Selection Bias

选择偏差
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在基于人群的研究中,怀孕可能是一个重复的事件。尽管已经发布了关于如何解决同一个人重复怀孕的指南,在围产期流行病学研究中观察到各种方法。虽然其中一些方法得到了所选研究问题的支持,其他是给定数据集固有约束的结果(例如,缺少奇偶校验信息)。这些决定决定了如何恰当地回答给定的研究问题以及总体的可概括性。
    目的:通过评估两种围产期结局的患病率及其与临床和社会独立变量的关联,比较围产期流行病学研究中常用的队列选择和分析方法研究设计:使用与单胎分娩产妇出院记录相关的生命记录,我们创建了4个队列:(1)全产(2)每个人随机选择1个出生(3)每个人首次观察到的出生(4)初产(胎次1).出生抽样不以集群为条件(即,我们没有对给定母亲的所有出生进行采样,而是采样个体出生)。研究结果是严重的产妇发病率和先兆子痫/子痫,自变量为自我报告的种族/民族(作为社会因素)和系统性红斑狼疮.比较四个队列,我们评估了产妇特征的分布,结果的普遍性,总体上按平价分层,以及结果与自变量关联的风险比。在所有出生的人中,然后,我们比较了三种分析策略的风险比:标准推断假设模型中的同一母亲独立抽样出生,使用聚类鲁棒推理,并调整平价。
    结果:我们观察到所有出生者之间的人口特征差异很小(N=2,736,693),随机选择,和首次观察到的出生队列(均为N=2,284,660),这些队列与初产出生队列之间的差异更大(N=1,054,684)。结果患病率在所有分娩中始终最低,在初产分娩中最高(例如,初产妇中每1,000例产妇的严重发病率为18.9例。在所有分娩中,每1000个分娩16.6个)。当按平价分层时,在两种结局中,产次2的新生儿结局患病率始终最低,产次1的新生儿结局患病率最高.所有四个队列研究结果的风险比不同,初产出生队列和其他队列之间的差异最明显。在所有出生的人中,稳健推理对估计的置信界限的影响最小,与标准推断相比,即,粗略估计(例如,狼疮重度孕产妇发病率关联:4.01,95%CI3.54-4.55vs.4.01,粗估计值95%CI3.53-4.56),在调整平价时,估计略有偏移,朝向严重孕产妇发病率的无效,远离先兆子痫/子痫的无效。
    结论:研究人员应该考虑他们使用的方法之间的一致性,他们的抽样策略,和他们的研究问题。这可能包括完善研究问题,以更好地匹配可用数据的推断,考虑到替代数据源,并适当注意数据限制和由此产生的偏差,以及调查结果的普遍性。如果奇偶校验是一个既定的效果修饰符,应提供分层结果。
    BACKGROUND: In population-based research, pregnancy may be a repeated event. Despite published guidance on how to address repeated pregnancies to the same individual, a variety of approaches are observed in perinatal epidemiological studies. While some of these approaches are supported by the chosen research question, others are consequences of constraints inherent to a given dataset (e.g., missing parity information). These decisions determine how appropriately a given research question can be answered and overall generalizability.
    OBJECTIVE: To compare common cohort selection and analytic approaches used for perinatal epidemiological research by assessing the prevalence of two perinatal outcomes and their association with a clinical and a social independent variable STUDY DESIGN: Using vital records linked to maternal hospital discharge records for singleton births, we created four cohorts: (1) all-births (2) randomly selected one birth per individual (3) first observed birth per individual (4) primiparous-births (parity 1). Sampling of births was not conditional on cluster (i.e., we did not sample all births by a given mother, but rather sampled individual births). Study outcomes were severe maternal morbidity and preeclampsia/eclampsia, and the independent variables were self-reported race/ethnicity (as a social factor) and systemic lupus erythematosus. Comparing the four cohorts, we assessed the distribution of maternal characteristics, the prevalence of outcomes, overall and stratified by parity, and risk ratios for the associations of outcomes with independent variables. Among all-births, we then compared risk ratios from three analytic strategies: with standard inference that assumes independently sampled births to the same mother in the model, with cluster-robust inference, and adjusting for parity.
