pharmacoepidemiology

药物流行病学
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:法国国家健康数据系统(SNDS)包含覆盖法国99%人口(超过6700万人)的医疗保健数据。这项研究的目的是提供已发表的使用SNDS成熟期的药物流行病学研究的概述。
    方法:我们从2012年1月至2018年8月对Pubmed和EMBASE数据库中的原始研究文章进行了系统的文献综述。
    结果:共纳入316篇全文,在研究期间每年增加。筛查后只有16条记录被排除,因为它们不涉及SNDS,而是涉及其他法国医疗保健数据库。只有66%的研究清楚地报道了研究设计,其中57%是回顾性队列研究,22%是横断面研究。报告的研究目标是药物利用率(65%),安全性(22%)和有效性(9%)。几乎所有的ATC组都进行了研究,但在149项研究中,最常见的研究涉及神经系统(49%),104项研究中的心血管系统药物(34%)和50项研究中的全身使用抗感染药物(16%)。
    结论:SNDS对药物使用和安全性的研究越来越感兴趣,可以在特定人群中进行更多,包括孩子,孕妇和老人,因为这些人群通常不包括在临床试验中。
    OBJECTIVE: The French National Health Data System (SNDS) comprises healthcare data that cover 99% of the population (over 67 million individuals) in France. The aim of this study was to present an overview of published pharmacoepidemiological studies using the SNDS in its maturation phase.
    METHODS: We conducted a systematic literature review of original research articles in the Pubmed and EMBASE databases from January 2012 until August 2018.
    RESULTS: A total of 316 full-text articles were included, with an annual increase over the study period. Only 16 records were excluded after screening because they did not involve the SNDS but other French healthcare databases. The study design was clearly reported in only 66% of studies of which 57% were retrospective cohorts and 22% cross-sectional studies. The reported study objectives were drug utilization (65%), safety (22%) and effectiveness (9%). Almost all ATC groups were studied but the most frequent ones concerned the nervous system in 149 studies (49%), cardiovascular system drugs in 104 studies (34%) and anti-infectives for systemic use in 50 studies (16%).
    CONCLUSIONS: The SNDS is of growing interest for studies on drug use and safety, which could be conducted more in specific populations, including children, pregnant women and the elderly, as these populations are often not included in clinical trials.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:真实世界证据(RWE)越来越多地用于医疗监管决策,然而,人们仍然担心其可重复性和有效性。这项研究解决了与真实世界数据源(RWDS)多样性相关的可重复性挑战,这些数据源被重新用于药物流行病学研究中的二次使用。我们的目标是识别,描述和表征实践,收集和报告RWDS多样性的建议和工具,并探索如何利用多样性可以提高证据的质量。
    方法:在初步阶段,文献检索和选择工具的关键词是使用一组被共同作者认为是关键的文档设计的。接下来,到2021年12月进行了系统的搜索。生成的文件根据标题和摘要进行筛选,然后使用选择工具基于全文。对选定的文件进行了审查,以提取与收集和报告RWDS多样性有关的主题的信息。对主题的内容分析确定了明确的和潜在的主题。
    结果:在选定的91个文档中,确定了12个主题:用于描述RWDS的9个维度(组织访问数据源,数据发起人,提示,纳入人口,内容,数据字典,时间跨度,医疗体系和文化,和数据质量),总结这些维度的工具,挑战,和多样性带来的机会。在各方面确定了36个主题。数据多样性带来的机会包括多重归集和标准化。
    结论:在大量出版物中确定的维度为报告数据源多样性的正式指导奠定了基础,以促进解释并增强RWE的可复制性和有效性。
    OBJECTIVE: Real-world evidence (RWE) is increasingly used for medical regulatory decisions, yet concerns persist regarding its reproducibility and hence validity. This study addresses reproducibility challenges associated with diversity across real-world data sources (RWDS) repurposed for secondary use in pharmacoepidemiologic studies. Our aims were to identify, describe and characterize practices, recommendations and tools for collecting and reporting diversity across RWDSs, and explore how leveraging diversity could improve the quality of evidence.
