heat

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:气候变化对健康的影响越来越大,特别是撒哈拉以南非洲的农村人口,因为他们的适应资源有限。理解这些影响仍然是一个挑战,因为对这些人群的生命体征的连续监测是有限的。可穿戴设备(可穿戴设备)提供了一种可行的方法来实时研究这些对人类健康的影响。
    目的:本研究的目的是评估消费级可穿戴设备在测量天气暴露对生理反应(包括活动,心率,壳体温度,和睡眠)肯尼亚西部农村人口,并确定与天气暴露相关的健康影响。
    方法:我们在肯尼亚西部进行了一项观察性案例研究,在3周内利用可穿戴设备连续监测各种健康指标,例如步数,睡眠模式,心率,和身体外壳温度。此外,当地气象站提供了有关降雨和热量等环境条件的详细数据,每15分钟测量一次。
    结果:我们的队列包括83名参与者(42名女性和41名男性),平均年龄33岁。我们观察到步数与最大湿球温度之间呈正相关(估计值0.06,SE0.02;P=.008)。尽管夜间最低气温和热指数与睡眠时间呈负相关,这些没有统计学意义。在其他应用模型中没有发现显著的相关性。在204天的194天(95.1%)记录了警告热指数水平。204天中有16天(7.8%)发生了暴雨(>20毫米/天)。尽管47台设备中有10台(21%)出现故障,睡眠和步数的数据完整性较高(平均82.6%,SD21.3%,平均值86.1%,SD18.9%,分别),但心率低(平均7%,SD14%),成年女性的心率数据完整性明显高于男性(双侧t检验:P=.003;Mann-WhitneyU检验:P=.001)。车身外壳温度数据达到36.2%(SD24.5%)的完整性。
    结论:我们的研究为肯尼亚农村地区天气暴露对健康的影响提供了细致的理解。我们的研究的可穿戴设备的应用揭示了身体活动水平和高温胁迫之间的显著相关性,与其他表明在较热条件下活动减少的研究相反。这种差异要求进一步调查独特的社会环境动态,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲地区。此外,在热引起的睡眠中断中观察到的非重要趋势暴露了对局部气候变化缓解策略的需求,考虑到睡眠在健康中的重要作用。这些发现强调需要针对具体情况的研究,以便为容易受到气候变化不利健康影响的地区的政策和实践提供信息。
    BACKGROUND: Climate change increasingly impacts health, particularly of rural populations in sub-Saharan Africa due to their limited resources for adaptation. Understanding these impacts remains a challenge, as continuous monitoring of vital signs in such populations is limited. Wearable devices (wearables) present a viable approach to studying these impacts on human health in real time.
    OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess the feasibility and effectiveness of consumer-grade wearables in measuring the health impacts of weather exposure on physiological responses (including activity, heart rate, body shell temperature, and sleep) of rural populations in western Kenya and to identify the health impacts associated with the weather exposures.
    METHODS: We conducted an observational case study in western Kenya by utilizing wearables over a 3-week period to continuously monitor various health metrics such as step count, sleep patterns, heart rate, and body shell temperature. Additionally, a local weather station provided detailed data on environmental conditions such as rainfall and heat, with measurements taken every 15 minutes.