    RESULTS: We observed minor differences in the population characteristics between the all-birth (N=2,736,693), random-selection, and first-observed birth cohorts (both N=2,284,660), with more substantial differences between these cohorts and the primiparous-births cohort (N=1,054,684). Outcome prevalence was consistently lowest among all-births and highest among primiparous-births (e.g., severe maternal morbidity 18.9 per 1,000 births among primiparous-births vs. 16.6 per 1,000 births among all-births). When stratified by parity, outcome prevalence was always the lowest in births of parity 2 and highest among births of parity 1 for both outcomes. Risk ratios differed for study outcomes across all four cohorts, with the most pronounced differences between the primiparous-birth cohort and other cohorts. Among all-births, robust inference minimally impacted the confidence bounds of estimates, compared to the standard inference, i.e., crude estimates (e.g., lupus-severe maternal morbidity association: 4.01, 95% CI 3.54-4.55 vs. 4.01, 95% CI 3.53-4.56 for crude estimate), while adjusting for parity slightly shifted estimates, towards the null for severe maternal morbidity and away from the null for preeclampsia/eclampsia.
    CONCLUSIONS: Researchers should consider the alignment between the methods they use, their sampling strategy, and their research question. This could include refining the research question to better match inference possible for available data, considering alternative data sources, and appropriately noting data limitations and resulting bias, as well as the generalizability of findings. If parity is an established effect modifier, stratified results should be presented.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在没有完整的源种群的情况下,无法获得用于自我选择偏差校正的逆概率加权(IPW)的经验评估。我们的目标是:(i)调查自我选择如何偏差频率和关联措施,以及(ii)在具有注册链接的队列中使用IPW评估自我选择偏差校正。
    方法:来源人群包括2009-11年间邀请到哥本哈根老龄化和中年生物样本库的17936人(年龄49-63岁)。参与者计数7185(40.1%)。从邀请前7年到2020年底,获得了每个受邀人的注册数据。使用Cox回归模型估计参与者之间的教育和死亡率之间的关联,IPW参与者和来源人群。
    结果:受试者在基线前的社会经济地位较高,医院接触者较少。IPW后参与者的频率测量接近源人群的频率测量。与小学/初中教育相比,高中,短三级,学士和硕士/博士与参与者死亡风险降低相关(调整后风险比[95%CI]:0.60[0.46;0.77],0.68[0.42;1.11],0.37[0.25;0.54],0.28[0.18;0.46],分别)。IPW略微改变了估计值(0.59[0.45;0.77],0.57[0.34;0.93],0.34[0.23;0.50],0.24[0.15;0.39]),但不仅针对源人群的人群(0.57[0.51;0.64],0.43[0.32;0.60],0.38[0.32;0.47],0.22[0.16;0.29])。
    结论:研究参与者的频率测量可能无法反映存在自我选择的来源人群,但对关联措施的影响可能是有限的。IPW可用于(自)选择偏差校正,但是返回的结果仍然可以反映残差或其他偏差和随机误差。
    BACKGROUND: Empirical evaluation of inverse probability weighting (IPW) for self-selection bias correction is inaccessible without the full source population. We aimed to: (i) investigate how self-selection biases frequency and association measures and (ii) assess self-selection bias correction using IPW in a cohort with register linkage.
    METHODS: The source population included 17 936 individuals invited to the Copenhagen Aging and Midlife Biobank during 2009-11 (ages 49-63 years). Participants counted 7185 (40.1%). Register data were obtained for every invited person from 7 years before invitation to the end of 2020. The association between education and mortality was estimated using Cox regression models among participants, IPW participants and the source population.
    RESULTS: Participants had higher socioeconomic position and fewer hospital contacts before baseline than the source population. Frequency measures of participants approached those of the source population after IPW. Compared with primary/lower secondary education, upper secondary, short tertiary, bachelor and master/doctoral were associated with reduced risk of death among participants (adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI]: 0.60 [0.46; 0.77], 0.68 [0.42; 1.11], 0.37 [0.25; 0.54], 0.28 [0.18; 0.46], respectively). IPW changed the estimates marginally (0.59 [0.45; 0.77], 0.57 [0.34; 0.93], 0.34 [0.23; 0.50], 0.24 [0.15; 0.39]) but not only towards those of the source population (0.57 [0.51; 0.64], 0.43 [0.32; 0.60], 0.38 [0.32; 0.47], 0.22 [0.16; 0.29]).
