UNASSIGNED: The NAFLD decompensation risk score (the Iowa Model) was recently developed to identify patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) at highest risk of developing hepatic events using three variables-age, platelet count, and diabetes.
UNASSIGNED: We performed an external validation of the Iowa Model and compared it to existing non-invasive models.
UNASSIGNED: We included 249 patients with NAFLD at Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, in the external validation cohort and 949 patients in the combined internal/external validation cohort. The primary outcome was the development of hepatic events (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, esophageal or gastric varices, or hepatocellular carcinoma). We used Cox proportional hazards to analyze the ability of the Iowa Model to predict hepatic events in the external validation (https://uihc.org/non-alcoholic-fatty-liver-disease-decompensation-risk-score-calculator). We compared the performance of the Iowa Model to the AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), and the FIB-4 index in the combined cohort.
UNASSIGNED: The Iowa Model significantly predicted the development of hepatic events with hazard ratio of 2.5 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7-3.9, P < 0.001] and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.87 (CI 0.83-0.91). The AUROC of the Iowa Model (0.88, CI: 0.85-0.92) was comparable to the FIB-4 index (0.87, CI: 0.83-0.91) and higher than NFS (0.66, CI: 0.63-0.69) and APRI (0.76, CI: 0.73-0.79).
UNASSIGNED: In an urban, racially and ethnically diverse population, the Iowa Model performed well to identify NAFLD patients at higher risk for liver-related complications. The model provides the individual probability of developing hepatic events and identifies patients in need of early intervention.

Alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is a clinical syndrome of jaundice, abdominal pain, and anorexia due to prolonged heavy alcohol intake. AH is associated with changes in gene expression, cytokines, immune response, and the gut microbiome. There are limited biomarkers to diagnose and prognosticate in AH, but several non-invasive biomarkers are emerging. In this review, clinical risk-stratifying algorithms, promising AH biomarkers like cytokeratin-18 fragments, genetic polymorphisms, and microRNAs will be reviewed.

UNASSIGNED: People with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) have a variable and often progressive disease course that is associated with biliary and parenchymal changes. These changes are typically assessed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), including qualitative assessment of magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP). Our aim was to study the association of novel objective quantitative MRCP metrics with prognostic scores and patient outcomes.
UNASSIGNED: We performed a retrospective study including 77 individuals with large-duct PSC with baseline MRCP images, which were postprocessed to obtain quantitative measures of bile ducts using MRCP+™. The participants\' ANALI scores, liver stiffness by vibration-controlled transient elastography, and biochemical indices were collected at baseline. Adverse outcome-free survival was measured as the absence of decompensated cirrhosis, liver transplantation (LT), or liver-related death over a 12-year period. The prognostic value of MRCP+-derived metrics was assessed by Cox regression modelling.
UNASSIGNED: During a total of 386 patients-years, 16 cases of decompensation, 2 LTs, and 5 liver-related deaths were recorded. At baseline, around 50% of the patients were classified as being at risk of developing disease complications. MRCP+ metrics, particularly those describing the severity of bile duct dilatations, were correlated with all prognostic factors. Univariate analysis showed that MRCP+ metrics representing duct diameter, dilatations, and the percentage of ducts with strictures and/or dilatations were associated with survival. In a multivariable-adjusted analysis, the median duct diameter was significantly associated with survival (hazard ratio 10.9, 95% CI 1.3-90.3).
UNASSIGNED: MRCP+ metrics in people with PSC correlate with biochemical, elastographic, and radiological prognostic scores and are predictive of adverse outcome-free survival.
UNASSIGNED: In this study, we assessed in people with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) the association of novel objective quantitative MRCP metrics automatically provided by a software tool (MRCP+) with prognostic scores and patient outcomes. We observed that MRCP+ metrics in people with PSC correlate with biochemical, elastographic, and radiological prognostic scores and are predictive of adverse outcome-free survival.

