risk score

风险评分
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:这项研究的目的是研究肿瘤免疫微环境(TIME)中m6A甲基化调节因子与细胞浸润特征之间的相关性,从而帮助了解早期肺腺癌(LUAD)的免疫机制。
    方法:进行了早期LUAD中m6A甲基化调节因子的表达和一致性聚类分析。临床病理特征,免疫细胞浸润,分析了不同亚型的存活和功能富集。我们还构建了一个预后模子。临床组织样本用于通过实时聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)验证模型基因的表达。此外,还进行了细胞划痕测定和Transwell测定。
    结果:在早期LUAD中m6A甲基化调节因子的表达异常。根据m6A甲基化调节因子的共识聚类,早期LUAD患者分为两种亚型.两种亚型表现出不同的免疫细胞浸润水平和存活时间。由HNRNPC组成的预后模型,IGF2BP1和IGF2BP3可用于预测早期LUAD的生存。RT-PCR结果显示,HNRNPC,IGF2BP1和IGF2BP3在早期LUAD组织中显著上调。细胞划痕实验和Transwell实验结果表明,HNRNPC过表达促进NCI-H1299细胞的迁移和侵袭,而敲低HNRNPC抑制NCI-H1299细胞的迁移和侵袭。
    结论:这项工作揭示了m6A甲基化调节因子可能是早期LUAD患者预后的潜在生物标志物。我们的预后模型可能对预测早期LUAD的预后具有重要价值。
    BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate the correlation between m6A methylation regulators and cell infiltration characteristics in tumor immune microenvironment (TIME), so as to help understand the immune mechanism of early-stage lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).
    METHODS: The expression and consensus cluster analyses of m6A methylation regulators in early-stage LUAD were performed. The clinicopathological features, immune cell infiltration, survival and functional enrichment in different subtypes were analyzed. We also constructed a prognostic model. Clinical tissue samples were used to validate the expression of model genes through real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). In addition, cell scratch assay and Transwell assay were also performed.
    RESULTS: Expression of m6A methylation regulators was abnormal in early-stage LUAD. According to the consensus clustering of m6A methylation regulators, patients with early-stage LUAD were divided into two subtypes. Two subtypes showed different infiltration levels of immune cell and survival time. A prognostic model consisting of HNRNPC, IGF2BP1 and IGF2BP3 could be used to predict the survival of early-stage LUAD. RT-PCR results showed that HNRNPC, IGF2BP1 and IGF2BP3 were significantly up-regulated in early-stage LUAD tissues. The results of cell scratch assay and Transwell assay showed that overexpression of HNRNPC promotes the migration and invasion of NCI-H1299 cells, while knockdown HNRNPC inhibits the migration and invasion of NCI-H1299 cells.
    CONCLUSIONS: This work reveals that m6A methylation regulators may be potential biomarkers for prognosis in patients with early-stage LUAD. Our prognostic model may be of great value in predicting the prognosis of early-stage LUAD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:动脉粥样硬化性心血管疾病(ASCVD)一级预防新指南对人群的影响应在独立队列中进行探讨。
    目的:评估和比较2016年和2021年欧洲心脏病学会(ESC)的降脂治疗资格和预测分类表现,2019美国心脏协会/美国心脏病学会(AHA/ACC)和2022U.S.预防服务工作组(USPSTF)指南。
    方法:来自Colaus|PsyCoLaus研究的参与者,无ASCVD和基线时不服用降脂治疗。使用SCORE1,SCORE2(包括SCORE2-OP)和PCE推导ASCVD的10年风险。根据每个指南计算符合降脂治疗资格的人数,并使用首次事件ASCVD作为结果评估风险模型的辨别和校准指标。
    结果:在4,092人中,158例(3.9%)在9年的中位随访期间经历了ASCVD事件(IQR,1.1).40.2%的患者推荐或考虑降脂治疗(95%CI,38.2-42.2),26.4%(24.6-28.2),28.6%(26.7-30.5)和22.6%(20.9-24.4)的女性和62.1%(59.8-64.3),58.7%(56.4-61.0),根据2016年ESC,52.6%(50.3-54.9)和48.4%(46.1-50.7)的男性,2021年ESC,2019AHA/ACC和2022USPSTF指南,分别。根据2021年ESC和2022年USPSTF,43.3%和46.7%的面临ASCVD事件的女性在基线时不符合降脂治疗的条件。与2016年ESC和2019年AHA/ACC的21.7%和38.3%相比,分别。
    结论:2022年USPSTF和2021年ESC指南均特别降低了女性的降脂治疗资格。将近一半的患ASCVD的妇女没有资格接受降脂治疗。
    目标:与以前的欧洲和美国指南相比,2021年欧洲心脏病学会(ESC)和2022年美国预防服务工作组(USPSTF)在降脂治疗资格和风险分类方面的初级心血管预防指南对人群的影响是什么?