    METHODS: In a preliminary phase, keywords for a literature search and selection tool were designed using a set of documents considered to be key by the coauthors. Next, a systematic search was conducted up to December 2021. The resulting documents were screened based on titles and abstracts, then based on full texts using the selection tool. Selected documents were reviewed to extract information on topics related to collecting and reporting RWDS diversity. A content analysis of the topics identified explicit and latent themes.
    RESULTS: Across the 91 selected documents, 12 topics were identified: 9 dimensions used to describe RWDS (organization accessing the data source, data originator, prompt, inclusion of population, content, data dictionary, time span, healthcare system and culture, and data quality), tools to summarize such dimensions, challenges, and opportunities arising from diversity. Thirty-six themes were identified within the dimensions. Opportunities arising from data diversity included multiple imputation and standardization.
    CONCLUSIONS: The dimensions identified across a large number of publications lay the foundation for formal guidance on reporting diversity of data sources to facilitate interpretation and enhance replicability and validity of RWE.
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  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    背景:骨折对老年人有严重的健康后果。虽然一些药物单独与跌倒和骨折的风险增加有关,目前尚不清楚这是否适用于许多药物(多药房)的使用。我们的目的是确定关于多重用药与65岁以上成年人骨折风险之间的关联的已知信息,并检查用于研究这种关联的方法。
    方法:我们对截至2023年10月在PubMed上发表的研究进行了系统综述,Embase,CINAHL,心理信息,科克伦图书馆,WebofScience,灰色文学。两名独立审稿人筛选了标题,摘要,和全文,然后进行数据提取和质量评估。
    结果:在纳入的31项研究中,使用了11种不同的多重用药定义,并基于三种药物计数方法(同时使用15/31,一段时间内的累积使用6/31,每日平均3/31和不确定的7/31)。总的来说,多重用药是常见的,并且与较高的骨折风险相关。观察到药物数量增加和骨折风险增加之间的剂量反应关系。然而,只有七项研究调整了主要混杂因素(年龄,性别,和慢性疾病)。研究的质量从低到高不等。
    结论:多重用药似乎是老年人骨折的一个相关的可改变的危险因素,可以很容易地用来识别那些有风险的人。药物计算方法和多重用药定义的多样性突出了详细方法理解和比较结果的重要性。
    BACKGROUND: Fractures have serious health consequences in older adults. While some medications are individually associated with increased risk of falls and fractures, it is not clear if this holds true for the use of many medications (polypharmacy). We aimed to identify what is known about the association between polypharmacy and the risk of fractures in adults aged ≥65 and to examine the methods used to study this association.
    METHODS: We conducted a systematic review with narrative synthesis of studies published up to October 2023 in PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, PsychINFO, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and the grey literature. Two independent reviewers screened titles, abstracts, and full texts, then performed data extraction and quality assessment.
    RESULTS: Among the 31 studies included, 11 different definitions of polypharmacy were used and were based on three medication counting methods (concurrent use 15/31, cumulative use over a period 6/31, daily average 3/31, and indeterminate 7/31). Overall, polypharmacy was frequent and associated with higher fracture risk. A dose-response relationship between increasing number of medications and increased risk of fractures was observed. However, only seven studies adjusted for major confounders (age, sex, and chronic disease). The quality of the studies ranged from poor to high.