    RESULTS: Our cohort comprised 83 participants (42 women and 41 men), with an average age of 33 years. We observed a positive correlation between step count and maximum wet bulb globe temperature (estimate 0.06, SE 0.02; P=.008). Although there was a negative correlation between minimum nighttime temperatures and heat index with sleep duration, these were not statistically significant. No significant correlations were found in other applied models. A cautionary heat index level was recorded on 194 (95.1%) of 204 days. Heavy rainfall (>20 mm/day) occurred on 16 (7.8%) out of 204 days. Despite 10 (21%) out of 47 devices failing, data completeness was high for sleep and step count (mean 82.6%, SD 21.3% and mean 86.1%, SD 18.9%, respectively), but low for heart rate (mean 7%, SD 14%), with adult women showing significantly higher data completeness for heart rate than men (2-sided t test: P=.003; Mann-Whitney U test: P=.001). Body shell temperature data achieved 36.2% (SD 24.5%) completeness.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides a nuanced understanding of the health impacts of weather exposures in rural Kenya. Our study\'s application of wearables reveals a significant correlation between physical activity levels and high temperature stress, contrasting with other studies suggesting decreased activity in hotter conditions. This discrepancy invites further investigation into the unique socioenvironmental dynamics at play, particularly in sub-Saharan African contexts. Moreover, the nonsignificant trends observed in sleep disruption due to heat expose the need for localized climate change mitigation strategies, considering the vital role of sleep in health. These findings emphasize the need for context-specific research to inform policy and practice in regions susceptible to the adverse health effects of climate change.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:一些研究发现高温与精神分裂症的恶化有关,即精神病。随着北方国家气候变化的加快,我们需要加深对体温与精神病患者入院(HA)之间关系的理解.
    目的:1)在诊断为精神分裂症的成年人中,测量夏季精神病的平均温度和HAs之间的关系。2)确定个体和生态特征对这种关系的影响。
    方法:使用魁北克的综合慢性病监测系统(QICDSS)收集了一组被诊断为精神分裂症的成年人(n=30,649)。随访时间为2001年至2019年的夏季,使用来自QICDSS的医院数据和来自美国国家航空航天局(NASA)Daymet数据库的气象数据。在魁北克省的四个地理区域,使用分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM),对精神病的平均温度(滞后达6天)与HAs之间的关系进行病例交叉分析.分析调整相对湿度,根据个人分层(年龄,性别,和合并症)和生态(物质和社会剥夺指数以及绿色空间暴露)因素,然后通过元回归进行汇总。
    结果:统计分析显示,在平均温度升高后三天(滞后3),相对于最低发病温度(MMT)的第90百分位数(OR1.040;95%CI1.008-1.074),而6天内的累积效应无统计学意义(OR1.052;95%IC0.993-1.114).分层分析显示,相对于增加的物质剥夺和减少的绿地水平,增加的HAs梯度无统计学意义。
    结论:在本项目中进行的统计分析显示了炎热天气后精神病患者的入院模式。这一发现可能有助于在快速变化的气候中更好地规划卫生服务。
    BACKGROUND: Some studies have found hot temperatures to be associated with exacerbations of schizophrenia, namely psychoses. As climate changes faster in Northern countries, our understanding of the association between temperature and hospital admissions (HA) for psychosis needs to be deepened.
    OBJECTIVE: 1) Among adults diagnosed with schizophrenia, measure the relationship between mean temperatures and HAs for psychosis during summer. 2) Determine the influence of individual and ecological characteristics on this relationship.
    METHODS: A cohort of adults diagnosed with schizophrenia (n = 30,649) was assembled using Quebec\'s Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System (QICDSS). The follow-up spanned summers from 2001 to 2019, using hospital data from the QICDSS and meteorological data from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration\'s (NASA) Daymet database. In four geographic regions of the province of Quebec, a conditional logistic regression was used for the case-crossover analysis of the relationship between mean temperatures (at lags up to 6 days) and HAs for psychosis using a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM). The analyses were adjusted for relative humidity, stratified according to individual (age, sex, and comorbidities) and ecological (material and social deprivation index and exposure to green space) factors, and then pooled through a meta-regression.
    RESULTS: The statistical analyses revealed a statistically significant increase in HAs three days (lag 3) after elevated mean temperatures corresponding to the 90th percentile relative to a minimum morbidity temperature (MMT) (OR 1.040; 95% CI 1.008-1.074), while the cumulative effect over six days was not statistically significant (OR 1.052; 95% IC 0.993-1.114). Stratified analyses revealed non statistically significant gradients of increasing HAs relative to increasing material deprivation and decreasing green space levels.
