n-of-1 trial

N - of - 1 试验
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    与人类受试者相关的任何临床活动的伦理和监管监督通常基于其作为临床实践或研究的分类来确定。著名的生物伦理学家批评了用来划分这些类别的传统区别,称他们适得其反,过时,并认为学习和临床实践应该有意识和适当地结合起来。个性化试验代表了一种临床活动,其特征是两个类别都重叠,使道德和监管监督要求变得不那么简单。当个性化试验的主要目的是协助进行个性化患者护理时,重点是保护临床决策免受常规临床实践中固有的偏见,这种活动应该如何监管?在这篇文章中,我们将探索个性化试验的道德基础,并提出满足监管要求的各种方法。而不是对所有个性化试验的进行施加标准的研究规定,我们建议个性化试验组和IRB小组应考虑参与个性化试验的结果与常规治疗相比,参与者的风险是否有可预见的增量增加.这种方法可以减少监管障碍,这可以促进更广泛地采用个性化试验。
    The ethical and regulatory oversight of any clinical activity related to human subjects is commonly determined based on its categorization as either clinical practice or research. Prominent bioethicists have criticized the traditional distinctions used to delineate these categories, calling them counterproductive and outmoded, and arguing that learning and clinical practice should be deliberately and appropriately integrated. Personalized trials represent a clinical activity with characteristics that overlap both categories, making ethical and regulatory oversight requirements less straightforward. When the primary intent of the personalized trial is to assist in the conduct of individualized patient care with an emphasis on protecting the clinical decision from the biases inherent in usual clinical practice, how should this activity be regulated? In this article, we will explore the ethical underpinnings of personalized trials and propose various approaches to meeting regulatory requirements. Instead of imposing standard research regulations on the conduct of all personalized trials, we recommend that personalized trialists and IRB panels should consider whether participation in a personalized trial results in any foreseeable incremental increase in risk to the participant compared with usual care. This approach may reduce regulatory barriers, which could promote more widespread uptake of personalized trials.
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  • 文章类型: Clinical Trial Protocol
    背景:色素性视网膜炎(RP)是一种遗传性疾病,其特征是眼睛的视杆光感受器逐渐丧失,导致不可逆转的失明。迄今为止,根据我们的知识,目前还没有开展临床前瞻性研究,证明干预措施能够逆转或减缓该疾病进展的效果.眼睛微电流刺激(ES)在慢性眼病如青光眼和年龄相关性黄斑变性的治疗中的应用已经使用了几十年,据报道对减少这些致盲疾病的进展具有有益作用,并得到了动物研究和较小的临床研究的支持。但迄今为止,尚未发表关于使用微电流疗法的大型随机临床试验.最近的临床报告也显示了ES对减缓RP进展的有益作用,但也缺乏来自稳健的前瞻性临床结果研究的数据。据我们所知,这是第一项前瞻性随机研究,目的是评估经椎管电刺激(TpES)对RP进展的安全性和临床有效性.
    方法:使用N-of-1试验3单盲的随机前瞻性研究,交叉比较。每个比较的干预期分为随机排列的治疗期和对照期。研究人员将根据纳入和排除标准在N-of-1试验中严格招募12名参与者。在8周干预期的每个周期后检查的主要关注结果是视野(VF)的评估。其他感兴趣的变量是最佳矫正视力(BCVA),使用视网膜电图(ERG)的视网膜功能,视觉功能使用NEIVFQ-25问卷。视网膜变化的客观评估将使用光学相干断层扫描(OCT)和眼底自发荧光(FAF)进行。
    结论:该试验将通过N-of-1试验评估微电流刺激对RP的疗效和安全性,并为临床应用提供高质量的证据。
    背景:中国临床试验注册中心;ChiCTR2300067357;https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.html?proj=174635。2023年1月5日注册。
    BACKGROUND: Retinitis pigmentosa (RP) is an inherited disease characterized by a progressive loss of rod photoreceptors of the eye, leading to irreversible blindness. To date, to our knowledge, no clinical prospective studies have been undertaken that could document the effect of interventions that could reverse or reduce the progression of this disease. The application of microcurrent stimulation (ES) of the eye in the treatment of chronic eye diseases such as glaucoma and age-related macular degeneration has been used over several decades and has been reported to have beneficial effects to reduce the progression of these blinding diseases and has been supported by animal studies and smaller clinical studies, but to date, no large randomized clinical trials on the use of microcurrent therapy have been published. More recent clinical reports have also shown beneficial effects of ES on slowing the progression of RP but also lacks data from robust prospective clinical outcome studies. To our knowledge, this is the first prospective randomized study to evaluate the safety and clinical effectiveness of transpalpebral electrical stimulation (TpES) on the progression of RP.