    结果:在一项基于人群的队列研究中,包括4,069名没有心血管疾病和降脂治疗的成年人,与2016年ESC和2019年美国心脏协会/美国心脏病学会(AHA/ACC)指南相比,两项指南的实施导致符合治疗资格的个体比例较低,尤其是女性。在女性中,近半数的10年心血管事件发生在不推荐降脂治疗的人群中.
    2021ESC和2022USPSTF指南减少了过度治疗,但并未改善将发展为ASCVD的个体的识别。有必要更好地对女性的心血管风险进行分层。
    Population-wide impacts of new guidelines in the primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) should be explored in independent cohorts. Assess and compare the lipid-lowering therapy eligibility and predictive classification performance of 2016 and 2021 European Society of Cardiology (ESC), 2019 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology (AHA/ACC), and 2022 US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) guidelines.
    Participants from the CoLaus|PsyCoLaus study, without ASCVD and not taking lipid-lowering therapy at baseline. Derivation of 10-year risk for ASCVD using Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE1), SCORE2 [including SCORE2-Older Persons (SCORE2-OP)], and pooled cohort equation. Computation of the number of people eligible for lipid-lowering therapy based on each guideline and assessment of discrimination and calibration metrics of the risk models using first incident ASCVD as an outcome. Among 4,092 individuals, 158 (3.9%) experienced an incident ASCVD during a median follow-up of 9 years (interquartile range, 1.1). Lipid-lowering therapy was recommended or considered in 40.2% (95% confidence interval, 38.2-42.2), 26.4% (24.6-28.2), 28.6% (26.7-30.5), and 22.6% (20.9-24.4) of women and in 62.1% (59.8-64.3), 58.7% (56.4-61.0), 52.6% (50.3-54.9), and 48.4% (46.1-50.7) of men according to the 2016 ESC, 2021 ESC, 2019 AHA/ACC, and 2022 USPSTF guidelines, respectively. 43.3 and 46.7% of women facing an incident ASCVD were not eligible for lipid-lowering therapy at baseline according to the 2021 ESC and 2022 USPSTF, compared with 21.7 and 38.3% using the 2016 ESC and 2019 AHA/ACC, respectively.
    Both the 2022 USPSTF and 2021 ESC guidelines particularly reduced lipid-lowering therapy eligibility in women. Nearly half of women who faced an incident ASCVD were not eligible for lipid-lowering therapy.
    Compared with previous European and US guidelines, what are the population-wide impacts of the 2021 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and 2022 US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) guidelines for primary cardiovascular prevention in terms of lipid-lowering therapy eligibility and risk classification performance?
