Revealed preference

揭示偏好
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文从2018年夏季进行的一项调查中总结了新英格兰居民的沿海娱乐活动。新英格兰海岸的管理得益于了解沿海娱乐的价值和影响娱乐行为的因素。为了满足这一需求,该调查收集了对新英格兰海岸任何类型的地点进行日间和夜间访问的地理位置和旅行细节,以进行一系列水上娱乐活动,提供该地区沿海娱乐的全面视图。本文总结了参与各种类型的水上娱乐活动,包括去海滩,游泳,钓鱼,野生动物观赏,划船,和其他沿海娱乐活动。我们使用参与和努力模型来量化对沿海娱乐的需求,这些模型分解了空间和人口普查人口统计上的娱乐行为的维度。这提供了有关人类对自然环境的重要利用的受益者的规模和位置的见解。我们发现,在接受调查的地区,有71%的人参加沿海娱乐,并在不同的地点从事广泛的沿海娱乐活动,从面向公海的沿海海滩到庇护,河口通往水的路。平均而言,该地区的人们在一年中在新英格兰海岸进行37次旅行,每年花167小时参观娱乐场所,66小时旅行。从我们的样本地区总共有1.7050亿次旅行,7.724亿小时的娱乐时间,和3.046亿小时的旅行时间。到海岸的距离,人口统计,娱乐活动会影响人们去的频率以及他们花在沿海娱乐上的时间。
    This paper presents a summary of coastal recreation of New England residents from a survey conducted in the summer of 2018. The management of New England\'s coasts benefits from understanding the value of coastal recreation and the factors influencing recreational behavior. To address this need, the survey collected the geographic location and trip details for both day and overnight visits to any type of location on the New England coast for a range of water recreation activities, providing a comprehensive view of coastal recreation in the region. This paper summarizes participation in various types of water recreation activities, including beachgoing, swimming, fishing, wildlife viewing, boating, and other coastal recreation activities. We quantify demand for coastal recreation using participation and effort models that disaggregate the dimensions of recreational behavior over space and census demographics. This provides insights on the scale and location of beneficiaries of this important human use of the natural environment. We found that 71% of people in the surveyed region participate in coastal recreation and engage in a wide range of coastal recreation activities at varied locations from open-ocean-facing coastal beaches to sheltered, estuarine ways to water. On average, people in the region take 37 trips to recreate on the coast of New England in a year, spending 167 hours per year visiting recreation sites and 66 hours traveling. This adds up to nearly 170.5 million trips from our sample region, 772.4 million hours of recreation time, and 304.6 million hours of travel time. Distance to the coast, demographics, and recreational activities affect how often people go and how much time they spend on coastal recreation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    该说明提出了揭示可取性的想法,一种新颖的乐器,这就像揭示的偏好是可以从选择中观察到的,对个人和社会福利都很重要。我们提供了公理的潜在个体选择模型,支持这一想法的初步实验结果,以及一个吸引人的分配规则,该规则使用所揭示的可取性信息以及所揭示的偏好信息。
    背景:在线版本补充材料,可在10.1007/s11238-021-09855-8获得。
    The note puts forward the idea of revealed desirability, a novel instrument, which like revealed preference is observable from choice and important for individual and social welfare. We provide the axiomatic underlying individual\'s choice model, preliminary experimental results that support the idea, and an appealing allocation rule that uses the revealed desirability information along with the revealed-preference information.
