Receiver operating characteristic curve

接收机工作特性曲线
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    抑郁症是一种严重的精神疾病,给老年人的生活带来极大的不便。然而,抑郁症的诊断有些主观。使用非靶向气相色谱(GC)/液相色谱(LC)-质谱(MS)研究血浆代谢谱,并确定抑郁症和代谢途径变异的客观标志物。我们招募了379名年龄≥65岁的中国社区居民。收集血浆样品并通过GC/LC-MS进行检测。利用正交偏最小二乘判别分析和热图来区分代谢物。构建受试者工作特征曲线以评估这些差异代谢物的诊断价值。此外,进行代谢途径富集以揭示代谢途径的变异.根据我们的标准,49人被纳入抑郁症队列(DC),年龄和性别匹配的49人纳入非抑郁队列(NDC).通过GC-MS鉴定的64种代谢物和通过LC-MS鉴定的73种代谢物对DC和NDC之间的区别有重要贡献,VIP值>1且p值<0.05。两种方法都检测了三种物质:次黄嘌呤,植物鞘氨醇,还有黄嘌呤.此外,1-(sn-甘油-3-磷酸)-1D-肌醇具有最大的曲线下面积(AUC)值(AUC=0.842)。嘌呤代谢途径是代谢途径中最重要的改变。这些发现表明,抑郁症队列和非抑郁症队列之间的血浆代谢物存在差异。这些鉴定的差异代谢物可能是抑郁症的标志物,可用于研究抑郁症代谢途径的变化。
    Depression is a serious psychiatric illness that causes great inconvenience to the lives of elderly individuals. However, the diagnosis of depression is somewhat subjective. Nontargeted gas chromatography (GC)/liquid chromatography (LC)-mass spectrometry (MS) was used to study the plasma metabolic profile and identify objective markers for depression and metabolic pathway variation. We recruited 379 Chinese community-dwelling individuals aged ≥ 65. Plasma samples were collected and detected by GC/LC‒MS. Orthogonal partial least squares discriminant analysis and a heatmap were utilized to distinguish the metabolites. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to evaluate the diagnostic value of these differential metabolites. Additionally, metabolic pathway enrichment was performed to reveal metabolic pathway variation. According to our standard, 49 people were included in the depression cohort (DC), and 49 people age- and sex-matched individuals were included in the non-depression cohort (NDC). 64 metabolites identified via GC‒MS and 73 metabolites identified via LC‒MS had significant contributions to the differentiation between the DC and NDC, with VIP values > 1 and p values < 0.05. Three substances were detected by both methods: hypoxanthine, phytosphingosine, and xanthine. Furthermore, 1-(sn-glycero-3-phospho)-1D-myo-inositol had the largest area under the curve (AUC) value (AUC = 0.842). The purine metabolic pathway is the most important change in metabolic pathways. These findings show that there were differences in plasma metabolites between the depression cohort and the non-depression cohort. These identified differential metabolites may be markers of depression and can be used to study the changes in depression metabolic pathways.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    研究梅毒不同阶段中性粒细胞CD64(nCD64)指数与神经梅毒(NS)的相关性。
    共有1243名不同阶段的梅毒患者(原发性,385次,本研究中包含的514个三级)分为NS和非NS(NNS)。使用Spearman相关性检验探讨nCD64指数与目前使用的梅毒生物标志物的相关性。通过分层分析和有限三次样条模型研究了nCD64指数与不同阶段NS的关系。通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估nCD64指数对NS的诊断性能。
    在二级和三级梅毒中发现nCD64指数与脑脊液(CSF)NS指标的显着统计相关性。nCD64指数升高与二期和三期梅毒NS风险增加相关。ROC分析值进一步证实了nCD64指数对NS的诊断潜力。在有效的抗梅毒治疗后,NS患者中观察到nCD64指数显着下降。
    nCD64指数可能有助于诊断二期和三期梅毒中的NS。
    UNASSIGNED: To examine the correlation of neutrophil CD64 (nCD64) index with neurosyphilis (NS) across different stages of syphilis.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 1243 syphilis patients at different stages (344 of primary, 385 of secondary, and 514 of tertiary) included in this study were divided into NS and non-NS (NNS). Correlations of nCD64 index with currently used syphilis biomarkers were explored using Spearman correlation test. Relationships between nCD64 index and NS at different stages were investigated by stratified analysis and restricted cubic spline model. The diagnostic performance of nCD64 index for NS was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
    UNASSIGNED: Significant statistical correlations of nCD64 index with cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) NS indicators were found in secondary and tertiary syphilis. Increased nCD64 index was associated with increased risk of NS in secondary and tertiary syphilis. ROC analysis values further confirmed the diagnostic potential of nCD64 index for NS. Marked decrease of nCD64 index was observed in NS patients after effective antisyphilitic treatments.