    In a population-based cohort study comprising 4069 adults free from cardiovascular disease and lipid-lowering treatment, the implementation of both guidelines resulted in a lower proportion of treatment-eligible individuals compared with the 2016 ESC and 2019 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology guidelines, especially among women. In women, nearly half of 10-year incident cardiovascular events occurred in those for whom a lipid-lowering therapy was not recommended. Meanings: The 2021 ESC and 2022 USPSTF guidelines reduced overtreatment but did not improve the identification of individuals who will develop atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. There is a need to better stratify the cardiovascular risk in women.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在VTE诊断过程中,在影像学检查之前,用VTE风险评分评估VTE可能性是必不可少的。在临床怀疑为VTE的非手术住院患者指南中,关于VTE风险评分中VTE诊断的预测能力差异知之甚少。
    方法:进行了一项回顾性研究,以比较Wells之间VTE诊断的预测能力,日内瓦多年来,PERC,帕多瓦,在主要权威指南中提高非手术住院疑似VTE患者的评分。
    结果:在3168名疑似静脉血栓栓塞的非手术住院患者中,最终在2733例(86.3%)中排除了VTE,而在435例(13.7%)中证实。由Wells产生的敏感性和特异性,日内瓦多年来,PERC,帕多瓦,和提高分数(90.3%,49.8%),(88.7%,53.6%),(73.8%,50.2%),(97.7%,16.9%),(80.9%,44.0%),和(78.2%,47.0%),分别。井的YI分别为0.401、0.423、0.240、0.146、0.249和0.252,日内瓦多年来,PERC,帕多瓦,提高分数,分别。C指数为0.694(0.626-0.762),0.697(0.623-0.772),0.602(0.535-0.669),0.569(0.486-0.652),0.607(0.533-0.681),油井为0.609(0.538-0.680),日内瓦多年来,PERC,帕多瓦,提高分数,分别。在Wells与Geneva的成对比较中,一致性是显着的(Kappa0.753,P=0.565),年与帕多瓦(Kappa0.816,P=0.565),年数与改善数(Kappa0.771,P=0.645),和帕多瓦与改善(卡帕0.789,P=0.812),而它在其他对中不存在。PERC的YI提高到0.304、0.272和0.264(AUC0.631[0.547-0.714],P=0.006),帕多瓦(AUC0.613[0.527-0.700],P=0.017),和改善(AUC0.614[0.530-0.698],P=0.016),修订后的截止值为5或更小,6或更多,4或更多表示VTE的可能性,分别。
    结论:对于疑似静脉血栓栓塞的非手术住院患者,日内瓦和威尔斯的得分表现最好,PERC分数表现最差,尽管它的灵敏度很高,而其他人是中间人,尽管所有孤立分数的绝对预测能力都很平庸。PERC的预测能力,帕多瓦,通过修订的截止值,提高了分数。
    BACKGROUND: The assessment of VTE likelihood with VTE risk scores is essential prior to imaging examinations during VTE diagnostic procedure. Little is known with respect to the disparity of predictive power for VTE diagnosis among VTE risk scores in guidelines for nonsurgical hospitalized patients with clinically suspected VTE.
    METHODS: A retrospective study was performed to compare the predictive power for VTE diagnosis among the Wells, Geneva, YEARS, PERC, Padua, and IMPROVE scores in the leading authoritative guidelines in nonsurgical hospitalized patients with suspected VTE.
