GDP

GDP
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    预期寿命可以反映气候政策的健康益处和实施成本。然而,文献中很少有研究量化预期寿命与气候政策之间的关系。在本文中,我们试图通过研究预期寿命与中国全国排放交易计划(CNETS)的关系来缩小研究差距。为了实现这一研究目标,采用可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型来模拟经济系统的运行和减排的政策冲击。CGE模型结果表明,预期寿命因GDP而延长,但因排放而缩短,GDP对预期寿命的影响大于排放影响。气候政策对预期寿命有双重影响,因为它既减轻了排放的负面影响,也减轻了GDP对寿命的积极影响;它对预期寿命的净影响是积极的。预期寿命对GDP有积极影响,这种影响受到气候政策的缓和;具体地说,气候政策加强了预期寿命对GDP的积极影响。在气候政策实施期间,预期寿命对碳排放的影响最小;换句话说,它对减排的影响最小。这些发现意味着气候政策和预期寿命是相辅相成的;政府可以实施气候政策来延长寿命或延长预期寿命,以促进政策实施。
    Life expectancy can reflect both health benefit and implementation cost of climate policy. Nevertheless, little research has quantified the relation between life expectancy and climate policy in literature. In this paper, we attempt to narrow the research gap by studying how life expectancy is related to the Chinese nationwide emission trading scheme (CNETS). To achieve this research target, a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model is employed to simulate the operation of the economic system and the policy shock from emission abatement. The CGE model results show that life expectancy is prolonged by GDP but shortened by emissions, and the GDP impact on life expectancy is larger than the emission impact. Climate policy has dual effects on life expectancy because it relieves both negative emission impacts and positive GDP impacts on lifespan; its net effect on life expectancy is positive. Life expectancy positively impacts GDP, and this impact is moderated by climate policy; specifically, climate policy reinforces the positive impact of life expectancy on GDP. Life expectancy minimally affects carbon emissions during climate policy implementation; in other words, it has minimal impacts on emission abatement. These findings imply that climate policy and life expectancy complement each other; the government could implement climate policy to increase lifespan or prolong life expectancy to facilitate policy implementation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于气温上升和二氧化碳排放,气候变化已经成为全球最重要的问题之一。我们描述了极端天气相关事件与死亡之间的关系,全球,从1999年到2018年。我们使用了卢万天主教大学紧急事件数据库中的数据。我们还根据世界银行GDP对国家/地区的收入进行了分类,并使用二氧化碳信息分析中心的二氧化碳排放水平数据将GDP和二氧化碳排放与每个国家/地区多年的极端天气条件联系起来。我们进行了描述性和泊松回归分析来分析数据。从1999年到2018年,共有77个国家报告了425起与天气有关的极端事件。由于严寒的冬季条件(N=2,020)和寒潮(N=70,972),中等收入国家的死亡率相关事件最高。记录的因热浪造成的死亡总数在高收入国家中最高(N=84,344)。此外,高收入国家的死亡人数,与低收入国家相比,高出五倍(IRR5.18;95CI4.58;5.85,p<0.001)。高温季节的死亡率几乎是寒冷/严寒冬季的七倍(IRR33.43;95CI32.85;34.02,p<0.001)。随着极端事件的重复,死亡人数显着增加(IRR6.82;95CI6.68;6.96,p<0.001)。我们发现高收入国家的死亡人数有所增加,这与每年发生极端事件的次数和热浪有关。
    Due to rising temperatures and CO2 emissions, climate change has become one of the most important global issues. We described the relationship between extreme weather-related events and death, globally, from 1999 through 2018. We used data from the emergency events database of the Université Catholique de Louvain. We also categorized the countries\' income according to the World Bank GDP and we used the CO2 emission levels data from the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center to link the GDP and CO2 emissions to years of extreme weather conditions in each country. We conducted descriptive and Poisson Regression analysis to analyze the data. A total of 77 countries reported 425 extreme weather-related events from1999 through 2018. Mortality related events were highest in middle-income countries due to severe winter conditions (N = 2,020) and cold-waves (N = 70,972). The total number of recorded deaths due to heat waves was highest in high-income countries (N = 84,344). Furthermore, the number of deaths in high-income countries, compared to low-income countries, was five-fold higher (IRR 5.18; 95%CI 4.58; 5.85, p < 0.001). The mortality rate in heat season was almost seven-fold higher than that in cold/severe winter (IRR 33.43; 95%CI 32.85; 34.02, p < 0.001). The number of deaths increased significantly with the repetition of extreme events (IRR 6.82; 95%CI 6.68; 6.96, p < 0.001). We found the number of deaths increased in high-income countries, and this was associated with an increase in the number of times extreme events occurred per year and with heat wave.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在探讨各国国内生产总值与COVID-19疫苗接种进展之间的关系;探讨全球格局在各大洲的发展情况,并调查所有国家COVID-19疫苗接种进展的空间分布格局。我们在数据中使用了来自我们世界的COVID-19疫苗接种和国内生产总值的综合数据,开放访问数据源。在R-Studio中进行数据分析和可视化。在人口超过一百万的国家,人均收入与接种疫苗的人口比例之间存在很强的线性关联。人均GDP占全国疫苗接种率的50%。我们的评估表明,全球格局在每个大陆都是如此。富裕的欧洲和北美国家对COVID-19的保护最大。欠发达国家几乎没有启动疫苗接种计划。亚洲国家之间的差距很大。除非足够的疫苗接种覆盖较不富裕的国家,否则无法保证较富裕国家(为其公民接种疫苗)的安全。因此,国际社会应采取行动,加快世界各国的COVID-19疫苗接种计划,不管他们的财富。