UNASSIGNED: The COVID-19 pandemic has had a major negative impact on health systems and many chronic diseases globally. We aimed to evaluate the impact of the first year of the pandemic on the outcomes of people with NAFLD cirrhosis.
UNASSIGNED: We conducted a before-after study in four University hospitals in Catalonia, Spain. Study subperiods were divided into Pre-pandemic (March/2019-February/2020) vs. Pandemic (March/2020-February/2021). The primary outcome was the rate of first liver-related event (LRE). Overall clinical outcomes (LREs plus cardiovascular plus all-cause mortality) were also assessed.
UNASSIGNED: A total of 354 patients were included, all of whom were compensated at the beginning of the study period; 83 individuals (23.5%) had a history of prior hepatic decompensation. Mean age was 67.3 years and 48.3% were female. Median BMI was 31.2 kg/m2 and type 2 diabetes was present in 72.8% of patients. The rates of first LRE in the Pre-pandemic and Pandemic periods were 7.4% and 11.3% (p = 0.12), respectively. Whilst the rate of overall events was significantly higher in the Pandemic period (9.9% vs. 17.8%; p = 0.009), this was strongly associated with COVID-19-related deaths. The rate of worsened metabolic status was significantly higher in the Pandemic period (38.4% vs. 46.1%; p = 0.041), yet this was not associated with the risk of first LRE during the Pandemic period, whereas type 2 diabetes (odds ratio [OR] 3.77; 95% CI 1.15-12.32; p = 0.028), albumin <4 g/L (OR 4.43; 95% CI 1.76-11.17; p = 0.002) and Fibrosis-4 score >2.67 (OR 15.74; 95% CI 2.01-123.22; p = 0.009) were identified as risk factors in the multivariable analysis.
UNASSIGNED: Overall, people with NAFLD cirrhosis did not present poorer liver-related outcomes during the first year of the pandemic. Health system preparedness seems key to ensure that people with NAFLD cirrhosis receive appropriate care during health crises.
UNASSIGNED: Mobility restrictions and social stress induced by the COVID-19 pandemic have led to increased alcohol drinking and worsened metabolic control (e.g., weight gain, poor control of diabetes) in a large proportion of the population in many countries. We aimed to analyze whether people with cirrhosis due to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, who are particularly vulnerable to such lifestyle modifications, were significantly impacted during the first year of the pandemic. We compared the clinical situation of 354 patients one year before the pandemic and one year after. We found that although metabolic control was indeed worse after the first year of the pandemic and patients presented worse clinical outcomes, the latter was mostly due to non-liver causes, namely COVID-19 itself. Moreover, the care provided to these patients did not worsen during the first year of the pandemic.

UNASSIGNED: Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency is caused by mutations in SERPINA1, most commonly homozygosity for the Pi∗Z variant, and can present as liver disease. While heterozygosity for Pi∗Z (Pi∗MZ) is linked to increased risk of cirrhosis, whether the Pi∗MZ genotype is associated with an increased rate of decompensation among patients who already have compensated cirrhosis is not known.
UNASSIGNED: This was a retrospective study of Michigan Genomics Initiative participants with baseline compensated cirrhosis. The primary predictors were Pi∗MZ or Pi∗MS genotype (vs. Pi∗MM). The primary outcomes were hepatic decompensation with ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or variceal bleeding, or the combined endpoint of liver-related death or liver transplant, both modeled with Fine-Gray competing risk models.
UNASSIGNED: We included 576 patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis who had undergone genotyping, of whom 474 had Pi∗MM, 49 had Pi∗MZ, and 52 had Pi∗MS genotypes. Compared to Pi∗MM genotype, Pi∗MZ was associated with increased rates of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio 1.81; 95% CI 1.22-2.69; p = 0.003) and liver transplant or liver-related death (hazard ratio 2.07; 95% CI 1.21-3.52; p = 0.078). These associations remained significant after adjustment for severity of underlying liver disease, and were robust across subgroup analyses based on etiology, sex, obesity, and diabetes status. Pi∗MS was not associated with decompensation or death/transplantation.
UNASSIGNED: The SERPINA1 Pi∗MZ genotype is associated with an increased rate of hepatic decompensation and decreased transplant-free survival among patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis.
UNASSIGNED: There is a mutation in the gene SERPINA1 called Pi∗MZ which increases risk of liver scarring (cirrhosis); however, it is not known what effect Pi∗MZ has if someone already has cirrhosis. In this study, we found that people who had cirrhosis and Pi∗MZ developed complications from cirrhosis faster than those who did not have the mutation.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is rapidly becoming one of the most common causes of liver disease. The progressive subtype of NAFLD, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), leads to cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and mortality. Fibrosis is the strongest predictor for complications. Due to the invasive nature of liver biopsy, noninvasive testing methods have emerged to detect fibrosis and predict outcomes. Of these modalities, magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) has demonstrated the highest accuracy to detect fibrosis. In this review, we will focus on the emerging data regarding MRE and liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and portal hypertension in NAFLD.