    RESULTS: Among 3168 nonsurgical hospitalized patients with suspected VTE, VTE was finally excluded in 2733(86.3%) ones, whereas confirmed in 435(13.7%) ones. The sensitivity and specificity resulted from the Wells, Geneva, YEARS, PERC, Padua, and IMPROVE scores were (90.3%, 49.8%), (88.7%, 53.6%), (73.8%, 50.2%), (97.7%,16.9%), (80.9%, 44.0%), and (78.2%, 47.0%), respectively. The YI were 0.401, 0.423, 0.240, 0.146, 0.249, and 0.252 for the Wells, Geneva, YEARS, PERC, Padua, and IMPROVE scores, respectively. The C-index were 0.694(0.626-0.762), 0.697(0.623-0.772), 0.602(0.535-0.669), 0.569(0.486-0.652), 0.607(0.533-0.681), and 0.609(0.538-0.680) for the Wells, Geneva, YEARS, PERC, Padua, and IMPROVE scores, respectively. Consistency was significant in the pairwise comparison of Wells vs Geneva(Kappa 0.753, P = 0.565), YEARS vs Padua(Kappa 0.816, P = 0.565), YEARS vs IMPROVE(Kappa 0.771, P = 0.645), and Padua vs IMPROVE(Kappa 0.789, P = 0.812), whereas it did not present in the other pairs. The YI was improved to 0.304, 0.272, and 0.264 for the PERC(AUC 0.631[0.547-0.714], P = 0.006), Padua(AUC 0.613[0.527-0.700], P = 0.017), and IMPROVE(AUC 0.614[0.530-0.698], P = 0.016), with a revised cutoff of 5 or less, 6 or more, and 4 or more denoting the VTE-likely, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: For nonsurgical hospitalized patients with suspected VTE, the Geneva and Wells scores perform best, the PERC scores performs worst despite its significantly high sensitivity, whereas the others perform intermediately, albeit the absolute predictive power of all isolated scores are mediocre. The predictive power of the PERC, Padua, and IMPROVE scores are improved with revised cutoffs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    预防痴呆症是全球卫生优先事项。2019年,世界卫生组织发布了关于降低痴呆症风险的首个循证指南。我们现在正处于需要有效工具和资源来评估痴呆症风险并将这些指南实施到政策和实践中的阶段。在本文中,我们回顾了痴呆症风险评分作为促进这一过程的一种手段。具体来说,我们(a)讨论痴呆症风险评估的基本原理,(b)概述审查风险评分时要考虑的一些概念和方法问题,(c)评估目前使用的一些痴呆症风险评分,(d)就未来的方向提供一些意见。痴呆症风险评分是风险因素的加权组合,反映了个体患痴呆症的可能性。总的来说,痴呆症风险评分具有广泛的实施和益处,包括提供高风险个体的早期识别,改善患者和医生的风险感知,并帮助卫生专业人员推荐有针对性的干预措施,以改善生活习惯,降低痴呆风险。已经发表了许多痴呆症的风险评分,有些被广泛用于研究和临床试验,例如,CAIDE,ANU-ADRI,天秤座。然而,使用这些风险评分存在一些方法学问题和局限性,需要更多的研究来提高其有效性和适用性.总的来说,我们的结论是,在进一步完善风险评分的同时,有足够的证据使用这些评估来实施降低痴呆风险的指南.
    Dementia prevention is a global health priority. In 2019, the World Health Organisation published its first evidence-based guidelines on dementia risk reduction. We are now at the stage where we need effective tools and resources to assess dementia risk and implement these guidelines into policy and practice. In this paper we review dementia risk scores as a means to facilitate this process. Specifically, we (a) discuss the rationale for dementia risk assessment, (b) outline some conceptual and methodological issues to consider when reviewing risk scores, (c) evaluate some dementia risk scores that are currently in use, and (d) provide some comments about future directions. A dementia risk score is a weighted composite of risk factors that reflects the likelihood of an individual developing dementia. In general, dementia risks scores have a wide range of implementations and benefits including providing early identification of individuals at high risk, improving risk perception for patients and physicians, and helping health professionals recommend targeted interventions to improve lifestyle habits to decrease dementia risk. A number of risk scores for dementia have been published, and some are widely used in research and clinical trials e.g., CAIDE, ANU-ADRI, and LIBRA. However, there are some methodological concerns and limitations associated with the use of these risk scores and more research is needed to increase their effectiveness and applicability. Overall, we conclude that, while further refinement of risk scores is underway, there is adequate evidence to use these assessments to implement guidelines on dementia risk reduction.