    UNASSIGNED: The nCD64 index may help to the diagnosis of NS in secondary and tertiary syphilis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目前正在争论甘油三酸酯-葡萄糖指数(TyG指数)与妊娠糖尿病(GDM)之间的联系。我们的研究旨在调查韩国人群中TyG指数与GDM之间的联系。
    在韩国使用可公开访问的数据,我们对589例携带单个胎儿的孕妇进行了二次研究.分析采用二元逻辑回归模型,一些敏感性分析,亚组分析探讨TyG指数与GDM发生的相关性。为了评估TyG指数预测GDM的潜力,还进行了接收器工作特性(ROC)研究。
    孕妇的平均年龄为32.065±3.798岁,而平均TyG指数为8.352±0.400。GDM的患病率为6.112%。在调整潜在的混杂变量后,TyG指数与GDM呈正相关(OR=12.923,95CI:3.581-46.632,p=0.00009).亚组分析和敏感性分析进一步证实了这种联系的有效性。ROC曲线下面积为0.807(95CI:0.734-0.879),TyG指数对GDM有较强的预测能力。发现TyG指数检测GDM的理想截断值为8.632,灵敏度为78.7%,特异性为72.2%。
    我们的研究结果提供了证据,表明TyG指数增加与GDM的发生显着相关。在妊娠10-14周期间利用TyG指数可能是鉴定处于发生GDM的高风险的怀孕个体的有价值的工具。早期检测能够实现及时有效的干预,从而增强受影响个体的预后。
    The connection between the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index) and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is currently debated. Our study aimed to investigate the connection between the TyG index and GDM within the Korean population.
    Using publically accessible data in Korea, we performed a secondary study on a sample of 589 pregnant women who were carrying a single fetus. The analysis employed a binary logistic regression model, some sensitivity analyses, and subgroup analysis to investigate the association between the TyG index and the occurrence of GDM. To assess the TyG index\'s potential to predict GDM, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) study was also carried out.
    The mean age of the pregnant women was 32.065 ± 3.798 years old, while the mean TyG index was 8.352 ± 0.400. The prevalence rate of GDM was found to be 6.112%. Upon adjusting for potential confounding variables, a positive association was detected between the TyG index and incident GDM (OR = 12.923, 95%CI: 3.581-46.632, p = 0.00009). The validity of this connection was further confirmed by subgroup analysis and sensitivity analyses. With an area under the ROC curve of 0.807 (95%CI: 0.734-0.879), the TyG index showed strong predictive power for GDM. The TyG index\'s ideal cutoff value for detecting GDM was found to be 8.632, with a sensitivity of 78.7% and a specificity of 72.2%.