    CONCLUSIONS: The statistical analyses conducted in this project showed the pattern of admissions for psychosis after hot days. This finding could be useful to better plan health services in a rapidly changing climate.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    夜间热量是热量健康结果的重要因素,尽管人们对夜间热暴露及其影响知之甚少。我们评估了诺克斯维尔室内(n=12)和室外(n=3)生活空间的夜间热量,田纳西州,在2021年8月使用iButtonHygrochrons。室内睡眠空间,所有这些都是空调,报告了各种隔夜条件。室内睡眠空间比室外温度更温暖,更凉爽,一些参与者注意到他们家中夜间高温对身体健康有影响。市区户外睡眠空间,包括公园和营地,展示了城市热岛信号,保持温暖比其他户外区域。未来的研究应该关注个人夜间恢复期的强度和长度,以及这如何影响热健康结果。尤其是暴露在白天的高温下。具体来说,房屋是否达到足够凉爽的温度才能恢复,和室外睡眠空间提供足够长的时间和足够凉爽的恢复时间吗?我们为此类未来的研究提供了一些建议,包括(1)注重有目的的抽样,(2)使用有代表性的传感器放置,(3)为因不合规和技术问题而导致的参与者下车做准备,(4)战略性地收集人口统计信息。
    Nighttime heat is an important factor in heat-health outcomes, though nighttime heat exposure and its impacts are poorly understood. We assessed overnight heat in indoor (n = 12) and outdoor (n = 3) living spaces in Knoxville, Tennessee, using iButton Hygrochrons in August 2021. Indoor sleep spaces, all of which were air conditioned, reported a variety of overnight conditions. Indoor sleep spaces were both warmer and cooler than outdoor temperatures overnight, and some participants noted having physical health effects of overnight heat in their homes. Downtown outdoor sleep spaces, including a park and encampment, exhibited an urban heat island signal, staying warmer than other outdoor areas. Future research should focus on the intensity and length of the overnight recovery period for individuals and how that affects heat-health outcomes, especially after being exposed to daytime heat. Specifically, do homes reach a cool enough temperature for recovery, and do outdoor sleeping spaces offer a long enough and cool enough period for recovery? We provide some recommendations for such future studies, including (1) focus on purposeful sampling, (2) use deliberate sensor placement for representative results, (3) prepare for participant drop-off due to non-compliance and technological problems, and (4) strategically gather demographic information.
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  • 文章类型: Meta-Analysis
    目的:研究环境温度与早产(PTB)之间的关系,并估算由于低温和高温引起的PTB的人群归因分数(PAF)。
    方法:时间分层病例交叉设计。
    方法:日本(46个县,不包括冲绳),2011-2020年。
    方法:在日本围产期登记网络数据库中登记的1908168例单胎活产中的214050个PTB。
    方法:采用具有分布滞后非线性模型的准Poisson回归模型来评估每个州0-27天滞后的日平均温度与PTB之间的关联。通过组合来自46个县的效应估计来进行随机效应荟萃分析,以估计合并的相对风险(RR)。计算了由于低于或高于46个中值温度(16.0°C)的平均值而引起的PTB的PAF。
    方法:早产单胎活产。
    结果:日平均温度与PTB风险之间的关联呈U形曲线。调整后的RRs在第1个百分位数(0.8°C)的平均值为1.15(95%置信区间[CI]1.05-1.25),在第99个百分位数(30.2°C)的平均值为1.08(95%CI1.00-1.17)46个县,以16.0°C为参考温度。大约2.3%(95%CI0.6-4.0)的PTB归因于低温。
    结论:低温和可能高温都与PTB的风险增加相关。这些发现可能有助于为孕妇提供预防措施。
    OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between ambient temperature and preterm birth (PTB) and to estimate the population attributable fraction (PAF) of PTBs due to low and high temperatures.
    METHODS: Time-stratified case-crossover design.
    METHODS: Japan (46 prefectures, excluding Okinawa), 2011-2020.
    METHODS: 214 050 PTBs registered in the Japan Perinatal Registry Network database among 1 908 168 singleton live births.
