Spatial Regression

空间回归
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大气二氧化氮(NO2)污染是南非主要由用于发电的化石燃料燃烧引起的主要健康和社会挑战。室内活动的运输和家庭生物质燃烧。污染水平受到各种环境和社会因素的影响,然而,以前的研究利用了有限的因素,或者只关注工业化地区,而忽略了该国大部分地区的贡献。有必要评估社会环境因素,固有地表现出跨空间的变化,影响南非的污染水平。因此,这项研究旨在使用社会环境变量预测对流层NO2柱的年度密度,这些变量在文献中被广泛证明是污染源和汇。用于预测NO2的环境变量包括遥感增强植被指数(EVI),地表温度和气溶胶光学深度(AOD),而社会数据,从全国住户调查中获得,包括能源数据,沉降模式,按城市规模汇总的性别和年龄统计数据。通过应用多尺度地理加权回归来完成预测,该回归在建立地理定位关系时微调每个变量的空间尺度。该模型的总体R2为0.92,表明良好的预测性能以及社会环境变量在估计南非NO2中的重要性。从环境变量中,AOD对增加NO2污染的影响最大,而EVI代表的植被对降低污染水平的作用相反。在社会变量中,家庭电力和木材的使用对污染的贡献最大。公共住宅安排大大减少了NO2,而非正式住区则表现出相反的效果。女性比例是减少NO2的最重要的人口统计学变量。年龄组对NO2污染有混合影响,中年人(20-29岁)是NO2排放的最重要贡献者。当前研究的结果提供了证据,表明NO2污染是由不同空间的社会经济变量解释的。这可以使用MGWR方法可靠地实现,该方法产生适合于每个地点的强模型。
    Atmospheric nitrogen dioxide (NO2) pollution is a major health and social challenge in South African induced mainly by fossil fuel combustions for power generation, transportation and domestic biomass burning for indoor activities. The pollution level is moderated by various environmental and social factors, yet previous studies made use of limited factors or focussed on only industrialised regions ignoring the contributions in large parts of the country. There is a need to assess how socio-environmenral factors, which inherently exhibit variations across space, influence the pollution levels in South Africa. This study therefore aimed to predict annual tropospheric NO2 column density using socio-environmental variables that are widely proven in the literature as sources and sinks of pollution. The environmental variables used to predict NO2 included remotely sensed Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), Land Surface Temperature and Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) while the social data, which were obtained from national household surveys, included energy sources data, settlement patterns, gender and age statistics aggregated at municipality scale. The prediction was accomplished by applying the Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression that fine-tunes the spatial scale of each variable when building geographically localised relationships. The model returned an overall R2 of 0.92, indicating good predicting performance and the significance of the socio-environmental variables in estimating NO2 in South Africa. From the environmental variables, AOD had the most influence in increasing NO2 pollution while vegetation represented by EVI had the opposite effect of reducing the pollution level. Among the social variables, household electricity and wood usage had the most significant contributions to pollution. Communal residential arrangements significantly reduced NO2, while informal settlements showed the opposite effect. The female proportion was the most important demographic variable in reducing NO2. Age groups had mixed effects on NO2 pollution, with the mid-age group (20-29) being the most important contributor to NO2 emission. The findings of the current study provide evidence that NO2 pollution is explained by socio-economic variables that vary widely across space. This can be achieved reliably using the MGWR approach that produces strong models suited to each locality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:母乳喂养为婴儿提供了许多好处,母亲们,和社区,使其成为降低婴儿死亡率和发病率的最佳干预措施。世界卫生组织(WHO)建议在出生后一小时内开始母乳喂养,并在头六个月内完全母乳喂养。这项研究调查了趋势,时空变化,以及2011年至2019年埃塞俄比亚早期开始母乳喂养(EIBF)和纯母乳喂养(EBF)的空间聚集性决定因素。