    The findings of our study provide evidence that an increased TyG index is significantly associated with the occurrence of GDM. Utilizing the TyG index during the 10-14 week gestational period may be a valuable tool in identifying pregnant individuals at a heightened risk for developing GDM. Early detection enables timely and efficacious interventions, thereby enhancing the prognosis of affected individuals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    2型糖尿病(T2DM)仍然是全世界的主要和广泛的公共卫生问题。老年人T2DM的患病率已上升到公共卫生问题的首位。在这项研究中,肥胖和血脂相关指标用于预测中国中老年人的T2DM。
    数据来自中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS),包括7902名45岁或以上的中老年参与者。该研究通过测量13个指标来评估肥胖和血脂相关指标与T2DM的关系。包括体重指数(BMI),腰围(WC),腰高比(WHtR),锥度指数(CI),内脏肥胖指数(VAI),中国内脏肥胖指数(CVAI),脂质积累产物(LAP),身体形状指数(ABSI),身体圆度指数(BRI),甘油三酯葡萄糖指数(TyG指数)及其相关指数(TyG-BMI,TyG-WC,TyG-WHtR)。通过二元logistic回归分析13项肥胖和血脂相关指标与T2DM的相关性。此外,对预测性人体测量指数进行了评估,用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析和曲线下面积(AUC)建立理想的临界值。
    该研究包括7902名参与者,其中3638(46.04)和4264(53.96)为男性和女性。我国中老年人T2DM患病率男性为9.02%,女性为9.15%。上述13项指标均显示出适度的预测能力(AUC>0.5),对我国成人(中老年人)T2DM的预测有统计学意义(P<0.05)。结果显示,男性和女性TyG-WHtR[AUC=0.600,95CI:0.566-0.634][AUC=0.664,95CI:0.636-0.691]是T2DM的最佳预测因子(P<0.05)。
    大多数肥胖和血脂相关指标对预测T2DM具有重要价值。我们的研究结果可以为中国中老年人T2DM的早期识别提供措施,以降低T2DM的患病率并改善健康状况。
    Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remains a major and widespread public health concern throughout the world. The prevalence of T2DM in the elderly has risen to the top of the list of public health concerns. In this study, obesity- and lipid-related indices were used to predict T2DM in middle-aged and elderly Chinese adults.
    The data came from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), including 7902 middle-aged and elderly participants aged 45 years or above. The study assessed the association of obesity- and lipid-related indices and T2DM by measuring 13 indicators, including body mass index (BMI), waist circumference(WC), waist-height ratio (WHtR), conicity index(CI), visceral adiposity index (VAI), Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI), lipid accumulation product (LAP), a body shape index (ABSI), body roundness index (BRI), triglyceride glucose index (TyG-index) and its correlation index (TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, TyG-WHtR). The association of 13 obesity- and lipid-related indices with T2DM was investigated by binary logistic regression. Additionally, the predictive anthropometric index was evaluated, and the ideal cut-off value was established using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and area under the curve (AUC).
    The study included 7902 participants, of whom 3638(46.04) and 4264(53.96) were male and female. The prevalence of T2DM in mid-aged and old adults in China was 9.02% in males and 9.15% in females. All the above 13 indicators show a modest predictive power (AUC>0.5), which was significant for predicting T2DM in adults (middle-aged and elderly people) in China (P<0.05). The results revealed that TyG-WHtR [AUC =0.600, 95%CI: 0.566-0.634] in males and in females [AUC =0.664, 95%CI: 0.636-0.691] was the best predictor of T2DM (P<0.05).
    Most obesity- and lipid-related indices have important value in predicting T2DM. Our results can provide measures for the early identification of T2DM in mid-aged and elderly Chinese to reduce the prevalence of T2DM and improve health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:历史上,临床医生依靠医学危险因素和临床症状进行早产风险评估.在未产妇女中,临床医生可能仅依靠报告的症状来评估早产风险.怀孕期间常规使用超声提供了结合宫颈定量超声扫描的机会,以潜在地改善对早产风险的评估。
    目的:本研究旨在探讨在妊娠早期定量超声测量的效率,以增强对可能有自发性早产风险的妇女的识别。
    方法:对接受芝加哥伊利诺伊大学医院护理的志愿者参与者进行了一项对孕妇的前瞻性队列研究。伊利诺伊州。参与者接受标准临床筛查,然后在20±2和24±2周进行2次研究筛查。在研究筛查期间,由注册的诊断医学超声医师使用标准的宫颈长度方法进行了定量超声扫描。从校准的原始射频反向散射信号计算定量超声特征。分析包括足月分娩结局和自发性早产结局。医学上表明的早产被排除在分析之外。使用每次访问的数据,采用Akaike信息标准特征选择进行logistic回归,根据历史临床和定量超声特征得出每个时间范围的预测模型.模型评估包括定量超声特征的似然比测试,交叉验证的接收器工作特性曲线分析,灵敏度,和特异性。