    METHODS: A quasi-Poisson regression model with a distributed lag nonlinear model was employed to assess the associations between daily mean temperature and PTBs for a lag of 0-27 days in each prefecture. A random effects meta-analysis was conducted by combining effect estimates from the 46 prefectures to estimate pooled relative risks (RRs). The PAFs of the PTBs due to below or above the mean of the 46 median temperatures (16.0°C) were calculated.
    METHODS: Preterm singleton live births.
    RESULTS: The association between daily mean temperature and PTB risk exhibited a U-shaped curve. The adjusted RRs were 1.15 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-1.25) at the mean of the 1st percentiles (0.8°C) and 1.08 (95% CI 1.00-1.17) at the mean of the 99th percentiles (30.2°C) of 46 prefectures, with 16.0°C as the reference temperature. Approximately 2.3% (95% CI 0.6-4.0) of PTBs were attributable to low temperatures.
    CONCLUSIONS: Both low and possibly high temperatures were associated with an increased risk of PTBs. These findings may help to inform preventive measures for pregnant women.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对狗所暴露的热环境的管理应包括在改善其福利的策略中。对居住在巴西的624只西伯利亚哈士奇狗的主人进行了在线问卷调查,目的是评估他们对狗适应热量能力的看法,以及它与业主日常护理的联系。认为狗是低耐热性动物的主人更有可能报告狗的热响应行为。总的来说,主人报告说,他们的狗在清晨散步,下午和晚上。他们还报告说,太阳辐射是确定与狗散步时间的主要标准。然而,报告中午与狗散步的主人提到时间是他们的主要标准。总之,主人认为生活在巴西的西伯利亚哈士奇狗不适应高温,这种看法似乎影响了他们对保护他们的狗免受热应激的积极态度,因为他们选择在阳光照射较少的时候走路。然而,在较凉爽的时期,主人没有时间与狗同行仍然是将动物暴露在极端炎热条件下的危险因素。
    The management of the thermal environment to which dogs are exposed should be included in strategies to improve their welfare. An online questionnaire was administered to 624 owners of Siberian Husky dogs residing in Brazil, with the objective of assessing their perceptions regarding their dogs\' capacity to adapt to heat, and its association with the owners\' routine care. Owners who believed that dogs are low-heat-tolerant animals were more likely to report heat response behaviors from their dogs. Overall, owners reported walk with their dogs during early morning, late afternoon and nighttime. They also reported solar radiation as the primary criteria for determining the time to walk with their dogs. However, owners who reported walking with their dogs at noon mentioned time availability as their primary criteria. In conclusion, owners perceive Siberian Husky dogs living in Brazil as being poorly adapted to heat, and this perception appeared to influence their positive attitudes towards protecting their dogs from heat stress by choosing to walk them during times with less solar exposure. However, the lack of time for owners to walk with their dogs during cooler periods can still be a risk factor in exposing the animals to extreme hot conditions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    作物产量受到气候变化的不利影响;因此,制定气候适应战略,以减轻气候变化对农业系统的影响,以确保粮食安全。作为加拿大最大的马铃薯生产省之一,爱德华王子岛(PEI)最近在马铃薯生产中经历了严重的不稳定。PEI的当地农民和利益相关者非常关注气候变化背景下马铃薯种植业的未来前景。本研究旨在使用农业技术转移决策支持系统(DSSAT)马铃薯模型来模拟耦合模型比对项目第6阶段(CMIP6)气候情景(包括SSP1-1.9,SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSP3-7.0和SSP5-8.5)下的未来马铃薯产量。该研究评估了当地尺度上变化的气候条件的综合影响(即,温度升高和降水模式变化)并增加大气中的二氧化碳(CO2)浓度。结果表明,在当前的耕作方式下,PEI中马铃薯产量的未来显着下降。特别是,在高排放情景下(例如,SSP3-7.0和SSP5-8.5),PEI的马铃薯产量在2070年代将下降48%和60%,到2090年代将下降63%和80%;即使在低排放情景下(即,SSP1-1.9和SSP1-2.6),PEI中的马铃薯产量仍将下降6-10%。这意味着制定有效的气候适应措施(例如,调整耕作方式并引入补充灌溉计划),以确保PEI马铃薯生产的长期可持续性。