    方法:来自埃塞俄比亚人口与健康调查(EDHS)的数据,这项研究于2011年、2016年和2019年进行,对10,616名0-23岁儿童的EIBF和2,881名0-5个月儿童的EBF进行了加权样本分析.空间自相关分析用于测量EIBF和EBF是否分散,集群,或随机分布,并采用克里格插值来预测未测量区域的结果变量。使用空间扫描统计数据来识别具有高患病率病例的空间集群。全局和局部回归建模技术均用于检查解释变量与因变量之间的空间关系。
    结果:趋势分析显示,EIBF的患病率从2011年的51.8%显著上升至2019年的71.9%。同样,EBF的患病率从2011年的52.7%上升至2019年的58.9%。空间分析表明,全国EIBF和EBF的空间差异很大。在提格雷和阿姆哈拉地区一致观察到EIBF患病率低的冷点或集群,在阿法尔和索马里地区一直观察到重要的EBF冷区。多尺度地理加权回归分析揭示了EIBF空间变化的重要预测因子,包括作为东正教信徒的宗教信仰,1-2的平价,没有产前护理访问,和剖腹产。
    结论:尽管埃塞俄比亚的EIBF和EBF比率随着时间的推移而增加,这些比率仍然低于国家目标。为了解决这个问题,政府应优先考虑旨在改善孕产妇保健服务利用率和孕产妇教育的公共卫生计划。必须将设施级别的服务与社区级别的服务相结合,以实现最佳的母乳喂养做法。具体来说,应努力促进通过剖宫产分娩的母亲的母乳喂养。此外,应重点鼓励利用产前保健服务,并调整孕产妇保健服务,以适应牧民社区的流动生活方式。这些步骤将有助于加强母乳喂养做法,并为母婴健康取得更好的成果。
    BACKGROUND: Breastfeeding offers numerous benefits for infants, mothers, and the community, making it the best intervention for reducing infant mortality and morbidity. The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends initiating breastfeeding within one hour after birth and exclusively breastfeeding for the first six months. This study investigated the trend, spatio-temporal variation, and determinants of spatial clustering of early initiation of breastfeeding (EIBF) and exclusive breastfeeding (EBF) in Ethiopia from 2011 to 2019.
    METHODS: Data from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS), which was conducted in 2011, 2016, and 2019, were analyzed utilizing a weighted sample of 10,616 children aged 0-23 years for EIBF and 2,881 children aged 0-5 months for EBF. Spatial autocorrelation analysis was used to measure whether EIBF and EBF were dispersed, clustered, or randomly distributed and Kriging interpolation was employed to predict the outcome variables in the unmeasured areas. Spatial scan statistics were used to identify spatial clusters with a high prevalence of cases. Both global and local regression modeling techniques were employed to examine the spatial relationships between the explanatory variables and the dependent variables.
    RESULTS: The trend analysis revealed a notable increase in the prevalence of EIBF from 51.8% in 2011 to 71.9% in 2019. Similarly, the prevalence of EBF increased from 52.7% in 2011 to 58.9% in 2019. Spatial analysis demonstrated significant spatial variation in both EIBF and EBF throughout the country. Cold spots or clusters with a low prevalence of EIBF were observed consistently in the Tigray and Amhara regions, and significant cold spot areas of EBF were observed consistently in the Afar and Somali regions. Multiscale geographically weighted regression analysis revealed significant predictors of spatial variations in EIBF, including the religious affiliation of being a follower of the orthodox religion, parity of 1-2, absence of antenatal care visits, and delivery via cesarean section.