    结果:仅根据历史临床特征,最佳预测模型的估计曲线下接收器工作特征面积为0.56±0.03。到第1次就诊的时间范围,相对于仅使用历史临床特征的预测模型,使用历史临床和定量超声特征的预测模型提供了曲线下面积(0.63±0.03)的适度改善。在第2次访视的时间范围内,使用历史临床和定量超声特征的预测模型提供了显着改善(似然比检验,P<.01),曲线下面积为0.69±0.03。
    结论:仅通过历史临床特征准确识别有自发性早产风险的妇女已被证明是困难的。在这项研究中,早产史是早产风险的最重要的历史临床预测指标,但历史临床预测模型表现在统计学上并不显著优于无技能水平.根据我们的研究结果,随着妊娠的进展,包括定量超声在风险预测方面具有统计学上的显着改善。
    BACKGROUND: Historically, clinicians have relied on medical risk factors and clinical symptoms for preterm birth risk assessment. In nulliparous women, clinicians may rely solely on reported symptoms to assess for the risk of preterm birth. The routine use of ultrasound during pregnancy offers the opportunity to incorporate quantitative ultrasound scanning of the cervix to potentially improve assessment of preterm birth risk.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the efficiency of quantitative ultrasound measurements at relatively early stages of pregnancy to enhance identification of women who might be at risk for spontaneous preterm birth.
    METHODS: A prospective cohort study of pregnant women was conducted with volunteer participants receiving care from the University of Illinois Hospital in Chicago, Illinois. Participants received a standard clinical screening followed by 2 research screenings conducted at 20±2 and 24±2 weeks. Quantitative ultrasound scans were performed during research screenings by registered diagnostic medical sonographers using a standard cervical length approach. Quantitative ultrasound features were computed from calibrated raw radiofrequency backscattered signals. Full-term birth outcomes and spontaneous preterm birth outcomes were included in the analysis. Medically indicated preterm births were excluded from the analysis. Using data from each visit, logistic regression with Akaike information criterion feature selection was conducted to derive predictive models for each time frame based on historical clinical and quantitative ultrasound features. Model evaluations included a likelihood ratio test of quantitative ultrasound features, cross-validated receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, sensitivity, and specificity.
    RESULTS: On the basis of historical clinical features alone, the best predictive model had an estimated receiver operating characteristic area under the curve of 0.56±0.03. By the time frame of Visit 1, a predictive model using both historical clinical and quantitative ultrasound features provided a modest improvement in the area under the curve (0.63±0.03) relative to that of the predictive model using only historical clinical features. By the time frame of Visit 2, the predictive model using historical clinical and quantitative ultrasound features provided significant improvement (likelihood ratio test, P<.01), with an area under the curve of 0.69±0.03.
    CONCLUSIONS: Accurate identification of women at risk for spontaneous preterm birth solely through historical clinical features has been proven to be difficult. In this study, a history of preterm birth was the most significant historical clinical predictor of preterm birth risk, but the historical clinical predictive model performance was not statistically significantly better than the no-skill level. According to our study results, including quantitative ultrasound yields a statistically significant improvement in risk prediction as the pregnancy progresses.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于常规MR成像序列的形态相同,将胶质母细胞瘤患者的治疗相关异常(TRA)与肿瘤进展(TP)区分开来是一种诊断性成像挑战。扩散加权成像(DWI)及其导出的表观扩散系数(ADC)图像已被建议作为该问题的诊断工具。这项研究的目的是确定ADC的不同截止值的诊断准确性,以区分TP和TRA。总的来说,选择76例具有新的对比增强病变的治疗后胶质母细胞瘤患者。病变使用T1加权,对比增强扫描。比较TRA和TP组之间分段的平均ADC值。通过使用曲线下面积(AUC)和从截止点导出的灵敏度和特异性值来比较诊断准确性。尽管TP中的ADC值(平均值=1.32×10-3mm2/s;SD=0.31×10-3mm2/s)与TRA(平均值=1.53×10-3mm2/s;SD=0.28×10-3mm2/s)(p=0.003)相比有显着差异,它们的分布存在相当大的重叠。ADC值区分TP和TRA的AUC为0.71,敏感性和特异性分别为65%和70%,分别,ADC值为1.47×10-3mm2/s。因此,这些发现表明,在没有时间演变信息的情况下,不应在某个时间点使用ADC图辨别TP和TRA。
