Outcome prediction

结果预测
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    数字数据处理彻底改变了医疗文档,并实现了跨医院的患者数据汇总。诸如AO基金会关于骨折治疗的倡议(AOSammelstudie,1986),关于生存的主要创伤结局研究(MTOS),创伤审计和研究网络(TARN)开创了多医院数据收集的先河。大型创伤登记处,像德国创伤登记处(TR-DGU)有助于提高证据水平,但仍然受到预定义的数据集和有限的生理参数的限制.对病理生理反应的理解的提高证实了有关骨折护理的决策导致了患者量身定制的动态方法的发展,例如安全最终手术算法。在未来,人工智能(AI)可以通过潜在地改变裂缝识别和/或结果预测来提供进一步的步骤。向灵活决策和人工智能驱动创新的演变可能会有进一步的帮助。当前的手稿总结了从本地数据库和随后的创伤注册到基于AI的算法的大数据的发展,例如Parkland创伤死亡率指数和IBMWatsonPathwayExplorer。
    Digital data processing has revolutionized medical documentation and enabled the aggregation of patient data across hospitals. Initiatives such as those from the AO Foundation about fracture treatment (AO Sammelstudie, 1986), the Major Trauma Outcome Study (MTOS) about survival, and the Trauma Audit and Research Network (TARN) pioneered multi-hospital data collection. Large trauma registries, like the German Trauma Registry (TR-DGU) helped improve evidence levels but were still constrained by predefined data sets and limited physiological parameters. The improvement in the understanding of pathophysiological reactions substantiated that decision making about fracture care led to development of patient\'s tailored dynamic approaches like the Safe Definitive Surgery algorithm. In the future, artificial intelligence (AI) may provide further steps by potentially transforming fracture recognition and/or outcome prediction. The evolution towards flexible decision making and AI-driven innovations may be of further help. The current manuscript summarizes the development of big data from local databases and subsequent trauma registries to AI-based algorithms, such as Parkland Trauma Mortality Index and the IBM Watson Pathway Explorer.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    长期意识障碍(DOC)的结果预测仍然具有挑战性。这可能导致不适当的治疗退出或不必要的治疗延长。脑电图(EEG)是一种廉价的,便携式,和非侵入性的设备与复杂的信号分析的各种机会。计算脑电图测量,如脑电图连通性和网络指标,可能是DOC调查的理想人选,但是他们的预测能力仍未透露。我们进行了一项荟萃分析,旨在比较广泛使用的临床量表的预后能力,昏迷恢复量表-修订版-CRS-R和EEG连通性和网络指标。我们发现CRS-R量表的预后能力中等(AUC:0.67(0.60-0.75)),但脑电图连通性和网络指标预测结果具有显著(p=0.0071)更高的准确性(AUC:0.78(0.70-0.86))。我们还估计了脑电图谱功率的预后能力,与EEG连通性和图论测量(AUC:0.75(0.70-0.80))相比,没有显着(p=0.3943)。多变量自动结果预测工具似乎优于临床和脑电图标记。
    Outcome prediction in prolonged disorders of consciousness (DOC) remains challenging. This can result in either inappropriate withdrawal of treatment or unnecessary prolongation of treatment. Electroencephalography (EEG) is a cheap, portable, and non-invasive device with various opportunities for complex signal analysis. Computational EEG measures, such as EEG connectivity and network metrics, might be ideal candidates for the investigation of DOC, but their capacity in prognostication is still undisclosed. We conducted a meta-analysis aiming to compare the prognostic power of the widely used clinical scale, Coma Recovery Scale-Revised - CRS-R and EEG connectivity and network metrics. We found that the prognostic power of the CRS-R scale was moderate (AUC: 0.67 (0.60-0.75)), but EEG connectivity and network metrics predicted outcome with significantly (p = 0.0071) higher accuracy (AUC:0.78 (0.70-0.86)). We also estimated the prognostic capacity of EEG spectral power, which was not significantly (p = 0.3943) inferior to that of the EEG connectivity and graph-theory measures (AUC:0.75 (0.70-0.80)). Multivariate automated outcome prediction tools seemed to outperform clinical and EEG markers.