Selection Bias

选择偏差
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    同意偏见是生物医学研究中的一种选择偏见,其中同意研究的人与不同意的人系统不同。它在精准医学研究中特别重要,因为这些研究的复杂性阻碍了某些亚组的理解,信任,并同意这项研究。因为同意偏见扭曲了研究结果,并导致研究利益的不公平分配,学者们提出了两种减少同意偏见的方案:改革现有的同意模式和完全取消同意要求。这项研究利用现有数据探索了在观察性研究中放弃同意的可能性,因为如果加强隐私保护,与临床试验相比,它们对参与者的风险更小。建议在未经同意的情况下,进行安全性增强和数据保护影响评估等数据保护机制,以保护观察性研究参与者的数据隐私。
    Consent bias is a type of selection bias in biomedical research where those consenting to the research differ systematically from those not consenting. It is particularly relevant in precision medicine research because the complexity of these studies prevents certain subgroups from understanding, trusting, and consenting to the research. Because consent bias distorts research findings and causes inequitable distribution of research benefits, scholars propose two types of schemes to reduce consent bias: reforming existing consent models and removing the consent requirement altogether. This study explores the possibility of waiving consent in observational studies using existing data, because they involve fewer risks to participants than clinical trials if privacy safeguards are strengthened. It suggests that data protection mechanisms such as security enhancement and data protection impact assessment should be conducted to protect data privacy of participants in observational studies without consent.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    全基因组关联研究(GWAS)有助于识别预测癌症风险的遗传变异并提供对癌症生物学的新见解。越来越多地使用基因知情护理,以及基因知情的预防和治疗策略,也引起了人们对癌症遗传数据的一些固有局限性的关注。具体来说,遗传禀赋是终身的。然而,参加癌症研究的人往往是中年人或老年人,这意味着接触最有可能在招募之前开始,与曝光和招聘调整相反,如在试验或目标试验中。对幸存者的研究可能会因为易感性的耗尽而产生偏差,这里特别是由于遗传脆弱性和感兴趣的癌症或竞争风险。此外,包括病例对照研究中的流行病例将使癌症患者的生存遗传学看起来有害(Neyman偏见)。这里,我们描述了设计GWAS以最大化解释力和预测效用的方法,通过减少由于仅招募幸存者而导致的选择偏见,并减少由于包括流行病例以及使用其他技术而导致的Neyman偏见,如选择图,年龄分层,孟德尔随机化,以促进GWAS的可解释性和实用性。
    Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have been helpful in identifying genetic variants predicting cancer risk and providing new insights into cancer biology. Increasing use of genetically informed care, as well as genetically informed prevention and treatment strategies, have also drawn attention to some of the inherent limitations of cancer genetic data. Specifically, genetic endowment is lifelong. However, those recruited into cancer studies tend to be middle-aged or older people, meaning the exposure most likely starts before recruitment, as opposed to exposure and recruitment aligning, as in a trial or a target trial. Studies in survivors can be biased as a result of depletion of the susceptibles, here specifically due to genetic vulnerability and the cancer of interest or a competing risk. In addition, including prevalent cases in a case-control study will make the genetics of survival with cancer look harmful (Neyman bias). Here, we describe ways of designing GWAS to maximize explanatory power and predictive utility, by reducing selection bias due to only recruiting survivors and reducing Neyman bias due to including prevalent cases alongside using other techniques, such as selection diagrams, age-stratification, and Mendelian randomization, to facilitate GWAS interpretability and utility.