    METHODS: Randomized prospective study using N-of-1 trial 3 single-blind, crossover comparisons. The intervention period of each comparison is divided into treatment period and control period which are randomized arranged. Twelve participants will be strictly recruited in N-of-1 trial by the researcher in accordance with the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The main outcome of interest examined after each cycle of the 8-week intervention period is the assessment of the visual field (VF). Other variables of interest are best corrected visual acuity (BCVA), retinal function using electroretinogram (ERG), and visual function using NEI VFQ-25 questionnaire. Objective assessments of retinal changes will be undertaken using optical coherence tomography (OCT) and fundus autofluorescence (FAF).
    CONCLUSIONS: The trial will evaluate the efficacy and safety of microcurrent stimulation on RP and provide high-quality evidence for clinical application through N-of-1 trial.
    BACKGROUND: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry; ChiCTR2300067357; https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.html?proj=174635 . Registered on 5 January 2023.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    理想情况下,收集真实世界数据(RWD)以生成真实世界证据(RWE)应导致对真实世界患者的护理和健康的影响。源于临床医生和患者尝试各种治疗来告知治疗决策的护理,N-of-1试验为现实世界的实践带来了科学的方法。
    这些单患者交叉试验通过在连续周期中以双盲方式为个体患者提供各种治疗来产生RWD和RWE,以确定给定患者的最有效治疗。
    这种方法最常用于慢性病患者,相对稳定的条件,提供了在多个治疗期间进行比较的机会,称为1型N-of-1试验。当患者之间存在治疗效果的异质性并且没有先验的最佳选择时,这些是最有帮助的。N-of-1试验也可以对罕见疾病患者进行,可能只测试一种治疗方法,为个性化治疗决策提供证据,指定为2型N-of-1试验。这两种类型,除了告知个人的治疗,当统一的协议被用于具有相同条件的多个患者,可以汇总在单个N-of-1试验中收集的数据,以提供RWD/RWE,从而为更普遍的治疗方法提供依据.因此,N-of-1试验可以为个体和人群的护理提供RWE。
    为了实现这一潜力,我们认为N-of-1试验应该纳入我们当前的医疗生态系统.为此,我们正在建设所需的基础设施,并让应该从这种方法中获得价值的利益相关者参与进来。
    UNASSIGNED: Ideally, real-world data (RWD) collected to generate real-world evidence (RWE) should lead to impact on the care and health of real-world patients. Deriving from care in which clinicians and patients try various treatments to inform therapeutic decisions, N-of-1 trials bring scientific methods to real-world practice.
    UNASSIGNED: These single-patient crossover trials generate RWD and RWE by giving individual patients various treatments in a double-blinded way in sequential periods to determine the most effective treatment for a given patient.
    UNASSIGNED: This approach is most often used for patients with chronic, relatively stable conditions that provide the opportunity to make comparisons over multiple treatment periods, termed Type 1 N-of-1 trials. These are most helpful when there is heterogeneity of treatment effects among patients and no a priori best option. N-of-1 trials also can be done for patients with rare diseases, potentially testing only one treatment, to generate evidence for personalized treatment decisions, designated as Type 2 N-of-1 trials. With both types, in addition to informing individual\'s treatments, when uniform protocols are used for multiple patients with the same condition, the data collected in the individual N-of-1 trials can be aggregated to provide RWD/RWE to inform more general use of the treatments. Thereby, N-of-1 trials can provide RWE for the care of individuals and for populations.