    CONCLUSIONS: Frequency measures of study participants may not reflect the source population in the presence of self-selection, but the impact on association measures can be limited. IPW may be useful for (self-)selection bias correction, but the returned results can still reflect residual or other biases and random errors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    纵向研究是了解健康风险因素的关键,幸福,和疾病,然而,如果研究邀请和参与是非随机的,则关联可能存在偏见.宗教/精神信仰和行为(RSBB)越来越被认为与健康有潜在的重要关系。然而,目前尚不清楚RSBB是否与研究参与相关.我们检查RSBB是否与参与纵向出生队列ALSPAC(父母和子女的Avon纵向研究)有关。
    使用了三个RSBB因素:宗教信仰(信仰上帝/神力;是/不确定/否),宗教信仰(基督教/无/其他),和宗教出席(出席礼拜场所的频率)。以三种方式测量参与:i)完成的问卷/诊所的总数(线性和序数模型);ii)完成最近的问卷(逻辑模型);和iii)参与的长度(生存模型)。对ALSPAC母亲进行了重复分析,他们的合作伙伴,和学习的孩子,并针对相关的社会人口混杂因素进行了调整。
    在所有三个队列中,宗教出勤与参与所有调整模型呈正相关。例如,参加礼拜场所的母亲平均每月至少完成两次问卷调查(可能的50),完成最新问卷的几率要高出50%,辍学的风险降低了25%,相对于那些没有参加的人。在调整后的分析中,宗教信仰和出席与参与无关。然而,大多数未调整的模型显示RSBB与参与之间存在关联.
    调整混杂因素后,宗教出席-不是宗教信仰或从属关系-与参加ALSPAC有关。这些结果表明,使用RSBB变量(尤其是宗教出勤)可能会导致选择偏差和虚假关联;这些潜在的偏见应在未来的研究中使用这些数据进行探索和讨论。
    UNASSIGNED: Longitudinal studies are key to understanding risk factors for health, well-being, and disease, yet associations may be biased if study invitation and participation are non-random. Religious/spiritual beliefs and behaviours (RSBB) are increasingly recognised as having potentially important relationships with health. However, it is unclear whether RSBB is associated with study participation. We examine whether RSBB is associated with participation in the longitudinal birth cohort ALSPAC (Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children).
    UNASSIGNED: Three RSBB factors were used: religious belief (belief in God/a divine power; yes/not sure/no), religious affiliation (Christian/none/other), and religious attendance (frequency of attendance at a place of worship). Participation was measured in three ways: i) total number of questionnaires/clinics completed (linear and ordinal models); ii) completion of the most recent questionnaire (logistic model); and iii) length of participation (survival model). Analyses were repeated for the ALSPAC mothers, their partners, and the study children, and were adjusted for relevant socio-demographic confounders.
    UNASSIGNED: Religious attendance was positively associated with participation in all adjusted models in all three cohorts. For example, study mothers who attended a place of worship at least once a month on average completed two more questionnaires (out of a possible 50), had 50% greater odds of having completed the most recent questionnaire, and had 25% reduced risk of drop-out, relative to those who did not attend. In the adjusted analyses, religious belief and attendance were not associated with participation. However, the majority of unadjusted models showed associations between RSBB and participation.
    UNASSIGNED: After adjusting for confounders, religious attendance - not religious belief or affiliation - was associated with participation in ALSPAC. These results indicate that use of RSBB variables (and religious attendance in particular) may result in selection bias and spurious associations; these potential biases should be explored and discussed in future studies using these data.