    CONCLUSIONS: Despite the increase in both EIBF and EBF rates over time in Ethiopia, these rates still fall below the national target. To address this issue, the government should prioritize public health programs aimed at improving maternal healthcare service utilization and maternal education. It is essential to integrate facility-level services with community-level services to achieve optimal breastfeeding practices. Specifically, efforts should be made to promote breastfeeding among mothers who have delivered via cesarean section. Additionally, there should be a focus on encouraging antenatal care service utilization and adapting maternal healthcare services to accommodate the mobile lifestyle of pastoralist communities. These steps will contribute to enhancing breastfeeding practices and achieving better outcomes for maternal and child health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    内脏利什曼病(VL)的传播,一种严重的全球性人畜共患寄生虫病,大部分都在控制之下;然而,近几十年来在新疆报告了几例病例,中国。本研究旨在分析新疆地区VL的流行病学现状及时空聚集性特征,中国,在2004年至2021年之间,为制定和实施监测和应对措施提供基础。2004-2021年的VL发病率数据来自中国国家疾病报告信息系统。全局空间自相关分析,确定空间关联的局部指标,并进行了时空聚类分析,以确定分布和高风险区域。共报告了2034例VL病例,年平均发病率为每10万人0.50。在我们的研究期间,VL的发生率总体呈下降趋势。大部分病例报告时间为十月至次年二月,4月至7月报告的病例较少。空间自相关分析表明,VL的发病率在空间上集中在几个县。在研究期间观察到显著差异(Moran'sI=0.74,Z=4.900,p<0.05)。男女比例为1.37:1,大多数患者在0-3岁年龄段。病例主要分布在七个地区和两个自治州,喀什报告病例数最高(1688例,占82.98%)。空间分析表明,VL的聚集主要在新疆西南部。这与时空聚类分析确定的高风险区域一致。H-H聚类区域主要在加什观察到,Atushi,书福,Injisha,喀什,Yepuhu,还有Bachu.这些结果表明,必须在不同流行地区采取综合控制措施,以加强新疆的VL控制计划,中国。
    The spread of visceral leishmaniasis (VL), a serious global zoonotic parasitic disease, is mostly under control; however, several cases have been reported in recent decades in Xinjiang, China. This study aimed to analyze the epidemiological status and spatiotemporal clustering characteristics of VL in Xinjiang, China, between 2004 and 2021 to provide a basis for the development and implementation of surveillance and response measures. Data on VL incidence during 2004-2021 were collected from the National Diseases Reporting Information System of China. Global spatial autocorrelation analysis, identification of local indicators of spatial association, and spatial-temporal clustering analysis were conducted to identify the distribution and high-risk areas. A total of 2034 VL cases were reported, with a mean annual incidence of 0.50 per 100,000. There was a general decreasing trend in the incidence of VL during our study period. The majority of the cases were reported from October to February of the following year, and fewer cases were reported from April to July. Spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed that the incidence of VL was spatially clustered within a few counties. Significant differences were observed during the study period (Moran\'s I = 0.74, Z = 4.900, p < 0.05). The male-to-female ratio was 1.37:1, and most patients were in the age group 0-3 years. Cases were primarily distributed in seven regions and two autonomous prefectures, and Kashgar reported the highest number of cases (1688, 82.98%). Spatial analysis revealed that the aggregation of VL was predominantly observed in southwest Xinjiang. This was in alignment with the high-risk areas identified by spatiotemporal clustering analysis. The H-H clustering region was primarily observed in Gashi, Atushi, Shufu, Injisha, Kashgar, Yepuhu, and Bachu. These findings indicate that integrated control measures must be taken in different endemic areas to strengthen the VL control program in Xinjiang, China.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了研究植被变化对径流的影响,并获得改善渭河流域径流的建议(。在这项研究中,时空地理自相关加权回归分析(SGAWRA)方法是在以往研究的基础上新开发的.这种方法研究了植被变化对气候变化和人类活动的动态响应的空间非平稳性。还讨论了与径流变化有关的空间非平稳性的含义,进而产生植被变化对径流的影响。该方法系统地分析了植被变化的空间非平稳性及其对径流的相关影响。因此,在每个步骤都产生了更紧密相关的结果,误差更小,并获得了更准确的结果。这些结果表明,NDVI的年平均趋势率,每个季节,生长季节(生长季节指4月至9月)超过0。NDVI呈现增长趋势的地区覆盖超过50%,大于呈下降趋势的区域。降水的GWR回归参数,平均温度,NDVI均大于0。人类活动和NDVI的GWR回归参数也有50%以上的面积年夜于0。基于对计算结果的可视化分析,可以看出,数据中存在明显的空间趋势,不同地区的空间数据存在显著差异。因此,WRB可以被认为是时空非平稳的。在WRB中,以植被变化为突出特征的下垫面变化是径流衰减的主要原因(约60%)。结果表明,WRB具有时空非平稳性。植被的空间非平稳性对径流变化影响较大。这项研究的结果支持改善WRB径流的建议。