OBJECTIVE: Despite availability of diagnostic and management reference guidelines outlining standard of care for patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), national and regional guidelines are lacking, resulting in variations in patient management between regions. We retrospectively analyzed patient characteristics and management data from the Adelphi Real World NASH Disease Specific Programme™ for patients with NASH in the EU5, Canada, and the Middle East to identify gaps between real-world practice and that advocated by reference guidelines, irrespective of clinician awareness or consultation of guidelines.
METHODS: We performed an analysis of physicians (hepatologists, gastroenterologists, diabetologists) and their patients diagnosed with NASH. Physicians completed patient record forms for the next 5 consulting patients, collecting information on patient care, including diagnosis and disease management.
RESULTS: A total of 429 physicians provided data for 2,267 patients with NASH (EU5, n = 1,844; Canada, n = 130; Middle East, n = 293). Patient age, physician-defined fibrosis stage, comorbidities and symptoms, and diagnostic testing practices highlighted statistically significant differences across regions. Substantial disconnects between reference guidelines and real-world practice were observed. Use of liver function tests, non-invasive tests (e.g. ultrasound and transient elastography), and tests to exclude other conditions was suboptimal. Although lifestyle advice was widely provided, patients were less commonly referred to diet, exercise, and lifestyle specialists. Two-thirds of patients were receiving off-label treatment for NASH or associated underlying conditions with the aim of improving NASH, most commonly statins, metformin, and vitamin E.
CONCLUSIONS: Real-world NASH management approaches differ across regions and from proposed standard of care represented by reference multidisciplinary guidelines. Establishment and awareness of, and adherence to regional and national guidelines may improve identification and management of patients with NASH and potentially improve outcomes in this population.
BACKGROUND: Although reference guidelines are available to guide the management of patients with NASH, these are not widely used and there is a lack of national guidelines. Our study shows how clinical practice in the EU, Canada, and Middle East differs from proposed standard of care, particularly relating to how patients are diagnosed and treated. Wider establishment of, awareness of, and reference to guidelines may improve how physicians identify and manage patients with NASH.

OBJECTIVE: The Liver Cancer Risk test algorithm (LCR1-LCR2) is a multianalyte blood test combining proteins involved in liver cell repair (apolipoprotein-A1 and haptoglobin), known hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk factors (sex, age, and gamma-glutamyl transferase), a marker of fibrosis (alpha2-macroglobulin) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), a specific marker of HCC. The aim was to externally validate the LCR1-LCR2 in patients with chronic HCV (CHC) treated or not with antivirals.
METHODS: Pre-included patients were from the Hepather cohort, a multicentre prospective study in adult patients with CHC in France. LCR1-LCR2 was assessed retrospectively in patients with the test components and AFP, available at baseline. The co-primary study outcome was the negative predictive value (NPV) of LCR1-LCR2 for the occurrence of HCC at 5 years and for survival without HCC according to the predetermined LCR1-LCR2 cut-offs. The cut-offs were adjusted for risk covariables and for the response to HCV treatment, and were quantified using time-dependent proportional hazards models.
RESULTS: In total, 4,903 patients, 1,026 (21.9%) with baseline cirrhosis, were included in the study. Patients were followed for a median of 5.7 (IQR 4.2-11.3) years. A total of 3,788/4,903 (77.3%) patients had a sustained virological response. There were 137 cases of HCC at 5 years and 214 at the end of follow-up. HCC occurred at 5 years in 24/3,755 patients with low-risk LCR1-LCR2 compared with 113/1,148 patients with high-risk LCR1-LCR2. The NPV was 99.4% (95% CI 99.1-99.6). Similar findings (hazard ratio, 10.8; 95% CI, 8.1-14.3; p <0.001) were obtained after adjustment for exposure to antivirals, age, sex, geographical origin, HCV genotype 3, alcohol consumption, and type 2 diabetes mellitus.
CONCLUSIONS: The results showed that LCR1-LCR2 can be used to successfully identify patients with HCV at very low risk of HCC at 5 years.
BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fourth leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide and the fastest growing cause of cancer death in many countries. We constructed and internally validated a new multianalyte blood test to assess this Liver Cancer Risk (LCR1-LCR2). This study confirmed the performance of LCR1-LCR2 in patients with chronic HCV in the national French cohort Hepather, and its ability to identify patients at a very low risk of HCC at 5 years.
BACKGROUND: The study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01953458).