    Crop yields are adversely affected by climate change; therefore, it is crucial to develop climate adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of increasing climate variability on the agriculture system to ensure food security. As one of the largest potato-producing provinces in Canada, Prince Edward Island (PEI) has recently experienced significant instability in potato production. PEI\'s local farmers and stakeholders are extremely concerned about the prospects for the future of potato farming industries in the context of climate change. This study aims to use the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) potato model to simulate future potato yields under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate scenarios (including SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). The study evaluates the combined effects of changing climatic conditions at local scales (i.e., warming temperature and changing precipitation patterns) and increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration in the atmosphere. The results indicate future significant declines in potato yield in PEI under the current farming practices. In particular, under the high-emission scenarios (e.g., SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5), the potato yield in PEI would decline by 48% and 60% in the 2070s and by 63% and 80% by 2090s; even under the low-emission scenarios (i.e., SSP1-1.9 and SSP1-2.6), the potato yield in PEI would still decline by 6-10%. This implies that it is important to develop effective climate adaptation measures (e.g., adjusting farming practices and introducing supplemental irrigation plans) to ensure the long-term sustainability of potato production in PEI.
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  • 文章类型: Meta-Analysis
    背景:尽管神经系统疾病造成了巨大的疾病负担,很少有研究检查环境温度和神经系统疾病之间的关系,尤其是在寒冷的季节。还缺乏特定疾病亚组的证据,如阿尔茨海默氏症和帕金森氏症。
    目的:这项研究调查了2010年1月1日至2019年12月31日日本十个县的环境温度短期变化与神经系统疾病相关死亡率之间的关系。
    方法:进行了基于时间分层病例交叉研究设计的两阶段分析。应用具有温度分布滞后非线性模型的条件准泊松回归模型,然后进行多元随机效应荟萃分析以获得平均关联。由于所有和特定原因的神经系统疾病(主要的神经退行性疾病,老年痴呆症,和帕金森氏症)进行了分析,考虑性别和年龄(0-84岁和85岁以上)亚组。
    结果:我们分析了因神经系统疾病导致的162,315例死亡病例。感冒与神经系统疾病相关死亡率的所有子类别有关,但不是热。感冒的估计相对风险为1.43(95%CI:1.28-1.60),1.37(95%CI:1.17-1.59),1.53(95%CI:1.07-2.01),所有神经系统疾病均为1.54(95%CI:1.13-2.10),主要的神经退行性疾病,老年痴呆症,和帕金森氏症,分别。一般在性别和年龄亚组中也观察到这些关联,但没有效果改变的证据。
    结论:在日本,低温与由于所有和特定原因的神经系统疾病导致的死亡风险增加有关,那些患有阿尔茨海默氏症和帕金森氏症的人很脆弱。
    BACKGROUND: Despite the substantial disease burden caused by nervous system diseases, few studies have examined the association between ambient temperature and nervous system diseases, especially during cold seasons. Evidence for specific disease subgroups such as Alzheimer\'s and Parkinson\'s is also lacking.
    OBJECTIVE: This study examined the association between short-term changes in ambient temperature and nervous system diseases-related mortality in ten Japanese prefectures from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2019.
    METHODS: A two-stage analysis based on a time-stratified case-crossover study design was conducted. A conditional quasi-Poisson regression model with a distributed lag non-linear model for temperature was applied followed by a multivariate random-effects meta-analysis to obtain average associations. Mortality due to all and cause-specific nervous system diseases (major neurodegenerative diseases, Alzheimer\'s, and Parkinson\'s) were analyzed, with consideration for sex and age (0-84 and 85+ years old) subgroups.