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    高血压,全球最常见的非传染性疾病,是心血管疾病和肾衰竭的重要危险因素。理论上,虽然通过简单的措施很容易诊断和管理,实际上,已经观察到,在发展中国家和发达国家,不仅治疗不足,而且诊断及其预防措施不足。各种国际组织的一些指南可用于指导临床医生进行高血压管理。尽管所有指南中高血压管理的基本原则都相似,存在细微的差异。在这篇文章中,我们比较了两种最广泛接受的高血压指南,也就是说,美国心脏病学会/美国心脏协会2017年高血压指南和2018年欧洲心脏病学会和欧洲高血压学会高血压指南。介绍了这两个广泛遵循的指南之间的差异和相似之处。
    Hypertension, the commonest noncommunicable disease globally, is an important risk factor for cardiovascular disease and renal failure. Theoretically, while it is easy to diagnose and manage by simple measures, practically it has been observed that not only treatment but also diagnosis and its preventive measures are inadequate in developing as well as developed nations. Several guidelines by various international organizations are available to guide clinicians for hypertension management. Though the basic principles of hypertension management are similar in all the guidelines, subtle differences are there. In this article, we compare the two most widely accepted guidelines for hypertension, that is, American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 2017 Hypertension Guidelines and 2018 European Society of Cardiology and European Society of Hypertension Guidelines on Hypertension. Both the differences and similarities between these two widely followed guidelines are presented.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:ALT≥80U/L和HBVDNA≥2000IU/ml是慢性乙型肝炎(CHB)患者APASL指南的治疗标准。在灰色地带(ALT<80U/L或HBVDNA<2000IU/ml)患者的抗病毒治疗的需要是有争议的。本研究旨在开发一种评分系统来预测肝细胞癌(HCC)并评估这些患者抗病毒治疗的益处。
    方法:对749例患者进行分析。对重要变量进行加权以开发用于HCC预测的评分系统。受试者工作曲线下面积(AUROC)通过REVEAL-HBV队列(n=3527)进行估计和验证。
    结果:年龄较大(p<0.001),男性(p=0.036),HCC家族史(p=0.002)和HBVDNA≥2000IU/ml(p=0.045)与HCC独立相关。14点风险评分系统预测3年和5年HCC风险为AUROC的0.866和0.868,分别在派生队列;0.821和0.820,在REVEAL-HBV队列。在衍生和验证队列中,高风险(评分≥8)组的累积HCC发生率较高(p<0.001)。与没有抗病毒治疗的患者相比,具有较低的HCC发病率(p=0.016)。值得注意的是,抗病毒治疗显着降低肝癌的高风险组(P=0.005),但在低风险组中没有(p=0.705)。
    结论:建立并验证了风险评分系统。在APASL指南灰色地带的CHB患者中,风险评分≥8的患者患HCC的风险较高,但抗病毒治疗可以显著降低风险。
    BACKGROUND: ALT ≥ 80 U/L and HBV DNA ≥ 2000 IU/ml are treatment criteria of APASL guidelines for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. The need of antiviral therapy for patients in gray zone (ALT < 80 U/L or HBV DNA < 2000 IU/ml) is controversial. This study aimed to develop a scoring system to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and evaluate the benefit of antiviral therapy in these patients.
    METHODS: Seven hundred and forty-nine patients were analyzed. Significant variables were weighted to develop a scoring system for HCC prediction. The area under receiver operating curves (AUROC) were estimated and validated by REVEAL-HBV cohort (n = 3527).
    RESULTS: Older age (p < 0.001), male sex (p = 0.036), family history of HCC (p = 0.002) and HBV DNA ≥ 2000 IU/ml (p = 0.045) were independently associated with HCC. A 14-point risk score system predicts 3 and 5-years HCC risk to be 0.866 and 0.868 of AUROC, respectively in the derivation cohort; 0.821 and 0.820, in the REVEAL-HBV cohort. The cumulative HCC incidence was higher in the high risk (score ≥ 8) group both in derivation and validation cohorts (p < 0.001). Patients with antiviral therapy had lower HCC incidence compared to those without (p = 0.016). Of note, antiviral therapy significantly decreased HCC in the high risk group (p = 0.005), but not in the low risk group (p = 0.705).