    BACKGROUND: The online version supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11238-021-09855-8.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    选择一致性被认为是理性基于价值的选择的标志。然而,因为支持决策的认知装置不完善,真正的决策者往往表现出一定程度的选择不一致。认知模型对于用注意力补充理想化的选择公理是必要的,感知和记忆过程。具体来说,令人信服的理论工作表明,选择相关记忆的(不完美)保留可能对选择一致性很重要,但这一假设尚未得到直接检验。我们使用了一种新颖的多属性视觉选择范式来实验测试样本的记忆检索对选择一致性的影响。我们的操作检查证实,我们的保留间隔操作成功地降低了记忆表示强度。鉴于此,我们发现强有力的证据反对我们的假设,即选择一致性随着保留时间的增加而降低.然而,质量控制表明,我们参与者的选择一致性与随机行为是无法辨别的.此外,一项探索性分析显示,两个观察结果之间的选择一致性基本上没有测试-重测可靠性.一起来看,这表明我们的数据中存在地板效应,因此,数据质量低,无法最终评估我们的假设。进一步的探索初步表明,很难区分驱动这种地板效应的选择对象。
    Choice-consistency is considered a hallmark of rational value-based choice. However, because the cognitive apparatus supporting decision-making is imperfect, real decision-makers often show some degree of choice inconsistency. Cognitive models are necessary to complement idealized choice axioms with attention, perception and memory processes. Specifically, compelling theoretical work suggests that the (imperfect) retention of choice-relevant memories might be important for choice-consistency, but this hypothesis has not been tested directly. We used a novel multi-attribute visual choice paradigm to experimentally test the influence of memory retrieval of exemplars on choice-consistency. Our manipulation check confirmed that our retention interval manipulation successfully reduced memory representation strength. Given this, we found strong evidence against our hypothesis that choice-consistency decreases with increasing retention time. However, quality controls indicated that the choice-consistency of our participants was non-discernable from random behaviour. In addition, an exploratory analysis showed essentially no test-retest reliability of choice-consistency between two observations. Taken together, this suggests the presence of a floor effect in our data and, thus, low data quality for conclusively evaluating our hypotheses. Further exploration tentatively suggested a high difficulty of discriminating between the choice objects driving this floor effect.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    OBJECTIVE: To systematically review studies eliciting monetary value of a statistical life (VSL) estimates within, and across, different sectors and other contexts; compare the reported estimates; and critically review the elicitation methods used.
    METHODS: In June 2019, we searched the following databases to identify methodological and empirical studies: Cochrane Library, Compendex, Embase, Environment Complete, Informit, ProQuest, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science. We used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guidelines for reporting and a modified Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards checklist to assess the quality of included studies.
    RESULTS: We identified 1455 studies, of which we included 120 in the systematic review. A stated-preference approach was used in 76 articles, with 51%, 41%, and 8% being contingent valuation studies, discrete-choice experiments, or both, respectively. A revealed-preference approach was used in 43 articles, of which 74% were based on compensating-wage differentials. The human capital approach was used in only 1 article. We assessed most publications (87%) as being of high quality. Estimates for VSL varied substantially by context (sector, developed/developing country, socio-economic status, etc), with the median of midpoint purchasing power parity-adjusted estimates of 2019 US$5.7 million ($6.8 million, $8.7 million, and $5.3 million for health, labor market, and transportation safety sectors, respectively).
    CONCLUSIONS: The large variation observed in published VSLs depends mainly on the context rather than the method used. We found higher median values for labor markets and developed countries. It is important that health economists and policymakers use context-specific VSL estimates. Methodological innovation and standardization are needed to maximize comparability of VSL estimates within, and across, sectors and methods.