    RESULTS: We analyzed 162,315 death cases due to nervous system diseases. Cold was associated with all categories of nervous system diseases-related mortality, but not heat. The estimated relative risks for cold, obtained by comparing the 2.5th percentile of daily mean temperature distribution to the minimum mortality temperature (MMT), were 1.43 (95 % CI: 1.28-1.60), 1.37 (95 % CI: 1.17-1.59), 1.53 (95 % CI: 1.07-2.01), and 1.54 (95 % CI: 1.13-2.10) for all nervous system diseases, major neurodegenerative diseases, Alzheimer\'s, and Parkinson\'s, respectively. These associations were also observed in the sex and age subgroups in general but without evidence of effect modification. Heat (the 97.5th percentile of daily mean temperature distribution vs. MMT) was associated with Parkinson\'s disease-related mortality among those aged 85 years and over.
    CONCLUSIONS: Cold was associated with an increased risk of nervous system disease-related mortality. The effect of heat was not observed, except for mortality among the elderly aged 85 years and older with Parkinson\'s disease.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    与热相关的死亡率是越来越重要的公共卫生负担,预计随着气候变化而恶化。除了长期趋势,与热相关的死亡率也存在年际变化,这对有效规划卫生服务很有意义。大规模的气候模式对夏季天气有重要影响,因此构成了了解和预测与热有关的死亡率变化的重要工具。
    UNASSIGNED:在本文中,我们建议通过两阶段分析,使用七个气候指数对夏季与热有关的死亡率进行建模,使用涵盖1981-2018年期间的数据,在魁北克(加拿大)的两个大都市地区:蒙特利尔和魁北克。在第一阶段,通过时间序列回归设计和分布滞后非线性规范来估计热归因分数。我们考虑不同的热定义。在第二阶段,通过函数线性回归模型,使用气候指数曲线预测估计的可归属分数。
    UNASSIGNED:结果表明,大西洋年代际振荡是蒙特利尔和魁北克与热有关的死亡率的最佳预测指标,并且可以预测高达20%的年际变化。
    UNASSIGNED:我们发现了一个气候指数可以预测夏季高温相关死亡率的证据。对于更长的时间序列和不同的空间环境,需要更多的研究。然而,拟议的分析和结果可能有助于公共卫生当局规划与夏季炎热相关的未来死亡率。
    Heat-related mortality is an increasingly important public health burden that is expected to worsen with climate change. In addition to long-term trends, there are also interannual variations in heat-related mortality that are of interest for efficient planning of health services. Large-scale climate patterns have an important influence on summer weather and therefore constitute important tools to understand and predict the variations in heat-related mortality.
    UNASSIGNED: In this article, we propose to model summer heat-related mortality using seven climate indices through a two-stage analysis using data covering the period 1981-2018 in two metropolitan areas of the province of Québec (Canada): Montréal and Québec. In the first stage, heat attributable fractions are estimated through a time series regression design and distributed lag nonlinear specification. We consider different definitions of heat. In the second stage, estimated attributable fractions are predicted using climate index curves through a functional linear regression model.
    UNASSIGNED: Results indicate that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation is the best predictor of heat-related mortality in both Montréal and Québec and that it can predict up to 20% of the interannual variability.