    In order to investigate the effects of vegetation changes on runoff and to obtain recommendations for improving runoff in the Weihe River Basin (. In this study, a spatiotemporal geographic autocorrelation weighted regression analysis (SGAWRA) approach was newly developed based on previous studies. This approach investigates spatial non-stationarity of the dynamic response from vegetation variations to climatic change and human activity. Implications of spatial non-stationarity related to runoff variability were also discussed, which in turn yield the effect that vegetation changes have on runoff. The method systematically analysed the spatial non-stationarity of vegetation variations and its associated effects on runoff. Therefore, more closely related results with less error were produced at each step, and results with more accuracy were obtained. These results indicated that the average trend rates of NDVI in the annual average, each season, and the growing season (Growing season refers to April to September) exceeded 0. Areas where NDVI show a growing trend cover more than 50%, which is greater than the area with a decreasing trend. The GWR regression parameters of precipitation, average temperature, and NDVI are all greater than 0. The GWR regression parameters of human activities and NDVI also have more than 50% of the area greater than 0. Based on the visual analysis of the calculation results, it can be seen that there are obvious spatial trends in the data, and the spatial data are significantly different between different regions. Therefore, WRB can be regarded as spatio-temporally non-stationary. In the WRB, the underlying surface change with vegetation change as the prominent feature is the leading cause (about 60%) of the runoff attenuation. The results showed that WRB has spatial and temporal non-stationarity. The spatial non-stationarity of vegetation has a greater effect on runoff changes. The results of this study support recommendations for improving runoff in the WRB.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在埃塞俄比亚,最近的证据显示,超过四分之一(27%)的家庭(HHs)在布什或田野中公开排便,作为许多水传播传染病的源头,包括霍乱.埃塞俄比亚还没有走上到2030年实现开放式无排便可持续发展目标的最佳轨道。因此,这项研究旨在探讨埃塞俄比亚HHs之间开放式排便(OD)的空间变化和地理不等式。
    方法:这是一项全国性的基于社区的横断面研究,在埃塞俄比亚的8663名HH加权样本中进行。使用全局Moran\s-I,探索了全局空间自相关,AnselinLocalMoran's-I提出了局部空间自相关,以评估埃塞俄比亚OD实践的空间格局。使用ArcGIS10.8检测OD的热点和冷点区域。使用SaTScan10.1探索具有OD的集群的最可能的高率和低率。拟合地理加权回归分析(GWR)以探索与OD相关的因素的地理变化系数。
    结果:埃塞俄比亚的OD患病率为27.10%(95%CI:22.85-31.79)。它聚集在枚举区域(全球Moran'sI=0.45,Z评分=9.88,P值≤0.001)。AnselinLocalMoran\'sI分析表明,在Tigray处存在OD的高聚类,Afar,北阿姆哈拉,索马里,和甘贝拉地区,虽然在亚的斯亚贝巴观察到OD的低-低聚集,Dire-Dawa,Harari,SNNPR,和西南奥罗米亚。在提格雷中检测到OD的热点区域,Afar,阿姆哈拉东部,Gambela,索马里地区。提格雷,Afar,阿姆哈拉北部,奥罗米亚东部,索马里地区被认为OD率高。GWR模型解释了埃塞俄比亚HHs之间OD地理变化的75.20%。它揭示了作为农村居民的系数,女性HH头,没有教育程度,没有收音机,作为最贫穷的人,OD的患病率也增加。
    结论:埃塞俄比亚的OD患病率高于撒哈拉以南非洲的合并患病率。提格雷,Afar,阿姆哈拉北部,奥罗米亚东部,索马里地区的OD率高。农村居民,作为女性HH头,没有受过教育的人,没有收音机的人,和最差的HH是影响OD的空间变化的决定因素。因此,埃塞俄比亚政府和利益相关者需要在热点和高风险集群中设计干预措施。项目经理应该计划干预措施和策略,如鼓励健康推广计划,这有助于促进农村地区和最贫穷的卫生工作者的基本卫生设施,包括女性HHs,以及社区动员和提高认识,特别是对于那些没有受过教育和没有收音机的人。
    BACKGROUND: In Ethiopia, recent evidence revealed that over a quarter (27%) of households (HHs) defecated openly in bush or fields, which play a central role as the source of many water-borne infectious diseases, including cholera. Ethiopia is not on the best track to achieve the SDG of being open-defecation-free by 2030. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the spatial variation and geographical inequalities of open defecation (OD) among HHs in Ethiopia.