    CONCLUSIONS: A risk scoring system is established and validated. Of CHB patients in gray zone of APASL guidelines, those with risk scores ≥ 8 had higher risk of HCC, but the risk could be significantly reduced by antiviral therapy.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:综合血脂和风险管理指南中的类别由日本动脉粥样硬化学会(JASGuidelines2017)提出,采用Suita评分中估计的10年冠状动脉疾病(CAD)发病率绝对风险。我们检查了这些类别是否与动脉僵硬度一致。
    方法:2014年,心踝血管指数(CAVI),动脉僵硬度参数,在鹤冈市35-74岁的1,972名日本参与者中进行了测量,山形县,日本。我们使用方差分析和逻辑回归分析,在以下三个管理分类的基础上,检查了平均CAVI以及CAVI≥9.0的比例和优势比(ORs):“I类(低风险),II类(中等风险),“和”第三类(高风险)。\"
    结果:男性平均CAVI和CAVI≥9.0的比例分别为8.6和34.8%,女性为8.1和18.3%,分别。在男性和女性中,平均CAVI和CAVI≥9.0的比例与估计的10年CAD绝对风险相关。排除女性高风险。这些结果与指南的管理分类法相似:与I类相比,II类和III类CAVI≥9.0的多变量调整OR(95%置信区间)为2.96(1.61-5.43)和男性为7.33(4.03-13.3),女性为3.99(2.55-6.24)和3.34(2.16-5.16),分别。
    结论:风险分层,这是在JAS指南2017中提出的,与动脉僵硬度参数一致。
    OBJECTIVE: The categories in the comprehensive lipid and risk management guidelines were proposed by the Japan Atherosclerosis Society (JAS Guidelines 2017), which adopted the estimated 10 year absolute risk of coronary artery disease (CAD) incidence in the Suita score. We examined whether those categories were concordant with the degree of arterial stiffness.
    METHODS: In 2014, the cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI), an arterial stiffness parameter, was measured in 1,972 Japanese participants aged 35-74 years in Tsuruoka City, Yamagata Prefecture, Japan. We examined the mean CAVI and the proportion and odds ratios (ORs) of CAVI ≥ 9.0 on the basis of the following three management classifications using the analysis of variance and logistic regression: \"Category I (Low risk),\" \"Category II (Middle risk),\" and \"Category III (High risk).\"
    RESULTS: The mean CAVI and proportion of CAVI ≥ 9.0 were 8.6 and 34.8% among males and 8.1 and 18.3% among females, respectively. The mean CAVI and proportion of CAVI ≥ 9.0 were associated with an estimated 10 year absolute risk for CAD among males and females, excluding High risk for females. These results were similar to the management classification by the guideline: the multivariable-adjusted ORs (95% confidence intervals) of CAVI ≥ 9.0 among Category II and Category III compared with those among Category I were 2.96 (1.61-5.43) and 7.33 (4.03-13.3) for males and 3.99 (2.55-6.24) and 3.34 (2.16-5.16) for females, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: The risk stratification, which was proposed in the JAS Guidelines 2017, is concordant with the arterial stiffness parameter.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Background The cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) population is no longer composed of only patients with acute coronary syndromes, and includes those with acute heart failure and multiple comorbidities. We hypothesized that the GWTG-HF (Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure) risk score that predicts inpatient mortality in hospitalized patients with heart failure would predict mortality in CICU patients. Methods and Results We retrospectively analyzed CICU patients at a tertiary care hospital from 2007 to 2015. The GWTG-HF risk score was calculated at CICU admission. As a secondary analysis, the EFFECT (Enhanced Feedback for Effective Cardiac Treatment), OPTIMIZE-HF (Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients With Heart Failure), and ADHERE (Acute Decompensated Heart Failure National Registry) risk scores were calculated. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value were determined for inpatient and 1-year mortality. The GWTG-HF risk score was calculated in 9532 (95%) patients, with a median value of 40 (interquartile range, 35-47). Inpatient mortality occurred in 824 (8.6%) patients, and 2075 (21.8%) patients died by 1 year. Patients who died in hospital had a significantly higher mean GWTG-HF score (47.7 versus 40.2; P<0.001). Inpatient and 1-year mortality increased in each GWTG-HF risk score quartile (P<0.0001). Discrimination of the GWTG-HF, EFFECT, OPTIMIZE-HF, and ADHERE risk scores was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values for hospital mortality, and were similar for