    Distinguishing treatment-related abnormalities (TRA) from tumor progression (TP) in glioblastoma patients is a diagnostic imaging challenge due to the identical morphology of conventional MR imaging sequences. Diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and its derived images of the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) have been suggested as diagnostic tools for this problem. The aim of this study is to determine the diagnostic accuracy of different cut-off values of the ADC to differentiate between TP and TRA. In total, 76 post-treatment glioblastoma patients with new contrast-enhancing lesions were selected. Lesions were segmented using a T1-weighted, contrast-enhanced scan. The mean ADC values of the segmentations were compared between TRA and TP groups. Diagnostic accuracy was compared by use of the area under the curve (AUC) and the derived sensitivity and specificity values from cutoff points. Although ADC values in TP (mean = 1.32 × 10-3 mm2/s; SD = 0.31 × 10-3 mm2/s) were significantly different compared to TRA (mean = 1.53 × 10-3 mm2/s; SD = 0.28 × 10-3 mm2/s) (p = 0.003), considerable overlap in their distributions exists. The AUC of ADC values to distinguish TP from TRA was 0.71, with a sensitivity and specificity of 65% and 70%, respectively, at an ADC value of 1.47 × 10-3 mm2/s. These findings therefore indicate that ADC maps should not be used in discerning between TP and TRA at a certain timepoint without information on temporal evolution.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    使用13项肥胖和血脂相关指标预测中国中老年人群代谢综合征(MetS)筛查和预测的最佳临界值,并确定最合适的预测因子。
    这项横断面调查的数据来自中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS),其中包括9457名45-98岁的中老年人。我们检查了13个指标,包括腰围(WC),体重指数(BMI),腰高比(WHtR),内脏肥胖指数(VAI),身体形状指数(ABSI),身体圆度指数(BRI),脂质积累产物指数(LAP),锥度指数(CI),中国内脏肥胖指数(CVAI),甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数(TyG-指数)及其组合指数(TyG-BMI,TyG-WC,TyG-WHtR)。受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)用于确定老年人MetS筛查指标的有用性,并确定其临界值,灵敏度,特异性,和曲线下面积(AUC)。采用二元logistic回归分析13项肥胖相关指标与MetS的相关性。
    本研究共纳入了9457名中老年人,根据NCEPATPIII的诊断标准,研究人群的总体患病率为41.87%。根据年龄和性别,诊断为MetS的男性百分比为30.67%(45-54岁:30.95%,55-64岁:41.02%,65-74岁:21.19%,≥75岁:6.84%)。诊断为MetS的女性比例为51.38%(45-54岁:31.95%,55-64岁:39.52%,65-74岁:20.43%,≥75岁:8.10%)。Tyg相关参数的预测能力在两种性别中都更为突出。此外,LAP和CVAI也擅长预测MetS。ABSI的预测能力较差。
    在中国中老年人群中,在对混杂因素进行调整后,除ABSI外,所有指标均具有良好的预测能力.Tyg相关参数的预测能力在两种性别中都更为突出。此外,LAP和CVAI也擅长预测MetS。
    To predict the optimal cut-off values for screening and predicting metabolic syndrome(MetS) in a middle-aged and elderly Chinese population using 13 obesity and lipid-related indicators, and to identify the most suitable predictors.
    The data for this cross-sectional investigation came from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), including 9457 middle-aged and elderly people aged 45-98 years old. We examined 13 indicators, including waist circumference (WC), body mass index (BMI), waist-height ratio (WHtR), visceral adiposity index (VAI), a body shape index (ABSI), body roundness index (BRI), lipid accumulation product index (LAP), conicity index (CI), Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI), triglyceride-glucose index (TyG-index) and their combined indices (TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, TyG-WHtR). The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to determine the usefulness of indicators for screening for MetS in the elderly and to determine their cut-off values, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC). Association analysis of 13 obesity-related indicators with MetS was performed using binary logistic regression analysis.