    METHODS: This was a country-wide community-based cross-sectional study among a weighted sample of 8663 HHs in Ethiopia. The global spatial autocorrelation was explored using the global Moran\'s-I, and the local spatial autocorrelation was presented by Anselin Local Moran\'s-I to evaluate the spatial patterns of OD practice in Ethiopia. Hot spot and cold spot areas of OD were detected using ArcGIS 10.8. The most likely high and low rates of clusters with OD were explored using SaTScan 10.1. Geographical weighted regression analysis (GWR) was fitted to explore the geographically varying coefficients of factors associated with OD.
    RESULTS: The prevalence of OD in Ethiopia was 27.10% (95% CI: 22.85-31.79). It was clustered across enumeration areas (Global Moran\'s I = 0.45, Z-score = 9.88, P-value ≤ 0.001). Anselin Local Moran\'s I analysis showed that there was high-high clustering of OD at Tigray, Afar, Northern Amhara, Somali, and Gambela regions, while low-low clustering of OD was observed at Addis Ababa, Dire-Dawa, Harari, SNNPR, and Southwest Oromia. Hotspot areas of OD were detected in the Tigray, Afar, eastern Amhara, Gambela, and Somali regions. Tigray, Afar, northern Amhara, eastern Oromia, and Somali regions were explored as having high rates of OD. The GWR model explained 75.20% of the geographical variation of OD among HHs in Ethiopia. It revealed that as the coefficients of being rural residents, female HH heads, having no educational attainment, having no radio, and being the poorest HHs increased, the prevalence of OD also increased.
    CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of OD in Ethiopia was higher than the pooled prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa. Tigray, Afar, northern Amhara, eastern Oromia, and Somali regions had high rates of OD. Rural residents, being female HH heads, HHs with no educational attainment, HHs with no radio, and the poorest HHs were spatially varying determinants that affected OD. Therefore, the government of Ethiopia and stakeholders need to design interventions in hot spots and high-risk clusters. The program managers should plan interventions and strategies like encouraging health extension programs, which aid in facilitating basic sanitation facilities in rural areas and the poorest HHs, including female HHs, as well as community mobilization with awareness creation, especially for those who are uneducated and who do not have radios.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:尽管到目前为止已经做出了有希望的努力,艾滋病毒仍然是一个公共卫生问题。埃塞俄比亚的妇女受到艾滋病毒的影响尤其严重,占新感染和艾滋病相关死亡的大多数。然而,埃塞俄比亚妇女中艾滋病毒的地理空间分布还没有得到很好的理解,这使得制定地理上有针对性的措施变得具有挑战性。此外,加快降低艾滋病毒流行率的途径,并计划特定地域的干预措施,了解艾滋病毒血清阳性的地理空间分布及其在女性中的预测因素起着重要作用。
    方法:使用2016年EDHS数据集进行了空间和多尺度地理加权回归分析,包括14,778个育龄妇女的加权样本。EDHS样本经历了两个阶段的分层和选择。数据是在2023年10月18日至30日之间提取的。使用STATA第17版进行了非空间分析。此外,ArcGISPro和SatScan9.6版用于直观地绘制HIV血清阳性图。计算全球Moran'sI以评估HIV血清阳性的分布。利用Getis-OrdGi*空间统计量来识别寒冷和热点地区的重要空间集群。随后进行地理加权回归分析以确定HIV血清阳性的重要预测因子。在所有统计学分析中,在P值<0.05时确立显著性。
    结果:埃塞俄比亚妇女的HIV血清阳性非随机分布(全球Moran'sI=0.16,p值<0.001,Z评分=7.12)。在亚的斯亚贝巴发现了艾滋病毒血清阳性的显著热点聚集,Harari,DireDawa,和甘贝拉地区。可怜的财富指数,离婚和丧偶,有不止一个性伴侣,发现早期初次性经历(<15年)是女性HIV血清阳性的地理差异的预测因子。
    结论:埃塞俄比亚妇女的艾滋病毒血清阳性在地理上有所不同。因此,建议在高热点区域部署额外资源。方案应侧重于提高妇女的经济权能,以防止妇女从事危险的性行为。此外,在学校和社区环境中进行全面的性教育计划,以了解首次性行为早期的后果,这可能在减少埃塞俄比亚妇女的艾滋病毒血清阳性方面发挥作用。
    BACKGROUND: Although promising efforts have been made so far, HIV remains a public health concern. Women in Ethiopia are disproportionately affected by HIV, accounting for a majority of new infections and AIDS-related deaths. However, the geospatial distribution of HIV among women in Ethiopia is not well understood, making it challenging to develop geographically targeted measures. Besides, to accelerate the pathway of decreasing HIV prevalence and plan geographically specific interventions, understanding the geospatial distribution of HIV seropositivity and its predictors among women plays a significant role.
