Revealed preference

揭示偏好
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:电动踏板车(电动踏板车)的普及激增给交通规划带来了新的挑战,要求全面了解路线选择行为,以了解电动踏板车的使用方式,它们如何影响交通流量,以及可以改善道路基础设施的地方。因此,这项研究旨在分析在准实验设置中,两个用户组具有相同的旅行目的地的电动踏板车骑手和骑自行车者的路线选择和偏好。
    方法:两组参与者(n=52)使用共享的电动踏板车或自行车完成骑行,到达德累斯顿的四个预定目的地,德国。骑手应该选择他们的路线,随后报告了决策的难度以及与骑行相关的几个路线选择因素的重要性。
    结果:电动踏板车骑手认为路面和安全性对于路线选择比骑自行车者更为重要,并且倾向于认为决策更加困难。骑行数据显示两组之间具有广泛的可比性,电动踏板车骑手往往有更长的路线来做出复杂的决定(未知的目的地,风景优美的路线,需要更多的转弯)。
    结论:研究表明,电动踏板车骑手的路线偏好可能会受到路面和安全考虑因素的综合影响,强调需要高质量的自行车基础设施。关于电动踏板车骑行与骑行中自然发生的骑行体验差异存在局限性。实际含义表明,针对电动踏板车骑手的计划可以从为骑自行车者设计的活动中获得的见解中受益。提出提供实时道路质量信息,考虑其对整体道路安全的潜在影响。
    结论:这项研究有助于更好地了解电动踏板车骑手如何在城市中导航,并为考虑自行车和微动使用的增长的交通规划师和工程师提供了宝贵的基础。
    OBJECTIVE: The surge in popularity of electric kick scooters (e-scooters) poses new challenges for traffic planning, demanding a comprehensive understanding of route choice behavior to see how e-scooters are used, how they affect traffic flow, and where improvements can be made to the road infrastructure. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze route choices and preferences of e-scooter riders and cyclists in a quasi-experimental setup with both user groups having the same trip destinations.
    METHODS: Two groups of participants (n = 52) completed a ride with either a shared e-scooter or bicycle to reach four predefined destinations in Dresden, Germany. The riders were supposed to choose their routes and subsequently reported the difficulty of decision-making and the importance of several route choice factors related to the ride.
    RESULTS: E-scooter riders rated road surface and safety as significantly more important for route choice than cyclists and tended to perceive the decision-making as more difficult. Riding data revealed broad comparability between the groups, with e-scooter riders tendentially having longer routes for complex decisions (unknown destinations, scenic routes, more turns required).
    CONCLUSIONS: The study suggests that the route preferences of e-scooter riders may be influenced by a combination of road surface and safety considerations, highlighting the need for high-quality cycling infrastructure. Limitations exist regarding the naturally occurring differences in riding experience in e-scooter riding versus cycling. Practical implications indicate that planning for e-scooter riders can benefit from insights drawn from activities designed for cyclists. The provision of real-time road quality information is proposed, considering its potential impact on overall road safety.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study contributes to a better understanding of how e-scooter riders navigate through cities and delivers a valuable foundation for transport planners and engineers considering the rise in cycling and micro-mobility use.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文从2018年夏季进行的一项调查中总结了新英格兰居民的沿海娱乐活动。新英格兰海岸的管理得益于了解沿海娱乐的价值和影响娱乐行为的因素。为了满足这一需求,该调查收集了对新英格兰海岸任何类型的地点进行日间和夜间访问的地理位置和旅行细节,以进行一系列水上娱乐活动,提供该地区沿海娱乐的全面视图。本文总结了参与各种类型的水上娱乐活动,包括去海滩,游泳,钓鱼,野生动物观赏,划船,和其他沿海娱乐活动。我们使用参与和努力模型来量化对沿海娱乐的需求,这些模型分解了空间和人口普查人口统计上的娱乐行为的维度。这提供了有关人类对自然环境的重要利用的受益者的规模和位置的见解。我们发现,在接受调查的地区,有71%的人参加沿海娱乐,并在不同的地点从事广泛的沿海娱乐活动,从面向公海的沿海海滩到庇护,河口通往水的路。平均而言,该地区的人们在一年中在新英格兰海岸进行37次旅行,每年花167小时参观娱乐场所,66小时旅行。从我们的样本地区总共有1.7050亿次旅行,7.724亿小时的娱乐时间,和3.046亿小时的旅行时间。到海岸的距离,人口统计,娱乐活动会影响人们去的频率以及他们花在沿海娱乐上的时间。