    UNASSIGNED: To fulfill this potential, we believe N-of-1 trials should be built into our current healthcare ecosystem. To this end, we are building the needed infrastructure and engaging the stakeholders who should receive value from this approach.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:本文的主要目的是提出在假肢研究中严格设计的多个N-of-1设计的可行性。虽然在康复中往往缺乏足够功率和高质量的研究,N-of-1试验可以为随机对照试验提供可行的替代方案,既增加了集团层面的设计能力,又允许严格的,统计上证实了单个患者水平的有效性评估。本文提出了一种多N-of-1试验协议,其目的是评估团结的有效性,用于截肢者的假肢附加悬挂系统,患者在日常活动中报告的舒适度(主要结果衡量标准),假肢佩戴时间,假肢拟合和残端体积和功能性步行参数的感知。
    方法:多中心,随机化,prospective,在20例单侧胫骨截肢患者中,使用引入/退出设计交替Unity连接/断开阶段的随机长度的双盲多项N-of-1试验。主要结果测量是假肢睡眠舒适评分(SCS),一种经过验证的舒适度,每天通过为研究设计的手机应用程序进行管理。次要结局指标将在N-of-1试验的50天期间收集:(1)由同一应用程序,每日用于患者报告的假肢装配,树桩体积变化,和假体的每日佩戴时间;(2)通过计步器测量每天的步数;(3)在康复中心的盲人评估人员对功能性步行参数进行调整访问(L-Test,6分钟步行测试),由病人寻求,ABC-SUnity系统有关SCS和每日次要结果指标的有效性将通过随机测试进行测试。在康复中心访视期间评估的次要结果指标将通过所有配对的非重叠进行分析。对截肢者群体的影响的估计将通过分层贝叶斯方法汇总每个单独的临床试验(N-of-1试验)来产生。
    结论:这项研究方案旨在回答“哪种设备最适合该患者”的问题,并在小组水平上得出结论,使用多次N-of-1试验,到目前为止,这是有希望的,但在假肢研究中应用不足。
    背景:N°ID-RCB2020-A01309-30Clintrial.gov:NCT04804150-回顾性注册于2021年3月20日。
    BACKGROUND: The main aim of this paper is to present the feasibility of rigorously designed multiple N-of-1 design in prosthetics research. While research of adequate power and high quality is often lacking in rehabilitation, N-of-1 trials can offer a feasible alternative to randomized controlled group trials, both increasing design power at group level and allowing a rigorous, statistically confirmed evaluation of effectiveness at a single patient level. The paper presents a multiple N-of-1 trial protocol, which aim is to evaluate the effectiveness of Unity, a prosthetic add-on suspension system for amputees, on patient-reported comfort during daily activities (main outcome measure), prosthesis wearing time, perception of limb-prosthesis fitting and stump volume and functional walking parameters.
    METHODS: Multicenter, randomized, prospective, double-blind multiple N-of-1 trial using an introduction/withdrawal design alternating Unity connected/disconnected phases of randomized length on twenty patients with unilateral transtibial amputation. The primary outcome measure is the Prosthetic Socket Comfort Score (SCS), a validated measure of comfort, administered daily by an phone app designed for the study. Secondary outcomes measures will be collected during the 50 days period of the N-of-1 trial: (1) by the same app, daily for patient-reported limb-prosthesis fitting, stump volume variation, and daily wearing time of the prosthesis; (2) by a pedometer for the number of steps per day; (3) by blind assessors in the rehabilitation center during adjustment visits for functional walking parameter (L-Test, 6-minute walk test), and by the patient for the QUEST, and ABC-S. Effectiveness of the Unity system regarding SCS and daily secondary outcome measures will be tested by randomization test. The secondary outcome measures assessed during visits in the rehabilitation center will be analyzed by Non Overlap of All pairs. An estimate of the effect on the amputee population will be generated by aggregating each individual clinical trial (N-of-1 trial) by Hierarchical Bayesian methods.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study protocol was designed to answer the question \"which device is best for THIS patient\" and to conclude at a group level on the effectiveness of a new devic, using a Multiple N-of-1 trial, which is promising but underused in prosthetics research so far.