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  • 文章类型: Letter
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    社区核酸检测是否会导致住宅化合物内感染增加的问题尚未得到明确回答。上海,中国最大的城市之一,在2022年3月下旬至5月的封锁期间,进行了全市社区测试。这种情况为研究社区检测对感染率的影响提供了独特的机会,因为封锁在很大程度上消除了公民流动性等混杂因素。在我们的研究中,根据对上海208个住宅区的调查和封锁期间的每日感染数据,我们发现这些化合物的社区检测与感染风险之间存在显著相关性.然而,在解决了反向因果关系和抽样偏差的潜在问题之后,我们发现社区检测与感染风险之间没有显著的因果关系.此外,我们发现,在社区测试期间,人们对戴口罩的认识增加与住宅大院内感染的减少相关。这表明,社区检测和感染风险之间的相关性可能被居民坚持戴口罩的做法所混淆。我们的研究结果强调,公共卫生决策者需要在社区测试期间加强戴口罩的重要性,作为防止公民感染的一种手段。
    The question of whether community nucleic acid testing contributes to an increase in infections within residential compounds has not been definitively answered. Shanghai, one of the largest cities in China, conducted city-wide community testing during its lockdown from late March to May 2022. This situation provided a unique opportunity to examine the effect of community testing on infection rates, as the lockdown largely eliminated confounding factors such as citizen mobility. In our study, based on a survey of 208 residential compounds in Shanghai and the daily infection data during the lockdown period, we found a significant correlation between community testing and infection risk in these compounds. However, after addressing potential issues of reverse causality and sampling bias, we found no significant causal link between community testing and infection risk. Furthermore, we discovered that increased awareness of mask-wearing correlated with a decrease in infections within the residential compounds during community testing. This suggests that the perceived correlation between community testing and infection risk may be confounded by residents\' adherence to mask-wearing practices. Our findings emphasize the need for public health decision-makers to reinforce the importance of mask-wearing during community testing, as a means to prevent infections among citizens.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:阴性对照在观察性研究中被认为是减轻偏倚的重要工具。本范围审查的目的是总结目前的阴性对照方法(阴性对照暴露[NCE]和阴性对照结果[NCO])。
    方法:我们搜索了PubMed,WebofScience,EMBASE和Cochrane图书馆(截至2023年3月9日)关于阴性对照方法的文章。两名评审员独立和一式两份选择了符合条件的研究,并收集了相关数据。我们报告了总数和百分比,并对方法进行了叙述总结。
    结果:我们的综述共纳入了37篇相关方法学文章。这些出版物涵盖了NCE(n=11,29.8%),NCO(n=13,35.1%)或两者(n=13,35.1%),最专注于偏差检测(n=14,37.8%),偏倚校正(n=16,43.3%)和P值或置信区间(CI)校正(n=5,13.5%)。其余两篇文章(5.4%),一个讨论了偏差检测和P值orCI校准,另一个讨论了所有三个功能。对于偏差检测,NCE(NCO)和结果(暴露)感兴趣变量之间存在关联,这仅仅表明结果可能存在混杂偏差,选择偏差和/或信息偏差。对于偏差校正,然而,负控制法的算法需要更严格的假设,如秩保持,单调性和线性。
    结论:阴性对照可以用于偏倚检测,P值orCI校准,和偏差校正,其中使用阴性对照的偏倚校正是方法学上研究最多的。当前已知的方法需要一些严格的假设来检测或消除偏差。需要更多的方法学研究来优化阴性对照的使用。
    OBJECTIVE: Negative controls are considered an important tool to mitigate biases in observational studies. The aim of this scoping review was to summarize current methodologies of negative controls (both negative control exposure [NCE] and negative control outcome [NCO]).
    METHODS: We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library (up to March 9, 2023) for articles on methodologies of negative controls. Two reviewers selected eligible studies and collected relevant data independently and in duplicate. We reported total numbers and percentages, and summarized methodologies narratively.
    RESULTS: A total of 37 relevant methodological articles were included in our review. These publications covered NCE (n = 11, 29.8%), NCO (n = 13, 35.1%), or both (n = 13, 35.1%), with most focused on bias detection (n = 14, 37.8%), bias correction (n = 16, 43.3%), and P value or confidence interval (CI) calibration (n = 5, 13.5%). For the two remaining articles (5.4%), one discussed bias detection and P value or CI calibration and the other covered all the three functions. For bias detection, the existence of an association between the NCE (NCO) and outcome (exposure) variables of interest simply indicates that results may suffer from confounding bias, selection bias and/or information bias. For bias correction, however, the algorithms of negative control methods need more stringent assumptions such as rank preservation, monotonicity, and linearity.
    CONCLUSIONS: Negative controls can be leveraged for bias detection, P value or CI calibration, and bias correction, among which bias correction has been the most studied methodologically. The current available methods need some stringent assumptions to detect or remove bias. More methodological research is needed to optimize the use of negative controls.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:回顾儿童肥胖与乳腺癌呈负相关,包括孟德尔随机化(MR)研究。在成年期招募的乳腺癌研究仅包括儿童肥胖和乳腺癌或竞争风险的幸存者。我们评估了参与者报告的兄弟姐妹和母亲乳腺癌的召回儿童肥胖,以确保确定非幸存者。
    方法:我们获得了女性召回的儿童期肥胖的独立强遗传预测因子及其与参与者报告的关联,来自英国生物银行全基因组关联研究(GWAS)的兄弟姐妹和母亲乳腺癌。
    结果:使用MR逆方差加权(比值比(OR)0.66,95%置信区间(CI)0.52至0.84),女性儿童肥胖与自身乳腺癌呈负相关,但与参与者报告的同胞(OR0.85,95%CI0.60至1.20)或母体乳腺癌(OR0.84,95%CI0.67至1.05)的相关性较低。
    结论:在招募前更全面地确定病例的情况下,召回的儿童肥胖与乳腺癌的负相关较弱,这表明召回的儿童肥胖与乳腺癌的负相关可能是部分选择偏向于优先选择幸存者。在公共卫生相关的因果推断中更多地考虑生存偏差将是有帮助的。
    OBJECTIVE: Recalled childhood adiposity is inversely associated with breast cancer observationally, including in Mendelian randomization (MR) studies. Breast cancer studies recruited in adulthood only include survivors of childhood adiposity and breast cancer or a competing risk. We assessed recalled childhood adiposity on participant reported sibling and maternal breast cancer to ensure ascertainment of nonsurvivors.
