■本研究旨在探讨老年高血压住院患者衰弱的相关性及其对临床预后的影响。并构建该人群虚弱发生的预测模型。
■进行了一项横断面和前瞻性观察性队列研究,涉及2022年1月至6月在该机构诊断的312名老年高血压患者。使用油炸脆弱表型(FP)诊断脆弱,而Charlson合并症指数(CCI)评估了慢性病的存在。数据分析采用SPSS22.0。以虚弱为因变量进行二元logistic回归分析以确定危险因素。随访患者一年,以监测再入院率和全因死亡率。
■多元逻辑回归确定的CCI等级(P=0.030),性别(OR=21.618,95%CI:4.062-115.061,P<0.001),年龄(OR=1.147,95%CI:1.086-1.211,P<0.001),卧床状态(OR=11.620,95%CI:3.282-41.140,P<0.001),心律失常(OR=14.414,95%CI:4.558-45.585,P<0.001),心力衰竭(OR=5.439,95%CI:1.029-28.740,P<0.05),以及几个生化标记,作为虚弱的独立预测因子。建立了预测模型,表现出强大的辨别能力,受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)为0.915。在体弱者中观察到再入院率和全因死亡率的统计学差异,脆弱前,和非虚弱组(P<0.001),虚弱组表现出这些不良结局的最高发生率。值得注意的是,在该队列中,虚弱是再入院的重要预测因子(P<0.05),但不是全因死亡率的重要预测因子.
■本研究建立了老年高血压患者衰弱的稳健预测模型,强调CCI等级的影响,性别,年龄,和其他临床和生化因素对虚弱的影响。该模型为医疗保健提供者提供了一个有价值的工具来识别有风险的老年人,促进心血管疾病管理的针对性干预策略。
UNASSIGNED: This study aims to explore the correlates of frailty in hospitalized elderly hypertensive patients and its impact on clinical prognosis, and to construct a predictive model for the occurrence of frailty in this population.
UNASSIGNED: A cross-sectional and prospective observational cohort study was conducted, involving 312 elderly hypertensive patients diagnosed at the institution from January to June 2022. Frailty was diagnosed using the Fried Frailty Phenotype (FP), while the Charlson Comorbidities Index (CCI) assessed the presence of chronic conditions. Data analysis was performed using SPSS 22.0. Binary logistic regression analysis was conducted with frailty as the dependent variable to identify risk factors. Patients were followed for one year to monitor readmission rates and all-cause mortality.
UNASSIGNED: Multivariate logistic regression identified CCI grade (P=0.030), gender (OR=21.618, 95% CI: 4.062-115.061, P < 0.001), age (OR=1.147, 95% CI: 1.086-1.211, P < 0.001), bedridden state (OR=11.620, 95% CI: 3.282-41.140, P < 0.001), arrhythmia (OR=14.414, 95% CI: 4.558-45.585, P < 0.001), heart failure (OR=5.439, 95% CI: 1.029-28.740, P < 0.05), along with several biochemical markers, as independent predictors of frailty. A predictive model was developed, demonstrating a robust discriminative ability with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.915. Statistically significant differences in readmission rates and all-cause mortality were observed among the frail, pre-frail, and non-frail groups (P<0.001), with the frail group exhibiting the highest incidence of these adverse outcomes. Notably, frailty emerged as a significant predictor of readmission (P<0.05) but not of all-cause mortality in this cohort.
UNASSIGNED: This study establishes a robust frailty prediction model for elderly hypertensive patients, highlighting the influence of CCI grade, gender, age, and other clinical and biochemical factors on frailty. The model offers a valuable tool for healthcare providers to identify at-risk elderly individuals, facilitating targeted intervention strategies for cardiovascular disease management.