    BACKGROUND: N° ID-RCB 2020-A01309-30 Clintrial.gov : NCT04804150 - Retrospectively registered March 20th 2021.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    模拟研究调查了局部线性趋势模型的数据比较精度之间的关系,基线数据变异性,以及引入N-of-1干预后水平和斜率的变化。绘制等高线地图,其中包括基线数据的可变性,改变水平或坡度,以及局部线性趋势模型的状态和预测值之间不重叠数据的百分比。模拟结果表明,基线数据的变异性以及干预后水平和斜率的变化会影响基于局部线性趋势模型的数据比较精度。现场研究采用局部线性趋势模型对实际现场数据进行干预效果调查,这证实了以前的N-of-1研究的100%有效性。这些结果表明,使用局部线性趋势模型,基线数据变异性会影响数据比较的准确性,可以准确预测干预效果。局部线性趋势模型有助于评估精准康复中有效个性化干预的干预效果。
    The simulation study investigated the relationship between the local linear trend model\'s data-comparison accuracy, baseline-data variability, and changes in level and slope after introducing the N-of-1 intervention. Contour maps were constructed, which included baseline-data variability, change in level or slope, and percentage of non-overlapping data between the state and forecast values by the local linear trend model. Simulation results showed that baseline-data variability and changes in level and slope after intervention affect the data-comparison accuracy based on the local linear trend model. The field study investigated the intervention effects for actual field data using the local linear trend model, which confirmed 100% effectiveness of previous N-of-1 studies. These results imply that baseline-data variability affects the data-comparison accuracy using a local linear trend model, which could accurately predict the intervention effects. The local linear trend model may help assess the intervention effects of effective personalized interventions in precision rehabilitation.
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  • 文章类型: Randomized Controlled Trial
    应使用裸露的上臂和适当尺寸的袖带测量血压[BP]。在实践中,在卷起的袖子下方的裸露手臂或带袖子的手臂上测量BP更为方便。
    进行了n-of-1随机对照试验,以评估在袖子上或卷起的袖子下的BP测量值之间的差异。
    研究对象是男性,白色,72岁,BMI26kg/m2,臂围29cm,并在稳定的抗高血压治疗下。将薄套筒上的三个BP测量值的平均值与卷起的套筒下的测量值进行比较。在一个完全裸露的手臂上进行额外的测量,用较厚的袖子和多达三层进行。测量顺序是偶然确定的,并使用了两个示波装置。描述性统计,使用Bland-Altman检验和2侧T检验进行比较。
    进行了504次测量:在套筒上方50%和在卷起的套筒下方50%。平均收缩压(SBP)分别为116.9±9。2[95%CI115.7-118.0,范围96-135]和122.8±9.2[95%CI121.7-124.0,范围103-139,p=0.001]mmHg。平均舒张压[DBP]分别为67.6±6.8[95%CI66.8-68.4,范围52-84]和71.8±6.8[95%CI71.0-72.7,范围55-85,p=0.001]mmHg。在套筒上和在完全裸露的臂上的测量之间没有显著差异[n=94,p=0.97]。2层厚至3mm的套管厚度不影响结果。
    薄袖子上的血压测量值明显低于卷起的袖子下方的测量值,并且与完全裸露的手臂上的测量值相匹配。
    UNASSIGNED: Blood pressure [BP] should be measured using a bare upper arm with an appropriately sized cuff. In practice, it is more convenient to measure BP on a bare arm below a rolled-up sleeve or on a sleeved arm.