    A total of 9457 middle-aged and elderly Chinese were included in this study, and the overall prevalence of the study population was 41.87% according to the diagnostic criteria of NCEP ATP III. According to age and gender, the percentage of males diagnosed with MetS was 30.67% (45-54 years old: 30.95%, 55-64 years old: 41.02%, 65-74 years old: 21.19%, ≥ 75 years old: 6.84%). The percentage of females diagnosed with MetS was 51.38% (45-54 years old: 31.95%, 55-64 years old: 39.52%, 65-74 years old: 20.43%, ≥ 75 years old: 8.10%). The predictive power of Tyg-related parameters was more prominent in both sexes. In addition, LAP and CVAI are also good at predicting MetS. ABSI had a poor prediction ability.
    Among the middle-aged and elderly population in China, after adjusting for confounding factors, all the indicators except ABSI had good predictive power. The predictive power of Tyg-related parameters was more prominent in both sexes. In addition, LAP and CVAI are also good at predicting MetS.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    描述华东地区恶性肿瘤相关性皮肌炎(MADM)的人口统计学和表型,并查明皮肌炎患者恶性肿瘤的潜在指示因素,建立预测模型。
    我们回顾性分析了在2019年1月至2022年5月期间在一家综合医院住院的134例成人发病型皮肌炎患者的临床数据。临床数据包括病程,最初的症状和体征,和人口统计信息从电子病历系统检索。其他参数,包括肌炎特异性自身抗体谱,铁蛋白,沉降,等。都是可以引用的。采用多变量多项逻辑回归模拟预测癌症风险的模型。采用受试者工作特性曲线评价模型的效价。
    134例成人发病型皮肌炎患者根据包容性和排他性标准被纳入本研究:12例(8.96%)恶性肿瘤,57(42.53%)有异常肿瘤生物标志物,但无恶性肿瘤,65(48.51%)既无恶性肿瘤也无异常肿瘤生物标志物。高级诊断年龄,较高的LDH,较高的铁蛋白,抗TIF1γ和抗Mi2抗体阳性而非抗NXP2抗体是恶性肿瘤的阳性指标.此外,最初的投诉和体征均未发现与恶性肿瘤倾向相关.消化系统,鼻咽,肺部恶性肿瘤主要记录在华东地区。建立了一个基于潜在恶性肿瘤的多变量多项logistic回归模型来预测皮肌炎的表型,总体敏感性和特异性令人满意。
    抗TIF1γ和抗Mi2自身抗体的阳性高度指示恶性肿瘤,而抗NXP2自身抗体在中国人群MADM中的作用尚不清楚。通过该模型可以预测恶性肿瘤的表型,预测能力足够。肿瘤标志物异常但无恶性肿瘤的患者应重视恶性肿瘤筛查,尤其是消化系统,鼻咽,皮肌炎患者的肺部恶性肿瘤,但没有恶性肿瘤。
    UNASSIGNED: To describe the demographics and phenotypes of malignancies-associated dermatomyositis (MADM) in east China and pinpoint potential factors indicative of malignancies in patients with dermatomyositis and establish a predictive model.
    UNASSIGNED: We retrospectively analyzed clinical data from 134 patients with adult-onset dermatomyositis hospitalized between January 2019 and May 2022 in one comprehensive hospital. Clinical data including disease course, initial symptoms and signs, and demographic information were retrieved from the Electronic Medical Records System. Other parameters including myositis-specific autoantibodies profiles, ferritin, sedimentation, etc. were all referable. Multivariable multinomial logistic regression was employed to simulate a model to predict cancer risks. Receiver operating characteristic curve was adopted to evaluate the potency of the model.
