可避免地导致对健康风险的高估。此外,输入在确定性模型中表示为单点估计,导致低估或高估健康风险。方法:为了克服这些障碍,在这项研究中,我们开发了一种基于生物可及性和蒙特卡洛模拟的组合使用的新型概率风险评估策略,以评估蚯蚓的重金属(类)相关健康风险.为了获得现实而稳健的概率风险评估,使用我们的问卷数据确定重金属(loid)暴露持续时间和频率.结果:结果,平均胃肠道生物可及性顺序为:Cd>As>Cu>Hg。男性和女性的平均危险指数(HI)值分别为0.65和0.59,分别,在普通社区中显示出可接受的健康风险。然而,男性和女性的HI值的第90百分位数是1.87和1.65,分别。重金属(类)暴露的总非癌风险超过了男性和女性的19.9%和17.8%的可接受阈值,分别。此外,通过共同暴露于As和Cd的总癌症风险(TCR)值表明,平均暴露人群可能会担心致癌风险。敏感性分析显示,暴露频率和生物可及性As浓度是总风险方差的主要贡献者,这为环境管理提供了有意义的启示。结论:总之,基于生物可达性和蒙特卡洛模拟的精细化策略是同类方法中的第一个,这种努力试图科学地指导中医的合理临床使用和改善人群健康。
    Introduction: Early risk assessment studies usually based on total heavy metal (loid) contents, inevitably leading to an overestimation of the health risks. In addition, inputs are represented as single-point estimates in deterministic models, leading to underestimation or overestimation of the health risks. Methods: To overcome these barriers, a novel probabilistic risk assessment strategy based on the combinational use of bioaccessibility and Monte Carlo simulation was developed to assess heavy metal (loid) associated health risks of earthworms in this study. To obtain a realistic and robust probabilistic risk assessment, heavy metal (loid) exposure duration and frequency were determined using our questionnaire data. Results: As a result, the mean gastrointestinal bioaccessibility was in the order: Cd > As > Cu > Hg. The mean hazard index (HI) values for investigated metal (loid)s were 0.65 and 0.59 for male and female, respectively, demonstrating an acceptable health risk in an average community. However, the 90th percentile of HI values was 1.87 and 1.65 for male and female, respectively. And the total non-cancer risks of heavy metal (loid) exposure exceeded the acceptable threshold for 19.9% and 17.8% of male and female, respectively. In addition, the total cancer risk (TCR) value through co-exposure to As and Cd suggested that the carcinogenic risks may be of concern for average exposure population. Sensitivity analyses revealed that the exposure frequency and bioaccessible As concentration were the dominant contributors to the total risk variance, which provided meaningful implications for environmental management. Conclusion: Altogether, the refined strategy based on bioaccessibility and Monte Carlo simulation is the first of its kind, such effort attempts to scientifically guide the rational clinic use of TCM and the improvement of population-health.
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  • 文章类型: English Abstract
    为了控制鹤壁市日益严重的臭氧(O3)污染,河南省,阐明臭氧及其前体的污染特征至关重要。因此,利用OFP-PMF-EKMA方法结合2022年夏季(6-9月)常规污染物和挥发性有机物(VOCs)的在线小时分辨率监测数据,对O3污染进行了综合分析。臭氧形成潜力(OFP)被用来识别关键的VOCs种类,并利用PMF模型识别VOCs排放源,而EKMA曲线和情景分析用于确定鹤壁主要的臭氧控制区,并以科学精细的方式确定VOCs和NOx的还原率。2022年,鹤壁发生了持续的O3污染,浓度在6月最高。高温条件下,低湿度,低气压促进了O3的积累。芳香和含氧挥发性有机化合物(OVOCs)对OFP和VOCs组分有显著贡献,是优势活性物质和浓度优势种。VOCs来源分析结果表明,机动车尾气来源(25.3%)是大气VOCs的主要来源,其次是工艺源(17.7%)和生物质燃烧源(17.6%)。因此,与化石燃料燃烧和工业生产排放相关的排放源是鹤壁最迫切需要控制的大气VOCs来源。鹤壁的O3生成发生在VOC敏感区,减排结果表明,VOCs和氮氧化物(NOx)协同减排可有效控制O3污染,VOCs减少75%,NOx减少10%。
    In order to control the increasing ozone (O3) pollution in Hebi, Henan Province, clarifying the pollution characteristics of ozone and its precursors is vital. Therefore, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of O3 pollution utilizing the OFP-PMF-EKMA method combined with online hourly resolution monitoring data of conventional pollutants and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in the summer of 2022 (June-September). Ozone formation potential (OFP) was used to identify the key VOCs species, and the PMF model was used to identify the VOCs emission sources, whereas EKMA curves and scenario analysis were used to identify the main ozone control area in Hebi and to determine the reduction ratio of VOCs and NOx in a scientifically refined way. In 2022, Hebi had persistent O3 pollution, with the highest concentration in June. Conditions of high temperature, low humidity, and low atmospheric pressure contributed to the O3 accumulation. Aromatic and oxygenated volatile organic compounds (OVOCs) contributed significantly to the OFP and VOCs fraction, which were the dominant active substance and concentration dominant species. The results of the VOCs source analysis indicated that vehicle exhaust sources (25.3%) were the main source of atmospheric VOCs, followed by process sources (17.7%) and biomass combustion sources (17.6%). Thus, emission sources associated with the combustion of fossil fuels and industrial production emissions were the most urgent sources of atmospheric VOCs to be controlled in Hebi. The O3 generation in Hebi occurred in the VOCs-sensitive zones, and the emission reduction results showed that a synergistic emission reduction of VOCs and nitrogen oxide (NOx) could effectively control O3 pollution with a 75% reduction in VOCs and a 10% reduction in NOx.
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