    This study aimed to explore the association between the GDP of various countries and the progress of COVID-19 vaccinations; to explore how the global pattern holds in the continents, and investigate the spatial distribution pattern of COVID-19 vaccination progress for all countries. We have used consolidated data on COVID-19 vaccination and GDP from Our World in Data, an open-access data source. Data analysis and visualization were performed in R-Studio. There was a strong linear association between per capita income and the proportion of people vaccinated in countries with populations of one million or more. GDP per capita accounts for a 50% variation in the vaccination rate across the nations. Our assessments revealed that the global pattern holds in every continent. Rich European and North-American countries are most protected against COVID-19. Less developed African countries barely initiated a vaccination program. There is a significant disparity among Asian countries. The security of wealthier nations (vaccinated their citizens) cannot be guaranteed unless adequate vaccination covers the less affluent countries. Therefore, the global community should undertake initiatives to speed up the COVID-19 vaccination program in all countries of the world, irrespective of their wealth.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED: Dermatoses contribute to a large burden of global disease, but the relationship between socioeconomic status and the effect of dermatologic conditions in Europe is not well understood.
    UNASSIGNED: We selected Global Burden of Disease Study data sets to analyze disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and the annual rate of change of dermatoses between 1990 and 2017 in 43 European countries. The principal country-level economic factor used was gross domestic product per capita from the World Bank. Statistical analysis was performed with Spearman ρ correlation.
    UNASSIGNED: Wealthier European countries had higher DALYs for melanoma, basal cell carcinoma, psoriasis, atopic dermatitis, acne, seborrheic dermatitis, alopecia, asthma, contact dermatitis, and viral skin disease. Poorer countries had higher DALYs of squamous cell carcinoma, urticaria, decubitus ulcers, pruritus, scabies, tuberculosis, and syphilis. Thirteen European countries were in the top 10th percentile globally for annual increase in skin and subcutaneous disease burden.
    UNASSIGNED: The majority of European countries have experienced an increase in skin and subcutaneous diseases in recent decades relative to the rest of the world, but the burden of individual dermatoses in Europe varies by country and socioeconomic status. DALYs can potentially serve as a purposeful measure for directing resources to improve the burden of skin disease in Europe.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The construction industry of all countries in the world is facing the issue of sustainable development. How to make effective and accurate decision-making on the three pillars (Environment; Economy; Social influence) is the key factor. This manuscript is based on an accurate evaluation framework and theoretical modelling. Through a comprehensive evaluation of six cable-stayed highway bridges in the entire life cycle of five provinces in China (from cradle to grave), the research shows that life cycle impact assessment (LCIA), life cycle cost assessment (LCCA), and social impact life assessment (SILA) are under the influence of multi-factor change decisions. The manuscript focused on the analysis of the natural environment over 100 years, material replacement, waste recycling, traffic density, casualty costs, community benefits and other key factors. Based on the analysis data, the close connection between high pollution levels and high cost in the maintenance stage was deeply promoted, an innovative comprehensive evaluation discrete mathematical decision-making model was established, and a reasonable interval between gross domestic product (GDP) and sustainable development was determined.