    METHODS: We obtained independent strong genetic predictors of recalled childhood adiposity for women and their associations with participant reported own, sibling and maternal breast cancer from UK Biobank genome wide association studies.
    RESULTS: Recalled childhood adiposity in women was inversely associated with own breast cancer using Mendelian randomization inverse variance weighting (odds ratio (OR) 0.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.52-0.84) but less clearly related to participant reported sibling (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.69-1.14) or maternal breast cancer (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.67-1.05).
    CONCLUSIONS: Weaker inverse associations of recalled childhood adiposity with breast cancer with more comprehensive ascertainment of cases before recruitment suggests the inverse association of recalled childhood adiposity with breast cancer could be partly selection bias from preferential selection of survivors. Greater consideration of survival bias in public health relevant causal inferences would be helpful.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的4.1亿年中,植物及其昆虫草食动物一直是陆地生态景观的主要组成部分,具有复杂的进化模式和相互依存的特征。复杂的系统视角允许详细解析这些进化关系以及跨系统的比较和综合。使用保存在化石叶上的昆虫食草动物损害的代理数据(由损害类型或DT表示),功能二分网络表示提供了对植物-昆虫关联如何依赖于地质时间的见解,古地理空间,和环境变量,如温度和降水。然而,从这样的网络测量的指标容易出现采样偏差。在采样工作通常受到严重限制的古生物学环境中,这种敏感性对于植物DT关联网络特别重要。这里,我们探讨了功能二分网络度量对采样强度的敏感性,并确定了采样阈值,在这些阈值之上,度量对采样工作量具有鲁棒性。在广泛的抽样工作中,我们发现网络指标比丰富度指标受抽样偏差和/或样本大小的影响更小,通常用于化石植物-DT相互作用的研究。这些结果提供了保证,植物-DT网络的交叉比较提供了对网络结构和功能的见解,并支持其在古生态学中的广泛使用。此外,这些发现表明,在新生儿陆地生态学中使用植物DT网络来了解整个地质时期昆虫食草功能方面的新机会。环境扰动,和地理空间。
    Plants and their insect herbivores have been a dominant component of the terrestrial ecological landscape for the past 410 million years and feature intricate evolutionary patterns and co-dependencies. A complex systems perspective allows for both detailed resolution of these evolutionary relationships as well as comparison and synthesis across systems. Using proxy data of insect herbivore damage (denoted by the damage type or DT) preserved on fossil leaves, functional bipartite network representations provide insights into how plant-insect associations depend on geological time, paleogeographical space, and environmental variables such as temperature and precipitation. However, the metrics measured from such networks are prone to sampling bias. Such sensitivity is of special concern for plant-DT association networks in paleontological settings where sampling effort is often severely limited. Here, we explore the sensitivity of functional bipartite network metrics to sampling intensity and identify sampling thresholds above which metrics appear robust to sampling effort. Across a broad range of sampling efforts, we find network metrics to be less affected by sampling bias and/or sample size than richness metrics, which are routinely used in studies of fossil plant-DT interactions. These results provide reassurance that cross-comparisons of plant-DT networks offer insights into network structure and function and support their widespread use in paleoecology. Moreover, these findings suggest novel opportunities for using plant-DT networks in neontological terrestrial ecology to understand functional aspects of insect herbivory across geological time, environmental perturbations, and geographic space.