    CONCLUSIONS: Polypharmacy appears to be a relevant modifiable risk factor for fractures in older individuals that can easily be used to identify those at risk. The diversity of medication calculation methods and definitions of polypharmacy highlights the importance of a detailed methodology to understand and compare results.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:药物利用研究(DUS)为国家或目标人群水平的药物利用提供了框架,并提供了有关未满足医疗需求的重要信息,特别是评估药物使用的合理性。我们旨在系统地审查在Turkiye进行的DUS。
    方法:我们用可访问的全文检查了162个DUS,发表为“研究文章”,并于2000年至2021年在Turkiye使用医疗记录和处方数据进行。我们包括英语或土耳其语论文与英文摘要。我们研究了出版物的科学特征,数据的来源,收集的地点/时间,研究设计,并研究了药物组。
    结果:我们发现79.6%的文章是英文的,45.1%在SCI/SCIE中列出,63.0%的人在WOS平台上引用了3.5次(四分位距:1-15次)。平均研究时间和发表时间为2.9±3.1和2.9±2.1年,分别。2021年发表的研究数量最多(17.9%),在全国范围内进行(26.5%)。我们发现93.8%的研究采用回顾性设计,67.8%是在二级/三级保健机构进行的,54.9%使用直接医院数据。我们发现68.5%的研究是在普通人群中进行的,成人占19.1%,儿童占12.4%,44.4%为抗生素导向。
    结论:我们的研究表明,DUS的很大一部分,这种趋势近年来势头强劲,以抗生素为重点,采用回顾性设计,从一般患者人群的医院数据中收集.这种情况表明,有必要通过有效利用病历数据库提供的新优势来扩大现有的DUS范围,并进行更多的DUS,从而为特定患者和药物组提供关键线索。
    OBJECTIVE: Drug utilization studies (DUS) provide a framework for drug utilization at the national or targeted population level and important information on unmet medical needs, particularly in assessing the rationality of drug use. We aimed to systematically review DUS conducted in Turkiye.
    METHODS: We examined 162 DUS with an accessible full-text, published as \"research articles\" and conducted in Turkiye between 2000 and 2021 using medical records and prescription data. We included English or Turkish papers with English abstracts. We examined the scientific characteristics of the publications, source of the data, place/time of collection, research designs, and studied drug groups.
    RESULTS: We found that 79.6% of articles were in English, 45.1% were listed in SCI/SCIE, and 63.0% were on the WOS platform with 3.5 (interquartile range: 1-15) citations. The mean study period and publication time were 2.9±3.1 and 2.9±2.1 years, respectively. The highest number of studies (17.9%) were published in 2021 and (26.5%) were conducted nationwide. We identified that 93.8% of the studies had retrospective design, 67.8% were conducted in secondary/tertiary health-care institutions, and 54.9% used direct hospital data. We detected that 68.5% of the studies were conducted on the general population, 19.1% on adults, 12.4% on children, and 44.4% were antibiotic oriented.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that a significant portion of the DUS, the trend of which has gained momentum in recent years, was antibiotic focused and conducted with a retrospective design from hospital-based data collected on the general patient population. This situation points to the necessity of expanding the existing DUS range by effectively using the new advantages provided by medical record databases and conducting more DUS that can provide critical clues for specific patients and drug groups.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    重要的是检查精神分裂症的精神处方实践,因为它可以告知有关改变治疗选择和相关的患者概况。最近没有评论评估精神分裂症成年人的全球神经精神药理学处方模式。对2002年至2023年发表的文献进行了系统的搜索,发现了88篇与使用精神药物有关的实证论文。全球范围内,精神药物的处方在国家间和地区间差异很大。总的来说,随着时间的推移,第二代抗精神病药的处方率绝对增加(高达50%),情绪稳定剂(高达15%),和抗抑郁药(高达17%),观察到抗精神病药物复方率绝对下降(高达15%),使用高剂量抗精神病药(亚洲高达12%),氯氮平(高达9%)和抗精神病药长效注射剂(高达10%)。处方模式主要与特定的社会人口统计学(如年龄)相关,疾病(如疾病持续时间),和治疗因素(如依从性)。进一步的工作,包括辅助神经精神药物治疗的更多证据,药物经济考虑,以及前瞻性研究中的队列检查,可以提供与不同治疗设置相关的处方趋势变化的见解,以及这些趋势的预测因素,以加强精神分裂症的临床管理。