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  • 文章类型: Clinical Trial, Phase II
    结外自然杀伤/T细胞淋巴瘤,鼻型(ENKL)是一种高度侵袭性的肿瘤,预后相对较差。在这项前瞻性研究中,我们调查了一种新型GDP-ML方案的疗效和毒性(联合吉西他滨,顺铂,地塞米松,甲氨蝶呤,和pegaspargase)作为新诊断的ENKL的一线治疗。符合条件的新诊断I/II期ENKL患者接受三明治放化疗治疗。患有III/IV期疾病的患者接受最初4个周期的GDP-ML方案。4个周期后,有反应的患者继续接受自体移植或另外两个疗程的GDP-ML.共纳入44例患者,中位随访时间为26个月。整个队列的总有效率(ORR)为78.6%,Ⅰ/Ⅱ期84.6%,III/IV阶段为66.7%,相应的完全缓解(CR)率为61.9%,76.9%,和33.3%。1年和2年无进展生存率(PFS)分别为69.3%和62.9%,1年和2年总生存率(OS)分别为76.5%和67.4%,分别。与III/IV期患者相比,I/II期患者的2年OS率更好(88.1%vs.33.2%,p<0.001)。与非CR患者相比,达到CR的患者的2年OS率明显更好(90.8%vs.24.5%,p<0.001)。主要不良事件为血液学毒性。59.1%的患者发生3/4级中性粒细胞减少。这些结果表明,GDP-ML是新诊断的ENKL患者的有效且耐受性良好的诱导方案。该临床试验在www上注册。chictr.org.cn(ChiCTR-ONC-12002055)。
    Extranodal natural killer/T cell lymphoma, nasal type (ENKL) is a highly aggressive tumor with relatively poor prognosis. In this prospective study, we investigated the efficacy and toxicity of a novel GDP-ML regimen (combined gemcitabine, cisplatin, dexamethasone, methotrexate, and pegaspargase) as front-line treatment in newly diagnosed ENKL. Eligible newly diagnosed stage I/II ENKL patients received sandwich chemoradiation therapy. Patients with stage III/IV disease received an initial 4 cycles of GDP-ML regimen. After 4 cycles, responding patients continued to receive either autologous transplantation or additional two courses of GDP-ML. A total of 44 patients were enrolled with a median follow-up of 26 months. The overall response rate (ORR) were 78.6% for the whole cohort, 84.6% for stage I/II, and 66.7% for stage III/IV, and corresponding complete remission (CR) rates were 61.9%, 76.9%, and 33.3%. The 1- year and 2- year progression-free survival (PFS) rates were 69.3% and 62.9%, and 1- year and 2-year overall survival (OS) rates were 76.5% and 67.4%, respectively. Patients with stage I/II disease showed better 2-year OS rate compared with stage III/IV patients (88.1% vs. 33.2%, p < 0.001). Patients who achieved CR had significantly better 2-year OS rate compared with non-CR patients (90.8% vs. 24.5%, p < 0.001). The main adverse event was hematologic toxicity. Grade 3/4 neutropenia occurred in 59.1% of patients. These results indicate that GDP-ML is an effective and well-tolerated induction regimen with newly diagnosed ENKL patients. This clinical trial was registered on www.chictr.org.cn (ChiCTR-ONC-12002055).