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Most transport mode choice studies rely on subjective responses to hypothetical questions (stated preference), or on revealed preferences. In stated preference studies, trip characteristics are exact, but there is a range of sources of errors and biases in the responses. Revealed preference surveys suffer the opposite: The choice is exact (i.e. observed) but trip attributes are uncertain - and even more uncertain when it comes to transport modes not chosen. Our dataset goes a long way in solving these problems. The data set combines real travel behaviour and mode choice data from the Norwegian National Transport Survey (NTS) with trip characteristics collected from Google maps travel planner. From the NTS, we have extracted all commute trips conducted by either private car or public transport (PT) into ten major cities in Norway with exact origin and destination coordinates. The NTS data also comprises information about age, gender, household, income and car availability. From Google maps, we have extracted trip characteristics for these trips - for both the mode chosen and the mode not chosen. This data includes total travel time, the number of interchanges, wait time, walk time, and in-vehicle time. This data can be used to study how different trip characteristics influence the probability of choosing PT over private car on commute journeys.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对饱腹感的敏感性构成了对主观奖励值的神经元编码的基本要求。自然持续消费的满足感会影响学习和接近行为中的奖励功能。更具体地说,在选择通常包含多个奖励成分的选项时,饱腹感降低了个人奖励的主观经济价值。对经济回报价值的无混淆评估需要测试两种选择之间的选择冷漠,这是很难实现与满足的奖励。通过概念化具有多个奖励组件(“捆绑包”)的选项之间的选择,揭示的偏好理论可以提供一个解决方案。尽管饱腹感,选择对一个不变的参考束可能保持无动于衷时,一个已分配的束奖励的减少的价值是由较大量的相同束的未分配的奖励补偿,然后用增加的未支付奖励的金额来表示支付奖励的价值损失。这里,我们显示了猴子在不同状态的奖励之间的心理物理滴定选择冷漠。眶额叶皮层(OFC)中的神经元选择值信号紧随单个神经元记录周期内的主观值变化。区分束并预测选择的神经元分类器证实了主观值的变化。传统的单一奖励之间的选择证实了两个奖励束看到的神经元变化。因此,特定于奖励的饱腹感降低了OFC中的主观奖励值信号。饱腹感是主观奖励价值的重要因素,这些结果扩展了OFC神经元中主观经济报酬值编码的概念。
    Sensitivity to satiety constitutes a basic requirement for neuronal coding of subjective reward value. Satiety from natural ongoing consumption affects reward functions in learning and approach behavior. More specifically, satiety reduces the subjective economic value of individual rewards during choice between options that typically contain multiple reward components. The unconfounded assessment of economic reward value requires tests at choice indifference between two options, which is difficult to achieve with sated rewards. By conceptualizing choices between options with multiple reward components (\"bundles\"), Revealed Preference Theory may offer a solution. Despite satiety, choices against an unaltered reference bundle may remain indifferent when the reduced value of a sated bundle reward is compensated by larger amounts of an unsated reward of the same bundle, and then the value loss of the sated reward is indicated by the amount of the added unsated reward. Here, we show psychophysically titrated choice indifference in monkeys between bundles of differently sated rewards. Neuronal chosen value signals in the orbitofrontal cortex (OFC) followed closely the subjective value change within recording periods of individual neurons. A neuronal classifier distinguishing the bundles and predicting choice substantiated the subjective value change. The choice between conventional single rewards confirmed the neuronal changes seen with two-reward bundles. Thus, reward-specific satiety reduces subjective reward value signals in OFC. With satiety being an important factor of subjective reward value, these results extend the notion of subjective economic reward value coding in OFC neurons.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The interaction between land plants and mycorrhizal fungi (MF) forms perhaps the world\'s most prevalent biological market. Most plants participate in such markets, in which MF collect nutrients from the soil and trade them with host plants in exchange for carbon. In a recent study, M. D. Whiteside et al. [Curr. Biol. 29, 2043-2050.e8 (2019)] conducted experiments that allowed them to quantify the behavior of arbuscular MF when trading phosphorus with their host roots. Their experimental techniques enabled the researchers to infer the quantities traded under multiple scenarios involving different amounts of phosphorus resources initially held by different MF patches. We use these observations to confirm a revealed preference hypothesis, which characterizes behavior in Walrasian equilibrium, a centerpiece of general economic equilibrium theory.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    重要的决定往往是在一定程度的压力下做出的。现在已经确定,严重的压力会影响我们决策中的偏好和优先事项。然而,在规范意义上,很难就压力对决策质量的净影响做出一般的解释,因为支持或反对压力对决策质量的直接影响的证据很少。这里,我们使用选择一致性的揭示偏好框架来调查决策质量,而不假设客观正确的选择.具体来说,我们测试了急性压力是否以时间依赖性方式影响选择一致性.144名参与者的样本之前解决了食物选择任务,在特里尔社会压力测试(TSST)或匹配的控制程序之后和之后。我们通过一系列主观和生理压力措施证实了压力操纵的有效性。使用贝叶斯统计,我们发现强有力的证据表明急性应激对选择一致性有影响.然而,我们发现了自我报告的慢性压力与选择一致性呈负相关的探索性证据.我们在先前关于压力对选择一致性和偏好变化的影响的发现的背景下讨论我们的结果。