    This paper presents a summary of coastal recreation of New England residents from a survey conducted in the summer of 2018. The management of New England\'s coasts benefits from understanding the value of coastal recreation and the factors influencing recreational behavior. To address this need, the survey collected the geographic location and trip details for both day and overnight visits to any type of location on the New England coast for a range of water recreation activities, providing a comprehensive view of coastal recreation in the region. This paper summarizes participation in various types of water recreation activities, including beachgoing, swimming, fishing, wildlife viewing, boating, and other coastal recreation activities. We quantify demand for coastal recreation using participation and effort models that disaggregate the dimensions of recreational behavior over space and census demographics. This provides insights on the scale and location of beneficiaries of this important human use of the natural environment. We found that 71% of people in the surveyed region participate in coastal recreation and engage in a wide range of coastal recreation activities at varied locations from open-ocean-facing coastal beaches to sheltered, estuarine ways to water. On average, people in the region take 37 trips to recreate on the coast of New England in a year, spending 167 hours per year visiting recreation sites and 66 hours traveling. This adds up to nearly 170.5 million trips from our sample region, 772.4 million hours of recreation time, and 304.6 million hours of travel time. Distance to the coast, demographics, and recreational activities affect how often people go and how much time they spend on coastal recreation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    作为适应气候变化的一部分,基于自然的解决方案可以积极减少城市地区的水文气象风险。然而,越来越多地采用这种解决方案的主要原因是它们对当地居民的许多好处,包括娱乐价值。以前关于娱乐价值的研究侧重于对现有自然地点的研究,这些地点通常比被认为是城市地区洪水适应研究的新NBS大得多。因此,我们优先考虑适合城市洪水适应的较小区域和自然类型的研究,并将其分为四种常见的城市洪水适应自然类型:可持续城市排水系统,城市公园,自然区域和河流。我们确定了23项主要评估研究,包括陈述性和揭示性偏好研究,并基于对现有地区的元回归分析得出了两个价值传递函数。我们调查了值和变量之间的趋势,发现为了规划新的NBS,NBS的大小和人口密度是休闲价值的决定因素。对于现有NBS,也可以包括最大行进距离。我们发现,对于NBS大小低于5公顷的情况,现有的最新研究高估了娱乐性,超过4倍。我们的结果在欧洲范围内适用于250公顷以下的基于自然的解决方案,并且可以应用于不同的NBS类型和大小。
    Nature-based solutions may actively reduce hydro-meteorological risks in urban areas as a part of climate change adaptation. However, the main reason for the increasing uptake of this type of solution is their many benefits for the local inhabitants, including recreational value. Previous studies on recreational value focus on studies of existing nature sites that are often much larger than what is considered as new NBS for flood adaptation studies in urban areas. We thus prioritized studies with smaller areas and nature types suitable for urban flood adaptation and divided them into four common nature types for urban flood adaptation: sustainable urban drainage systems, city parks, nature areas and rivers. We identified 23 primary valuation studies, including both stated and revealed preference studies, and derived two value transfer functions based on meta-regression analysis on existing areas. We investigated trends between values and variables and found that for the purpose of planning of new NBS the size of NBS and population density were determining factors of recreational value. For existing NBS the maximum travelling distance may be included as well. We find that existing state-of-the-art studies overestimate the recreational with more than a factor of 4 for NBS sizes below 5 ha. Our results are valid in a European context for nature-based solutions below 250 ha and can be applied across different NBS types and sizes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    该说明提出了揭示可取性的想法,一种新颖的乐器,这就像揭示的偏好是可以从选择中观察到的,对个人和社会福利都很重要。我们提供了公理的潜在个体选择模型,支持这一想法的初步实验结果,以及一个吸引人的分配规则,该规则使用所揭示的可取性信息以及所揭示的偏好信息。
    背景:在线版本补充材料,可在10.1007/s11238-021-09855-8获得。
    The note puts forward the idea of revealed desirability, a novel instrument, which like revealed preference is observable from choice and important for individual and social welfare. We provide the axiomatic underlying individual\'s choice model, preliminary experimental results that support the idea, and an appealing allocation rule that uses the revealed desirability information along with the revealed-preference information.