    UNASSIGNED: We found evidence that one climate index is predictive of summer heat-related mortality. More research is needed with longer time series and in different spatial contexts. The proposed analysis and the results may nonetheless help public health authorities plan for future mortality related to summer heat.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在六个环境中进行了全基因组关联研究(GWAS),以确定澳大利亚和华北地区采用雨养农业系统的小麦产量性状的主要或一致等位基因。通过双消化限制性位点相关的DNA基因分型测序,对228个春小麦品种进行了基因分型。总共鉴定了223个显著的标记-性状关联(MTA)和46个大效应或一致效应MTA的候选基因。基于对23个GWAS小麦产量分析的小型综述,将结果与以前的研究进行了比较。以前的研究中很少报道的现象是,负责该性状的MTA倾向于在某些染色体片段上聚集在一起,许多候选基因以基因簇的形式存在。尽管连锁不平衡(LD)可能导致区域的共分离,它还表明,标记辅助选择(MAS)或针对单个基因的转基因方法可能不如MAS针对更大的基因组区域有效,在该区域中,所有潜在的基因或基因簇都起着重要作用。
    A genome-wide association study (GWAS) was performed in six environments to identify major or consistent alleles responsible for wheat yield traits in Australia and North China where rainfed farming system is adopted. A panel of 228 spring wheat varieties were genotyped by double digest restriction-site associated DNA genotyping-by-sequencing. A total of 223 significant marker-trait association (MTAs) and 46 candidate genes for large- or consistent-effect MTAs were identified. The results were compared with previous studies based on a mini-review of 23 GWAS analyses on wheat yield. A phenomenon seldom reported in previous studies was that MTAs responsible for the trait tended to cluster together at certain chromosome segments, and many candidate genes were in the form of gene clusters. Although linkage disequilibrium (LD) might contribute to the co-segregation of the regions, it also suggested that marker-assisted selection (MAS) or transgenic method targeting a single gene might not be as effective as MAS targeting a larger genomic region where all the genes or gene clusters underlying play important roles.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    自2003年欧洲热浪以来,关于极端温度与全因死亡率之间关联的证据正在迅速增加.鲜为人知,然而,关于特定原因的心血管死亡率,空气污染和飞机噪音的影响,以及哪些人群最容易受到极端温度的影响。我们在苏黎世进行了时间分层的病例交叉研究,瑞士,包括2000年至2015年之间的所有成人心血管死亡,以及在家中的精确个人暴露估计。我们使用分布式非线性滞后模型估计了24,884例与热和冷相关的心血管死亡风险。我们研究了细颗粒对温度相关死亡率的潜在影响,二氧化氮,和夜间飞机噪音,并对个人和社会特征进行了分层分析。我们发现高温(比值比OR=1.28[95%置信区间:1.11-1.49],每日平均温度(24°C)与20°C最佳温度的第99百分位数)和寒冷(OR=1.15[0.95-1.39],每日Tmean(-3°C)与20°C最佳温度的第5百分位数)。心肌梗塞和高血压相关死亡的热相关死亡率尤其高,和老年妇女(>75岁)。对效果改变的分析还表明,社会经济地位和教育程度较低的老年妇女患与热有关的死亡率的风险较高。PM2.5增加了心力衰竭的热相关死亡风险,但不是全因心血管死亡。这项研究为在与瑞士相当的中等气候区预防特定于心血管温度的死亡率提供了有用的信息。
    Since the 2003 heatwave in Europe, evidence has been rapidly increasing on the association between extreme temperature and all-cause mortality. Little is known, however, about cause-specific cardiovascular mortality, effect modification by air pollution and aircraft noise, and which population groups are the most vulnerable to extreme temperature. We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study in Zurich, Switzerland, including all adult cardiovascular deaths between 2000 and 2015 with precise individual exposure estimates at home location. We estimated the risk of 24,884 cardiovascular deaths associated with heat and cold using distributed non-linear lag models. We investigated potential effect modification of temperature-related mortality by fine particles, nitrogen dioxide, and night-time aircraft noise and performed stratified analyses across individual and social characteristics. We found increased risk of mortality for heat (odds ratio OR = 1.28 [95% confidence interval: 1.11-1.49] for 99th percentile of daily Tmean (24 °C) versus optimum temperature at 20 °C) and cold (OR = 1.15 [0.95-1.39], 5th percentile of daily Tmean (-3 °C) versus optimum temperature at 20 °C). Heat-related mortality was particularly strong for myocardial infarctions and hypertension related deaths, and among older women (>75 years). Analysis of effect modification also indicated that older women with lower socio-economic position and education are at higher risk for heat-related mortality. PM2.5 increased the risk of heat-related mortality for heart failure, but not all-cause cardiovascular mortality. This study provides useful information for preventing cause-specific cardiovascular temperature-related mortality in moderate climate zones comparable to Switzerland.
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