    METHODS: A spatial and multiscale geographically weighted regression analysis was conducted using the 2016 EDHS dataset, comprising 14,778 weighted samples of women in the reproductive age group. The EDHS sample underwent two-stage stratification and selection. The data were extracted between October 18 and 30, 2023. Non-spatial analysis was carried out using STATA version 17. Additionally, ArcGIS Pro and Sat Scan version 9.6 were used to visually map HIV seropositivity. Global Moran\'s I was computed to evaluate the distribution of HIV seropositivity. The Getis-Ord Gi* spatial statistic was utilized to identify significant spatial clusters of cold and hot spot areas. Geographically weighted regression analysis was subsequently performed to identify significant predictors of HIV seropositivity. Significance was established at a P-value <0.05 throughout all statistical analyses.
    RESULTS: HIV seropositivity among women in Ethiopia is distributed non-randomly (Global Moran\'s I = 0.16, p-value <0.001 and Z-score = 7.12). Significant hotspot clustering of HIV seropositivity was found in the Addis Ababa, Harari, Dire Dawa, and Gambela region. Poor wealth index, being divorced and widowed, having more than one sexual partner, and early first sexual experience (<15 years) were found to be predictors of geographical variation of HIV seropositivity among women.
    CONCLUSIONS: HIV seropositivity among women in Ethiopia varies geographically. Thus, deploying additional resources in high hotspot regions is recommended. Programs should focus on improving the economic empowerment of women to prevent the from engaging in risky sexual behaviors. Furthermore, comprehensive sex education programs in schools and community settings regarding the consequences of early first sexual debut might play a role in reducing HIV seropositivity among women in Ethiopia.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究调查了导致自行车事故的因素,重点研究了四类自行车道和其他暴露和建成环境特征的普查街区。以首尔为例,收集了2018年至2020年三年的自行车事故现场数据,导致1,330个自行车事故现场和2,072起事故。地理加权泊松回归(GWPR)模型被用作方法论方法,以研究事故频率和整个空间的解释变量之间的空间变化关系,与泊松回归模型相反。结果表明,GWPR模型在捕获未观察到的空间异质性方面优于全局泊松回归模型。例如,确定模型拟合优度的偏差值对于Poisson回归模型为0.244,对于拟合更好的GWPR模型为0.500。进一步的发现表明,影响自行车事故的因素会根据事故的位置和分布而产生不同的影响。例如,尽管有自行车道,一些人口普查街区,特别是在城市的东北部,自行车事故仍然存在风险。这些发现可以为城市规划者和决策者制定自行车安全措施和法规提供有价值的见解。
    This study investigates the factors contributing to bicycle accidents, focusing on four types of bicycle lanes and other exposure and built environment characteristics of census blocks. Using Seoul as a case study, three years of bicycle accident spot data from 2018 to 2020 was collected, resulting in 1,330 bicycle accident spots and a total of 2,072 accidents. The geographically weighted Poisson regression (GWPR) model was used as a methodological approach to investigate the spatially varying relationships between the accident frequency and explanatory variables across the space, as opposed to the Poisson regression model. The results indicated that the GWPR model outperforms the global Poisson regression model in capturing