■全球,75%的新生儿死亡发生在生命的头几周,超过43%的死亡发生在撒哈拉以南非洲地区。与健康相关的政策制定者和决策者需要使用循证治疗,以减少早期新生儿死亡的时间和相关预测因素。然而,关于中位生存时间的研究有限,cause,发病率,以及研究区域和国家的预测因子。因此,本研究的目的是评估时间,新生儿早期死亡的原因,以及埃塞俄比亚西北部BahirDar市公立医院新生儿重症监护病房收治的新生儿的预测因素。
■对2023年2月22日至4月22日通过系统抽样选择的387例早期新生儿进行了基于机构的前瞻性随访研究设计。统计软件,Epi数据4.6版和Stata14版用于输入和分析,分别。通过Schoenfeld残差检验和Cox-Snell残差检验检验了比例风险假设和模型适合度,分别。描述性统计,卡普兰-迈耶曲线,寿命表用于描述变量。拟合Cox回归分析模型以确定早期新生儿死亡的预测因子。
■在随访期间,59例(15.25%)早期新生儿死亡,发生率为31.79/1,000早期新生儿天[95%置信区间(CI):0.024-0.041]。新生儿早期死亡的主要原因是早产并发症,窒息,脓毒症,胎粪吸入综合征,和坏死性小肠结肠炎.平均生存时间为2.72天。从多胎母亲出生[调整危险比(AHR)4.34;95%CI:1.63-11.55],一个伟大的多重妊娠母亲(AHR3.50;95%CI:1.12-10.95),呼吸窘迫综合征(AHR2.60;95%CI:1.03-6.58),出生窒息(AHR7.51;95%CI:2.30-24.51),胎龄较小(AHR2.05;95%CI:1.08-4.92),无法纯母乳喂养(AHR3.46;95%CI:1.52-7.88)是新生儿早期死亡时间的显著相关预测因子.
■新生儿早期死亡的发生率很高,平均生存时间为2.72天。重力,呼吸窘迫综合征,出生窒息,无法完全母乳喂养被确定为早期新生儿死亡的预测因素。因此,未来的研究将包括多中心的长期前瞻性随访研究,全国水平。
UNASSIGNED: Globally, 75% of neonatal deaths occur during the first weeks of life and more than 43% of deaths are covered by sub-Saharan Africa. Health-related policymakers and decision-makers need to use evidence-based treatments to reduce the time to early neonatal death and associated predictors. However, there are limited studies on median survival time,
cause, incidence, and predictors in the study area as well as the country. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to assess time, the
cause of early neonatal death, and its predictors among neonates admitted to neonatal intensive care units at Bahir Dar City public hospitals in northwest Ethiopia.
UNASSIGNED: An institution-based prospective follow-up study design was conducted among 387 early neonates selected by systematic sampling between 22 February and 22 April 2023. Statistical software, Epi Data version 4.6 and Stata version 14, was used for entry and analysis, respectively. Proportional hazard assumption and model fitness were checked by the Schoenfeld residual test and the Cox-Snell residual test, respectively. Descriptive statistics, the Kaplan-Meier curve, and the life table were used to describe variables. The Cox regression analysis model was fitted to identify the predictors of early neonatal death.
UNASSIGNED: During the follow-up time, 59 (15.25%) early neonates died, with an incidence of 31.79 per 1,000 early neonate days [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.024-0.041]. The leading causes of early neonatal death were prematurity complications, asphyxia, sepsis, meconium aspiration syndrome, and necrotizing enterocolitis. The mean survival time was 2.72 days. Being born from a multigravida mother [adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) 4.34; 95% CI: 1.63-11.55], a grand multigravida mother (AHR 3.50; 95% CI: 1.12-10.95), respiratory distress syndrome (AHR 2.60; 95% CI: 1.03-6.58), birth asphyxia (AHR 7.51; 95% CI: 2.30-24.51), a small gestational age (AHR 2.05; 95% CI: 1.08-4.92), and being unable to exclusively breastfeed (AHR 3.46; 95% CI: 1.52-7.88) were significantly associated predictors for time to early neonatal death.
UNASSIGNED: The incidence of early neonatal death was high, and the mean survival time was 2.72 days. Gravidity, respiratory distress syndrome, birth asphyxia, and being unable to exclusively breastfeed were identified as predictors of early neonatal death. Therefore, future research will consist of long-term prospective follow-up studies at a multicenter, nationwide level.