    It is important to examine the psychotropic prescription practices in schizophrenia, as it can inform regarding changing treatment choices and related patient profiles. No recent reviews have evaluated the global neuropsychopharmacological prescription patterns in adults with schizophrenia. A systematic search of the literature published from 2002 to 2023 found 88 empirical papers pertinent to the utilization of psychotropic agents. Globally, there were wide inter-country and inter-regional variations in the prescription of psychotropic agents. Overall, over time there was an absolute increase in the prescription rate of second-generation antipsychotics (up to 50%), mood stabilizers (up to 15%), and antidepressants (up to 17%), with an observed absolute decrease in the rate of antipsychotic polypharmacy (up to 15%), use of high dose antipsychotic (up to 12% in Asia), clozapine (up to 9%) and antipsychotic long-acting injectables (up to 10%). Prescription patterns were mainly associated with specific socio-demographic (such as age), illness (such as illness duration), and treatment factors (such as adherence). Further work, including more evidence in adjunctive neuropsychopharmacological treatments, pharmaco-economic considerations, and examination of cohorts in prospective studies, can proffer insights into changing prescription trends relevant to different treatment settings and predictors of such trends for enhancement of clinical management in schizophrenia.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:大多数孕妇在妊娠期或哺乳期服用至少一种药物,然而,缺乏有关这些人群用药安全性的数据.我们对特定于怀孕和母乳喂养人群的药物使用的真实世界数据源进行了景观审查,或者有可能见面,卫生当局对授权后安全研究的要求。
    方法:2阶段方法从文献中确定了数据源,公开的孕妇非干预性授权后研究登记册,现有数据库清单,以及作者已知的新兴数据源。
    结果:根据当前的监管指南评估了所需的关键属性,从而选择49个合适的数据源。所有全球区域都有代表,其中北美(37%)和欧洲(33%)最常见;12%的数据来源包括来自中低收入国家的怀孕信息。行政医疗索赔(25%)和电子医疗记录(21%)构成了最大类型的数据源。跨数据源,53%由国家或地区政府管理,27%的行业,20%的学术机构。产妇年龄,诊断,产前护理,大多数人都有生殖史,而包括的人口统计数据较少(例如,种族/种族)。在最终数据源的37%中收集了母乳喂养数据。
    结论:我们对妊娠和母乳喂养的数据源进行了系统的评估,作为研究者在设计妊娠相关研究以满足监管要求时考虑的资源。
    OBJECTIVE: Most pregnant people take at least one medication during gestation or while breastfeeding, however data are lacking on the safety of medication use in these populations. We conducted a landscape review of real-world data sources specific to medication use in pregnancy and breastfeeding populations that have met, or have potential to meet, health authorities\' requirements for post-authorization safety studies.
    METHODS: A 2-phase approach identified data sources from literature, publicly available registers of non-interventional post-authorization studies of pregnant women, existing database inventories, and emerging data sources known to the authors.
    RESULTS: Required key attributes were assessed according to current regulatory guidance, resulting in selection of 49 suitable data sources. All global regions were represented, with North America (37%) and Europe (33%) most common; 12% of the data sources included pregnancy information from low-to middle-income countries. Administrative healthcare claims (25%) and electronic healthcare records (21%) comprised the largest types of data sources. Across data sources, 53% were managed by national or regional governments, 27% by industry, and 20% by academic institutions. Maternal age, diagnoses, prenatal care, and reproductive history were available in most, whereas fewer included demographic data (e.g., race/ethnicity). Breastfeeding data were collected in 37% of the final data sources.