    BACKGROUND: The online version supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11238-021-09855-8.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    选择一致性被认为是理性基于价值的选择的标志。然而,因为支持决策的认知装置不完善,真正的决策者往往表现出一定程度的选择不一致。认知模型对于用注意力补充理想化的选择公理是必要的,感知和记忆过程。具体来说,令人信服的理论工作表明,选择相关记忆的(不完美)保留可能对选择一致性很重要,但这一假设尚未得到直接检验。我们使用了一种新颖的多属性视觉选择范式来实验测试样本的记忆检索对选择一致性的影响。我们的操作检查证实,我们的保留间隔操作成功地降低了记忆表示强度。鉴于此,我们发现强有力的证据反对我们的假设,即选择一致性随着保留时间的增加而降低.然而,质量控制表明,我们参与者的选择一致性与随机行为是无法辨别的.此外,一项探索性分析显示,两个观察结果之间的选择一致性基本上没有测试-重测可靠性.一起来看,这表明我们的数据中存在地板效应,因此,数据质量低,无法最终评估我们的假设。进一步的探索初步表明,很难区分驱动这种地板效应的选择对象。
    Choice-consistency is considered a hallmark of rational value-based choice. However, because the cognitive apparatus supporting decision-making is imperfect, real decision-makers often show some degree of choice inconsistency. Cognitive models are necessary to complement idealized choice axioms with attention, perception and memory processes. Specifically, compelling theoretical work suggests that the (imperfect) retention of choice-relevant memories might be important for choice-consistency, but this hypothesis has not been tested directly. We used a novel multi-attribute visual choice paradigm to experimentally test the influence of memory retrieval of exemplars on choice-consistency. Our manipulation check confirmed that our retention interval manipulation successfully reduced memory representation strength. Given this, we found strong evidence against our hypothesis that choice-consistency decreases with increasing retention time. However, quality controls indicated that the choice-consistency of our participants was non-discernable from random behaviour. In addition, an exploratory analysis showed essentially no test-retest reliability of choice-consistency between two observations. Taken together, this suggests the presence of a floor effect in our data and, thus, low data quality for conclusively evaluating our hypotheses. Further exploration tentatively suggested a high difficulty of discriminating between the choice objects driving this floor effect.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    OBJECTIVE: To systematically review studies eliciting monetary value of a statistical life (VSL) estimates within, and across, different sectors and other contexts; compare the reported estimates; and critically review the elicitation methods used.
    METHODS: In June 2019, we searched the following databases to identify methodological and empirical studies: Cochrane Library, Compendex, Embase, Environment Complete, Informit, ProQuest, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science. We used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guidelines for reporting and a modified Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards checklist to assess the quality of included studies.
    RESULTS: We identified 1455 studies, of which we included 120 in the systematic review. A stated-preference approach was used in 76 articles, with 51%, 41%, and 8% being contingent valuation studies, discrete-choice experiments, or both, respectively. A revealed-preference approach was used in 43 articles, of which 74% were based on compensating-wage differentials. The human capital approach was used in only 1 article. We assessed most publications (87%) as being of high quality. Estimates for VSL varied substantially by context (sector, developed/developing country, socio-economic status, etc), with the median of midpoint purchasing power parity-adjusted estimates of 2019 US$5.7 million ($6.8 million, $8.7 million, and $5.3 million for health, labor market, and transportation safety sectors, respectively).
    CONCLUSIONS: The large variation observed in published VSLs depends mainly on the context rather than the method used. We found higher median values for labor markets and developed countries. It is important that health economists and policymakers use context-specific VSL estimates. Methodological innovation and standardization are needed to maximize comparability of VSL estimates within, and across, sectors and methods.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Most transport mode choice studies rely on subjective responses to hypothetical questions (stated preference), or on revealed preferences. In stated preference studies, trip characteristics are exact, but there is a range of sources of errors and biases in the responses. Revealed preference surveys suffer the opposite: The choice is exact (i.e. observed) but trip attributes are uncertain - and even more uncertain when it comes to transport modes not chosen. Our dataset goes a long way in solving these problems. The data set combines real travel behaviour and mode choice data from the Norwegian National Transport Survey (NTS) with trip characteristics collected from Google maps travel planner. From the NTS, we have extracted all commute trips conducted by either private car or public transport (PT) into ten major cities in Norway with exact origin and destination coordinates. The NTS data also comprises information about age, gender, household, income and car availability. From Google maps, we have extracted trip characteristics for these trips - for both the mode chosen and the mode not chosen. This data includes total travel time, the number of interchanges, wait time, walk time, and in-vehicle time. This data can be used to study how different trip characteristics influence the probability of choosing PT over private car on commute journeys.