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    血清铁蛋白作为重症监护病房(ICU)的预后标志物已经引起了相当大的关注,为患者预后和临床管理策略提供有价值的见解。这篇综合综述探讨了血清铁蛋白在预测危重患者预后中的作用。特别关注其对缺血性心脏病(IHD)的影响。在ICU环境中,血清铁蛋白水平升高一直与不良结局相关。包括死亡率上升,住院时间延长,和更高的发病率。此外,血清铁蛋白水平与IHD之间的关系强调了其作为危重病人群心血管风险评估的生物标志物的潜力.该综述综合了现有文献,以强调血清铁蛋白在评估疾病严重程度和指导ICU临床决策中的预测价值。它还探讨了将血清铁蛋白与不良结局联系起来的潜在机制,并讨论了对临床实践的影响。将血清铁蛋白测量纳入常规评估可以增强ICU患者的预后和风险分层。同时需要进一步的研究来阐明最佳的管理策略和治疗目标。临床医生和研究人员之间的合作努力对于提高我们对血清铁蛋白在ICU中的预后价值的理解并将这些知识转化为改善患者护理和预后至关重要。
    Serum ferritin has garnered considerable attention as a prognostic marker in intensive care units (ICUs), offering valuable insights into patient outcomes and clinical management strategies. This comprehensive review examines the role of serum ferritin in predicting outcomes among critically ill patients, with a particular focus on its implications for ischemic heart disease (IHD). Elevated serum ferritin levels have consistently been associated with adverse outcomes in ICU settings, including increased mortality, prolonged hospital stays, and higher morbidity rates. Furthermore, the relationship between serum ferritin levels and IHD underscores its potential as a biomarker for cardiovascular risk assessment in critically ill populations. The review synthesizes existing literature to highlight the predictive value of serum ferritin in assessing illness severity and guiding clinical decision-making in the ICUs. It also explores potential mechanisms linking serum ferritin to adverse outcomes and discusses implications for clinical practice. Integrating serum ferritin measurements into routine assessments could enhance prognostication and risk stratification in ICU patients, while further research is needed to elucidate optimal management strategies and therapeutic targets. Collaborative efforts between clinicians and researchers are essential to advance our understanding of serum ferritin\'s prognostic value in the ICUs and translate this knowledge into improved patient care and outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    基于血液的生物标志物(BBBM)测试可以帮助更好地对创伤性脑损伤(TBI)患者进行分层,减少不必要的成像,为了检测和治疗二次伤害,预测结果,监测治疗效果和护理质量。
    哪些证据可用于BBBMs在TBI中的临床应用?如何推进这一领域?
    这篇叙述性综述讨论了核心BBBMs在TBI中的潜在临床应用。在PubMed中进行文献检索,Scopus,ISIWebofKnowledge专注于英文文章,其中包含“创伤性脑损伤”和“血液生物标志物”,\"诊断程序\",“结果预测”,“颅外损伤”和“测定方法”单独-,或组合。
    胶质纤维酸性蛋白(GFAP)与泛素C末端水解酶-L1(UCH-L1)的结合已获得FDA批准,以帮助计算机断层扫描(CT)检测轻度(m)TBI中的脑部病变。S100B的应用导致头部CT扫描的减少。GFAP还可以预测CT阴性TBI病例的磁共振成像(MRI)异常。Further,UCH-L1,S100B,神经丝光(NF-L),和总tau显示了预测死亡率或不利结果的价值。然而,生物标志物在mTBI结局预测中的作用较小。S100B可以作为神经重症监护病房患者多模态监测的工具。
    需要进行大规模的系统研究,以探索BBBM的动力学及其在多个临床组中的使用。分析开发/交叉验证应提高与GFAP有关的结果的普遍性,S100B和NF-L是TBI诊断中最有前途的生物标志物。
    UNASSIGNED: A blood-based biomarker (BBBM) test could help to better stratify patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI), reduce unnecessary imaging, to detect and treat secondary insults, predict outcomes, and monitor treatment effects and quality of care.