    CONCLUSIONS: We conducted a systematic approach to data source evaluation of pregnancy and breastfeeding to be used as a resource for investigators to consider when designing pregnancy-related research studies to satisfy regulatory requirements.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:加权累积暴露(WCE)方法已用于许多领域,包括药物流行病学,可以解释强度,结果风险敞口的持续时间和时间。该方法使用具有灵活的三次B样条的数据驱动方法来为过去的剂量分配权重并选择病因上适当的时间窗口。对于现实世界研究中遇到的常见暴露模式,风险预测是可能的。这项研究的目的是描述WCE方法在药物流行病学中的应用,并评估该方法的优势和局限性。
    方法:进行了文献检索,以寻找将WCE方法应用于药物研究的研究。在PubMed中使用搜索词“加权累积暴露”发表的文章和引用Sylvestre等人的文章。(2009)在截至2023年3月的GoogleScholar或Scopus中进行了审查。文章是根据标题和摘要评论选择的。
    结果:在综述中确定了使用具有柔性三次样条的数据驱动WCE方法的17项临床应用。其中包括3项病例对照研究和14项队列研究,其中12例采用Cox比例风险模型分析,2例采用logistic回归分析.13项研究使用了1年或更长时间的时间窗口。在将常规模型与WCE方法进行比较的11项研究中,10项(91%)研究发现与WCE模型的拟合更好,而一项具有等效拟合。免费提供的“WCE”软件包促进了具有灵活三次样条的WCE方法的应用。
    结论:WCE方法可以进一步了解累积暴露对结果的影响,包括风险暴露的时间和强度(剂量)。该方法的灵活性特别适用于长期暴露随时间变化或当前事件风险受过去暴露程度影响的研究。这很难用传统的曝光定义来建模。对结果的解释可能比传统模型更为复杂,标准化报告框架将有助于解释结果。
    The weighted cumulative exposure (WCE) method has been used in a number of fields including pharmacoepidemiology where it can account for intensity, duration and timing of exposures on the risk of an outcome. The method uses a data driven approach with flexible cubic B-splines to assign weights to past doses and select an aetiologically appropriate time window. Predictions of risk are possible for common exposure patterns encountered in real-world studies. The purpose of this study was to describe applications of the WCE method to pharmacoepidemiology and assess the strengths and limitations of the method.
    A literature search was undertaken to find studies applying the WCE method to the study of medicines. Articles published in PubMed using the search term \'weighted cumulative exposure\' and articles citing Sylvestre et al. (2009) in Google Scholar or Scopus up to March 2023 were subsequently reviewed. Articles were selected based on title and review of abstracts.
    Seventeen clinical applications using the data-driven WCE method with flexible cubic splines were identified in the review. These included 3 case-control studies and 14 cohort studies, of which 12 were analysed with Cox proportional hazards models and 2 with logistic regression. Thirteen studies used time windows of 1 year or longer. Of 11 studies which compared conventional models with the WCE method, 10 (91%) studies found a better fit with WCE models while one had an equivalent fit. The freely available \'WCE\' software package has facilitated the applications of the WCE method with flexible cubic splines.
    The WCE method allows additional insights into the effect of cumulative exposure on outcomes, including the timing and intensity (dose) of the exposure on the risk. The flexibility of the method is particularly well suited to studies with long-term exposures that vary over time or where the current risk of an event is affected by how far the exposure is in the past, which is difficult to model with conventional definitions of exposure. Interpretation of the results can be more complex than for conventional models and would be facilitated by a standardised reporting framework.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:获取俄语中氯氮平的文献仍然非常有限。我们旨在确定和翻译基于氯氮平的治疗结果的临床证据。
    方法:我们在PubMed,前苏联国家的Embase和科学索引搜索从数据库开始到2023年1月以俄语发表的文章,并在范围审查中总结了数据(PROSPEROReg。编号CRD42023386737)。
    结果:共包括60篇论文,包括八个主要主题类别:1)氯氮平相关中毒(n=20),2)氯氮平治疗的有效性/疗效和安全性(n=14),3)与氯氮平治疗有关的药物不良反应(ADR)(n=9),4)氯氮平治疗药物监测(n=5),5)氯氮平和非药物治疗的组合(n=4),6)氯氮平的药物流行病学(n=3),7)氯氮平对脑电活动的影响(n=3),和8)新型氯氮平制剂(n=2)。在与氯氮平有关的中毒中,有犯罪中毒的报告,这与低杀伤力有关。更糟糕的结果伴随着对中毒的全身反应。据报道,在氯氮平相关中毒的治疗中,血液吸收的临床益处。只有一半报告氯氮平有效性的研究使用标准化量表来评估结果。氯氮平在难治性精神分裂症(TRS)中的优势在一项试验中得到了证实。没有发现氯氮平相关粒细胞缺乏症的报告。氯氮平是TRS和非TRS的大多数处方抗精神病药之一。
    结论:由于前苏联国家的临床研究正在推进采用西方临床研究标准,调查结果的可比性和外推性预计会增加,将较早的发现转移到临床实践中尤其具有挑战性。
    OBJECTIVE: Access to literature on clozapine in Russian language remains strikingly limited. We aimed to identify and translate clinical evidence on clozapine-based treatment outcomes.