    UNASSIGNED: A n-of-1 randomized controlled trial was performed to assess the difference between BP measurements over a sleeve or below a rolled-up sleeve.
    UNASSIGNED: The study subject was male, white, 72 years old, BMI 26 kg/m2, arm circumference 29 cm, and under stable antihypertensive treatment. The mean of three BP measurements over a thin sleeve was compared with measurements below a rolled-up sleeve. Additional measurements on a completely bare arm, with thicker sleeves and up to three layers were performed. The order of measurements was determined by chance and two oscillometric devices were used. Descriptive statistics, Bland-Altman test and 2-side T test were used for comparisons.
    UNASSIGNED: 504 measurements were performed: 50 % over the sleeve and 50 % below the rolled-up sleeve. The mean systolic blood pressure (SBP) was respectively 116.9 ± 9. 2 [95% CI 115.7-118.0, range 96-135] and 122.8 ± 9.2 [95% CI 121.7-124.0, range 103-139, p = 0.001] mm Hg. The mean diastolic blood pressure [DBP] was respectively 67.6 ± 6.8 [95% CI 66.8-68.4, range 52-84] and 71.8 ± 6.8 [95% CI 71.0-72.7, range 55-85, p = 0.001] mm Hg. There was no significant difference between the measurements over the sleeve and on the completely bare arm [n = 94, p = 0.97]. Sleeve thickness with 2 layers up to 3 mm thick did not affect the results.
    UNASSIGNED: Blood pressure measurements over a thin sleeve were significantly lower than measurements below a rolled-up sleeve and match measurements on a completely bare arm.
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  • 文章类型: Randomized Controlled Trial
    在接受高血压治疗的儿童中,血压(BP)通常未得到充分控制。个性化(n-of-1)试验显示出定制治疗选择的希望。与常规治疗相比,我们评估了由n-of-1试验告知治疗选择的患者是否改善了BP控制。
    一项随机临床试验于2018年4月至2020年9月在休斯敦的儿科高血压诊所进行。高血压青少年和10-22岁的年轻人以1:1的比例随机分配到n-of-1试验策略中,使用动态BP监测来告知治疗选择或常规护理。根据医生的偏好选择治疗。在贝叶斯分析中,主要结果是6个月时动态血压控制的患者比例。
    在49名参与者中(23名随机接受n-of-1试验,26名接受常规治疗),平均年龄为15.6岁。使用怀疑的先验,我们发现,69%的概率,n-of-1试验增加BP控制在6个月(贝叶斯优势比(OR)1.24(95%可信区间(CrI)0.51,2.97),使用中立信息先验的概率为74%(OR1.45(95%CrI0.48,4.53))。两组收缩压均降低,在n-of-1试验组中有93%的概率降低(组间平均差=-3.6mmHg(95%CrI=8.3,1.28)。副作用体验或照顾者满意度没有显着差异。
    在高血压青少年和年轻人中,动态BP监测的n-1项试验可能增加BP控制的可能性。需要进行大型试验来评估其在临床实践中的使用。
    NCT03461003。
    ClinicalTrials.gov;NCT03461003。
    Blood pressure (BP) is often inadequately controlled in children treated for hypertension, and personalized (n-of-1) trials show promise for tailoring treatment choices. We assessed whether patients whose treatment choices are informed by an n-of-1 trial have improved BP control compared to usual care.
    A randomized clinical trial was conducted in a pediatric hypertension clinic in Houston from April 2018 to September 2020. Hypertensive adolescents and young adults 10-22 years old were randomized 1:1 to a strategy of n-of-1 trial using ambulatory BP monitoring to inform treatment choice or usual care, with treatment selected by physician preference. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with ambulatory BP control at 6 months in a Bayesian analysis.