    UNASSIGNED: What evidence is available for clinical applications of BBBMs in TBI and how to advance this field?
    UNASSIGNED: This narrative review discusses the potential clinical applications of core BBBMs in TBI. A literature search in PubMed, Scopus, and ISI Web of Knowledge focused on articles in English with the words \"traumatic brain injury\" together with the words \"blood biomarkers\", \"diagnostics\", \"outcome prediction\", \"extracranial injury\" and \"assay method\" alone-, or in combination.
    UNASSIGNED: Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) combined with Ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase-L1(UCH-L1) has received FDA clearance to aid computed tomography (CT)-detection of brain lesions in mild (m) TBI. Application of S100B led to reduction of head CT scans. GFAP may also predict magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) abnormalities in CT-negative cases of TBI. Further, UCH-L1, S100B, Neurofilament light (NF-L), and total tau showed value for predicting mortality or unfavourable outcome. Nevertheless, biomarkers have less role in outcome prediction in mTBI. S100B could serve as a tool in the multimodality monitoring of patients in the neurointensive care unit.
    UNASSIGNED: Largescale systematic studies are required to explore the kinetics of BBBMs and their use in multiple clinical groups. Assay development/cross validation should advance the generalizability of those results which implicated GFAP, S100B and NF-L as most promising biomarkers in the diagnostics of TBI.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本系统综述提供了心率变异性与脑内和蛛网膜下腔出血预后预测相关的临床证据。通过文献检索,检索到19篇有意义的研究。结果预测包括功能结果,心血管并发症,继发性脑损伤,和死亡率。心率记录和分析的各个方面,基于线性时域和频域以及非线性熵方法,被审查。心率变异性始终与不良的功能结局和死亡率相关,虽然在心率变异性与继发性脑损伤和心血管并发症之间的关系方面发现了有争议的结果。
    This systematic review presents clinical evidence on the association of heart rate variability with outcome prediction in intracerebral and subarachnoid hemorrhages. The literature search led to the retrieval of 19 significant studies. Outcome prediction included functional outcome, cardiovascular complications, secondary brain injury, and mortality. Various aspects of heart rate recording and analysis, based on linear time and frequency domains and a non-linear entropy approach, are reviewed. Heart rate variability was consistently associated with poor functional outcome and mortality, while controversial results were found regarding the association between heart rate variability and secondary brain injury and cardiovascular complications.
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  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    背景:分类和评分系统可以帮助临床管理和审核常规护理的结果。
    目的:本研究旨在评估已发表的用于表征糖尿病患者溃疡的系统,以确定应推荐哪些系统(a)有助于卫生专业人员之间的沟通,(b)预测个别溃疡的临床结果,(c)描述感染和/或外周动脉疾病患者的特征,和(d)审计,以比较不同人群的结果。本系统评价是制定2023年糖尿病足国际工作组对足部溃疡进行分类的指南过程的一部分。
    方法:我们搜索了PubMed,Scopus和WebofScience发表了截至2021年12月评估该协会的文章,用于对糖尿病患者溃疡进行分类的系统的准确性或可靠性。已发表的分类必须在>80%的糖尿病和足部溃疡患者中得到验证。
    结果:我们在149项研究中发现了28个系统。总的来说,每种分类的证据的确定性很低或很低,其中19项(68%)分类由≤3项研究评估。最频繁验证的系统是Meggitt-Wagner的系统,但是验证该系统的文章主要集中在不同年级与截肢之间的关联。临床结果未标准化,但包括无溃疡生存期,溃疡愈合,住院治疗,截肢,死亡率,和成本。
    结论:尽管存在局限性,本系统综述提供了足够的证据支持在特定临床场景中使用6种特定系统的建议.
    BACKGROUND: Classification and scoring systems can help both clinical management and audit the outcomes of routine care.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess published systems used to characterise ulcers in people with diabetes to determine which should be recommended to (a) aid communication between health professionals, (b) predict clinical outcome of individual ulcers, (c) characterise people with infection and/or peripheral arterial disease, and (d) audit to compare outcomes in different populations. This systematic review is part of the process of developing the 2023 guidelines to classify foot ulcers from the International Working Group on Diabetic Foot.