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  • 文章类型: Letter
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    基于Web的认知能力测试允许在没有地理限制的情况下进行大规模评估。然而,它能在多大程度上覆盖认知研究招募的典型人口学群体以外的人群,目前尚不清楚.这项研究的重点是比较选择参加认知研究(HUNT4-Hjernetrim)的一般人群研究(HUNT4)与未参加认知研究的个体的特征。此外,我们调查了参与者的参与度和用户体验。我们获得了社会人口统计数据,健康状况(身体和精神),自我报告的认知或学习困难,Hjernetrim参与者和非参与者的生活方式因素来自HUNT4数据库。Hjernetrim参与了13项认知测试,通过在线平台备忘录管理。我们使用逻辑回归来评估参与偏差,使用线性回归来评估参与者的参与度和用户体验。在通过常规邮件邀请Hjernetrim的65,851名HUNT4参与者中,5634(9.4%,13-97岁,54%女性)参加。样本中表现最好的是50-79岁的人,女人,受过高等教育,独自生活,从城市地区,不从事职业活动,并报告记忆投诉。80岁以上的人,有运动障碍或视力障碍,和有学习障碍的青少年,代表性不足。参与者更有可能有心理健康问题,患有癌症或幸存下来,不太可能患有心血管疾病。参与者主要在工作日登录,一天中的首选时间因年龄而异。平均而言,参与者使用了42分钟,完成了78%的任务.使用PC提供了最完整的数据。在用户体验方面,65%为阳性,14%为阴性或报告技术困难。总的来说,该研究表明,基于网络的方法可以得到一个相对良好的代表性样本,其中包括通常难以接触到的群体.躯体和精神疾病的存在对参与有不同的影响。参与者完成了大多数测试,并报告了总体积极的经历。
    Web-based testing of cognitive abilities allows for large-scale assessments without geographical constraints. Yet, the extent to which it can reach populations beyond the typical demographic groups recruited for cognitive studies is unclear. This study focused on comparing the characteristics of individuals from a general population study (HUNT4) who chose to participate in a cognitive study (HUNT4-Hjernetrim) with those who did not. Additionally, we investigated participants\' engagement and user experience. We obtained data on socio-demographics, health conditions (both physical and mental), self-reported cognitive or learning difficulties, and lifestyle factors of Hjernetrim participants and non-participants from the HUNT4 database. Hjernetrim involved 13 cognitive tests, administered through the online platform Memoro. We used logistic regressions to assess participation biases and linear regressions to assess participants\' engagement and user experience. Of 65,851 HUNT4 participants invited via regular mail to Hjernetrim, 5634 (9.4%, aged 13-97, 54% women) participated. The best represented in the sample were 50-79-year-olds, women, tertiary educated, living alone, from urban areas, not occupationally active, and reporting memory complaints. Individuals who were aged 80+, had motor or vision impairments, and teenagers with learning disabilities, were underrepresented. Participants were more likely to have mental health problems, have or survived cancer and less likely to have cardiovascular disease. Participants logged on mainly during weekdays, the preferred time of day varied by age. On average, participants used 42 min and completed 78% of the tasks. Using PCs provided the most complete data. In terms of user experiences, 65% were positive while 14% were negative or reported technical difficulties. Overall, the study demonstrated that web-based methodology allowed for a relatively well-represented sample that included groups typically difficult to reach. The presence of somatic and mental diseases had a variable influence on participation. Participants finished most tests and reported positive experiences overall.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    总结最近关于差异研究中选择偏见的文献,解决描述性或因果关系问题,痴呆症研究的例子。
    定义一个明确的估计,包括目标人群,对于评估泛化偏差或对撞机分层偏差是否对推论构成威胁至关重要。差异研究中的选择偏差可能来自抽样策略,微分夹杂物管道,后续损失,和竞争事件。如果发生竞争事件,可以在不同的假设下估计几个潜在相关的估计,不同的解释。视差的表观幅度可以基于所选择的估计和而实质上不同。如果不是基于已知的抽样方案,随机和观察性研究都可能歪曲健康差异或治疗效果的异质性。
    研究人员最近在与选择偏差相关的概念化和方法方面取得了实质性进展。这一进展将提高描述性和因果健康差异研究的相关性。
    UNASSIGNED: To summarize recent literature on selection bias in disparities research addressing either descriptive or causal questions, with examples from dementia research.
    UNASSIGNED: Defining a clear estimand, including the target population, is essential to assess whether generalizability bias or collider-stratification bias are threats to inferences. Selection bias in disparities research can result from sampling strategies, differential inclusion pipelines, loss to follow-up, and competing events. If competing events occur, several potentially relevant estimands can be estimated under different assumptions, with different interpretations. The apparent magnitude of a disparity can differ substantially based on the chosen estimand. Both randomized and observational studies may misrepresent health disparities or heterogeneity in treatment effects if they are not based on a known sampling scheme.