    Among 49 participants (23 randomized to n-of-1 trials and 26 to usual care), mean age was 15.6 years. Using skeptical priors, we found a 69% probability that n-of-1 trials increased BP control at 6 months (Bayesian odds ratio (OR) 1.24 (95% credible interval (CrI) 0.51, 2.97), and 74% probability using neutral informed priors (OR 1.45 (95% CrI 0.48, 4.53)). Systolic BP was reduced in both groups, with a 93% probability of greater reduction in the n-of-1 trial group (mean difference between groups = -3.6 mm Hg (95% CrI -8.3, 1.28). There was no significant difference in side effect experience or caregiver satisfaction.
    Among hypertensive adolescents and young adults, n-of-1 trials with ambulatory BP monitoring likely increased the probability of BP control. A large trial is needed to assess their use in clinical practice.
    NCT03461003.
    ClinicalTrials.gov; NCT03461003.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经证实:心率(HR),尤其是在夜间,是心血管健康的重要生物标志物。众所周知,它受到整体身体健康的影响,以及日常生活中的生理或心理压力源,如运动,睡眠不足,酒精过量,某些食物,社会化,或航空旅行引起身体的生理唤醒。然而,这些应激源影响夜间HR的确切机制尚不清楚,可能是高度特异性的(即个体特异性).单例或“n-of-1”观察性研究(N1OS)有助于通过检查每个受试者对压力源和基线条件的暴露来探索这种建议的影响,从而表征该个体特有的建议效果。
    UNASSIGNED:我们的目标是测试并生成针对日常生活压力源对夜间HR的建议影响的个人特定N1OS假设。作为N1OS,这项研究为每个参与者提供了结论,因此不需要有代表性的人口。
    未经评估:我们研究了三种健康的,非运动员个人,收集数据长达四年。此外,我们评估了模型双生随机化(MoTR),一种新颖的蒙特卡洛方法,有助于发现日常生活中压力源的个性化干预措施。
    UNASSIGNED:我们发现体育锻炼可以增加夜间心率幅度,然而,关于其对总睡眠时间的建议影响没有强有力的结论。自我报告的状态,如锻炼,瑜伽,和压力与增加(前两个)和减少(最后一个)平均夜间心率相关。
    UNASSIGNED:本研究实施了MoTR方法,评估了每日压力源对夜间心率的建议影响,睡眠时间,和身体活动的个性化方式:通过N-of-1方法。MoTR的Python实现是免费提供的。
    UNASSIGNED: Heart rate (HR), especially at nighttime, is an important biomarker for cardiovascular health. It is known to be influenced by overall physical fitness, as well as daily life physical or psychological stressors like exercise, insufficient sleep, excess alcohol, certain foods, socialization, or air travel causing physiological arousal of the body. However, the exact mechanisms by which these stressors affect nighttime HR are unclear and may be highly idiographic (i.e. individual-specific). A single-case or \"n-of-1\" observational study (N1OS) is useful in exploring such suggested effects by examining each subject\'s exposure to both stressors and baseline conditions, thereby characterizing suggested effects specific to that individual.
    UNASSIGNED: Our objective was to test and generate individual-specific N1OS hypotheses of the suggested effects of daily life stressors on nighttime HR. As an N1OS, this study provides conclusions for each participant, thus not requiring a representative population.
    UNASSIGNED: We studied three healthy, nonathlete individuals, collecting the data for up to four years. Additionally, we evaluated model-twin randomization (MoTR), a novel Monte Carlo method facilitating the discovery of personalized interventions on stressors in daily life.
    UNASSIGNED: We found that physical activity can increase the nighttime heart rate amplitude, whereas there were no strong conclusions about its suggested effect on total sleep time. Self-reported states such as exercise, yoga, and stress were associated with increased (for the first two) and decreased (last one) average nighttime heart rate.