    UNASSIGNED: 134 patients with adult-onset dermatomyositis were aptly enrolled in this study based on inclusive and exclusive criteria: 12 (8.96%) with malignancies, 57 (42.53%) with aberrant tumor biomarkers but no malignancies, 65 (48.51%) with neither malignancies nor abnormal tumor biomarkers. Senior diagnostic age, higher LDH, higher ferritin, positive anti-TIF1γ and anti-Mi2 rather than anti-NXP2 autoantibodies were positive indicators of malignancies. Additionally, neither initial complaints nor signs were found to be correlated to a tendency towards malignancies. Digestive system, nasopharyngeal, and lung malignancies were mostly documented in east China. One multivariable multinomial logistic regression model was established to predict the phenotypes of dermatomyositis on the basis of potential malignancies and the overall sensitivity and specificity was satisfactory.
    UNASSIGNED: Positivity of anti-TIF1γ and anti-Mi2 autoantibodies are highly indicative of malignancies while the role of anti-NXP2 autoantibody in MADM in the Chinese population remains unclear. The phenotypes of malignancies can be predicted through the model and the predictive power is sufficient. More attention should be paid to malignancies screening in patients with aberrant tumor biomarkers but no malignancies, particularly digestive system, nasopharyngeal, and lung malignancies in patients with dermatomyositis but without malignancies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在丹麦人口中,大约十分之一的成年人患有糖尿病前期,未确诊,不良或潜在的亚调节糖尿病,简称DMRC。重要的是为这些公民提供相关的医疗干预。因此,我们建立了一个预测流行DMRC的模型。数据来自在丹麦处于不利健康状态的农村省地区进行的Lolland-Falster健康研究。我们包括来自公共登记册的变量(年龄,性别,年龄,公民身份,婚姻状况,社会经济地位,居住状况);来自自我管理问卷(吸烟状况,酒精使用,教育,自我评估的健康,饮食习惯,身体活动);以及从临床检查(体重指数(BMI),脉搏率,血压,腰臀比)。将数据分为训练/测试数据集,以开发和测试预测模型。该研究包括15,801名成年人;其中1,575名患有DMRC。最终模型中具有统计意义的变量包括年龄,自我评估的健康,吸烟状况,BMI,腰臀比,和脉搏率。在测试数据集中,该模型具有曲线下面积(AUC)=0.77和对应于84%特异性的50%的灵敏度。在健康不利的丹麦人口中,糖尿病前期的存在,未确诊,或者不良或潜在的亚调节糖尿病可以从年龄预测,自我评估的健康,吸烟状况,BMI,腰臀比,和脉搏率。年龄可以从丹麦的个人身份号码中得知,可以从简单的问题中获得自我评估的健康状况和吸烟状况,BMI,腰臀比,脉搏率可以由医疗保健中的任何人测量,也可以由他/她自己的人测量。因此,我们的模型可能是有用的筛选工具。
    In the Danish population, about one-in-ten adults have prediabetes, undiagnosed, poorly or potentially sub-regulated diabetes, for short DMRC. It is important to offer these citizens relevant healthcare intervention. We therefore built a model for prediction of prevalent DMRC. Data were derived from the Lolland-Falster Health Study undertaken in a rural-provincial area of Denmark with disadvantaged health. We included variables from public registers (age, sex, age, citizenship, marital status, socioeconomic status, residency status); from self-administered questionnaires (smoking status, alcohol use, education, self-rated health, dietary habits, physical activity); and from clinical examinations (body mass index (BMI), pulse rate, blood pressure, waist-to-hip ratio). Data were divided into training/testing datasets for development and testing of the prediction model. The study included 15,801 adults; of whom 1,575 with DMRC. Statistically significant variables in the final model included age, self-rated health, smoking status, BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, and pulse rate. In the testing dataset this model had an area under the curve (AUC) = 0.77 and a sensitivity of 50% corresponding to a specificity of 84%. In a health disadvantaged Danish population, presence of prediabetes, undiagnosed, or poorly or potentially sub-regulated diabetes could be predicted from age, self-rated health, smoking status, BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, and pulse rate. Age is known from the Danish personal identification number, self-rated health and smoking status can be obtained from simple questions, and BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, and pulse rate can be measured by any person in health care and potentially by the person him/her-self. Our model might therefore be useful as a screening tool.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:目前,由于种族差异的影响,人体测量指标预测高血压风险的研究结果仍然不一致.本研究旨在探讨中国中老年人群高血压(HTN)筛查和预测的最有效预测因子,并使用肥胖和血脂相关指标预测中国中老年人群的高血压。