    METHODS: We searched PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science for articles published up to December 2021 which evaluated the association, accuracy or reliability of systems used to classify ulcers in people with diabetes. Published classifications had to have been validated in populations of >80% of people with diabetes and a foot ulcer.
    RESULTS: We found 28 systems addressed in 149 studies. Overall, the certainty of the evidence for each classification was low or very low, with 19 (68%) of the classifications being assessed by ≤ 3 studies. The most frequently validated system was the one from Meggitt-Wagner, but the articles validating this system focused mainly on the association between the different grades and amputation. Clinical outcomes were not standardized but included ulcer-free survival, ulcer healing, hospitalisation, limb amputation, mortality, and cost.
    CONCLUSIONS: Despite the limitations, this systematic review provided sufficient evidence to support recommendations on the use of six particular systems in specific clinical scenarios.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    已针对头颈部鳞状细胞癌(HNSCC)开发了多种结果预测模型。本系统综述旨在确定HNSCC结果预测模型研究,评估其方法学质量,并确定具有临床实践潜在效用的方法学。纳入标准是粘膜HNSCC预后预测模型研究(开发或验证),其中包括在治疗决策和预测肿瘤相关结果时可获得的临床可用变量。从PubMed和Embase鉴定合格出版物。使用关键评估清单和数据提取对预测模型研究(CHARMS)和预测模型偏差风险评估工具(PROBAST)进行系统回顾,评估了方法学质量和偏差风险。根据研究类型对符合条件的出版物进行分类以进行报告。确定了64份合格出版物;55份报告了模型开发,37个外部验证,28人同时报告。CHARMSchecklistitemsrelatingtoparticipants,预测因子,结果,处理丢失的数据,一些模型开发和评估程序总体上得到了很好的报告。报告较少的是考虑模型过度拟合和模型绩效指标的指标,特别是模型校准。完整的模型信息报告不佳(3/55模型开发),特别是模型拦截,基线生存或完整模型代码。大多数出版物(54/55模型开发,28/37外部验证)被发现有很高的偏倚风险,主要是由于PROBAST分析领域的方法学问题。已确定的方法学问题可能会影响异质群体中的预测模型准确性。在当地人群中进行独立的外部验证研究和临床影响的证明对于结果预测模型的临床实施至关重要。
    Multiple outcome prediction models have been developed for Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma (HNSCC). This systematic review aimed to identify HNSCC outcome prediction model studies, assess their methodological quality and identify those with potential utility for clinical practice. Inclusion criteria were mucosal HNSCC prognostic prediction model studies (development or validation) incorporating clinically available variables accessible at time of treatment decision making and predicting tumour-related outcomes. Eligible publications were identified from PubMed and Embase. Methodological quality and risk of bias were assessed using the checklist for critical appraisal and data extraction for systematic reviews of prediction modelling studies (CHARMS) and prediction model risk of bias assessment tool (PROBAST). Eligible publications were categorised by study type for reporting. 64 eligible publications were identified; 55 reported model development, 37 external validations, with 28 reporting both. CHARMS checklist items relating to participants, predictors, outcomes, handling of missing data, and some model development and evaluation procedures were generally well-reported. Less well-reported were measures accounting for model overfitting and model performance measures, especially model calibration. Full model information was poorly reported (3/55 model developments), specifically model intercept, baseline survival or full model code. Most publications (54/55 model developments, 28/37 external validations) were found to have high risk of bias, predominantly due to methodological issues in the PROBAST analysis domain. The identified methodological issues may affect prediction model accuracy in heterogeneous populations. Independent external validation studies in the local population and demonstration of clinical impact are essential for the clinical implementation of outcome prediction models.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    癌症转移是癌症死亡的主要原因,约占癌症死亡的90%。尽管放射治疗被认为可以减轻局部癌症负担,新出现的证据表明,辐射可以将肿瘤转化为原位疫苗,这引起了人们对将辐射与免疫疗法相结合的极大兴趣。然而,联合治疗方法可能受到辐射诱导的免疫抑制的限制。评估患者水平的辐射对免疫系统的影响对于最大化辐射的全身抗肿瘤反应至关重要。在这次审查中,我们总结了全身放射治疗的三个不同类别的解决方案:血液剂量,辐射诱导的淋巴细胞减少症,和肿瘤控制。此外,我们探讨了如何将它们结合起来,以优化放疗方案,并最大限度地发挥它们与免疫治疗的协同作用。