unobserved spatial heterogeneity. For example, the value of deviance that determines the goodness of fit for a model was 0.244 for the Poisson regression model and 0.500 for the far better-fitting GWPR model. Further findings revealed that the factors affecting bicycle accidents have varying impacts depending on the location and distribution of accidents. For example, despite the presence of bicycle lanes, some census blocks, particularly in the northeast part of the city, still pose a risk for bicycle accidents. These findings can provide valuable insights for urban planners and policymakers in developing bicycle safety measures and regulations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尽管先前取得了进展,并证明了最佳饲喂方法的好处,在埃塞俄比亚等发展中国家,改善儿童饮食摄入量仍然具有挑战性。在埃塞俄比亚,超过89%的儿童未能达到最低可接受的饮食。了解地理差异和最低可接受饮食的决定因素可以加强儿童喂养做法,促进儿童最佳成长。
    对1,427名6-23个月的加权样本儿童进行了空间和多尺度地理加权回归分析。ArcGISPro和SatScan9.6版用于绘制地理分布的视觉显示,未能达到最低可接受的饮食。进行了多尺度地理加权回归分析,以确定最低可接受饮食水平的重要决定因素。在P值<0.05时声明有统计学意义。
    总的来说,89.56%(95CI:87.85-91.10%)的6-23个月儿童未能达到推荐的最低可接受饮食。在索马里发现了明显的空间聚类,阿法尔地区,埃塞俄比亚西北部。生活在初级集群中的儿童无法达到最低可接受饮食的可能性增加了3.6倍(RR=3.61,LLR=13.49,p<0.001)。母亲没有受过正规教育(平均值=0.043,p值=0.000),家庭人数超过5(平均值=0.076,p值=0.005),无媒体访问(平均值=0.059,p值=0.030),送货上门(平均值=0.078,p值=0.002),并且没有发现产后检查(平均值=0.131,p值=0.000)是最小可接受饮食不足的空间重要决定因素。
    埃塞俄比亚儿童的最低可接受饮食水平因地域而异。因此,改善埃塞俄比亚的儿童喂养方式,强烈建议向高需求地区部署额外资源,并实施加强妇女教育的方案,孕产妇获得医疗保健,计划生育,媒体参与。
    UNASSIGNED: Despite prior progress and the proven benefits of optimal feeding practices, improving child dietary intake in developing countries like Ethiopia remains challenging. In Ethiopia, over 89% of children fail to meet the minimum acceptable diet. Understanding the geographical disparity and determinants of minimum acceptable diet can enhance child feeding practices, promoting optimal child growth.
    UNASSIGNED: Spatial and multiscale geographically weighted regression analysis was conducted among 1,427 weighted sample children aged 6-23 months. ArcGIS Pro and SatScan version 9.6 were used to map the visual presentation of geographical distribution failed to achieve the minimum acceptable diet. A multiscale geographically weighted regression analysis was done to identify significant determinants of level of minimum acceptable diet. The statistical significance was declared at P-value <0.05.
    UNASSIGNED: Overall, 89.56% (95CI: 87.85-91.10%) of children aged 6-23 months failed to achieve the recommended minimum acceptable diet. Significant spatial clustering was detected in the Somali, Afar regions, and northwestern Ethiopia. Children living in primary clusters were 3.6 times more likely to be unable to achieve the minimum acceptable diet (RR = 3.61, LLR =13.49, p < 0.001). Mother\'s with no formal education (Mean = 0.043, p-value = 0.000), family size above five (Mean = 0.076, p-value = 0.005), No media access (Mean = 0.059, p-value = 0.030), home delivery (Mean = 0.078, p-value = 0.002), and no postnatal checkup (Mean = 0.131, p-value = 0.000) were found to be spatially significant determinants of Inadequate minimum acceptable diet.