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  • 文章类型: Letter
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    普遍被认为是诊断肝纤维化和肝硬化的“金标准”,已知临床肝针活检存在采样不足和采样误率高的问题.然而,量化这种采样偏差一直是困难的,因为从同一活体患者产生大量的针活检实际上是不可行的。我们通过一种新颖的动态配准方法,通过连续肝组织切片的空间配准高分辨率全幻灯片图像(WSI)构建三维(3D)虚拟肝组织体积。我们进一步开发了一种模拟针活检取样过程的虚拟针活检取样(VNBS)方法。我们将VNBS方法应用于不同组织位置和角度的重建数字肝脏体积。此外,我们在2D和3D中量化所有所得虚拟针活检中的胶原比例面积(CPA)。
    每个3D活检的中心2D纵向图像平面的分期评分用作活检分期评分,所有取样的针活检的最高分期评分是诊断分期评分。参照Scheuer和Ishak诊断分期评分的平均绝对差异(MAD)分别为0.22和1.00。22.22%的活检样本的绝对Scheuer分期评分差为1。通过Ishak分期方法,55.56%和22.22%的取样活检分别呈现得分差异1和2。在具有针内变化的18个3D虚拟针活检中有4个(Scheuer)和6个(Ishak)。此外,通过Scheuer法,我们发现CPA与纤维化分期呈正相关,但Ishak法未发现.总的来说,CPA措施遭受大的针内和针间变化。
    开发的虚拟肝针活检采样管道为研究具有3D虚拟组织体积的针活检采样偏差提供了计算途径。该方法可以应用于其他基于组织的疾病诊断,其中针活检采样偏差基本上影响诊断结果。
    Prevalently considered as the \"gold-standard\" for diagnosis of hepatic fibrosis and cirrhosis, the clinical liver needle biopsy is known to be subject to inadequate sampling and a high mis-sampling rate. However, quantifying such sampling bias has been difficult as generating a large number of needle biopsies from the same living patient is practically infeasible. We construct a three-dimension (3D) virtual liver tissue volume by spatially registered high resolution Whole Slide Images (WSIs) of serial liver tissue sections with a novel dynamic registration method. We further develop a Virtual Needle Biopsy Sampling (VNBS) method that mimics the needle biopsy sampling process. We apply the VNBS method to the reconstructed digital liver volume at different tissue locations and angles. Additionally, we quantify Collagen Proportionate Area (CPA) in all resulting virtual needle biopsies in 2D and 3D.
    The staging score of the center 2D longitudinal image plane from each 3D biopsy is used as the biopsy staging score, and the highest staging score of all sampled needle biopsies is the diagnostic staging score. The Mean Absolute Difference (MAD) in reference to the Scheuer and Ishak diagnostic staging scores are 0.22 and 1.00, respectively. The absolute Scheuer staging score difference in 22.22% of sampled biopsies is 1. By the Ishak staging method, 55.56% and 22.22% of sampled biopsies present score difference 1 and 2, respectively. There are 4 (Scheuer) and 6 (Ishak) out of 18 3D virtual needle biopsies with intra-needle variations. Additionally, we find a positive correlation between CPA and fibrosis stages by Scheuer but not Ishak method. Overall, CPA measures suffer large intra- and inter- needle variations.
    The developed virtual liver needle biopsy sampling pipeline provides a computational avenue for investigating needle biopsy sampling bias with 3D virtual tissue volumes. This method can be applied to other tissue-based disease diagnoses where the needle biopsy sampling bias substantially affects the diagnostic results.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    孟德尔随机化(MR)是使用全基因组关联研究(GWAS)的汇总统计数据推断各种性状之间因果关系的有价值的工具。现有的汇总级MR方法通常依赖于强假设,导致许多假阳性结果。为了放松MR的假设,正在进行的研究主要集中在考虑由于多效性造成的混杂因素。这里,我们发现样本结构是另一个主要的混杂因素,包括人口分层,神秘的亲密关系,和样本重叠。我们提出了一种统一的MR方法,MR-APSS,其中1)通过利用全基因组信息同时解释多效性和样本结构;2)允许包含更多具有中等影响的遗传变异作为仪器变量(IV),以提高统计能力而不增加I型错误。我们首先使用综合模拟和阴性对照评估MR-APSS,然后应用MR-APSS研究各种复杂性状之间的因果关系。结果表明,MR-APSS可以更好地识别合理的因果关系,具有很高的可靠性。特别是,MR-APSS对高度多基因性状表现良好,其中IV强度往往相对较弱,并且用于因果推断的现有摘要级MR方法容易受到混杂效应的影响。
    Mendelian randomization (MR) is a valuable tool for inferring causal relationships among a wide range of traits using summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWASs). Existing summary-level MR methods often rely on strong assumptions, resulting in many false-positive findings. To relax MR assumptions, ongoing research has been primarily focused on accounting for confounding due to pleiotropy. Here, we show that sample structure is another major confounding factor, including population stratification, cryptic relatedness, and sample overlap. We propose a unified MR approach, MR-APSS, which 1) accounts for pleiotropy and sample structure simultaneously by leveraging genome-wide information; and 2) allows the inclusion of more genetic variants with moderate effects as instrument variables (IVs) to improve statistical power without inflating type I errors. We first evaluated MR-APSS using comprehensive simulations and negative controls and then applied MR-APSS to study the causal relationships among a collection of diverse complex traits. The results suggest that MR-APSS can better identify plausible causal relationships with high reliability. In particular, MR-APSS can perform well for highly polygenic traits, where the IV strengths tend to be relatively weak and existing summary-level MR methods for causal inference are vulnerable to confounding effects.
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