    Cancer metastasis is the major cause of cancer mortality and accounts for about 90% of cancer death. Although radiation therapy has been considered to reduce the localized cancer burden, emerging evidence that radiation can potentially turn tumors into an in situ vaccine has raised significant interest in combining radiation with immunotherapy. However, the combination approach might be limited by the radiation-induced immunosuppression. Assessment of radiation effects on the immune system at the patient level is critical to maximize the systemic antitumor response of radiation. In this review, we summarize the developed solutions in three different categories for systemic radiation therapy: blood dose, radiation-induced lymphopenia, and tumor control. Furthermore, we address how they could be combined to optimize radiotherapy regimens and maximize their synergy with immunotherapy.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人工智能(AI)正在以各种形式出现在医疗保健中,包括基于人工智能的临床决策支持系统,机器学习,计算机视觉,自然语言处理,大数据分析和AI增强的机器人技术。鉴于它们对临床过程和决策的潜在影响,基于人工智能的健康技术(AIHT)现在被认为对护理和医疗行业产生了变革性的影响。特别是先进的护理实践。
    虽然越来越多地要求执业护士(NPs)在改善向民众提供的医疗保健方面发挥关键作用,对大自然知之甚少,他们参与AIHT的程度和结果和经验。本研究的研究目标是双重的。首先,它旨在根据先进护理环境中出现的基于AIHT的系统和应用的功能和临床属性来描述NPs对AIHT的参与和经验。以及这些系统和应用程序支持的NPs的临床任务。第二,它旨在根据对NPs临床活动和性能的预期影响来描述AIHT的参与和经验,及其对NPs患者和普通人群的潜在结果。
    因此,我们通过对NPs在这些技术的出现中所起的作用进行初步评估,为高级实践护理研究做出贡献。通过对文献的系统回顾。
    这篇综述表明,NP,单独行动或与医生和其他医疗保健专业人员合作,参与各种基于人工智能的决策和预测工具的开发和评估,医院和急诊护理设置。这种参与涉及NPs作为诊断和治疗专家,其临床活动,AIHT的采用和同化会对决策和绩效产生重大影响。
    BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence (AI) is emerging in healthcare in various forms, including AI-based clinical decision support systems, machine learning, computer vision, natural language processing, big data analytics and AI-enhanced robotics. Given their potential impact on clinical processes and decision-making, AI-based health technologies (AIHT) are now seen to have a transformative effect on the nursing and medical professions, and on advanced nursing practice in particular.
    OBJECTIVE: While nurse practitioners (NPs) are increasingly called upon to play a crucial role in improving the healthcare provided to the population, little is known about the nature, extent and outcomes of their involvement and experience with AIHT. This study\'s research objectives are twofold. First, it aims to characterize NPs\' involvement and experience with AIHT in terms of the functional and clinical attributes of the AIHT-based systems and applications that have emerged in advanced nursing care settings, and of the clinical tasks of NPs targeted for support by these systems and applications. Second, it aims to characterize this involvement and experience with AIHT in terms of its expected impacts on the clinical activities and performance of NPs, and of its potential outcomes for NPs\' patients and for the general population.
    METHODS: We thus contribute to advanced practice nursing research by carrying out an initial evaluation of the role played by NPs in the emergence of these technologies, by means of a systematic review of the literature.