    METHODS: We performed a systematic review in PubMed, Embase and scientific indexes from former USSR states searching for articles published in Russian from the database inception till January 2023 and summarized the data in a scoping review (PROSPERO Reg. Number CRD42023386737).
    RESULTS: A total of 60 papers were included comprising eight main topic categories: 1) clozapine-related intoxications (n = 20), 2) effectiveness/efficacy and safety of clozapine treatment (n = 14), 3) adverse drug-induced reactions (ADRs) related to clozapine treatment (n = 9), 4) therapeutic drug monitoring for clozapine (n = 5), 5) combination of clozapine and non-pharmacological treatments (n = 4), 6) pharmacoepidemiology of clozapine (n = 3), 7) effects of clozapine on the brain electrical activity (n = 3), and 8) novel clozapine formulations (n = 2). Among clozapine-related intoxications there were reports of criminal poisoning, which was associated with low lethality. Worse outcomes were accompanied by systemic reactions to intoxications. Clinical benefits of hemoadsorption were reported in the management of clozapine-related intoxications. Only half of studies reporting clozapine effectiveness used standardized scales to assess outcomes. Clozapine superiority in treatment-resistant schizophrenia (TRS) was replicated in one trial. No reports of clozapine-related agranulocytosis were identified. Clozapine ranked among most prescribed antipsychotics for TRS and non-TRS.
    CONCLUSIONS: As clinical research in former USSR states is advancing to adopt western clinical research standards, comparability and extrapolation of findings is expected to increase, with transfer of older findings to clinical practice being particularly challenging.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:美国食品和药物管理局的哨兵系统是一个国家医疗产品安全监测系统,由一个大型的多站点分布式行政索赔数据库组成,并辅以电子医疗记录(EHR)数据。该计划旨在改善药物流行病学研究的种族和种族数据捕获。
    方法:我们对已发表的关于数据增强和归因方法的研究进行了叙述性文献综述,以改善美国医疗保健系统数据库中的种族和种族捕获。我们专注于有限的方法(仅5位邮政编码)或完整的患者标识符,可用于链接到自我报告数据的外部来源。我们按主题组织文献:1)自我报告数据的数据捕获变化,2)从自我报告数据的外部来源增加数据,和3)归责方法,包括贝叶斯分析和多元回归。
    结果:研究人员减少了对亚洲人的数据错误,具有很高的有效性,黑色,白色,以及太平洋岛民种族和西班牙裔种族。由于样本量相对较小,美洲原住民和多种族群体很难验证。
    结论:对可获取的自我报告数据进行验证的限制将决定改进种族和族裔数据获取的方法。我们建议使用多种来源的方法,这些来源考虑了地理差异,年龄,和性爱。
    The U.S. Food and Drug Administration\'s Sentinel System is a national medical product safety surveillance system consisting of a large multisite distributed database of administrative claims supplemented by electronic health-care record data. The program seeks to improve data capture of race and ethnicity for pharmacoepidemiology studies.