    UNASSIGNED: Level of minimum acceptable diet among children in Ethiopia varies geographically. Therefore, to improve child feeding practices in Ethiopia, it is highly recommended to deploy additional resources to high-need areas and implement programs that enhance women\'s education, maternal healthcare access, family planning, and media engagement.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    绿地对于增强身心健康至关重要。最近的研究已经从评估绿色空间暴露的静态方法转变为,基于固定的位置,考虑到个人流动性的动态方法。这些动态评估利用GPS跟踪和遥感等先进技术来提供更精确的曝光估计。然而,比较动态和静态暴露评估以及个人流动性对这些评估的影响的工作很少。这项研究深入研究了家庭和工作场所周围的绿地,随着流动模式,影响香港的动态绿地暴露。使用全球定位系统从香港四个社区的787名参与者收集数据,便携式传感器,和调查。使用多个统计检验,我们的研究显示,参与者的日常行动模式在社会人口统计学和时间因素之间存在显著差异.Further,使用线性混合效应模型,我们确定了参与者的静态绿地暴露和他们的流动模式之间的复杂和统计上显著的相互作用。我们的发现表明,个体流动模式显着改变了静态和动态绿地暴露之间的关系,并在解释静态和动态绿地暴露之间的社会人口统计学和时间背景差异方面发挥了关键作用。
    Greenspaces are crucial for enhancing mental and physical health. Recent research has shifted from static methods of assessing exposure to greenspaces, based on fixed locations, to dynamic approaches that account for individual mobility. These dynamic evaluations utilize advanced technologies like GPS tracking and remote sensing to provide more precise exposure estimates. However, little work has been conducted to compare dynamic and static exposure assessments and the effect of individual mobility on these evaluations. This study delves into how greenspaces around homes and workplaces, along with mobility patterns, affect dynamic greenspace exposure in Hong Kong. Data was collected from 787 participants in four communities in Hong Kong using GPS, portable sensors, and surveys. Using multiple statistical tests, our study revealed significant variations in participants\' daily mobility patterns across socio-demographic and temporal factors. Further, using linear mixed-effects models, we identified complex and statistically significant interactions between participants\' static greenspace exposure and their mobility patterns. Our findings suggest that individual mobility patterns significantly modify the relationship between static and dynamic greenspace exposure and play a critical role in explaining socio-demographic and temporal context differences in the relationship between static and dynamic greenspace exposure.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    具有空间起点-目的地(OD)过滤器的空间相互作用模型是表征空间中旅行流的强大工具,这是区域科学中一个经典而重要的问题。就作者所知,采用OD滤波器的现有研究大多将空间依赖性指定为自回归过程,这可能不是空间效果的全貌。为了检查问题,本文提出了以下假设:1)空间OD依赖性可以在空间相互作用模型中的空间自回归项和空间误差项中发生。2)使用OD滤波器估计具有空间自回归干扰(SARAR)模型的空间自回归模型将解开存在空间依赖性的位置以及多少。3)从统计角度来看,当SARAR模型优于空间自回归(SAR)模型和空间误差模型(SEM)时,从SARAR模型获得的边际效应将是分析师的首选。为了评估这些假设,本文规定,估计,并应用SARAR模型和OD过滤器来研究跳闸分布。通过与替代模型的比较,本文研究了SAR中的估计结果,SEM和SARAR模型使用从杭州收集的经验数据,中国。本文的贡献是第一个开发带有OD滤波器的SARAR模型,用于跳闸分布分析并检查其性能。
    Spatial interaction models with spatial origin-destination (OD) filters are powerful tools to characterize trip flows in space, which is a classic and important problem in regional science. To the authors\' knowledge, existing studies adopting OD filters mostly specify the spatial dependence as an autoregressive process, which may not be the full picture of spatial effects. To examine the problem, this paper proposes the hypotheses that 1) spatial OD dependences can take place in both the spatial autoregressive term and the spatial error term in a spatial interaction model. 2) Estimating a spatial autoregressive model with spatial autoregressive disturbances (SARAR) model with OD filters would disentangle where the spatial dependence exists and by how much. 3) The marginal effects obtained from SARAR models would be preferred to analysts when SARAR models outperform spatial autoregressive (SAR) models and spatial error models (SEM) from the statistical point of view. To assess these hypotheses, this paper specifies, estimates, and applies SARAR models with OD filters to investigate trip distributions. By comparing against alternative models, this paper investigates the estimation results in SAR, SEM and SARAR models using an empirical data collected from Hangzhou, China. The contribution of this paper is to be the first in developing an SARAR model with OD filters for trip distribution analyses and examining its performance.
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