    RESULTS: This review demonstrates that NPs, acting alone or in collaboration with physicians and other healthcare professionals, participate in the development and evaluation of various AI-based decision-making and predictive tools in primary, hospital and emergency care settings. This participation involves NPs as diagnostic and therapeutic experts whose clinical activities, decision-making and performance can be significantly impacted by their adoption and assimilation of AIHT.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:种族偏见是关于发展的一个关键问题,验证,以及在临床环境中实施机器学习(ML)模型。尽管偏见可能会传播健康差异,临床ML中的种族偏倚尚未得到彻底检查,缓解偏倚的最佳实践仍不清楚.
    目的:我们的目的是进行范围审查,以描述评估ML种族偏倚的方法,并描述可用于提高临床ML算法公平性的策略。
    方法:根据系统评价和Meta分析(PRISMA)扩展范围审查的首选报告项目进行范围审查。使用PubMed进行文献检索,Scopus,和Embase数据库,以及谷歌学者,已识别635条记录,其中包括12项研究。
    结果:ML的应用多种多样,涉及诊断,结果预测,对包括图像在内的数据集进行临床评分预测,诊断研究,临床文本,和临床变量。在12项研究中,1(8%)描述了常规临床使用的模型,2(17%)检查了前瞻性验证的临床模型,其余9个(75%)描述了内部验证的模型。此外,8项(67%)研究得出的结论是存在种族偏见,2(17%)的结论是它不是,和2(17%)评估了偏倚缓解策略的实施,而没有与基线模型进行比较。用于评估算法种族偏见的公平性指标不一致。最常见的指标是机会均等差异(5/12,42%),准确度(4/12,25%),和不同的影响(2/12,17%)。所有8项(67%)研究实施了缓解种族偏见的方法,成功地提高了公平性,由作者选择的指标衡量。在所有实施偏见的研究中,最常用的是减轻偏见的预处理方法。
    结论:医学ML应用的广泛范围和潜在的患者危害需要更加重视临床ML中种族偏见的评估和缓解。然而,在医学中采用算法公平性原则仍然不一致,并且受到数据可用性差和ML模型报告的限制.我们建议研究人员和期刊编辑强调医学ML研究中的标准化报告和数据可用性,以提高透明度并促进对种族偏见的评估。
    BACKGROUND: Racial bias is a key concern regarding the development, validation, and implementation of machine learning (ML) models in clinical settings. Despite the potential of bias to propagate health disparities, racial bias in clinical ML has yet to be thoroughly examined and best practices for bias mitigation remain unclear.
    OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to perform a scoping review to characterize the methods by which the racial bias of ML has been assessed and describe strategies that may be used to enhance algorithmic fairness in clinical ML.
    METHODS: A scoping review was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) Extension for Scoping Reviews. A literature search using PubMed, Scopus, and Embase databases, as well as Google Scholar, identified 635 records, of which 12 studies were included.
    RESULTS: Applications of ML were varied and involved diagnosis, outcome prediction, and clinical score prediction performed on data sets including images, diagnostic studies, clinical text, and clinical variables. Of the 12 studies, 1 (8%) described a model in routine clinical use, 2 (17%) examined prospectively validated clinical models, and the remaining 9 (75%) described internally validated models. In addition, 8 (67%) studies concluded that racial bias was present, 2 (17%) concluded that it was not, and 2 (17%) assessed the implementation of bias mitigation strategies without comparison to a baseline model. Fairness metrics used to assess algorithmic racial bias were inconsistent. The most commonly observed metrics were equal opportunity difference (5/12, 42%), accuracy (4/12, 25%), and disparate impact (2/12, 17%). All 8 (67%) studies that implemented methods for mitigation of racial bias successfully increased fairness, as measured by the authors\' chosen metrics. Preprocessing methods of bias mitigation were most commonly used across all studies that implemented them.
    CONCLUSIONS: The broad scope of medical ML applications and potential patient harms demand an increased emphasis on evaluation and mitigation of racial bias in clinical ML. However, the adoption of algorithmic fairness principles in medicine remains inconsistent and is limited by poor data availability and ML model reporting. We recommend that researchers and journal editors emphasize standardized reporting and data availability in medical ML studies to improve transparency and facilitate evaluation for racial bias.
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