    方法:队列研究的数据来自中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS),其中45岁及以上中老年人4423人。我们检查了13项肥胖和脂质相关指标,包括腰围(WC),体重指数(BMI),腰高比(WHtR),内脏肥胖指数(VAI),身体形状指数(ABSI),身体圆度指数(BRI),脂质积累产物指数(LAP),锥度指数(CI),中国内脏肥胖指数(CVAI),甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数(TyG-指数)及其组合指数(TyG-BMI,TyG-WC,TyG-WHtR)。为了比较每种措施预测发展HTN的可能性的能力,受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)用于确定人体测量指标在老年人中筛查HTN并确定其临界值的有用性,灵敏度,特异性,和曲线下面积(AUC)。采用二元logistic回归分析对13项肥胖相关人体测量指标与HTN的相关性进行分析。
    结果:在四年中,我国中老年男女HTN发生率分别为22.08%和17.82%,分别。上述13项指标均显示出适度的预测能力(AUC>0.5),对我国成年人(中老年人)HTN的预测具有重要意义(P<0.05)。此外,当WHtR=0.501(AUC为0.593,敏感性和特异性分别为63.60%和52.60%)或TYg-WHtR=4.335(AUC为0.601,敏感性和特异性分别为58.20%和59.30%)时,预测男性发病风险的效果最好。当WHtR=0.548(AUC为0.609,敏感性和特异性分别为59.50%和56.50%)或TYg-WHtR=4.781(AUC为0.617,敏感性和特异性分别为58.10%和60.80%)时,预测女性发病风险的效果最好。
    结论:本研究中的13项肥胖和血脂相关指标对预测中国中老年患者的HTN具有中等意义。WHtR和Tyg-WHtR是最具成本效益的指标,对HTN的发展具有中等预测价值。
    Currently, the study outcomes of anthropometric markers to predict the risk of hypertension are still inconsistent due to the effect of racial disparities. This study aims to investigate the most effective predictors for screening and prediction of hypertension (HTN) in the Chinese middle-aged and more elderly adult population and to predict hypertension using obesity and lipid-related markers in Chinese middle-aged and older people.
    The data for the cohort study came from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), including 4423 middle-aged and elderly people aged 45 years or above. We examined 13 obesity- and lipid-related indices, including waist circumference (WC), body mass index (BMI), waist-height ratio (WHtR), visceral adiposity index (VAI), a body shape index (ABSI), body roundness index (BRI), lipid accumulation product index (LAP), conicity index (CI), Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI), triglyceride-glucose index (TyG-index) and their combined indices (TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, TyG-WHtR). To compare the capacity of each measure to forecast the probability of developing HTN, the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to determine the usefulness of anthropometric indices for screening for HTN in the elderly and determining their cut-off value, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC). Association analysis of 13 obesity-related anthropometric indicators with HTN was performed using binary logistic regression analysis.
    During the four years, the incident rates of HTN in middle-aged and elderly men and women in China were 22.08% and 17.82%, respectively. All the above 13 indicators show a modest predictive power (AUC > 0.5), which is significant for predicting HTN in adults (middle-aged and elderly people) in China (P < 0.05). In addition, when WHtR = 0.501 (with an AUC of 0.593, and sensitivity and specificity of 63.60% and 52.60% respectively) or TYg-WHtR = 4.335 (with an AUC of 0.601, and sensitivity and specificity of 58.20% and 59.30% respectively), the effect of predicting the incidence risk of men is the best. And when WHtR = 0.548 (with an AUC of 0.609, and sensitivity and specificity of 59.50% and 56.50% respectively) or TYg-WHtR = 4.781(with an AUC of 0.617, and sensitivity and specificity of 58.10% and 60.80% respectively), the effect of predicting the incidence risk of women is the best.
    The 13 obesity- and lipid-related indices in this study have modest significance for predicting HTN in Chinese middle-aged and elderly patients. WHtR and Tyg-WHtR are the most cost-effective indicators with moderate predictive value of the development of HTN.
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