    UNASSIGNED: This study implemented the MoTR method evaluating the suggested effects of daily stressors on nighttime heart rate, sleep time, and physical activity in an individualized way: via the N-of-1 approach. A Python implementation of MoTR is freely available.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    N-of-1试验是评估个体治疗效果并得出个性化治疗策略的黄金标准研究设计。数字工具有可能在规模和范围方面开启N-of-1试验的新时代,但功能齐全的平台还没有。这里,我们介绍了开源的StudyU平台,其中包括StudyU设计器和StudyU应用程序。有了StudyU设计师,科学家们得到了一个协作的网络应用程序来数字化指定,发布,并进行N-of-1试验。StudyU应用程序是一款智能手机应用程序,具有以用户为中心的创新元素,参与者可以参与通过StudyU设计师发布的试验,以评估不同干预措施对他们健康的影响。因此,StudyU平台允许全球的临床医生和研究人员以安全的方式轻松设计和进行数字N-of-1试验.我们设想StudyU可以改变患者和健康个体的个性化治疗的格局,民主化和个性化证据生成,以实现自我优化和医学,并可融入临床实践。
    N-of-1 trials are the gold standard study design to evaluate individual treatment effects and derive personalized treatment strategies. Digital tools have the potential to initiate a new era of N-of-1 trials in terms of scale and scope, but fully functional platforms are not yet available. Here, we present the open source StudyU platform, which includes the StudyU Designer and StudyU app. With the StudyU Designer, scientists are given a collaborative web application to digitally specify, publish, and conduct N-of-1 trials. The StudyU app is a smartphone app with innovative user-centric elements for participants to partake in trials published through the StudyU Designer to assess the effects of different interventions on their health. Thereby, the StudyU platform allows clinicians and researchers worldwide to easily design and conduct digital N-of-1 trials in a safe manner. We envision that StudyU can change the landscape of personalized treatments both for patients and healthy individuals, democratize and personalize evidence generation for self-optimization and medicine, and can be integrated in clinical practice.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    研究人员和从业者经常使用单例设计(SCD),或n-of-1试验,开发和验证新的治疗方法。已经发布了标准和指南,以提供有关如何实施SCD的指导,但他们的许多建议并非来自研究文献。例如,其中一项建议表明,研究人员和从业人员应在引入自变量之前等待基线稳定性.然而,这一建议没有得到经验证据的有力支持.为了解决这个问题,我们使用蒙特卡罗模拟来生成具有固定,响应引导,和随机基线长度,同时操纵趋势和变异性。然后,我们的分析比较了两种分析方法产生的I型错误率和功效:保守双标准方法(结构化视觉辅助)和支持向量分类器(源自机器学习的模型).保守的对偶标准方法在使用响应引导决策时产生的错误较少(即,等待稳定性)和随机基线长度。相比之下,等待稳定性并没有减少支持向量分类器的决策错误。我们的发现质疑在使用SCD和机器学习时等待基线稳定性的必要性,但是这项研究必须与其他设计和图形参数重复,这些参数会随着时间的推移而变化,以支持我们的结果。
    Researchers and practitioners often use single-case designs (SCDs), or n-of-1 trials, to develop and validate novel treatments. Standards and guidelines have been published to provide guidance as to how to implement SCDs, but many of their recommendations are not derived from the research literature. For example, one of these recommendations suggests that researchers and practitioners should wait for baseline stability prior to introducing an independent variable. However, this recommendation is not strongly supported by empirical evidence. To address this issue, we used Monte Carlo simulations to generate graphs with fixed, response-guided, and random baseline lengths while manipulating trend and variability. Then, our analyses compared the type I error rate and power produced by two methods of analysis: the conservative dual-criteria method (a structured visual aid) and a support vector classifier (a model derived from machine learning). The conservative dual-criteria method produced fewer errors when using response-guided decision-making (i.e., waiting for stability) and random baseline lengths. In contrast, waiting for stability did not reduce decision-making errors with the support vector classifier. Our findings question the necessity of waiting for baseline stability when using SCDs with machine learning, but the study must be replicated with other designs and graph parameters that change over time to support our results.
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