    UNASSIGNED: Researchers have recently made substantial progress in conceptualization and methods related to selection bias. This progress will improve the relevance of both descriptive and causal health disparities research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:评估儿童和年轻人长Covid(CYP)的研究结果需要根据其方法学局限性进行评估。例如,如果随着时间的推移,无反应和/或自然减员在CYP的亚组之间存在系统性差异,调查结果可能有偏见,任何概括都是有限的。本研究旨在(i)为LongCovid(CLoCk)研究的儿童和年轻人构建调查权重,(ii)将其应用于已发表的CLoCk研究结果表明,在SARS-CoV-2阳性和阴性CYP中,呼吸急促和疲倦的患病率随基线至基线后12个月的时间增加。
    方法:对Logistic回归模型进行拟合,以计算(i)预期参与的响应的概率,(二)给予及时回应,和(iii)(Re)感染给予及时反应。回应,及时响应和(再)感染权重被生成为相应概率的倒数,总体的“预期人口”调查体重是这些体重的乘积。调查重量被修剪,以及开发的交互式工具,使用2021年英国人口普查的数据将目标人口调查权重重新校准为一般人口。
    结果:成功开发了用于CLoCk研究的灵活调查权重。在说明性示例中,重新加权的结果(当考虑响应选择时,自然减员,和(再)感染)与已发表的发现一致。
    结论:为CDoCk研究创建并使用了灵活的调查权重,以解决潜在的偏见和选择问题。先前报道的来自CLoCk的前瞻性发现可推广到英格兰的CYP更广泛的人群。这项研究强调了在考虑发现的普遍性时,考虑选择样本和随时间流失的重要性。
    BACKGROUND: Findings from studies assessing Long Covid in children and young people (CYP) need to be assessed in light of their methodological limitations. For example, if non-response and/or attrition over time systematically differ by sub-groups of CYP, findings could be biased and any generalisation limited. The present study aimed to (i) construct survey weights for the Children and young people with Long Covid (CLoCk) study, and (ii) apply them to published CLoCk findings showing the prevalence of shortness of breath and tiredness increased over time from baseline to 12-months post-baseline in both SARS-CoV-2 Positive and Negative CYP.
    METHODS: Logistic regression models were fitted to compute the probability of (i) Responding given envisioned to take part, (ii) Responding timely given responded, and (iii) (Re)infection given timely response. Response, timely response and (re)infection weights were generated as the reciprocal of the corresponding probability, with an overall \'envisioned population\' survey weight derived as the product of these weights. Survey weights were trimmed, and an interactive tool developed to re-calibrate target population survey weights to the general population using data from the 2021 UK Census.
    RESULTS: Flexible survey weights for the CLoCk study were successfully developed. In the illustrative example, re-weighted results (when accounting for selection in response, attrition, and (re)infection) were consistent with published findings.
    CONCLUSIONS: Flexible survey weights to address potential bias and selection issues were created for and used in the CLoCk study. Previously reported prospective findings from CLoCk are generalisable to the wider population of CYP in England. This study highlights the importance of considering selection into a sample and attrition over time when considering generalisability of findings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    韩国艾滋病毒/艾滋病队列研究已经进行了18年。然而,它在代表韩国艾滋病毒患者的整个人口方面面临着局限性。为了解决这些限制并验证研究设计,我们分析了几个HIV数据集的特征.
    我们比较了3个数据集的流行病学和临床特征:韩国HIV/AIDS队列研究(数据集1,n=1,562),回顾性队列数据(数据集2,n=2,665),和韩国疾病控制和预防局(KDCA)的国家艾滋病毒报告系统(数据集3,n=17,403)。
    年龄的人口统计特征,性别,和HIV诊断年龄在数据集之间没有显著差异.然而,数据集3包含比其他数据集更高的2008年后诊断的患者百分比(69.5%)。关于传输路线,与数据集2(20.9%)和数据集3(32.6%)相比,同性接触在数据集1中所占的比例更高(59.8%).与数据集3(16.3%)相比,在HIV诊断中CD4T细胞计数低于200/mm3的患者百分比在数据集1(39.4%)和2(33.3%)中更高。对于数据集3,未获得初始HIV病毒载量测量。
    韩国HIV/AIDS队列研究显示了关于韩国患者的人口统计学特征的代表性。在来源中,数据集1包含最多传输路由数据。虽然KDCA数据涵盖了所有HIV患者,它缺乏详细的临床信息。为了提高韩国艾滋病毒/艾滋病队列研究的代表性,我们建议扩大和修改队列设计,并招募更多最近确诊的患者.
    UNASSIGNED: The Korea HIV/AIDS Cohort Study has been conducted prospectively for 18 years. However, it faces limitations in representing the entire population of patients with HIV in Korea. To address these limitations and validate the study design, we analyzed characteristics across several HIV datasets.
