GDP

GDP
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    预期寿命可以反映气候政策的健康益处和实施成本。然而,文献中很少有研究量化预期寿命与气候政策之间的关系。在本文中,我们试图通过研究预期寿命与中国全国排放交易计划(CNETS)的关系来缩小研究差距。为了实现这一研究目标,采用可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型来模拟经济系统的运行和减排的政策冲击。CGE模型结果表明,预期寿命因GDP而延长,但因排放而缩短,GDP对预期寿命的影响大于排放影响。气候政策对预期寿命有双重影响,因为它既减轻了排放的负面影响,也减轻了GDP对寿命的积极影响;它对预期寿命的净影响是积极的。预期寿命对GDP有积极影响,这种影响受到气候政策的缓和;具体地说,气候政策加强了预期寿命对GDP的积极影响。在气候政策实施期间,预期寿命对碳排放的影响最小;换句话说,它对减排的影响最小。这些发现意味着气候政策和预期寿命是相辅相成的;政府可以实施气候政策来延长寿命或延长预期寿命,以促进政策实施。
    Life expectancy can reflect both health benefit and implementation cost of climate policy. Nevertheless, little research has quantified the relation between life expectancy and climate policy in literature. In this paper, we attempt to narrow the research gap by studying how life expectancy is related to the Chinese nationwide emission trading scheme (CNETS). To achieve this research target, a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model is employed to simulate the operation of the economic system and the policy shock from emission abatement. The CGE model results show that life expectancy is prolonged by GDP but shortened by emissions, and the GDP impact on life expectancy is larger than the emission impact. Climate policy has dual effects on life expectancy because it relieves both negative emission impacts and positive GDP impacts on lifespan; its net effect on life expectancy is positive. Life expectancy positively impacts GDP, and this impact is moderated by climate policy; specifically, climate policy reinforces the positive impact of life expectancy on GDP. Life expectancy minimally affects carbon emissions during climate policy implementation; in other words, it has minimal impacts on emission abatement. These findings imply that climate policy and life expectancy complement each other; the government could implement climate policy to increase lifespan or prolong life expectancy to facilitate policy implementation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着经济和科技的发展,年国内生产总值(GDP)和二氧化碳(CO2)排放随时间变化的趋势。经济增长与二氧化碳排放之间的关系被认为是最重要的经验关系之一。在这项研究中,我们关注上海合作组织的成员,包括中国,俄罗斯,印度,和巴基斯坦,并收集1969年至2014年的二氧化碳排放量和年度GDP。使用统计方法和检验来查找这些国家的年度GDP与CO2排放量之间的关系。基于年排放与CO2排放之间的关系,提出了一种新颖的多步预测算法,称为带有人工蜂群的极限学习机(ELM-ABC),用于基于CO2排放量和历史GDP特征来预测年度GDP。根据实验结果,结果表明,该模型在GDP预测方面具有超强的预测能力,可以预测相应国家未来十年的年度GDP。此外,预测结果显示,中国和巴基斯坦的年度GDP将继续增长,但在2025年后增长将放缓。印度的年度GDP将表现出不稳定的增长。俄罗斯的趋势将遵循2010年至2016年的模式。
    With the development of economic and technologies, the trend of annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and carbon dioxide (CO2) emission changes with time passes. The relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions is considered as one of the most important empirical relationships. In this study, we focus on the member of Shanghai Cooperation Organization, including China, Russia, India, and Pakistan and collect CO2 emission and annual GDP from 1969 to 2014. The statistical methods and tests are used to find the relationship between annual GDP and CO2 emission in these countries. Based on relationship between annual and CO2 emission, a novel multi-step prediction algorithm called Extreme Learning Machine with Artificial Bee Colony (ELM-ABC) is proposed for forecasting annual GDP based on CO2 emission and historical GDP features. According to the experimental results, it proved that the proposed model had a super forecasting ability in GDP prediction and it could predict ten-year future annual GDP for the corresponding countries. Moreover, the forecasting results showed that the annual GDP of China and Pakistan will continue to grow but growth will slow after 2025. The annual GDP in India will exhibit unstable growth. The trend of Russia will follow the pattern between 2010 and 2016.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Growing public and private expenditure on healthcare results i.a. from the spreading of chronic diseases. Diabetes belongs to the most frequent ones, beyond neoplasms and cardiological diseases, and hence generates a significant burden for the public finance in terms of the direct costs. However, the economy suffers also from the indirect cost of diabetes that manifests itself in the loss in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and general government revenues.
    METHODS: This paper aims to measure this indirect cost, both in terms of GDP drop (social perspective) and public revenue drop (public finance perspective), in the case of Poland in 2012-2014. We use a modified human capital approach and unique dataset provided by the Social Security institution in Poland and the Polish Central Statistical Office.
    RESULTS: Diabetes is a substantial and growing burden for the Polish economy. In the years 2012, 2013 and 2014 the indirect cost (output loss) amounted to 1.85 bn USD, 1.94 bn USD and 2.00 bn USD respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: Estimated indirect cost of diabetes can be a useful input for health technology analyses of drugs or economic impact assessments of public health programmes.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    先天性糖基化障碍(CDG)是越来越多的遗传性代谢障碍,其中糖脂和/或糖蛋白的形成或加工中的酶缺陷导致多种不同的疾病。GDP-Man的缺乏:GlcNAc2-PP-dolichol甘露糖基转移酶,由来自酵母的ALG1的人类直系同源物编码,被称为ALG1-CDG(CDG-Ik)。表型,1例严重影响的ALG1-CDG患者的分子和生化分析是本文的重点。病人的主要症状是喂养问题和腹泻,深度低蛋白血症伴有大量腹水,肌张力增高,难以治疗的癫痫发作,反复发作的呼吸暂停,心脏和肝脏受累和凝血异常。在患者的ALG1编码序列中检测到突变c.1145T>C(M382T)和c.1312C>T(R438W)的复合杂合性。与先前报道的对R438W的推测相反,我们证实了这两种突变在ALG1-CDG中是致病的。
    Congenital disorders of glycosylation (CDG) are a growing group of inherited metabolic disorders where enzymatic defects in the formation or processing of glycolipids and/or glycoproteins lead to variety of different diseases. The deficiency of GDP-Man:GlcNAc2-PP-dolichol mannosyltransferase, encoded by the human ortholog of ALG1 from yeast, is known as ALG1-CDG (CDG-Ik). The phenotypical, molecular and biochemical analysis of a severely affected ALG1-CDG patient is the focus of this paper. The patient\'s main symptoms were feeding problems and diarrhea, profound hypoproteinemia with massive ascites, muscular hypertonia, seizures refractory to treatment, recurrent episodes of apnoea, cardiac and hepatic involvement and coagulation anomalies. Compound heterozygosity for the mutations c.1145T>C (M382T) and c.1312C>T (R438W) was detected in the patient\'s ALG1-coding sequence. In contrast to a previously reported speculation on R438W we confirmed both mutations as disease-causing in ALG1-CDG.
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