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  • 文章类型: Clinical Trial, Phase II
    外周T细胞淋巴瘤(PTCL)对含蒽环类药物的治疗方案(如CHOP)反应较少,预后较差。在这项前瞻性研究中,我们调查了吉西他滨,顺铂,地塞米松(GDP)联合甲氨蝶呤(MTX)和pegaspargase(PEG-L)作为PTCL的一线治疗。符合条件的新诊断PTCL患者每28天接受4个周期的GDP-ML化疗。4个周期后,有反应的患者继续接受自体干细胞移植或MTX/阿糖胞苷(MA)方案进行巩固治疗.该试验已在www上注册。chictr.org.cn(ChiCTR-ONC-12002055)。共纳入65例患者,中位随访时间为38.5个月。总有效率(ORR)为55.4%,完全缓解率(CR)为33.8%。中位总生存期(OS)为16个月,1年和2年OS分别为59.1%和38.2%,分别。中位PFS仅为8个月。主要不良事件是血液学毒性:50%的患者出现III/IV级中性粒细胞减少。与标准CHOP相比,PTCL患者一线治疗的GDP-ML是一种有效的诱导方案,毒性更显著,但可以接受。然而,未来探索新药物组合的研究有必要克服缓解后的复发.ClinicalTrials.gov标识符:NCT02987244。
    Peripheral T cell lymphomas (PTCL) are less responsive to anthracycline-containing regimen such as CHOP and carry a poor prognosis. In this prospective study, we investigated gemcitabine, cisplatin, and dexamethasone (GDP) combined with methotrexate (MTX) and pegaspargase (PEG-L) as front-line treatment in PTCL. Eligible newly diagnosed PTCL patients received 4 cycles of the GDP-ML chemotherapy every 28 days. After 4 cycles, responding patients continued to receive either autologous stem cell transplantation or the MTX/cytarabine (MA) regimen for consolidation. This trial is registered with www.chictr.org.cn (ChiCTR-ONC-12002055). A total of 65 patients were enrolled with a median follow-up of 38.5 months. The overall response rate (ORR) was 55.4%, and complete remission rate (CR) was 33.8%. The median overall survival (OS) was 16 months, and the 1-year and 2-year OS were 59.1% and 38.2%, respectively. The median PFS was only 8 months. The main adverse event was hematologic toxicity: 50% patients showed grade III/IV neutropenia. GDP-ML for the first-line treatment of PTCL patients is an effective induction regimen compared with standard CHOP, and the toxicity was more significant but acceptable. However, future studies exploring new drug combinations are warranted to overcome relapse after remission. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02987244.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Determinants of universal healthcare (UHC) are poorly empirically understood. We undertook a comprehensive study of UHC development using a novel Evidenced Formal Coverage (EFC) index that combines three key UHC elements: legal framework, population coverage, and accessibility. Applying the EFC index measures (legislation, ≥90% skilled birth attendance, ≥85% formal coverage) to 194 countries, aggregating time-varying data from 1880-2008, this study investigates which macro-economic, political, and social indicators are major longitudinal predictors of developing EFC globally, and in middle-income countries. Overall, 75 of 194 countries implemented legal-text UHC legislation, of which 51 achieved EFC. In a country-year prospective longitudinal analysis of EFC prediction, higher GDP-per-capita (per GDP-per-capita doubling, relative risk [RR]=1.77, 95% CI: 1.49-2.10), higher primary school completion (per +20% completion, RR=2.30, 1.65-3.21), and higher adult literacy were significantly associated with achieving EFC. Results also identify a GDP-per-capita of I$5000 as a minimum level for development of EFC. GDP-per-capita and education were each robust predictors in middle-income countries, and education remained significant even controlling for time-varying GDP growth. For income-inequality, the GINI coefficient was suggestive in its role in predicting EFC (p=0.024). For social and political indicators, a greater degree of ethnic fractionalization (per +25%, RR=0.51, 0.38-0.70), proportional electoral system (RR=2.80, 1.22-6.40), and dictatorships (RR=0.10, 0.05-0.27) were further associated with EFC. The novel EFC index and this longitudinal prospective study together indicate that investment in both economic growth and education should be seen of equal importance for development of UHC. Our findings help in understanding the social and political drivers of universal healthcare, especially for transitioning countries.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    OBJECTIVE: To study the change of surgical treatments for breast cancer in China over the recent 10 years and the relationship between such a changes and social economical development.
    METHODS: The data were extracted from the 10-year database of female primary breast cancer at 7 tertiary hospitals from various geographic areas in China. The Chi-square Cochran-Armitage trend test was used to measure the difference.
    RESULTS: Over the 10 year period, mastectomy showed a decline trend while breast conserving surgeries increased. The modified radical mastectomy was the primarily surgical treatment. Among various types of mastectomies, modified radical mastectomy was increasing while Halsted radical mastectomy had shown a decrease trend; no significant changes were observed for the simple mastectomy. Halsted radical mastectomy and breast conserving surgery were used in a higher proportion in high economic areas than low economic areas, while the modified radical mastectomy has been underused in hospitals from high economic areas.
    CONCLUSIONS: Modified radical mastectomy was the overall most common choice of operation in China. Breast conserving surgery has been less popular but had been showing an increasing trend. Halsted radical mastectomy has still been in use but showing a decrease these years. Surgeries were not adherent to guidelines completely and needed further effective training.
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