    We conducted a narrative literature review of published research on data augmentation and imputation methods to improve race and ethnicity capture in U.S. health-care systems databases. We focused on methods with limited (five-digit ZIP codes only) or full patient identifiers available to link to external sources of self-reported data. We organized the literature by themes: (1) variation in data capture of self-reported data, (2) data augmentation from external sources of self-reported data, and (3) imputation methods, including Bayesian analysis and multiple regression.
    Researchers reduced data missingness with high validity for Asian, Black, White, and Pacific Islander racial groups and Hispanic ethnicity. Native American and multiracial groups were difficult to validate due to relatively small sample sizes.
    Limitations on accessible self-reported data for validation will dictate methods to improve race and ethnicity data capture. We recommend methods leveraging multiple sources that account for variations in geography, age, and sex.
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  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    使用主要和次要数据源对使用人工智能(AI)技术预测COVID-19住院和死亡率进行系统评价。
    队列,临床试验,荟萃分析,使用人工智能技术调查COVID-19住院或死亡率的观察性研究符合资格.没有英文全文的文章被排除在外。
    筛选了2019年01月01日至2022年22月08日在OvidMEDLINE中记录的文章。
    我们提取了数据源上的信息,AI模型,和流行病学方面的检索研究。
    使用PROBAST对AI模型进行偏差评估。
    患者COVID-19检测呈阳性。
    我们纳入了39项与基于AI的COVID-19相关的住院和死亡预测相关的研究。文章发表于2019-2022年期间,主要使用随机森林作为性能最好的模型。人工智能模型是使用从欧洲和非欧洲国家的人群中抽样的群体进行训练的。大多数是队列样本量<5,000。数据收集通常包括人口统计信息,临床记录,实验室结果,和药物治疗(即,高维数据集)。在大多数研究中,这些模型通过交叉验证进行了内部验证,但大多数研究缺乏外部验证和校准.在大多数研究中,协变量没有使用集成方法优先排序,然而,模型仍显示中等良好的性能,接收器工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)值>0.7。根据PROBAST的评估,所有模型都有较高的偏倚风险和/或对适用性的担忧.
    广泛的人工智能技术已用于预测COVID-19的住院和死亡率。这些研究报告了人工智能模型的良好预测性能,然而,检测到高偏倚风险和/或对适用性的担忧。
    To perform a systematic review on the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques for predicting COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality using primary and secondary data sources.
    Cohort, clinical trials, meta-analyses, and observational studies investigating COVID-19 hospitalization or mortality using artificial intelligence techniques were eligible. Articles without a full text available in the English language were excluded.
    Articles recorded in Ovid MEDLINE from 01/01/2019 to 22/08/2022 were screened.
    We extracted information on data sources, AI models, and epidemiological aspects of retrieved studies.
    A bias assessment of AI models was done using PROBAST.
    Patients tested positive for COVID-19.
    We included 39 studies related to AI-based prediction of hospitalization and death related to COVID-19. The articles were published in the period 2019-2022, and mostly used Random Forest as the model with the best performance. AI models were trained using cohorts of individuals sampled from populations of European and non-European countries, mostly with cohort sample size <5,000. Data collection generally included information on demographics, clinical records, laboratory results, and pharmacological treatments (i.e., high-dimensional datasets). In most studies, the models were internally validated with cross-validation, but the majority of studies lacked external validation and calibration. Covariates were not prioritized using ensemble approaches in most of the studies, however, models still showed moderately good performances with Area under the Receiver operating characteristic Curve (AUC) values >0.7. According to the assessment with PROBAST, all models had a high risk of bias and/or concern regarding applicability.
    A broad range of AI techniques have been used to predict COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality. The studies reported good prediction performance of AI models, however, high risk of bias and/or concern regarding applicability were detected.
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