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对饱腹感的敏感性构成了对主观奖励值的神经元编码的基本要求。自然持续消费的满足感会影响学习和接近行为中的奖励功能。更具体地说,在选择通常包含多个奖励成分的选项时,饱腹感降低了个人奖励的主观经济价值。对经济回报价值的无混淆评估需要测试两种选择之间的选择冷漠,这是很难实现与满足的奖励。通过概念化具有多个奖励组件(“捆绑包”)的选项之间的选择,揭示的偏好理论可以提供一个解决方案。尽管饱腹感,选择对一个不变的参考束可能保持无动于衷时,一个已分配的束奖励的减少的价值是由较大量的相同束的未分配的奖励补偿,然后用增加的未支付奖励的金额来表示支付奖励的价值损失。这里,我们显示了猴子在不同状态的奖励之间的心理物理滴定选择冷漠。眶额叶皮层(OFC)中的神经元选择值信号紧随单个神经元记录周期内的主观值变化。区分束并预测选择的神经元分类器证实了主观值的变化。传统的单一奖励之间的选择证实了两个奖励束看到的神经元变化。因此,特定于奖励的饱腹感降低了OFC中的主观奖励值信号。饱腹感是主观奖励价值的重要因素,这些结果扩展了OFC神经元中主观经济报酬值编码的概念。
    Sensitivity to satiety constitutes a basic requirement for neuronal coding of subjective reward value. Satiety from natural ongoing consumption affects reward functions in learning and approach behavior. More specifically, satiety reduces the subjective economic value of individual rewards during choice between options that typically contain multiple reward components. The unconfounded assessment of economic reward value requires tests at choice indifference between two options, which is difficult to achieve with sated rewards. By conceptualizing choices between options with multiple reward components (\"bundles\"), Revealed Preference Theory may offer a solution. Despite satiety, choices against an unaltered reference bundle may remain indifferent when the reduced value of a sated bundle reward is compensated by larger amounts of an unsated reward of the same bundle, and then the value loss of the sated reward is indicated by the amount of the added unsated reward. Here, we show psychophysically titrated choice indifference in monkeys between bundles of differently sated rewards. Neuronal chosen value signals in the orbitofrontal cortex (OFC) followed closely the subjective value change within recording periods of individual neurons. A neuronal classifier distinguishing the bundles and predicting choice substantiated the subjective value change. The choice between conventional single rewards confirmed the neuronal changes seen with two-reward bundles. Thus, reward-specific satiety reduces subjective reward value signals in OFC. With satiety being an important factor of subjective reward value, these results extend the notion of subjective economic reward value coding in OFC neurons.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The interaction between land plants and mycorrhizal fungi (MF) forms perhaps the world\'s most prevalent biological market. Most plants participate in such markets, in which MF collect nutrients from the soil and trade them with host plants in exchange for carbon. In a recent study, M. D. Whiteside et al. [Curr. Biol. 29, 2043-2050.e8 (2019)] conducted experiments that allowed them to quantify the behavior of arbuscular MF when trading phosphorus with their host roots. Their experimental techniques enabled the researchers to infer the quantities traded under multiple scenarios involving different amounts of phosphorus resources initially held by different MF patches. We use these observations to confirm a revealed preference hypothesis, which characterizes behavior in Walrasian equilibrium, a centerpiece of general economic equilibrium theory.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    重要的决定往往是在一定程度的压力下做出的。现在已经确定,严重的压力会影响我们决策中的偏好和优先事项。然而,在规范意义上,很难就压力对决策质量的净影响做出一般的解释,因为支持或反对压力对决策质量的直接影响的证据很少。这里,我们使用选择一致性的揭示偏好框架来调查决策质量,而不假设客观正确的选择.具体来说,我们测试了急性压力是否以时间依赖性方式影响选择一致性.144名参与者的样本之前解决了食物选择任务,在特里尔社会压力测试(TSST)或匹配的控制程序之后和之后。我们通过一系列主观和生理压力措施证实了压力操纵的有效性。使用贝叶斯统计,我们发现强有力的证据表明急性应激对选择一致性有影响.然而,我们发现了自我报告的慢性压力与选择一致性呈负相关的探索性证据.我们在先前关于压力对选择一致性和偏好变化的影响的发现的背景下讨论我们的结果。
    Important decisions are often made under some degree of stress. It is now well-established that acute stress affects preferences and priorities in our decisions. However, it is hard to make a general case on the net impact of stress on decision-making quality in a normative sense as evidence for or against a direct effect of stress on decision-making quality is sparse. Here, we used the revealed preference framework of choice consistency to investigate decision-making quality without the assumption of an objectively correct choice. Specifically, we tested whether acute stress influences choice consistency in a time dependent fashion. A sample of 144 participants solved a food choice task before, immediately after and in the aftermath of the Trier Social Stress Test (TSST) or a matched control procedure. We confirmed the effectiveness of our stress manipulation via an array of subjective and physiological stress measures. Using Bayesian statistics, we found strong evidence against an effect of acute stress on choice consistency. However, we found exploratory evidence for a negative association of self-reported chronic stress and choice consistency. We discuss our results in the context of previous findings of stress effects on choice consistency and preference changes.
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