all risk scores (0.72-0.74; P>0.05). The Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic suggested poor calibration for hospital mortality by the GWTG-HF risk score (P<0.001). Conclusions The GWTG-HF risk score and other heart failure prediction tools demonstrate good discrimination for inpatient and 1-year mortality in a heterogeneous cohort of CICU patients. Our study emphasizes that prognostic variables overlap in cardiac patients, regardless of the admission diagnosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    To promote uniformity in measuring adherence to the Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement, a reporting guideline for diagnostic and prognostic prediction model studies, and thereby facilitate comparability of future studies assessing its impact, we transformed the original 22 TRIPOD items into an adherence assessment form and defined adherence scoring rules. TRIPOD specific challenges encountered were the existence of different types of prediction model studies and possible combinations of these within publications. More general issues included dealing with multiple reporting elements, reference to information in another publication, and non-applicability of items. We recommend our adherence assessment form to be used by anyone (eg, researchers, reviewers, editors) evaluating adherence to TRIPOD, to make these assessments comparable. In general, when developing a form to assess adherence to a reporting guideline, we recommend formulating specific adherence elements (if needed multiple per reporting guideline item) using unambiguous wording and the consideration of issues of applicability in advance.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Background Patients who have had an acute coronary syndrome ( ACS ) are at increased risk of recurrent cardiovascular events; however, paradoxically, high-risk patients who may derive the greatest benefit from guideline-recommended therapies are often undertreated. The aim of our study was to examine the management, clinical outcomes, and temporal trends of patients after ACS stratified by the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk score for secondary prevention, a recently validated clinical tool that incorporates 9 clinical risk factors. Methods and Results Included were patients with ACS enrolled in the biennial Acute Coronary Syndrome Israeli Surveys ( ACSIS ) between 2008 and 2016. Patients were stratified by the TIMI risk score for secondary prevention to low (score 0-1), intermediate (2), or high (≥3) risk. Clinical outcomes included 30-day major adverse cardiac events (death, myocardial infarction, stroke, unstable angina, stent thrombosis, urgent revascularization) and 1-year mortality. Of 6827 ACS patients enrolled, 35% were low risk, 27% were intermediate risk, and 38% were high risk. Compared with the other risk groups, high-risk patients were older, were more commonly female, and had more renal dysfunction and heart failure ( P<0.001 for each). High-risk patients were treated less commonly with guideline-recommended therapies during hospitalization (percutaneous coronary intervention) and at discharge (statins, dual-antiplatelet therapy, cardiac rehabilitation). Overall, high-risk patients had higher rates of 30-day major adverse cardiac events (7.2% low, 8.2% intermediate, and 15.1% high risk; P<0.001) and 1-year mortality (1.9%, 4.6%, and 15.8%, respectively; P<0.001). Over the past decade, utilization of guideline-recommended therapies has increased among all risk groups; however, the rate of 30-day major adverse cardiac events has significantly decreased among patients at high risk but not among patients at low and intermediate risk. Similarly, the 1-year mortality rate has decreased numerically only among high-risk patients. Conclusions Despite an improvement in the management of high-risk ACS patients, they are still undertreated with guideline-recommended therapies. Nevertheless, the outcome of high-risk patients after ACS has significantly improved in the past decade, thus they should not be denied these therapies.
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