OBJECTIVE: Mitochondria are the major organelles for the formation of reactive oxygen species (ROS) in the cell, and mitochondrial dysfunction has been described as a key factor in the pathogenesis of cholestatic liver disease. The methylation-controlled J-protein (MCJ) is a mitochondrial protein that interacts with and represses the function of complex I of the electron transport chain. The relevance of MCJ in the pathology of cholestasis has not yet been explored.
METHODS: We studied the relationship between MCJ and cholestasis-induced liver injury in liver biopsies from patients with chronic cholestatic liver diseases, and in livers and primary hepatocytes obtained from WT and MCJ-KO mice. Bile duct ligation (BDL) was used as an animal model of cholestasis, and primary hepatocytes were treated with toxic doses of bile acids. We evaluated the effect of MCJ silencing for the treatment of cholestasis-induced liver injury.
RESULTS: Elevated levels of MCJ were detected in the liver tissue of patients with chronic cholestatic liver disease when compared with normal liver tissue. Likewise, in mouse models, the hepatic levels of MCJ were increased. After BDL, MCJ-KO animals showed significantly decreased inflammation and apoptosis. In an in vitro model of bile-acid induced toxicity, we observed that the loss of MCJ protected mouse primary hepatocytes from bile acid-induced mitochondrial ROS overproduction and ATP depletion, enabling higher cell viability. Finally, the in vivo inhibition of the MCJ expression, following BDL, showed reduced liver injury and a mitigation of the main cholestatic characteristics.
CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated that MCJ is involved in the progression of cholestatic liver injury, and our results identified MCJ as a potential therapeutic target to mitigate the liver injury caused by cholestasis.
BACKGROUND: In this study, we examine the effect of mitochondrial respiratory chain inhibition by MCJ on bile acid-induced liver toxicity. The loss of MCJ protects hepatocytes against apoptosis, mitochondrial ROS overproduction, and ATP depletion as a result of bile acid toxicity. Our results identify MCJ as a potential therapeutic target to mitigate liver injury in cholestatic liver diseases.

The diagnostic assessment of liver injury is an important step in the management of patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). Although liver biopsy is the reference standard for the assessment of necroinflammation and fibrosis, the inherent limitations of an invasive procedure, and need for repeat sampling, have led to the development of several non-invasive tests (NITs) as alternatives to liver biopsy. Such non-invasive approaches mostly include biological (serum biomarker algorithms) or physical (imaging assessment of tissue stiffness) assessments. However, currently available NITs have several limitations, such as variability, inadequate accuracy and risk factors for error, while the development of a newer generation of biomarkers for fibrosis may be limited by the sampling error inherent to the reference standard. Many of the current NITs were initially developed to diagnose significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C, subsequently refined for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, and further adapted for prognostication in CLD. An important consideration is that despite their increased use in clinical practice, these NITs were not designed to reflect the dynamic process of fibrogenesis, differentiate between adjacent disease stages, diagnose non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, or follow longitudinal changes in fibrosis or disease activity caused by natural history or therapeutic intervention. Understanding the strengths and limitations of these NITs will allow for more judicious interpretation in the clinical context, where NITs should be viewed as complementary to, rather than as a replacement for, liver biopsy.