    Important decisions are often made under some degree of stress. It is now well-established that acute stress affects preferences and priorities in our decisions. However, it is hard to make a general case on the net impact of stress on decision-making quality in a normative sense as evidence for or against a direct effect of stress on decision-making quality is sparse. Here, we used the revealed preference framework of choice consistency to investigate decision-making quality without the assumption of an objectively correct choice. Specifically, we tested whether acute stress influences choice consistency in a time dependent fashion. A sample of 144 participants solved a food choice task before, immediately after and in the aftermath of the Trier Social Stress Test (TSST) or a matched control procedure. We confirmed the effectiveness of our stress manipulation via an array of subjective and physiological stress measures. Using Bayesian statistics, we found strong evidence against an effect of acute stress on choice consistency. However, we found exploratory evidence for a negative association of self-reported chronic stress and choice consistency. We discuss our results in the context of previous findings of stress effects on choice consistency and preference changes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    奖励选择选项通常包含多个组件,但是单个脑体素中的神经信号是标量的,主要是上下变化。在之前的研究中,我们设计了奖励束,其中包含两个独立设定数量的相同奶昔;我们使用心理物理学和严格的经济概念来估计二维选择无差异曲线(IC),这些曲线代表了系统中对这些束的随机偏好,集成的方式。相同IC上的所有束同样显示为首选(因此具有相同的效用,从选择冷漠中推断);较高IC(较高实用性)上的束优先于较低IC(较低实用性)上的束。在目前的研究中,我们使用建立的行为进行功能磁共振成像(fMRI)检测.我们现在展示了人类女性和男性参与者的奖励相关大脑结构中的神经反应,包括纹状体,中脑,和内侧眶额叶皮质(mid-OFC)遵循IC的特征模式:沿着IC的相似响应(尽管束组成不同,但效用相同),但IC之间的单调变化(不同的效用)。因此,这些大脑结构将多个奖励成分整合成标量信号,远远超出了已知的单成分奖励的主观价值编码。重要声明奖励有几个组成部分,比如苹果的味道和大小,但目前尚不清楚每个组成部分如何对奖励的整体价值做出贡献。虽然经济理论的选择无差异曲线(IC)为这个问题提供了行为方法,目前尚不清楚大脑反应是否捕获了从多个组成部分整合的偏好和效用.我们报告了纹状体的激活,中脑,和眶额皮质(OFC)遵循选择IC,这些IC代表行为偏好,而不是单个奖励成分的变化。此外,概念驱动的方法鼓励未来对自然的研究,多组分奖励,容易非理性地选择正常和脑损伤的个体。
    Rewarding choice options typically contain multiple components, but neural signals in single brain voxels are scalar and primarily vary up or down. In a previous study, we had designed reward bundles that contained the same two milkshakes with independently set amounts; we had used psychophysics and rigorous economic concepts to estimate two-dimensional choice indifference curves (ICs) that represented revealed stochastic preferences for these bundles in a systematic, integrated manner. All bundles on the same ICs were equally revealed preferred (and thus had same utility, as inferred from choice indifference); bundles on higher ICs (higher utility) were preferred to bundles on lower ICs (lower utility). In the current study, we used the established behavior for testing with functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI). We now demonstrate neural responses in reward-related brain structures of human female and male participants, including striatum, midbrain, and medial orbitofrontal cortex (mid-OFC) that followed the characteristic pattern of ICs: similar responses along ICs (same utility despite different bundle composition), but monotonic change across ICs (different utility). Thus, these brain structures integrated multiple reward components into a scalar signal, well beyond the known subjective value coding of single-component rewards.SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT Rewards have several components, like the taste and size of an apple, but it is unclear how each component contributes to the overall value of the reward. While choice indifference curves (ICs) of economic theory provide behavioral approaches to this question, it is unclear whether brain responses capture the preference and utility integrated from multiple components. We report activations in striatum, midbrain, and orbitofrontal cortex (OFC) that follow choice ICs representing behavioral preferences over and above variations of individual reward components. In addition, the concept-driven approach encourages future studies on natural, multicomponent rewards that are prone to irrational choice of normal and brain-damaged individuals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    We present evidence from a natural field experiment designed to shed light on whether individual behavior is consistent with a neoclassical model of utility maximization subject to budget constraints. We do this through the lens of a field experiment on charitable giving. We find that the behavior of at least 80% of individuals, on both the extensive and intensive margins, can be rationalized within a standard neoclassical choice model in which individuals have preferences, defined over own consumption and their contribution towards the charitable good, satisfying the axioms of revealed preference.
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