    UNASSIGNED: We compared epidemiological and clinical characteristics from 3 datasets: the Korea HIV/AIDS Cohort Study (dataset 1, n=1,562), retrospective cohort data (dataset 2, n=2,665), and the national HIV reporting system of the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency (KDCA) (dataset 3, n=17,403).
    UNASSIGNED: The demographic characteristics of age, sex, and age at HIV diagnosis did not differ significantly across datasets. However, dataset 3 contained a higher percentage of patients diagnosed after 2008 (69.5%) than the other datasets. Regarding transmission routes, same-sex contact accounted for a greater proportion of dataset 1 (59.8%) compared to datasets 2 (20.9%) and 3 (32.6%). The percentage of patients with CD4 T-cell counts below 200/mm3 at HIV diagnosis was higher in datasets 1 (39.4%) and 2 (33.3%) compared to dataset 3 (16.3%). Initial HIV viral load measurements were not obtained for dataset 3.
    UNASSIGNED: The Korea HIV/AIDS Cohort Study demonstrated representativeness regarding the demographic characteristics of Korean patients. Of the sources, dataset 1 contained the most data on transmission routes. While the KDCA data encompassed all HIV patients, it lacked detailed clinical information. To improve the representativeness of the Korea HIV/AIDS Cohort Study, we propose expanding and revising the cohort design and enrolling more patients who have been recently diagnosed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近,在开发医疗领域的新技术和设备方面取得了长足的进步,包括微创手术.评估这些治疗的有效性需要研究设计,如随机对照试验。然而,由于某些治疗的性质,随机化并不总是可行的,导致观察性研究的使用。从观察性研究中估计的效应大小受到混杂因素造成的选择偏差的影响。减少这种偏差的一种方法是倾向评分。本研究旨在使用R的实际例子在两组之间引入倾向得分匹配过程。雷克斯,Excel插件图形用户界面统计程序,提供给不熟悉R编程的研究人员。进一步的技术,例如与三个或更多的组匹配,倾向得分加权和分层,以及缺失值的估算,被总结为提供本教程中未涵盖的更复杂研究的方法。
    Recently, there has been considerable progress in developing new technologies and equipment for the medical field, including minimally invasive surgeries. Evaluating the effectiveness of these treatments requires study designs like randomized controlled trials. However, due to the nature of certain treatments, randomization is not always feasible, leading to the use of observational studies. The effect size estimated from observational studies is subject to selection bias caused by confounders. One method to reduce this bias is propensity scoring. This study aimed to introduce a propensity score matching process between two groups using a practical example with R. Additionally, Rex, an Excel add-in graphical user interface statistical program, is provided for researchers unfamiliar with R programming. Further techniques, such as matching with three or more groups, propensity score weighting and stratification, and imputation of missing values, are summarized to offer approaches for more complex studies not covered in this tutorial.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:提出了一种测试方法,用于在单个前瞻性对照临床治疗试验中识别潜在的选择偏倚风险,该方法可由试验评审员应用。
    方法:对该方法进行了详细描述,并在8项随机对照试验(RCT)中进行了测试,报告的Berger-Exner检验结果为阴性,并在8项前瞻性试验中进行了测试。对照队列研究作为阳性对照。所有16项研究均通过系统的文献检索进行鉴定。
    结果:试验方法对所有RCT结果均为阴性,对8项队列研究中的6项结果均为阳性。
    结论:两种研究类型的所有测试结果均保持在预期范围内,建议正确识别选择偏差风险的相当高的准确性。然而,该方法无法确定这种偏倚风险是否确实改变了试验结果.相反,阳性检验结果可为试验评估期间将试验评为高选择偏倚风险提供经验依据.
    OBJECTIVE: A test method is proposed for identifying potential selection bias risk in single prospective controlled clinical therapy trials that can be applied by trial reviewers.
    METHODS: The method is described in detail and was tested on eight randomised controlled trials (RCTs) with reported negative Berger-Exner test results as negative and on eight prospective, controlled cohort studies as positive controls. All 16 studies were identified by systematic literature search.
    RESULTS: The test method yielded negative results for all RCTs and positive results for six out of the eight cohort studies.
    CONCLUSIONS: All test results remained within the expected limits for both study types, suggesting a reasonably high accuracy for correctly identifying selection bias risk. However, the method does not provide the possibility to establish whether such bias risk has actually altered trial outcomes. Instead, a positive test result may provide an empirical basis for rating a trial as of high selection bias risk during trial appraisal.
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